Global sell off MTS 16 Sept 2015
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Global Sell Off, Opportunities to Trade
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Global sell off MTS 16 Sept 2015
- 2. Vicky Amarnani Profil Pembicara 1. Market Strategist Monex Investindo Futures sejak 2009 2. Nara sumber di Media (MetroTv, MNC, Beritasatu, Bloomberg Indonesia) 3. Professional Trader sejak 2003
- 3. DISKUSI 30 menit 1. Kekhawatiran pasar 2. Peluang di Pasar Global 3. Strategi Trading dan Tips
- 4. Tips Investing/ Trading Ketahui penggerak harga produk Putuskan strategi yang digunakan Jangan gunakan seluruh modal anda di satu tempat Jangan berharap selalu benar/menang Kelola Resiko 5
- 6. 3 faktor yang menjadi fokus 1. Perlambatan China & Devaluasi Yuan akan memicu krisis? 2. Kenaikan sukubunga AS akan menaikkan bunga pinjaman dan menekan pasar finansial dan emerging? 3. Akankah harga komoditi terus tertekan?
- 7. RESULT • RISK OFF MODE (USD NAIK & SAHAM TURUN). • VOLATILITAS MENINGGI
- 8. “Over the past 50 years there has been a global recession once every eight years, on average, so the next one may be brewing. When exactly it will come is hard to call”
- 9. Dampak perlambatan CHINA terhadap mitra dagang
- 10. Sukubunga AS ‘0” + pengangguran rendah USD KUAT
- 11. OUTLOOK PERTUMBUHAN GLOBAL 2013 2014 2015 2016
- 12. Dollar AS menguat dan supply minyak berlimpah MOMENTUM
- 13. Oil rig reduction but production still to follow.. Global inventories at multi-year highs…
- 14. 2. Kesempatan Trading Volatile Markets Attractive Risk to Reward Day trading / Short Term Trading requires less capital Trade on Momentum and Strong signals
- 16. TRADING FACT
- 17. 50.00 $/Barel 50.01 $/Barel 0.01 $/Barel 1 Pip CO-LS = 0.01 $/Barel x 1000 Barel = $10 1 Lot CO-LS = $2000 Initial Margin/Jaminan yang dibutuhkan dalam bertransaksi Crude Oil sebesar : NILAI PIP & MARGIN
- 18. Buy 1 lot @ 45.00 Target 48.00 Stop 43.00 Simple Formula: (Jual – Beli) x kontrak x lot = (48.00 – 45.00) x 1000 x 1 = (3.00) x 1000 = $ 3000 Demand
- 20. Buy 1 lot @ 1.12000 Target 1.12500 Stop 1.10000 Simple Formula: (Jual – Beli) x kontrak x lot = (1.12500 – 1.12000) x 10000 x 1 = (0.00500) x 100,000 = $ 500 Demand
- 21. 3. Manajemen Risiko & Strategi Trading Pada pasar volatil
- 22. “ It does not matter whether you are right or wrong, but how much you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong” Kelola Resiko George Soros
- 23. WIN LOSS RATIO 40:60 Anda memiliki 10 transaksi dengan aturan sebagai berikut: Lot = 1/ transaksi SL = 20 poin TP = 40 poin Equity = $10,000
- 24. TRANSAKSI AKAN MENGHASILKAN... 6 Transaksi Loss x 20 poin (pips) x $10/poin = - $1,200 4 Transaksi Profit x 40 poin x $10/poin = + $1,600 Net Profit/ Loss = + $400 Total Equity = + $10,400
- 25. Rekening Terpisah dalam bentuk Rupiah (IDR Account) Bank : BCA Sudirman Center Atas nama : PT Monex Investindo Futures Nomor rekening : 035.3115.569 Bank : CIMB Niaga Atas nama : PT Monex Investindo Futures Nomor rekening : 008.01.63364.000 Bank : SINARMAS cabang Fachruddin Atas nama : PT Monex Investindo Futures Nomor rekening : 000.2838.001 Bank : WINDU cabang Rawamangun Atas nama : PT Monex Investindo Futures Nomor rekening : 100.136.919.5 REKENING TERPISAH Modal Aman!
- 26. Strategi Trading
- 27. • Risk • Reward • SL & TP 45 48 43 RENCANA TRADING
- 28. HARGA
- 30. STRATEGI TRADING (DENGAN VOLATALITAS TINGGI) 1. Breakout trading Strategy 2. Wash and Rinse Strategy
- 31. BREAKOUT STRATEGY FOR VOLATILE MARKETS
- 32. BREAKOUT STRATEGY FOR VOLATILE MARKETS OIL 1HR CHART
- 33. 1 Buy on Double Top Breakout (15 / 30 / 1hr)
- 34. Sell on Double Bottom Breakout (15 / 30 / 1hr)
- 35. Wash and Rinse Strategy: SELL W & R JPY 15 Menit SELL STOP LOSS PROFIT TARGET X2
- 36. BUY Wash & Rinse Strategy: W & R Gold 15 Menit BUY STOP LOSS PROFIT TARGET X 2
- 37. 2. WASH & RINSE STRATEGY
- 38. TIPS FOR TRADING VOLATILE MARKETS 1. Reduce Leverage (e.g. USD 10,000 Equity no more than 1 lot position) 2. Selective Trades (attractive risk to reward) 3. Increase Discipline when Trading
- 39. “You may never know what results come of your action, but if you do nothing there will be no result” Mahatma Gandhi
- 40. THANK YOU