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©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com
January 28, 2022
Rover Metals Corp.
(TSXV: ROVR / OTCQB: ROVMF / FSE: 4XO)
Promising Results Indicate Potential for a Strong Maiden
Resource
BUY
Current Price: C$0.05
Fair Value: C$0.19
Risk: 5
Sector / Industry: Junior Mining/Resource Click here for more research on the company and to share your views
YTD 12M
Ret. -25% -44%
TSXV -11% -10%
Key Financial Data (FYE - Dec 31)
(C$) 2020 2021 (9M)
Cash $332,716 $713,068
Working Capital -$42,772 $939,014
Mineral Assets $1,391,488 $2,599,044
Total Assets $1,914,643 $4,093,349
Net Income (Loss) -$811,350 -$1,228,706
EPS -$0.01 -$0.01
*See last page for important disclosures, rating and risk definitions. All figures in C$ unless otherwise specified.
Highlights
➢ In H2-2021, Rover completed a Phase 2 exploration program at its 100% owned
Cabin gold project in the Northwest Territories. The program included a 31-hole
diamond drill program, and 21,000 m of geophysical surveys.
➢ The program confirmed two gold zones (Beaver and Andrew), and identified three
new large IP anomalies (Camp, Andrew South, and Beaver South). Drilling not
only returned multiple high-grade intercepts, but also expanded historic grades.
➢ Drill results from three targets at the Andrew zone delineated a medium-to-high
grade zone, extending 800 m from north to south at surface.
➢ Overall, we believe the recent program has shown that the project has potential
to hold a medium-sized resource with high grades. Three significant gold zones
have been identified to-date: Beaver, Andrew, and Arrow.
➢ Planning to complete a NI 43-101 compliant maiden resource estimate in 2022.
➢ The three confirmed gold zones, when combined, extend 1,000 m at surface, and
are open along strike and at depth. Rover intends to drill the Arrow zone at depths
below 75 m in a Phase 3 program, which is expected to commence this quarter,
upon completing a $1M+ financing.
➢ The Cabin gold project is 40 km from Canada’s largest primary cobalt (cobalt-gold)
deposit, held by Fortune Minerals (TSX: FT). FT recently announced plans to
acquire a refinery in Alberta for its concentrates. We believe FT’s advancements
are positive for ROVR, as they increase the probability for an M&A event in the
future, if ROVR is able to delineate a large resource.
➢ We have a positive outlook on gold prices as inflation is likely to be persistent,
and real rates are likely to be negative in the first half of the year. Rising geopolitical
tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East will likely support gold prices.
SPDR Gold (NYSE: GLD), the largest ETF backed by gold, is seeing record inflows
of capital.
➢ Upcoming catalysts include stronger gold price, Phase 3 results, and a maiden
resource estimate.
52 Week Range C$0.04–C$0.12
Shares O/S 118M
Market Cap. C$5.3M
Yield (forward) N/A
P/E (forward) N/A
P/B 1.4x
Sid Rajeev, B.Tech, MBA, CFA
Head of Research
Nina Rose Coderis, BSc (Geology)
Equity Analyst
Price Performance (1-year)
Company Data
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
$-
$0.02
$0.04
$0.06
$0.08
$0.10
$0.12
$0.14
SP (LHS) Vol (RHS)
Equity Research
Page 2 of 6
©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com
Completed 31 holes
targeting the Beaver
and Andrew zones
Assays from Beaver
were 90% higher
than a historic hole
drilled at a similar
location
Assay results from
the Andrew South,
Andrew Middle, and
Andrew North
targets were also
higher than historic
grades
Three targets at
Andrew have been
grouped into a
single zone called
the Andrew zone,
extending 800 m
from north to south
Confirmed Three Gold Zones
Gold Zones at the Cabin Gold Project
Source: Company
Equity Research
Page 3 of 6
©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com
IP surveys identified
three new large
anomalies at Camp,
Andrew South, and
Beaver, which we
believe could
provide resource
expansion potential
The anomaly at
Beaver extends the
Beaver zone 200 m
to the southeast
The anomaly at
Andrew South is
close to the
southern tip of the
confirmed Andrew
zone; It also
uncovered a new
limb of iron
formation which
appears to be
mineralized
The anomaly at
Camp lies along the
primary limb of the
Bugow Iron
formation, the
controlling structure
for gold at the
project
Phase 3 exploration
will include drilling
the new IP
anomalies
IP Survey Map
Source: Company
Upcoming Plans
➢ Raise $1M+ to fund the Phase 3 exploration program
➢ Commence Phase 3 this quarter
➢ Complete a NI 43-101 maiden resource estimate this year
➢ According to management, they have generated a high-level of goodwill in
the local community of Behchoko, the largest town, located 40 km from the
project. Management has also stated that the Tlicho Government is
supportive of Rover’s exploration activities. We believe this is key for future
financings.
➢ Management is looking at projects in the U.S. for acquisition.
Equity Research
Page 4 of 6
©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com
$0.94M in working
capital at the end of
Q3
Subsequently raised
$0.30M through a
flow-through
financing, and a
government grant
Management is
planning a $1M+
equity financing
The recent program
has given us more
confidence; we are
raising our
preliminary
speculative estimate
from 150 to 200 Koz
gold
ROVR is trading at
$22/oz (previously
$53/oz) vs the
sector average of
$71 (previously $69)
As ROVR’s resource
has significantly
higher grades than
the sector average,
we are continuing to
apply a 50%
premium to the
sector average for
valuing ROVR
Our valuation
increased from
$0.18 to $0.19 per
share; the increase
in resource was
partially offset by
share dilution
Financials
Source: FRC / Company
Stock Options and Warrants: 8.87M options (weighted average exercise price of
$0.12), and 69.11M warrants ($0.14) outstanding. None of the options/warrants are
in-the-money.
Valuation and Rating
Source: FRC / S&P Capital IQ / Various
Equity Research
Page 5 of 6
©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com
Maintaining our risk
rating of 5 (Highly
Speculative)
We are maintaining our BUY rating, and adjusting our fair value estimate from
$0.18 to $0.19 per share. Key near-term catalysts include stronger gold prices,
Phase 3 results, and a maiden resource estimate.
Risks
➢ The company’s value is dependent on gold prices.
➢ Exploration and development risks
➢ No NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate
➢ Economic studies have not been completed
➢ Access to capital and share dilution
Equity Research
Page 6 of 6
©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com
Fundamental Research Corp. Equity Rating Scale:
Buy – Annual expected rate of return exceeds 12% or the expected return is commensurate with risk
Hold – Annual expected rate of return is between 5% and 12%
Sell – Annual expected rate of return is below 5% or the expected return is not commensurate with risk
Suspended or Rating N/A— Coverage and ratings suspended until more information can be obtained from the company regarding recent events.
Fundamental Research Corp. Risk Rating Scale:
1 (Low Risk) - The company operates in an industry where it has a strong position (for example a monopoly, high market share etc.) or operates in a regulated
industry. The future outlook is stable or positive for the industry. The company generates positive free cash flow and has a history of profitability. The capital structure
is conservative with little or no debt.
2 (Below Average Risk) - The company operates in an industry where the fundamentals and outlook are positive. The industry and company are relatively less
sensitive to systematic risk than companies with a Risk Rating of 3. The company has a history of profitability and has demonstrated its ability to generate positive
free cash flows (though current free cash flow may be negative due to capital investment). The company’s capital structure is conservative with little to modest use
of debt.
3 (Average Risk) - The company operates in an industry that has average sensitivity to systematic risk. The industry may be cyclical. Profits and cash flow are
sensitive to economic factors although the company has demonstrated its ability to generate positive earnings and cash flow. Debt use is in line with industry
averages, and coverage ratios are sufficient.
4 (Speculative) - The company has little or no history of generating earnings or cash flow. Debt use is higher. These companies may be in start-up mode or in a
turnaround situation. These companies should be considered speculative.
5 (Highly Speculative) - The company has no history of generating earnings or cash flow. They may operate in a new industry with new, and unproven products.
Products may be at the development stage, testing, or seeking regulatory approval. These companies may run into liquidity issues and may rely on external funding.
These stocks are considered highly speculative.
Disclaimers and Disclosure
The opinions expressed in this report are the true opinions of the analyst about this company and industry. Any “forward looking statements” are our best estimates
and opinions based upon information that is publicly available and that we believe to be correct, but we have not independently verified with respect to truth or
correctness. There is no guarantee that our forecasts will materialize. Actual results will likely vary. The analyst and Fundamental Research Corp. “FRC” does
not own any shares of the subject company, does not make a market or offer shares for sale of the subject company, and does not have any investment banking
business with the subject company. Fees were paid by ROVR to FRC. The purpose of the fee is to subsidize the high costs of research and monitoring. FRC
takes steps to ensure independence including setting fees in advance and utilizing analysts who must abide by CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of
Professional Conduct. Additionally, analysts may not trade in any security under coverage. Our full editorial control of all research, timing of release of the reports,
and release of liability for negative reports are protected contractually. To further ensure independence, ROVR has agreed to a minimum coverage term including an
initial report and three updates. Coverage cannot be unilaterally terminated. Distribution procedure: our reports are distributed first to our web-based subscribers
on the date shown on this report then made available to delayed access users through various other channels for a limited time.
The distribution of FRC’s ratings are as follows: BUY (69%), HOLD (5%), SELL / SUSPEND (26%).
To subscribe for real-time access to research, visit https://www.researchfrc.com/website/subscribe/ for subscription options.
This report contains "forward looking" statements. Forward-looking statements regarding the Company and/or stock’s performance inherently involve risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from such forward-looking statements. Factors that would cause or contribute to such differences include, but
are not limited to, continued acceptance of the Company's products/services in the marketplace; acceptance in the marketplace of the Company's new product
lines/services; competitive factors; new product/service introductions by others; technological changes; dependence on suppliers; systematic market risks and other
risks discussed in the Company's periodic report filings, including interim reports, annual reports, and annual information forms filed with the various securities
regulators. By making these forward-looking statements, Fundamental Research Corp. and the analyst/author of this report undertakes no obligation to update these
statements for revisions or changes after the date of this report. A report initiating coverage will most often be updated quarterly while a report issuing a rating may
have no further or less frequent updates because the subject company is likely to be in earlier stages where nothing material may occur quarter to quarter.
Fundamental Research Corp DOES NOT MAKE ANY WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM USING THIS
INFORMATION AND MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR USE. ANYONE USING THIS REPORT ASSUMES
FULL RESPONSIBILITY FOR WHATEVER RESULTS THEY OBTAIN FROM WHATEVER USE THE INFORMATION WAS PUT TO. ALWAYS TALK TO YOUR
FINANCIAL ADVISOR BEFORE YOU INVEST. WHETHER A STOCK SHOULD BE INCLUDED IN A PORTFOLIO DEPENDS ON ONE’S RISK TOLERANCE,
OBJECTIVES, SITUATION, RETURN ON OTHER ASSETS, ETC. ONLY YOUR INVESTMENT ADVISOR WHO KNOWS YOUR UNIQUE CIRCUMSTANCES CAN
MAKE A PROPER RECOMMENDATION AS TO THE MERIT OF ANY PARTICULAR SECURITY FOR INCLUSION IN YOUR PORTFOLIO. This REPORT is solely
for informative purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security. It is not intended as being a complete description of the company, industry,
securities or developments referred to in the material. Any forecasts contained in this report were independently prepared unless otherwise stated and HAVE NOT
BEEN endorsed by the Management of the company which is the subject of this report. Additional information is available upon request. THIS REPORT IS
COPYRIGHT. YOU MAY NOT REDISTRIBUTE THIS REPORT WITHOUT OUR PERMISSION. Please give proper credit, including citing Fundamental Research
Corp and/or the analyst, when quoting information from this report.
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in any jurisdiction where such use would be contrary to local regulations or which would require any registration requirement within such jurisdiction.

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Rover Metals Promising Drill Results

  • 1. ©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com January 28, 2022 Rover Metals Corp. (TSXV: ROVR / OTCQB: ROVMF / FSE: 4XO) Promising Results Indicate Potential for a Strong Maiden Resource BUY Current Price: C$0.05 Fair Value: C$0.19 Risk: 5 Sector / Industry: Junior Mining/Resource Click here for more research on the company and to share your views YTD 12M Ret. -25% -44% TSXV -11% -10% Key Financial Data (FYE - Dec 31) (C$) 2020 2021 (9M) Cash $332,716 $713,068 Working Capital -$42,772 $939,014 Mineral Assets $1,391,488 $2,599,044 Total Assets $1,914,643 $4,093,349 Net Income (Loss) -$811,350 -$1,228,706 EPS -$0.01 -$0.01 *See last page for important disclosures, rating and risk definitions. All figures in C$ unless otherwise specified. Highlights ➢ In H2-2021, Rover completed a Phase 2 exploration program at its 100% owned Cabin gold project in the Northwest Territories. The program included a 31-hole diamond drill program, and 21,000 m of geophysical surveys. ➢ The program confirmed two gold zones (Beaver and Andrew), and identified three new large IP anomalies (Camp, Andrew South, and Beaver South). Drilling not only returned multiple high-grade intercepts, but also expanded historic grades. ➢ Drill results from three targets at the Andrew zone delineated a medium-to-high grade zone, extending 800 m from north to south at surface. ➢ Overall, we believe the recent program has shown that the project has potential to hold a medium-sized resource with high grades. Three significant gold zones have been identified to-date: Beaver, Andrew, and Arrow. ➢ Planning to complete a NI 43-101 compliant maiden resource estimate in 2022. ➢ The three confirmed gold zones, when combined, extend 1,000 m at surface, and are open along strike and at depth. Rover intends to drill the Arrow zone at depths below 75 m in a Phase 3 program, which is expected to commence this quarter, upon completing a $1M+ financing. ➢ The Cabin gold project is 40 km from Canada’s largest primary cobalt (cobalt-gold) deposit, held by Fortune Minerals (TSX: FT). FT recently announced plans to acquire a refinery in Alberta for its concentrates. We believe FT’s advancements are positive for ROVR, as they increase the probability for an M&A event in the future, if ROVR is able to delineate a large resource. ➢ We have a positive outlook on gold prices as inflation is likely to be persistent, and real rates are likely to be negative in the first half of the year. Rising geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East will likely support gold prices. SPDR Gold (NYSE: GLD), the largest ETF backed by gold, is seeing record inflows of capital. ➢ Upcoming catalysts include stronger gold price, Phase 3 results, and a maiden resource estimate. 52 Week Range C$0.04–C$0.12 Shares O/S 118M Market Cap. C$5.3M Yield (forward) N/A P/E (forward) N/A P/B 1.4x Sid Rajeev, B.Tech, MBA, CFA Head of Research Nina Rose Coderis, BSc (Geology) Equity Analyst Price Performance (1-year) Company Data - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 $- $0.02 $0.04 $0.06 $0.08 $0.10 $0.12 $0.14 SP (LHS) Vol (RHS)
  • 2. Equity Research Page 2 of 6 ©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com Completed 31 holes targeting the Beaver and Andrew zones Assays from Beaver were 90% higher than a historic hole drilled at a similar location Assay results from the Andrew South, Andrew Middle, and Andrew North targets were also higher than historic grades Three targets at Andrew have been grouped into a single zone called the Andrew zone, extending 800 m from north to south Confirmed Three Gold Zones Gold Zones at the Cabin Gold Project Source: Company
  • 3. Equity Research Page 3 of 6 ©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com IP surveys identified three new large anomalies at Camp, Andrew South, and Beaver, which we believe could provide resource expansion potential The anomaly at Beaver extends the Beaver zone 200 m to the southeast The anomaly at Andrew South is close to the southern tip of the confirmed Andrew zone; It also uncovered a new limb of iron formation which appears to be mineralized The anomaly at Camp lies along the primary limb of the Bugow Iron formation, the controlling structure for gold at the project Phase 3 exploration will include drilling the new IP anomalies IP Survey Map Source: Company Upcoming Plans ➢ Raise $1M+ to fund the Phase 3 exploration program ➢ Commence Phase 3 this quarter ➢ Complete a NI 43-101 maiden resource estimate this year ➢ According to management, they have generated a high-level of goodwill in the local community of Behchoko, the largest town, located 40 km from the project. Management has also stated that the Tlicho Government is supportive of Rover’s exploration activities. We believe this is key for future financings. ➢ Management is looking at projects in the U.S. for acquisition.
  • 4. Equity Research Page 4 of 6 ©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com $0.94M in working capital at the end of Q3 Subsequently raised $0.30M through a flow-through financing, and a government grant Management is planning a $1M+ equity financing The recent program has given us more confidence; we are raising our preliminary speculative estimate from 150 to 200 Koz gold ROVR is trading at $22/oz (previously $53/oz) vs the sector average of $71 (previously $69) As ROVR’s resource has significantly higher grades than the sector average, we are continuing to apply a 50% premium to the sector average for valuing ROVR Our valuation increased from $0.18 to $0.19 per share; the increase in resource was partially offset by share dilution Financials Source: FRC / Company Stock Options and Warrants: 8.87M options (weighted average exercise price of $0.12), and 69.11M warrants ($0.14) outstanding. None of the options/warrants are in-the-money. Valuation and Rating Source: FRC / S&P Capital IQ / Various
  • 5. Equity Research Page 5 of 6 ©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com Maintaining our risk rating of 5 (Highly Speculative) We are maintaining our BUY rating, and adjusting our fair value estimate from $0.18 to $0.19 per share. Key near-term catalysts include stronger gold prices, Phase 3 results, and a maiden resource estimate. Risks ➢ The company’s value is dependent on gold prices. ➢ Exploration and development risks ➢ No NI 43-101 compliant resource estimate ➢ Economic studies have not been completed ➢ Access to capital and share dilution
  • 6. Equity Research Page 6 of 6 ©2022 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” www.researchfrc.com Fundamental Research Corp. Equity Rating Scale: Buy – Annual expected rate of return exceeds 12% or the expected return is commensurate with risk Hold – Annual expected rate of return is between 5% and 12% Sell – Annual expected rate of return is below 5% or the expected return is not commensurate with risk Suspended or Rating N/A— Coverage and ratings suspended until more information can be obtained from the company regarding recent events. Fundamental Research Corp. Risk Rating Scale: 1 (Low Risk) - The company operates in an industry where it has a strong position (for example a monopoly, high market share etc.) or operates in a regulated industry. The future outlook is stable or positive for the industry. The company generates positive free cash flow and has a history of profitability. The capital structure is conservative with little or no debt. 2 (Below Average Risk) - The company operates in an industry where the fundamentals and outlook are positive. The industry and company are relatively less sensitive to systematic risk than companies with a Risk Rating of 3. The company has a history of profitability and has demonstrated its ability to generate positive free cash flows (though current free cash flow may be negative due to capital investment). The company’s capital structure is conservative with little to modest use of debt. 3 (Average Risk) - The company operates in an industry that has average sensitivity to systematic risk. The industry may be cyclical. Profits and cash flow are sensitive to economic factors although the company has demonstrated its ability to generate positive earnings and cash flow. Debt use is in line with industry averages, and coverage ratios are sufficient. 4 (Speculative) - The company has little or no history of generating earnings or cash flow. Debt use is higher. These companies may be in start-up mode or in a turnaround situation. These companies should be considered speculative. 5 (Highly Speculative) - The company has no history of generating earnings or cash flow. They may operate in a new industry with new, and unproven products. Products may be at the development stage, testing, or seeking regulatory approval. These companies may run into liquidity issues and may rely on external funding. These stocks are considered highly speculative. Disclaimers and Disclosure The opinions expressed in this report are the true opinions of the analyst about this company and industry. Any “forward looking statements” are our best estimates and opinions based upon information that is publicly available and that we believe to be correct, but we have not independently verified with respect to truth or correctness. There is no guarantee that our forecasts will materialize. Actual results will likely vary. The analyst and Fundamental Research Corp. “FRC” does not own any shares of the subject company, does not make a market or offer shares for sale of the subject company, and does not have any investment banking business with the subject company. Fees were paid by ROVR to FRC. The purpose of the fee is to subsidize the high costs of research and monitoring. FRC takes steps to ensure independence including setting fees in advance and utilizing analysts who must abide by CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct. Additionally, analysts may not trade in any security under coverage. 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