One apartment investor commented that although last week's video was helpful, we fell short of forecasting 2013 sales volume. That's true. In fact, we have never figured out a way to forecast sales volume. It is too dependent on investor attitudes about the economy, the health of the rental market, availability and cost of debt and equity, to name just a few factors. But that comment did inspire us to do better. so let's take a look at some estimates.

2. Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors www.duprescott.com

4. 2013:
318 sales based
on trend

8. Estimating 2013 sales activity
(Based on the first 5 months each year: 2000-2012)
Sales Dollars Units
Based on Minimum 258 $1,758,000,000 9,500
Based on Maximum 451 $5,336,000,000 24,240
Based on Average 306 $2,682,000,000 14,945
2011+ Trend 318 $2,700,000,000 14,600
2012 Actual 308 $2,682,000,000 16,944

9. See the related video/article
Firewalking Is Easier
at
www.duprescott.com
Under the “Articles” tab