A National System for Lifelong Guidance - Belfast 231014
2014-03-27_AAE presentation
1. Actuarial Association of Europe, Social Security
Subcommittee, Adequacy Task Force
Principles
2012 Adequacy Report - remarks from an actuarial
perspective
From pension adequacy to life-long security
From fragile solidarity to intergenerational fairness
From actuarial to societal fairness
From incentives/disincentives to a robust labour market
Measurement tools (indices)
Working frame and collaboration
3/28/2014 1
2. Sound Pension Systems’ Principles
Safety/ Poverty alleviation (minimum pension/income)
Equity (actuarial, intergenerational)
Consumption Smoothness (intergenerational)
Transparency (policy valuation indicators, communication
to the public)
Foresight (investment)
Solidarity (from stronger to vulnerable groups/society
fairness)
Sustainability (growth, valuation and financial reporting)
Dignity (old age)
3/28/2014 2
3. AAoE aim: Among other adequacy issues, also to
shed light on those not yet raised by the ISG
Issues, Comments on the Adequacy of Pensions Report 2012
How much longer will people live?
Who will bear the new imbalances of the system?
Are incentives and disincentives for pensions’ taking up properly
balanced?
Do they lead to improved adequacy and, if so by how much?
What are the implications of reforms for different cohorts of participants?
What are the implications of reforms for workers according to their
occupations (manual/white/blue collar)?
3/28/2014 3
4. AAoE aim: Among other adequacy issues, also to
shed light on those not yet raised by the ISG
What are the implications of reforms for various workers according
to their employment and unemployment ?
Should pension benefits reflect the differential inflation rate
experienced by the elderly ?
What about representation?
To what extent should the concept of healthy life expectancy be
reflected in policy-making ?
What was the role of investment risk in undermining adequacy in
2nd and 3rd pillar schemes ?
Does transparency play a role concerning adequacy?
3/28/2014 4
5. From fragile solidarity to intergenerational fairness
Contributions and benefits should be properly balanced within
generations/cohorts
Poverty in old age should be overcome, even if gradually
All living generations should share the cost of imbalances
Living standards of workers and pensioners should be
balanced (The transition from working life to retiree life should
allow for a smooth adjustment of consumption patterns)
The State has a role to play in overseeing these balances
Attention should be paid to possible adverse labour market
outcomes of increasing pension ages (elderly, young people
employment etc.)
27/03/2014 5
6. From adequacy to life long security
Social fairness in regard to vulnerable groups of people
should prevail over actuarial equity
Whether pension indexation should reflect the differential
inflation rate experienced by the elderly should be examined
Pension capital assets allocations should be more strictly
audited and ranked according to risk, yield, performance and
expenses
27/03/2014 6
7. From incentives/disincentives to a robust labour market
Working careers should be prolonged
Incentives for “late” payment of pensions and disincentives for “early”
payment should be actuarially balanced
Participation rates for middle ages (50-65) should be strongly
enhanced
Labour market policies should be designed to facilitate the
employability of those at older ages
All working categories should be covered
Policies in relation to increasing pensionable age should take into
account the statistics of healthy life expectancy
Contributions should be properly distinguished between those
intended to finance means-tested benefits (pillar 0) and those
intended to finance earnings-related benefits to facilitate transparency
in relation to taxation and similar aspects
Lump sums should be annuitized
27/03/2014 7
8. Illustrative list of measures to be potentially used for
proper indicators’ construction enhancing transparency
╫ Present Value of Contributions (gross/net)
╫ Present Value of Benefits (gross/net)
╫ Internal Rate of Return
╫ Investment Yield/Performance
╫ Percentage of pension assets invested in “risky” asset classes
╫ Life expectancy per cohort
╫ Healthy life expectancy per cohort
╫ Inflation rate experienced by older persons, CPI
╫ Ratio of income of taxpayers minus contributions (before, after taxes)/
Pension benefit (before, after taxes)
╫ Ratio of years spent in working life/ years spent in retirement
╫ Ratio of living standards/consumption per cohorts under comparison
╫ Contribution and career density
╫ Labour market rates (Er, Ur, Pr, Disability)
╫ Statutory, effective and early retirement age
╫ Pension indexation
╫ Wage/Career profiles per cohorts, genders, occupations
╫ Demographic and economic dependency ratio
27/03/2014 8
9. Working frame and collaboration
Until 08 05 2014 (SSSC meeting in Brussels):
Prioritize, in collaboration with the WGAge and/or ISG, which points
described above should be the object of future feasible work in
parallel with the group
Propose which are the best tools to measure so as to bring out what
we have to say by numbers
From 09 05 2014 – September 2014:
Propose how they will be used (ratios, differences, confidence levels,
limitations)
Finalize technical Issues (discount rates etc.)
Examine mechanisms to convert measurement tools to indices
Extract the above proposed tools/indices from country questionnaires
or ready reports whichever is easier
27/03/2014 9