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5-Year Medicaid Cost Savings from Medical Duplexes: the ELDER PARTNERSHIP FOR ALL-INCLUSIVE CARE (E-PAC)   Linsey O’donnell  2 ; Jean Yudin  2 ; Ann Dannish  3 ; Barbara Boland  2 ; Steve Touzell  3 ; Mary Ann Forciea  2 ; Lesley Carson  2 ; Johanne Louis 2   Bruce Kinosian 1,2   1  Department of Veterans Affairs, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ;  2 University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ;  3 Philadelphia Corporation for Aging, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Evaluation  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Key Learnings  Medicare  Costs  EPAC: Controls (1998); EPAC sample:HCC (2008) EPAC:Control =.48  (1998) EPAC:HCC predicted =.49 (2008) 5- year  Community Survival  EPAC,  HCBS/Waiver control,  LIFE (PACE),  National HCBS control Total 5-year Cost  $2.3M  saving for 4360 member months (23%) $6740/ Year of Life Saved  Medicaid only, N=92 $4.7M - $6.4M  saving for combined Medicaid/Medicare $7.5M Average  Monthly Cost  EPAC /Waiver Controls ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Background 1.  Create a high-functioning inter-organization, interdisciplinary team to provide all-inclusive care to frail elders in the community.  2.  Increase the share of total survival spent in the community  for frail elders.  3. Reduce long-term Medicaid costs to provide home and community based care to frail elders .  4. Estimate likely  performance of an integrated care/Independence at Home practice  Objectives .  Intervention  Patient Characteristics (N=92 EPAC/216 Waiver/84 Options) ADLs (mean) Age 82 (+/- 8) EPAC: 3.7/48% 5-6 86% Female HCBS: 2.8/24% 5-6 PACE reference:3.8 /44% 5-6 E-PAC  2 (2004-2009)  (N=92/4360  member months)  Waiver/Options Controls (N=216/ 6910 member-months )  Hospital  3.8/100 mm Long-term  Nursing Home 5.7%/yr 24.9% Community Survival/ Survival  (5-year) 38% /43% 20%/28% HCBS  Care Plan  mean cost/month Est. mean HCC Annual/ 5-yr Total $1942 +/- 1117 3.55 $41,962/$15.05M $1084+/- 477 Medicare Savings Annual/ 5-yr Total @ .48 @  .37 $20,054/$7.22M $15,458/ $5.5M .  Findings to date

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