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LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Edition Number: 505
Nicholas Assef
Industry Lead
naa@lccapac.com
Joe Brereton
Associate Director
jmb@lccapac.com
On Monday, commodity prices experienced a
decline as China's economy reported slower
growth than expected in the second quarter.
This development has added to concerns about
the lackluster recovery of Australia's largest
export partner.
The focus of market concern is now on whether
Chinese authorities will announce significant
economic stimulus measures to boost growth,
which has been less robust than anticipated
since the country emerged from strict COVID-19
lockdowns.
As a result of the economic data, various
commodity prices experienced a drop. Iron ore
fell 1.1 percent to $112.60 per tonne on the
July contract in Singapore, while copper led
base metals lower on the London Metal
Exchange, falling 0.9 percent to $8,598 per
tonne. Additionally, the global benchmark Brent
crude declined towards $79 per barrel after
losing 1.8 percent on Friday.
The National Bureau of Statistics reported that
China's economy expanded by 6.3 percent in
the second quarter compared to the same
period last year. This growth rate missed
economist estimates of 7.1 percent growth,
based on a Bloomberg survey. The slowdown
was attributed to a notable drop in consumer
spending and ongoing challenges in the property
market.
June's monthly indicators revealed a significant
slide in retail sales, dropping to 3.1 percent
year-on-year from 12.7 percent in May, along
with weakening in the property market. While
the urban jobless rate remained unchanged at
5.2 percent in June, the youth unemployment
rate surged to 21.3 percent.
Investors are eagerly awaiting the outcome of
China's State Council and a Politburo meeting
scheduled at the end of the month. During these
meetings, authorities will review the country's
economic performance in the first half of the
year and potentially announce further stimulus
measures. However, it is unlikely that the
stimulus will match the magnitude of the
infrastructure stimulus seen in the past.
Chinese officials have already indicated a focus
on green energy, such as wind and solar, and
reducing the carbon intensity of GDP growth in
their five-year plan through 2025. This shift may
have implications for bulk commodities.
Throughout the year, commodity prices have
faced pressure due to China's weakness and
global monetary tightening, which dampened
demand expectations. Last week, there was
speculation that Beijing would take steps to
bolster the country's struggling property sector,
leading to a temporary increase in prices.
However, the measures taken so far appear
insufficient to revive the property market's
downturn.
Investment in property development in China fell
7.9 percent in the first half, which was slightly
worse than the forecasted 7.5 percent decline.
For the resource sector, two key factors remain
crucial: the direction of interest rates and the
resilience of China's economy, given its
significant role as a buyer of more than 50
percent of most commodities. As such, fund
managers are closely monitoring the possibility
of more stimulus announcements from China to
support the resource sector.
David Franklyn, who manages Argonaut Funds
Management's natural resource fund,
emphasised the importance of China's energy
transition, with increased demand expected for
metals like copper, lithium, and rare earth
minerals in the long term.
However, uncertainty remains about the extent
of China's future economic injection and the
potential for structural issues in the economy.
As a result, many investors are cautious,
keeping a significant portion of their assets in
cash until there is greater clarity on US interest
rates and China's stimulus measures.
Source: Capital IQ; LCC Analysis
Australian Market
Macro Market Research
Page 1
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Commodity Prices Slip as China's Economic Growth Slows, Raising
Concerns
Week Ending: 21 July 2023
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Australian Macroeconomic Update
The S&P ASX 200 was relatively flat last week, rising
0.1% to end the week.
The July RBA meeting minutes presented a detailed
account of the Board’s deliberations and their
assessment of risks. The case presented for raising the
cash rate was familiar, centred on the strength of the
labour market and upside risks to both wages and
inflation. A mark of the economy’s resilience under
intense interest rate pressures, the June labour force
survey provided yet another robust and well-rounded
update on the labour market. Of note, the average pace
of employment growth remains virtually unchanged from
last year – when Australia’s reopening ‘burst’ was in full
flight and the unemployment rate now sits just 0.04ppts
above the cycle low observed in October 2022. The
detail also indicates recent job growth has been of high
quality.
Exhibit 3: Global Equities Index Total Return
One Week Return Benchmark
Exhibit 4: Global Equities Index Total Return
Year to Date (YTD) Return Benchmark
Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research
Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research
Exhibit 5: Daily USD/AUD Exchange Rate Chart
Exchange Rate over time (-1Y)
Exhibit 6: Australian Yield Curve
Yield Curve % Relative to Historic Benchmark
Source: Capital IQ, Interactive Data Pricing
Source: Capital IQ, Interactive Data Pricing
Page 2
0.68
0.60
0.62
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.70
0.72
0.74
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
USD/AUD
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
3.4
3.1 3.0 3.1
3.3
3.6
3.8 3.9
1.7
2.4
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.4 3.4
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 30Y
Yield
Curve
(%)
Current 1 Year Ago
3.1
2.1
1.0
0.9
0.7
0.1
(1.3)
(1.7)
FTSE 100 (GBP)
Dow Jones Industrial
Tokyo Price Index
Straits Times
S&P 500
S&P ASX 200
KOSPI 200 Index
Hang Seng Index
19.6
18.1
17.6
6.3
3.9
2.8
0.8
(3.6)
Tokyo Price Index
S&P 500
KOSPI 200 Index
Dow Jones Industrial
S&P ASX 200
FTSE 100 (GBP)
Straits Times
Hang Seng Index
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence, LCC Asia Pacific Research
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
LCC’s Engineering, Industrial Services & Innovation Index
Key Charts
-1.6
6.1
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23
Total
Return/Spread
(%)
Spread LCC Index S&P ASX 200
Exhibit 8: LCC’s Australian Engineering Index Total Return % Relative to the S&P ASX200 Benchmark Index
Total Return and Spread Information (-1Y)
Exhibit 9: LCC Engineering Index Price-to-Earnings Ratio
Market Cap Weighted Current PE Ratio Over Time (-1Y)
Exhibit 7: LCC Index Valuation Summary
Combined Market Capitalisation Weighted Index, Last Twelve Months (LTM)
Metric Current High Low Yr. Avg Yr. Change
Total Return (1.6%) 22.2% (8.2%) 4.9% (1.6%)
Dividend Yield 3.4% 3.7% 2.7% 3.1% (10.0%)
Price/Earnings 19.4x 23.6x 16.6x 19.3x (15.6%)
Price/Book 2.3x 3.0x 2.0x 2.5x 14.2%
Exhibit 10: EV/EBITDA Index Valuation
Dynamic Market Cap Weighted, LCC Index Sub-segments
Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research
Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research
Page 3
Beta (β): 1.19
19.4x
14.0x
16.0x
18.0x
20.0x
22.0x
24.0x
26.0x
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jan-23
Feb-23
Mar-23
Apr-23
May-23
Jun-23
Jul-23
P/E
Ratio
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Engineering Innovation
Page 4
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest)
Note: constituents with nil values were excluded for the charts above
Ticker News/ Event
DUG
DUG secures A$5 million in government grant funding for Geraldton HPC Campus. The first data hall
will have a capacity of 400 petaflops of compute, enabling a thirteen-fold growth in DUG’s compute
power once fully established.
IMD
Intelligent Monitoring Group Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD
2.717489 million.
VYS
The Board of Vysarn is pleased to provide revised earnings guidance for FY2023. The Company
forecasts to deliver Net Profit Before Tax (NPBT) of $6.8 million to $7 million in FY2023.
27.9%
18.5%
17.5%
12.1%
6.3%
-
-
(1.6%)
(4.6%)
(6.2%)
ASX:PV1
ASX:DUG
ASX:AMX
ASX:VYS
ASX:MYG
ASX:AEI
ASX:K2F
ASX:SDV
ASX:MCE
ASX:ASB
22.0x
20.2x
15.4x
13.8x
11.6x
9.2x
8.6x
8.5x
6.0x
5.4x
ASX:MAD
ASX:IMB
ASX:MYG
ASX:DUG
ASX:ASB
ASX:VYS
ASX:IMD
ASX:ORI
ASX:AQN
ASX:AMX
Ticker Company Name
Market
Cap (m)
Open
Price
Close
Price
Week
High
Volume
Trend
EV/
EBITDA
EV/
EBIT
ASX:AEI Aeris Environmental Ltd 6 0.03 0.03 0.03 — 0.0% NM NM
ASX:AMX Aerometrex Limited 35 0.35 0.37 0.38 ▲ 17.5% 5.4x NM
ASX:ALQ ALS Limited 5,485 11.25 11.33 11.74 ▲ 0.1% 10.9x 14.4x
ASX:AQN Aquirian Limited 16 NA 0.20 0.21 ▲ 5.3% 6.0x 30.9x
ASX:ASB Austal Limited 928 2.76 2.57 2.77 ▼ -6.2% 11.6x 28.2x
ASX:DUG DUG Technology Ltd 182 1.38 1.54 1.62 ▲ 18.5% 13.8x 34.2x
ASX:IMD Imdex Limited 971 1.91 1.92 1.95 — 0.0% 8.6x 12.4x
ASX:IMB Intelligent Monitoring Group Limited 45 0.19 0.20 0.20 ▲ 2.6% 20.2x NM
ASX:K2F K2fly Limited 18 NA 0.11 0.11 — 0.0% NM NM
ASX:LBL LaserBond Limited 85 0.78 0.78 0.83 ▲ 1.3% 9.3x 14.2x
ASX:MAD Mader Group Limited 1,194 5.91 5.97 6.15 ▲ 1.5% 22.0x 28.0x
ASX:MCE Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd 56 0.27 0.26 0.28 ▼ -4.6% NM NM
ASX:MYG Mayfield Group Holdings Limited 38 NA 0.42 0.42 ▲ 6.3% 15.4x 80.7x
ASX:ORI Orica Limited 6,983 15.12 15.33 15.42 ▲ 1.3% 8.5x 12.9x
ASX:PV1 Provaris Energy Ltd 48 0.07 0.09 0.09 ▲ 27.9% NM NM
ASX:RUL RPMGlobal Holdings Limited 378 1.61 1.66 1.75 ▲ 2.5% NM NM
ASX:SDV SciDev Limited 57 NA 0.30 0.32 ▼ -1.6% 10.4x 21.1x
ASX:VYS Vysarn Limited 66 0.16 0.16 0.17 ▲ 12.1% 9.2x 24.4x
Weekly change
(%)
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Industrial Engineering Services
Page 5
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Note: constituents with nil values were excluded for the charts above
Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest)
Ticker News/ Event
GNP
GenusPlus has entered into a 3-year Master Module Agreement (Master Module Agreement) with
NBN Co pursuant to which nbn has awarded GenusPlus the N2P Evolution Module until 31
December 2025. The N2P Evolution Module contract value is worth approximately $28 million.
SRG
SRG Global Secures Specialist Facades Contract for the Frankston Hospital Redevelopment valued
at ~$30m. The contract will start immediately and is expected to be complete in 2024.
MIN
Mineral Resources has amended the terms of the transactions signed with Albemarle Corporation.
MinRes’ share of the Wodgina lithium mine will increase to 50% and MinRes will remain the
operator of the mine.Albemarle will take full ownership of the Kemerton lithium hydroxide plant,
which it currently operates.
10.0%
8.0%
6.3%
5.3%
4.3%
(1.3%)
(2.2%)
(3.3%)
(4.8%)
(5.6%)
ASX:DDB
ASX:SSM
ASX:SRG
ASX:MGH
ASX:GNP
ASX:JLG
ASX:SOP
ASX:MIN
ASX:VRS
ASX:FWD
15.4x
14.0x
12.7x
12.1x
11.4x
6.0x
4.5x
4.4x
3.7x
2.8x
ASX:WOR
ASX:JLG
ASX:FWD
ASX:SSM
ASX:MGH
ASX:SRG
ASX:IPL
ASX:DDB
ASX:VRS
ASX:SXE
Ticker Company Name
Market
Cap (m)
Open
Price
Close
Price
Week
High
Volume
Trend
EV/
EBITDA
EV/
EBIT
ASX:ACF Acrow Formwork and Construction Services Limited
206 0.76 0.78 0.79 ▲ 0.6% 7.6x 12.7x
ASX:CDD Cardno Limited 15 0.37 0.39 0.40 ▲ 2.7% NM 0.5x
ASX:DOW Downer EDI Limited 3,077 4.58 4.59 4.66 ▲ 0.2% 9.5x 23.8x
ASX:DUR Duratec Limited 294 1.19 1.21 1.26 ▲ 1.7% 9.5x 13.6x
ASX:DDB Dynamic Group Holdings Limited 38 0.26 0.28 0.28 ▲ 10.0% 4.4x NM
ASX:FWD Fleetwood Limited 207 2.37 2.20 2.42 ▼ -5.6% 12.7x NM
ASX:GNP GenusPlus Group Limited 213 1.10 1.20 1.22 ▲ 4.3% 9.3x 17.1x
ASX:IPL Incitec Pivot Limited 5,710 2.88 2.94 3.01 ▲ 2.4% 4.5x 5.8x
ASX:JLG Johns Lyng Group Limited 1,465 5.38 5.32 5.42 ▼ -1.3% 14.0x 16.9x
ASX:LYL Lycopodium Limited 402 9.81 10.07 10.18 ▲ 1.7% 6.4x 7.2x
ASX:MGH MAAS Group Holdings Limited 851 2.47 2.60 2.79 ▲ 5.3% 11.4x 17.5x
ASX:MIN Mineral Resources Limited 13,531 71.81 70.11 77.44 ▼ -3.3% 8.5x 11.3x
ASX:SND Saunders International Limited 123 NA 1.13 1.13 ▲ 0.9% 6.1x 7.4x
ASX:SSM Service Stream Limited 542 0.82 0.88 0.88 ▲ 8.0% 12.1x NM
ASX:SXE Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited
173 0.64 0.66 0.67 ▲ 2.3% 2.8x 3.6x
ASX:SRG SRG Global Limited 395 0.73 0.76 0.76 ▲ 6.3% 6.0x 10.8x
ASX:SOP Synertec Corporation Limited 97 0.22 0.23 0.23 ▼ -2.2% NM NM
ASX:VRS Veris Limited 40 0.08 0.08 0.08 ▼ -4.8% 3.7x 12.8x
ASX:WOR Worley Limited 8,831 16.88 16.79 17.17 ▼ -0.5% 15.4x 21.8x
Weekly change
(%)
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Mining Engineering Services
Page 6
LCC Asia Pacific® report on
Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
Note: constituents with nil values were excluded for the charts above
Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest)
Ticker News/ Event
MND
Monadelphous Group announced it has secured new contracts and contract extensions totalling
approximately $150 million. The Company has been awarded a contract with Fortescue Metals
Group for the supply and construction of an overland conveyor and transfer station at the
Christmas Creek mine site in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.
DCG
Decmil Group announced that its $26.3 million equity capital raising, comprising the issue of
approximately 131.4 million Redeemable Convertible Preference Shares (‘RCPS’) at an issue price
of $0.20 per RCPS, is fully subscribed.
NWH
NRW Holdings advised that its wholly owned subsidiary Golding Contractors has executed a
Contract with the Toowoomba Regional Council (TRC) for works under the 2022 Flood Recovery
Project. The contract is valued at circa $113 million and is structured on cost reimbursable basis.
10.3%
6.4%
6.2%
5.2%
4.3%
0.5%
(0.7%)
(2.9%)
(3.4%)
(3.8%)
ASX:BLY
ASX:RDG
ASX:MSV
ASX:PRN
ASX:NWH
ASX:GNG
ASX:DRA
ASX:DCG
ASX:MAH
ASX:BOL
21.2x
14.4x
12.9x
12.1x
7.3x
3.1x
2.9x
2.8x
1.8x
1.0x
ASX:RDG
ASX:BSA
ASX:EGN
ASX:MND
ASX:ANG
ASX:PRN
ASX:EHL
ASX:BOL
ASX:MAH
ASX:DRA
Ticker Company Name
Market
Cap (m)
Open
Price
Close
Price
Week
High
Volume
Trend
EV/
EBITDA
EV/
EBIT
ASX:AJL AJ Lucas Group Limited 19 0.01 0.01 0.02 — 0.0% NM NM
ASX:ANG Austin Engineering Limited 163 0.28 0.28 0.29 — 0.0% 7.3x 9.0x
ASX:BPP Babylon Pump & Power Limited 12 0.01 0.01 0.01 — 0.0% NM NM
ASX:BLY Boart Longyear Group Ltd. 473 NA 1.60 1.60 ▲ 10.3% 5.1x 9.8x
ASX:BOL Boom Logistics Limited 53 0.13 0.13 0.13 ▼ -3.8% 2.8x 19.2x
ASX:BSA BSA Limited 43 NA 0.60 0.61 — 0.0% 14.4x NM
ASX:DDH DDH1 Limited 379 0.93 0.97 0.99 ▲ 4.3% 3.6x 6.6x
ASX:DCG Decmil Group Limited 26 0.17 0.17 0.18 ▼ -2.9% NM NM
ASX:DRA DRA Global Limited 77 1.45 1.40 1.47 ▼ -0.7% 1.0x 4.5x
ASX:EHL Emeco Holdings Limited 356 0.68 0.69 0.72 ▲ 1.5% 2.9x 8.1x
ASX:EGN Engenco Limited 129 NA 0.41 0.41 — 0.0% 12.9x 42.4x
ASX:GNG GR Engineering Services Limited 339 2.09 2.10 2.13 ▲ 0.5% 5.8x 6.6x
ASX:MAH Macmahon Holdings Limited 294 0.15 0.14 0.15 ▼ -3.4% 1.8x 5.7x
ASX:MYE Metarock Group Limited 42 0.14 0.14 0.15 ▲ 3.7% NM NM
ASX:MSV Mitchell Services Limited 94 0.41 0.43 0.45 ▲ 6.2% 5.1x NM
ASX:MND Monadelphous Group Limited 1,266 12.62 13.12 13.20 ▲ 4.3% 12.1x 18.6x
ASX:NWH NRW Holdings Limited 1,191 2.54 2.64 2.73 ▲ 4.3% 5.2x 8.9x
ASX:PRN Perenti Limited 836 1.16 1.23 1.25 ▲ 5.2% 3.1x 8.8x
ASX:RDG Resource Development Group Limited 144 0.05 0.05 0.05 ▲ 6.4% 21.2x 25.0x
Weekly change
(%)
LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation
This general information has been prepared by LCC Asia Pacific Pty. Limited ("LCC"). The research is based on public information
obtained from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. This report is not intended to be “sell side research” and does not
provide opinion or recommendation whatsoever. LCC Asia Pacific seeks to have commercial relationships with companies
mentioned in this report.
LCC does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability, completeness or suitability of any such information and makes no warranty,
guarantee or representation, expressly or impliedly about this research. LCC accepts no obligation to correct or update the
information. No opinion or recommendation is made within this research. Information in this market update is sourced from a
variety of data points including Capital IQ, News Outlets, the Australian Stock Exchange & company reports, media releases and
related content.
This report is not intended to be, nor should it be relied on, as a substitute for professional advice. This report should not be
relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision or planning, and LCC does not accept any responsibility on this basis for
actions made. © LCC Asia Pacific research@lccapac.com
Thanks to Freeman Liu who oversees the publication of this weekly market update.
LCC Asia Pacific is a boutique investment banking practice, providing independent
corporate finance & strategy advice to clients in Australia and across Asia Pacific
markets. We have acted for ambitious clients ranging from “emerging” companies,
up to Fortune 100 & “Mega” Asian listed entities.
LCC Asia Pacific provides clear, unbiased counsel to CEOs and Boards of Directors
considering growth strategies, business transformation and challenging corporate
decisions. We understand that to service such clients requires a high performance
approach, and a tenacity to deliver results.
LCC Asia Pacific
Engineering & Contracting
Important Information
About LCC Asia Pacific
lccasiapacific.com SYDNEY | BRISBANE | PERTH | NEW YORK
Page 7
LCC Asia Pacific's Sydney office is located on the lands of the Gadigal people and we both acknowledge them as Traditional
Owners and pay respects to Elders past, present & emerging.

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  • 1. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Edition Number: 505 Nicholas Assef Industry Lead naa@lccapac.com Joe Brereton Associate Director jmb@lccapac.com On Monday, commodity prices experienced a decline as China's economy reported slower growth than expected in the second quarter. This development has added to concerns about the lackluster recovery of Australia's largest export partner. The focus of market concern is now on whether Chinese authorities will announce significant economic stimulus measures to boost growth, which has been less robust than anticipated since the country emerged from strict COVID-19 lockdowns. As a result of the economic data, various commodity prices experienced a drop. Iron ore fell 1.1 percent to $112.60 per tonne on the July contract in Singapore, while copper led base metals lower on the London Metal Exchange, falling 0.9 percent to $8,598 per tonne. Additionally, the global benchmark Brent crude declined towards $79 per barrel after losing 1.8 percent on Friday. The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's economy expanded by 6.3 percent in the second quarter compared to the same period last year. This growth rate missed economist estimates of 7.1 percent growth, based on a Bloomberg survey. The slowdown was attributed to a notable drop in consumer spending and ongoing challenges in the property market. June's monthly indicators revealed a significant slide in retail sales, dropping to 3.1 percent year-on-year from 12.7 percent in May, along with weakening in the property market. While the urban jobless rate remained unchanged at 5.2 percent in June, the youth unemployment rate surged to 21.3 percent. Investors are eagerly awaiting the outcome of China's State Council and a Politburo meeting scheduled at the end of the month. During these meetings, authorities will review the country's economic performance in the first half of the year and potentially announce further stimulus measures. However, it is unlikely that the stimulus will match the magnitude of the infrastructure stimulus seen in the past. Chinese officials have already indicated a focus on green energy, such as wind and solar, and reducing the carbon intensity of GDP growth in their five-year plan through 2025. This shift may have implications for bulk commodities. Throughout the year, commodity prices have faced pressure due to China's weakness and global monetary tightening, which dampened demand expectations. Last week, there was speculation that Beijing would take steps to bolster the country's struggling property sector, leading to a temporary increase in prices. However, the measures taken so far appear insufficient to revive the property market's downturn. Investment in property development in China fell 7.9 percent in the first half, which was slightly worse than the forecasted 7.5 percent decline. For the resource sector, two key factors remain crucial: the direction of interest rates and the resilience of China's economy, given its significant role as a buyer of more than 50 percent of most commodities. As such, fund managers are closely monitoring the possibility of more stimulus announcements from China to support the resource sector. David Franklyn, who manages Argonaut Funds Management's natural resource fund, emphasised the importance of China's energy transition, with increased demand expected for metals like copper, lithium, and rare earth minerals in the long term. However, uncertainty remains about the extent of China's future economic injection and the potential for structural issues in the economy. As a result, many investors are cautious, keeping a significant portion of their assets in cash until there is greater clarity on US interest rates and China's stimulus measures. Source: Capital IQ; LCC Analysis Australian Market Macro Market Research Page 1 Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Commodity Prices Slip as China's Economic Growth Slows, Raising Concerns Week Ending: 21 July 2023
  • 2. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Australian Macroeconomic Update The S&P ASX 200 was relatively flat last week, rising 0.1% to end the week. The July RBA meeting minutes presented a detailed account of the Board’s deliberations and their assessment of risks. The case presented for raising the cash rate was familiar, centred on the strength of the labour market and upside risks to both wages and inflation. A mark of the economy’s resilience under intense interest rate pressures, the June labour force survey provided yet another robust and well-rounded update on the labour market. Of note, the average pace of employment growth remains virtually unchanged from last year – when Australia’s reopening ‘burst’ was in full flight and the unemployment rate now sits just 0.04ppts above the cycle low observed in October 2022. The detail also indicates recent job growth has been of high quality. Exhibit 3: Global Equities Index Total Return One Week Return Benchmark Exhibit 4: Global Equities Index Total Return Year to Date (YTD) Return Benchmark Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research Exhibit 5: Daily USD/AUD Exchange Rate Chart Exchange Rate over time (-1Y) Exhibit 6: Australian Yield Curve Yield Curve % Relative to Historic Benchmark Source: Capital IQ, Interactive Data Pricing Source: Capital IQ, Interactive Data Pricing Page 2 0.68 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 USD/AUD LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation 3.4 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.9 1.7 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.4 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 30Y Yield Curve (%) Current 1 Year Ago 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.1 (1.3) (1.7) FTSE 100 (GBP) Dow Jones Industrial Tokyo Price Index Straits Times S&P 500 S&P ASX 200 KOSPI 200 Index Hang Seng Index 19.6 18.1 17.6 6.3 3.9 2.8 0.8 (3.6) Tokyo Price Index S&P 500 KOSPI 200 Index Dow Jones Industrial S&P ASX 200 FTSE 100 (GBP) Straits Times Hang Seng Index
  • 3. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence, LCC Asia Pacific Research LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation LCC’s Engineering, Industrial Services & Innovation Index Key Charts -1.6 6.1 -20.0 -15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Total Return/Spread (%) Spread LCC Index S&P ASX 200 Exhibit 8: LCC’s Australian Engineering Index Total Return % Relative to the S&P ASX200 Benchmark Index Total Return and Spread Information (-1Y) Exhibit 9: LCC Engineering Index Price-to-Earnings Ratio Market Cap Weighted Current PE Ratio Over Time (-1Y) Exhibit 7: LCC Index Valuation Summary Combined Market Capitalisation Weighted Index, Last Twelve Months (LTM) Metric Current High Low Yr. Avg Yr. Change Total Return (1.6%) 22.2% (8.2%) 4.9% (1.6%) Dividend Yield 3.4% 3.7% 2.7% 3.1% (10.0%) Price/Earnings 19.4x 23.6x 16.6x 19.3x (15.6%) Price/Book 2.3x 3.0x 2.0x 2.5x 14.2% Exhibit 10: EV/EBITDA Index Valuation Dynamic Market Cap Weighted, LCC Index Sub-segments Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research Source: Capital IQ, LCC Asia Pacific Research Page 3 Beta (β): 1.19 19.4x 14.0x 16.0x 18.0x 20.0x 22.0x 24.0x 26.0x Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 P/E Ratio
  • 4. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Engineering Innovation Page 4 LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest) Note: constituents with nil values were excluded for the charts above Ticker News/ Event DUG DUG secures A$5 million in government grant funding for Geraldton HPC Campus. The first data hall will have a capacity of 400 petaflops of compute, enabling a thirteen-fold growth in DUG’s compute power once fully established. IMD Intelligent Monitoring Group Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 2.717489 million. VYS The Board of Vysarn is pleased to provide revised earnings guidance for FY2023. The Company forecasts to deliver Net Profit Before Tax (NPBT) of $6.8 million to $7 million in FY2023. 27.9% 18.5% 17.5% 12.1% 6.3% - - (1.6%) (4.6%) (6.2%) ASX:PV1 ASX:DUG ASX:AMX ASX:VYS ASX:MYG ASX:AEI ASX:K2F ASX:SDV ASX:MCE ASX:ASB 22.0x 20.2x 15.4x 13.8x 11.6x 9.2x 8.6x 8.5x 6.0x 5.4x ASX:MAD ASX:IMB ASX:MYG ASX:DUG ASX:ASB ASX:VYS ASX:IMD ASX:ORI ASX:AQN ASX:AMX Ticker Company Name Market Cap (m) Open Price Close Price Week High Volume Trend EV/ EBITDA EV/ EBIT ASX:AEI Aeris Environmental Ltd 6 0.03 0.03 0.03 — 0.0% NM NM ASX:AMX Aerometrex Limited 35 0.35 0.37 0.38 ▲ 17.5% 5.4x NM ASX:ALQ ALS Limited 5,485 11.25 11.33 11.74 ▲ 0.1% 10.9x 14.4x ASX:AQN Aquirian Limited 16 NA 0.20 0.21 ▲ 5.3% 6.0x 30.9x ASX:ASB Austal Limited 928 2.76 2.57 2.77 ▼ -6.2% 11.6x 28.2x ASX:DUG DUG Technology Ltd 182 1.38 1.54 1.62 ▲ 18.5% 13.8x 34.2x ASX:IMD Imdex Limited 971 1.91 1.92 1.95 — 0.0% 8.6x 12.4x ASX:IMB Intelligent Monitoring Group Limited 45 0.19 0.20 0.20 ▲ 2.6% 20.2x NM ASX:K2F K2fly Limited 18 NA 0.11 0.11 — 0.0% NM NM ASX:LBL LaserBond Limited 85 0.78 0.78 0.83 ▲ 1.3% 9.3x 14.2x ASX:MAD Mader Group Limited 1,194 5.91 5.97 6.15 ▲ 1.5% 22.0x 28.0x ASX:MCE Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd 56 0.27 0.26 0.28 ▼ -4.6% NM NM ASX:MYG Mayfield Group Holdings Limited 38 NA 0.42 0.42 ▲ 6.3% 15.4x 80.7x ASX:ORI Orica Limited 6,983 15.12 15.33 15.42 ▲ 1.3% 8.5x 12.9x ASX:PV1 Provaris Energy Ltd 48 0.07 0.09 0.09 ▲ 27.9% NM NM ASX:RUL RPMGlobal Holdings Limited 378 1.61 1.66 1.75 ▲ 2.5% NM NM ASX:SDV SciDev Limited 57 NA 0.30 0.32 ▼ -1.6% 10.4x 21.1x ASX:VYS Vysarn Limited 66 0.16 0.16 0.17 ▲ 12.1% 9.2x 24.4x Weekly change (%)
  • 5. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Industrial Engineering Services Page 5 LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Note: constituents with nil values were excluded for the charts above Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest) Ticker News/ Event GNP GenusPlus has entered into a 3-year Master Module Agreement (Master Module Agreement) with NBN Co pursuant to which nbn has awarded GenusPlus the N2P Evolution Module until 31 December 2025. The N2P Evolution Module contract value is worth approximately $28 million. SRG SRG Global Secures Specialist Facades Contract for the Frankston Hospital Redevelopment valued at ~$30m. The contract will start immediately and is expected to be complete in 2024. MIN Mineral Resources has amended the terms of the transactions signed with Albemarle Corporation. MinRes’ share of the Wodgina lithium mine will increase to 50% and MinRes will remain the operator of the mine.Albemarle will take full ownership of the Kemerton lithium hydroxide plant, which it currently operates. 10.0% 8.0% 6.3% 5.3% 4.3% (1.3%) (2.2%) (3.3%) (4.8%) (5.6%) ASX:DDB ASX:SSM ASX:SRG ASX:MGH ASX:GNP ASX:JLG ASX:SOP ASX:MIN ASX:VRS ASX:FWD 15.4x 14.0x 12.7x 12.1x 11.4x 6.0x 4.5x 4.4x 3.7x 2.8x ASX:WOR ASX:JLG ASX:FWD ASX:SSM ASX:MGH ASX:SRG ASX:IPL ASX:DDB ASX:VRS ASX:SXE Ticker Company Name Market Cap (m) Open Price Close Price Week High Volume Trend EV/ EBITDA EV/ EBIT ASX:ACF Acrow Formwork and Construction Services Limited 206 0.76 0.78 0.79 ▲ 0.6% 7.6x 12.7x ASX:CDD Cardno Limited 15 0.37 0.39 0.40 ▲ 2.7% NM 0.5x ASX:DOW Downer EDI Limited 3,077 4.58 4.59 4.66 ▲ 0.2% 9.5x 23.8x ASX:DUR Duratec Limited 294 1.19 1.21 1.26 ▲ 1.7% 9.5x 13.6x ASX:DDB Dynamic Group Holdings Limited 38 0.26 0.28 0.28 ▲ 10.0% 4.4x NM ASX:FWD Fleetwood Limited 207 2.37 2.20 2.42 ▼ -5.6% 12.7x NM ASX:GNP GenusPlus Group Limited 213 1.10 1.20 1.22 ▲ 4.3% 9.3x 17.1x ASX:IPL Incitec Pivot Limited 5,710 2.88 2.94 3.01 ▲ 2.4% 4.5x 5.8x ASX:JLG Johns Lyng Group Limited 1,465 5.38 5.32 5.42 ▼ -1.3% 14.0x 16.9x ASX:LYL Lycopodium Limited 402 9.81 10.07 10.18 ▲ 1.7% 6.4x 7.2x ASX:MGH MAAS Group Holdings Limited 851 2.47 2.60 2.79 ▲ 5.3% 11.4x 17.5x ASX:MIN Mineral Resources Limited 13,531 71.81 70.11 77.44 ▼ -3.3% 8.5x 11.3x ASX:SND Saunders International Limited 123 NA 1.13 1.13 ▲ 0.9% 6.1x 7.4x ASX:SSM Service Stream Limited 542 0.82 0.88 0.88 ▲ 8.0% 12.1x NM ASX:SXE Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited 173 0.64 0.66 0.67 ▲ 2.3% 2.8x 3.6x ASX:SRG SRG Global Limited 395 0.73 0.76 0.76 ▲ 6.3% 6.0x 10.8x ASX:SOP Synertec Corporation Limited 97 0.22 0.23 0.23 ▼ -2.2% NM NM ASX:VRS Veris Limited 40 0.08 0.08 0.08 ▼ -4.8% 3.7x 12.8x ASX:WOR Worley Limited 8,831 16.88 16.79 17.17 ▼ -0.5% 15.4x 21.8x Weekly change (%)
  • 6. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Mining Engineering Services Page 6 LCC Asia Pacific® report on Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation Note: constituents with nil values were excluded for the charts above Top 5/Bottom 5 Weekly Price Change Top 5/Bottom 5 EV/EBITDA Multiple (Latest) Ticker News/ Event MND Monadelphous Group announced it has secured new contracts and contract extensions totalling approximately $150 million. The Company has been awarded a contract with Fortescue Metals Group for the supply and construction of an overland conveyor and transfer station at the Christmas Creek mine site in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. DCG Decmil Group announced that its $26.3 million equity capital raising, comprising the issue of approximately 131.4 million Redeemable Convertible Preference Shares (‘RCPS’) at an issue price of $0.20 per RCPS, is fully subscribed. NWH NRW Holdings advised that its wholly owned subsidiary Golding Contractors has executed a Contract with the Toowoomba Regional Council (TRC) for works under the 2022 Flood Recovery Project. The contract is valued at circa $113 million and is structured on cost reimbursable basis. 10.3% 6.4% 6.2% 5.2% 4.3% 0.5% (0.7%) (2.9%) (3.4%) (3.8%) ASX:BLY ASX:RDG ASX:MSV ASX:PRN ASX:NWH ASX:GNG ASX:DRA ASX:DCG ASX:MAH ASX:BOL 21.2x 14.4x 12.9x 12.1x 7.3x 3.1x 2.9x 2.8x 1.8x 1.0x ASX:RDG ASX:BSA ASX:EGN ASX:MND ASX:ANG ASX:PRN ASX:EHL ASX:BOL ASX:MAH ASX:DRA Ticker Company Name Market Cap (m) Open Price Close Price Week High Volume Trend EV/ EBITDA EV/ EBIT ASX:AJL AJ Lucas Group Limited 19 0.01 0.01 0.02 — 0.0% NM NM ASX:ANG Austin Engineering Limited 163 0.28 0.28 0.29 — 0.0% 7.3x 9.0x ASX:BPP Babylon Pump & Power Limited 12 0.01 0.01 0.01 — 0.0% NM NM ASX:BLY Boart Longyear Group Ltd. 473 NA 1.60 1.60 ▲ 10.3% 5.1x 9.8x ASX:BOL Boom Logistics Limited 53 0.13 0.13 0.13 ▼ -3.8% 2.8x 19.2x ASX:BSA BSA Limited 43 NA 0.60 0.61 — 0.0% 14.4x NM ASX:DDH DDH1 Limited 379 0.93 0.97 0.99 ▲ 4.3% 3.6x 6.6x ASX:DCG Decmil Group Limited 26 0.17 0.17 0.18 ▼ -2.9% NM NM ASX:DRA DRA Global Limited 77 1.45 1.40 1.47 ▼ -0.7% 1.0x 4.5x ASX:EHL Emeco Holdings Limited 356 0.68 0.69 0.72 ▲ 1.5% 2.9x 8.1x ASX:EGN Engenco Limited 129 NA 0.41 0.41 — 0.0% 12.9x 42.4x ASX:GNG GR Engineering Services Limited 339 2.09 2.10 2.13 ▲ 0.5% 5.8x 6.6x ASX:MAH Macmahon Holdings Limited 294 0.15 0.14 0.15 ▼ -3.4% 1.8x 5.7x ASX:MYE Metarock Group Limited 42 0.14 0.14 0.15 ▲ 3.7% NM NM ASX:MSV Mitchell Services Limited 94 0.41 0.43 0.45 ▲ 6.2% 5.1x NM ASX:MND Monadelphous Group Limited 1,266 12.62 13.12 13.20 ▲ 4.3% 12.1x 18.6x ASX:NWH NRW Holdings Limited 1,191 2.54 2.64 2.73 ▲ 4.3% 5.2x 8.9x ASX:PRN Perenti Limited 836 1.16 1.23 1.25 ▲ 5.2% 3.1x 8.8x ASX:RDG Resource Development Group Limited 144 0.05 0.05 0.05 ▲ 6.4% 21.2x 25.0x Weekly change (%)
  • 7. LCC Asia Pacific Research | Australian Engineering, Industrial Services & Engineering Innovation This general information has been prepared by LCC Asia Pacific Pty. Limited ("LCC"). The research is based on public information obtained from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. This report is not intended to be “sell side research” and does not provide opinion or recommendation whatsoever. LCC Asia Pacific seeks to have commercial relationships with companies mentioned in this report. LCC does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability, completeness or suitability of any such information and makes no warranty, guarantee or representation, expressly or impliedly about this research. LCC accepts no obligation to correct or update the information. No opinion or recommendation is made within this research. Information in this market update is sourced from a variety of data points including Capital IQ, News Outlets, the Australian Stock Exchange & company reports, media releases and related content. This report is not intended to be, nor should it be relied on, as a substitute for professional advice. This report should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision or planning, and LCC does not accept any responsibility on this basis for actions made. © LCC Asia Pacific research@lccapac.com Thanks to Freeman Liu who oversees the publication of this weekly market update. LCC Asia Pacific is a boutique investment banking practice, providing independent corporate finance & strategy advice to clients in Australia and across Asia Pacific markets. We have acted for ambitious clients ranging from “emerging” companies, up to Fortune 100 & “Mega” Asian listed entities. LCC Asia Pacific provides clear, unbiased counsel to CEOs and Boards of Directors considering growth strategies, business transformation and challenging corporate decisions. We understand that to service such clients requires a high performance approach, and a tenacity to deliver results. LCC Asia Pacific Engineering & Contracting Important Information About LCC Asia Pacific lccasiapacific.com SYDNEY | BRISBANE | PERTH | NEW YORK Page 7 LCC Asia Pacific's Sydney office is located on the lands of the Gadigal people and we both acknowledge them as Traditional Owners and pay respects to Elders past, present & emerging.