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Student Charge for UWP Case
Venkat Rao
Melanie Stambaugh
Jessica Hendrawidjaja
Kyle Bartlow
URBAN WATER PARTNERS
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
3 year return = 2.55X = 155%
5 year return = 9.77X = 877%
7 year return = 20.63X = 1,963%
URBAN WATER PARTNERS
$200,000 investment
for a 20% equity stake in UWP
YIELD
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
SOLUTION OVERVIEW
Provide Clean Water through
existing channels
Utilize Slow-Sand Filter &
mobile banking technology
Expand UWP to more urban
cities
Enrich public health
while growing &
sustaining a profitable
business
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
TANZANIA
Dar es Salaam Population: 2.8
million
Positive attitude towards
FDI
90% can’t access tap
water
Waterborne pathogens cause
~1.7 million deaths/year
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
UWP MODEL
Legal
Connection
Safe Drinking
Water
UWP
1 Tech.= 20 vendors
1 Filter = 1 Vendor
1 Vendor = 150 Cons.
Vendor keeps 20%
of revenue
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
SLOW SAND FILTRATION
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
SLOW SAND FILTRATION
ADVANTAGES
• Simple design, no power, little
maintenance
• Recognized as the superior
surface water filtration
system
• Removes over 99% harmful
bacteria & viruses from water.
DISADVANTAGES
• Slower filtration rate than
some other methods
• Necessary to perform "wet
harrowing” and maintain the
Smutzdecke
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
FILTER MANUFACTURING
Price per filter drops to $295
Hire locals and maintain Blue Future support
FUTURE
Open a manufacturing plant in the Temeke District of
Dar es Salaam
PRESENT
Working with Blue Future for manufacturing ($445)
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
Fast Sand
Filtration
Boiling Distillation UV
Irradiation
Reverse
Osmosis
Slow Sand
Filtration
Cost
Power
Maintenance
Effectiveness
Filtration
Speed
ALTERNATIVE FILTRATION METHODS
= Excellent= Fair= Poor
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
MOBILE BANKING – Tanzanian Market
Strong User
Base
• 9.2 million
registered
mobile payment
users
• Only 12% of
population has a
formal bank
account
High Value
Proposition
• Minimum
risk in
comparison
to holding
cash
Growth
Opportunity
• 97% of
population
has access
to mobile
device
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
56.78 TZS
106.78 TZS
MOBILE BANKING – How It Works
Acc. Balance:
100 TZS
Acc. Balance:
50 TZS
(56.78 TZS)
43.22 TZS
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
VENDORCONSUMER
EXPANSION
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
Stability
Need for
Purification
System
Population
Water
Connections
Vendor
Access
Mobile
Banking
TOTAL
Lusaka 5 3 3 5 3 5 24
Maputo 3 3 3 5 4 4 22
Accra 4 5 4 2 3 2 20
Nairobi 5 5 4 2 1 3 20
Kampala 1 5 3 4 3 3 19
Kinshasa 1 5 4 3 3 1 17
Maseru 4 1 1 4 5 1 16
Kaduna 3 3 2 3 3 2 16
Johannesburg 5 3 1 1 1 3 14
CITY ANALYSIS
Weakest Fit 1 5 Strongest Fit
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE
• Located close to Tanzania
• 43% population have
access to water
• CPI : 2.7
• Ease of Business : 126
Steady Improvement
• Mobile Banking :
Top 3 mobile banking carriers
located in country
CPI: Corruption Perception Index
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
LUSAKA, ZAMBIA
• Located close to Tanzania
• Efficient train route from
Tanzania
• CPI : 3
• Ease of Business : 76
Rapidly Improving
• Mobile Banking :
Largest cellular use in country
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
RISKS INVOLVED
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
Filter Damage
Underreporting
Corruption/Bribes
Currency Risk
Quality Control
Incentive Program
Filter Meters
Develop local
relationships
Hedging with
Forwards
Testing Program
Avoiding Under-Reporting
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
Because of
revenue sharing
agreement,
vendors may be
tempted to
under-report
To prevent this
meters will be
installed on
every filter to
measure output
Technicians will
check meters on
regular basis and
meters can only
be removed or
reset by key
Vendors billed
80% of what
meter reports
MITIGATING FILTER DAMAGE
Due to risk of damaged or abused
filters maintenance costs could
increase by almost 30%
Vendors are made aware that costs
saved by keeping filters operational
will be returned to them by UWP
Giving incentives will lessen but not
eliminate risk, maintenance costs
now estimated at a 15% increase
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 & 5 Year 6 & 7
Total
3000 Filters
Implement
50 Filters
Total
2000 Filters
Open
Manufacturing
Plant
Market
Analysis for
Expansion
Enter Lusaka
& Maputo
Evaluate
Current
Strategy
Target New
Cities for
expansion
Evaluate
Meter System
TIMELINE
What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
FINANCIALS – Key Assumptions
• $400k CapEx in year 2 for local manufacturing facility (15yr straight-line dep)
• 20% sales commission to vendors
• $45 added cost per filter for meters
Cost Drivers
• Underreporting : 10% of gross revenue
• Filter misuse : 15% increase in base filter maintenance costs
• Corruption : 15% of gross revenue
Risk Factors
Growth Rates
Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Growth Rate 25% 50% 35% 15%
Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
PRO FORMA - Income Statement
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Gross Revenues 219,000$ 8,760,000$ 13,140,000$
Cost of Sales (43,800)$ (1,752,000)$ (2,628,000)$
Net Revenues 175,200$ 7,008,000$ 10,512,000$
Operating Expenses (251,783)$ (1,248,000)$ (1,745,567)$
Risk Related Costs (55,500)$ (2,220,000)$ (3,330,000)$
EBIT (132,083)$ 3,540,000$ 5,436,433$
Interest Expense -$ (100,000)$ -$
Profit Before Tax (132,083)$ 3,440,000$ 5,436,433$
Income Tax Expense 39,625$ (1,032,000)$ (1,630,930)$
Net Income (92,458)$ 2,408,000$ 3,805,503$
Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
PRO FORMA – Cash Flow Statement
Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Net Cash from Operating Activities (86,975)$ 2,577,000$ 4,041,670$
Net Cash from Investing Activities (42,250)$ (1,467,750)$ (532,500)$
Net Cash from Financing Activities 200,000$ -$ -$
Free Cash Flow 70,775$ 1,109,250$ 3,509,170$
Ending Cash Balance 70,775$ 1,180,025$ 4,689,195$
$200k Investment for 20% Equity Stake
3 year return
= $510k
3 year return
= 2.55X
3 year return
= 155%
5 year return
= $1.535M
5 year return
= 9.77X
5 year return
= 877%
7 year return
= $2.562M
7 year return
= 20.63X
7 year return
= 1,963%
THE OPPORTUNITY
Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
-500.00%
0.00%
500.00%
1000.00%
1500.00%
2000.00%
2500.00%
3 year 5 year 7 year
InvestorReturn
10%
12%
15%
20%
30%
Even if underreporting is
rampant, there is an 7X return
by year 7
Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
Sensitivity Analysis – Underreporting
Business Model & Execution
Existing
Infrastructure
---------
Utilize current
vendors, mobile
payment
Slow-Sand Filters
---------
Most effective
method
Expansion
---------
Mupato
& Lusaka
Need for Clean Water
Low Accessibility
Lack of Affordable
Options
Risks & Returns
Risks
---------
Filter Damage,
under-reporting,
bribes, currency
risk, quality
Mitigation
---------
Incentives, meters,
education,
hedging, quality
control
Return
---------
3 Yr = 2.55X
5 Yr = 9.77X
7 Yr = 20.63X
SUMMARY
APPENDIX
Presentation:
Introduction
What We Do
Investment
Solution Overview
Tanzania Profile
UWP Distro Model
Slow Sand Filtration
Slow Sand Pros Cons
Filter Manufacture
Alternatives Matrix
Mobile Payments
Mobile – How it Works
Expansion
Expansion Alternatives
Maputo
Lusaka
Risks
Meter System
Vendor Incentive Program
Timeline
Financial Assumptions
Income Statement
Cash Flow Statement
Returns
Sensitivity - Underreporting
Summary
Biz Model:
Other Filtration Methods
City Data
Temeke Warehouse
Competition
Competitive Pricing
Seed Filter
Mobile Payment Adoption
Mobile Carrier Mkt Share
Mobile Banking Success
Mobile Banking Tariffs
Mobile Banking Regulation
Risks:
Corruption
Quality Control
Currency Risk
Financials:
Sensitivity – Corruption
Sensitivity – Filter Misuse
Sensitivity Analysis - Growth
Sensitivity Analysis - customers
Cost of Capital
Detailed Income Statement
Detailed Cash Flow Statement
CapEx Assumptions
Depreciation Assumptions
Revenue Assumptions
Investor Returns
Self-Sufficiency
Alternative Filtration Methods
• Fast Sand Filtration
– Usually only cost effective for serving a population over 30,000
– water must be pre treated before filtration
– faster filtration
– uses less area, sand, less sensitive to water quality
– much greater maintenance
– Cannot remove bacteria
• Boiling
– cost of charcoal
• UV irradiation
– Expensive to set up
– Electricity required
– Water must be somewhat clear before starting
• Distillation
– bacteria or particles can find their way into collected water
• Reverse osmosis
– expensive membrane
– Membrane hard to maintain. gets clogged with dirty water.
City Data
• South Africa, Johannesburg
• stability: high
• water need: medium
• Population: 5m
• Household sellers: 0
• mobile banking implemented
• Water connection rate: 88%
• Ghana, Accra
• stability: high (with past fluctuation)
• water need: high
• Population: 4.5 million
• Household sellers: yes
• mobile banking expansion -zap
• Water connection rate: 56%
• Kenya, Nairobi (no resellers)
• stability: high
• water need: high
• Population: 4 million
• Household sellers: 0
• Water connection rate: 51%
• mobile banking implemented
• Mozambique, Maputo
• stability: high
• water need: medium
• Population: 1.4 million
• Household seller rate: 26%
• Water connection rate: 26%
• mobile banking expansion-2010
• multiple m-banking options
• DR Congo, Kinshasa
• stability: low
• water need: high
• Population: 10m
• mobile banking expanding-volatile
• Household sellers: yes
• Water connection rate: 36%
• Lesotho, Maseru
• stability: high (high past fluctuation)
• water need: low
• Population: 300,000
• Household seller rate: 31%
• Water connection rate: 33%
• mobile banking-not lucrative yet
• Uganda, Kampala
• stability: low
• water need: high
• Population: 1.5m
• Household sellers: yes
• Water connection rate: 30%
• Mobile banking expansion
• Nigeria, Kaduna
• stability: medium
• water need: medium
• Population: 760,084
• Water connection rate: 48%
• Household sellers: yes
• mobile banking-infancy
• Zambia, Lusaka
• stability: medium
• water need: medium
• Population: 1.75 million
• household connection: 27%
• household sellers: yes
• Great mobile banking potential!
• mobile banking expansion
Temeke Warehouse
• Staff of ten includes
management and workers
• Once warehouse is up and
running will be self-
sufficient
• Every filter checked for
quality before transport
• Location provides access in
Tanzania but also to
neighboring countries by
road and rail
High
High
Health
Benefit
Low
Low
Affordability
UWP
TANZANIQUA
WATERGUARD
FILTERPURE
COMPETITION
• Siphon Filter: focus on hygienic usability
• Flexible market
• Market: low to middle class
• Still a pilot project; need approval from Tanzanian
government to sell the filter
• Natural taste, soil taste
• Flow rate: 4-5L/hour
• Filter capacity: 7,000 L = 1 year
• Expensive:
– Complete filter: 7-11 Euro = 15,156 – 23,817 TZS
– Replacement: 2 Euro= 4,330.5 TZS
TANZANIAQUA
TANZANIAQUA
• Price: 7.5 TZS/litre
• A household uses approx. 10 litres of drinking water/day
• Collaborate with Ministry of Health & Social Welfare and the
Ministry of Water & Irrigation
• Simple, safe, low cost chlorine based household water
treatment
• Liquid – common in urban areas; tablet – in rural area ( ease
of transportation & longer shelf life)
• Chemical taste & odor, burns throat
• Ads targeting women: supported by local & national radio
spots
• Ineffective at killing some parasites and can lose effectiveness
when used with highly turbid water
WATERGUARD
WATERGUARD
• Ceramic water filtration
• Point of Use method: easy to use
• Maintenance: boil the filter every 3 months
• Low flow rates:
– Ideally: 1-3 liters/hour
– Actual flow rates 0.2L/hour
• Effective useful life: 5 years
• High Cost production to maintain quality
FILTERPURE
FILTERPURE
Methods of Purification Per liter
Slow-sand filters $0.08
Bottled Water $0.12 - $0.30
Charcoal boiling $0.50
Waterguard $0.13
Competitive-Pricing
MORINGA OLEIFERA Water Treatment
• Powder helps lower Turbidity of water
• The harvest of a mature single tree (3 kg) will
treat just above 30,000 liters of water.
• For 450,000 liters a day you would need the
harvest of 5,500 trees
• 16,500 kg/ 2.2= 7,500pounds
• 10$ per pound*7,500pounds: $75,000 in year
3
MOBILE BANKING – How It Works
Register and open an account
Deposit money at an approved
outlet
Use the mobile payment menu on
your cellphone to send money
Technology adoption for select innovations (number years to reach 80% coverage)
Technology Adoption
MOBILE BANKING Potential Competition
• Safaricom-Grundfos LIFELINK
Partnership
• Purchase water via M-PESA
• Smart card used to access
water
• Complex payment/water
retrieval system
• Non-conventional
• High set-up costs due to location
differences
ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
MOBILE BANKING – Market Share
42%
28%
8%
22%
TIGO
M-PESA
ZAP
ZANTEL
VODACOM
ZAIN
TigoPeza
Z-PEZA
MOBILE BANKING SUCCESS
KENYA
SOUTH AFRICA
• Largest use of Mobile Banking on
continent
• Provides options for both bank/non-bank
account holders
• M-PESA grew by 61% (2009-2010)
• Socially accepted: “M-PESA Me”
• Only form of payment at select
locations
LUSAKA MOBILE BANKING SUBSCRIBER
Total net tariff rates for depositing and sending money by Postapay
and by M‐PESA to a registered user and to a non‐registered user
Mobile Payment;Tariff Costs
Bank of Tanzania
--------
Financial
Transactions
Tanzania
Communication
Regulatory
Authority
--------
Communication
Infrastructure
Less Fraud
Improved
Security
Comprehensive
Legislation by
EOY
MOBILE BANKING – Regulations & Security
• Many local leaders will attempt to extract bribes
for information or permission to operate
• Educate local leaders on social mission of
company: eliminate disease, provide clean water,
stimulate business, etc.
• Local workers are less likely to be asked for bribes
• Gain support of government and port authority
DEALING WITH BRIBES
• Brand image will diminish if quality degrades
• Technicians must file weekly quality checks on
each filter in their area
• Any filter that does not pass quality check will
be immediately disabled and an investigation
will take place
QUALITY CONTROL
USD/TZS
• Use forwards swaps  a series of forward
contracts
• Locks in exchange at current forward rate. Less
exposed to risk related to currency exchange
rate volatility
How can we mitigate this risk?
CURRENCY RISK
-500.00%
0.00%
500.00%
1000.00%
1500.00%
2000.00%
2500.00%
3 year 5 year 7 year
InvestorReturn
10%
12%
15%
20%
30%
Even if corruption is at an
extreme, there is a 7X return
by year 7
Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
Sensitivity Analysis – Corruption
0.00%
500.00%
1000.00%
1500.00%
2000.00%
2500.00%
3 year 5 year 7 year
InvestorReturn
15%
17%
20%
25%
35%
Large changes in filter misuse
do not have a large impact on
investor return
Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
Sensitivity Analysis – Filter Misuse
Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Growth Rate (conservative) 5% 10% 8% 6%
10% 20% 15% 8%
15% 30% 22% 10%
20% 40% 29% 12%
Growth Rate (projected) 25% 50% 35% 15%
-500.00%
0.00%
500.00%
1000.00%
1500.00%
2000.00%
3 year 5 year 7 year
InvestorReturn
Series1
Series2
Series3
Series4
Series5
Even with conservative
growth rates there is a
12X return by year 7
Sensitivity Analysis – Growth Rates
Even with an extremely low
amount of customers there
is a 5X return by year 7
-500000
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
3 year 5 year 7 year
150 customers
130 customers
120 customers
110 customers
100 customers
80 customers
Sensitivity Analysis – # of Customers
Beta 0.689
Risk-free rate 3.46%
Return on market 6.84%
K(e): 8.17%
Interest Rate 10.00%
K(d): 10.00%
Total Debt Weight 13.30%
Total Equity Weight 86.70%
Cost of Debt 10.00%
Cost of Equity 8.17%
Tax Rate 40%
K: 7.88%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Cost of Equity Capital
Cost of Debt Capital
COST OF CAPITAL
Pro Forma
Income
Statement
(detailed)
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Revenue
Vendors 50 2,000 3,000
Customers per vendor 150 150 150
Total customers 7,500 300,000 450,000
Liters per day 1 1 1
Cost per liter 0 0 0
Days 365 365 365
Total Revenue 219,000 8,760,000 13,140,000
Vendor Revenue Share (43,800) (1,752,000) (2,628,000)
Net Revenue 175,200 7,008,000 10,512,000
Operating Costs
Technician Salary 3,600 120,000 180,000
Management Salary 120,000 325,000 400,000
Sales Staff 0 36,000 36,000
Filter Testing 5,200 208,000 312,000
Filter Maintanence 5,000 200,000 300,000
Marketing 10,000 25,000 40,000
Brand Ambassador 100,000 100,000 131,400
Vehicle Operations 2,500 65,000 110,000
Depreciation Expense 5,483 169,000 236,167
Total Operating Costs (251,783) (1,248,000) (1,745,567)
Total Operating Income (76,583) 5,760,000 8,766,433
Risk Related Costs
Underreporting 21,900 876,000 1,314,000
Filter Misuse 750 30,000 45,000
Corruption Costs 32,850 1,314,000 1,971,000
Total Risk Cost (55,500) (2,220,000) (3,330,000)
Interest Expense 0 (100,000) 0
Profit Before Tax (132,083) 3,440,000 5,436,433
Income Tax Expense 39,625 (1,032,000) (1,630,930)
Net Income (92,458) 2,408,000 3,805,503
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Net Income (92,458.33)$ 2,408,000.00$ 3,805,503.33$
Add back Depreciation 5,483$ 169,000$ 236,167$
Net Cash from Operating Activities (86,975.00)$ 2,577,000.00$ 4,041,670.00$
Cash Flow from Investing Activities
Capital Expenditures (42,250)$ (1,467,750)$ (532,500)$
Net Cash from Investing Activities (42,250)$ (1,467,750)$ (532,500)$
Cash Flow from Financing Activities
Payments of debt -$ (1,000,000)$ -$
Equity Investment 200,000$ -$ -$
Proceeds from debt 1,000,000$ -$
Net Cash from Financing Activities 200,000$ -$ -$
Free Cash Flow 70,775.00$ 1,109,250.00$ 3,509,170.00$
Ending Cash Balance 70,775.00$ 1,180,025.00$ 4,689,195.00$
Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement (detailed)
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Manufacturing Plant 0 400,000 0
Slowsand Filters
Number installed 50 1,950 1,000
Cost per filter 445 295 295
Total expenditure 22,250 575,250 295,000
Technician Motorcylces
Number 3 97 50
Cost per motorcycle 2,500 2,500 2,500
Total Expenditure 7,500 242,500 125,000
Flatbed Trucks
Number 1 20 9
Cost per truck 12,500 12,500 12,500
Total Expenditure 12,500 250,000 112,500
Total CapEx 42,250 1,467,750 532,500
CapEx Assumptions
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Assumption
Depreciation Expense (Filters) 1483.3 39833.3 59500.0 15 yr straight line
Depreciation Expense (Vehicles) 4000.0 102500.0 150000.0 5 yr straight line
Depreciation Expense (Plant) 0.0 26666.7 26666.7 15 yr straight line
Depreciation Expense (Total) 5483.3 169000.0 236166.7
Accumulated Depreciation 5483.3 174483.3 410650.0
Depreciation Assumptions
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Revenue
Vendors 50 2000 3000
Customers per Vendor 150 150 150
Total Customers 7500 300000 450000
Liters per day 1 1 1
Cost per liter 0.08 0.08 0.08
Days 365 365 365
Total Revenue 219000 8760000 13140000
Vendor Revenue Share 43800 1752000 2628000
Net Revenue 175200 7008000 10512000
Revenue Assumptions
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Free Cash Flow 65,291.67$ 940,250.00$ 3,273,003.33$ 4,091,254.17$ 6,136,881.25$ 8,284,789.69$ 9,527,508.14$
Investor Share (20%) 13,058.33$ 188,050.00$ 654,600.67$ 818,250.83$ 1,227,376.25$ 1,656,957.94$ 1,905,501.63$
Initial Investment (200,000)$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$
Net Return (186,941.67)$ 188,050.00$ 654,600.67$ 818,250.83$ 1,227,376.25$ 1,656,957.94$ 1,905,501.63$
NPV (3 years) $509,673.87
NPV (5 years) $1,953,781.06
NPV (7 years) $4,125,461.99
Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Growth Rate 25% 50% 35% 15%
INVESTORS RETURN
$4,689,195 FCF in Year 3
• $400k for manufacturing facility
• $1200k for filters
• $500k for motorcycles
• $526k for trucks
• Total = $2,626,000
CapEx in Years 4 & 5
FCF can fund to projects and CapEx moving forward,
while Sales will easily cover Operating Expenses.
NO NEW DEBT OR EQUITY needed.
SELF-SUFFICIENCY

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UWP with Charge

  • 2. Venkat Rao Melanie Stambaugh Jessica Hendrawidjaja Kyle Bartlow
  • 3.
  • 4. URBAN WATER PARTNERS What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 5. 3 year return = 2.55X = 155% 5 year return = 9.77X = 877% 7 year return = 20.63X = 1,963% URBAN WATER PARTNERS $200,000 investment for a 20% equity stake in UWP YIELD What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 6. SOLUTION OVERVIEW Provide Clean Water through existing channels Utilize Slow-Sand Filter & mobile banking technology Expand UWP to more urban cities Enrich public health while growing & sustaining a profitable business What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 7. TANZANIA Dar es Salaam Population: 2.8 million Positive attitude towards FDI 90% can’t access tap water Waterborne pathogens cause ~1.7 million deaths/year What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 8. UWP MODEL Legal Connection Safe Drinking Water UWP 1 Tech.= 20 vendors 1 Filter = 1 Vendor 1 Vendor = 150 Cons. Vendor keeps 20% of revenue What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 9. SLOW SAND FILTRATION What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 10. SLOW SAND FILTRATION ADVANTAGES • Simple design, no power, little maintenance • Recognized as the superior surface water filtration system • Removes over 99% harmful bacteria & viruses from water. DISADVANTAGES • Slower filtration rate than some other methods • Necessary to perform "wet harrowing” and maintain the Smutzdecke What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 11. FILTER MANUFACTURING Price per filter drops to $295 Hire locals and maintain Blue Future support FUTURE Open a manufacturing plant in the Temeke District of Dar es Salaam PRESENT Working with Blue Future for manufacturing ($445) What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 12. Fast Sand Filtration Boiling Distillation UV Irradiation Reverse Osmosis Slow Sand Filtration Cost Power Maintenance Effectiveness Filtration Speed ALTERNATIVE FILTRATION METHODS = Excellent= Fair= Poor What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 13. MOBILE BANKING – Tanzanian Market Strong User Base • 9.2 million registered mobile payment users • Only 12% of population has a formal bank account High Value Proposition • Minimum risk in comparison to holding cash Growth Opportunity • 97% of population has access to mobile device What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 14. 56.78 TZS 106.78 TZS MOBILE BANKING – How It Works Acc. Balance: 100 TZS Acc. Balance: 50 TZS (56.78 TZS) 43.22 TZS What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks VENDORCONSUMER
  • 15. EXPANSION What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 16. Stability Need for Purification System Population Water Connections Vendor Access Mobile Banking TOTAL Lusaka 5 3 3 5 3 5 24 Maputo 3 3 3 5 4 4 22 Accra 4 5 4 2 3 2 20 Nairobi 5 5 4 2 1 3 20 Kampala 1 5 3 4 3 3 19 Kinshasa 1 5 4 3 3 1 17 Maseru 4 1 1 4 5 1 16 Kaduna 3 3 2 3 3 2 16 Johannesburg 5 3 1 1 1 3 14 CITY ANALYSIS Weakest Fit 1 5 Strongest Fit What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 17. MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE • Located close to Tanzania • 43% population have access to water • CPI : 2.7 • Ease of Business : 126 Steady Improvement • Mobile Banking : Top 3 mobile banking carriers located in country CPI: Corruption Perception Index What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 18. LUSAKA, ZAMBIA • Located close to Tanzania • Efficient train route from Tanzania • CPI : 3 • Ease of Business : 76 Rapidly Improving • Mobile Banking : Largest cellular use in country What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 19. RISKS INVOLVED What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks Filter Damage Underreporting Corruption/Bribes Currency Risk Quality Control Incentive Program Filter Meters Develop local relationships Hedging with Forwards Testing Program
  • 20. Avoiding Under-Reporting What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks Because of revenue sharing agreement, vendors may be tempted to under-report To prevent this meters will be installed on every filter to measure output Technicians will check meters on regular basis and meters can only be removed or reset by key Vendors billed 80% of what meter reports
  • 21. MITIGATING FILTER DAMAGE Due to risk of damaged or abused filters maintenance costs could increase by almost 30% Vendors are made aware that costs saved by keeping filters operational will be returned to them by UWP Giving incentives will lessen but not eliminate risk, maintenance costs now estimated at a 15% increase
  • 22. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 & 5 Year 6 & 7 Total 3000 Filters Implement 50 Filters Total 2000 Filters Open Manufacturing Plant Market Analysis for Expansion Enter Lusaka & Maputo Evaluate Current Strategy Target New Cities for expansion Evaluate Meter System TIMELINE What We Do Analysis Tanzania Strategy Expansion Risks
  • 23. FINANCIALS – Key Assumptions • $400k CapEx in year 2 for local manufacturing facility (15yr straight-line dep) • 20% sales commission to vendors • $45 added cost per filter for meters Cost Drivers • Underreporting : 10% of gross revenue • Filter misuse : 15% increase in base filter maintenance costs • Corruption : 15% of gross revenue Risk Factors Growth Rates Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Growth Rate 25% 50% 35% 15% Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
  • 24. PRO FORMA - Income Statement Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Gross Revenues 219,000$ 8,760,000$ 13,140,000$ Cost of Sales (43,800)$ (1,752,000)$ (2,628,000)$ Net Revenues 175,200$ 7,008,000$ 10,512,000$ Operating Expenses (251,783)$ (1,248,000)$ (1,745,567)$ Risk Related Costs (55,500)$ (2,220,000)$ (3,330,000)$ EBIT (132,083)$ 3,540,000$ 5,436,433$ Interest Expense -$ (100,000)$ -$ Profit Before Tax (132,083)$ 3,440,000$ 5,436,433$ Income Tax Expense 39,625$ (1,032,000)$ (1,630,930)$ Net Income (92,458)$ 2,408,000$ 3,805,503$ Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
  • 25. PRO FORMA – Cash Flow Statement Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Net Cash from Operating Activities (86,975)$ 2,577,000$ 4,041,670$ Net Cash from Investing Activities (42,250)$ (1,467,750)$ (532,500)$ Net Cash from Financing Activities 200,000$ -$ -$ Free Cash Flow 70,775$ 1,109,250$ 3,509,170$ Ending Cash Balance 70,775$ 1,180,025$ 4,689,195$
  • 26. $200k Investment for 20% Equity Stake 3 year return = $510k 3 year return = 2.55X 3 year return = 155% 5 year return = $1.535M 5 year return = 9.77X 5 year return = 877% 7 year return = $2.562M 7 year return = 20.63X 7 year return = 1,963% THE OPPORTUNITY Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline
  • 27. -500.00% 0.00% 500.00% 1000.00% 1500.00% 2000.00% 2500.00% 3 year 5 year 7 year InvestorReturn 10% 12% 15% 20% 30% Even if underreporting is rampant, there is an 7X return by year 7 Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline Sensitivity Analysis – Underreporting
  • 28. Business Model & Execution Existing Infrastructure --------- Utilize current vendors, mobile payment Slow-Sand Filters --------- Most effective method Expansion --------- Mupato & Lusaka Need for Clean Water Low Accessibility Lack of Affordable Options Risks & Returns Risks --------- Filter Damage, under-reporting, bribes, currency risk, quality Mitigation --------- Incentives, meters, education, hedging, quality control Return --------- 3 Yr = 2.55X 5 Yr = 9.77X 7 Yr = 20.63X SUMMARY
  • 29.
  • 30. APPENDIX Presentation: Introduction What We Do Investment Solution Overview Tanzania Profile UWP Distro Model Slow Sand Filtration Slow Sand Pros Cons Filter Manufacture Alternatives Matrix Mobile Payments Mobile – How it Works Expansion Expansion Alternatives Maputo Lusaka Risks Meter System Vendor Incentive Program Timeline Financial Assumptions Income Statement Cash Flow Statement Returns Sensitivity - Underreporting Summary Biz Model: Other Filtration Methods City Data Temeke Warehouse Competition Competitive Pricing Seed Filter Mobile Payment Adoption Mobile Carrier Mkt Share Mobile Banking Success Mobile Banking Tariffs Mobile Banking Regulation Risks: Corruption Quality Control Currency Risk Financials: Sensitivity – Corruption Sensitivity – Filter Misuse Sensitivity Analysis - Growth Sensitivity Analysis - customers Cost of Capital Detailed Income Statement Detailed Cash Flow Statement CapEx Assumptions Depreciation Assumptions Revenue Assumptions Investor Returns Self-Sufficiency
  • 31. Alternative Filtration Methods • Fast Sand Filtration – Usually only cost effective for serving a population over 30,000 – water must be pre treated before filtration – faster filtration – uses less area, sand, less sensitive to water quality – much greater maintenance – Cannot remove bacteria • Boiling – cost of charcoal • UV irradiation – Expensive to set up – Electricity required – Water must be somewhat clear before starting • Distillation – bacteria or particles can find their way into collected water • Reverse osmosis – expensive membrane – Membrane hard to maintain. gets clogged with dirty water.
  • 32. City Data • South Africa, Johannesburg • stability: high • water need: medium • Population: 5m • Household sellers: 0 • mobile banking implemented • Water connection rate: 88% • Ghana, Accra • stability: high (with past fluctuation) • water need: high • Population: 4.5 million • Household sellers: yes • mobile banking expansion -zap • Water connection rate: 56% • Kenya, Nairobi (no resellers) • stability: high • water need: high • Population: 4 million • Household sellers: 0 • Water connection rate: 51% • mobile banking implemented • Mozambique, Maputo • stability: high • water need: medium • Population: 1.4 million • Household seller rate: 26% • Water connection rate: 26% • mobile banking expansion-2010 • multiple m-banking options • DR Congo, Kinshasa • stability: low • water need: high • Population: 10m • mobile banking expanding-volatile • Household sellers: yes • Water connection rate: 36% • Lesotho, Maseru • stability: high (high past fluctuation) • water need: low • Population: 300,000 • Household seller rate: 31% • Water connection rate: 33% • mobile banking-not lucrative yet • Uganda, Kampala • stability: low • water need: high • Population: 1.5m • Household sellers: yes • Water connection rate: 30% • Mobile banking expansion • Nigeria, Kaduna • stability: medium • water need: medium • Population: 760,084 • Water connection rate: 48% • Household sellers: yes • mobile banking-infancy • Zambia, Lusaka • stability: medium • water need: medium • Population: 1.75 million • household connection: 27% • household sellers: yes • Great mobile banking potential! • mobile banking expansion
  • 33. Temeke Warehouse • Staff of ten includes management and workers • Once warehouse is up and running will be self- sufficient • Every filter checked for quality before transport • Location provides access in Tanzania but also to neighboring countries by road and rail
  • 35. • Siphon Filter: focus on hygienic usability • Flexible market • Market: low to middle class • Still a pilot project; need approval from Tanzanian government to sell the filter • Natural taste, soil taste • Flow rate: 4-5L/hour • Filter capacity: 7,000 L = 1 year • Expensive: – Complete filter: 7-11 Euro = 15,156 – 23,817 TZS – Replacement: 2 Euro= 4,330.5 TZS TANZANIAQUA
  • 37. • Price: 7.5 TZS/litre • A household uses approx. 10 litres of drinking water/day • Collaborate with Ministry of Health & Social Welfare and the Ministry of Water & Irrigation • Simple, safe, low cost chlorine based household water treatment • Liquid – common in urban areas; tablet – in rural area ( ease of transportation & longer shelf life) • Chemical taste & odor, burns throat • Ads targeting women: supported by local & national radio spots • Ineffective at killing some parasites and can lose effectiveness when used with highly turbid water WATERGUARD
  • 39. • Ceramic water filtration • Point of Use method: easy to use • Maintenance: boil the filter every 3 months • Low flow rates: – Ideally: 1-3 liters/hour – Actual flow rates 0.2L/hour • Effective useful life: 5 years • High Cost production to maintain quality FILTERPURE
  • 41. Methods of Purification Per liter Slow-sand filters $0.08 Bottled Water $0.12 - $0.30 Charcoal boiling $0.50 Waterguard $0.13 Competitive-Pricing
  • 42. MORINGA OLEIFERA Water Treatment • Powder helps lower Turbidity of water • The harvest of a mature single tree (3 kg) will treat just above 30,000 liters of water. • For 450,000 liters a day you would need the harvest of 5,500 trees • 16,500 kg/ 2.2= 7,500pounds • 10$ per pound*7,500pounds: $75,000 in year 3
  • 43. MOBILE BANKING – How It Works Register and open an account Deposit money at an approved outlet Use the mobile payment menu on your cellphone to send money
  • 44. Technology adoption for select innovations (number years to reach 80% coverage) Technology Adoption
  • 45. MOBILE BANKING Potential Competition • Safaricom-Grundfos LIFELINK Partnership • Purchase water via M-PESA • Smart card used to access water • Complex payment/water retrieval system • Non-conventional • High set-up costs due to location differences ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
  • 46. MOBILE BANKING – Market Share 42% 28% 8% 22% TIGO M-PESA ZAP ZANTEL VODACOM ZAIN TigoPeza Z-PEZA
  • 47. MOBILE BANKING SUCCESS KENYA SOUTH AFRICA • Largest use of Mobile Banking on continent • Provides options for both bank/non-bank account holders • M-PESA grew by 61% (2009-2010) • Socially accepted: “M-PESA Me” • Only form of payment at select locations
  • 48. LUSAKA MOBILE BANKING SUBSCRIBER
  • 49. Total net tariff rates for depositing and sending money by Postapay and by M‐PESA to a registered user and to a non‐registered user Mobile Payment;Tariff Costs
  • 50. Bank of Tanzania -------- Financial Transactions Tanzania Communication Regulatory Authority -------- Communication Infrastructure Less Fraud Improved Security Comprehensive Legislation by EOY MOBILE BANKING – Regulations & Security
  • 51. • Many local leaders will attempt to extract bribes for information or permission to operate • Educate local leaders on social mission of company: eliminate disease, provide clean water, stimulate business, etc. • Local workers are less likely to be asked for bribes • Gain support of government and port authority DEALING WITH BRIBES
  • 52. • Brand image will diminish if quality degrades • Technicians must file weekly quality checks on each filter in their area • Any filter that does not pass quality check will be immediately disabled and an investigation will take place QUALITY CONTROL
  • 53. USD/TZS • Use forwards swaps  a series of forward contracts • Locks in exchange at current forward rate. Less exposed to risk related to currency exchange rate volatility How can we mitigate this risk? CURRENCY RISK
  • 54. -500.00% 0.00% 500.00% 1000.00% 1500.00% 2000.00% 2500.00% 3 year 5 year 7 year InvestorReturn 10% 12% 15% 20% 30% Even if corruption is at an extreme, there is a 7X return by year 7 Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline Sensitivity Analysis – Corruption
  • 55. 0.00% 500.00% 1000.00% 1500.00% 2000.00% 2500.00% 3 year 5 year 7 year InvestorReturn 15% 17% 20% 25% 35% Large changes in filter misuse do not have a large impact on investor return Financial Projection Investor Returns Implementation Timeline Sensitivity Analysis – Filter Misuse
  • 56. Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Growth Rate (conservative) 5% 10% 8% 6% 10% 20% 15% 8% 15% 30% 22% 10% 20% 40% 29% 12% Growth Rate (projected) 25% 50% 35% 15% -500.00% 0.00% 500.00% 1000.00% 1500.00% 2000.00% 3 year 5 year 7 year InvestorReturn Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Even with conservative growth rates there is a 12X return by year 7 Sensitivity Analysis – Growth Rates
  • 57. Even with an extremely low amount of customers there is a 5X return by year 7 -500000 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 3500000 4000000 4500000 3 year 5 year 7 year 150 customers 130 customers 120 customers 110 customers 100 customers 80 customers Sensitivity Analysis – # of Customers
  • 58. Beta 0.689 Risk-free rate 3.46% Return on market 6.84% K(e): 8.17% Interest Rate 10.00% K(d): 10.00% Total Debt Weight 13.30% Total Equity Weight 86.70% Cost of Debt 10.00% Cost of Equity 8.17% Tax Rate 40% K: 7.88% Weighted Average Cost of Capital Cost of Equity Capital Cost of Debt Capital COST OF CAPITAL
  • 59. Pro Forma Income Statement (detailed) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Revenue Vendors 50 2,000 3,000 Customers per vendor 150 150 150 Total customers 7,500 300,000 450,000 Liters per day 1 1 1 Cost per liter 0 0 0 Days 365 365 365 Total Revenue 219,000 8,760,000 13,140,000 Vendor Revenue Share (43,800) (1,752,000) (2,628,000) Net Revenue 175,200 7,008,000 10,512,000 Operating Costs Technician Salary 3,600 120,000 180,000 Management Salary 120,000 325,000 400,000 Sales Staff 0 36,000 36,000 Filter Testing 5,200 208,000 312,000 Filter Maintanence 5,000 200,000 300,000 Marketing 10,000 25,000 40,000 Brand Ambassador 100,000 100,000 131,400 Vehicle Operations 2,500 65,000 110,000 Depreciation Expense 5,483 169,000 236,167 Total Operating Costs (251,783) (1,248,000) (1,745,567) Total Operating Income (76,583) 5,760,000 8,766,433 Risk Related Costs Underreporting 21,900 876,000 1,314,000 Filter Misuse 750 30,000 45,000 Corruption Costs 32,850 1,314,000 1,971,000 Total Risk Cost (55,500) (2,220,000) (3,330,000) Interest Expense 0 (100,000) 0 Profit Before Tax (132,083) 3,440,000 5,436,433 Income Tax Expense 39,625 (1,032,000) (1,630,930) Net Income (92,458) 2,408,000 3,805,503
  • 60. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net Income (92,458.33)$ 2,408,000.00$ 3,805,503.33$ Add back Depreciation 5,483$ 169,000$ 236,167$ Net Cash from Operating Activities (86,975.00)$ 2,577,000.00$ 4,041,670.00$ Cash Flow from Investing Activities Capital Expenditures (42,250)$ (1,467,750)$ (532,500)$ Net Cash from Investing Activities (42,250)$ (1,467,750)$ (532,500)$ Cash Flow from Financing Activities Payments of debt -$ (1,000,000)$ -$ Equity Investment 200,000$ -$ -$ Proceeds from debt 1,000,000$ -$ Net Cash from Financing Activities 200,000$ -$ -$ Free Cash Flow 70,775.00$ 1,109,250.00$ 3,509,170.00$ Ending Cash Balance 70,775.00$ 1,180,025.00$ 4,689,195.00$ Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement (detailed)
  • 61. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Manufacturing Plant 0 400,000 0 Slowsand Filters Number installed 50 1,950 1,000 Cost per filter 445 295 295 Total expenditure 22,250 575,250 295,000 Technician Motorcylces Number 3 97 50 Cost per motorcycle 2,500 2,500 2,500 Total Expenditure 7,500 242,500 125,000 Flatbed Trucks Number 1 20 9 Cost per truck 12,500 12,500 12,500 Total Expenditure 12,500 250,000 112,500 Total CapEx 42,250 1,467,750 532,500 CapEx Assumptions
  • 62. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Assumption Depreciation Expense (Filters) 1483.3 39833.3 59500.0 15 yr straight line Depreciation Expense (Vehicles) 4000.0 102500.0 150000.0 5 yr straight line Depreciation Expense (Plant) 0.0 26666.7 26666.7 15 yr straight line Depreciation Expense (Total) 5483.3 169000.0 236166.7 Accumulated Depreciation 5483.3 174483.3 410650.0 Depreciation Assumptions
  • 63. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Revenue Vendors 50 2000 3000 Customers per Vendor 150 150 150 Total Customers 7500 300000 450000 Liters per day 1 1 1 Cost per liter 0.08 0.08 0.08 Days 365 365 365 Total Revenue 219000 8760000 13140000 Vendor Revenue Share 43800 1752000 2628000 Net Revenue 175200 7008000 10512000 Revenue Assumptions
  • 64. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Free Cash Flow 65,291.67$ 940,250.00$ 3,273,003.33$ 4,091,254.17$ 6,136,881.25$ 8,284,789.69$ 9,527,508.14$ Investor Share (20%) 13,058.33$ 188,050.00$ 654,600.67$ 818,250.83$ 1,227,376.25$ 1,656,957.94$ 1,905,501.63$ Initial Investment (200,000)$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ Net Return (186,941.67)$ 188,050.00$ 654,600.67$ 818,250.83$ 1,227,376.25$ 1,656,957.94$ 1,905,501.63$ NPV (3 years) $509,673.87 NPV (5 years) $1,953,781.06 NPV (7 years) $4,125,461.99 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Growth Rate 25% 50% 35% 15% INVESTORS RETURN
  • 65. $4,689,195 FCF in Year 3 • $400k for manufacturing facility • $1200k for filters • $500k for motorcycles • $526k for trucks • Total = $2,626,000 CapEx in Years 4 & 5 FCF can fund to projects and CapEx moving forward, while Sales will easily cover Operating Expenses. NO NEW DEBT OR EQUITY needed. SELF-SUFFICIENCY

Editor's Notes

  1. Only 7% water on surface Child deaths 20% caused by dierrhea 70% rural, 30% urban – Most water are in rural area, Yet, despite the greater resource potential, many of the sources remain undeveloped and a good proportion of the population use water from undeveloped and crudely developed sources: lakes, rivers, ponds, shallow and open wells. – government aims to develop a sustainable rural water supply Urban Water and Sewerage Authority: establish the infrastructure and water management
  2. Boiling: with charcoal, cost $.5/day, was believed to be acceptable quality
  3. According to provisional data as of June 30, 2010, the number of mobile phone subscribers reached 18.5 million, while that of registered users of mobile payments services stood at 9.2 million by end July 2010. The strong increase in the number of subscribers to the mobile payments is mainly attributed to limited access to formal banking services especially in the rural areas. The majority of Tanzania’s 41 million inhabitants live on less than $2 a day, and only 12 percent have a formal bank account. But half of Tanzanians own a mobile phone, through which they can save money and handle financial transactions without needing a bank account. In Kenya and Tanzania, subsidiaries of the British mobile operator Vodafone now process more international wire transfers than Western Union. the mobile payment market is expected to break the 50 per cent penetration barrier mainly due to arrival of the fibre cables in 2009 and 2010 CGAP also studied prices at 16 branchless banking providers and 10 traditional banks across 10 countries and eight use cases and found that branchless banking is 19 per cent cheaper than traditional banking overall and 38 per cent cheaper at lower values at which poor people are likely to transact. The services despite having enabled both rural and remote areas of the country to have access to financial services without having bank accounts, they have as well minimized the risks of holding cash. Users describe the services as being convenient and cheaper than processing the same at the bank. “Mobile banking is becoming such a hot topic,” Laugtug said in an interview with America.gov. “In a lot of Africa, there are large geographic distances between population centers, so it’s really cost-prohibitive for microfinance institutions or banks to set up branches.” Dar es Salaam is administrative province, largest city in Tanzania
  4. Lack of safe drinking water – 75% of people use to boil their water Not everyone always boil their water – expensive People who don’t treat their water have diarrhea on a regular basis Although some people said that unboiled water contains minerals, they do think that boiled water is the healthiest one, probably because the village health workers that are assigned by the government in every village told them this The filter capacity is 7.000 liters, which is enough for the drinking water of a large family for one year. After one year the filter element has to be replaced which costs around 2 Euro. The plastic parts last for 5 years. The retail price of a complete filter is 7 to 11 Euro depending on transport and other cost.
  5. A 2009 survey found that WaterGuard was available in around 28% of wards nationally, a total 7% of rural and 12% of urban outlets across the country stocked the product Treating water at the household level has been shown in multiple international studies to be around twice as effective at preventing diarrhea as interventions focused on improving water at the source (for example through improving wells, boreholes and communal standpipes). Using chlorine to treat water at the household level has been shown to be one of the most cost effective water quality interventions to prevent diarrhea. 
  6. Pot style filters can be produced locally using local knowledge and local materials. This contributes to their relatively low price of 12-25 USD, which varies depending on the region and the resources available (CDC 2008a). The high quality, commercially produced candle filters that have been tested in randomized control studies range from 12-60 USD for the entire filtration system with replacement candles costing around 5-8 USD (Clasen et al. 2006, du Preez et al. 2008). The fact that candle filters and replacement parts need to be imported and distributed may elevate the costs
  7. Although M‐PESA does not pay interest on deposits, and does not make loans, it can usefully be thought of as a bank that provides transaction services and that has operated, until recently, in parallel with the formal banking system. Safaricom accepts deposits of cash from customers with a Safaricom cell phone SIM card and who have registered as M‐PESA users. Registration is simple, requiring an official form of identification (typically the national ID card held by all Kenyans, or a passport) but no other validation documents that are typically necessary when a bank account is opened. Formally, in exchange for cash deposits, Safaricom issues a commodity known as “e‐float,” measured in the same units as money, which is held in an account under the user’s name. This account is operated and managed by M‐PESA, and records the quantity of e‐float owned by a customer at a given time. There is no charge for depositing funds, but a sliding tariff is levied on withdrawals (for example, the cost of withdrawing $100 is about $1).
  8. One of the reasons mobile phone technology has spread quickly is that it has followed other technologies that may have eased the way. Figure 2 confirms this sequencing property is likely at work, at least in the US: many of the new technologies that were introduced before about 1950 (with the exception of radio) were relatively slow to diffuse through the population, whereas those introduced in the second half of the century saw generally steeper adoption rates. Nonetheless, the speed of adoption of cell‐phones, especially in the developing world, remains unprecedented.
  9. Since the introduction of the mobile banking services in 2008 in the country there was no proper law to guide and regulate the m banking despite its tremendous growth and dynamism. According to a Senior Bank of Tanzania official, a national payments system bill is expected to be tabled in Parliament for debate this year. Once enacted, the law would boost mobile commerce while ensuring more security. While the central bank regulates the financial transactions, the TCRA focuses on the communication infrastructure. Industry analysts say that the significant growth in the usage of mobile phones offers great opportunity to extend financial and other services to millions of those in the unbanked community. In recognition of the importance of developing a rigorous supervisory oversight for this fast developing mobile banking industry, the Bank of Tanzania has signed an MOU with TCRA which provides a mechanism for regulatory and supervisory coordination between the two regulators.