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Where innovation starts
Where innovation starts
the (electric) future of mobility
when energy and mobility transition meet
Maarten Steinbuch
Auke Hoekstra, Frans Verbruggen, Emilia Silvas
Theo Hofman, Peter Hogeveen, Mauro Salazar
Source: Ulf Bossel Dipl. Ing. ETH Ph.D. (UC Berkeley)
1899: First E Car > 100km/h
"La Jamais Contente"
1913
1913
Car as an Ipad on wheels
Battery Degradation
Local storage
Assume 1000 cycles lifetime (after that 80% capacity left)
Price: assume 500 €/kWh (and dropping…) for electric batteries
Assume 50% loss of value after 1000 cycles
That is 250 €/kWh for 1000 cycles is 0,25 euro/kWh
i.e. no business case yet
For car OEMs: price is dropping below 100$/kWh (pack level)
The six mistakes in vehicle emission
comparisons
1. Exaggerate GHG emissions of battery production - 40 to 100 g/kWh
2. Underestimate battery lifetime - 500.000+ km for current day batteries
3. Ignoring trends in electricity production - 250 g CO2eq/kWh over lifetime
4. Use of inaccurate (paid) emission tests - use independent test measurements
5. Downplay fuel emission productions - add 20-30% to tailpipe emissions
6. Failing to recognize system improvements - whole supply chain improving
@AukeHoekstra
Status in the Netherlands
Vehicle electrification
• Full-electric car market share is growing fast
• Same holds for electric buses
• Electrified trucks are next…!
Verbruggen et al 2019 American Control Conference (ACC), Philadelphia, USA, July 10-12, 2019
NL, Eindhoven (VDL):
Build
Prototypes
Prototypes / Tested
Electric trucks
Einride
E-Fuso
Cummins
Thor
Volvo
Mercedes-Benz MAN
Freightliner
Tesla DAF/VDL
E-Force
Emoss
BYD
Terberg
Renault
Peterbilt
[1] F.J.R. Verbruggen, A.E. Hoekstra and T. Hofman, “Evaluation of the state-of-the-art of full-electric medium and heavy-duty trucks,” in the 31th Int. EVS, Toulouse, France,
2018
Where innovation starts
Where innovation starts
Simulatie hier
Heavy Duty Electrification
• Energy efficiency Medium-duty : 1.0 kWh/km, Heavy-duty :
1.5-1.8 kWh/km
• Battery mass for a required range 500 km range: 5700 kg (old
powertrain is appr. 3000kg), i.e. 1000 kWh needed
• Charging: up to 4MW, stationary batteries, local storage,
30min charging time
• Economy: benefical for EV
NEON project
https://lecturis.nl/product/vooruit/
Voor simulaties: zenmo.com, of via email
Contact:
@m_steinbuch
m.steinbuch@tue.nl
Q&A

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Maarten Steinbuch presentatie elektrisch vervoer 2021 klimaatplein

  • 1. Where innovation starts Where innovation starts the (electric) future of mobility when energy and mobility transition meet Maarten Steinbuch Auke Hoekstra, Frans Verbruggen, Emilia Silvas Theo Hofman, Peter Hogeveen, Mauro Salazar
  • 2.
  • 3. Source: Ulf Bossel Dipl. Ing. ETH Ph.D. (UC Berkeley) 1899: First E Car > 100km/h "La Jamais Contente"
  • 6.
  • 7. Car as an Ipad on wheels
  • 8.
  • 10. Local storage Assume 1000 cycles lifetime (after that 80% capacity left) Price: assume 500 €/kWh (and dropping…) for electric batteries Assume 50% loss of value after 1000 cycles That is 250 €/kWh for 1000 cycles is 0,25 euro/kWh i.e. no business case yet For car OEMs: price is dropping below 100$/kWh (pack level)
  • 11. The six mistakes in vehicle emission comparisons 1. Exaggerate GHG emissions of battery production - 40 to 100 g/kWh 2. Underestimate battery lifetime - 500.000+ km for current day batteries 3. Ignoring trends in electricity production - 250 g CO2eq/kWh over lifetime 4. Use of inaccurate (paid) emission tests - use independent test measurements 5. Downplay fuel emission productions - add 20-30% to tailpipe emissions 6. Failing to recognize system improvements - whole supply chain improving @AukeHoekstra
  • 12. Status in the Netherlands
  • 13. Vehicle electrification • Full-electric car market share is growing fast • Same holds for electric buses • Electrified trucks are next…! Verbruggen et al 2019 American Control Conference (ACC), Philadelphia, USA, July 10-12, 2019 NL, Eindhoven (VDL):
  • 14.
  • 15. Build Prototypes Prototypes / Tested Electric trucks Einride E-Fuso Cummins Thor Volvo Mercedes-Benz MAN Freightliner Tesla DAF/VDL E-Force Emoss BYD Terberg Renault Peterbilt [1] F.J.R. Verbruggen, A.E. Hoekstra and T. Hofman, “Evaluation of the state-of-the-art of full-electric medium and heavy-duty trucks,” in the 31th Int. EVS, Toulouse, France, 2018
  • 16. Where innovation starts Where innovation starts Simulatie hier
  • 17.
  • 18. Heavy Duty Electrification • Energy efficiency Medium-duty : 1.0 kWh/km, Heavy-duty : 1.5-1.8 kWh/km • Battery mass for a required range 500 km range: 5700 kg (old powertrain is appr. 3000kg), i.e. 1000 kWh needed • Charging: up to 4MW, stationary batteries, local storage, 30min charging time • Economy: benefical for EV
  • 19.
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  • 22. https://lecturis.nl/product/vooruit/ Voor simulaties: zenmo.com, of via email Contact: @m_steinbuch m.steinbuch@tue.nl Q&A