2. Issue Definition:
• Significant decrease in volume of cyber attacks attributed to Chinese
groups
• Attacks continue, but very few comparatively
• Major People’s Liberation Army (PLA) restructuring
3. Hypothesis
• Frequency of attacks will remain low in the short term, but over the
long term will increase
4. Analysis
• Sino-U.S. agreement against corporate cyber attacks?
• Major restructuring of the People’s Liberation Army
• International image—refined strategy of attack?
5.
6. National Security Implications &
Countermeasures
• Threats to internal stability and regime legitimacy
• Crackdown on the media, South China Sea
• Information sharing
• “Plan for network defense and resilience…[through] Red Team [of]
network defenses”
7. Forecast
• Cyber attacks will continue—low frequency
• Much lower number of attacks on private companies
• The number of the attacks will increase