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How to turn around a tech juggernaut
    on the verge of implosion

    By Peter Mortensen
    Jump Associates, October 2012




.
once mighty tech companies are speeding toward
    sudden irrelevance at an unprecedented pace.




.
nokia’s revenue is off 15%.
    2011 Revenue Growth: -15.7%
    2011 Net Income Growth: -64.8%




.
Research in Motion’s
    revenue is down 8%.
    2011 Revenue Growth: -8.5%
    2011 Net Income Growth: -66.9%




.
And Yahoo!’s “growth” is negative 16%.

    2011 Revenue Growth: -16%
    2011 Net Income Growth: - 2.8%




.
Given these numbers, and all the
    negative press, you’d think
    these companies’ revenues were
    just 200 dollars last year.




.
but YAHOO! HAD ALMOST $5 BILLION
    IN REVENUE IN 2011.
    2011 Revenue: $4.99 billion
    2011 Net Income: $1.1 billion




.
rim pulled in nearly $17.8 billion
    in revenue in 2011.
    2011 Revenue: $17.8 billion
    2011 Net Income: $1.1 billion




.
and NOKIA EARNED NEARLY
    $50 BILLION IN REVENUE IN 2011.
    2011 Revenue: $48.3 billion
    2011 Net Income: -$3.25 billion




.
While the growth engines of
    these massive enterprises
    have run out of fuel, they
    continue to survive thanks
    to scale and inertia.




.
They have become the business
    equivalent of Red Giants –
    stars that try to postpone
    their deaths by consuming
    all the planets around them.
    (This will happen to Earth, eventually.)




.
Unless something changes,
    these companies will go nova –
    scattering patents, people,
    and profits as they go down.




.
Unless something changes,
    these companies will go nova –
    scattering patents, people,
    and profits as they go down.
    Understanding that you’re at
    risk of becoming a Red Giant
    doesn’t stop it from happening.




.
RIM treated touchscreens as a
    niche market, and accordingly
    just created one touch phone.
    (and a terrible one, at that.)




.
Nokia took too long to
    select a next-generation OS.




.
And Yahoo!’s acquisitions
    could have worked if
    it didn’t sit on them.
    ( flickr could have been Instagram, for example.)




.
So what’s a CEO thrust into
    the position of leading a Red
    Giant to do?

    Is the company doomed,
    or can a new direction help?




.
Apple successfully grew its
    revenue from $9 billion in 1996
    to over $100 billion in 2011.




          1996                        2011
          Revenue: $9.8 billion       Revenue: $108 billion
          Net Income: -$816 million   Net Income: $25.9 billion
          Revenue Growth: -11%        Revenue Growth: 62.8%
          Net Income Growth: -92%     Net Income Growth: 97.5%




.
And IBM, with revenue at $64 Billion in 1991,
    successfully turned itself around by 2011,
    to rake in over $107 Billion.




                   1991                      2011
                   Revenue: $64.5 billion    Revenue: $107 billion
                   Net Income: -$5 billion   Net Income: $15.9 billion
                   Revenue Growth: -1%       Revenue Growth: 7%
                   Net Income Growth: -78%   Net Income Growth: 7.5%




.
How did Apple and IBM reverse
    course on the edge of extinction?




.
Here are 3 leadership imperatives to save a Red Giant




.
Here are 3 leadership imperatives to save a Red Giant

               1. Figure out what makes you
              great and organize accordingly.




.
Here are 3 leadership imperatives to save a Red Giant

               1. Figure out what makes you
              great and organize accordingly.

            2. Buy time to reinvent the business
               with incremental innovations.




.
Here are 3 leadership imperatives to save a Red Giant

               1. Figure out what makes you
              great and organize accordingly.

            2. Buy time to reinvent the business
               with incremental innovations.

        3. Place big bets on a few adjacent markets,
               then double-down until you hit.




.
1. Figure out what makes you
    great and organize accordingly.




.
Steve Jobs shut down everything
    outside of integrated hardware
    and software.

    IN: Beautifully integrated        Out: everything else
                                      (all businesses killed in 1997 or 1998)
    hardware and software




                                                      Video Games                 Clones




                                          Business and                 Newton   Standalone
      Apple’s mid-1998 product line       Consumer printers                     Software
.
2. Buy time to reinvent the business
       with incremental innovations.




.
Apple released the iMac in late
    1998 – it went on to become the
    fastest selling Mac ever built.
    It created good PR for the company
    until OS X could be launched in 2001.




.
Motorola released the RAZR in
    2004 and it quickly became the
    company’s hottest phone ever.
    It restored Motorola as an
    innovation leader.




.
Motorola released the RAZR in
    2004 and it quickly became the
    company’s hottest phone ever.
    It restored Motorola as an
    innovation leader.

    But, Motorola had no sequel,
    which allowed Samsung and
    others to grow until the iPhone
    lowered the boom.




.
RIM released the Blackberry
    Curve in 2007. It was their
    first big consumer smartphone
    and actually outsold the
    iPhone for the first year on
    the market.




.
RIM released the Blackberry
    Curve in 2007. It was their
    first big consumer smartphone
    and actually outsold the
    iPhone for the first year on
    the market.

    This bought the company
    time to create and launch
    a proper response to the
    iPhone and Android, but
    RIM never did.




.
3. Place big bets on a few adjacent markets,
           then double-down until you hit.




.
Over time, IBM has entered a
    number of new businesses
    that have become its new core.




                      1994                  2011
                      Hardware & Software   Hardware & Software
                                            IT Consulting
                                            Business Consulting
                                            eBusiness b2b Internet
                                            Integrated Solutions
                                            Vertical Internet
                                            Business Intelligence
                                            PwC Aquisition
                                            Smarter Planet Initiatives
                                            Big Data
.
1. Figure out what makes you
          great and organize accordingly.

        2. Buy time to reinvent the business
           with incremental innovations.

    3. Place big bets on a few adjacent markets,
           then double-down until you hit.




.
Red Giants don’t have to end in death and destruction,
              they can also lead to reinvention.




.
w jumpassociates.com
    T @JumpAssociates
     F JumpAssociates




.

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Red Giant Syndrome - How to turn around a tech juggernaut on the verge of implosion.

  • 1. How to turn around a tech juggernaut on the verge of implosion By Peter Mortensen Jump Associates, October 2012 .
  • 2. once mighty tech companies are speeding toward sudden irrelevance at an unprecedented pace. .
  • 3. nokia’s revenue is off 15%. 2011 Revenue Growth: -15.7% 2011 Net Income Growth: -64.8% .
  • 4. Research in Motion’s revenue is down 8%. 2011 Revenue Growth: -8.5% 2011 Net Income Growth: -66.9% .
  • 5. And Yahoo!’s “growth” is negative 16%. 2011 Revenue Growth: -16% 2011 Net Income Growth: - 2.8% .
  • 6. Given these numbers, and all the negative press, you’d think these companies’ revenues were just 200 dollars last year. .
  • 7. but YAHOO! HAD ALMOST $5 BILLION IN REVENUE IN 2011. 2011 Revenue: $4.99 billion 2011 Net Income: $1.1 billion .
  • 8. rim pulled in nearly $17.8 billion in revenue in 2011. 2011 Revenue: $17.8 billion 2011 Net Income: $1.1 billion .
  • 9. and NOKIA EARNED NEARLY $50 BILLION IN REVENUE IN 2011. 2011 Revenue: $48.3 billion 2011 Net Income: -$3.25 billion .
  • 10. While the growth engines of these massive enterprises have run out of fuel, they continue to survive thanks to scale and inertia. .
  • 11. They have become the business equivalent of Red Giants – stars that try to postpone their deaths by consuming all the planets around them. (This will happen to Earth, eventually.) .
  • 12. Unless something changes, these companies will go nova – scattering patents, people, and profits as they go down. .
  • 13. Unless something changes, these companies will go nova – scattering patents, people, and profits as they go down. Understanding that you’re at risk of becoming a Red Giant doesn’t stop it from happening. .
  • 14. RIM treated touchscreens as a niche market, and accordingly just created one touch phone. (and a terrible one, at that.) .
  • 15. Nokia took too long to select a next-generation OS. .
  • 16. And Yahoo!’s acquisitions could have worked if it didn’t sit on them. ( flickr could have been Instagram, for example.) .
  • 17. So what’s a CEO thrust into the position of leading a Red Giant to do? Is the company doomed, or can a new direction help? .
  • 18. Apple successfully grew its revenue from $9 billion in 1996 to over $100 billion in 2011. 1996 2011 Revenue: $9.8 billion Revenue: $108 billion Net Income: -$816 million Net Income: $25.9 billion Revenue Growth: -11% Revenue Growth: 62.8% Net Income Growth: -92% Net Income Growth: 97.5% .
  • 19. And IBM, with revenue at $64 Billion in 1991, successfully turned itself around by 2011, to rake in over $107 Billion. 1991 2011 Revenue: $64.5 billion Revenue: $107 billion Net Income: -$5 billion Net Income: $15.9 billion Revenue Growth: -1% Revenue Growth: 7% Net Income Growth: -78% Net Income Growth: 7.5% .
  • 20. How did Apple and IBM reverse course on the edge of extinction? .
  • 21. Here are 3 leadership imperatives to save a Red Giant .
  • 22. Here are 3 leadership imperatives to save a Red Giant 1. Figure out what makes you great and organize accordingly. .
  • 23. Here are 3 leadership imperatives to save a Red Giant 1. Figure out what makes you great and organize accordingly. 2. Buy time to reinvent the business with incremental innovations. .
  • 24. Here are 3 leadership imperatives to save a Red Giant 1. Figure out what makes you great and organize accordingly. 2. Buy time to reinvent the business with incremental innovations. 3. Place big bets on a few adjacent markets, then double-down until you hit. .
  • 25. 1. Figure out what makes you great and organize accordingly. .
  • 26. Steve Jobs shut down everything outside of integrated hardware and software. IN: Beautifully integrated Out: everything else (all businesses killed in 1997 or 1998) hardware and software Video Games Clones Business and Newton Standalone Apple’s mid-1998 product line Consumer printers Software .
  • 27. 2. Buy time to reinvent the business with incremental innovations. .
  • 28. Apple released the iMac in late 1998 – it went on to become the fastest selling Mac ever built. It created good PR for the company until OS X could be launched in 2001. .
  • 29. Motorola released the RAZR in 2004 and it quickly became the company’s hottest phone ever. It restored Motorola as an innovation leader. .
  • 30. Motorola released the RAZR in 2004 and it quickly became the company’s hottest phone ever. It restored Motorola as an innovation leader. But, Motorola had no sequel, which allowed Samsung and others to grow until the iPhone lowered the boom. .
  • 31. RIM released the Blackberry Curve in 2007. It was their first big consumer smartphone and actually outsold the iPhone for the first year on the market. .
  • 32. RIM released the Blackberry Curve in 2007. It was their first big consumer smartphone and actually outsold the iPhone for the first year on the market. This bought the company time to create and launch a proper response to the iPhone and Android, but RIM never did. .
  • 33. 3. Place big bets on a few adjacent markets, then double-down until you hit. .
  • 34. Over time, IBM has entered a number of new businesses that have become its new core. 1994 2011 Hardware & Software Hardware & Software IT Consulting Business Consulting eBusiness b2b Internet Integrated Solutions Vertical Internet Business Intelligence PwC Aquisition Smarter Planet Initiatives Big Data .
  • 35. 1. Figure out what makes you great and organize accordingly. 2. Buy time to reinvent the business with incremental innovations. 3. Place big bets on a few adjacent markets, then double-down until you hit. .
  • 36. Red Giants don’t have to end in death and destruction, they can also lead to reinvention. .
  • 37. w jumpassociates.com T @JumpAssociates F JumpAssociates .