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M&A are cooling down                                                                                                    RIL-RPL merger
                                                                                                                         holds promise
                                                                                                                                                                                           17




                                                                                                                          on all fronts
                                                                      ADC Business
AFTERNOON DESPATCH & COURIER
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 4, 2009




    BY MANIK K. MALAKAR                                                         deliver expected results and they
                                                                                are starving for cash now.


M
          UMBAI : Rupert Pennant-                                                  In the later years, however, the
          Rea a former Deputy Gov-                                              feeling of euphoria came into
          ernor of the Bank of                                                  play and acquirers were not both-
England once quipped, “At the                                                   ered about how much they are
Bank of England we have the abil-                                               paying. “Most of the transactions
ity to mess things up, and our                                                  of 2006, 2007 were out of adrena-
record shows that we have often                                                 line-rush than out of rationality,”
used it.”                                                                       he said.
                                                                                                                        A                                  tional flexibility as big merger
                                                                                                                            s said by Alok Agaral,
   That is a sentiment which com-                                                  The only sector in the M&A
                                                                                                                                                           gains , besides efficient
                                                                                                                            CFO, Reliance, the RIL-
panies that went in for the merg-                                               space that has proved to be an ex-
                                                                                                                                                              utilization of combined
                                                                                                                        RPL merger “is all about cre-
ers and acquisitions (M&A) during                                               ception to the rule has been the
                                                                                                                                                           cash flows” and higher valua-
                                                                                                                        ating a larger or integrated
2005-2008 must be richly sharing.                                               telecom sector. Thunuguntla ex-
                                                                                                                                                           tion of for the merged entity..
                                                                                                                        energy major, it gives us the
The bull market of that period                                                  plains, “It was an inbound acquisi-
                                                                                                                                                              Though a few analysts were
                                                                                                                        ability to take on projects
made quite a few companies go in                                                tion where Vodafone has acquired
                                                                                                                                                           surprised by the timing of
                                                                                                                        much larger than done be-
for M&A activity. They may yet be                                               a five per cent stake in Bharti-Air-
                                                                                                                                                           what they said was an ex-
                                                                                                                        fore.”.
living to regret their decision.                                                tel. The sector in which it’s present
                                                                                                                                                           pected move, most said
                                                                                                                           Other than the size, the
   A MTM (mark to market) report                                                and the elegance of management
                                                                                                                                                           merger made strategic tech-
                                                                                                                        merger gives Reliance a huge
indicates that M&A activity has                                                 has ensured there are very modest
                                                                                                                                                           nical and financial strength
lost a whooping 53 per cent of                                                  losses in the stock in comparison       elbow room to scale its opera-
their value. This information was                                               to collapse of rest of the market.                                         for RIL.. Goldman Sachs ana-
                                                                                                                        tion according to demand and
compiled       by     Jagannadham                                               This has enabled Vodafone’s five                                           lysts said on Monday the deal
                                                                                                                        fine-tune its plans of how
Thunuguntla, who is the CEO of                                                  per cent acquisition of Bharti turn-                                       will be strategically positive
                                                                                                                        much of each project to make
SMC Capitals, one of India’s lead-                                              ing out to be a profit-making deal,                                        for RIL as it would give the
                                                                                                                        . As for as country’s needs are
                                       Jagannadham Thunuguntla,
ing financial services companies.                                               in comparison to other disastrous                                          company access to about $
                                                                                                                        concerned, RIL can fuel India
                                       CEO, SMC Capitals
   Indian companies in the period                                               M&As.”                                                                     1.5 to $ 1.8 billion of RPL’s an-
2005-2008 took part in M&A activ-                                                  But coming back to tends, how-                                          nual cash flow (on full ramp-
ity worth $ 45 billion dollars (of     ness houses rather than the young,       ever, the rest of the M&A scene                                            up for its various planned
listed Indian companies and a deal     first-generation entrepreneurs,”         does not offer comfort. “Globally,
                                                                                                                                                           projects)” and “Chevron’s
size of more than $100 million).       reports Thunuguntla. This under-         95 per cent of the M&As fail,” is
                                                                                                                                                           concomitant exit from RPL (at
This value is now down to $ 20.96      lines the point that even seasoned       Thunuguntla’s stark statement. In
                                                                                                                                                           Rs 60 per share) adds margin-
billion This represents a loss in      businessmen get influenced with          light of this statistic Indian M&A is
                                                                                                                                                           ally to RIL’s valuation and also
                                                                                the trend rather than exception.
                                                                                                                                                           gives RIL’s promoters full con-
                                                                                   Jagannadham           Thunuguntla
                                                                                                                                                           trol and of the future direction
                                                                                sounds a very cautious note.
                                                                                                                                                           of the company.”
                                                                                “Shareholders should always care-
                                                                                                                                                              US energy firm Chevron
                                                                                fully assess and watch any big-
                                                                                                                                                           Corp. decided on Friday to sell
                                                                                ticket M&A transaction, especially,
                                                                                                                                                           its 5 per cent stake in RPL for
                                                                                when the target company is two
                                                                                times bigger than the acquiring                                            $ 260 million at current ex-
                                                                                company,” he said.                                                         change        rates’.   Another
                                                                                   The severe not continues. Ag-                                           favourable point of the merger
                                                                                gressive M&A activity on the part                                          worth mentioning is that
                                                                                of Indian companies was wrong as                                           there is no tax or depreciation
                                                                                                                        for 5 to six months making it
                                                                                they spent all of their hard earned                                        benefit from merger that was
                                                                                                                        less dependent on imports.
                                                                                profits. “Globally, in developed                                           largely to boost RIL revenues –
                                                                                                                           The merger is a move that
                                                                                countries, M&As are very preva-                                            a fact that Agarwal confirmed
                                                                                                                        will create the world’s com-
                                                                                lent because the markets in those
                                                                                                                                                           in the press briefing.
                                                                                                                        plex to convert crude oil in pe-
                                                                                countries are extremely saturated
                                                                                                                                                              “The merger is not for tax
                                                                                                                        troleum products at a single
                                                                                and matured. In such economies,
                                                                                                                                                           saving. The merged entity will
                                                                                                                        location. The company said
                                                                                the scope of organic growth is very
                                                                                                                                                           be tax-neutral and we do not
                                                                                                                        on Monday, that it would offer
                                                                                limited. Hence, the only way the
                                                                                                                                                           see any impact. of additional
                                                                                                                        one share for every 16 shares
                                                                                companies can exhibit growth is
                                                                                                                                                           depreciation.
                                                                                                                        held by investors in Reliance
value of a staggering $ 24.04 bil-     ‘false promises’ of bull market.         through M&As in the form of inor-
                                                                                                                                                              The rating agencies on their
                                                                                                                        Petroleum Ltd (RPL), its refin-
lion. Obviously not a small               Continuing with this evaluation       ganic          growth,”        stated
                                                                                                                                                           part reaffirmed their ratings
                                                                                                                        ing subsidiary.
amount!                                of M&A valuations, it is to be noted     Thunuguntla.
                                                                                                                                                           for RIL debt after the merger
                                                                                                                           RIL will issue 69.2 million
   “Companies usually ventured         that M&A activity of 2005 has per-          Needless to add, M&A is no
                                                                                                                                                           was announced.
into the M&A route either for busi-    formed (relatively) better than that     longer the flavour of the month.        new shares to RPL sharehold-
ness compatibility, R&D, access to     of 2006-2008. “This probably be-         M&A activity is now on the slow-                                              The relative importance of
                                                                                                                        ers, increasing the equity cap-
raw materials, access to cus-          cause by the time of 2005, the in-       down. “Companies that have been                                            RIL in all the stock indices will
                                                                                                                        ital by 4 per cent to Rs. 1,643
tomers, new product line, and          fluence of bull markets is not in        bitten once are twice shy now,” he                                         rise after the completion of
                                                                                                                        crore. RIL’s own 70 per cent
other factors,” said Thunuguntla,      full swing and the acquirers were        said.                                                                      merger with Reliance Petro-
                                                                                                                        share holding in RPL will be
when asked about the rationale         not paying hyper-valuations,” ex-           There is opportunity in every                                           leum. This is because all the
                                                                                                                        extinguished. The company
behind the M&A activity.               plains Thunuguntla.                      adversity, notes Thunuguntla. For                                          indices are based upon the
                                                                                                                        says the merger will increase
   The bull run of the period start-      “However, in the euphoric             the cash rich corporate this is the                                        market . capitalization of its
                                                                                                                        the earning per share in the
ing from 2004 was also a factor in     mindset, the Indian corporates           opportunistic time to do some                                              constituents and post-merger,
                                                                                                                        combined entity
boosting M&A activity since In-        had bitten the cross-border M&A          smart M&As. “As rightly put by
                                                                                                                                                           with RPL shareholders getting
                                                                                                                           “I cannot think of a better
dian businesses had large profits      bug and they are now paying a            Warren Buffet, we should be fear-
                                                                                                                                                           RIL stocks, the market capital-
                                                                                                                        time for the merger. RIL share-
and accumulated reserves.              heavy price,” he said. Cash-rich         ful when others are greedy. And,
                                                                                                                                                           ization of RIL will rise.. It is a
                                                                                                                        holders will benefit from
   “The vaunted ‘Indian Growth         conservative groups have now ex-         we should be greedy when others
                                                                                                                                                           technical positive for RIL since
                                                                                                                        bringing in an asset that is
Story’ campaign was yet another        hausted all their profits, their over-   are fearful,” Thunuguntla con-
                                                                                                                                                           its weightage in the bench-
                                                                                                                        complete now and has mini-
factor that led to some of India’s     seas acquisitions have failed to         cluded.
                                                                                                                                                           mark indices is likely to go
                                                                                                                        mal project risk ( the RPL re-
business houses venture into big
                                                                                                                                                           up,” said a Goldman Sachs re-
                                                                                                                        finery) and RPL shareholders ,
ticket      M&As,”       continued
                                                                                                                                                           port.
                                                                                                                        by being part of the parent
Thunuguntla. The additional
                                                                                                                                                              Commenting upon            the
                                                                                                                        company, can again form
global attention that these deals
                                                                                                                                                           treasury losses RIL that RIL is
bring to the companies and their                                                                                        (the) latter’s gas and oil port-
promoters was another catalyst.                                                                                                                            rumoured to have incurred in
                                                                                                                        folio, and can get all the bene-
   M&A activity was both domestic                                                                                                                          its futures contracts, Agarwal
                                                                                                                        fits     from       KG       Dt6
as well as foreign. On current valu-                                                                                                                       said” “We had bought oil at $
                                                                                                                        (Krishna-Godavari) gas fields)
ations, domestic MTM transac-                                                                                                                              10 a barrel in 1999 and $ 125
                                                                                                                        which is so closed to produc-
tions have lost 42 to 43 per cent                                                                                                                          in 2008 and still consistently
                                                                                                                        tion,” Agarwal told reporters
while overseas ventures lost 60 per                                                                                                                        maintained higher gross refin-
                                                                                                                        after announcing the merger
cent. The cumulative loss averages                                                                                                                         ery margins than industry
                                                                                                                        m deal on Monday.
out to 53 per cent.                                                                                                                                        benchmarks. We would jot
                                                                                                                           The counted synergies in
   A lack of hard-nosed valuations
                                                                                                                                                           have got there if we do not
                                                                                                                        crude procurement, product
in the M&A was a distinct feature.
                                                                                                                                                           know how to manage the
                                                                                                                        placement, supply chin opti-
“An interesting point is that most
                                                                                                                                                           volatility in risks..”
                                                                                                                        mization and greater opera-
of these over-excited M&A were
done by seasoned, matured busi-

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Afternoon Despatch Courier March 4, 2009 M&A Are Cooling Down

  • 1. M&A are cooling down RIL-RPL merger holds promise 17 on all fronts ADC Business AFTERNOON DESPATCH & COURIER WEDNESDAY, MARCH 4, 2009 BY MANIK K. MALAKAR deliver expected results and they are starving for cash now. M UMBAI : Rupert Pennant- In the later years, however, the Rea a former Deputy Gov- feeling of euphoria came into ernor of the Bank of play and acquirers were not both- England once quipped, “At the ered about how much they are Bank of England we have the abil- paying. “Most of the transactions ity to mess things up, and our of 2006, 2007 were out of adrena- record shows that we have often line-rush than out of rationality,” used it.” he said. A tional flexibility as big merger s said by Alok Agaral, That is a sentiment which com- The only sector in the M&A gains , besides efficient CFO, Reliance, the RIL- panies that went in for the merg- space that has proved to be an ex- utilization of combined RPL merger “is all about cre- ers and acquisitions (M&A) during ception to the rule has been the cash flows” and higher valua- ating a larger or integrated 2005-2008 must be richly sharing. telecom sector. Thunuguntla ex- tion of for the merged entity.. energy major, it gives us the The bull market of that period plains, “It was an inbound acquisi- Though a few analysts were ability to take on projects made quite a few companies go in tion where Vodafone has acquired surprised by the timing of much larger than done be- for M&A activity. They may yet be a five per cent stake in Bharti-Air- what they said was an ex- fore.”. living to regret their decision. tel. The sector in which it’s present pected move, most said Other than the size, the A MTM (mark to market) report and the elegance of management merger made strategic tech- merger gives Reliance a huge indicates that M&A activity has has ensured there are very modest nical and financial strength lost a whooping 53 per cent of losses in the stock in comparison elbow room to scale its opera- their value. This information was to collapse of rest of the market. for RIL.. Goldman Sachs ana- tion according to demand and compiled by Jagannadham This has enabled Vodafone’s five lysts said on Monday the deal fine-tune its plans of how Thunuguntla, who is the CEO of per cent acquisition of Bharti turn- will be strategically positive much of each project to make SMC Capitals, one of India’s lead- ing out to be a profit-making deal, for RIL as it would give the . As for as country’s needs are Jagannadham Thunuguntla, ing financial services companies. in comparison to other disastrous company access to about $ concerned, RIL can fuel India CEO, SMC Capitals Indian companies in the period M&As.” 1.5 to $ 1.8 billion of RPL’s an- 2005-2008 took part in M&A activ- But coming back to tends, how- nual cash flow (on full ramp- ity worth $ 45 billion dollars (of ness houses rather than the young, ever, the rest of the M&A scene up for its various planned listed Indian companies and a deal first-generation entrepreneurs,” does not offer comfort. “Globally, projects)” and “Chevron’s size of more than $100 million). reports Thunuguntla. This under- 95 per cent of the M&As fail,” is concomitant exit from RPL (at This value is now down to $ 20.96 lines the point that even seasoned Thunuguntla’s stark statement. In Rs 60 per share) adds margin- billion This represents a loss in businessmen get influenced with light of this statistic Indian M&A is ally to RIL’s valuation and also the trend rather than exception. gives RIL’s promoters full con- Jagannadham Thunuguntla trol and of the future direction sounds a very cautious note. of the company.” “Shareholders should always care- US energy firm Chevron fully assess and watch any big- Corp. decided on Friday to sell ticket M&A transaction, especially, its 5 per cent stake in RPL for when the target company is two times bigger than the acquiring $ 260 million at current ex- company,” he said. change rates’. Another The severe not continues. Ag- favourable point of the merger gressive M&A activity on the part worth mentioning is that of Indian companies was wrong as there is no tax or depreciation for 5 to six months making it they spent all of their hard earned benefit from merger that was less dependent on imports. profits. “Globally, in developed largely to boost RIL revenues – The merger is a move that countries, M&As are very preva- a fact that Agarwal confirmed will create the world’s com- lent because the markets in those in the press briefing. plex to convert crude oil in pe- countries are extremely saturated “The merger is not for tax troleum products at a single and matured. In such economies, saving. The merged entity will location. The company said the scope of organic growth is very be tax-neutral and we do not on Monday, that it would offer limited. Hence, the only way the see any impact. of additional one share for every 16 shares companies can exhibit growth is depreciation. held by investors in Reliance value of a staggering $ 24.04 bil- ‘false promises’ of bull market. through M&As in the form of inor- The rating agencies on their Petroleum Ltd (RPL), its refin- lion. Obviously not a small Continuing with this evaluation ganic growth,” stated part reaffirmed their ratings ing subsidiary. amount! of M&A valuations, it is to be noted Thunuguntla. for RIL debt after the merger RIL will issue 69.2 million “Companies usually ventured that M&A activity of 2005 has per- Needless to add, M&A is no was announced. into the M&A route either for busi- formed (relatively) better than that longer the flavour of the month. new shares to RPL sharehold- ness compatibility, R&D, access to of 2006-2008. “This probably be- M&A activity is now on the slow- The relative importance of ers, increasing the equity cap- raw materials, access to cus- cause by the time of 2005, the in- down. “Companies that have been RIL in all the stock indices will ital by 4 per cent to Rs. 1,643 tomers, new product line, and fluence of bull markets is not in bitten once are twice shy now,” he rise after the completion of crore. RIL’s own 70 per cent other factors,” said Thunuguntla, full swing and the acquirers were said. merger with Reliance Petro- share holding in RPL will be when asked about the rationale not paying hyper-valuations,” ex- There is opportunity in every leum. This is because all the extinguished. The company behind the M&A activity. plains Thunuguntla. adversity, notes Thunuguntla. For indices are based upon the says the merger will increase The bull run of the period start- “However, in the euphoric the cash rich corporate this is the market . capitalization of its the earning per share in the ing from 2004 was also a factor in mindset, the Indian corporates opportunistic time to do some constituents and post-merger, combined entity boosting M&A activity since In- had bitten the cross-border M&A smart M&As. “As rightly put by with RPL shareholders getting “I cannot think of a better dian businesses had large profits bug and they are now paying a Warren Buffet, we should be fear- RIL stocks, the market capital- time for the merger. RIL share- and accumulated reserves. heavy price,” he said. Cash-rich ful when others are greedy. And, ization of RIL will rise.. It is a holders will benefit from “The vaunted ‘Indian Growth conservative groups have now ex- we should be greedy when others technical positive for RIL since bringing in an asset that is Story’ campaign was yet another hausted all their profits, their over- are fearful,” Thunuguntla con- its weightage in the bench- complete now and has mini- factor that led to some of India’s seas acquisitions have failed to cluded. mark indices is likely to go mal project risk ( the RPL re- business houses venture into big up,” said a Goldman Sachs re- finery) and RPL shareholders , ticket M&As,” continued port. by being part of the parent Thunuguntla. The additional Commenting upon the company, can again form global attention that these deals treasury losses RIL that RIL is bring to the companies and their (the) latter’s gas and oil port- promoters was another catalyst. rumoured to have incurred in folio, and can get all the bene- M&A activity was both domestic its futures contracts, Agarwal fits from KG Dt6 as well as foreign. On current valu- said” “We had bought oil at $ (Krishna-Godavari) gas fields) ations, domestic MTM transac- 10 a barrel in 1999 and $ 125 which is so closed to produc- tions have lost 42 to 43 per cent in 2008 and still consistently tion,” Agarwal told reporters while overseas ventures lost 60 per maintained higher gross refin- after announcing the merger cent. The cumulative loss averages ery margins than industry m deal on Monday. out to 53 per cent. benchmarks. We would jot The counted synergies in A lack of hard-nosed valuations have got there if we do not crude procurement, product in the M&A was a distinct feature. know how to manage the placement, supply chin opti- “An interesting point is that most volatility in risks..” mization and greater opera- of these over-excited M&A were done by seasoned, matured busi-