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Making data science clearer with….. data science
Culture of Insight and Gracious Economics
Our job as data scientists:
Make order and simplicity out of all the loveable chaos that
is humans running around doing their thing
We are not there yet in data-science for marketing
Source: Gartner 2019
We aren’t helping the marketing director get through his to-do list
Develop a marketing
strategy
Oversee
implementation of the
strategy
Develop a brand
strategy
Set and spend an
annual budget
Create and attend
events such as
webinars, conferences
and thought leadership
contributions
Guide the day-to-day
activities of the
marketing team
Continually review
changes to the market
and the activities of
competitors
Manage social media
Manage and measure
marketing campaign
costs
Negotiate with media
agencies
Report on the
effectiveness of
marketing campaigns
Conduct market
research studies
Source: Marketing director job descriptions
Even in the research specific tasks
Develop a marketing
strategy
Oversee
implementation of the
strategy
Develop a brand
strategy
Set and spend an
annual budget
Create and attend
events such as
webinars, conferences
and thought leadership
contributions
Guide the day-to-day
activities of the
marketing team
Continually review
changes to the market
and the activities of
competitors
Manage social media
Manage and measure
marketing campaign
costs
Negotiate with media
agencies
Report on the
effectiveness of
marketing campaigns
Conduct market
research studies
And yet, marketing directors are expected to use data everywhere
Develop a marketing
strategy
Oversee
implementation of the
strategy
Develop a brand
strategy
Set and spend an
annual budget
Create and attend
events such as
webinars, conferences
and thought leadership
contributions
Guide the day-to-day
activities of the
marketing team
Continually review
changes to the market
and the activities of
competitors
Manage social media
Manage and measure
marketing campaign
costs
Negotiate with media
agencies
Report on the
effectiveness of
marketing campaigns
Conduct market
research studies
Research that’s easy to understand, trust, and use
Step 1: Market mix modelling & attribution to understand marketing levers
Sales
Pricing
Competitor
activity
Seasonality
PromotionsAvailability
Media
investment
Product
quality
Others
suggested by
client’s own
knowledge
Step 2: Explain findings in ways that normal people understand
Simple
analysis
where
possible
This makes
explaining where
findings came from
easier
Compare
with
other
research
Findings should
mostly match, but
sometimes
challenge
Practice
Always deploy
experienced team
that can see the
wood for the trees
• Debrief contains
– Rules of thumb: If you do this, expect that
– Accounting for the past: What worked, what didn’t
• Making it usable means
– communicate the common sense in findings
– speak client’s language
– build trust in results via triangulation
– put results into context via benchmarks
Step 3: Give the marketing director some “toys” to play with
+
Build in
existing
knowledge
Test beliefs
and
hunches
Explain
clearly
Useable
findings
A complex online retailer doing a huge range of marketing activity
Sales of
clothes,
beauty
products
Promo
codes,
sales etc
Comp-
etitors
Weather
&
season-
ality
Partners
hips
# and
quality of
range
SEO,
organic
social
Economy
& clothing
market
Web and
app
changes
Press,
Radio,
OOH,
Cinema,
TV
Google
shopper
PPC in
all its
forms
Influen-
cers
SEO in
detail
App roll
out &
down
time
Website
nav
changes
Content
on site
2020
2020 SALES £100M
VS TARGET -5%
BUDGET £10M
ROI £2.50
A marketing “mixer” built using R and R-shiny
PRICE COMMS
Above
the line
Search
&
Shopper
Influen-
cers
P
R
T
V
O
Promo
codes
Seasonal
sales
Mark
down
Reset Export
User can start from an uploaded plan and tweak, or build from scratch
Add non-marketing drivers
PRICE COMMS
Above
the line
Search
&
Shopper
Influen-
cers
P
R
T
V
O
Promo
codes
Seasonal
sales
Mark
down
2020
2020 SALES £100M
VS TARGET -5%
BUDGET £10M
ROI £2.50
Reset Results
Econ-
omy
Same day delivery by June
Navigation re-design in March
RANGE & STOCK
Online
shop-
ping
Compe
titors
Forecast the coming year
Compare different versions
Plan how to reach business targets
Target: £15m
£8
£8
£1.0
£0.4
£0.6
£0.6
£1.4
£3.0
2020
Price & promo
Search &
shopper
Other above the
line
TV
Improved
delivery
Range and Stock
2019
Highlight
the
contribution
of
marketing
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Mar-19
Plan Actual
Know when it’s time to react
So what did we learn?
+
Build in
existing
knowledge
Test beliefs
and
hunches
Explain
clearly
Useable
findings
e: grace@graciouseconomics.co.uk
e: james@cultureofinsight.com
tw: @grace_kite
tw: @datasetfree
w: http://graciouseconomics.co.uk/
w: http://cultureofinsight.com/

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Making data science clearer with... data science

  • 1. Making data science clearer with….. data science Culture of Insight and Gracious Economics
  • 2.
  • 3. Our job as data scientists: Make order and simplicity out of all the loveable chaos that is humans running around doing their thing
  • 4. We are not there yet in data-science for marketing Source: Gartner 2019
  • 5. We aren’t helping the marketing director get through his to-do list Develop a marketing strategy Oversee implementation of the strategy Develop a brand strategy Set and spend an annual budget Create and attend events such as webinars, conferences and thought leadership contributions Guide the day-to-day activities of the marketing team Continually review changes to the market and the activities of competitors Manage social media Manage and measure marketing campaign costs Negotiate with media agencies Report on the effectiveness of marketing campaigns Conduct market research studies Source: Marketing director job descriptions
  • 6. Even in the research specific tasks Develop a marketing strategy Oversee implementation of the strategy Develop a brand strategy Set and spend an annual budget Create and attend events such as webinars, conferences and thought leadership contributions Guide the day-to-day activities of the marketing team Continually review changes to the market and the activities of competitors Manage social media Manage and measure marketing campaign costs Negotiate with media agencies Report on the effectiveness of marketing campaigns Conduct market research studies
  • 7. And yet, marketing directors are expected to use data everywhere Develop a marketing strategy Oversee implementation of the strategy Develop a brand strategy Set and spend an annual budget Create and attend events such as webinars, conferences and thought leadership contributions Guide the day-to-day activities of the marketing team Continually review changes to the market and the activities of competitors Manage social media Manage and measure marketing campaign costs Negotiate with media agencies Report on the effectiveness of marketing campaigns Conduct market research studies
  • 8.
  • 9. Research that’s easy to understand, trust, and use
  • 10. Step 1: Market mix modelling & attribution to understand marketing levers Sales Pricing Competitor activity Seasonality PromotionsAvailability Media investment Product quality Others suggested by client’s own knowledge
  • 11. Step 2: Explain findings in ways that normal people understand Simple analysis where possible This makes explaining where findings came from easier Compare with other research Findings should mostly match, but sometimes challenge Practice Always deploy experienced team that can see the wood for the trees • Debrief contains – Rules of thumb: If you do this, expect that – Accounting for the past: What worked, what didn’t • Making it usable means – communicate the common sense in findings – speak client’s language – build trust in results via triangulation – put results into context via benchmarks
  • 12. Step 3: Give the marketing director some “toys” to play with + Build in existing knowledge Test beliefs and hunches Explain clearly Useable findings
  • 13. A complex online retailer doing a huge range of marketing activity Sales of clothes, beauty products Promo codes, sales etc Comp- etitors Weather & season- ality Partners hips # and quality of range SEO, organic social Economy & clothing market Web and app changes Press, Radio, OOH, Cinema, TV Google shopper PPC in all its forms Influen- cers SEO in detail App roll out & down time Website nav changes Content on site
  • 14. 2020 2020 SALES £100M VS TARGET -5% BUDGET £10M ROI £2.50 A marketing “mixer” built using R and R-shiny PRICE COMMS Above the line Search & Shopper Influen- cers P R T V O Promo codes Seasonal sales Mark down Reset Export
  • 15. User can start from an uploaded plan and tweak, or build from scratch
  • 16. Add non-marketing drivers PRICE COMMS Above the line Search & Shopper Influen- cers P R T V O Promo codes Seasonal sales Mark down 2020 2020 SALES £100M VS TARGET -5% BUDGET £10M ROI £2.50 Reset Results Econ- omy Same day delivery by June Navigation re-design in March RANGE & STOCK Online shop- ping Compe titors
  • 19. Plan how to reach business targets Target: £15m £8 £8 £1.0 £0.4 £0.6 £0.6 £1.4 £3.0 2020 Price & promo Search & shopper Other above the line TV Improved delivery Range and Stock 2019 Highlight the contribution of marketing
  • 20. 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Mar-19 Plan Actual Know when it’s time to react
  • 21. So what did we learn? + Build in existing knowledge Test beliefs and hunches Explain clearly Useable findings
  • 22.
  • 23. e: grace@graciouseconomics.co.uk e: james@cultureofinsight.com tw: @grace_kite tw: @datasetfree w: http://graciouseconomics.co.uk/ w: http://cultureofinsight.com/