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Making data science clearer with... data science
1. Making data science clearer with….. data science
Culture of Insight and Gracious Economics
2.
3. Our job as data scientists:
Make order and simplicity out of all the loveable chaos that
is humans running around doing their thing
4. We are not there yet in data-science for marketing
Source: Gartner 2019
5. We aren’t helping the marketing director get through his to-do list
Develop a marketing
strategy
Oversee
implementation of the
strategy
Develop a brand
strategy
Set and spend an
annual budget
Create and attend
events such as
webinars, conferences
and thought leadership
contributions
Guide the day-to-day
activities of the
marketing team
Continually review
changes to the market
and the activities of
competitors
Manage social media
Manage and measure
marketing campaign
costs
Negotiate with media
agencies
Report on the
effectiveness of
marketing campaigns
Conduct market
research studies
Source: Marketing director job descriptions
6. Even in the research specific tasks
Develop a marketing
strategy
Oversee
implementation of the
strategy
Develop a brand
strategy
Set and spend an
annual budget
Create and attend
events such as
webinars, conferences
and thought leadership
contributions
Guide the day-to-day
activities of the
marketing team
Continually review
changes to the market
and the activities of
competitors
Manage social media
Manage and measure
marketing campaign
costs
Negotiate with media
agencies
Report on the
effectiveness of
marketing campaigns
Conduct market
research studies
7. And yet, marketing directors are expected to use data everywhere
Develop a marketing
strategy
Oversee
implementation of the
strategy
Develop a brand
strategy
Set and spend an
annual budget
Create and attend
events such as
webinars, conferences
and thought leadership
contributions
Guide the day-to-day
activities of the
marketing team
Continually review
changes to the market
and the activities of
competitors
Manage social media
Manage and measure
marketing campaign
costs
Negotiate with media
agencies
Report on the
effectiveness of
marketing campaigns
Conduct market
research studies
10. Step 1: Market mix modelling & attribution to understand marketing levers
Sales
Pricing
Competitor
activity
Seasonality
PromotionsAvailability
Media
investment
Product
quality
Others
suggested by
client’s own
knowledge
11. Step 2: Explain findings in ways that normal people understand
Simple
analysis
where
possible
This makes
explaining where
findings came from
easier
Compare
with
other
research
Findings should
mostly match, but
sometimes
challenge
Practice
Always deploy
experienced team
that can see the
wood for the trees
• Debrief contains
– Rules of thumb: If you do this, expect that
– Accounting for the past: What worked, what didn’t
• Making it usable means
– communicate the common sense in findings
– speak client’s language
– build trust in results via triangulation
– put results into context via benchmarks
12. Step 3: Give the marketing director some “toys” to play with
+
Build in
existing
knowledge
Test beliefs
and
hunches
Explain
clearly
Useable
findings
13. A complex online retailer doing a huge range of marketing activity
Sales of
clothes,
beauty
products
Promo
codes,
sales etc
Comp-
etitors
Weather
&
season-
ality
Partners
hips
# and
quality of
range
SEO,
organic
social
Economy
& clothing
market
Web and
app
changes
Press,
Radio,
OOH,
Cinema,
TV
Google
shopper
PPC in
all its
forms
Influen-
cers
SEO in
detail
App roll
out &
down
time
Website
nav
changes
Content
on site
14. 2020
2020 SALES £100M
VS TARGET -5%
BUDGET £10M
ROI £2.50
A marketing “mixer” built using R and R-shiny
PRICE COMMS
Above
the line
Search
&
Shopper
Influen-
cers
P
R
T
V
O
Promo
codes
Seasonal
sales
Mark
down
Reset Export
15. User can start from an uploaded plan and tweak, or build from scratch
16. Add non-marketing drivers
PRICE COMMS
Above
the line
Search
&
Shopper
Influen-
cers
P
R
T
V
O
Promo
codes
Seasonal
sales
Mark
down
2020
2020 SALES £100M
VS TARGET -5%
BUDGET £10M
ROI £2.50
Reset Results
Econ-
omy
Same day delivery by June
Navigation re-design in March
RANGE & STOCK
Online
shop-
ping
Compe
titors
19. Plan how to reach business targets
Target: £15m
£8
£8
£1.0
£0.4
£0.6
£0.6
£1.4
£3.0
2020
Price & promo
Search &
shopper
Other above the
line
TV
Improved
delivery
Range and Stock
2019
Highlight
the
contribution
of
marketing