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From The Floor
                                                                             5 October 2011


  Key Global Indices
                                                                               UK Market Snapshot
                               Last        1D % 5D % 1M%       1Y%
                              Cl ose         Chg Chg     Chg    Chg             UK markets plunged to close lower yesterday, amid investor concern over
 FTSE 100                   4,944.4       -2.6% -6.6% -3.1% -11.0%                Greece’s ability to avert a default. Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds Banking
 DJSTOXX 50                 2,090.6       -2.2% -4.2%     -0.8% -15.3%            Group and Barclays retreated between 4.2% and 7.6%, as their European
 FTSEurofirst 300             887.8       -2.7% -5.4%     -2.4% -15.5%            peer, Deutsche Bank, trimmed its earnings forecast. Investment manager,
 German DAX 30              5,216.7       -3.0% -7.3%     -0.6% -15.0%
                                                                                   Hargreaves Lansdowne tumbled 7.9%, and emerged as top laggard on the
 French CAC 40              2,850.6       -2.6% -5.7%     -5.0% -21.9%
                                                                                   FTSE 100 index, on negative comments from a broker and amid fears of
 Russia RTS Index           1,224.9       -5.2% -10.6% -24.2% -20.6%
 S&P 500                    1,124.0        2.2% -4.4%     -4.3%     -1.2%
                                                                                   “suppressed” demand for its investment products, while Man Group and
 Dow Jones Industrials     10,808.7        1.4% -3.4%     -3.8%     0.5%
                                                                                   Schroders shed 1.1% and 4.3%, respectively. Insurers, Aviva and Prudential
 Nasdaq Composite           2,404.8        3.0% -5.6%     -3.0%     2.6%          lost 4.6% and 6.2%, respectively, amid concerns over worsening of their
 Brazil Bovespa            50,686.3       -0.2% -6.0%     -7.8% -28.0%            portfolios. Miners, Anglo American and Lonmin, shed 3.4% and 5.3%,
 Nikkei 225*                8,409.3       -0.6% -1.8%     -3.7%     -9.9%         respectively, as Credit Suisse downgraded the former to “Neutral” from
 Shanghai Composite         2,359.2         0.0% -2.3%     -4.8% -11.2%            “Outperformer” and the latter to “Underperform” from “Neutral”. Fresnillo
 Sensex*                   15,940.4        0.5% -4.0%     -5.1% -22.5%            plunged 6.6%, following a sharp decline in silver prices. FTSE 100 slumped
 *Time - BST                      5:19:46 AM                                       2.6% to close at 4,944.4, while FTSE 250 lost 3.3% to settle at 9,425.9.


   5,100
                                                                               European Market Snapshot
                                                                                Other European markets closed sharply lower yesterday, led by heavy losses
   5,044                                                                           in banking sector stocks, amid fears of more write-downs by banks and after
                                                                                   policy makers highlighted that they might renegotiate terms of Greek
   4,988                                                                           bailout package, deepening concern that the sovereign debt crisis would
                                                                                   hurt the economic recovery. Among banking stocks, Deutsche Bank, fell
   4,931                                                                           4.3%, after the company trimmed its full-year earnings estimates and
                                                                                   announced more job cuts, while Dexia tumbled 23.0%, after its board asked
   4,875                                                                           the company to fix its “structural problems”. Airlines related stocks,
           8:00     9:45        11:30      13:15    15:00          16:35           Lufthansa, Air France and EADS, slumped between 4.3% and 9.1%, after CFO
                                                                                   of the International Air Transport Association, Tony Tyler, stated that profit
                                                                                   margins of airlines might shrink further if economic growth slows to less than
   10,850
                                                                                   2.4%. FTSEurofirst 300 index dropped 2.7% to 887.8. German DAX Xetra 30
                                                                                   eased 3.0% to end at 5,216.7. French CAC-40 edged down 2.6% to 2,850.6.
   10,738
                                                                               US Market Snapshot
   10,625
                                                                                US markets rebounded in the final hour of trading yesterday, to close higher,
                                                                                   amid reports that the European ministers are collaborating to recapitalize
   10,513
                                                                                   banks in the region, in an effort to keep contagion risk at bay. Morgan
                                                                                   Stanley, the top gainer on the S&P 500 index, soared 12.4%, while Citigroup
   10,400
            9:30      10:45     12:00      13:15    14:30      15:45               and JPMorgan Chase rallied 5.5% and 6.6%, respectively, amid easing worries
                                                                                   over the European debt crisis. Technology stocks, Intel, Taiwan Semi and
                                                                                   Nvidia climbed between 2.9% and 9.2%, following a report that showed
                                                                                   better-than-expected semiconductor sales in August. Yahoo climbed 6.9%,
  8,470
                                                                                   after private equity firm, Silver Lake, and Russia’s Digital Sky Technologies
                                                                                   joined Alibaba Group for a possible joint bid for Yahoo. AMR rebounded
  8,445
                                                                                   sharply, leaping 20.7%, after it resumed contract negotiations with pilots.
                                                                                   DJIA advanced 1.4% to close at 10,808.7. NASDAQ surged 3.0% to settle at
  8,420
                                                                                   2,404.8. S&P 500 rose 2.3% or 24.7 points to end at 1,124.0.
  8,395
                                                                               Asian Market Snapshot
  8,370                                                                         Asian markets are trading lower this morning, amid concerns that European
            9:00         9:45           10:30      11:15           13:00
                                                                                   law makers might not reach consensus on recapitalizing its banks, after
                                                                                   Moody’s Investors Service downgraded Italy’s credit rating. Among banking
  Manoj Ladwa                                        0207 392 1487
                                                                                   stocks, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group traded lower as risk aversion increased
  Index and Equity Desk                              0207 392 1479
                                                                                   among investors. Mitsubishi and Marubeni paced declines, as oil and copper
  Institutional Equities                             0207 392 1477                 prices declined yesterday. Fast Retailing lost value, after the company
  Commodities                                        0207 392 1403                 reported a decline in its sales for September. Tokyo Electric Power, traded
  Options                                            0207 392 1472                 lower, amid uncertainty over its payment of compensation to victims of
  Currencies                                         0207 392 1455                 radiation leaks, earlier this year. In South Korea, automobiles stocks, Kia
  Internet Dealing Desk                              0207 392 1434                 Motors and Hyundai Motor, paced declines, amid concern that slowing
                                                                                   global economic growth would affect demand. Nikkei 225 index is trading
                                                                                   0.6% lower, at 8,409.3, while the Kospi index is trading 1.3% lower, at
                                                                                   1,684.9. Markets in Hong-Kong are closed on account of public holiday.
ETX Capital, Beaufort House, 15 St Botolph Street, London EC3A 7DT Tel+44 (0) 207 392 1453

customerservice@etxcapital.co.uk                                                       www.etxcapital.com                           Refer to the last page for disclaimer
5 October 2011




 Commodities

             79.0
                                                                     1690.0                                                    8,600                                       2,355

             78.0                                                    1665.0                                                    8,100                                       2,291




                                                                                                                      $/ M T
 $/ b b l




                                                                                                                               7,600                                       2,228




                                                             $ /OZ
             77.0                                                    1640.0
                                                                                                                               7,100                                       2,164
             76.0
                                                                     1615.0
                                                                                                                               6,600                                       2,100
             75.0
                 0:40    6:10   11:40   17:10     23:20              1590.0                                                            20-Sep   23-Sep   28-Sep   3-Oct
                                                                           0:00     5:40   11:20 17:00 23:30                           Copper - LHS         Aluminium - RHS


 In Asia, crude oil for November delivery is trading 2.9% or $1.11 higher at $77.83 per barrel. Yesterday, crude oil for November
            delivery declined 2.5% or $1.94 to settle at $75.67 per barrel, amid worries over demand prospects, after Goldman Sachs
            forecasted that the euro zone would slip into a “mild recession” in the fourth-quarter of 2011 and first-quarter of 2012.
            Additionally, S&P’s Credit Ratings Services also stated that there was a 40% chance of a new recession in Western Europe next
            year. Crude oil also lost value, amid speculation that the US Energy Department’s weekly report would show a rise in crude oil
            inventories.
           Gold for immediate delivery is trading marginally higher today, at $1,630.36 per ounce. Gold for December delivery lost 2.5% or
            $41.70 to settle at $1,616 per ounce yesterday, as investors took advantage of recent impressive gains and preferred to book
            profits. Gold also paced declines, after reports indicated that European Finance Ministers were planning to coordinate
            recapitalizations of financial institutions in the region.



 Currencies

   1.1720                                                    1.5510                                                       1.3370


   1.1680                                                    1.5463                                                       1.3310


   1.1640                                                    1.5415                                                       1.3250


   1.1600                                                    1.5368
                                                                                                                          1.3190


   1.1560                                                    1.5320
                                                                                                                          1.3130
         0:00           6:40    13:20     20:00       2:40         0:00           6:40     13:20   20:00       2:40
                                                                                                                                0:00            6:40     13:20     20:00      2:40


 At 0400 BST today, the GBP is trading 0.2% lower against the USD at $1.5435, marginally higher against the EUR at €1.1614,
            and 0.4% lower against the JPY at ¥118.33.
           The EUR is trading 0.2% lower against the USD at $1.3290 and 0.4% lower against the JPY at ¥101.89.
           The EUR is trading lower against the USD and the JPY, amid speculation that mounting debt concerns and signs of economic
            slowdown would force the ECB to announce additional stimulus measures at its meeting tomorrow. The EUR also lost value,
            amid speculation that a report today would show a decline in the region’s retail sales in August
           The JPY is trading higher against the USD, as persisting concerns about the global economy forced investors to invest in safe
            haven assets.
           Yesterday, the USD closed lower against the EUR, as the US Federal Reserve Chairman stated that the central bank might
            implement a third round of quantitative easing if the European crisis deepens, and as European policy makers suggested at
            new ways to recapitalize banks and resolve the region’s debt crisis.
           The GBP closed lower against the EUR as investors speculated that the Bank of England would this week announce further
            monetary stimulus to shore up the economy.
           The AUD closed lower against the USD, amid speculation that the Reserve Bank of Australia might cut interest-rates further to
            ease inflationary pressures.




             2                                                                    From The Floor                                       Refer to the last page for disclaimer
5 October 2011




Key Economic Releases Today
                                                                                               Conse nsus/ *
Country      BST             E c onomi c Indi c a tor                                                                                            P re vi ous                                            Fre que nc y
                                                                                                   A c tua l s

UK           -               Halifax House Price (3M-YoY) (Sep) (5th-7th Oct)                           -2.10%                                            -2.60%                                                  Monthly

UK           -               Halifax Plc House Prices s.a. (MoM) (Sep) (5th-7th Oct)                    0.20%                                             -1.20%                                                  Monthly

UK           0:01            BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) (Sep)                                  2.70%*                                                        2.70%                                                Monthly

UK           9:30            Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q2)                                          0.20%                                                0.20%                                          Quarterly

UK           9:30            Current Account (Q2)                                               -£11.00 bn                             -£9.40 bn                                                            Quarterly

UK           9:30            Purchasing Manager Index Services (Sep)                                     50.50                                                     51.10                                          Monthly

UK           9:30            Government Spending (Q2)                                                   -0.10%                                               0.50%                                          Quarterly

UK           9:30            Gross Fixed Capital Formation (Q2)                                         0.70%                                             -2.00%                                            Quarterly

Germany      8:55            Purchasing Manager Index Services (Sep)                                     50.30                                                     50.30                                          Monthly

France       8:50            Purchasing Manager Index Services (Sep)                                     52.50                                                     52.50                                          Monthly

Eurozone     9:00            Purchasing Manager Index Composite (Sep)                                    49.20                                                     49.20                                          Monthly

Eurozone     9:00            Purchasing Manager Index Services (Sep)                                     49.10                                                     49.10                                          Monthly

Eurozone     10:00           Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)                                                   -0.30%                                               0.20%                                                Monthly

Eurozone     10:00           Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) (Q2)                                                       -                                  0.80%                                          Quarterly

US           12:00           MBA Mortgage Applications (W/E)                                                              -                                  9.30%                                                Weekly

US           12:30           Challenger Job Cuts (YoY) (Sep)                                                              -                               47.00%                                                  Monthly

US           13:15           ADP Employment Change (Sep)                                              70.00 K                                             91.00 K                                                 Monthly

US           15:00           ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite (Sep)                                       52.80                                                     53.30                                          Monthly




                     Re a l G D P - YoY                 CP I - YoY   10 Ye a r Bond Yi e l d
                                                                                                        4.00%
UK                                0.7%                       4.5%                      2.3%
US                                1.6%                       3.6%                      1.9%             2.70%

Japan                            -1.0%                       0.2%                      1.0%             1.40%
France                            1.6%                       2.2%                      2.5%
                                                                                                        0.10%
Germany                           2.7%                       2.4%                      1.8%
Brazil                            3.1%                       7.2%                      4.0%             -1.20%

Russia                            3.4%                       9.0%                      6.0%             -2.50%
                                                                                                                 Sep-09

                                                                                                                              Nov-09

                                                                                                                                        Jan-10

                                                                                                                                                 Mar-10

                                                                                                                                                          May-10

                                                                                                                                                                    Jul-10

                                                                                                                                                                             Sep-10

                                                                                                                                                                                      Nov-10

                                                                                                                                                                                               Jan-11

                                                                                                                                                                                                         Mar-11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   May-11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Jul-11




India                             7.7%                       8.4%                      8.3%
China                             9.7%                       6.2%                      4.1%




         3                                                   From The Floor                                                            Refer to the last page for disclaimer
5 October 2011




 Key Corporate Releases Today
UK
Compa ny N a me                                 Re sul ts          Curre nc y                                 Ful l Ye a r Conse nsus
                                                                                                E sti ma te d E P S             E sti ma te d Re ve nue (Mn)
Tesco Plc                                       Interim            GBP                                      35.73                                     65,694.40
Sportingbet Plc                                 Final              GBP                                        6.36                                        258.32
Imperial Innovations Group                      Prelim             GBP                                            -                                                  -
Baillie Gifford Japan Trust (The)               Prelim             GBP                                            -                                                  -
Note: All Estimates are for Full Year



Marston’s, Sainsbury (J), Tricorn Group, Dunelm Group, Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust Plc, John Wood Group Plc


Abbey, Alumasc Group, Begbies Traynor Group, City of London Investment Group, Eckoh, Edge Performance VCT 'C'
Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'D' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'E' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'F' Shares, Fidelity
Asian Values, Galliford Try, Haynes Publishing Group, Pacific Horizon Inv Trust, Petmin Ltd. (DI), Produce Investment,
Qatar Investment Fund, Ruffer Investment Company Ltd, Tricorn Group, Utilico Investments Ltd (DI), Zetar


Betfair Group, Iomart Group, Newmark Security Plc, PZ Cussons, Stagecoach Group


ARM Holdings, Greencore Group, Novae Group, Rathbone Brothers, Timeweave



Europe
Compa ny N a me                                 Re sul ts          Curre nc y                                 Ful l Ye a r Conse nsus
                                                                                                E sti ma te d E P S             E sti ma te d Re ve nue (Mn)
Nexeya Sa                                       Q4                 EUR                                        1.73                                        144.50
Bastide Le Confort Medical Sa                   Q4                 EUR                                        0.71                                        117.37
Itesoft Sa                                      Q2                 EUR                                        0.05                                           21.20
Industrivarden Ab                               Q3                 SEK                                     (12.21)                                                   -
Notrefamillecom Sa                              Q2                 EUR                                            -                                                  -
Note: All Estimates are for Full Year


US
Compa ny N a me                            Re sul ts         Curre nc y                            Ful l Ye a r Conse nsus                          Re l e a se
                                                                                    E sti ma te d E P S E sti ma te d Re ve nue (Mn)                 T i me
Costco Wholesale Corp                      Q4                USD                                   3.84                           95,460.00              D
M o nsanto Co                              Q4                USD                                   3.42                           12,470.00              D
Marriott International Inc                 Q3                USD                                   1.39                           12,400.00              U
RPM International Inc                      Q1                USD                                   1.59                             3,640.00             B
No te: A ll Estimates are fo r Full Year             (A = A fter the market clo ses, B = B efo re the market o pens, D = During market ho urs, U = Time unkno wn )




       4                                                        From The Floor                                          Refer to the last page for disclaimer
5 October 2011




What’s Hot & What’s Not

                                                                                                     Hargreaves Lansdown          -7.9%
     2.6%   Tesco


     1.9%   Burberry Group                                                                                          Barclays      -7.6%


                                                                                                                         IMI      -7.2%
     1.8%   Glencore International


     0.4%   International Power                                                                               Weir Group          -7.0%


    0.04%   Autonomy Corp                                                                                              GKN        -6.6%


                                                                                                                   Fresnillo      -6.6%


                                                                                                                     AMEC         -6.3%


                                                                                                               Prudential         -6.2%


                                                                                                       Vedanta Resources          -6.1%


                                                                                                   Randgold Resources Ltd         -6.1%


         0.0%           0.8%         1.6%   2.3%        3.1%     -8.4%        -6.3%        -4.2%           -2.1%               0.0%




Major Movers & Shakers
   Tesco added 2.6%, after UBS upgraded the stock to “Buy” from “Neutral”.
   Hargreaves Lansdown tumbled 7.9%, following negative comments from a broker.
   Barclays plummeted 7.6%, after a profit warning from its European peer, Deutsche Bank.
   Precious metal stocks, Randgold resources and Fresnillo, slumped 6.1% and 6.6%, respectively, following lower gold and silver
    prices.
   Vedanta Resources sank 6.1%, as base metal prices declined.




     5                                                  From The Floor                             Refer to the last page for disclaimer
5 October 2011




Disclaimer

This e-mail, including its contents and any attachments are confidential. Please delete this email and notify the sender
immediately, if you are not the named recipient. You should not copy it for any purpose or disclose its contents to any other
parties. Copyright is the property ETX Capital.


Any prices or data contained herein are indicative and subject to change without notice; its accuracy is not guaranteed and
should not be relied on. E-mail transmission cannot be guaranteed to be secure or free from errors. The sender therefore does
not accept liability for any errors or omissions in the contents of this message which arise as a result of e-mail transmission.


Although ETX Capital has taken reasonable precautions to minimise the risk of transmitting software viruses, we advise you to
carry out your own virus checks on any attachment to this message. We make no representation or warranty as to the absence
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If you receive this email in error, please telephone +44 (0) 20 7392 1494
ETX Capital is a trading name of Monecor (London) Limited which is registered in England at Beaufort House, 15 St Botolph
Street, London, EC3A 7DT under company number 851820, and is authorised and regulated by The Financial Services Authority,
FSA registration number 124721




   6                                                     From The Floor

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From the Floor 05october11

  • 1. From The Floor 5 October 2011 Key Global Indices UK Market Snapshot Last 1D % 5D % 1M% 1Y% Cl ose Chg Chg Chg Chg  UK markets plunged to close lower yesterday, amid investor concern over FTSE 100 4,944.4  -2.6% -6.6% -3.1% -11.0% Greece’s ability to avert a default. Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds Banking DJSTOXX 50 2,090.6  -2.2% -4.2% -0.8% -15.3% Group and Barclays retreated between 4.2% and 7.6%, as their European FTSEurofirst 300 887.8  -2.7% -5.4% -2.4% -15.5% peer, Deutsche Bank, trimmed its earnings forecast. Investment manager, German DAX 30 5,216.7  -3.0% -7.3% -0.6% -15.0% Hargreaves Lansdowne tumbled 7.9%, and emerged as top laggard on the French CAC 40 2,850.6  -2.6% -5.7% -5.0% -21.9% FTSE 100 index, on negative comments from a broker and amid fears of Russia RTS Index 1,224.9  -5.2% -10.6% -24.2% -20.6% S&P 500 1,124.0  2.2% -4.4% -4.3% -1.2% “suppressed” demand for its investment products, while Man Group and Dow Jones Industrials 10,808.7  1.4% -3.4% -3.8% 0.5% Schroders shed 1.1% and 4.3%, respectively. Insurers, Aviva and Prudential Nasdaq Composite 2,404.8  3.0% -5.6% -3.0% 2.6% lost 4.6% and 6.2%, respectively, amid concerns over worsening of their Brazil Bovespa 50,686.3  -0.2% -6.0% -7.8% -28.0% portfolios. Miners, Anglo American and Lonmin, shed 3.4% and 5.3%, Nikkei 225* 8,409.3  -0.6% -1.8% -3.7% -9.9% respectively, as Credit Suisse downgraded the former to “Neutral” from Shanghai Composite 2,359.2 0.0% -2.3% -4.8% -11.2% “Outperformer” and the latter to “Underperform” from “Neutral”. Fresnillo Sensex* 15,940.4  0.5% -4.0% -5.1% -22.5% plunged 6.6%, following a sharp decline in silver prices. FTSE 100 slumped *Time - BST 5:19:46 AM 2.6% to close at 4,944.4, while FTSE 250 lost 3.3% to settle at 9,425.9. 5,100 European Market Snapshot  Other European markets closed sharply lower yesterday, led by heavy losses 5,044 in banking sector stocks, amid fears of more write-downs by banks and after policy makers highlighted that they might renegotiate terms of Greek 4,988 bailout package, deepening concern that the sovereign debt crisis would hurt the economic recovery. Among banking stocks, Deutsche Bank, fell 4,931 4.3%, after the company trimmed its full-year earnings estimates and announced more job cuts, while Dexia tumbled 23.0%, after its board asked 4,875 the company to fix its “structural problems”. Airlines related stocks, 8:00 9:45 11:30 13:15 15:00 16:35 Lufthansa, Air France and EADS, slumped between 4.3% and 9.1%, after CFO of the International Air Transport Association, Tony Tyler, stated that profit margins of airlines might shrink further if economic growth slows to less than 10,850 2.4%. FTSEurofirst 300 index dropped 2.7% to 887.8. German DAX Xetra 30 eased 3.0% to end at 5,216.7. French CAC-40 edged down 2.6% to 2,850.6. 10,738 US Market Snapshot 10,625  US markets rebounded in the final hour of trading yesterday, to close higher, amid reports that the European ministers are collaborating to recapitalize 10,513 banks in the region, in an effort to keep contagion risk at bay. Morgan Stanley, the top gainer on the S&P 500 index, soared 12.4%, while Citigroup 10,400 9:30 10:45 12:00 13:15 14:30 15:45 and JPMorgan Chase rallied 5.5% and 6.6%, respectively, amid easing worries over the European debt crisis. Technology stocks, Intel, Taiwan Semi and Nvidia climbed between 2.9% and 9.2%, following a report that showed better-than-expected semiconductor sales in August. Yahoo climbed 6.9%, 8,470 after private equity firm, Silver Lake, and Russia’s Digital Sky Technologies joined Alibaba Group for a possible joint bid for Yahoo. AMR rebounded 8,445 sharply, leaping 20.7%, after it resumed contract negotiations with pilots. DJIA advanced 1.4% to close at 10,808.7. NASDAQ surged 3.0% to settle at 8,420 2,404.8. S&P 500 rose 2.3% or 24.7 points to end at 1,124.0. 8,395 Asian Market Snapshot 8,370  Asian markets are trading lower this morning, amid concerns that European 9:00 9:45 10:30 11:15 13:00 law makers might not reach consensus on recapitalizing its banks, after Moody’s Investors Service downgraded Italy’s credit rating. Among banking Manoj Ladwa 0207 392 1487 stocks, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group traded lower as risk aversion increased Index and Equity Desk 0207 392 1479 among investors. Mitsubishi and Marubeni paced declines, as oil and copper Institutional Equities 0207 392 1477 prices declined yesterday. Fast Retailing lost value, after the company Commodities 0207 392 1403 reported a decline in its sales for September. Tokyo Electric Power, traded Options 0207 392 1472 lower, amid uncertainty over its payment of compensation to victims of Currencies 0207 392 1455 radiation leaks, earlier this year. In South Korea, automobiles stocks, Kia Internet Dealing Desk 0207 392 1434 Motors and Hyundai Motor, paced declines, amid concern that slowing global economic growth would affect demand. Nikkei 225 index is trading 0.6% lower, at 8,409.3, while the Kospi index is trading 1.3% lower, at 1,684.9. Markets in Hong-Kong are closed on account of public holiday. ETX Capital, Beaufort House, 15 St Botolph Street, London EC3A 7DT Tel+44 (0) 207 392 1453 customerservice@etxcapital.co.uk www.etxcapital.com Refer to the last page for disclaimer
  • 2. 5 October 2011 Commodities 79.0 1690.0 8,600 2,355 78.0 1665.0 8,100 2,291 $/ M T $/ b b l 7,600 2,228 $ /OZ 77.0 1640.0 7,100 2,164 76.0 1615.0 6,600 2,100 75.0 0:40 6:10 11:40 17:10 23:20 1590.0 20-Sep 23-Sep 28-Sep 3-Oct 0:00 5:40 11:20 17:00 23:30 Copper - LHS Aluminium - RHS  In Asia, crude oil for November delivery is trading 2.9% or $1.11 higher at $77.83 per barrel. Yesterday, crude oil for November delivery declined 2.5% or $1.94 to settle at $75.67 per barrel, amid worries over demand prospects, after Goldman Sachs forecasted that the euro zone would slip into a “mild recession” in the fourth-quarter of 2011 and first-quarter of 2012. Additionally, S&P’s Credit Ratings Services also stated that there was a 40% chance of a new recession in Western Europe next year. Crude oil also lost value, amid speculation that the US Energy Department’s weekly report would show a rise in crude oil inventories.  Gold for immediate delivery is trading marginally higher today, at $1,630.36 per ounce. Gold for December delivery lost 2.5% or $41.70 to settle at $1,616 per ounce yesterday, as investors took advantage of recent impressive gains and preferred to book profits. Gold also paced declines, after reports indicated that European Finance Ministers were planning to coordinate recapitalizations of financial institutions in the region. Currencies 1.1720 1.5510 1.3370 1.1680 1.5463 1.3310 1.1640 1.5415 1.3250 1.1600 1.5368 1.3190 1.1560 1.5320 1.3130 0:00 6:40 13:20 20:00 2:40 0:00 6:40 13:20 20:00 2:40 0:00 6:40 13:20 20:00 2:40  At 0400 BST today, the GBP is trading 0.2% lower against the USD at $1.5435, marginally higher against the EUR at €1.1614, and 0.4% lower against the JPY at ¥118.33.  The EUR is trading 0.2% lower against the USD at $1.3290 and 0.4% lower against the JPY at ¥101.89.  The EUR is trading lower against the USD and the JPY, amid speculation that mounting debt concerns and signs of economic slowdown would force the ECB to announce additional stimulus measures at its meeting tomorrow. The EUR also lost value, amid speculation that a report today would show a decline in the region’s retail sales in August  The JPY is trading higher against the USD, as persisting concerns about the global economy forced investors to invest in safe haven assets.  Yesterday, the USD closed lower against the EUR, as the US Federal Reserve Chairman stated that the central bank might implement a third round of quantitative easing if the European crisis deepens, and as European policy makers suggested at new ways to recapitalize banks and resolve the region’s debt crisis.  The GBP closed lower against the EUR as investors speculated that the Bank of England would this week announce further monetary stimulus to shore up the economy.  The AUD closed lower against the USD, amid speculation that the Reserve Bank of Australia might cut interest-rates further to ease inflationary pressures. 2 From The Floor Refer to the last page for disclaimer
  • 3. 5 October 2011 Key Economic Releases Today Conse nsus/ * Country BST E c onomi c Indi c a tor P re vi ous Fre que nc y A c tua l s UK - Halifax House Price (3M-YoY) (Sep) (5th-7th Oct) -2.10% -2.60% Monthly UK - Halifax Plc House Prices s.a. (MoM) (Sep) (5th-7th Oct) 0.20% -1.20% Monthly UK 0:01 BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) (Sep) 2.70%* 2.70% Monthly UK 9:30 Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q2) 0.20% 0.20% Quarterly UK 9:30 Current Account (Q2) -£11.00 bn -£9.40 bn Quarterly UK 9:30 Purchasing Manager Index Services (Sep) 50.50 51.10 Monthly UK 9:30 Government Spending (Q2) -0.10% 0.50% Quarterly UK 9:30 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (Q2) 0.70% -2.00% Quarterly Germany 8:55 Purchasing Manager Index Services (Sep) 50.30 50.30 Monthly France 8:50 Purchasing Manager Index Services (Sep) 52.50 52.50 Monthly Eurozone 9:00 Purchasing Manager Index Composite (Sep) 49.20 49.20 Monthly Eurozone 9:00 Purchasing Manager Index Services (Sep) 49.10 49.10 Monthly Eurozone 10:00 Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) -0.30% 0.20% Monthly Eurozone 10:00 Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) (Q2) - 0.80% Quarterly US 12:00 MBA Mortgage Applications (W/E) - 9.30% Weekly US 12:30 Challenger Job Cuts (YoY) (Sep) - 47.00% Monthly US 13:15 ADP Employment Change (Sep) 70.00 K 91.00 K Monthly US 15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite (Sep) 52.80 53.30 Monthly Re a l G D P - YoY CP I - YoY 10 Ye a r Bond Yi e l d 4.00% UK 0.7% 4.5% 2.3% US 1.6% 3.6% 1.9% 2.70% Japan -1.0% 0.2% 1.0% 1.40% France 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 0.10% Germany 2.7% 2.4% 1.8% Brazil 3.1% 7.2% 4.0% -1.20% Russia 3.4% 9.0% 6.0% -2.50% Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 India 7.7% 8.4% 8.3% China 9.7% 6.2% 4.1% 3 From The Floor Refer to the last page for disclaimer
  • 4. 5 October 2011 Key Corporate Releases Today UK Compa ny N a me Re sul ts Curre nc y Ful l Ye a r Conse nsus E sti ma te d E P S E sti ma te d Re ve nue (Mn) Tesco Plc Interim GBP 35.73 65,694.40 Sportingbet Plc Final GBP 6.36 258.32 Imperial Innovations Group Prelim GBP - - Baillie Gifford Japan Trust (The) Prelim GBP - - Note: All Estimates are for Full Year Marston’s, Sainsbury (J), Tricorn Group, Dunelm Group, Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust Plc, John Wood Group Plc Abbey, Alumasc Group, Begbies Traynor Group, City of London Investment Group, Eckoh, Edge Performance VCT 'C' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'D' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'E' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'F' Shares, Fidelity Asian Values, Galliford Try, Haynes Publishing Group, Pacific Horizon Inv Trust, Petmin Ltd. (DI), Produce Investment, Qatar Investment Fund, Ruffer Investment Company Ltd, Tricorn Group, Utilico Investments Ltd (DI), Zetar Betfair Group, Iomart Group, Newmark Security Plc, PZ Cussons, Stagecoach Group ARM Holdings, Greencore Group, Novae Group, Rathbone Brothers, Timeweave Europe Compa ny N a me Re sul ts Curre nc y Ful l Ye a r Conse nsus E sti ma te d E P S E sti ma te d Re ve nue (Mn) Nexeya Sa Q4 EUR 1.73 144.50 Bastide Le Confort Medical Sa Q4 EUR 0.71 117.37 Itesoft Sa Q2 EUR 0.05 21.20 Industrivarden Ab Q3 SEK (12.21) - Notrefamillecom Sa Q2 EUR - - Note: All Estimates are for Full Year US Compa ny N a me Re sul ts Curre nc y Ful l Ye a r Conse nsus Re l e a se E sti ma te d E P S E sti ma te d Re ve nue (Mn) T i me Costco Wholesale Corp Q4 USD 3.84 95,460.00 D M o nsanto Co Q4 USD 3.42 12,470.00 D Marriott International Inc Q3 USD 1.39 12,400.00 U RPM International Inc Q1 USD 1.59 3,640.00 B No te: A ll Estimates are fo r Full Year (A = A fter the market clo ses, B = B efo re the market o pens, D = During market ho urs, U = Time unkno wn ) 4 From The Floor Refer to the last page for disclaimer
  • 5. 5 October 2011 What’s Hot & What’s Not Hargreaves Lansdown -7.9% 2.6% Tesco 1.9% Burberry Group Barclays -7.6% IMI -7.2% 1.8% Glencore International 0.4% International Power Weir Group -7.0% 0.04% Autonomy Corp GKN -6.6% Fresnillo -6.6% AMEC -6.3% Prudential -6.2% Vedanta Resources -6.1% Randgold Resources Ltd -6.1% 0.0% 0.8% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% -8.4% -6.3% -4.2% -2.1% 0.0% Major Movers & Shakers  Tesco added 2.6%, after UBS upgraded the stock to “Buy” from “Neutral”.  Hargreaves Lansdown tumbled 7.9%, following negative comments from a broker.  Barclays plummeted 7.6%, after a profit warning from its European peer, Deutsche Bank.  Precious metal stocks, Randgold resources and Fresnillo, slumped 6.1% and 6.6%, respectively, following lower gold and silver prices.  Vedanta Resources sank 6.1%, as base metal prices declined. 5 From The Floor Refer to the last page for disclaimer
  • 6. 5 October 2011 Disclaimer This e-mail, including its contents and any attachments are confidential. Please delete this email and notify the sender immediately, if you are not the named recipient. You should not copy it for any purpose or disclose its contents to any other parties. Copyright is the property ETX Capital. Any prices or data contained herein are indicative and subject to change without notice; its accuracy is not guaranteed and should not be relied on. E-mail transmission cannot be guaranteed to be secure or free from errors. The sender therefore does not accept liability for any errors or omissions in the contents of this message which arise as a result of e-mail transmission. Although ETX Capital has taken reasonable precautions to minimise the risk of transmitting software viruses, we advise you to carry out your own virus checks on any attachment to this message. We make no representation or warranty as to the absence of viruses in this e-mail or any attachments. In order to protect our customers and business and comply with our regulatory requirements, we may monitor and read e-mails sent to and from our server(s). If you receive this email in error, please telephone +44 (0) 20 7392 1494 ETX Capital is a trading name of Monecor (London) Limited which is registered in England at Beaufort House, 15 St Botolph Street, London, EC3A 7DT under company number 851820, and is authorised and regulated by The Financial Services Authority, FSA registration number 124721 6 From The Floor