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BCBS Advocates High Quality
Implementation of IFRS 9
Issues guidelines for Banks & Regulators
01
Ÿ The Basel Committee has finalized its Ÿ The Committee has clearly outlined that the
supervisory guidance on how the ECL banks should consider the principle of
accounting model should interact with a proportionality and materiality for finalizing
bank’s overall credit risk practices, and the methodology for ECL estimation, as it is
provisioning framework, aimed primarily for very much evident that ‘one size fits all’
internationally active banks. approach would not be applicable.
Ÿ The new guidance provided by the Ÿ The Committee has outlined its expectation
Committee replaces the guidance issued for inclusion of forward looking information
in June 2006 on ‘Sound credit risk and macroeconomic forecasts to the
assessment and valuation for loans’. historical information in the ECL estimation
process and over the use of ‘temporaryŸ The Committee for the first time allows for
adjustments’ to the ECLestimates.the immediate reversal of allowances,
recognizing that, ECL accounting Ÿ The Committee has outlined the
frameworks are symmetrical, though this requirement of robust policies and
might introduce some volatility in P&L procedures for validation of models, and
statement. maintains its rigorous stance for model
governance framework in consistency with
regulatory requirements for Basel II IRB
purposes.
Ÿ Use of IFRS 9 practical expedients (such as,
more than 30 days past dues, low credit risk
exemption, information set) has been
limited by the Committee, as these can
introduce significant biases which could be
a n i m p e d i m e n t i n h i g h q u a l i t y
implementation of IFRS9 standards.
Ÿ The Committee considers that the long-term
benefit of a high-quality IFRS 9
implementation far outweighs the
associated costs, which should therefore
not be considered undue.
Ÿ The guidance emphasizes on periodical
‘supervisory evaluation’ of a bank’s credit
risk practices, methods adopted by a bank
to determine accounting allowances in
accordance with the applicable accounting
framework.
Ÿ To meet the expectation of the Committee’s
on high quality implementation of ECL
estimation, banks need to estimate risk
components for the entire lending
exposures.
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
BCBS has provided insights on sound credit risk and
accounting practices associated with the implementation
of Expected Credit Losses accounting frameworks
th
Highlights of the guidance issued by BCBS on 18 December 2015
Key guidance’s discussed in the paper
1 Basel Committee expectations on implementation of ECL accounting framework . . . . . 3
2 Responsibilities and Expectations from Banking Supervisors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
3 Commonality across Processes and Infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
4 Scope and Application of Accounting Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
5 Applicability of the Rule of Symmetry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
6 Model Validation and Governance Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
7 Use of forward-looking and macroeconomic forecasts in ECL estimation. . . . . . . . . . . . 9
8 System implementation for Credit risk deterioration identification. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
9 Other points discussed in the paper . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
02
Content Page
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
The views expressed in this document are based on our understanding of the guidelines provided by the Basel Committee
paper. Few excerpts have been reproduced from the guidance note. Entities are advised to consult the texts of any
requirements before they apply and seek the advice of their accounting and legal advisors.
03
Basel Committee for Banking Supervision The Committee has also clearly specified that
(BCBS or the Committee) has acknowledged the guidance does not set out any additional
1
requirements regarding the determination ofthat historically incurred loss model was the
2
basis for measurement of credit losses for expected loss for regulatory capital purposes.
accounting purposes. This was implemented However, the results of accounting standards
across various jurisdictions, and also within the expected credit losses (ECL) calculations
same jurisdictions with significant differences, could be different from Basel II calculations
primarily on account of a number of practices (EL), due to use of Point-in-Time PD instead of
that were followed at the country, regional, and Through-the-Cycle (TTC) PD, and other
at the entity level. differences in the overall calculations
methodologies.
For this reason, the Committee has
emphasized on the importance of high- As a result, the provisioning treatment on
q u a l i t y, r o b u s t , a n d c o n s i s t e n t account of IFRS9 accounting standards could
implementation of applicable ECL accounting lead to either of the two scenarios –
framework, at internationally active banks
a. When IRB EL is more than IFRS9 ECL –
across all jurisdictions. This can be achieved by
this difference would lead to reduction in
consistent interpretation of guidelines and
Tier 1 capital;
practices where there exist commonalities
across accounting frameworks. b. When IRB EL is less than IFRS9 ECL –
banks may recognise this difference in Tier
Given this, we strongly believe that supervisors 3
2 capital
across various jurisdictions would be
publishing stringent guidelines on accounting The key guidance points discussed later in this
of ECL, to support the clearly outlined document are aimed to support the
expectations of BCBS, and there would be committee’s view on how banks should
limited scope available (after consideration of augment their existing credit risk practices to
proportionality and materiality principles) to allow for high-quality, robust and consistent
banks across same jurisdictions to have assessments and measurements of ECL.
distinct practices for estimation of credit losses
for accounting purposes.
Basel Committee Expectations on
Implementation of ECL Accounting Framework1
1
Paragraph 5 of the guidance note, available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
2
Paragraph 3 and 9 of the guidance note
3
Paragraph 61 of BCBS paper available at www.bis.org/publ/bcbs189.pdf
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
T h e r o l e a n d
expectations from the
banking supervisors of
various jurisdictions
have been very well
defined by BCBS in
the guidance note.
The Committee has
s t r e s s e d o n t h e
‘periodical supervisory
prudential review’ of
the methodologies
adopted by various
b a n k s f o r
d e t e r m i n a t i o n o f
prescriptive model, which in turn would be
expected credit losses as per the applicable
assessed by the supervisors for its4
accounting framework. As a result, banks have
appropriateness. And the Committee expects
to gain concurrence from their supervisors that
the documentation of the reasons as to why the
the policies and procedures used by them for
selected method is appropriate for a bank’s
ECL estimations are robust, timely and adhere 6
portfolios.
to sound credit risk practices as described in
the guidance note. Banking supervisors would also be responsible
for assessment of level of allowances as an
It has also been made quite clear that, it is the
element of a bank’s overall capital adequacy.
management’s responsibility to implement the
As a part of this exercise supervisors would
accounting policies and prepare the financial
also assess, how the management of the bank
statements. Therefore, supervisors are not
has maintained internal control systems,5
expected to pre-approve a banks’ ECL
processes, and policies to establish acceptable
accounting model. The Committee expects a 7
allowances estimation framework.
prudent review for robustness of credit risk
assessment models and policies post It is expected that if there are any deficiencies
implementation. observed in the credit risk assessment of ECL
measurements, then such deficiencies would
Many banks have been expecting that the
be reflected in supervisory ratings by the
prescriptive model to identify the target state
regulators/ supervisors, or through a higher
across range of methodologies for IFRS9 ECL
capital requirement under Pillar 2 of the Basel
estimations may be provided by the statutory
capital framework. Therefore, we strongly
auditors and the Investment Committees;
believe that, banking supervisors of various
however after the release of the final guidance
jurisdictions will play a strategic role in high
note from the Committee, it is quite apparent
quality implementation of applicable
that banks have to develop their own
accounting standards across banks.
04
Responsibilities and Expectations from
Banking Supervisors2
4
Paragraph 83 and 85 of the guidance note, available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
5
Foot note 27 of the guidance note
6
Paragraph 31 of the guidance note
7
Paragraph 88 of the guidance note
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
05
Commonality across
Processes and
Infrastructure
3
The Committee has highlighted the existence
of commonality in the processes, systems,
tools and data used for measurement of both
ECL for accounting purposes and EL for
8
capital adequacy purposes. Consequently,
the Committee has emphasized on the
importance of consistent use of information,
which is critical in achieving maximum
possible consistency across both the
purposes.
Accordingly, we strongly support the view of
the Committee and believe that these common
processes and data are closely interrelated, as
there cannot exist variance in the information
used for both the purposes, and therefore as
an outcome, banks will achieve considerably
reliable and consistent ECL estimates which
are more transparent to all the stakeholders
including investors.
We believe that banks can achieve synergy
and can leverage the existing infrastructure for
establishment of the ECL accounting
framework by using the prevalent tools and
systems (such as credit rating systems,
collateral management systems); and data
could include historical defaults, vintage,
product type, days past dues, demographics,
pricing, model ratings, collaterals, or other
relevant factors. However the methodologies
for ECL estimation could be different in
comparison to EL computation for capital
adequacy purposes.
Scope & Application
of Accounting
Framework
4
The Committee has stated clearly that all the
lending exposures to which an ECL framework
is applicable, should be considered for ECL
9
estimation and has provided no exemption
bucket for compliance to accounting
standards.
From our extensive experience, we
understand that many banks have few parts of
lending exposures kept outside the purview of
rating system, and in order to comply with the
requirements prescribed by the Committee,
banks would need to estimate risk
components for the entire lending exposures.
To achieve this, banks may have to invest in
highly skilled human resources along with
upgradation of existing systems or
development of new systems.
The Committee has recognised that
supervisors across jurisdictions may adopt a
10
proportionate approach with regard to the
guidelines which supervisors issue to various
banks, and this remains consistent with the
Basel Core Principles.
We believe that effective implementation of
proportionate approach would require banks
to initiate with their portfolio assessment and
understand the complexity, riskiness and
structure of the portfolio, other additional
information. This would be followed by defining
8
Paragraph 69 of guidance note, available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
9
Paragraph 10 of guidance note
10
Paragraph 15 of the guidance note, available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
an appropriate prescriptive model to identify
target state across range of methodologies
varying in sophistication, and then establish
the most appropriate methodology for ECL
estimation across the entire portfolio. As per
our view, it is very evident from the expectation
of the Committee that 'one size fits all' would
not be possible, and every Bank has to define
its own prescriptive model. For that reason,
depending upon the size, portfolio structure,
complexities and economic significance of
various banks across a jurisdiction, there could
be variance in the prescriptive models adopted
by various banks.
Considering a bank X with 10 branches across
a jurisdiction and, another bank Y with 80
branches in the same jurisdiction. Bank Y is
considered as one of the largest banks in the
jurisdiction, and offers a greater variety of
products in comparison to Bank X.
Understandably, the prescriptive model
adopted by bank Y could differ from that of
Bank X due to its bigger size, higher degree of
complexity and greater economic significance.
The Committee has explicated that due
consideration should be given to the
application of principle of materiality, and
that any exposure (individual or portfolio
exposure) should not be considered
immaterial if, cumulatively, these represent a
material exposure to the bank. It has further
explained that, materiality should not be
assessed only on the basis of the potential
impact on the profit or loss statement at the
11
reporting date . For instance, large portfolio(s)
of high-quality credit exposures should be
considered material.
As per our view, prudent materiality
assessment is required to be performed by the
banks; as this will be one of the crucial building
blocks towards the development of
prescriptive model and selection of an
appropriate ECL estimation methodology for
various exposures. This would involve expert
judgments from senior management and
should be very well documented for
supervisory review of the entire process.
Applicability of the
Rule of Symmetry5
The Committee has acknowledged that ECL
accounting framework is symmetrical in
nature, and subsequent changes in the credit
risk profile of a debtor (both deteriorations and
reversals of those deteriorations) should be
12
considered in measurement of allowances,
i.e. reversal of allowances is allowed.
However, this initiative from the Committee
may introduce some volatility in the P&L
statement.
In our view, banks would have to invest in the
development of system/ tool which should be
equipped to manage the movement of
allowance across all lending exposures
(individually or collectively) due to change in
the credit risk of the exposure. This might also
require the management to use its
experienced credit judgment to consider the
movement of exposures across categories
and should be documented for supervisory
review.
The Committee has also highlighted that
reversal of deteriorations (i.e. increase in
credit worthiness of the debtor) should be well
supported by strong evidence and a debtor
should be able to perform consistently over a
reasonable period of time.
06
11
Paragraph 16 of the guidance note
12
Paragraph 18 of the guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
07
The Committee expects that banks should and the senior management of banks need
have well defined credit risk assessment to establish, and the respective boards
processes that capture the varying level, should approve, comprehensive model
nature and drivers of credit risk of the portfolio validation policy.
and enables the bank to appropriately group – Banks13
exposures. It is also expected that the entire need to ensure that roles and
credit risk rating process should have an responsibilities for (i) model validation and
independent review function. (ii) independent review of the validation
process are clearly and formally defined.F o r a p p r o p r i a t e a s s e s s m e n t a n d
Also, the model validation and modelmeasurement of ECL banks would be using a
development should be performed bynumber of models for identification of various
independent teams of the bank.aspects including credit risk rating, credit
deterioration tiggers, estimates of PD, LGD –
and EAD, maturity, estimation of allowances Banks need to perform periodic review of
for accounting and capital adequacy purposes. model’s robustness, consistency, accuracy
The Committee recognizes that development and its continued relevance to the
of these models involves extensive judgment underlying portfolio. The scope for
and therefore banks should have robust validation should include a review of model
policies and procedures in place for inputs, model design and model
14
validation of models, and the Committee outputs/performance.
maintains its rigor stance for model – The
governance framework in consistency with Committee strongly emphasizes on
regulatory requirements for Basel II IRB comprehensive documentation across all
purposes. the dimensions related to ECL estimations,
We strongly support the above view of The and as a result banks need to ensure that
Committee on robust model validation process the model validation process is
requirement, which remains consistent with comprehensively documented.
IRB regulatory requirements. The Committee
has also elaborated the need and key elements – Banks should appoint15
of a model validation framework – independent parties (e.g. internal or
external auditors) to conduct regular– Banks should
reviews of the model validation process.have well defined governance framework
b. Clear roles and responsibilities
c. Validation scope and methodology
d. Model management policy
e. Independent review of model validation
process
a. Governance framework
Model Validation and
Governance Framework6
13
Paragraph 44 of the guidance note
14
Paragraph 60 of the guidance note
15
Paragraph 61 of the guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
The findings of model validation process need economic forecasts globally, and other forward
to be reported to the appropiate authority looking information, we believe that a robust
levels across the banks, and the corrective and effective model governance framework is
measures (re-calibration or re-development of one of the significant component of sound
models) should be promptly taken, if required. credit risk practices which would be followed
by various banks.Considering our past experiences, future
08
Use of
forward-looking and
macroeconomic
forecasts in
ECL Estimations
7
The Committee defines that the aggregate forecasts, which can impact the ECL
amount of allowances irrespective of the ECL assessment and have to maintain
estimation methodology should be adequate comprehensive documentation for
and comply with the accounting standards supervisory review.
16
requirement. For appropriate measurement The Committee allows for temporary
19of allowance the Committee also expects, adjustments to the allowance, if it becomes
banks to consider relevant forward-looking evident that a bank’s allowance methodology
information including macroeconomic factors has not considered existing or expected risk
that are relevant to the exposure being factors that could affect ECL estimates, it is
evaluated and must go beyond historical and expected that such adjustments should be of17
current available data. temporary in nature only, else update of
methodology would be required.The Committee has very clearly defined its
expectations from banks in terms of However, the use of temporary adjustments is
consideration of supportable forward-looking required to be consistent with the forward-
information into its ECL estimates. looking, including macroeconomic forecasts
Regardless, of the assessment approach and should also be supported by appropriate
i.e. whether individual or collective (PD/LGD) documentation.
assessment adopted by a bank, the ECL
We support the view of the Committee on theestimate should incorporate the expected
incorporation of forward looking-informationimpacts on account of forward-looking
into the ECL estimates and believe that itinformation, including macroeconomic
18 would be comparatively easier for banks toforecasts,thataffectthecreditrisk.
adopt a collective assessment approach, as
The Committee has clearly outlined that incorporation of such information in models
Banks need not necessarily identify or would be much easier in comparison to
model every possible scenario, or use individual assessment approach for ECL
directly the industry-wide stressed scenarios, estimation which in turn requires high level of
but shall consider all the relevant forward- expert judgments.
looking information and macroeconomic
16
Principle 4 of the guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
17
Paragraph 53 of the guidance note
18
Paragraph 56 of the guidance note
19
Paragraph 50, 51 and 58 of the guidance note
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
09
IFRS 9, paragraph 5.5.4, states: “The objective and measurement of ECL. Therefore, the
of the impairment requirements is to recognise Committee emphasizes on the importance of
22
LEL (lifetime ECL) for all financial instruments implementation of systems by banks (if not
for which there have been significant increase established already) to manage and assess
in credit risk since initial recognition – whether large amount of information that would be
assessed on an individual or on a collective required to assess that whether a particular
basis – considering all reasonable and lending exposure or a group of lending
supportable information, including that which is exposure has observed significant increase in
forward-looking.” credit risk.
It is evident from the IFRS9 objective stated From our experience in the industry, most of the
above that, banks need to timely recognize the banks have not implemented or are under the
‘significant’ increase in
credit risk since initial
20
recognition, so that
individual or group of
exposures is transferred
to another stage, in
accordance with IFRS9
accounting requirements.
The Committee has also
e x p l a i n e d t h a t
delinquency data is
generally backward
looking and are lagging
indicators of significant
increase in credit risk. In
this regard it expects that
banks will not use more-
than-30-days past-due
planning stage for considering implementationrebuttable presumption as a primary indicator
21
of ‘Early Warning Systems’to monitor the creditfor transfer to LEL, and will consider each of
deterioration across their portfolio. Therefore,the 16 classes of indicators in IFRS 9, as set out
in order to comply with the IFRS9 standardsin paragraphs B5.5.17 (a)–(p) and, banks need
requirements of strong governance, systems,to incorporate forward-looking information and
and controls which are required to be in placeeconomic forecasts in their list of early warning
for developing forecasts using forward-lookingindicators.
information should remain consistent across
IFRS9 ECL estimations require enormous the entity within a group. Hence, banks have to
amount of information, data, analysis and use reinstate their resolve to develop or purchase a
of experienced credit judgment, especially for third party early warning framework.
assessment of significant increase in credit risk
System Implementation for
Credit risk deterioration identification8
20
Paragraph A16 of the guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
21
Paragraph A52, A53, A19 and A20 of the guidance note
22
Paragraph A15 of the guidance note
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
Treatment of restructured/ modified lending exposures, and that a nil allowance will be rare
exposures is also clarified by the Committee, because ECL estimates are a probability-
and based on this; our opinion on the treatment weighted amount that shall reflect the
of such exposures remains consistent with the possibility that a credit loss will occur.
Basel II framework. The committee has IFRS 9 does not directly provide the definition
emphasized on the need to demonstrate of default, and necessitates entities to define
c o n s i s t e n t l y s a t i s f a c t o r y p a y m e n t default in a manner consistent with other
performance, over a reasonable period of time reporting purposes. IFRS 9 paragraph
before credit risk would be considered to have B5.5.37, also includes a rebuttable
decreased, and only then the customer can be presumption that default does not occur later
moved to low risk category. than 90 days past due. Hence, the Committee
The Committee has recognized that if banks recommends that banks adopt the same
are not able to identify for a subgroup of definition of default for IFRS 9 which they are
borrowers within a group for which credit risk using for regulatory reporting purposes.
has increased, then partial movement of the For robust and high quality implementation of
appropriate proportion of the overall group IFRS 9 standards, the Committee expects that,
should be subject to LELmeasurement . practical expedients should have limited use by
We also strongly support Committee’s view the banks, as these have the potential to
regarding the necessity to assess the change introduce significant bias in the overall ECL
in risk of default (i.e. PD) over the effective assessment process, and which can be
maturity of the financial instrument for deterrent in achieving the objectives of the
26
identification of significant increase in credit IFRS 9 standards. Therefore, we don’t expect
risk since initial recognition. Therefore, banks that supervisors of various jurisdictions will
need to include lifetime PD as one the key allow banks to use just 30 days-past-due as an
factors for credit deterioration assessment. indicator for movement of exposures to LEL
And, the Committee also expects that a bank measurement.
will always measure ECL for all the lending
Other points discussed in the paper
9
10
23
Paragraph 39 of guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf
24
Paragraph A34 of the guidance note
25
Paragraph A1 and A3 of the guidance note
26
Paragraph A39 of the guidance note
© Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
About
Aptivaa is a vertically focused finance and risk management
consulting and analytics firm with world-class competencies in Credit
Risk, Market Risk, Operational Risk, Basel III, IFRS-9, Risk Analytics,
COSO, ALM, Model Risk Management, ICAAP, Stress Testing, Risk
Data and Reporting. Aptivaa has emerged as a leading risk
management solutions firm having served over 100 clients across 22
countries comprising of highly respected names in the financial
services industry.
Aptivaa’s LEO suite of proprietary tools & frameworks are designed to
accelerate IFRS-9 implementation in areas such as classification,
stage evaluation, PIT-PD Calibration, Lifetime-PD, LGD, EAD and
Lifetime ECL.
UAE US UK India| | |
Feel free to send your IFRS-9 related queries to:
Sandip Mukherjee
Co-Founder and Principal Consultant
Email: sandip.mukherjee@aptivaa.com
Phone: +91- 98210- 41373
Contact: info@aptivaa.com | www.linkedin.com/company/aptivaaWebsite: www.aptivaa.com |

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White paper on BCBS Guidelines for IFRS 9

  • 1. BCBS Advocates High Quality Implementation of IFRS 9 Issues guidelines for Banks & Regulators
  • 2. 01 Ÿ The Basel Committee has finalized its Ÿ The Committee has clearly outlined that the supervisory guidance on how the ECL banks should consider the principle of accounting model should interact with a proportionality and materiality for finalizing bank’s overall credit risk practices, and the methodology for ECL estimation, as it is provisioning framework, aimed primarily for very much evident that ‘one size fits all’ internationally active banks. approach would not be applicable. Ÿ The new guidance provided by the Ÿ The Committee has outlined its expectation Committee replaces the guidance issued for inclusion of forward looking information in June 2006 on ‘Sound credit risk and macroeconomic forecasts to the assessment and valuation for loans’. historical information in the ECL estimation process and over the use of ‘temporaryŸ The Committee for the first time allows for adjustments’ to the ECLestimates.the immediate reversal of allowances, recognizing that, ECL accounting Ÿ The Committee has outlined the frameworks are symmetrical, though this requirement of robust policies and might introduce some volatility in P&L procedures for validation of models, and statement. maintains its rigorous stance for model governance framework in consistency with regulatory requirements for Basel II IRB purposes. Ÿ Use of IFRS 9 practical expedients (such as, more than 30 days past dues, low credit risk exemption, information set) has been limited by the Committee, as these can introduce significant biases which could be a n i m p e d i m e n t i n h i g h q u a l i t y implementation of IFRS9 standards. Ÿ The Committee considers that the long-term benefit of a high-quality IFRS 9 implementation far outweighs the associated costs, which should therefore not be considered undue. Ÿ The guidance emphasizes on periodical ‘supervisory evaluation’ of a bank’s credit risk practices, methods adopted by a bank to determine accounting allowances in accordance with the applicable accounting framework. Ÿ To meet the expectation of the Committee’s on high quality implementation of ECL estimation, banks need to estimate risk components for the entire lending exposures. © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved. BCBS has provided insights on sound credit risk and accounting practices associated with the implementation of Expected Credit Losses accounting frameworks th Highlights of the guidance issued by BCBS on 18 December 2015
  • 3. Key guidance’s discussed in the paper 1 Basel Committee expectations on implementation of ECL accounting framework . . . . . 3 2 Responsibilities and Expectations from Banking Supervisors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 3 Commonality across Processes and Infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 4 Scope and Application of Accounting Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 5 Applicability of the Rule of Symmetry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 6 Model Validation and Governance Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 7 Use of forward-looking and macroeconomic forecasts in ECL estimation. . . . . . . . . . . . 9 8 System implementation for Credit risk deterioration identification. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 9 Other points discussed in the paper . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 02 Content Page © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved. The views expressed in this document are based on our understanding of the guidelines provided by the Basel Committee paper. Few excerpts have been reproduced from the guidance note. Entities are advised to consult the texts of any requirements before they apply and seek the advice of their accounting and legal advisors.
  • 4. 03 Basel Committee for Banking Supervision The Committee has also clearly specified that (BCBS or the Committee) has acknowledged the guidance does not set out any additional 1 requirements regarding the determination ofthat historically incurred loss model was the 2 basis for measurement of credit losses for expected loss for regulatory capital purposes. accounting purposes. This was implemented However, the results of accounting standards across various jurisdictions, and also within the expected credit losses (ECL) calculations same jurisdictions with significant differences, could be different from Basel II calculations primarily on account of a number of practices (EL), due to use of Point-in-Time PD instead of that were followed at the country, regional, and Through-the-Cycle (TTC) PD, and other at the entity level. differences in the overall calculations methodologies. For this reason, the Committee has emphasized on the importance of high- As a result, the provisioning treatment on q u a l i t y, r o b u s t , a n d c o n s i s t e n t account of IFRS9 accounting standards could implementation of applicable ECL accounting lead to either of the two scenarios – framework, at internationally active banks a. When IRB EL is more than IFRS9 ECL – across all jurisdictions. This can be achieved by this difference would lead to reduction in consistent interpretation of guidelines and Tier 1 capital; practices where there exist commonalities across accounting frameworks. b. When IRB EL is less than IFRS9 ECL – banks may recognise this difference in Tier Given this, we strongly believe that supervisors 3 2 capital across various jurisdictions would be publishing stringent guidelines on accounting The key guidance points discussed later in this of ECL, to support the clearly outlined document are aimed to support the expectations of BCBS, and there would be committee’s view on how banks should limited scope available (after consideration of augment their existing credit risk practices to proportionality and materiality principles) to allow for high-quality, robust and consistent banks across same jurisdictions to have assessments and measurements of ECL. distinct practices for estimation of credit losses for accounting purposes. Basel Committee Expectations on Implementation of ECL Accounting Framework1 1 Paragraph 5 of the guidance note, available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf 2 Paragraph 3 and 9 of the guidance note 3 Paragraph 61 of BCBS paper available at www.bis.org/publ/bcbs189.pdf © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
  • 5. T h e r o l e a n d expectations from the banking supervisors of various jurisdictions have been very well defined by BCBS in the guidance note. The Committee has s t r e s s e d o n t h e ‘periodical supervisory prudential review’ of the methodologies adopted by various b a n k s f o r d e t e r m i n a t i o n o f prescriptive model, which in turn would be expected credit losses as per the applicable assessed by the supervisors for its4 accounting framework. As a result, banks have appropriateness. And the Committee expects to gain concurrence from their supervisors that the documentation of the reasons as to why the the policies and procedures used by them for selected method is appropriate for a bank’s ECL estimations are robust, timely and adhere 6 portfolios. to sound credit risk practices as described in the guidance note. Banking supervisors would also be responsible for assessment of level of allowances as an It has also been made quite clear that, it is the element of a bank’s overall capital adequacy. management’s responsibility to implement the As a part of this exercise supervisors would accounting policies and prepare the financial also assess, how the management of the bank statements. Therefore, supervisors are not has maintained internal control systems,5 expected to pre-approve a banks’ ECL processes, and policies to establish acceptable accounting model. The Committee expects a 7 allowances estimation framework. prudent review for robustness of credit risk assessment models and policies post It is expected that if there are any deficiencies implementation. observed in the credit risk assessment of ECL measurements, then such deficiencies would Many banks have been expecting that the be reflected in supervisory ratings by the prescriptive model to identify the target state regulators/ supervisors, or through a higher across range of methodologies for IFRS9 ECL capital requirement under Pillar 2 of the Basel estimations may be provided by the statutory capital framework. Therefore, we strongly auditors and the Investment Committees; believe that, banking supervisors of various however after the release of the final guidance jurisdictions will play a strategic role in high note from the Committee, it is quite apparent quality implementation of applicable that banks have to develop their own accounting standards across banks. 04 Responsibilities and Expectations from Banking Supervisors2 4 Paragraph 83 and 85 of the guidance note, available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf 5 Foot note 27 of the guidance note 6 Paragraph 31 of the guidance note 7 Paragraph 88 of the guidance note © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
  • 6. 05 Commonality across Processes and Infrastructure 3 The Committee has highlighted the existence of commonality in the processes, systems, tools and data used for measurement of both ECL for accounting purposes and EL for 8 capital adequacy purposes. Consequently, the Committee has emphasized on the importance of consistent use of information, which is critical in achieving maximum possible consistency across both the purposes. Accordingly, we strongly support the view of the Committee and believe that these common processes and data are closely interrelated, as there cannot exist variance in the information used for both the purposes, and therefore as an outcome, banks will achieve considerably reliable and consistent ECL estimates which are more transparent to all the stakeholders including investors. We believe that banks can achieve synergy and can leverage the existing infrastructure for establishment of the ECL accounting framework by using the prevalent tools and systems (such as credit rating systems, collateral management systems); and data could include historical defaults, vintage, product type, days past dues, demographics, pricing, model ratings, collaterals, or other relevant factors. However the methodologies for ECL estimation could be different in comparison to EL computation for capital adequacy purposes. Scope & Application of Accounting Framework 4 The Committee has stated clearly that all the lending exposures to which an ECL framework is applicable, should be considered for ECL 9 estimation and has provided no exemption bucket for compliance to accounting standards. From our extensive experience, we understand that many banks have few parts of lending exposures kept outside the purview of rating system, and in order to comply with the requirements prescribed by the Committee, banks would need to estimate risk components for the entire lending exposures. To achieve this, banks may have to invest in highly skilled human resources along with upgradation of existing systems or development of new systems. The Committee has recognised that supervisors across jurisdictions may adopt a 10 proportionate approach with regard to the guidelines which supervisors issue to various banks, and this remains consistent with the Basel Core Principles. We believe that effective implementation of proportionate approach would require banks to initiate with their portfolio assessment and understand the complexity, riskiness and structure of the portfolio, other additional information. This would be followed by defining 8 Paragraph 69 of guidance note, available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf 9 Paragraph 10 of guidance note 10 Paragraph 15 of the guidance note, available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
  • 7. an appropriate prescriptive model to identify target state across range of methodologies varying in sophistication, and then establish the most appropriate methodology for ECL estimation across the entire portfolio. As per our view, it is very evident from the expectation of the Committee that 'one size fits all' would not be possible, and every Bank has to define its own prescriptive model. For that reason, depending upon the size, portfolio structure, complexities and economic significance of various banks across a jurisdiction, there could be variance in the prescriptive models adopted by various banks. Considering a bank X with 10 branches across a jurisdiction and, another bank Y with 80 branches in the same jurisdiction. Bank Y is considered as one of the largest banks in the jurisdiction, and offers a greater variety of products in comparison to Bank X. Understandably, the prescriptive model adopted by bank Y could differ from that of Bank X due to its bigger size, higher degree of complexity and greater economic significance. The Committee has explicated that due consideration should be given to the application of principle of materiality, and that any exposure (individual or portfolio exposure) should not be considered immaterial if, cumulatively, these represent a material exposure to the bank. It has further explained that, materiality should not be assessed only on the basis of the potential impact on the profit or loss statement at the 11 reporting date . For instance, large portfolio(s) of high-quality credit exposures should be considered material. As per our view, prudent materiality assessment is required to be performed by the banks; as this will be one of the crucial building blocks towards the development of prescriptive model and selection of an appropriate ECL estimation methodology for various exposures. This would involve expert judgments from senior management and should be very well documented for supervisory review of the entire process. Applicability of the Rule of Symmetry5 The Committee has acknowledged that ECL accounting framework is symmetrical in nature, and subsequent changes in the credit risk profile of a debtor (both deteriorations and reversals of those deteriorations) should be 12 considered in measurement of allowances, i.e. reversal of allowances is allowed. However, this initiative from the Committee may introduce some volatility in the P&L statement. In our view, banks would have to invest in the development of system/ tool which should be equipped to manage the movement of allowance across all lending exposures (individually or collectively) due to change in the credit risk of the exposure. This might also require the management to use its experienced credit judgment to consider the movement of exposures across categories and should be documented for supervisory review. The Committee has also highlighted that reversal of deteriorations (i.e. increase in credit worthiness of the debtor) should be well supported by strong evidence and a debtor should be able to perform consistently over a reasonable period of time. 06 11 Paragraph 16 of the guidance note 12 Paragraph 18 of the guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
  • 8. 07 The Committee expects that banks should and the senior management of banks need have well defined credit risk assessment to establish, and the respective boards processes that capture the varying level, should approve, comprehensive model nature and drivers of credit risk of the portfolio validation policy. and enables the bank to appropriately group – Banks13 exposures. It is also expected that the entire need to ensure that roles and credit risk rating process should have an responsibilities for (i) model validation and independent review function. (ii) independent review of the validation process are clearly and formally defined.F o r a p p r o p r i a t e a s s e s s m e n t a n d Also, the model validation and modelmeasurement of ECL banks would be using a development should be performed bynumber of models for identification of various independent teams of the bank.aspects including credit risk rating, credit deterioration tiggers, estimates of PD, LGD – and EAD, maturity, estimation of allowances Banks need to perform periodic review of for accounting and capital adequacy purposes. model’s robustness, consistency, accuracy The Committee recognizes that development and its continued relevance to the of these models involves extensive judgment underlying portfolio. The scope for and therefore banks should have robust validation should include a review of model policies and procedures in place for inputs, model design and model 14 validation of models, and the Committee outputs/performance. maintains its rigor stance for model – The governance framework in consistency with Committee strongly emphasizes on regulatory requirements for Basel II IRB comprehensive documentation across all purposes. the dimensions related to ECL estimations, We strongly support the above view of The and as a result banks need to ensure that Committee on robust model validation process the model validation process is requirement, which remains consistent with comprehensively documented. IRB regulatory requirements. The Committee has also elaborated the need and key elements – Banks should appoint15 of a model validation framework – independent parties (e.g. internal or external auditors) to conduct regular– Banks should reviews of the model validation process.have well defined governance framework b. Clear roles and responsibilities c. Validation scope and methodology d. Model management policy e. Independent review of model validation process a. Governance framework Model Validation and Governance Framework6 13 Paragraph 44 of the guidance note 14 Paragraph 60 of the guidance note 15 Paragraph 61 of the guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
  • 9. The findings of model validation process need economic forecasts globally, and other forward to be reported to the appropiate authority looking information, we believe that a robust levels across the banks, and the corrective and effective model governance framework is measures (re-calibration or re-development of one of the significant component of sound models) should be promptly taken, if required. credit risk practices which would be followed by various banks.Considering our past experiences, future 08 Use of forward-looking and macroeconomic forecasts in ECL Estimations 7 The Committee defines that the aggregate forecasts, which can impact the ECL amount of allowances irrespective of the ECL assessment and have to maintain estimation methodology should be adequate comprehensive documentation for and comply with the accounting standards supervisory review. 16 requirement. For appropriate measurement The Committee allows for temporary 19of allowance the Committee also expects, adjustments to the allowance, if it becomes banks to consider relevant forward-looking evident that a bank’s allowance methodology information including macroeconomic factors has not considered existing or expected risk that are relevant to the exposure being factors that could affect ECL estimates, it is evaluated and must go beyond historical and expected that such adjustments should be of17 current available data. temporary in nature only, else update of methodology would be required.The Committee has very clearly defined its expectations from banks in terms of However, the use of temporary adjustments is consideration of supportable forward-looking required to be consistent with the forward- information into its ECL estimates. looking, including macroeconomic forecasts Regardless, of the assessment approach and should also be supported by appropriate i.e. whether individual or collective (PD/LGD) documentation. assessment adopted by a bank, the ECL We support the view of the Committee on theestimate should incorporate the expected incorporation of forward looking-informationimpacts on account of forward-looking into the ECL estimates and believe that itinformation, including macroeconomic 18 would be comparatively easier for banks toforecasts,thataffectthecreditrisk. adopt a collective assessment approach, as The Committee has clearly outlined that incorporation of such information in models Banks need not necessarily identify or would be much easier in comparison to model every possible scenario, or use individual assessment approach for ECL directly the industry-wide stressed scenarios, estimation which in turn requires high level of but shall consider all the relevant forward- expert judgments. looking information and macroeconomic 16 Principle 4 of the guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf 17 Paragraph 53 of the guidance note 18 Paragraph 56 of the guidance note 19 Paragraph 50, 51 and 58 of the guidance note © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
  • 10. 09 IFRS 9, paragraph 5.5.4, states: “The objective and measurement of ECL. Therefore, the of the impairment requirements is to recognise Committee emphasizes on the importance of 22 LEL (lifetime ECL) for all financial instruments implementation of systems by banks (if not for which there have been significant increase established already) to manage and assess in credit risk since initial recognition – whether large amount of information that would be assessed on an individual or on a collective required to assess that whether a particular basis – considering all reasonable and lending exposure or a group of lending supportable information, including that which is exposure has observed significant increase in forward-looking.” credit risk. It is evident from the IFRS9 objective stated From our experience in the industry, most of the above that, banks need to timely recognize the banks have not implemented or are under the ‘significant’ increase in credit risk since initial 20 recognition, so that individual or group of exposures is transferred to another stage, in accordance with IFRS9 accounting requirements. The Committee has also e x p l a i n e d t h a t delinquency data is generally backward looking and are lagging indicators of significant increase in credit risk. In this regard it expects that banks will not use more- than-30-days past-due planning stage for considering implementationrebuttable presumption as a primary indicator 21 of ‘Early Warning Systems’to monitor the creditfor transfer to LEL, and will consider each of deterioration across their portfolio. Therefore,the 16 classes of indicators in IFRS 9, as set out in order to comply with the IFRS9 standardsin paragraphs B5.5.17 (a)–(p) and, banks need requirements of strong governance, systems,to incorporate forward-looking information and and controls which are required to be in placeeconomic forecasts in their list of early warning for developing forecasts using forward-lookingindicators. information should remain consistent across IFRS9 ECL estimations require enormous the entity within a group. Hence, banks have to amount of information, data, analysis and use reinstate their resolve to develop or purchase a of experienced credit judgment, especially for third party early warning framework. assessment of significant increase in credit risk System Implementation for Credit risk deterioration identification8 20 Paragraph A16 of the guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf 21 Paragraph A52, A53, A19 and A20 of the guidance note 22 Paragraph A15 of the guidance note © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
  • 11. Treatment of restructured/ modified lending exposures, and that a nil allowance will be rare exposures is also clarified by the Committee, because ECL estimates are a probability- and based on this; our opinion on the treatment weighted amount that shall reflect the of such exposures remains consistent with the possibility that a credit loss will occur. Basel II framework. The committee has IFRS 9 does not directly provide the definition emphasized on the need to demonstrate of default, and necessitates entities to define c o n s i s t e n t l y s a t i s f a c t o r y p a y m e n t default in a manner consistent with other performance, over a reasonable period of time reporting purposes. IFRS 9 paragraph before credit risk would be considered to have B5.5.37, also includes a rebuttable decreased, and only then the customer can be presumption that default does not occur later moved to low risk category. than 90 days past due. Hence, the Committee The Committee has recognized that if banks recommends that banks adopt the same are not able to identify for a subgroup of definition of default for IFRS 9 which they are borrowers within a group for which credit risk using for regulatory reporting purposes. has increased, then partial movement of the For robust and high quality implementation of appropriate proportion of the overall group IFRS 9 standards, the Committee expects that, should be subject to LELmeasurement . practical expedients should have limited use by We also strongly support Committee’s view the banks, as these have the potential to regarding the necessity to assess the change introduce significant bias in the overall ECL in risk of default (i.e. PD) over the effective assessment process, and which can be maturity of the financial instrument for deterrent in achieving the objectives of the 26 identification of significant increase in credit IFRS 9 standards. Therefore, we don’t expect risk since initial recognition. Therefore, banks that supervisors of various jurisdictions will need to include lifetime PD as one the key allow banks to use just 30 days-past-due as an factors for credit deterioration assessment. indicator for movement of exposures to LEL And, the Committee also expects that a bank measurement. will always measure ECL for all the lending Other points discussed in the paper 9 10 23 Paragraph 39 of guidance note available at www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d350.pdf 24 Paragraph A34 of the guidance note 25 Paragraph A1 and A3 of the guidance note 26 Paragraph A39 of the guidance note © Aptivaa 2016. All rights reserved.
  • 12. About Aptivaa is a vertically focused finance and risk management consulting and analytics firm with world-class competencies in Credit Risk, Market Risk, Operational Risk, Basel III, IFRS-9, Risk Analytics, COSO, ALM, Model Risk Management, ICAAP, Stress Testing, Risk Data and Reporting. Aptivaa has emerged as a leading risk management solutions firm having served over 100 clients across 22 countries comprising of highly respected names in the financial services industry. Aptivaa’s LEO suite of proprietary tools & frameworks are designed to accelerate IFRS-9 implementation in areas such as classification, stage evaluation, PIT-PD Calibration, Lifetime-PD, LGD, EAD and Lifetime ECL. UAE US UK India| | | Feel free to send your IFRS-9 related queries to: Sandip Mukherjee Co-Founder and Principal Consultant Email: sandip.mukherjee@aptivaa.com Phone: +91- 98210- 41373 Contact: info@aptivaa.com | www.linkedin.com/company/aptivaaWebsite: www.aptivaa.com |