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David Vallejo
The Solar Business in the
Global Energy Perspective:
A personal experience in the
business development
worldwide
Photograph by NASA/GSFC/SDO
5th of May, 2015
Madrid
1.Introduction
2.Types of Solar Energy
3.Solar Business Activites: Development and Construction
Italy Experience
4. O&M Services
5. What´s next?
6. Q&A.
2
1. Introduction dvallejo@student.ie.edu
@DavidVallejo76
es.linkedin.com/in/dvallejom
• Solarig is an Spanish SME
• Only specialized in
Photovoltaic – Solar Energy
• Started its activities in 2005
and already in China in 2006
• Offices in Greece 2007.
• Offices in Italy, Bulgary,
Korea, USA in 2008
3
• Evaluating Solar
Opportunities around all the
world.
• Succeed tremendously in
Italy.
• Construtions in France &
Belgium
• Touch the market in India,
USA, South America.
• Construction in UK in the
coming years.
• What is next?
4
Types of
Solar Energy
5
• Thermal or Solar Thermal
• Electrical Production
• CPV: Concentrate Photovoltaic
• CSP: Concentrated Solar Power
• Photovoltaic (PV)
• Thermal panels mainly on roofs
• Only for heating water
• Shorter life than PV modules
• CPV technology very unsuccessfully so far
• CSP complex technology, huge capital reqs
• PV easiest, reliable (>30 years), profitable
• Thin-film developed was interrupted due to
reduction in Crystalline technology
• Very punctual advantages of thin-film
• Thin-film
• Crystalline (Mono/Poly)
2. Types of Solar Energy
6
Thermal or Solar Thermal
7
CPV: Concentrate Photovoltaic
Fraunhofer ISE, Levelized Cost of Electricity - Renewable Energy Technologies,
www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/veroeffentlichungen/veroeffentlichungen-pdf-dateien/studien-und-
konzeptpapiere/studie-stromgestehungskosten-erneuerbare-energien.pdf (2013).
LCOE (Levelized Cost of Energy) for ≠ irradiations Cost Outlook: Comparison between different techs
8
CPV: Concentrate Photovoltaic
300 M$
Investment
9
CPV: Concentrate Photovoltaic
Source: http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/French-CPV-Hopeful-Soitec-Exits-the-Solar-Business
• Emcore bankruptcy.
• Sharp, very bad economical
situation.
• Soitec …
• Technology was only valid for very
high irradiation areas.
• Not reliability yet.
• Even if potentiality is there
10
CSP: Concentrated Solar Power
Source: https://energypedia.info/wiki/Concentrating_Solar_Power_(CSP)_-_Technology 11
CSP: Concentrated Solar Power
• Complex and expensive
civil works.
• Several needs:
Isolated areas (flat, mirrow
reflections, water availability)
• Not commercialized in
small scale (minimum
needed 50-100 has, 25-50-
100MW)
• When feasible, profitability
higher than PV
12
PV: Photovoltaic: Thin-film
• Only 3 big players remain.
• Huge cost reduction in
Crystalline technology limit
its growth
• Lower efficiency (12% vs
18%)
• Better performance in some
climate extreme conditions
• “Nicer” frame and image
than crystalline – roofs.
13
PV: Photovoltaic: Thin-film
14
PV: Photovoltaic: Thin-film
• Less than 10% PV share &
decreasing from 2009 …
• 80% installed in USA & Japan
15
PV: Photovoltaic
16
PV: Photovoltaic
European facts with high
subsidies policy:
• 1st “Feed-in-tariff”
Germany 2004.
• Big “bubbles”:
Spain 2007.
Italy 2010.
17
PV: Photovoltaic: Crystalline
Mono-crystalline: These are produced
from silicon wafers or single cylindrical
crystal of silicon. They are noted for their
high silicon content.
Pros: Most efficient panels
Cons: More expensive.
Poly-crystalline: They are produced
from molds of melted and recrystallized
silicon. They contain lower silicon
content than the mono-crystalline.
Pros: Perform better in high
temperatures, cost less to produce.
Cons: Less efficient than the mono-
crystalline
18
19
Solar
Business
Activities
20
Italy: 2008-2011
2008
Start up
business
Local
partnerships
2009 2010
Start
construction
Secure
pipeline
EPC full
capacity
Preparing
O&M and
financing
2011
New
opportunities?
21
Activities managed
Development:
PLAs
6-24 months
Construction:
EPC
Operation &
Maitenance
(O&M)
3-18 months
20 years
at least
Shovel /
Ready for
construction
Connection:
COD
22
Elements of a Photovoltaic Project: PLAs
Feasibility
Study and
site visit
Secure Land
Rights
Secure Grid
Connection
Get other
local, regional,
etc.. permits
Permits, Licences and Authorisations (PLAs)
that allow to start construction, operate during 20 years and get the subsidies
• Evaluate civil cost,
cleaning, road access,
shadows, drainage
• Solar production
• Distance to the grid
connection
• Tentative quotation from
utility and land owner
• Right of surface or land
purchase option.
• Easement rights (access
and connection)
• Check mortgages,
inheritance
• Official Cadastral Records
vs Land Owner Records
• Technical conditions.
• Quotation / milestones
• Who make it?
• Time schedule
• Secure the F.I.T.
• Environmental Impact
Assessment (EIA).
• Archaeological
• Construction License
• Agricultural Land
Conversion
• Forest Land
• Around 30-40 permits
(some N/A)
23
Time Schedule: Financial Dpt
Development:
PLAs
6-24 months
Construction: EPC
Operation & Maitenance
(O&M)
3-18 months
20 years
at least
Shovel /
Ready for
construction
Connection:
COD
Due Diligence
Financing
24
Due Diligence
Technical Legal
Financial:
Business
Plan
Insurance
Third party verification that allow the company the assessment of the risks involved
in the operation in order to satisfy stakeholders (shareholders, lenders, etc…)
Credibility of the
assumptions expressed and
the feasibility in terms of:
• Time
• Constrains
• suppliers chosen.
• Costs
• Legal bond that secure
that all rights to start the
construction, connect, and
exploit the project for at
least 20 years
• Credibility of the solar
production P75, P90.
• Financial terms (tenor,
leverage, spread, swap…)
• Deviations admitted and
bank requirements
According to IPP, EPC and
lenders requirements:
• Construction.
• Operation & Maintenance
25
Construction Phases
Engineering Procurement Construction
Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) of Solar Photovoltaic Projects
must comply with legislations and national technical standards, provide enough
warranties to lenders and investors
Compliance with the project
constrains. Topography
survey after preliminary
design.
Executive design to be
submitted to the different
entities, technical advisors,
EPC and IPP.
Negotiation of:
• Technical data sheets
• Warranties
• Payment terms and
• Delivery terms.
Bottleneck: Downpayment
and construction period of
substations
Other suppliers max 16
weeks
Delays for:
• Bad engineering and
procurement
• Legal issues.
• Weather constrains
• Sudden Events
Keep in mind buffer
schedule
Utility – connection “queue”
very difficult to schedule
And after construction?
• Who will make the O&M?
• Warranty of the EPC.
• Take over from EPC to
O&M contractor
• 1-2 years.
26
PV: Photovoltaic
Materials Contractors: Manpower
Modules / Panels
Inverters /
Power Conditioners
Mounting System /
Structure
Transformation Center
Substation (if applicable)
String boxes, cable, etc…
Electrical Works
Civil Works
27
How it works: Utility & Residential Scale
28
29
Operation
&Maintenance
(O&M)
30
O&M: Country Organigram
SOLARIG JAPAN
COUNTRY MANAGER
DIRECTOR
Administration Dept.
RRHH Dept.
Legal Dept.
Quality Dept.
STAFF
DEPARTMENTS
Tohoku Kanto Kansai Chugoku ChubuHokkaido Shikoku Kysushu
ZONE
MANEGER
Operations Manager
Customer
Service Dept.
Facility
Management Dept.
Monotoring
System Dept.
Operations Dept. System & Control Dept.
MAIN
DEPARTMENTS
TechnicianTechnician
TECHNICIAN
Technician Technician Technician Technician Technician Technician
31
O&M: Who verify the quality of the service
Some of the Technical Advisors
with whom we are working.
Banks
Technical Services
Technical Management
Production Control
Due Diligence
Due Diligence on
site
Ancillary
ServicesManagement of Security
and Communication
Services Facility Management
Analisys and reports
Insurance and contract
managenemt
Administrative and Accounting
Services
Legal Management
32
O&M Activities
Monitoring Control 24 hours/365 days
Corrective Maintenance
• Response time in less than “x” hours from failure
notification
• On site visit repair/checks.
• Close the incident report and introduce in the CMMS
Monthly Report
• Monthly production detail
• Tasks made on the plant
• Corrective actions carried out
• Including photograpies
Why is so important a periodical control of the plant?
• Fail detection in a beginner phase
• Reduction in the number of urgent interventions
• Improvement of the availability and productivity of the plant
• Manufacturers warranties and guarantees preservation.
33
O&M: Premium services
Production study
Modules Test( Thermography inspection and IV Test)
• Hot spots
• Snail tracks
• Etc,
Design mistakes study
Report including all the improvements to be done
Production improvement study
Intervention proposal (Quotation&Planning)
Improvement Works & Production comparative
IV Test Thermography inspection
34
Facility Assets Management
Administrative and Accounting Control
Legal Management
Insurance policy management
• Knowledge of the main risk factors of a PV Plant
• Incidents management
35
What´s next?
36
Global Energy Sources
Data from IEA World Energy Outlook 2011 37
Global CO2 Emissions
Is it relevant the
renewables contribution
to reduce this CO2
emissions?
38
CO2 Emissions 1990-2013
Mainly Global Financial Crisis Effects
39
CO2 Emissions Forecast 2035
Source: http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/press/bp-magazine/conversations/chief-economist-on-energy-outlook.html
Shall we do something more?
40
Main Barriers for the Renewables
Grid Connection
Constrains
Slow Storage
Development
No long term policy
across nations
Not clear commitment that all
members believe
Very high cost for the short
term & together with nuclear
dismantling
41
42
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2015-05-01/here-s-why-tesla-is-building-batteries-for-your-home 43
Why home batteries are so “good”
• Reduce impact of
peak production &
peak consumption
• Make the
consumption more
predictable
• Better maintenance of
the grid connection
• Avoid shortages
44
Batteries Price Projections
• Many different technologies
competing.
• Different purposes.
• Many big players onboard
45
USA: Grid parity & Residential Potential
• Tax incentives
• Battery Outlook
• Economic Outlook & policy incentives
New Installations Solar Outlook
46
Facts: Small Relative Contribution
Not included all the
“saved energy” due
to batteries
47
For the debate
• Outlook in China, India, Japan, Australia
• The competitive advantage of solar & battery storage in the islands
• Divergencies in European National Policy.
• Role of the Nuclear Energy
• Relevance of the Smart Grid Technology and other disruptive innovations may arise
• Competitive approach: Feed in tariff policy vs tenders (South Africa and Germany examples)
48
Q&A
dvallejo@student.ie.edu
@DavidVallejo76
es.linkedin.com/in/dvallejom
Thanks!
Gracias
49

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The Solar Business Global Perspective

  • 1. David Vallejo The Solar Business in the Global Energy Perspective: A personal experience in the business development worldwide Photograph by NASA/GSFC/SDO 5th of May, 2015 Madrid
  • 2. 1.Introduction 2.Types of Solar Energy 3.Solar Business Activites: Development and Construction Italy Experience 4. O&M Services 5. What´s next? 6. Q&A. 2
  • 3. 1. Introduction dvallejo@student.ie.edu @DavidVallejo76 es.linkedin.com/in/dvallejom • Solarig is an Spanish SME • Only specialized in Photovoltaic – Solar Energy • Started its activities in 2005 and already in China in 2006 • Offices in Greece 2007. • Offices in Italy, Bulgary, Korea, USA in 2008 3
  • 4. • Evaluating Solar Opportunities around all the world. • Succeed tremendously in Italy. • Construtions in France & Belgium • Touch the market in India, USA, South America. • Construction in UK in the coming years. • What is next? 4
  • 6. • Thermal or Solar Thermal • Electrical Production • CPV: Concentrate Photovoltaic • CSP: Concentrated Solar Power • Photovoltaic (PV) • Thermal panels mainly on roofs • Only for heating water • Shorter life than PV modules • CPV technology very unsuccessfully so far • CSP complex technology, huge capital reqs • PV easiest, reliable (>30 years), profitable • Thin-film developed was interrupted due to reduction in Crystalline technology • Very punctual advantages of thin-film • Thin-film • Crystalline (Mono/Poly) 2. Types of Solar Energy 6
  • 7. Thermal or Solar Thermal 7
  • 8. CPV: Concentrate Photovoltaic Fraunhofer ISE, Levelized Cost of Electricity - Renewable Energy Technologies, www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/veroeffentlichungen/veroeffentlichungen-pdf-dateien/studien-und- konzeptpapiere/studie-stromgestehungskosten-erneuerbare-energien.pdf (2013). LCOE (Levelized Cost of Energy) for ≠ irradiations Cost Outlook: Comparison between different techs 8
  • 10. CPV: Concentrate Photovoltaic Source: http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/French-CPV-Hopeful-Soitec-Exits-the-Solar-Business • Emcore bankruptcy. • Sharp, very bad economical situation. • Soitec … • Technology was only valid for very high irradiation areas. • Not reliability yet. • Even if potentiality is there 10
  • 11. CSP: Concentrated Solar Power Source: https://energypedia.info/wiki/Concentrating_Solar_Power_(CSP)_-_Technology 11
  • 12. CSP: Concentrated Solar Power • Complex and expensive civil works. • Several needs: Isolated areas (flat, mirrow reflections, water availability) • Not commercialized in small scale (minimum needed 50-100 has, 25-50- 100MW) • When feasible, profitability higher than PV 12
  • 13. PV: Photovoltaic: Thin-film • Only 3 big players remain. • Huge cost reduction in Crystalline technology limit its growth • Lower efficiency (12% vs 18%) • Better performance in some climate extreme conditions • “Nicer” frame and image than crystalline – roofs. 13
  • 15. PV: Photovoltaic: Thin-film • Less than 10% PV share & decreasing from 2009 … • 80% installed in USA & Japan 15
  • 17. PV: Photovoltaic European facts with high subsidies policy: • 1st “Feed-in-tariff” Germany 2004. • Big “bubbles”: Spain 2007. Italy 2010. 17
  • 18. PV: Photovoltaic: Crystalline Mono-crystalline: These are produced from silicon wafers or single cylindrical crystal of silicon. They are noted for their high silicon content. Pros: Most efficient panels Cons: More expensive. Poly-crystalline: They are produced from molds of melted and recrystallized silicon. They contain lower silicon content than the mono-crystalline. Pros: Perform better in high temperatures, cost less to produce. Cons: Less efficient than the mono- crystalline 18
  • 19. 19
  • 21. Italy: 2008-2011 2008 Start up business Local partnerships 2009 2010 Start construction Secure pipeline EPC full capacity Preparing O&M and financing 2011 New opportunities? 21
  • 22. Activities managed Development: PLAs 6-24 months Construction: EPC Operation & Maitenance (O&M) 3-18 months 20 years at least Shovel / Ready for construction Connection: COD 22
  • 23. Elements of a Photovoltaic Project: PLAs Feasibility Study and site visit Secure Land Rights Secure Grid Connection Get other local, regional, etc.. permits Permits, Licences and Authorisations (PLAs) that allow to start construction, operate during 20 years and get the subsidies • Evaluate civil cost, cleaning, road access, shadows, drainage • Solar production • Distance to the grid connection • Tentative quotation from utility and land owner • Right of surface or land purchase option. • Easement rights (access and connection) • Check mortgages, inheritance • Official Cadastral Records vs Land Owner Records • Technical conditions. • Quotation / milestones • Who make it? • Time schedule • Secure the F.I.T. • Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA). • Archaeological • Construction License • Agricultural Land Conversion • Forest Land • Around 30-40 permits (some N/A) 23
  • 24. Time Schedule: Financial Dpt Development: PLAs 6-24 months Construction: EPC Operation & Maitenance (O&M) 3-18 months 20 years at least Shovel / Ready for construction Connection: COD Due Diligence Financing 24
  • 25. Due Diligence Technical Legal Financial: Business Plan Insurance Third party verification that allow the company the assessment of the risks involved in the operation in order to satisfy stakeholders (shareholders, lenders, etc…) Credibility of the assumptions expressed and the feasibility in terms of: • Time • Constrains • suppliers chosen. • Costs • Legal bond that secure that all rights to start the construction, connect, and exploit the project for at least 20 years • Credibility of the solar production P75, P90. • Financial terms (tenor, leverage, spread, swap…) • Deviations admitted and bank requirements According to IPP, EPC and lenders requirements: • Construction. • Operation & Maintenance 25
  • 26. Construction Phases Engineering Procurement Construction Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) of Solar Photovoltaic Projects must comply with legislations and national technical standards, provide enough warranties to lenders and investors Compliance with the project constrains. Topography survey after preliminary design. Executive design to be submitted to the different entities, technical advisors, EPC and IPP. Negotiation of: • Technical data sheets • Warranties • Payment terms and • Delivery terms. Bottleneck: Downpayment and construction period of substations Other suppliers max 16 weeks Delays for: • Bad engineering and procurement • Legal issues. • Weather constrains • Sudden Events Keep in mind buffer schedule Utility – connection “queue” very difficult to schedule And after construction? • Who will make the O&M? • Warranty of the EPC. • Take over from EPC to O&M contractor • 1-2 years. 26
  • 27. PV: Photovoltaic Materials Contractors: Manpower Modules / Panels Inverters / Power Conditioners Mounting System / Structure Transformation Center Substation (if applicable) String boxes, cable, etc… Electrical Works Civil Works 27
  • 28. How it works: Utility & Residential Scale 28
  • 29. 29
  • 31. O&M: Country Organigram SOLARIG JAPAN COUNTRY MANAGER DIRECTOR Administration Dept. RRHH Dept. Legal Dept. Quality Dept. STAFF DEPARTMENTS Tohoku Kanto Kansai Chugoku ChubuHokkaido Shikoku Kysushu ZONE MANEGER Operations Manager Customer Service Dept. Facility Management Dept. Monotoring System Dept. Operations Dept. System & Control Dept. MAIN DEPARTMENTS TechnicianTechnician TECHNICIAN Technician Technician Technician Technician Technician Technician 31
  • 32. O&M: Who verify the quality of the service Some of the Technical Advisors with whom we are working. Banks Technical Services Technical Management Production Control Due Diligence Due Diligence on site Ancillary ServicesManagement of Security and Communication Services Facility Management Analisys and reports Insurance and contract managenemt Administrative and Accounting Services Legal Management 32
  • 33. O&M Activities Monitoring Control 24 hours/365 days Corrective Maintenance • Response time in less than “x” hours from failure notification • On site visit repair/checks. • Close the incident report and introduce in the CMMS Monthly Report • Monthly production detail • Tasks made on the plant • Corrective actions carried out • Including photograpies Why is so important a periodical control of the plant? • Fail detection in a beginner phase • Reduction in the number of urgent interventions • Improvement of the availability and productivity of the plant • Manufacturers warranties and guarantees preservation. 33
  • 34. O&M: Premium services Production study Modules Test( Thermography inspection and IV Test) • Hot spots • Snail tracks • Etc, Design mistakes study Report including all the improvements to be done Production improvement study Intervention proposal (Quotation&Planning) Improvement Works & Production comparative IV Test Thermography inspection 34
  • 35. Facility Assets Management Administrative and Accounting Control Legal Management Insurance policy management • Knowledge of the main risk factors of a PV Plant • Incidents management 35
  • 37. Global Energy Sources Data from IEA World Energy Outlook 2011 37
  • 38. Global CO2 Emissions Is it relevant the renewables contribution to reduce this CO2 emissions? 38
  • 39. CO2 Emissions 1990-2013 Mainly Global Financial Crisis Effects 39
  • 40. CO2 Emissions Forecast 2035 Source: http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/press/bp-magazine/conversations/chief-economist-on-energy-outlook.html Shall we do something more? 40
  • 41. Main Barriers for the Renewables Grid Connection Constrains Slow Storage Development No long term policy across nations Not clear commitment that all members believe Very high cost for the short term & together with nuclear dismantling 41
  • 42. 42
  • 44. Why home batteries are so “good” • Reduce impact of peak production & peak consumption • Make the consumption more predictable • Better maintenance of the grid connection • Avoid shortages 44
  • 45. Batteries Price Projections • Many different technologies competing. • Different purposes. • Many big players onboard 45
  • 46. USA: Grid parity & Residential Potential • Tax incentives • Battery Outlook • Economic Outlook & policy incentives New Installations Solar Outlook 46
  • 47. Facts: Small Relative Contribution Not included all the “saved energy” due to batteries 47
  • 48. For the debate • Outlook in China, India, Japan, Australia • The competitive advantage of solar & battery storage in the islands • Divergencies in European National Policy. • Role of the Nuclear Energy • Relevance of the Smart Grid Technology and other disruptive innovations may arise • Competitive approach: Feed in tariff policy vs tenders (South Africa and Germany examples) 48