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AN ANALYSISINTO HUMAN POPULATIONGROWTH AND CONSUMPTIONPATTERNS AS PRIMARY DRIVERS OF
CLIMATE CHANGE AND THEIR SUBSEQUENT REPERCUSSIONS ONTHE ENVIRONMENT
By Danielle Holland
INTRODUCTION
Overthe pastcentury humanpopulationgrowthhasskyrocketed,anditisonlyexpectedtocontinue toincrease
at anexponentialrate.Anincreaseinpopulation,naturallyleadsto anincreaseinconsumption,andsubsequently,
through the natural course of societal progression, an increase in industrialization ensues and questions of
sustainability arise. The combination of human population growth and an incessant rise in consumption and
industrializationoverthe pastcenturyhas collectivelyservedasthe primary driversof climatechange,negatively
impacting our environment.
HUMAN POPULATION GROWTH
The currentglobal populationasestimatedbyrecentUSCensusBureaustatisticsweighsinat7 billionasof 2015,
and it is only getting bigger. The academic journal “Science” recently found through the use of research and a
Bayesian probabilistic methodology that there is “…an 80% probabilitythat world population, now 7.2 billion
people, will increase to between 9.6 billion and 12.3 billion in 2100.” (Gerland & Raftery, 2014).
Thisprojectionisby no meansconservative.There isnodoubtthat a rise in populationisdirectlycorrelatedtoa
rise inconsumption,industrializationandglobalization,all of whichserve asethical dilemmastothe environment
we live in.The questionisnotonlyhow will we sustainourenvironment,butconsequentiallyhow dowe sustain
life in the event we cannot.
CONSUMPTION AND INDUSTRIALIZATION
Industrializationisa benchmarkof progressioninsociety.But withthe an increase inprogressionhasprovento
be inversely correlated with the health of the environment in which we live. An increase in pollution from
processes such as the burning of fossil fuels, and mobile methods of transportation have served to facilitate a
significant depletion in the stratospheric ozone protecting our atmosphere.
The rise in carbon emissionsand pollution have facilitated the GreenHouse Effect by increasing the amount of
GreenHouse Gas (GHG) emissions,therefore significantlycontributingtoclimate change.The subsequentrise in
global temperatures due topollutionandthe resultingriseinGHGs, hashada butterflyeffectof repercussionson
the environment. The decrease in ice volume has led to a subsequent increase in water levels/temperatures,
which is leading to the significant disruption of the hydrosphere with effects such as coral bleaching as well as
other types of marine ecosystem disruptions.
Intermsof the atmosphere,thesedisruptionsmanifestthemselvesinthe formsof decreasingstratosphericozone
(which protects us from the deleterious effects of UVB rays) and the resulting rise in global temperatures has
contributedtothe progressionof droughtsworldwide andthereforeanoveralldecrease in notonly harvesttimes,
but agricultural productivity overall, significantly impacting our agricultural sector.
Population numbers are directly correlatedwith agricultural production. As the numbers increase, so then does
the amount of food production for the purpose of population sustainability, and as of 2015, we are already in
significantlack.Accordingto recentWorld Bank foodsecuritystudies,we as a populationneed“…toproduce at
least50%more foodtofeed9billionpeopleby2050.Butclimate change couldcutcropyieldsbymore than25%.”
(The World Bank, 2015).
Ironically,the verythingthat helpsto sustainlife issimultaneouslyacontributingfactorto a compromise of the
health of our environment.Recent studies have shown that the number one source of water impairment is due
to nutrient run-off from agricultural production. It is estimated that around 45% of our waters are “impaired”,
defined as not capable of adequatelysupporting their use. An increase in pesticide use has also served to be a
significantfactorinozone depletionandasevere detrimenttothe atmosphere (Dickinsen&Cicerone,1986). The
question arises, how much longer can we continue in the same path until we reach a point of no return.
CONCLUSION
There isnodoubtthatincreased humanpopulationgrowth,consumptionand societalprogressionhave all served
to be of significantdetrimenttothe environmentandare consideredprimarydriversof climate change.Studies
have shown that we cannot continue as a population in the direction in which we are heading, or we will very
soon come to a point where we cannot turn back.
The environmentisafinite source andonlythroughthe expansionof publiceducationandawareness,aswell as
an increase in industrial regulations and sanctions can we begin to come to a point of change. We need to
proactivelystrive forthe transition froma dominantsocial paradigmto a more progressive environmental/deep
ecology paradigm, and begin to rectify the issues currentlyfacing the continuedprogression of the human race
and life as we know it.
WORKS CITED
Kunzig, R. (2014, 09 19). A World With 11 Billion People? New Population Projections Shatter Earlier
Estimates. Retrieved June, 2015, from National Geographic website:
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/09/
140918-population-global-united-nations-2100-boom-africa/
?rptregcta=reg_free_np&rptregcampaign=2015012_invitation_ro_all#
Gerland, P., & Raftery, A. (2014). World popuation stabilization unlikely this century. Science,
346(6206), 234-237. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1257469
The World Bank. (2015). Food Security Overview. Retrieved June 10, 2015, from The World Bank
website: http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/foodsecurity/overview
Dickinsen, R., & Cicerone, R. (1986). Future global warming from atmospheric trace gases. Nature,
319, 109-115. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/319109a0
Lashoff, D., & Ahuja, D. (1990). Relative contributions of greenhouse gas emissions to global
warming. Nature, 344, 529-531. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/344529a0
DeLuchi, M. A., Johnston, R. A., & Sperling, D. (1988). Transportation fuels and the greenhouse
effect. Transportation Research Record, 1175. Abstract retrieved from http://www.osti.gov/
scitech/biblio/5748928

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Analysis On Human Population & Consumption on Environment

  • 1. AN ANALYSISINTO HUMAN POPULATIONGROWTH AND CONSUMPTIONPATTERNS AS PRIMARY DRIVERS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND THEIR SUBSEQUENT REPERCUSSIONS ONTHE ENVIRONMENT By Danielle Holland INTRODUCTION Overthe pastcentury humanpopulationgrowthhasskyrocketed,anditisonlyexpectedtocontinue toincrease at anexponentialrate.Anincreaseinpopulation,naturallyleadsto anincreaseinconsumption,andsubsequently, through the natural course of societal progression, an increase in industrialization ensues and questions of sustainability arise. The combination of human population growth and an incessant rise in consumption and industrializationoverthe pastcenturyhas collectivelyservedasthe primary driversof climatechange,negatively impacting our environment. HUMAN POPULATION GROWTH The currentglobal populationasestimatedbyrecentUSCensusBureaustatisticsweighsinat7 billionasof 2015, and it is only getting bigger. The academic journal “Science” recently found through the use of research and a Bayesian probabilistic methodology that there is “…an 80% probabilitythat world population, now 7.2 billion people, will increase to between 9.6 billion and 12.3 billion in 2100.” (Gerland & Raftery, 2014). Thisprojectionisby no meansconservative.There isnodoubtthat a rise in populationisdirectlycorrelatedtoa rise inconsumption,industrializationandglobalization,all of whichserve asethical dilemmastothe environment we live in.The questionisnotonlyhow will we sustainourenvironment,butconsequentiallyhow dowe sustain life in the event we cannot. CONSUMPTION AND INDUSTRIALIZATION Industrializationisa benchmarkof progressioninsociety.But withthe an increase inprogressionhasprovento be inversely correlated with the health of the environment in which we live. An increase in pollution from processes such as the burning of fossil fuels, and mobile methods of transportation have served to facilitate a significant depletion in the stratospheric ozone protecting our atmosphere. The rise in carbon emissionsand pollution have facilitated the GreenHouse Effect by increasing the amount of GreenHouse Gas (GHG) emissions,therefore significantlycontributingtoclimate change.The subsequentrise in global temperatures due topollutionandthe resultingriseinGHGs, hashada butterflyeffectof repercussionson the environment. The decrease in ice volume has led to a subsequent increase in water levels/temperatures, which is leading to the significant disruption of the hydrosphere with effects such as coral bleaching as well as other types of marine ecosystem disruptions. Intermsof the atmosphere,thesedisruptionsmanifestthemselvesinthe formsof decreasingstratosphericozone (which protects us from the deleterious effects of UVB rays) and the resulting rise in global temperatures has contributedtothe progressionof droughtsworldwide andthereforeanoveralldecrease in notonly harvesttimes, but agricultural productivity overall, significantly impacting our agricultural sector. Population numbers are directly correlatedwith agricultural production. As the numbers increase, so then does the amount of food production for the purpose of population sustainability, and as of 2015, we are already in significantlack.Accordingto recentWorld Bank foodsecuritystudies,we as a populationneed“…toproduce at least50%more foodtofeed9billionpeopleby2050.Butclimate change couldcutcropyieldsbymore than25%.” (The World Bank, 2015).
  • 2. Ironically,the verythingthat helpsto sustainlife issimultaneouslyacontributingfactorto a compromise of the health of our environment.Recent studies have shown that the number one source of water impairment is due to nutrient run-off from agricultural production. It is estimated that around 45% of our waters are “impaired”, defined as not capable of adequatelysupporting their use. An increase in pesticide use has also served to be a significantfactorinozone depletionandasevere detrimenttothe atmosphere (Dickinsen&Cicerone,1986). The question arises, how much longer can we continue in the same path until we reach a point of no return. CONCLUSION There isnodoubtthatincreased humanpopulationgrowth,consumptionand societalprogressionhave all served to be of significantdetrimenttothe environmentandare consideredprimarydriversof climate change.Studies have shown that we cannot continue as a population in the direction in which we are heading, or we will very soon come to a point where we cannot turn back. The environmentisafinite source andonlythroughthe expansionof publiceducationandawareness,aswell as an increase in industrial regulations and sanctions can we begin to come to a point of change. We need to proactivelystrive forthe transition froma dominantsocial paradigmto a more progressive environmental/deep ecology paradigm, and begin to rectify the issues currentlyfacing the continuedprogression of the human race and life as we know it.
  • 3. WORKS CITED Kunzig, R. (2014, 09 19). A World With 11 Billion People? New Population Projections Shatter Earlier Estimates. Retrieved June, 2015, from National Geographic website: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/09/ 140918-population-global-united-nations-2100-boom-africa/ ?rptregcta=reg_free_np&rptregcampaign=2015012_invitation_ro_all# Gerland, P., & Raftery, A. (2014). World popuation stabilization unlikely this century. Science, 346(6206), 234-237. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1257469 The World Bank. (2015). Food Security Overview. Retrieved June 10, 2015, from The World Bank website: http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/foodsecurity/overview Dickinsen, R., & Cicerone, R. (1986). Future global warming from atmospheric trace gases. Nature, 319, 109-115. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/319109a0 Lashoff, D., & Ahuja, D. (1990). Relative contributions of greenhouse gas emissions to global warming. Nature, 344, 529-531. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/344529a0 DeLuchi, M. A., Johnston, R. A., & Sperling, D. (1988). Transportation fuels and the greenhouse effect. Transportation Research Record, 1175. Abstract retrieved from http://www.osti.gov/ scitech/biblio/5748928