Brief overview of the three operational risk capital calculations allowed by Basel II and the US Fed. Also addresses the key challenges around data quality and validation.
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Operational Risk Capital Calculation (Basel II)
1. RGP - Craig Williston
Operational Risk Methodology - Calculating Regulatory Capital
Timeline
2004 Basel II Accord
2008 Financial Crisis
Now Race to Implement
The Federal Reserve Allows: Benefits of the AMA Model
Basic Indicator Approach •Lower capital requirements
One Size Fits All (15% of revenue) • Based on metrics that can also be used to
Standardized Approach manage risk
8 sizes fit all (12 - 18% of divisional revenue)
Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA)
2. RGP - Craig Williston
Operational Risk Methodology - Calculating Regulatory Capital
Process:
Gather historical loss data (5+ years)
Develop Key Risk Indicators (KRI)
Run statistical studies to determine if the KRIs can help predict
expected losses
Typical Data Challenges: Additional Challenges:
Finding the data Regressing the KRIs against the number of
losses to assess their suitability as a predictor
Reconciling loss data to books & records of losses
Gaining agreement to feed the data (daily) Understanding the impact of new losses & KRIs
Cleansing & enriching the data Building a process to assess model output
quality in-flight
Future State:
Automated Feeds
Automated model output quality checks
Team responsible for explaining movements
not just churning data manually