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Child immunization and
management of common
childhood illness
Karin Stenberg (stenbergk@who.int), Organisation mondiale de la santé (OMS), Genève, Suisse
Ludovic Queuille (Queuillelm@paho.org), Organisation panaméricaine de de la santé (OPS/OMS), Port-au-Prince, Haïti
Rachel Sanders (RSanders@avenirhealth.org), Avenir Health, Washington DC, EUA
Marcus Cadet (marcuscade87@yahoo.fr), Ministère de la santé publique et le population (MSPP), Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Haiti Priorise conference (http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/haiti-priorise)
Port-au-Prince - Haïti, du 29 avril au 2 mai 2017
Overview
1) Context - Rationale
2) Management of common childhood illness
- Management of diarrhea and acute respiratory illness /pneumonia (P3)
- Estimation of costs
- Estimation of benefits
- Benefit Cost Ratio
3) Child immunization
- Vaccination (P1 et P2)
- Estimation of costs
- Estimation of benefits
- Benefit Cost Ratio
4) Discussion
High rates of child mortality
• Progress has been made, but still 49 children under 5 years of age die every
day
• Under five Mortality Ratio (U5MR = deaths per 1000 live births) is 69 (source: UN
estimate)
• These deaths are largely preventable, and a big societal loss
• The intrinsic value of health and survival
• Societal effects
• Pneumonia and Diarrhea main causes of post-neonatal mortality
• Jointly account for 48% of child deaths (source for cause of death: UN)
• When considering death and disability combined, these two conditions are the second
and third largest causes of loss of healthy life in Haiti (IHME, 2016)
1st analyzed solution*
Management of common childhood illnesses
Source: PAHO
Management of diarrhea and pneumonia
A package of interventions delivered through primary level health care:
• Oral antibiotics for pneumonia
• Management of diarrhea with Oral Rehydration Solution (ORS) and zinc
• Antibiotics for treatment of dysentery
Demonstrated cost-effectiveness: Edejer et al (2005), DCP2 (2006), DCP3 (2015)
Estimating costs
• Inputs-based costing, by year:
• Commodities: drugs, supplies *
• Supply chain costs and commodity waste
• Service delivery (inpatient & outpatient) operational costs*
• Programme support activities
*Cost assumptions based on WHO guidelines (UN-OneHealth Tool)
• Spectrum-GCEA/ UN-OneHealth Tool (LiST)
• Projected number of episodes of illness 2017-2036
• A comprehensive, country-tailored analysis
Estimated costs
Average annual additional cost to reach 95% coverage:
• Average annual cost: USD2014 61.5 million = HTG 2,781 million
• Cost per capita: USD2014 5.07 = HTG 229
• Equivalent to 8% of total health expenditure (2012/2013)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
U5MR IMR
Baseline (2015)
80% coverage
95% coverage
12%
Estimating benefits
• avert > 3,800 deaths/year (80% coverage)
• avert > 5,000 deaths/year (95% coverage)
• Healthy Life Years (HLYs) gained valued at
1, 3 and 8 x GDP/capita
Predicted reduction in under-five
mortality rate and infant mortality rate
• Interventions act on unique cause of death
10%
Spectrum-GCEA/ UN-OneHealth Tool (LiST)
Benefit-Cost Ratios
Benefits valued at 3x GDP
Discount
rate
Benefits
2018-2036
(HTG bn)
Costs
2018-2036
(HTG bn) BCR
Management of
common
childhood illness
(95% coverage)
3% 229.6 22.5 10.2
5% 129.0 18.9 6.8
12% 32.9 11.2 2.9
2nd analyzed solution
Immunization
Source: PAHO
Package Vaccines:
Routine EPI
(P1)
BCG, Polio, Measles single dose, DTC/Penta,
Rotavirus
Routine EPI + PCV13
(P2)
BCG, Polio, Measles single dose, DTC/Penta,
Rotavirus
+ PCV13 (pneumococcal vaccine)
EPI = Expanded Programme on Immunization
Average annual additional cost (million USD )
Commodities
Service
Delivery
Supply
chain
Programme
costs
Total annual
cost
Average
HLYs
gained
/year
Cost (USD)
per HLY
Gained
Routine EPI (P1) 2.8 3.0 2.6 8.8 17.3 87,850 196
Routine EPI + PCV-13
(P2) 17.5 4.4 17.2 22.8 61.9 142,019 436
Mgt of common
childhood illness (P3) 3.3 25.8 1.1 31.3 61.5 244,065 252
Combination (P2 +
P3) 20.8 30.1 18.4 30.9 100.2 325,866 308
Benefit-Cost Ratios: including vaccines
95% coverage scale-up; Benefits valued at 3x GDP
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Routine EPI
(P1)
Routine
EPI+PCV13
(P2)
Management
of childhood
illness (P3)
Combination
(P4)
Package Interventions
Routine EPI
(P1)
Vaccines: BCG, Polio, Measles
single dose, DTC/Penta, Rotavirus
Routine EPI +
PCV13 (P2)
Vaccines: BCG, Polio, Measles
single dose, DTC/Penta, Rotavirus
+ PCV13.
Management
of common
childhood
illness (P3)
Oral Rehydration Solution + zinc
Oral antibiotics for pneumonia +
Antibiotics for treatment of
dysentery
Combination
(P4) P2 + P3
10.4
3.7
6.8
4.5
Discussion
• High BCRs (very strong quality of evidence) – in particular for current
Immunization Schedule and management of common childhood illness
• Highlights the need for financial analysis concerning the introduction of PCV13
• Reduce direct (out of pocket) payments for common childhood illness
• Effective implementation of the Integrated Mgt of Childhood Illness (IMCI)
strategy
• Prioritization and rationalisation of available resources towards child health and
primary level
• Improve public health financing / address long term sustainability (vaccines)
• Improve health system performance
• Improve Maternal Health and reduce demographic pressure (family planning,
education and socio-economic development)

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Child Health

  • 1. Child immunization and management of common childhood illness Karin Stenberg (stenbergk@who.int), Organisation mondiale de la santé (OMS), Genève, Suisse Ludovic Queuille (Queuillelm@paho.org), Organisation panaméricaine de de la santé (OPS/OMS), Port-au-Prince, Haïti Rachel Sanders (RSanders@avenirhealth.org), Avenir Health, Washington DC, EUA Marcus Cadet (marcuscade87@yahoo.fr), Ministère de la santé publique et le population (MSPP), Port-au-Prince, Haiti Haiti Priorise conference (http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/haiti-priorise) Port-au-Prince - Haïti, du 29 avril au 2 mai 2017
  • 2. Overview 1) Context - Rationale 2) Management of common childhood illness - Management of diarrhea and acute respiratory illness /pneumonia (P3) - Estimation of costs - Estimation of benefits - Benefit Cost Ratio 3) Child immunization - Vaccination (P1 et P2) - Estimation of costs - Estimation of benefits - Benefit Cost Ratio 4) Discussion
  • 3. High rates of child mortality • Progress has been made, but still 49 children under 5 years of age die every day • Under five Mortality Ratio (U5MR = deaths per 1000 live births) is 69 (source: UN estimate) • These deaths are largely preventable, and a big societal loss • The intrinsic value of health and survival • Societal effects • Pneumonia and Diarrhea main causes of post-neonatal mortality • Jointly account for 48% of child deaths (source for cause of death: UN) • When considering death and disability combined, these two conditions are the second and third largest causes of loss of healthy life in Haiti (IHME, 2016)
  • 4. 1st analyzed solution* Management of common childhood illnesses Source: PAHO
  • 5. Management of diarrhea and pneumonia A package of interventions delivered through primary level health care: • Oral antibiotics for pneumonia • Management of diarrhea with Oral Rehydration Solution (ORS) and zinc • Antibiotics for treatment of dysentery Demonstrated cost-effectiveness: Edejer et al (2005), DCP2 (2006), DCP3 (2015)
  • 6. Estimating costs • Inputs-based costing, by year: • Commodities: drugs, supplies * • Supply chain costs and commodity waste • Service delivery (inpatient & outpatient) operational costs* • Programme support activities *Cost assumptions based on WHO guidelines (UN-OneHealth Tool) • Spectrum-GCEA/ UN-OneHealth Tool (LiST) • Projected number of episodes of illness 2017-2036 • A comprehensive, country-tailored analysis
  • 7. Estimated costs Average annual additional cost to reach 95% coverage: • Average annual cost: USD2014 61.5 million = HTG 2,781 million • Cost per capita: USD2014 5.07 = HTG 229 • Equivalent to 8% of total health expenditure (2012/2013)
  • 8. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 U5MR IMR Baseline (2015) 80% coverage 95% coverage 12% Estimating benefits • avert > 3,800 deaths/year (80% coverage) • avert > 5,000 deaths/year (95% coverage) • Healthy Life Years (HLYs) gained valued at 1, 3 and 8 x GDP/capita Predicted reduction in under-five mortality rate and infant mortality rate • Interventions act on unique cause of death 10% Spectrum-GCEA/ UN-OneHealth Tool (LiST)
  • 9. Benefit-Cost Ratios Benefits valued at 3x GDP Discount rate Benefits 2018-2036 (HTG bn) Costs 2018-2036 (HTG bn) BCR Management of common childhood illness (95% coverage) 3% 229.6 22.5 10.2 5% 129.0 18.9 6.8 12% 32.9 11.2 2.9
  • 11. Package Vaccines: Routine EPI (P1) BCG, Polio, Measles single dose, DTC/Penta, Rotavirus Routine EPI + PCV13 (P2) BCG, Polio, Measles single dose, DTC/Penta, Rotavirus + PCV13 (pneumococcal vaccine) EPI = Expanded Programme on Immunization
  • 12. Average annual additional cost (million USD ) Commodities Service Delivery Supply chain Programme costs Total annual cost Average HLYs gained /year Cost (USD) per HLY Gained Routine EPI (P1) 2.8 3.0 2.6 8.8 17.3 87,850 196 Routine EPI + PCV-13 (P2) 17.5 4.4 17.2 22.8 61.9 142,019 436 Mgt of common childhood illness (P3) 3.3 25.8 1.1 31.3 61.5 244,065 252 Combination (P2 + P3) 20.8 30.1 18.4 30.9 100.2 325,866 308
  • 13. Benefit-Cost Ratios: including vaccines 95% coverage scale-up; Benefits valued at 3x GDP 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Routine EPI (P1) Routine EPI+PCV13 (P2) Management of childhood illness (P3) Combination (P4) Package Interventions Routine EPI (P1) Vaccines: BCG, Polio, Measles single dose, DTC/Penta, Rotavirus Routine EPI + PCV13 (P2) Vaccines: BCG, Polio, Measles single dose, DTC/Penta, Rotavirus + PCV13. Management of common childhood illness (P3) Oral Rehydration Solution + zinc Oral antibiotics for pneumonia + Antibiotics for treatment of dysentery Combination (P4) P2 + P3 10.4 3.7 6.8 4.5
  • 14. Discussion • High BCRs (very strong quality of evidence) – in particular for current Immunization Schedule and management of common childhood illness • Highlights the need for financial analysis concerning the introduction of PCV13 • Reduce direct (out of pocket) payments for common childhood illness • Effective implementation of the Integrated Mgt of Childhood Illness (IMCI) strategy • Prioritization and rationalisation of available resources towards child health and primary level • Improve public health financing / address long term sustainability (vaccines) • Improve health system performance • Improve Maternal Health and reduce demographic pressure (family planning, education and socio-economic development)

Editor's Notes

  1. DCP: The most recent cost-effectiveness estimates for the treatment of pneumonia are from the 2nd edition of Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries (Simoes and others 2006), and suggest that cost- effectiveness is US$516 per DALY averted in LMICs overall (US$342 per DALY averted in South Asia and US$282 per DALY averted in Sub-Saharan Africa). These costs are averaged across nonsevere cases treated in communities or local facilities along with severe and very severe cases treated in hospitals. The most cost-effective interventions for diarrhea,based on cost per DALY averted, are prophylactic zinc supplementation as an adjunct to ORS (US$10 to US$50 per DALY averted), ORS (US$150 per DALY averted), rotavirus vaccine (US$100 per DALY averted at the Gavi price in LICs), and household-level water treatment in rural areas using chlorination or solar disinfection (US$180 to US$200 per DALY averted) (figure 17.1).