MANAGING RISK & COGNITIVE BIAS TO ENABLE INNOVATION

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This document discusses cognitive biases and techniques to reduce their impact on decision making. It provides statistics on deaths from terrorism, firearms, and road accidents in the US in 2009. While $657 billion was spent on the "War on Terror", only $150 million and $850 million were spent on gun education and traffic safety programs respectively. The document then outlines general and specific cognitive debiasing techniques drawn from fields like decision theory, neuroscience, and behavioral economics. These aim to improve fact presentation, slow down reasoning, and increase accountability to make decisions less biased.

Healthcare

Brain Fitness
DECREASING THE
IMPACT OF THE  
AFFECT HEURISTIC
ON OUR DECISION
MAKING…

Prefrontal
Cortex -
the centre of logic
& reason
but only 4% of the brain’s
real estate

US statistics 2009
NUMBER OF DEATHS
BY CATEGORY
US Deaths from terrorists,
ﬁrearms and road accidents
in 2009.
Combined budget to deal
with 3 Problems: $US658 Billion

SPEND WHEN YOU
ALLOCATE EACH
LIFE THE SAME VALUE
(in USD Billions)
Proportional Distribution
when each life given
same value ($USBillions)

ACTUAL SPEND
War on Terror $US657Billion
Gun Education Programs $150million
Trafﬁc Death Prevention Programs $US850million
657 on Terrorist Deaths

General Cognitive Debiasing Techniques
Increase Accountability
Elicit non-biased
Feedback
Standardise
Decision
Process
Improve  
Fact  
PresentationSimple  
not  
complex
Optimise Environment
Awareness
Involement
In Decisions
Slow down  
Reasoning
Change Incentiv
Nudge 
not  
Confront

Speciﬁc Cognitive Debiasing
Techniques
Debiasing
Decision theory
Evolutionary
psychology
Neuroscience
Metacognition
Neuro-
economics
Behavioural
economics
Game theory
Cognitive
psychology
Human reliability  
engineering.
Machine learning
Software  
Engineering

FINISHED FILES ARE THE RESULT
OF YEARS OF SCIENTIFIC STUDY
COMBINED WITH THE
EXPERIENCE OF YEARS

A plastic cricket bat and ball cost $1.10 in total.
The bat costs $1 more than the ball.
How much does the ball cost?

Cricket Bat: $1.05
Cricket Ball: $0.05
Total: $1.10

MANAGING RISK & COGNITIVE BIAS TO ENABLE INNOVATION

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