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LITTLE DEBBIE $100K HH
MAY 2021
2
THE ASSIGNMENT
Introduce a “test and learn” campaign specific to $100K+ households that are currently
NOT Little Debbie buyers (i.e., purchasers of LD competitors) in select markets to
understand what type of messaging and threshold it will take for this segment to convert.
The first phase of this test and learn campaign will be to see if it’s possible to convert this
segment solely on messaging before introducing any sort of incentive such as couponing
or sweepstakes.
OBJECTIVE
Create a stronger association between the Mini Muffins product and the Little Debbie
brand, converting non-Little Debbie buyers from $100K+ households of the ready-to-eat
muffins segment to buy Little Debbie, ultimately stealing and maintaining market share in
New Orleans and Knoxville.
HOW WE WILL ACHIEVE SUCCESS
• Establish brand linkage
• Determine if conversion is possible without incentive
• Capture how much ad spend is needed to convert non-Little Debbie buyers within
the $100K+ HHI segment of New Orleans and Knoxville
S
E
T
U
P
OUR GOAL
For Mini Muffins to lead in market share of ready-to-eat muffins, allowing
growth in brand linkage of Little Debbie to Mini Muffins products and
using them as the entry product to fully convert buyers of competitor
brands.
WHAT WE FOUND: AUDIENCE
• Majority of $100K+ households are dual-income, leaving less time for
parents to connect with their children.
• Parents tend to give their children the products they grew up with,
especially when it comes to food.
• Competitors in the ready-to-eat muffin segment, such as
Entenmann’s Little Bites (1999), have owned this product category
longer than Mini Muffins (2012).
• People ages 35-44 (parent-aged adults) indexed significantly higher
as being Entenmann’s ready-to-eat muffin buyers than Little Debbie
and Hostess purchasers.
WHY THE MUFFIN CATEGORY
• Little Debbie has above average ACV and overall comparative market
share in both Knoxville and New Orleans, but low subcategory market
share (33%) for mini muffins.
• Competitor Entenmann’s Little Bites has +20% market share in the
muffin subcategory. Compared to other products, Mini Muffins
subcategory has the highest room for Little Debbie to steal share in
Knoxville and New Orleans.
• Millennial parents who work full time index 33 points higher and
millennial parents in the $100K+ HHI segment index 59 points higher as
buying Entenmann’s Little Bites in the past six months than Little Debbie
Mini Muffins.
Parents give their kids the products they grew up with or are more
familiar with, especially when it comes to food.
For Mini Muffins versus competitors, there is low product awareness
and brand linkage due to competitors owning this product category for
longer. With Entenmann’s Little Bites coming into the market in 1999,
the product was able to assimilate into the childhoods of our millennial
audiences.
WHAT WE NEED TO SOLVE
When time is limited, parents gravitate toward the familiar while
also desiring to create new traditions that give their children the
same sense of excitement and adventure their own childhoods
embodied.
THE INSIGHT
While Entenmann’s owns familiarity, we have an opportunity to own
convenience and fun…
We must prove how Mini Muffins are THE facilitator of fun and
convenience for families, jump-starting a new way for them to have
memorable mornings.
WHAT WE NEED TO DO
Little Debbie Mini Muffins give time back to families even in the
most hectic of days for more moments of fun.
Parents have a lot going on. So “Little Debbie Mini Muffins give time
back to families even in the most hectic of days for more moments of
fun” speaks to Little Debbie’s ability to reduce food preparation time and
give more time for imagination and the creation of traditions.
MESSAGE TO PARENTS:
Inspire moments of fun.
Little Debbie jump-starts mornings for more moments of fun – mini or large.
Audience Strategy: Emphasize Little Debbie Mini Muffins as a catalyst for memory-making through time-saving.
Create convenience.
Little Debbie minimizes morning stress, allowing parents to make the most of time with
their kids.
Audience Strategy: Leverage how busy our audience is to provide a message of ease.
Form new traditions within the familiar.
Little Debbie is the catalyst for fun memories and moments that kids will hold forever.
Audience Strategy: Prove the tradition of sharing Little Debbie Mini Muffins with kids is one that is sure to be passed
down through future generations.
MINI MUFFINS INSPIRE FUN. REASONS TO BELIEVE:
THANK YOU
APPENDIX
Z
Brand MKT	Alias	1 Nielsen	Ma.. Sub-Category $ Market	$	Share	for	subcat %Acv
LITTLE
DEBBIE
N_ORL NEW
ORLEANS
XAOC
BSG	Breakfast	Cake	Seg..
BSG	Brownie	Segment
BSG	Cake	Segment
BSG	Cookie	Segment
BSG	Doughnuts
BSG	Muffin	Segment
BSG	Pie	Segment
KNOX KNOXVILLE
XAOC
BSG	Breakfast	Cake	Seg..
BSG	Brownie	Segment
BSG	Cake	Segment
BSG	Cookie	Segment
BSG	Doughnuts
BSG	Muffin	Segment
BSG	Pie	Segment
54.88
73.96
79.76
86.76
80.26
79.89
80.22
20.45%
33.27%
37.10%
88.92%
62.25%
90.66%
55.74%
$1,003,167
$2,807,533
$5,029,581
$28,296,299
$22,066,326
$8,649,910
$13,738,871
59.70
70.73
79.65
85.87
80.43
79.99
80.32
19.96%
22.31%
18.80%
87.85%
57.88%
81.80%
49.83%
$882,739
$1,538,697
$3,339,815
$23,080,964
$13,674,102
$4,913,144
$6,162,418
TEST MARKETS | SUB-CATEGORY MARKET SHARE IS LOW FOR MINI MUFFINS AND OATMEAL CREME PIES
Z
TEST MARKETS | SUB-CATEGORY MARKET SHARE COMPARED TO COMPETITORS IN TEST AND LEARN MARKETS
Z
Sub-Category
LITTLE	DEBBIE
N_ORL
NEW
ORLEANS	X..
KNOX
KNOXVILLE
XAOC
BSG	Breakfast	Cake	Segment
BSG	Brownie	Segment
BSG	Cake	Segment
BSG	Cookie	Segment
BSG	Doughnuts
BSG	Muffin	Segment
BSG	Pie	Segment $1,003,167
$2,807,533
$5,029,581
$28,296,299
$22,066,326
$8,649,910
$13,738,871
$882,739
$1,538,697
$3,339,815
$23,080,964
$13,674,102
$4,913,144
$6,162,418
New Orleans Knoxville
TEST MARKETS | SUB-CATEGORY DOLLARS FOR LITTLE DEBBIE
Z
Z
16
GROWTH MARKETS | ACV
Opportunity Dollars = Total Mini Muffins Sub-Category Revenue - LD Mini Muffins Revenue
Both Knoxville and New Orleans have above-average ACV and overall comparative market share, hence choosing a
product over brand play.
Nielsen	Market	1
Market	$	for	Brand
Formula $
KNOXVILLE	XAOC
NEW	ORLEANS	XAOC $81,591,688
$53,591,879
$128,362,229
$97,359,093
Z
17
GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE OF MUFFINS WITH AGE DEMOGRAPHIC
Z
18
GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE OF MUFFINS WITH GENDER + AGE DEMOGRAPHIC
Z
19
GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE OF MUFFINS WITH INDIVIDUAL INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC
Z
20
GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE WITH HOUSEHOLD INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC
Z
21
GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE WITH FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT DEMOGRAPHIC

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LD $100K Mini Muffin Test

  • 1. LITTLE DEBBIE $100K HH MAY 2021
  • 2. 2 THE ASSIGNMENT Introduce a “test and learn” campaign specific to $100K+ households that are currently NOT Little Debbie buyers (i.e., purchasers of LD competitors) in select markets to understand what type of messaging and threshold it will take for this segment to convert. The first phase of this test and learn campaign will be to see if it’s possible to convert this segment solely on messaging before introducing any sort of incentive such as couponing or sweepstakes. OBJECTIVE Create a stronger association between the Mini Muffins product and the Little Debbie brand, converting non-Little Debbie buyers from $100K+ households of the ready-to-eat muffins segment to buy Little Debbie, ultimately stealing and maintaining market share in New Orleans and Knoxville. HOW WE WILL ACHIEVE SUCCESS • Establish brand linkage • Determine if conversion is possible without incentive • Capture how much ad spend is needed to convert non-Little Debbie buyers within the $100K+ HHI segment of New Orleans and Knoxville S E T U P
  • 3. OUR GOAL For Mini Muffins to lead in market share of ready-to-eat muffins, allowing growth in brand linkage of Little Debbie to Mini Muffins products and using them as the entry product to fully convert buyers of competitor brands.
  • 4. WHAT WE FOUND: AUDIENCE • Majority of $100K+ households are dual-income, leaving less time for parents to connect with their children. • Parents tend to give their children the products they grew up with, especially when it comes to food. • Competitors in the ready-to-eat muffin segment, such as Entenmann’s Little Bites (1999), have owned this product category longer than Mini Muffins (2012). • People ages 35-44 (parent-aged adults) indexed significantly higher as being Entenmann’s ready-to-eat muffin buyers than Little Debbie and Hostess purchasers.
  • 5. WHY THE MUFFIN CATEGORY • Little Debbie has above average ACV and overall comparative market share in both Knoxville and New Orleans, but low subcategory market share (33%) for mini muffins. • Competitor Entenmann’s Little Bites has +20% market share in the muffin subcategory. Compared to other products, Mini Muffins subcategory has the highest room for Little Debbie to steal share in Knoxville and New Orleans. • Millennial parents who work full time index 33 points higher and millennial parents in the $100K+ HHI segment index 59 points higher as buying Entenmann’s Little Bites in the past six months than Little Debbie Mini Muffins.
  • 6. Parents give their kids the products they grew up with or are more familiar with, especially when it comes to food. For Mini Muffins versus competitors, there is low product awareness and brand linkage due to competitors owning this product category for longer. With Entenmann’s Little Bites coming into the market in 1999, the product was able to assimilate into the childhoods of our millennial audiences. WHAT WE NEED TO SOLVE
  • 7. When time is limited, parents gravitate toward the familiar while also desiring to create new traditions that give their children the same sense of excitement and adventure their own childhoods embodied. THE INSIGHT
  • 8. While Entenmann’s owns familiarity, we have an opportunity to own convenience and fun… We must prove how Mini Muffins are THE facilitator of fun and convenience for families, jump-starting a new way for them to have memorable mornings. WHAT WE NEED TO DO
  • 9. Little Debbie Mini Muffins give time back to families even in the most hectic of days for more moments of fun. Parents have a lot going on. So “Little Debbie Mini Muffins give time back to families even in the most hectic of days for more moments of fun” speaks to Little Debbie’s ability to reduce food preparation time and give more time for imagination and the creation of traditions. MESSAGE TO PARENTS:
  • 10. Inspire moments of fun. Little Debbie jump-starts mornings for more moments of fun – mini or large. Audience Strategy: Emphasize Little Debbie Mini Muffins as a catalyst for memory-making through time-saving. Create convenience. Little Debbie minimizes morning stress, allowing parents to make the most of time with their kids. Audience Strategy: Leverage how busy our audience is to provide a message of ease. Form new traditions within the familiar. Little Debbie is the catalyst for fun memories and moments that kids will hold forever. Audience Strategy: Prove the tradition of sharing Little Debbie Mini Muffins with kids is one that is sure to be passed down through future generations. MINI MUFFINS INSPIRE FUN. REASONS TO BELIEVE:
  • 13. Z Brand MKT Alias 1 Nielsen Ma.. Sub-Category $ Market $ Share for subcat %Acv LITTLE DEBBIE N_ORL NEW ORLEANS XAOC BSG Breakfast Cake Seg.. BSG Brownie Segment BSG Cake Segment BSG Cookie Segment BSG Doughnuts BSG Muffin Segment BSG Pie Segment KNOX KNOXVILLE XAOC BSG Breakfast Cake Seg.. BSG Brownie Segment BSG Cake Segment BSG Cookie Segment BSG Doughnuts BSG Muffin Segment BSG Pie Segment 54.88 73.96 79.76 86.76 80.26 79.89 80.22 20.45% 33.27% 37.10% 88.92% 62.25% 90.66% 55.74% $1,003,167 $2,807,533 $5,029,581 $28,296,299 $22,066,326 $8,649,910 $13,738,871 59.70 70.73 79.65 85.87 80.43 79.99 80.32 19.96% 22.31% 18.80% 87.85% 57.88% 81.80% 49.83% $882,739 $1,538,697 $3,339,815 $23,080,964 $13,674,102 $4,913,144 $6,162,418 TEST MARKETS | SUB-CATEGORY MARKET SHARE IS LOW FOR MINI MUFFINS AND OATMEAL CREME PIES
  • 14. Z TEST MARKETS | SUB-CATEGORY MARKET SHARE COMPARED TO COMPETITORS IN TEST AND LEARN MARKETS
  • 16. Z Z 16 GROWTH MARKETS | ACV Opportunity Dollars = Total Mini Muffins Sub-Category Revenue - LD Mini Muffins Revenue Both Knoxville and New Orleans have above-average ACV and overall comparative market share, hence choosing a product over brand play. Nielsen Market 1 Market $ for Brand Formula $ KNOXVILLE XAOC NEW ORLEANS XAOC $81,591,688 $53,591,879 $128,362,229 $97,359,093
  • 17. Z 17 GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE OF MUFFINS WITH AGE DEMOGRAPHIC
  • 18. Z 18 GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE OF MUFFINS WITH GENDER + AGE DEMOGRAPHIC
  • 19. Z 19 GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE OF MUFFINS WITH INDIVIDUAL INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC
  • 20. Z 20 GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE WITH HOUSEHOLD INCOME DEMOGRAPHIC
  • 21. Z 21 GROWTH MARKETS | COMPETITOR MARKET SHARE WITH FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT DEMOGRAPHIC