The time has come for Detroit to show its industrial prowess again. However, dilemmas exist, there is significant demand for quality space and not enough new supply to satisfy it, case in point, total availability is 9.3 percent.
2. Ground up completionsversus average asking rents
Source: JLL Research
Detroit’s geographic advantage
Source: JLL Research, Google Maps
City of Detroit submarket fundamentals
Source: JLL Research
Detroit industrial stagnant but awaiting a boom
Industrial Insight
Detroit | Q4 2015
42,236,414
Total availability (s.f.)
4,434,386
YTD Total net absorption (s.f.)
$4.42
YTD Average Asking Rates
1,864,503
Total under construction (s.f.)
9.3 %
Total Availability
1.0 %
YTD total net absorption
9.5 %
YOY Rent Growth
1,348,000
YTD completions (s.f.)
$2.60
$2.80
$3.00
$3.20
0%
10%
20%
30%
2012 2013 2014 2015
Total Available Asking rents
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
2012 2013 2014 2015
Completions (s.f.) Average Asking Rents
Industrial market needs a risk taker
The time has come for Detroit to show its industrial prowess again. However,
dilemmas exist, there is significant demand for quality space and not enough
new supply to satisfy it, case in point, total availability is 9.3 percent. What may
be good for tenants in the form of low asking rates, which are $4.42 a square
foot, may be frustrating for the market as a whole. Developers are hesitant to
start speculative construction with rents still below $5.00. Thus, we have an
underserved market with pent up demand. The question is, when will a developer
will see enough upside to take on large scale speculative construction?
Detroit’s strategic advantage is its location
A 144-acre Sterling Heights land development is just one investment fueling
rapid industrial growth in Southeastern Michigan. State and local officials are
researching a $1.6-billion plan that could make Detroit the new logistics capital of
the Midwest. In addition to the major economic growth this would offer, a
potential of 22,000 long-term jobs in Michigan with up to 8,000 right here in
Detroit could be created. The chart to the right highlights Detroit’s location
advantage and company’s ability to reach 50 million plus people in a drive time
of six hours.
Clustering together has economic and innovative advantages
Detroit is seeking to restore manufacturingcapacity and jobs at the I-94
Industrial Park near the junction of I-94 and I-75 and the American Axle &
Manufacturingheadquarters. Manufacturers are interested in the I-94 Industrial
Park because of its proximity to highways and existing infrastructure. Companies
are coming to the realization that clustering together has immeasurable
economic and innovative advantages. Lear Corporation is demonstratingthat it
believes in Detroit, by investing in downtown offices and doubling down on its
investment in Detroit by establishing a new manufacturing plant in the next two
years, thus it is leading by example.
240 miles
120 miles
360 miles
JLL | Detroit | Industrial Outlook | Q4 2015