1. The Impact of Energy
on the Future of
Real Estate
Thursday
October 14, 2010
11:15 a.m. – 12:30 p.m.
Jim Tinson
Chief Executive Officer
Hart Howerton
Moderator
2. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
3. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
Introduction of Panelists
William Miller, Ph.D. Senior Advisor
Better Buildings Initiative
SENTECH/US, Department of Energy
Steve Gossett, Jr. Vice President
Transcend Equity
Kevin Kampschroer Federal Director
Office of Federal High Performance Green Building
General Services Administration
Wes Frye Director
Sustainable Energy, Internet Business Solutions
Cisco Systems
5. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
How Does DOE/EERE/BTP Connect with Real Estate?
As Selective View
Department of Energy (DOE)
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
“The Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) invests in clean energy
technologies that strengthen the economy, protect the environment, and reduce dependence on
foreign oil”
Building Technologies Program (BTP) Pursues Better Energy Use
Commercial, Residential, Federal Codes and Standards, Emerging Technologies
Buildings Energy Research: better windows/shell, advanced HVAC, lighting;
appliances
Deployment:
• Commercial Alliances
• Better Buildings
Tough Nut: valuing energy efficiency: tenants & finance
WHAT WILL WORK?
6. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
Fostering Technologies: Example - LED Lamps
LED Site (Parking Lot)
Lighting
High Efficiency Parking
Structure (Garage)
Lighting
LED Refrigerated
Case Lighting
7. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
• 56 member companies
• 4.54 billion sq. ft.*
Commercial Real Estate Energy Alliance (CREEA)
• Includes only those members who reported
square footage as of July 2010.
Open to:
• Real estate owners/operators
• Real estate investors
• Real estate service providers
and industry groups
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/building
s/alliances/commercial_real_estate.ht
ml
Goals:
• Access to advanced technologies from DOE/national labs
• Share successful, evidence-based strategies for
integrating advanced, high-performance technologies
• Serve as a consistent voice to manufacturers on the
collective demand for highly efficient products
• Provide greater consistency in energy-efficiency program
design and delivery
• Help DOE shape the future of technology research
• Validate the commercial real estate sector's energy- and
carbon-reduction efforts
• Increase commercial real estate's energy efficiency
• Lower technologies’ cost of and overcome regulatory
barriers.
8. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
BetterBuildings Program
BetterBuildings emphasizes retrofits for single and multifamily residential
buildings, but is also piloting programs targeted at low income
neighborhoods, small businesses, commercial buildings, farms, and
historic buildings.
Projected Results:
185,000 retrofit buildings by June 2013 (majority residential)
Retrofits of at least 15% energy savings; some more than 30%
Significant data collection to determine effective technologies, measures, approaches
Capture and dissemination of approaches that demonstrate proven
models, strategies, financing options, and tools that could be
applied nationwide in self-sustaining retrofit programs (without
federal money).
9. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
BetterBuildings Program
Program Vision:
To create a self-sustaining market for building energy efficiency retrofits that results
in economic, environmental, and energy benefits across the United States.
Grants Recently Awarded:
Between May and August 2010, DOE awarded $486 million in three-year grants to 35 local
and state governments:
Awards range from $1.5 million to $40 million each
Through sub-awards, will be reaching more than 50 communities
DOE has been providing extensive assistance to help grantees establish
financing programs that will leverage federal dollars at least 5:1.
Grant Programs:
Communities have innovative plans that use high-quality retrofits to achieve significant
energy efficiency improvements and greenhouse gas reductions. Successful retrofit
program models could be replicated in communities throughout the nation.
10. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
Better Buildings
12. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC
Image/Illustration/Plan
The Energy Retrofit Market in Commercial Real Estate
Commercial Real
Estate < 5% of
historical ESCo
activity
75% of activity in
Public sector
(trending toward
90% as of 2010)
Why?
13. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC
Age of US Commercial Building Stock
70% of stock is
20 years old or
older
DOE data
suggests majority
of this stock is
inefficient
Consensus –
retrofit market
opportunity
exceeds $100 B
Data taken from DOE CBECS 2003
14. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
What is Holding Back the Market?
The “Split Incentive”
Who funds the cost of improvements?
Who gets the financial benefit of efficiency gains?
The “Leverage Barrier”
Lender restrictions on equipment finance
Lack of flexibility to “carve out” improvements from the real property
The “Real Estate Factor”
Does it encumber sale?
Does it impair my access to refinancing?
The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC
15. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
The Future of the Market
Beginning to realize that PACE doesn’t work as advertised
Credit enhancement is the public policy vehicle of choice
Loan Loss Reserves
Credit guarantee programs
National, State, and Local programs launching 2011
Multiple private equity funds being raised
Institutional capital are very interested
few proven investment vehicles or experienced fund managers
Market will evolve and mature significantly over the next five years
The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC
17. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC
Myopia Is Rampant
Risk That Is Not Evaluated is Significant
Risk of Future Market Value
Risk of Future Vacancy rate
Risk of Wild Swings in Operating Costs
Risk of Market Obsolescence
Greenhouse Gas Accounting for Leased Assets
Commercial Building Energy Efficiency is Virtually Unchanged from
1980!
Opportunities Abound
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ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
Real Disclosure
19. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC
What is wrong with this picture?
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ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
Source: Report to Congress on Server and Data Center Energy Efficiency Public Law 109-431” US EPA, August 2, 2007
Green Grid -
DOE Energy
Savings Goal
21. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010
Holistic Thinking—It’s Not About the Building
22. The Impact of Energy on the Future of Real Estate
ULI Fall Conference, Washington, DC Oct 14, 2010