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Next Generation
   Science Standards
        (NGSS)

             Systems
   Association of Fish and Wildlife
              Agencies
 Sustainable Tomorrow: A Teachers’
  Guidebook for Applying Systems
Thinking to Environmental Education
              Curricula
Educators
Prior to working through this presentation:
• Download Sustainable Tomorrow: A
  Teachers’ Guidebook for Applying Systems
  Thinking to Environmental Education
  Curricula from the Moodle site.
• Download and Print:
Educators are required to include the
          study of Systems
        (NGSS Framework)

Dimensions of the
             Framework
  –Scientific and Engineering
   Practices
  –Crosscutting Concepts
  –Disciplinary Core Ideas
Educators: Systems is one of 7
Crosscutting Concepts (NGSS)
1. Patterns
2. Cause & effect: Mechanism & explanation
3. Scale, proportion, & quantity
4. Systems & system models
5. Energy & matter: Flows, cycles, &
   conservation
6. Structure & function
7. Stability and change
Value of Using Systems as a Crosscutting
                  Concept
Educators: Below are excepts describing the value of “Systems and System
   Models” in NGSS (2011) that will guide the development of state science
   standards.

Using systems to understand complexity: The natural and designed world is
   complex; it is too large and complicated to investigate and comprehend all
   at once. Scientists and students learn to define small portions for the
   convenience of investigations. The units of investigations can be referred
   to as ‘systems’ (National Science Education Standards).

Using systems to model or mathematically represent complexity: A model
   of a system under study is a useful tool for representing the complexity of
   the system, gaining an understanding and communicating that
   understanding of a system to others.

Using system models to examine complexity: Models are useful for
   predicting a system’s behavior or in diagnosing problems in the
   functioning of the system
NGSS – K12 Framework
General Definition: A system is an organized
group of related objects or components that
form a whole. Systems can consist, for example,
of organisms, machines, fundamental particles,
galaxies, ideas and numbers. Systems have
boundaries, components, resources, flow, and
feedback (NGSS-K12SES: 4-7)
Educators: The NGSS systems definition requires learners to address
boundaries, components (variables), resources (stocks) flow (inputs and
outputs) and feedback (negative/balance and positive/causal) found in the
AFWA ‘Sustainable Tomorrow” guide.
Educators: Another resource for educators on how systems can be
integrated into science learning:

System Definition: from *Art Sussman’s Guide to
Science

A system exists whenever parts combine or connect
with each other to form a whole. The whole is
QUALITATIVELY more than the sum of its parts
(*Page 23).
Questions to ask about systems (*Page 35):
1.What are the parts of the system?
2.How does the system function as a whole?
3.How is the system part of larger system?
4.Does the system do anything when given input?
*Dr Art’s guide to Science: Connecting Atoms, Galaxies and Everything in Between.
Art Sussman 2006. Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, CA www.guidetoscience.net
KEY SYSTEMS SCIENCE PRINCIPLES

• A system is a group of interacting parts that
functions as a whole.                                    Educators:

• Systems change over time.                              Which of the following are
• Changes in systems can be short, slow, or cyclic.      systems or parts of
                                                         systems. Why or why
• Interactions within a system may not always be
                                                         not? Use the Systems
obvious.
                                                         Science Principles to
• Systems have boundaries.                               justify your answer.
• Scientists do not yet know enough about Earth
  systems to determine which elements are essential      •Battery
  and which are not.
                                                         •Box of staples
• Systems are parts of larger systems, which are parts
  of still larger systems.
                                                         •Lungs
• Systems are made up of subsystems, which in turn
  are made up of still smaller subsystems.               •Leaf
• Systems have inputs and outputs.
Cary Sneider, Richard Golden, Katherine Barrett
A New World View
http://www.lhs.berkeley.edu/GSS/
KEY SYSTEMS SCIENCE PRINCIPLES
                                                         Educators:
• A system is a group of interacting parts that
functions as a whole.                                    Which of the following are
• Systems change over time.                              systems or parts of
                                                         systems. Why or why
• Changes in systems can be short, slow, or cyclic.
                                                         not? Use the Systems
• Interactions within a system may not always be         Science Principles to
obvious.                                                 justify your answer.
• Systems have boundaries.
                                                         •Battery
• Scientists do not yet know enough about Earth
  systems to determine which elements are essential
                                                         •Box of staples
  and which are not.                                     •Lungs
• Systems are parts of larger systems, which are parts   •Leaf
  of still larger systems.
                                                         The Battery, lungs and leaf
• Systems are made up of subsystems, which in turn
  are made up of still smaller subsystems.
                                                         are all systems. The box
                                                         of staples is not a system
• Systems have inputs and outputs.                       because it does not have
Cary Sneider, Richard Golden, Katherine Barrett          interacting parts that
A New World View                                         function as a whole.
http://www.lhs.berkeley.edu/GSS/
Educators: Learners are expected to progress in their
depth of understanding of systems at each grade band
       Systems: A Progression of
           Explanatory Ideas
      9-12        Predictability and Feedback:

       6-8
                 Inputs, Outputs, Boundaries & Flows:

       3-5
               Complex Systems:

       K-2
             Part – Whole Relationships:
Educators: Here is another representation systems understanding for of
learners at each grade band
                Why use Systems             Which Systems?                   Big Idea:
                  Thinking?
                                            Physical Systems         Systems thinking makes it
                                                                      possible to analyze and
            Systems is a crosscutting     Earth/Space Systems          understand complex
                concept in NGSS              Living Systems                phenomena.




            Systems-Speak K-3                                         Systems-Speak 4-5

            Parts & Wholes                                            Subsystems & System

            Function of the Part          Systems                     Inputs & Outputs

            Predict
                                                                      Functions & Predictions




             Systems-Speak 6-8                                       Systems-Speak 9-12
             Inputs & Outputs
             Boundaries & Flow                                       Positive Feedback
             Open and Closed Systems
                                                                     Negative Feedback

                                                                     Equilibrium



      Courtesy: Mark Watrin, Education Service District 112 Science Coordinator , Washington State
Making the system visible
• NGSS Chapter 4-7: Models can be valuable in predicting a
  system’s behavior or in diagnosing problems in its
  functioning. A good system model for use in developing
  scientific explanations or engineering designs must specify
  not only the parts or subsystems, of the system but how
  they interact with one another. It must also specify the
  boundary of the system being modeled. In complex systems
  it is important to ask what interactions are occurring –like
  predator-prey relationships in an ecosystem – and to
  recognize that they all involve transfers of energy, matter,
  and sometimes information among parts of the system.
Model the systems
• Students can model their system through diagrams,
  words and mathematical relationships (NGSS-K12SES 4-
  8).

• The systems models provide a graphical representation
  indicating the mathematical relationships between the
  parts of the system.

• NGSS: (page 4-8). Students models should incorporate a
  range of mathematical relationships among variables and
  some analysis of the patterns of those relationships.
Make the system visible
• Represent the interactions between the parts
  of the system through the following systems
  models

    Behavior over time graphs (page 10)
    Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14)
    Input/output diagrams (page 15)
    Iceberg Model (page 19- 22)

Educators: Each of the systems models will be described next.
Make the system visible
• Represent the interactions between the parts
  of the system through the following systems
  models

    Behavior over time graphs (page 10)
    Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14)
    Input/output diagrams (page 15)
    Iceberg Model (page 19- 22)

Educators: Check the Behavior Over Time systems model on page 10 and
   identify the mathematical trend (increase, decrease or equilibrium)
Educators: Look at the behavior over time graph which demonstrates
the mathematical trends observed by scientists: read an explanation
on page 10 and page 17 of Sustainable Tomorrow
Modeling the system is important in engineering (including natural
resource management) to support developing design (and management)
ideas, and sharing, testing and refining them (NGSS 2011)




       Mule Deer
       Population




                          1950----------------------------2012



Educators: For example the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife scientists
study why Mule Deer Populations have declined over the past decades. The
Behavior over time graph is a mathematical representation of the system trend.
Go to the SYSTEMS MODELING ACTIVITY PAGE:
ACTIVITY 1: Represent at least one study that your state
fish and wildlife agency currently conducts that can be
explained by a Behavior Over Time graph. What are the
parts of the system (variables) focused on by your state
agency that change over time & needs to be managed?
Make the system visible
• Represent the interactions between the parts
  of the system through the following systems
  models

    Behavior over time graphs (page 10)
    Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14)
    Input/output diagrams (page 15)
    Iceberg Model (page 19- 22)

Educators: Check the Causal Loop/Feedback systems model on pages 11-
   14 and identify the mathematical relationship (increase, decrease,
   positive & negative feedback)
A system is changing when one variable in the system is
        changing in the same (s) direction (increase or decrease)
        as another variable. This is a self reinforcing (R) or
        positive causal feedback loop

              Simplified positive reinforcing causal
              loop:




Input/Event: Wildlife                                  Output: Wildlife Births ↑
Population ↑




        A system is in balance (B) or equilibrium when one part of
        the system is increasing ↑ while another part is
        decreasing ↓. This is a balancing loop (page 14), typical of
        Predator Prey relationships
Make the system visible
• Represent the interactions between the parts
  of the system through the following systems
  models

    Behavior over time graphs (page 10)
    Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14)
    Input/output diagrams (page 15)
    Iceberg Model (page 19- 22)

Educators: Check the Input/Output systems model on the page 15 and
   identify the mathematical relationship (increase, decrease)
Model for System Flow
                with Inputs & Outputs

Input                                             Output
 ↓                                                   ↓
[Deer Births]      → {Number of Deer}         → [Deer Deaths]→

 The trends are made more visible by modeling the input and output
                   flow of the system (Pages18).


Go to the SYSTEMS MODELING ACTIVITY PAGE :
ACTIVITY 2: Represent the system you modeled
with the Behavior Over Time Graph by using a
system flow model that shows inputs and outputs.
Make the system visible
• Represent the interactions between the parts
  of the system through the following systems
  models

    Behavior over time graphs (page 10)
    Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14)
    Input/output diagrams (page 15)
    Iceberg Model (page 19- 22)

Educators: Check the Iceberg Model on pages 19-22, linking system events,
   with system patterns, system structures and mental models.
Story of State Fish and Wildlife Agencies and Programs




                                                 Events: People catching and
  Observable behaviors                           releasing fish at local pond


Recurring events over time                        Pattern: Ecosystem Balance – carrying
                                                  capacity stable
Elements in a system that
                                                    Structure: State agencies
drive behavior
                                                    manage populations: hunting
                                                    & fishing regulations
 Held beliefs & assumptions
 that give rise to structures &                   Mental Model: We need to
 behaviors                                        regulate fishing to ensure
                                                  future generations have fish
Go to the SYSTEMS MODELING ACTIVITY PAGE :
      ACTIVITY 3: Create an iceberg model representing some
      concern you are dealing with in your professional
      situation.




  Observable behaviors:             Events:
  What we see

Recurring events over time:
What we see over time
                                     Pattern:
Elements in a system that
drive behavior: What supports          Structure:
what we see

 Held beliefs & assumptions
 that give rise to structures &      Mental Model:
 behaviors: What we believe.
Systems Analysis in 6 Steps
Look at issues in your professional situation through
  the lens of systems.

Use the 6 steps for Systems Analysis described in
  Sustainable Tomorrow pages 8-21

Practice Systems Analysis using your environmental &
  sustainability education lessons. These lesson
  typically include both science and social science
  disciplines
Educators: You can apply the 6 steps of systems analysis to issues
you address through your profession.




                                 The parts of the system that change over time




                                    Relationship between parts of the system



                                       Inputs & Outputs
Conclusion
• The Next Generation Science Standards
  (NGSS) expects STEM education to include the
  study of systems and applying systems
  analysis to problem solving.

• Biologists and natural resource managers
  apply systems understanding and systems
  analysis in their role as professionals for
  agencies, business and industry.

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Systems Modeling Overview

  • 1. Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS) Systems Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies Sustainable Tomorrow: A Teachers’ Guidebook for Applying Systems Thinking to Environmental Education Curricula
  • 2. Educators Prior to working through this presentation: • Download Sustainable Tomorrow: A Teachers’ Guidebook for Applying Systems Thinking to Environmental Education Curricula from the Moodle site. • Download and Print:
  • 3. Educators are required to include the study of Systems (NGSS Framework) Dimensions of the Framework –Scientific and Engineering Practices –Crosscutting Concepts –Disciplinary Core Ideas
  • 4. Educators: Systems is one of 7 Crosscutting Concepts (NGSS) 1. Patterns 2. Cause & effect: Mechanism & explanation 3. Scale, proportion, & quantity 4. Systems & system models 5. Energy & matter: Flows, cycles, & conservation 6. Structure & function 7. Stability and change
  • 5. Value of Using Systems as a Crosscutting Concept Educators: Below are excepts describing the value of “Systems and System Models” in NGSS (2011) that will guide the development of state science standards. Using systems to understand complexity: The natural and designed world is complex; it is too large and complicated to investigate and comprehend all at once. Scientists and students learn to define small portions for the convenience of investigations. The units of investigations can be referred to as ‘systems’ (National Science Education Standards). Using systems to model or mathematically represent complexity: A model of a system under study is a useful tool for representing the complexity of the system, gaining an understanding and communicating that understanding of a system to others. Using system models to examine complexity: Models are useful for predicting a system’s behavior or in diagnosing problems in the functioning of the system
  • 6. NGSS – K12 Framework General Definition: A system is an organized group of related objects or components that form a whole. Systems can consist, for example, of organisms, machines, fundamental particles, galaxies, ideas and numbers. Systems have boundaries, components, resources, flow, and feedback (NGSS-K12SES: 4-7) Educators: The NGSS systems definition requires learners to address boundaries, components (variables), resources (stocks) flow (inputs and outputs) and feedback (negative/balance and positive/causal) found in the AFWA ‘Sustainable Tomorrow” guide.
  • 7. Educators: Another resource for educators on how systems can be integrated into science learning: System Definition: from *Art Sussman’s Guide to Science A system exists whenever parts combine or connect with each other to form a whole. The whole is QUALITATIVELY more than the sum of its parts (*Page 23). Questions to ask about systems (*Page 35): 1.What are the parts of the system? 2.How does the system function as a whole? 3.How is the system part of larger system? 4.Does the system do anything when given input? *Dr Art’s guide to Science: Connecting Atoms, Galaxies and Everything in Between. Art Sussman 2006. Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, CA www.guidetoscience.net
  • 8. KEY SYSTEMS SCIENCE PRINCIPLES • A system is a group of interacting parts that functions as a whole. Educators: • Systems change over time. Which of the following are • Changes in systems can be short, slow, or cyclic. systems or parts of systems. Why or why • Interactions within a system may not always be not? Use the Systems obvious. Science Principles to • Systems have boundaries. justify your answer. • Scientists do not yet know enough about Earth systems to determine which elements are essential •Battery and which are not. •Box of staples • Systems are parts of larger systems, which are parts of still larger systems. •Lungs • Systems are made up of subsystems, which in turn are made up of still smaller subsystems. •Leaf • Systems have inputs and outputs. Cary Sneider, Richard Golden, Katherine Barrett A New World View http://www.lhs.berkeley.edu/GSS/
  • 9. KEY SYSTEMS SCIENCE PRINCIPLES Educators: • A system is a group of interacting parts that functions as a whole. Which of the following are • Systems change over time. systems or parts of systems. Why or why • Changes in systems can be short, slow, or cyclic. not? Use the Systems • Interactions within a system may not always be Science Principles to obvious. justify your answer. • Systems have boundaries. •Battery • Scientists do not yet know enough about Earth systems to determine which elements are essential •Box of staples and which are not. •Lungs • Systems are parts of larger systems, which are parts •Leaf of still larger systems. The Battery, lungs and leaf • Systems are made up of subsystems, which in turn are made up of still smaller subsystems. are all systems. The box of staples is not a system • Systems have inputs and outputs. because it does not have Cary Sneider, Richard Golden, Katherine Barrett interacting parts that A New World View function as a whole. http://www.lhs.berkeley.edu/GSS/
  • 10. Educators: Learners are expected to progress in their depth of understanding of systems at each grade band Systems: A Progression of Explanatory Ideas 9-12 Predictability and Feedback: 6-8 Inputs, Outputs, Boundaries & Flows: 3-5 Complex Systems: K-2 Part – Whole Relationships:
  • 11. Educators: Here is another representation systems understanding for of learners at each grade band Why use Systems Which Systems? Big Idea: Thinking? Physical Systems Systems thinking makes it possible to analyze and Systems is a crosscutting Earth/Space Systems understand complex concept in NGSS Living Systems phenomena. Systems-Speak K-3 Systems-Speak 4-5 Parts & Wholes Subsystems & System Function of the Part Systems Inputs & Outputs Predict Functions & Predictions Systems-Speak 6-8 Systems-Speak 9-12 Inputs & Outputs Boundaries & Flow Positive Feedback Open and Closed Systems Negative Feedback Equilibrium Courtesy: Mark Watrin, Education Service District 112 Science Coordinator , Washington State
  • 12. Making the system visible • NGSS Chapter 4-7: Models can be valuable in predicting a system’s behavior or in diagnosing problems in its functioning. A good system model for use in developing scientific explanations or engineering designs must specify not only the parts or subsystems, of the system but how they interact with one another. It must also specify the boundary of the system being modeled. In complex systems it is important to ask what interactions are occurring –like predator-prey relationships in an ecosystem – and to recognize that they all involve transfers of energy, matter, and sometimes information among parts of the system.
  • 13. Model the systems • Students can model their system through diagrams, words and mathematical relationships (NGSS-K12SES 4- 8). • The systems models provide a graphical representation indicating the mathematical relationships between the parts of the system. • NGSS: (page 4-8). Students models should incorporate a range of mathematical relationships among variables and some analysis of the patterns of those relationships.
  • 14. Make the system visible • Represent the interactions between the parts of the system through the following systems models Behavior over time graphs (page 10) Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14) Input/output diagrams (page 15) Iceberg Model (page 19- 22) Educators: Each of the systems models will be described next.
  • 15. Make the system visible • Represent the interactions between the parts of the system through the following systems models Behavior over time graphs (page 10) Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14) Input/output diagrams (page 15) Iceberg Model (page 19- 22) Educators: Check the Behavior Over Time systems model on page 10 and identify the mathematical trend (increase, decrease or equilibrium)
  • 16. Educators: Look at the behavior over time graph which demonstrates the mathematical trends observed by scientists: read an explanation on page 10 and page 17 of Sustainable Tomorrow
  • 17. Modeling the system is important in engineering (including natural resource management) to support developing design (and management) ideas, and sharing, testing and refining them (NGSS 2011) Mule Deer Population 1950----------------------------2012 Educators: For example the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife scientists study why Mule Deer Populations have declined over the past decades. The Behavior over time graph is a mathematical representation of the system trend.
  • 18. Go to the SYSTEMS MODELING ACTIVITY PAGE: ACTIVITY 1: Represent at least one study that your state fish and wildlife agency currently conducts that can be explained by a Behavior Over Time graph. What are the parts of the system (variables) focused on by your state agency that change over time & needs to be managed?
  • 19. Make the system visible • Represent the interactions between the parts of the system through the following systems models Behavior over time graphs (page 10) Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14) Input/output diagrams (page 15) Iceberg Model (page 19- 22) Educators: Check the Causal Loop/Feedback systems model on pages 11- 14 and identify the mathematical relationship (increase, decrease, positive & negative feedback)
  • 20. A system is changing when one variable in the system is changing in the same (s) direction (increase or decrease) as another variable. This is a self reinforcing (R) or positive causal feedback loop Simplified positive reinforcing causal loop: Input/Event: Wildlife Output: Wildlife Births ↑ Population ↑ A system is in balance (B) or equilibrium when one part of the system is increasing ↑ while another part is decreasing ↓. This is a balancing loop (page 14), typical of Predator Prey relationships
  • 21. Make the system visible • Represent the interactions between the parts of the system through the following systems models Behavior over time graphs (page 10) Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14) Input/output diagrams (page 15) Iceberg Model (page 19- 22) Educators: Check the Input/Output systems model on the page 15 and identify the mathematical relationship (increase, decrease)
  • 22. Model for System Flow with Inputs & Outputs Input Output ↓ ↓ [Deer Births] → {Number of Deer} → [Deer Deaths]→ The trends are made more visible by modeling the input and output flow of the system (Pages18). Go to the SYSTEMS MODELING ACTIVITY PAGE : ACTIVITY 2: Represent the system you modeled with the Behavior Over Time Graph by using a system flow model that shows inputs and outputs.
  • 23. Make the system visible • Represent the interactions between the parts of the system through the following systems models Behavior over time graphs (page 10) Causal loop diagrams (page11- 14) Input/output diagrams (page 15) Iceberg Model (page 19- 22) Educators: Check the Iceberg Model on pages 19-22, linking system events, with system patterns, system structures and mental models.
  • 24. Story of State Fish and Wildlife Agencies and Programs Events: People catching and Observable behaviors releasing fish at local pond Recurring events over time Pattern: Ecosystem Balance – carrying capacity stable Elements in a system that Structure: State agencies drive behavior manage populations: hunting & fishing regulations Held beliefs & assumptions that give rise to structures & Mental Model: We need to behaviors regulate fishing to ensure future generations have fish
  • 25. Go to the SYSTEMS MODELING ACTIVITY PAGE : ACTIVITY 3: Create an iceberg model representing some concern you are dealing with in your professional situation. Observable behaviors: Events: What we see Recurring events over time: What we see over time Pattern: Elements in a system that drive behavior: What supports Structure: what we see Held beliefs & assumptions that give rise to structures & Mental Model: behaviors: What we believe.
  • 26. Systems Analysis in 6 Steps Look at issues in your professional situation through the lens of systems. Use the 6 steps for Systems Analysis described in Sustainable Tomorrow pages 8-21 Practice Systems Analysis using your environmental & sustainability education lessons. These lesson typically include both science and social science disciplines
  • 27. Educators: You can apply the 6 steps of systems analysis to issues you address through your profession. The parts of the system that change over time Relationship between parts of the system Inputs & Outputs
  • 28. Conclusion • The Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS) expects STEM education to include the study of systems and applying systems analysis to problem solving. • Biologists and natural resource managers apply systems understanding and systems analysis in their role as professionals for agencies, business and industry.