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Market estimation using regression techniques.
- 1. Venture Lab
HWP3: Estimación del mercado
Diabetes
dataDiabetes 1990, 25 782 , 1991, 27 139 , 1992, 28 304 , 1993, 29 581 , 1994, 30 324 ,
1995, 33 316 , 1996, 34 865 , 1997, 36 027 , 1998, 41 832 , 1999, 45 632 , 2000, 46 614 ,
2001, 49 954 , 2002, 54 925 , 2003, 59 192 , 2004, 62 243 , 2005, 67 159 ,
2006, 68 421 , 2007, 70 517 , 2008, 75 637 , 2009, 77 699 , 2010, 82 964
dataP ListPlot dataDiabetes
fDia Fit dataDiabetes, 1, x, x ^ 2 , x
1990, 25 782 , 1991, 27 139 , 1992, 28 304 , 1993, 29 581 , 1994, 30 324 , 1995, 33 316 ,
1996, 34 865 , 1997, 36 027 , 1998, 41 832 , 1999, 45 632 , 2000, 46 614 ,
2001, 49 954 , 2002, 54 925 , 2003, 59 192 , 2004, 62 243 , 2005, 67 159 ,
2006, 68 421 , 2007, 70 517 , 2008, 75 637 , 2009, 77 699 , 2010, 82 964
80 000
70 000
60 000
50 000
40 000
1995 2000 2005 2010
2.53017 108 255 956. x 64.7354 x2
- 2. 2 HWP3.nb
Plot fDia, x, 1990, 2018
120 000
100 000
80 000
60 000
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
customerDiabetes t_ : 1 10 64.7354 t^2 255 956.0 t 2.53017 10 ^ 8
customerDiabetes 2013
customerDiabetes 2014
customerDiabetes 2015
customerDiabetes 2016
customerDiabetes 2017
customerDiabetes 2018
9635.31
10 108.7
10 594.9
11 094.2
11 606.4
12 131.5
- 3. HWP3.nb 3
Plot customerDiabetes t , t, 1990, 2018
12 000
10 000
8000
6000
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Cancer
dataCancer : 2000, 27 316 , 2001, 27 763 , 2002, 28 717 , 2003, 29 522 , 2004, 29 867 ,
2005, 30 507 , 2006, 30 591 , 2007, 30 577 , 2008, 31 262 , 2009, 31 851 , 2010, 32 348
ListPlot dataCancer
32 000
31 000
30 000
29 000
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
- 4. 4 HWP3.nb
fCancer Fit dataCancer, 1, x, x ^ 2, x ^ 3 , x
5.65098 1010 8.45126 107 x 42 130.8 x2 7.00097 x3
Plot fCancer, x, 2012, 2018
46 000
44 000
42 000
40 000
38 000
36 000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
- 5. HWP3.nb 5
Insuficiencia renal
customerIR t3_ : 0.1 1375 t3 2.747 10 ^ 6
Plot customerIR t3 , t3, 2013, 2018
2700
2600
2500
2400
2300
2200
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
customerIR 2013
2087.5
customerIR 2014
2225.
customerIR 2015
2362.5
customerIR 2016
2500.
customerIR 2017
2637.5
customerIR 2018
2775.
- 6. 6 HWP3.nb
Síndrome de Alzheimer
customerAH t4_ : 0.1 1.652 10 ^ 5 t4 3.307 10 ^ 8
Plot customerAH t4 , t4, 2013, 2018
260 000
240 000
220 000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
customerAH 2013
customerAH 2014
customerAH 2015
customerAH 2016
customerAH 2017
customerAH 2018
184 760.
201 280.
217 800.
234 320.
250 840.
267 360.