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Fund Review- ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Retail




Category: Large Cap
Managerโ€™s Benchmark: S&P CNX Nifty
Inception Date: May 23, 2008
Fund Manager: Prashant Kothari
Total Net Assets: Rs 3532.2 crore as on Dec 31, 2011
NAV: Rs 14.52 as on Dec 31, 2011
Fund House Pitch                                                      My Analysis
โ€œDiversification is needed to reduce risk, but too much               This fund was launched in May 2008. As we could recall that year
diversification can result in diminishing returns. Therefore, it      wasnโ€™t just the year of the bear but also the year that witnessed
makes sense to strike a balance between minimum risk and              one of the most terrible bloodbaths for Global equities in our
maximum returns, which is what a focused fund does. By investing      recent memory. Most market players were shying away from
in the largest companies because of an outlook that they will be      equities and taking refuge in cash, gold and debt instruments. But
the most stable through any situation, it strives to grow your        Prashant Kothari held a different view in those times, that he
wealth in the long run.โ€                                              capitalized on irrational market behaviour and took bets with
                                                                      some large caps whose prices have fallen down during the
โ€œICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund, an open-ended         downturn but had promising business potential and healthy cash
equity scheme, aims to maximize long-term total returns, from a
                                                                      flow position. When the market began to shown signs of recovery,
focused and optimally diversified portfolio that is invested in
equity and equity related securities of about 20 companies            his portfolio was well poised to lead the charts. Since then, there
belonging to the large cap domain. This strategy has the potential    has been no looking back.
to generate positive returns from being overweight on certain
high conviction stock picks.โ€                                         Since 2009 not only it has beaten the benchmark in every single
                                                                      calendar year but also marched ahead in the peer category. In
Investment Philosophy                                                 2011, 2010 & 2009 it outperformed S&P CNX Nifty Index by
                                                                      8.236%, 9.12% & 15.43% respectively.
This fund invests in about 20 equity and equity related securities,
and seeks to generate long term capital appreciation. The
portfolio is mandated to select stocks from among the Top 200
stocks in terms of market capitalization on the NSE. This fund
adopts a bottom-up approach to Stock Selection and the fund
manager has the flexibility to choose between stocks across all
themes, sectors and investment styles.




                                                                      2011 Period

                                                                      Investment Approach
                                                                      Since inception of this fund, he has invested in only 36 stocks.
                                                                      More often than not he takes long position with his holdings. Due
                                                                      to this approach, the Portfolio turnover ratio of this fund i.e. 0.38
                                                                      times is quite low compared to its peers. However if an existing
                                                                      holding looks overpriced beyond a level, he doesnโ€™t hesitate in
                                                                      booking profits. Prashant follows a bottom-up and an active
                                                                      approach, he looks for Industry heavy weights but doesnโ€™t have
                                                                      any sector bias as such. As quoted earlier also he looks for
                                                                      companies whose business model seems promising, exhibit high
                                                                      corporate governance levels and the management looks trust
                                                                      worthy. He uses a combination of DCF models and relative
                                                                      valuation factors such as P/BV, EV/EBITDA, P/E, and PEG to
                                                                      evaluate a companyโ€™s fair value. To cite instances, in Auto space,
                                                                      he favoured Bajaj over Hero Moto or Tata Motors, given Bajajโ€™s
                                                                      cheaper valuation & better profit margins. For similar reasons his
2011 Period                                                           preference for PNB & BOB over SBI amongst Public sector banks
                                                                      and Infosys over TCS in the Technology space is well justified.
He also has a strong dislike for highly leveraged firms, which        IT sectorโ€™s new bell weather and has rather increased exposure to
explains why he has always avoided Real Estate & Infrastructure       Infosys despite its subdued performance on the charts recently. In
so far. On few occasions he has also taken contrarian bets in his     fact, as end of 2011 Infy held the biggest weight in the portfolio. It
                                                                      has also added another Pharma names to the holdings list by
securities selection. Prashant keeps almost 5-10% of assets in
                                                                      taking fresh exposure to Cadila in October month.                 Itโ€™s
Equity or Index Futures to maintain liquidity and at the same time    undoubtedly amongst the big boys of the Industry, has had strong
maintaining equity exposure for the fund.                             top-line and bottom line growth last year, possess a well
                                                                      diversified product portfolio besides a few promising drugs
                                                                      (Generics) in the pipe line. The fund also completely sold off
Holdings Analysis                                                     Oracle Financial Services and Mahindra & Mahindra in October &
                                                                      December month respectively.
As mentioned in AMCโ€™s pitch, they do not believe in too much
diversification. The fund holds just 20 stocks comprising mostly
blue chips. As a truly active fund, the portfolioโ€™s sector weights    Security wise Portfolio breakup
remotely align with that of benchmark S&P CNX Nifty. See current
sector holdings below:                                                                                            Weight
                                                                                                                    (% 0f       1 Year
                                                                       Company             Sector                 Assets)       Return
                                                                       Infosys Ltd         Technology                9.44       -19.61
                                                                       RIL                 Energy                    8.37       -34.55
                                                                       Wipro               Technology                6.18       -18.84
                                                                       Bajaj Auto          Automobile                5.96         3.27
                                                                       Cipla               Healthcare                5.95       -13.49
                                                                       Bharti Airtel       Communication             5.08        -4.26
                                                                       ITC Ltd             FMCG                      4.98        15.26
                                                                       Bank of Baroda      Financial                 4.85        -25.8
                                                                       Hindustan Zinc      Metals                     4.6       -12.54
                                                                       Axis Bank           Financial                 4.34       -40.15
                                                                       ICICI Bank          Financial                 4.12       -40.21
                                                                       Power Grid
                                                                       Corp                Energy                     3.85        1.83
                                                                       Tata Power          Energy                     3.74      -36.11
As end of Dec 31, 2011                                                 Cairn India         Energy                     3.38       -5.56
                                                                       ONGC                Energy                     3.18      -20.32
As evident from the above pie chart, currently almost 64% of           Grasim
assets are allocated amongst Energy, Financial, Technology &           Industries          Diversified                3.18        6.23
Healthcare sectors. He does not hold any exposure to Real Estate
                                                                       Cadila              Healthcare                 3.06       -8.91
and Civil Aviation sector as those firms do not qualify his quality
filters like high corporate governance level, superior management      PNB                 Financial                  2.05       -36.1
structure and low leverage. As of Dec 2011, Equity & Index futures     HDFC Bank           Financial                  1.44       -9.04
accounted for 5.19% of the portfolio & Cash levels stood at 5.64%.     BHEL                Engineering                1.42      -48.61
Prashantโ€™s high-risk specialized/concentrated strategy has paid off   As end of Dec 31, 2011
investors so far. But it has also missed a couple of Sector rallies
like Metalโ€™s bull run in 2009. BSE Metal index delivered 233.68 %
in 2009. Likewise the recovery of Tata Motors since 2008 has been     Performance Analysis
phenomenal, it has given 70.26% return annually over last four
                                                                      As its name suggests, the scheme focuses on some of the finest
years period. Unfortunately the Fund Manager failed to capitalize
                                                                      Industry heavy weights and thus has reaped the benefits of
on that true fairy tale instance. Inclusion of Idea in
                                                                      stupendous recovery seen in the large-cap space after the market
Communications & HUL in the FMCG category would have
                                                                      meltdown in 2008. Having acquired most of its equity investments
boosted Portfolioโ€™s returns significantly in 2011 period as both
                                                                      at discounted rates in the second half of 2008, ICICI Prudential
yielded 18.33% and 30.20% respectively for the calendar year. His
                                                                      Focused Bluechip Equity delivered 91% returns in 2009 as against
conviction for BHEL & ICICI Bank has not gone well for 2011
                                                                      76% returns by its benchmark S&P CNX Nifty. It has consistently
calendar as they were down by 48.61% & 40.21% respectively.
                                                                      beaten the benchmark in the last 3 years. Though being relatively
However both these stocks will surely cheer up long term
                                                                      new, it has eclipsed the performance of some of Industryโ€™s best
investors as ICICI bank is expected to post strong Q3 numbers on
                                                                      performing old names like HDFC Top 200, Franklin India Bluechip,
the back of business recovery, improvement in NIMs & low
                                                                      DSP BR Top 100 etc. No wonder why it was awarded with CRISIL
exposure to Telecom & Aviation firms whereas BHEL enjoys near
                                                                      number one ranking in Open End Large cap Equity schemes
monopoly position in Capital Goods/Engineering space, it has
                                                                      category. It also commands 5 star ranking from both Morningstar
strong order book and also hold high cash levels.
                                                                      & Value Research. Itโ€™s AUM has grown from Rs 1658.17 crore in
                                                                      the beginning of 2011 to a massive size of Rs 3532.16 crore as end
A tour through Portfolio holdings throughout 2011 suggests that       of 2011, thereby clocking a growth of 113% in just one year. All
Fund Manager has a quality bias, he prefers value (margins) over      these factors reflect an impressive track record for the fund.
volumes. In September, the Fund made an exit from TCS which is
Period       Fund       Nifty     Sensex    BSE 100   MSCI India
 1M             -3.01       -4.3     -4.15     -4.83         -4.38
 6M            -12.95     -18.12   -17.99     -19.13         -18.9
 1Y            -16.41     -24.62   -24.64     -25.73       -26.33
 2 Y (Ann)       3.06      -5.71     -5.93     -7.32         -8.06
 3 Y (Ann)     26.63      16.04      17.01      16.7        17.42
Period- Jan 1, 2009 till Dec 31, 2011


Top 5 Performing Constituents

 Company                 Sector                   Contribution
 ITC Ltd                 FMCG                             0.76
 Grasim Industries       Diversified                      0.20
 Bajaj Auto              Automobile                       0.19       Since inception till Dec 31, 2011. Base taken as 10.
 Power Grid Corp         Energy                           0.07
 HDFC Bank               Financial                       -0.13       Other Quantitative Indicators

Bottom 5 Performing Constituents                                      Average P/E: 17.79
                                                                      Average P/BV: 3.38
 Company                Sector                    Contribution        Average Dividend Yield: 1.69
 RIL                    Energy                           -2.89        Average Portfolio Turnover Ratio: 0.38 times
 Infosys Ltd            Technology                       -1.85        Std Dev (Annualised): 22.82%
 Axis Bank              Financial                        -1.74        Sharpe Ratio: 0.78
 ICICI Bank             Financial                        -1.66        Portfolio Beta: 0.85
 Tata Power             Energy                           -1.35        R Squared: 0.97
As end of Dec 31, 2011                                                Annual Management Fee: 1.25%
                                                                      Total Expense ratio: 2.10%
Relative Performance
                                                                     ๏‚ท Portfolio turnover has been computed as the ratio of the lower
                                                                       value of average purchase and average sales, to the average
                                                   Out/Under
 Date                Fund    Benchmark            Performance          net assets in the past one year.
 Jan-11                -8.52     -10.25                   1.73       ๏‚ท Risk-free rate based on the last 91-day T-Bill cut-off of
 Feb-11                -2.96      -3.14                   0.18         8.4782%.
 Mar-11                 9.73       9.38                   0.34
 Apr-11                -0.65      -1.44                   0.79       Bottom-line for investors
 May-11                -2.86      -3.29                   0.44
 Jun-11                 2.14       1.57                   0.57       The fundโ€™s opportunistic investment in fundamentally sound
 Jul-11                -0.84      -2.93                   2.09       companies from attractive sectors has paid off investors really
 Aug-11                -8.52      -8.77                   0.25       well. Its investment rationale is tilted towards large cap-growth
 Sep-11                -0.07      -1.15                   1.09       flavour and committed to long term capital appreciation from
 Oct-11                 6.55       7.76                  -1.21       investments in handpicked blue chip stocks across various sectors.
 Nov-11                -7.08      -9.28                   2.21       The fund has outperformed the broader indices by fairly good
 Dec-11                -3.01      -4.30                   1.29       margins historically. Do consider this โ€˜aggressive large cap open-
 1 Year Period        -16.41     -24.62                   8.21       ended fundโ€™ while evaluating various mutual funds for your Equity
In 2011, except for October month, the fund has always given         fund portfolio and SIP your way to achieve long term goals.
positive relative return over its benchmark. Those were extremely    Always remember that the fund has highly concentrated portfolio,
volatile period for the broader markets. Even if we go beyond last   so new investors with high-risk quotient can consider investing in
year, the fund has beaten both benchmark and category average        the scheme with a long term investment horizon.
across various market cycles in last three years.



Disclaimer- Due diligence has been exercised in checking the authenticity of all figures mentioned in this report. But that does not
guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The recipient of this material should rely on his/her own judgment and take prudent decision
before acting on the above piece of information.


             06-Feb-2012, ยฉ Saurabh 2011 (Saurabh Kumar|๏€ชkaashyap.saurabh@gmail.com|๏€จ+91-8374109195)

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ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund

  • 1. Fund Review- ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Retail Category: Large Cap Managerโ€™s Benchmark: S&P CNX Nifty Inception Date: May 23, 2008 Fund Manager: Prashant Kothari Total Net Assets: Rs 3532.2 crore as on Dec 31, 2011 NAV: Rs 14.52 as on Dec 31, 2011
  • 2. Fund House Pitch My Analysis โ€œDiversification is needed to reduce risk, but too much This fund was launched in May 2008. As we could recall that year diversification can result in diminishing returns. Therefore, it wasnโ€™t just the year of the bear but also the year that witnessed makes sense to strike a balance between minimum risk and one of the most terrible bloodbaths for Global equities in our maximum returns, which is what a focused fund does. By investing recent memory. Most market players were shying away from in the largest companies because of an outlook that they will be equities and taking refuge in cash, gold and debt instruments. But the most stable through any situation, it strives to grow your Prashant Kothari held a different view in those times, that he wealth in the long run.โ€ capitalized on irrational market behaviour and took bets with some large caps whose prices have fallen down during the โ€œICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund, an open-ended downturn but had promising business potential and healthy cash equity scheme, aims to maximize long-term total returns, from a flow position. When the market began to shown signs of recovery, focused and optimally diversified portfolio that is invested in equity and equity related securities of about 20 companies his portfolio was well poised to lead the charts. Since then, there belonging to the large cap domain. This strategy has the potential has been no looking back. to generate positive returns from being overweight on certain high conviction stock picks.โ€ Since 2009 not only it has beaten the benchmark in every single calendar year but also marched ahead in the peer category. In Investment Philosophy 2011, 2010 & 2009 it outperformed S&P CNX Nifty Index by 8.236%, 9.12% & 15.43% respectively. This fund invests in about 20 equity and equity related securities, and seeks to generate long term capital appreciation. The portfolio is mandated to select stocks from among the Top 200 stocks in terms of market capitalization on the NSE. This fund adopts a bottom-up approach to Stock Selection and the fund manager has the flexibility to choose between stocks across all themes, sectors and investment styles. 2011 Period Investment Approach Since inception of this fund, he has invested in only 36 stocks. More often than not he takes long position with his holdings. Due to this approach, the Portfolio turnover ratio of this fund i.e. 0.38 times is quite low compared to its peers. However if an existing holding looks overpriced beyond a level, he doesnโ€™t hesitate in booking profits. Prashant follows a bottom-up and an active approach, he looks for Industry heavy weights but doesnโ€™t have any sector bias as such. As quoted earlier also he looks for companies whose business model seems promising, exhibit high corporate governance levels and the management looks trust worthy. He uses a combination of DCF models and relative valuation factors such as P/BV, EV/EBITDA, P/E, and PEG to evaluate a companyโ€™s fair value. To cite instances, in Auto space, he favoured Bajaj over Hero Moto or Tata Motors, given Bajajโ€™s cheaper valuation & better profit margins. For similar reasons his 2011 Period preference for PNB & BOB over SBI amongst Public sector banks and Infosys over TCS in the Technology space is well justified.
  • 3. He also has a strong dislike for highly leveraged firms, which IT sectorโ€™s new bell weather and has rather increased exposure to explains why he has always avoided Real Estate & Infrastructure Infosys despite its subdued performance on the charts recently. In so far. On few occasions he has also taken contrarian bets in his fact, as end of 2011 Infy held the biggest weight in the portfolio. It has also added another Pharma names to the holdings list by securities selection. Prashant keeps almost 5-10% of assets in taking fresh exposure to Cadila in October month. Itโ€™s Equity or Index Futures to maintain liquidity and at the same time undoubtedly amongst the big boys of the Industry, has had strong maintaining equity exposure for the fund. top-line and bottom line growth last year, possess a well diversified product portfolio besides a few promising drugs (Generics) in the pipe line. The fund also completely sold off Holdings Analysis Oracle Financial Services and Mahindra & Mahindra in October & December month respectively. As mentioned in AMCโ€™s pitch, they do not believe in too much diversification. The fund holds just 20 stocks comprising mostly blue chips. As a truly active fund, the portfolioโ€™s sector weights Security wise Portfolio breakup remotely align with that of benchmark S&P CNX Nifty. See current sector holdings below: Weight (% 0f 1 Year Company Sector Assets) Return Infosys Ltd Technology 9.44 -19.61 RIL Energy 8.37 -34.55 Wipro Technology 6.18 -18.84 Bajaj Auto Automobile 5.96 3.27 Cipla Healthcare 5.95 -13.49 Bharti Airtel Communication 5.08 -4.26 ITC Ltd FMCG 4.98 15.26 Bank of Baroda Financial 4.85 -25.8 Hindustan Zinc Metals 4.6 -12.54 Axis Bank Financial 4.34 -40.15 ICICI Bank Financial 4.12 -40.21 Power Grid Corp Energy 3.85 1.83 Tata Power Energy 3.74 -36.11 As end of Dec 31, 2011 Cairn India Energy 3.38 -5.56 ONGC Energy 3.18 -20.32 As evident from the above pie chart, currently almost 64% of Grasim assets are allocated amongst Energy, Financial, Technology & Industries Diversified 3.18 6.23 Healthcare sectors. He does not hold any exposure to Real Estate Cadila Healthcare 3.06 -8.91 and Civil Aviation sector as those firms do not qualify his quality filters like high corporate governance level, superior management PNB Financial 2.05 -36.1 structure and low leverage. As of Dec 2011, Equity & Index futures HDFC Bank Financial 1.44 -9.04 accounted for 5.19% of the portfolio & Cash levels stood at 5.64%. BHEL Engineering 1.42 -48.61 Prashantโ€™s high-risk specialized/concentrated strategy has paid off As end of Dec 31, 2011 investors so far. But it has also missed a couple of Sector rallies like Metalโ€™s bull run in 2009. BSE Metal index delivered 233.68 % in 2009. Likewise the recovery of Tata Motors since 2008 has been Performance Analysis phenomenal, it has given 70.26% return annually over last four As its name suggests, the scheme focuses on some of the finest years period. Unfortunately the Fund Manager failed to capitalize Industry heavy weights and thus has reaped the benefits of on that true fairy tale instance. Inclusion of Idea in stupendous recovery seen in the large-cap space after the market Communications & HUL in the FMCG category would have meltdown in 2008. Having acquired most of its equity investments boosted Portfolioโ€™s returns significantly in 2011 period as both at discounted rates in the second half of 2008, ICICI Prudential yielded 18.33% and 30.20% respectively for the calendar year. His Focused Bluechip Equity delivered 91% returns in 2009 as against conviction for BHEL & ICICI Bank has not gone well for 2011 76% returns by its benchmark S&P CNX Nifty. It has consistently calendar as they were down by 48.61% & 40.21% respectively. beaten the benchmark in the last 3 years. Though being relatively However both these stocks will surely cheer up long term new, it has eclipsed the performance of some of Industryโ€™s best investors as ICICI bank is expected to post strong Q3 numbers on performing old names like HDFC Top 200, Franklin India Bluechip, the back of business recovery, improvement in NIMs & low DSP BR Top 100 etc. No wonder why it was awarded with CRISIL exposure to Telecom & Aviation firms whereas BHEL enjoys near number one ranking in Open End Large cap Equity schemes monopoly position in Capital Goods/Engineering space, it has category. It also commands 5 star ranking from both Morningstar strong order book and also hold high cash levels. & Value Research. Itโ€™s AUM has grown from Rs 1658.17 crore in the beginning of 2011 to a massive size of Rs 3532.16 crore as end A tour through Portfolio holdings throughout 2011 suggests that of 2011, thereby clocking a growth of 113% in just one year. All Fund Manager has a quality bias, he prefers value (margins) over these factors reflect an impressive track record for the fund. volumes. In September, the Fund made an exit from TCS which is
  • 4. Period Fund Nifty Sensex BSE 100 MSCI India 1M -3.01 -4.3 -4.15 -4.83 -4.38 6M -12.95 -18.12 -17.99 -19.13 -18.9 1Y -16.41 -24.62 -24.64 -25.73 -26.33 2 Y (Ann) 3.06 -5.71 -5.93 -7.32 -8.06 3 Y (Ann) 26.63 16.04 17.01 16.7 17.42 Period- Jan 1, 2009 till Dec 31, 2011 Top 5 Performing Constituents Company Sector Contribution ITC Ltd FMCG 0.76 Grasim Industries Diversified 0.20 Bajaj Auto Automobile 0.19 Since inception till Dec 31, 2011. Base taken as 10. Power Grid Corp Energy 0.07 HDFC Bank Financial -0.13 Other Quantitative Indicators Bottom 5 Performing Constituents Average P/E: 17.79 Average P/BV: 3.38 Company Sector Contribution Average Dividend Yield: 1.69 RIL Energy -2.89 Average Portfolio Turnover Ratio: 0.38 times Infosys Ltd Technology -1.85 Std Dev (Annualised): 22.82% Axis Bank Financial -1.74 Sharpe Ratio: 0.78 ICICI Bank Financial -1.66 Portfolio Beta: 0.85 Tata Power Energy -1.35 R Squared: 0.97 As end of Dec 31, 2011 Annual Management Fee: 1.25% Total Expense ratio: 2.10% Relative Performance ๏‚ท Portfolio turnover has been computed as the ratio of the lower value of average purchase and average sales, to the average Out/Under Date Fund Benchmark Performance net assets in the past one year. Jan-11 -8.52 -10.25 1.73 ๏‚ท Risk-free rate based on the last 91-day T-Bill cut-off of Feb-11 -2.96 -3.14 0.18 8.4782%. Mar-11 9.73 9.38 0.34 Apr-11 -0.65 -1.44 0.79 Bottom-line for investors May-11 -2.86 -3.29 0.44 Jun-11 2.14 1.57 0.57 The fundโ€™s opportunistic investment in fundamentally sound Jul-11 -0.84 -2.93 2.09 companies from attractive sectors has paid off investors really Aug-11 -8.52 -8.77 0.25 well. Its investment rationale is tilted towards large cap-growth Sep-11 -0.07 -1.15 1.09 flavour and committed to long term capital appreciation from Oct-11 6.55 7.76 -1.21 investments in handpicked blue chip stocks across various sectors. Nov-11 -7.08 -9.28 2.21 The fund has outperformed the broader indices by fairly good Dec-11 -3.01 -4.30 1.29 margins historically. Do consider this โ€˜aggressive large cap open- 1 Year Period -16.41 -24.62 8.21 ended fundโ€™ while evaluating various mutual funds for your Equity In 2011, except for October month, the fund has always given fund portfolio and SIP your way to achieve long term goals. positive relative return over its benchmark. Those were extremely Always remember that the fund has highly concentrated portfolio, volatile period for the broader markets. Even if we go beyond last so new investors with high-risk quotient can consider investing in year, the fund has beaten both benchmark and category average the scheme with a long term investment horizon. across various market cycles in last three years. Disclaimer- Due diligence has been exercised in checking the authenticity of all figures mentioned in this report. But that does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The recipient of this material should rely on his/her own judgment and take prudent decision before acting on the above piece of information. 06-Feb-2012, ยฉ Saurabh 2011 (Saurabh Kumar|๏€ชkaashyap.saurabh@gmail.com|๏€จ+91-8374109195)