Egypt presidential elections 2012  power structure-6
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Egypt presidential elections 2012 power structure-6

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A methodology for voting in the Egyptian Presidential Election 2012. And Short term roadmap for the transition period after the elections.

A methodology for voting in the Egyptian Presidential Election 2012. And Short term roadmap for the transition period after the elections.

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Egypt presidential elections 2012 power structure-6 Presentation Transcript

  • 1. Power Structure in Egypt– Ver. 1.0 please let me know your thoughts /comments
  • 2.  This documents is NOT to tell who to vote for, The purpose of this document is to highlight some facts about the political power structure in Egypt, The outcome is a map of the main power centers in Egypt including the Hire/Fire command chain, The 2nd outcome will be two expected maps for the political power. One for each of the potential candidates, The document provides one main objective for the post elections (transition) period in both scenarios.
  • 3.  Who says Shafiq can not be another Mubarak Who says Shafiq will not declare “Emergency Rule” Who says “Eli Ne3rafo A7san” Who says “SCAF is the Egyptian Army” Who say “The question is civilian vr. religious” These are all LIES
  • 4.  Who says “The question is Thawra versus Old Regime” Who says “We can not guess what will MB do when they get the power” Who says “Ana we a7.oya 3ala Ebnm3ami, we ana we ebn 3ami….” Who says “Going with MoursiGives us a little bit of hope” Who says “We did not try MB” These are lies too!!
  • 5. Both are fighting to dominate Egypt for a long period.. And both are welling to do WHATEVER It takes ….DO NOT VOTE for who is LESS BAD!!! Cause both are REAL badDO NOT VOTE for who we tried before (Ne3rafo) !!! Cause you have see this nightmare beforeDO NOT VOTE for who we did not Try!! Cause we have seen their Lies many times already!
  • 6. If you want the best for your future,If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflicts between the two powers
  • 7. If you want the best for your future,If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflicts between the two powers
  • 8. Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt CorruptDefense Constitutional Hire Business officials CourtMinister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control Official Media Intelligence SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority International /regional Influence is outside the focus of this analysis
  • 9. 1- Presidential Election2- Transition (in case of MB winning)3- Supreme Constitutional court will decide on the current Parliament legitimacy4- Re-selecting or Re-approving the “100 Person Constitutional Panel”
  • 10. Scenario One - SCAF In this case, Thawra has to support MB and stop SCAF from changing the Parliament Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt CorruptDefense Constitutional Hire Business officials CourtMinister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control Official Media Intelligence SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority
  • 11. Scenario Two - MBThawra has to supportSCAF to protect theconstitution and people’sfreedom Informal Powers (no hire /fire Authority) President Parliament Judicial Corrupt Corrupt Defense Constitutional Hire Business officials Court Minister Admin. Hire /Fire Court Fire only Constitutional MB Corrupt Panel (100 Person) Militia Police SCAF Ultras Melyoneyyat Prime Minister Sabba7y Private /A.Fotoh Media Interior National affairs Security Presidential Control SCAF and moving to MB Official Intelligence Media SCAF People/Revolution MB Hire or Fire Authority
  • 12.  Both sides wants to dominate the Egyptian political scene for decades, Our objective should be balancing the power between the two sides to avoid any power abuse in the future, In both scenarios, El-Thawra has to play a major role to defend the loser and control the winner power grab in the transition period
  • 13. Thanks a lot to all of you who provided ideas/feedback and help