National Venture Capital Association 2008 Predictions Survey All data embargoed until: December 17, 2007
NVCA 2008 Venture Capital Predictions Survey
Second annual predictions survey
Conducted in December 2007
More than 170 respondents
Quotes and press release available – contact Emily Mendell (610-565-3904)
Venture Investment
How much will venture capitalists invest in 2008? Mean = $26.8 billion Median = $27 billion Range: $18 – 43 billion Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Of which single global investment region are you most leery? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Predictions for high growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Predictions for moderate growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Predictions for lower growth investment sectors in 2008 Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Which single industry will be overvalued in 2008? Source: NVCA 2007 Predictions Survey
Which single industry will be undervalued in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Venture Exits
In 2008, the venture-backed U.S. IPO market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey 15 % faster pace than 2007 20 % slower pace to 2007 24 % equal pace to 2007
Which stock exchanges hold the most promise for growth for venture backed companies in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
In 2008, transaction volume in the venture-backed M&A market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
In 2008, transaction value in the venture-backed M&A market will… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Venture Fundraising
On average, venture capital funds raised in 2008 will be … Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
In 2008, we will see the number of venture capital firms… Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Venture Performance
How will venture capital performance change over time? Short Term Returns (1-5 years) Long Term Returns (5-10 years) Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
US Economic and Political Predictions
How will the US economy trend in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Will the sub-prime credit woes be contained in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Where will the price of oil be in December 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
What will happen to the value of the US dollar in 2008? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Who will be sworn in as US president in January 2009? Source: NVCA 2008 Predictions Survey
Venture Capital Historical Data
VC Fundraising 1996 – 2007 (thru Q3) Source: VentureXpert™ Database by VE & NVCA
Venture Capital Investment 1995 – Q3 2007 Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report; Data: Thomson Financial
Venture Exit Counts- IPOs and M&A by Year Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association
Private Equity Returns As of 6/30/07 Source: Thomson Financial/National Venture Capital Association Fund Type 1yr 5 yr 10 yr 20 yr Early VC 8% -1% 40% 21% Balanced VC 25% 6% 18% 14% Later VC 24% 5% 10% 14% > All VC 18% 3% 21% 16% Buyouts 22% 11% 9% 13% All PE 21% 9% 11% 14% S&P 500 10% 4% 7% 8% NASDAQ 4% 6% 7% 9%
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