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Potential for Hybrid Solar Thermal
    Technologies in Gujarat




          Noel McWilliam, 2011
Introduction
•   Potential of Solar Tech.
•   Criticisms and barriers to progress
•   Learning from Nature: A hybrid/co-gen solution?
•   Our Solution: Key Features
•   Conclusions

          Please interrupt and ask questions!
Solar Power Potentials
•   Solar Energy – there’s a lot of it!
•   Total Global Irradiance 174 PW (10^15 W)
•   Global Energy Consumption 16 TW (10^12 W)
•   Only need to capture < 0.01% to meet all needs
Solar Power Potentials
• Visually:
A Changing Market Place,
              A New Opportunity
• Growing public recognition of Global Warming and Energy
  Security

• Industry perception is changing:
   – Need to be seen to be proactive
   – Promoting energy efficiency
   – Carbon offsetting

• The funds are there
   – Government subsidies
   – Investors stung by volatile markets in abstract derivative products want
     real investments

                So why isn’t Solar more popular?
Criticisms of Solar Tech:
              Supply vs Demand
• Spatial asyncronicity:
   – High elec. Demand often in areas of lowest irradiance
• Temporal asyncronicity:
   – Generation only by day
   – Uniform rate of supply, but demand has sharp “peak loads”
⇒ Solar Thermal plants must rely on back-up systems
  (typically fossil fuels)
⇒ Solar Thermal alone cannot satisfy the market
Criticisms of Solar Tech:
               Economic Issues
• Solar seen as poor competitor:
   – Coal: 3.88rs/kWh(e)
   – Solar Thermal: 9-12 rs/kWh(e) approx.
   – Typical Buy Price: 5-6 rs/kWh(e)
   – Solar only viable if subsidised
• Solar Thermal production seen as higher-risk:
   – Developing technology.
   – Large Scale (eg. Sahara Project)
CST in the Sahara Desert
• Why the Sahara?
• Europe has high demand, but low Irradiance:
  location not economical
• Near (ish) to Europe
• Near (ish) to equator:
  – low seasonal variation
  – sun higher in sky
• Desert: Low atmospheric moisture
⇒High annual average irradiance
CST in the Sahara Desert:
                   Problems!
• Logistic difficulties:
   – Inhospitable working environment
   – Poor transportation network
   – No current European-Saharan transmission infrastructure
• Building infrastructure
   ⇒ Long term project
   ⇒ Very Large initial capital outlay
• Long term + large outlay = Large Financial Risks
• Investors want the opposite :
   – High returns
   – Quickly
   – At low Risk
Criticisms of Solar Tech:
                What to do?
• How can Solar attract investors?

  – Reduction in generation costs per kWe
  – Scalable implementation tailored to risk appetite
  – Reconciling fundamental issues of supply and
    demand
Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature
• Human systems often perform singular functions
  operating at low efficiencies and producing waste-
  products
• Nature doesn’t waste anything!
• Ecological systems typically
  – Comprise many interacting species
  – Performing multiple functions
  – High overall efficiency (eg carbon cycling in tropical
    rainforests)
  – Little or no waste (outputs = inputs)
Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature
• Question: Can we learn from nature?

• Aim: To combine technologies that potentiate
  each other, producing efficiency savings and
  reducing waste.
Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature
Some observations about Gujarat:
• High annual Irradiance
• Top producer of salt
• Population pressures
  – Increased demand for electricity, food and water
• Scarce water supply:
  – Ground water levels decreasing, as much as 3m/yr
  – Crop production at risk
• Soil erosion & threat of desert expansion
Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature
Idea:
• Desalinate sea/ground water using “waste”
  heat from CST (co-generation)
• Use desalination “waste” water in local salt
  production
Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature
Advantages:
• Increased operating efficiency
• Water can be:
   – Sold
   – Irrigation support to local agriculture
• Supports local salt industries:
   – High temp/high conc output => Enhanced productivity
• Water and salt outputs subsidies electricity
⇒ competitive electricity prices
Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature
Further Enhancements:
• Digest/combust waste biomass from local crop
  production
• Biofuel used at night-time for water/electricity
  production
• Compost/waste used to improve soil condition
Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature
Hybrid CST: Key Features
Interconnected system:
• “Waste” from one component is an input to another
  – Electricity -> “Waste” Heat -> Desalination
  – Desalination -> “Waste” Conc. Salt Water -> Salt
    production
  – Desalination -> Crop -> “Waste” biomass -> Biofuel
  – Biofuel -> Electricity

                  No Waste Products
Hybrid CST: Key Features
Positive Feedback Loops:
•   Irrigation water -> Increased yield
•   Increased yield -> Increased biofuel
•   Increased biofuel -> Increased elec + water
•   Increased water -> Increased yield etc
Hybrid CST: Key Features
Natural “Hedges” (ie. Risk Mitigation)

Example 1:
• A: Hot dry summer -> high irrigation req.
• B: Hot dry summer -> high desalination vol
• Water stress in A compensated by B

Example 2:
• C: Wet summer (low irradiance) -> low elec. Production
• D: Wet summer -> high crop yield -> high biofuel
• More biofuel in D compensates low solar prod. in C
Hybrid CST: Key Features
Multiple Outputs
  Electricity
  Water
  Food
  Biofuel
  Compost
  Salt

• We can control production in each output stream
⇒ optimisation of output, responsive to market conditions
• Efficient allocation of resources
• More competitive and robust economic model
Conclusion
• CST is not economically attractive
• Need to Improve efficiency
• Potential savings through hybrid approach
• Multiple outputs address social, industrial and
  environmental concerns
• Savings could make HCST cost effective
Thank you!

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Mitravitae overview presentation: example integrated renewable energy system - Gujarat, India

  • 1. Potential for Hybrid Solar Thermal Technologies in Gujarat Noel McWilliam, 2011
  • 2. Introduction • Potential of Solar Tech. • Criticisms and barriers to progress • Learning from Nature: A hybrid/co-gen solution? • Our Solution: Key Features • Conclusions Please interrupt and ask questions!
  • 3. Solar Power Potentials • Solar Energy – there’s a lot of it! • Total Global Irradiance 174 PW (10^15 W) • Global Energy Consumption 16 TW (10^12 W) • Only need to capture < 0.01% to meet all needs
  • 5. A Changing Market Place, A New Opportunity • Growing public recognition of Global Warming and Energy Security • Industry perception is changing: – Need to be seen to be proactive – Promoting energy efficiency – Carbon offsetting • The funds are there – Government subsidies – Investors stung by volatile markets in abstract derivative products want real investments So why isn’t Solar more popular?
  • 6. Criticisms of Solar Tech: Supply vs Demand • Spatial asyncronicity: – High elec. Demand often in areas of lowest irradiance • Temporal asyncronicity: – Generation only by day – Uniform rate of supply, but demand has sharp “peak loads” ⇒ Solar Thermal plants must rely on back-up systems (typically fossil fuels) ⇒ Solar Thermal alone cannot satisfy the market
  • 7. Criticisms of Solar Tech: Economic Issues • Solar seen as poor competitor: – Coal: 3.88rs/kWh(e) – Solar Thermal: 9-12 rs/kWh(e) approx. – Typical Buy Price: 5-6 rs/kWh(e) – Solar only viable if subsidised • Solar Thermal production seen as higher-risk: – Developing technology. – Large Scale (eg. Sahara Project)
  • 8. CST in the Sahara Desert • Why the Sahara? • Europe has high demand, but low Irradiance: location not economical • Near (ish) to Europe • Near (ish) to equator: – low seasonal variation – sun higher in sky • Desert: Low atmospheric moisture ⇒High annual average irradiance
  • 9. CST in the Sahara Desert: Problems! • Logistic difficulties: – Inhospitable working environment – Poor transportation network – No current European-Saharan transmission infrastructure • Building infrastructure ⇒ Long term project ⇒ Very Large initial capital outlay • Long term + large outlay = Large Financial Risks • Investors want the opposite : – High returns – Quickly – At low Risk
  • 10. Criticisms of Solar Tech: What to do? • How can Solar attract investors? – Reduction in generation costs per kWe – Scalable implementation tailored to risk appetite – Reconciling fundamental issues of supply and demand
  • 11. Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature • Human systems often perform singular functions operating at low efficiencies and producing waste- products • Nature doesn’t waste anything! • Ecological systems typically – Comprise many interacting species – Performing multiple functions – High overall efficiency (eg carbon cycling in tropical rainforests) – Little or no waste (outputs = inputs)
  • 12. Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature • Question: Can we learn from nature? • Aim: To combine technologies that potentiate each other, producing efficiency savings and reducing waste.
  • 13. Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature Some observations about Gujarat: • High annual Irradiance • Top producer of salt • Population pressures – Increased demand for electricity, food and water • Scarce water supply: – Ground water levels decreasing, as much as 3m/yr – Crop production at risk • Soil erosion & threat of desert expansion
  • 14. Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature Idea: • Desalinate sea/ground water using “waste” heat from CST (co-generation) • Use desalination “waste” water in local salt production
  • 15. Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature Advantages: • Increased operating efficiency • Water can be: – Sold – Irrigation support to local agriculture • Supports local salt industries: – High temp/high conc output => Enhanced productivity • Water and salt outputs subsidies electricity ⇒ competitive electricity prices
  • 16. Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature Further Enhancements: • Digest/combust waste biomass from local crop production • Biofuel used at night-time for water/electricity production • Compost/waste used to improve soil condition
  • 17. Hybrid CST: Learning from Nature
  • 18. Hybrid CST: Key Features Interconnected system: • “Waste” from one component is an input to another – Electricity -> “Waste” Heat -> Desalination – Desalination -> “Waste” Conc. Salt Water -> Salt production – Desalination -> Crop -> “Waste” biomass -> Biofuel – Biofuel -> Electricity No Waste Products
  • 19. Hybrid CST: Key Features Positive Feedback Loops: • Irrigation water -> Increased yield • Increased yield -> Increased biofuel • Increased biofuel -> Increased elec + water • Increased water -> Increased yield etc
  • 20. Hybrid CST: Key Features Natural “Hedges” (ie. Risk Mitigation) Example 1: • A: Hot dry summer -> high irrigation req. • B: Hot dry summer -> high desalination vol • Water stress in A compensated by B Example 2: • C: Wet summer (low irradiance) -> low elec. Production • D: Wet summer -> high crop yield -> high biofuel • More biofuel in D compensates low solar prod. in C
  • 21. Hybrid CST: Key Features Multiple Outputs Electricity Water Food Biofuel Compost Salt • We can control production in each output stream ⇒ optimisation of output, responsive to market conditions • Efficient allocation of resources • More competitive and robust economic model
  • 22. Conclusion • CST is not economically attractive • Need to Improve efficiency • Potential savings through hybrid approach • Multiple outputs address social, industrial and environmental concerns • Savings could make HCST cost effective