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How to Build
                   Regression Models in
                   Excel

                                  Ashutosh Nandeshwar
                                          @n_ashutosh
   Advancement Services track sponsored by
                  Blackbaud
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Anscombe%27s_quartet_3.svg


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How?




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Challenges




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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Anscombe%27s_quartet_3.svg

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http://xkcd.com/539/




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CASE V & VI Linear regression In Excel

Editor's Notes

  1. . For segmentation, quick scoring, modeling, giving, easier options, forecasting, predicting, any analyst worth his money should ask why and so what?
  2. We won’t go in all details here, but we can talk about a few things.
  3. At its essence, linear regression is about minimizing the distance between the predicted value of an observation and the actual value of an observation, the technique is called least-squares
  4. If you want to use Excel, then all the variables should be numeric or coded as numeric. You have enough data, but not a whole lot of data. You are just getting started in modeling.
  5. If your data is quite skewed or the parameters have non-linearity , or you suspect that variables are quite similar.
  6. This is the exciting or not-so exciting part, where you actually learn how to do this.
  7. Missing data, lots of variables, low accuracy, R2 < 0.5, unable to take advantage of various newer methods, variable selection is manual.
  8. Weka, decision tree, attribute selection, R