Latin america FocusEconomics Conesensus Forecast November 2014
FocusEconomics Americas At A Glance_Oct2014
1. AMERICAS at-a-glance | october 2014
WhAt’S
InSIdE
• Major Economies & Americas
Forecast Summary, 2014-2015
Page 2
• Americas Overview:
Economic Activity Indicators,
2012-2018, Page 3
• Country Overview: Brazil Economic
Growth & Inflation Outlook
Page 4
ThE FOCuSECOnOMICS COnSEnSuS FOrECAST lATIn AMErICA: RElIAblE. UnbIASEd. PRovEn.
Our latin America report is a monthly publication that contains macroeconomic projections from over 200 different sources along with the
Consensus Forecast with minimum and maximum forecasts for benchmarking and scenario building.
Each month we poll the research departments of investment banks, financial institutions and research organizations to obtain their views
on the future. The report covers the most important economic indicators for a 5-year forecast period. Complemented with concise analysis
and numerous charts, it provides the most comprehensive assessment of the economies in latin America available in the market.
“Latin America’s economic performance
in 2014 is going to be the worst since 2009.
Weak economic dynamics in Argentina,
Brazil and Chile have outweighed a
recovery in Mexico and Colombia.
FocusEconomics panelists have
consistently cut the region’s forecast for a
year and a half, and now expect regional
GDP growth of 1.2%. Monetary policy
and exchange rate flexibility in many
Latin American countries should serve
as shield against adverse global shocks.
Nonetheless, prospects of an interest rate
hike in the U.S. as early as Q2 2015 have
put pressure on currencies in the region
since September. Analysts’ attention is
now shifting toward how U.S. monetary
policy will affect emerging markets,
specifically their currencies. ”
– RICARdo ACEvES, SEnIoR EConoMISt
lAtIn AMERICA
FoRECAStS
GdP
2014 1.2%
2015 2.4%
InFlAtIon
2014 12.5% =
2015 11.1%
MExICo FoRECAStS
GdP
2014 2.5% =
2015 3.7% =
InFlAtIon
2014 3.8% =
2015 3.4% =
bRAzIl FoRECAStS
GdP
2014 0.3%
2015 1.3% =
InFlAtIon
2014 6.3% =
2015 6.3% =
ARGEntInA FoRECAStS
GdP
2014 -1.1% =
2015 -0.2%
InFlAtIon
2014 27.3%
2015 26.5%
Download the full report for free and get a 3-month trial: WWW.FoCUS-EConoMICS.CoM/lAtAM2014
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