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HOW TO NAVIGATE
THE HUMAN AGE
Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment
and Match for Better Results




                HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results   1
2   HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
    Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results



    ManpowerGroup’s role as a navigator and innovative             For the first time in its history, ManpowerGroup is
    workforce solutions provider in the fast-changing              now publishing its most recent analysis of the Future
    world of work was affirmed in 2011 at the World                Forces evolving the Human Age – and aligning these
    Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos,
                                                                   forces with the right people strategies.
    Switzerland when ManpowerGroup CEO Jeff Joerres
    identified that the world had entered the Human Age.           The Human Age evolved quickly on the heels of

    What enabled ManpowerGroup to thoroughly                       historic technological, demographic and
    document indicators of the Human Age? Years                    geopolitical shifts, rivaling the impact of other
    spent tracking macro-economic forces, which                    transformational eras such as the Bronze, Iron,
    culminated in ManpowerGroup’s identification of                Space and Information ages – as it’s marked by
    critical and current world of work trends: rapid
                                                                   the rise of talentism. The new capitalism, talentism,
    technological development; shifting demographics
                                                                   puts unprecedented value on talent as the driver
    that have accelerated a talent mismatch; and rises
    in customer sophistication and individual choice.              of business success.




                 FUTURE FORCES


                                                     Bifurcated World:
                                                        the reversal
                                                      growth model




                                                                                       Human
                          The Human                 Adjusting to a                  Dynamics: the
                             Age:
                         Transforming
                                                  New Ecosystem:                     scarcity and
                                                                                     abundance
                        the ecosystem              The Human Age                      inversion




                                                     Riding the Wave:
                                                      the continuous
                                                        technology
                                                         evolution




                                                                                      Source: ManpowerGroup
In the Human Age, companies will have to navigate                      THEY’RE NOT DECISIONS. KNOW
continued growth of emerging markets, globalization,                   WHAT THE IMPORTANT AND
competition for employees – who will be pickier about
                                                                       RELEVANT FACTS ARE THAT YOU


                                                                                                 ”
potential employers – and the usage of increasingly
                                                                       NEED TO LOOK AT.
sophisticated technologies. Firms will face shortages
of crucial skills, called a mismatch, because of the                   KEVIN WHEELER, FOUNDER
                                                                       AND CHAIRMAN, FUTURE OF
large number of people unable to find work. Higher                     TALENT INSTITUTE
unemployment rates than in previous eras are likely to
be a fixture of the Human Age.                                 ManpowerGroup has framed the impact of
                                                               continually shifting economic and geopolitical
In addition, these organizations need to address               tectonic plates. But extensive change that
heightened access to information and rising                    transformed the world in 2011 is triggering
expectations for companies to be more socially                 additional profound change in 2012. Banking
responsible. Combined, these factors necessitate               missteps and a debt crisis in Europe upended
proactive, innovative and flexible workforce                   long-standing leadership coalitions in Greece and
management strategies.                                         Italy, and threatened the future of the Euro as a
                                                               shared currency. The Arab Spring, spurred and
In a series of research papers, based partly on
                                                               nourished by the rising influence of social media,
interviews with leading human resources experts,
                                                               toppled Libya’s dictator of more than three
ManpowerGroup prescribes a one-size-fits-one
                                                               decades and placed other regimes, most notably
model to employee recruitment and development.
                                                               Syria, in the headlines. Unrest even extended into
Companies need to listen more carefully to                     Russia where December saw massive crowds
workers in fashioning terms of employment –                    stage government protests. At the root of these
including not only where and when someone                      movements was dissatisfaction over the economy,
works but how they might advance their careers                 particularly among younger generations troubled
through development programs, “stretch”                        by uncertain job prospects. They represent a huge
assignments and promotions. ManpowerGroup                      piece of today’s unemployed. And despite surging
also recommends heightening collaboration                      unemployment figures, the world’s talent shortage
between companies, companies and government                    persists, as employers refine and upscale skills
and educational institutions, and between                      requirements to ensure that they create a
companies and individuals to solve complex talent              workplace that inspires constant innovation
shortages and mismatches.                                      against demands for productivity.

ManpowerGroup suggests freer sharing of                        The last quarter of 2011 saw hopeful signs in the
information and striking the right balance in                  U.S. economy, most notably an improved job
permanent to contract workers. The right temporary             outlook and increases in housing starts and
to permanent mix allows organizations to inject                consumer confidence. In December, a poll of
needed skills in a faster, less costly manner. Such            three dozen leading economists by the
speed enables companies to anticipate the more                 Associated Press projected faster U.S. economic
rapidly changing conditions of the Human Age.                  growth in 2012 – provided Europe’s problems



“	
                                                               don’t escalate into a global crisis. Yet the 8.5
       IT’S REALLY IMPORTANT TO                                percent U.S. unemployment rate, nearly double
       UNDERSTAND THAT FACTS AND                               the figure from the millennium, overshadowed
       DATA ARE JUST FACTS AND DATA.                           these small gains and created a nagging


                                           HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                           Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results   3
4         HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:




              1
              2
          Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results

     HAPTER
    CHAPTER
          uncertainty. Many Americans no longer felt as                                                  “The number of disrupting and transformational
          secure in their careers or the ability of the country
                      COUNTRY AND REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES shaking the world seems toto political
                                                     events
          to guarantee their way of life. Joblessness, debt
                                                     ranging from natural catastrophes
                                                                                       be growing,

          and the prospects for a stronger recovery beyond                                               upheaval, from social unrest to economic and
          the sluggish 1-2 percent GDP of the first three                                                financial uncertainties,” Joerres says. “These new
          quarters of 2011 will assume center stage in what                                              challenges and risks are connected, if not in their
          is expected to be a hotly contested U.S.                                                       cause, than certainly in their effect.”
          presidential election later now two years into its recovery. From
                   The global economy is this year.                                regions where credit is reaccelerating and signs of
                   the outset, it was expected to be a multispeed recovery—the overheating are emerging. Meanwhile, the economies
                                                                                         The world is a much different place than it was
          In the Asia-Pacific region, China’s economic that the
                   April 2009 World Economic Outlook projected                     at the center of the recent crisis, the United States
          engine rumbled along, albeit withthe fastest bymicro-
                   economies that would be growing
                                                        the first 2011 were        and Europe, haveago, as extensive change ese
                                                                                         one year substantial excess capacity. Th unfolded quickly
                   those that had avoided large precrisis imbalances, had seen     divergences have important implications for This more fact-
                                                                                         at the dawn of the Human Age. the



                                                             1
                                                             2
          signs of trouble. The whopping 10.4 percent
                   the smallest output collapses during the crisis, and had the    outlook, risks, connected universe each region.events in
                                                                                         dense, and policy priorities in has sent
          growth in 2010 dropped a percentage point Two years Therefore, this chapter highlights the extent to which
                                                   CHAPTER

                   most room for policy maneuvering after the crisis.
                                                                                         motion that previously would have taken years to
          through September 2011. Moreover, withthe contours
                   later, that picture is broadly unchanged, but its aging         regions differ in their cyclical positions.
          population, the country faces a looming skillsCOUNTRY ANDare large disparities in some
                                                                                      Similarly, there REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES
                   of the recovery are clearer (Figure 2.1). Some advanced               unfold. Themes that evolved most clearly in 2011 will
                                                                         gap.
                   economies have significant output gaps and elevated
          Who will replace these workers over the next two                         economies’ external positions. Past workforce management in
                                                                                         have a major impact on issues of the World
                   unemployment rates; many low-income countries are grow-         Economic Outlook have stressed beyond.for exter- to
                                                                                         months ahead – and the need Read on
          decades? Japan but sustainable rates; and there are signs of
                                  wrestled with the aftermath of
                   ing at rapid                                                    nal rebalancing in some regions—most notably the
          its catastrophic tsunami, which disrupted economies.                           understand how to address challenges stemming
                   overheating in a number of emerging market The global economy is now emerging Asia—to reduce global
                                                                                   United States and two years into its recovery. From regions where credit is
          manufacturing and supply chains and left the outset, it wasfrom these latest multispeed recovery—the that
                                                                      the          vulnerabilities. Thto chapter revisits this topicEmployers overheating are emergi
                                                                                          expected is be a developments. to
                                                                      April 2009 World Economic Outlook projected that the                    at the center of the rec
          country re-thinking its atomic energy future.economies that would be growing the extent toby 2011 will ensureand Europe, have subs
                                                                       Plus,       highlight, where relevant,
                                                                                         successfully respondfastest which regions
                                                                                                               the
                                                                                                                     to these tests were       their
                      The uneven nature of this recovery can be seen that had avoided large precrisis imbalances, had seen
                                                                      those in     diverge in their external (current account balance)
          its population is aging quickly.                                               future and competitive advantage.                    divergences have impo
                   the output gaps across regions (Figure 2.2).the smallest positions.collapses during the crisis, and had the
                                                                       Emerging output                                                        outlook, risks, and pol
                                                                      most room for policy maneuvering after the crisis. Two years            Therefore, this chapter
                   Asia and much of Latin America are now operating                   The chapter begins by assessing the outlook and key
                                                                      later, that picture is broadly unchanged, but the contours              regions differ in their c
                   close to potential, and there are economies of theserecovery are clearer (Figure 2.1). Some advanced
                                                                      in the       policy challenges in the regions where large output           Similarly, there are l
                                                                             economies have significant output gaps and elevated                                      economies’ external po
                                                                             unemployment rates; many low-income countries are grow-                                  Economic Outlook have

                         GLOBAL AVERAGE
                     Figure 2.1. Global Average Projected                      GDP GROWTH
                                                                             ing at rapid but sustainable rates; and there are signs of
                                                                           Real GDP Growth during 2011–12 emerging market economies.
                                                                             overheating in a number of
                                                                                                                                                                      nal rebalancing in som
                                                                                                                                                                      United States and eme
                     (Percent)                                                                                                                                        vulnerabilities. This ch
                          PROJECTED               2011-2012 %                                                                                                         highlight, where releva
                                                                                  The uneven nature of this recovery can be seen in                                   diverge in their externa
                                                                               the output gaps across regions (Figure 2.2). Emerging                                  positions.
                                                                               Asia and much of Latin America are now operating                                          The chapter begins b
                                                                               close to potential, and there are economies in these                                   policy challenges in the


                                                                                Figure 2.1. Global Average Projected Real GDP Growth during 2011–12
                                                                                (Percent)




                          Below 0
                          Between 0 and 2
                          Between 2 and 4
                                                                                      Below 0
                          Above 4                                                     Between 0 and 2
                          Insufficient data                                           Between 2 and 4
                                                                                      Above 4
                                                                                      Insufficient data
                      Source: IMF staff estimates.
                      Note: Projections are not provided for Libya due to the uncertain politicalIMF staff estimates.
                                                                                    Source: situation.
                                                                                                                           Source: IMF staff estimates
                                                                                 Note: Projections are not provided for Libya due to the uncertain political situation.




                                                                                                                           International Monetary Fund | April 2011   59
A B I F U R C AT E D W O R L D                                  practices they say give emerging markets an
                                                                unfair competitive advantage. Their governments
With a few fits and starts, emerging markets                    must answer increasingly to popular resentment
continued their strong performances, while more                 over the waves of jobs that have moved overseas
established economies declined in market share                  or have been filled by better trained immigrants.
and influence. In 2011, India’s GDP rose more
than 7 percent and Brazil’s above 6 percent. U.S.,              A result of this growing tension is a rising sense of
UK and Japan GDP growth rates floundered at                     protectionism over skilled talent. Identifying,
about 2 percent or less. Separately, a study by the             managing and re-strategizing roles for in-demand
research groups Moody’s Analytics and McKinsey                  talent is now a top priority among CEOs. Yet
Global Institute found that U.S. companies would                companies need to collaborate with governments
have to create 21 million jobs over the next eight              to fulfill this goal. In a recent PwC study, a majority
years to return the country’s unemployment rate                 of CEO respondents determined that creating and
to 5 percent. Many of these jobs will require                   fostering a skilled workforce is a commitment to
preparation that current educational and                        be shared with governments, in order to achieve
vocational systems are not equipped to provide.                 public outcomes.

China’s $2.85 trillion in reserves are nearly double            At the same time, the accumulation of wealth has
the total reserves of Spain, Portugal, Italy and Ireland        fostered deep divides within populations both in
combined. The Economist predicts that the                       emerging and established markets. The rich can
country’s purchasing power parity by the end of                 afford not only a more comfortable lifestyle, but
2012 will equal the U.S.’s. According to the                    the education to maintain their status. This
International Monetary Fund, the country accounts               frustrates the poor who, with rare exceptions, lack
for 40 percent of the world’s use of base metals,               resources needed to improve their lot. These
testimony to the power of its manufacturing sector.             self-perpetuating cycles kindled Middle East angst
                                                                and unsettled population groups throughout
A study by the bank HSBC predicts that by the                   Europe, the U.S., the Far East and Latin America.
end of this decade emerging markets’
contributions to world economic growth will                     The educational divide itself has also intensified
almost double those from established markets.                   the skills mismatch. In ManpowerGroup’s 2011
(Four decades ago, established markets’                         Talent Shortage Survey, one-third of more than
contributions approximately tripled those of                    36,000 companies worldwide said they were
emerging markets.) The markets’ contributions                   struggling to fill positions. The mismatches have
are roughly even now. Moreover, the younger                     hit countries with a double-whammy, hamstringing
populations of many emerging markets – among                    businesses while exacerbating tensions between
them India, Brazil and Vietnam – are an advantage               the employed and unemployable.
over more established economies. These
countries have also developed faster-growing                    THE SCARCITY AND
domestic markets fueled largely by increases in                 ABUNDANCE
discretionary income.                                           INVERSION
The shifting balance in world economic power has                In the Human Age, resources that were once
sparked tensions between and within countries                   plentiful are now limited, while others that were
and organizations. Fading powers now look                       limited are no longer so. Such reversals stem
enviously at foreign upstarts and question labor                partly from the Great Recession of 2008 and a


                                            HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                            Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results   5
6   HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
    Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results




                 GLOBAL SCENARIOS 2010-2020, A BUMPY RIDE IN
                 A MULTI-SPEED WORLD?
                           Developed World Economically Strong (US, Eurozone, UK, Japan)


                 Series of significant global financial crisis centers in     Global economic rebalancing continues on track but
                 emerging markets                                             without major financial crisis
                 Social and political tensions increase and boil over in      World GDP resumes growth track of 1990's through
                 several emerging market nations creating instability         2007 with rapid growth in absolute levels of GDP and
                 and movement away from market economy and                    per capita GDP growth througout most of the world
                 democracy
                                                                              Developed world deleverages and addresses fiscal
                 Commodoties demand/supply in rough balance                   imbalances through growth and sound economic
                                                                              policies
                 Global economic rebalancing largely stalls out
                                                                              Competition for commodities intensifies (oil, water,
                 Developed world, and particularly US, continue to be         food issues at center of cross national conflicts)
                 most important economic player
                                                                              Developed world savings and foreign direct
                                                                              investment sufficient to rebalance trade and capital
                                                                              flows with emerging markets
                                                                              Emeriging market consumption and investment
                                                                              become engine of world economic growth




                  Big Emerging                                                                            Big Emerging
                                                                                                          Markets Very
                  Markets Strong                                                                          Strong (China,
                  to Moderate                                                                             India Brazil)

                 Series of significant global financial crises take place     Series of significant global financial crises centered in
                                                                              developed economies
                 Developed world remains overindebted and emerging
                 markets lack sufficient domestic investment and              Global rebalancing accelerates with India and China
                 consumption to sustain economic growth                       combined economies passing size of US economy by
                                                                              2020 at current exchange rates
                 World economy stagnates with per capita income in
                 developed world declining and flattening out in              Commodity demand/supply in rough balance
                 emerging world
                                                                              Developed world forced by market pressure to
                 Social and political tensions increase and boil over in      reduce fiscal deficits, to deleverage and to reduce
                 several nations creating instabilities. Movement away        trade imbalances
                 from market economy and democracy
                                                                              Social and political tensions increase and boil over in
                 Prospects for Europe and Japan dismal in 2020's              several developed world nations creating instability
                 due to aging of population and inability to liberalize       and movement away from market economy and
                 immigration and domestic labor market                        democracy
                 Commodity glut                                               Increase in emerging market military power and
                                                                              reduction in relative power of developed world nations
                 Prospects for US merely poor in 2020's since its             (particularly US) creates conditions for major military
                 population is about 10 years younger                         miscalculations and misadventures
                 Declining developed world military power creates
                 conditions for military miscalculations and
                 misadventures by emerging market nations



                                                   Developed World Economically Weak

                                                                            Source: McKinsey and ManpowerGroup analysis




    fundamentally changed financial world. Chastened                          have spurred government to cut spending on
    by declining revenues, companies have had to                              social services. This dynamic has simultaneously
    adjust their philosophies about the use of                                created a scarcity and abundance inversion: fewer
    resources – natural, financial and human. They’ve                         benefits have led to increased stress among
    switched to smaller staffs and have been                                  people who no longer felt protected by
    exceedingly cautious about adding employees at                            longstanding social safety nets. This comes as
    greater expense, or without proof that additional                         many populations are aging, increasing the need
    talent would add benefits. Cost considerations                            for these nets.
The number of workers with adequate skills has                  per year, according to some reports. Sales of
decreased. Among the top 10 jobs most in                        censors that collect data in mobile phones rose
demand in 2011 were engineers, technicians,                     dramatically last year.
sales representatives, production operators, and
                                                                In late 2011, Apple introduced its latest version of
accounting and finance staff. The same types of
                                                                its celebrated iPhone, complete with artificial
professionals were similarly among the 10 most
                                                                intelligence that allows users to send emails
needed in 2010 and in previous years. Across
                                                                without typing. The company’s iPad sales have
these professions and others exists a lack of
general business skills, including communication,               soared every quarter since the product’s launch in
management and collaborative skills. The gaps                   January 2010–with more than 160 percent for the
are particularly acute in certain emerging countries            last half of 2011. Search engines and analytical
– Vietnam, among others – where education and                   software have grown steadily more powerful and
training systems have not kept pace with growth                 accurate. It’s now common to receive multiple
and the sort of business environment that breeds                answers to search inquiries instead of one or two.
experience is less evolved.                                     Among the major workforce implications for
                                                                companies: They can now track employees, find
Nearly three in 10 employers in a ManpowerGroup
                                                                talented job candidates and spread their employer
survey said that lack of experience is a key barrier
                                                                brand more easily. Of course, these advances
to filling vacancies. This is partially due to
                                                                have made organizations more open for
advances in technology that have made some
                                                                inspection. The flow of increased information is a
roles obsolete while creating new, more technical
                                                                two-way street.
tasks everywhere from corporate offices to plant
floors. Natural resources, even food and water,                 The number of older people has increased and
are scarcer. This has placed new burdens not                    will continue to grow in key economies for
only on populations and governments, but
                                                                decades. By 2050 in Europe, there will be twice
businesses to keep costs down and operate with
                                                                as many people older than 65 as people younger
greater efficiency.
                                                                than 15. China’s over-65 population will soon be
But information once coveted and protected like a               larger than the number of U.S. citizens. The
fine wine is now copious, easily accessible via                 number of employees eligible for retirement in the
improved gadgetry and online services that are                  U.S. now outnumber teens. A Pew Research
themselves more abundant – mobile devices,                      Center study predicts that over the next two
tablets, search engines, social media and blogs.                decades, 10,000 baby boomers will turn 65 every
According to a 2010 report by the                               day. Populations are aging in countries as
telecommunications firm Ericsson, there were                    disparate as Germany and Japan. They are more
approximately 5 billion mobile phone subscribers                youthful in India, Vietnam and Brazil, an edge for
worldwide from a world population of just under 7               those rising economic stars going forward.
billion, with companies adding another 2 million
subscribers per day. A separate report found that               In the past, these older groups were considered a
visits to social networking sites rose 24 percent in            burden but because of progress in healthcare,
2010. More recently, YouTube said that its users                people are living longer healthier lives. As such,
downloaded 24 hours of video per minute. The                    they will represent an opportunity for improving
number of smart phones is increasing 20 percent                 workforce quality.


                                            HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                            Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results   7
8   HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
    Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results



    Workforce diversity is hitting new heights as well.            world, or times when someone cannot reach us.
    Companies have learned that hiring people from                 In the Human Age, we have become all-day
    different ethnic groups and cultural and ethnic                networks, able to act or respond immediately to
    backgrounds helps them understand consumers                    many different situations. A business deal that
    and generate business in new markets. A diverse                begins in Tokyo on a Monday for a global
    workplace requires heightened sensitivities and                corporation may continue uninterruptedly for days
    flexibility. Management techniques in Brazil may               and involve employees and consultants from
    not resonate in Indonesia, although they may be                multiple time zones. Ideas may come from
    just right in France, or the reverse. One major U.S.           one-time economic outposts or collaborations
    financial services firm that has recently expanded             between people who never meet but know each
    overseas hired consultants to help senior                      other virtually. An executive who used to wait days
    executives communicate better with foreign
                                                                   to make a decision can now collect data from a
    employees and sent managers to these countries
                                                                   cloud, crunch numbers on a smart phone, and
    to familiarize themselves with the cultures. A
                                                                   solicit the opinions of his most knowledgeable
    whole cottage industry of consultancies has
                                                                   experts via software applications that allow
    sprouted teaching global behaviors.
                                                                   organizations to survey organizations in hours.
    TECHNOLOGY                                                     Improved, more affordable and widely used, these

    EVOLUTION                                                      resources themselves are adding users by the
                                                                   thousands every minute, round-the-clock.
    This paper has already touched on the prolific
    growth of information, a result of technological               Among technologies that bear highlighting because
    evolution that has made the collection, sharing and            they are likely to play a significant role in workforce
    analysis of information faster and more efficient.             management and other business issues are:
    Devices are smaller but more powerful and multi-
                                                                      •	   eReading tablets that provide access
    faceted. Indeed, people use mobile phones more for
                                                                           to information that leads to a more
    data storage and exchange than telephoning.
                                                                           informed workforce.
    Previously inaccessible information is now public
                                                                      •	   So-called Near Field Communication
    domain, but an overwhelming availability of
                                                                           devices that automate major parts of the
    qualitative information is upping the need to curate
                                                                           transactional experience. This technology
    or categorize and optimize data more strategically.
                                                                           creates greater efficiency but at the loss of
    As a result, skills in curating and analyzing data
    now trump the need for search experts.                                 jobs. Companies may help employees who
    Furthermore, excessive information exists on how                       worked in this area to develop other skills.
    organizations operate and their existing and
                                                                      •	   Teleconferencing and related products will
    potential workers – blurring the lines between
                                                                           allow companies to employ larger numbers
    personal and public space. Employers will have to
                                                                           of talented, virtual workers who formerly
    delicately balance utilizing personal data to identify
                                                                           would not have been attainable. The
    talent and unlock the potential of individuals,
                                                                           number of virtual workers has been rising
    without violating their privacy.
                                                                           steadily because these arrangements lead
    Networks that allow individuals to link together are                   to cost savings in travel and office space,
    tighter knit. There are increasingly fewer places                      not to mention more satisfied, productive
    from which we cannot connect to the rest of the                        employees. A 2010 report predicted that
more than 1 billion people would soon be                      workplace-related questions. These tools
     working virtually—more than 30 percent of                     help companies match positions to people
     the global workforce.                                         and tailor training and career planning that
                                                                   leads to higher worker satisfaction with its
•	   Mobile personal platforms and applications
                                                                   myriad benefits.
     that facilitate access to information and
     communication will enhance recruiting,                 R E C O M M E N D AT I O N S
     employee engagement, collaboration and
                                                            FOR A CHANGED
     productivity. Individuals can use these
                                                            ECOSYSTEM
     global systems 24 hours.
                                                            New eras require new ways of doing
•	   BigData products and services enable
                                                            business; which means strategies, processes
     individuals to effectively use unprecedented
                                                            and leadership.
     quantities of information that previous
     systems could not process. BigData can                 Central to Human Age leadership is an
     help companies develop better                          understanding that companies will only fare as
     management strategies, particularly at                 well as their employees. The quality of these
     companies with tens of thousands of                    workers will depend on the execution of a strong
     employees and locations worldwide, and                 workforce management strategy – crafted and
     improve understanding of markets. BigData              championed by senior executives.
     may also help companies fine-tune
     recruiting by enabling them to identify talent         Indeed, management will set the tone for their
     gaps quickly and pinpoint candidates                   organization’s embrace of fresh thinking on
     globally who can fill these openings.                  recruiting, skills and career development, work
     BigData has already had tangible benefits at           environment and the balance of full-, part-time
     consumer electronics retailer Best Buy. The            employees, and outside contributors connected
     Minnesota US-based company created an                  through virtual networks. Human Age leaders must
     online platform for its more than 100,000              embrace conceptualizing and strategizing the
     employees at 1,500 locations in the U.S.,              practical use of data to reap maximum benefits.
     Canada, Mexico and China to share                      They will understand a business’s obligation to
     customer feedback and offer suggestions                nurture workers, leading more on the pull side of
     to senior managers. The company has                    push-pull management, asking more questions to
     used this input to make decisions related to           understand what their people need, instead of
     national marketing and in-store advertising,           ruling by decree. This requires organizations to
     among other issues.                                    engage people more personally to understand their
                                                            needs. The Human Age leader will be able to adapt
•	   Social Networking allows companies to
                                                            to fast-changing conditions and be open to new
     promote their employer brand, stay in touch
                                                            workforce management technologies and
     with potential job candidates and engage
                                                            methods. The Human Age leader will be
     people within and outside the company to
                                                            comfortable working with different cultures, even as
     solve specific problems.
                                                            he or she ensures that the organization is operating
•	   Gamification processes, deployed with                  according to a common philosophy and standards.
     Funware, are being used to record job                  The Human Age leader will promote collaboration
     seeker and employee reaction to a range of             and appreciate the value of creativity,


                                        HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                        Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results   9
10   HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
     Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results




     “	    WHAT WE COMMUNICATE TO OUR
           EMPLOYEES IS THAT YOU HAVE TO
                                                                    ManpowerGroup holds that major HR initiatives
                                                                    should drive more flexible workplace modeling,
                                                                    source better talent and evolve people practices
           OWN YOUR DEVELOPMENT.                                    relevant in real time, which in turn solve issues
           YOU’VE GOT TO BE THE ONE TO                              brought about by the Human Age.
           DO MOST OF THE PULLING IN
                                                                    NEW WORK MODELS
           TERMS OF TRAINING AND
           DEVELOPMENT. OUR BELIEF IS                               Employers which are able to leverage a range of
                                                                    flexible work models incorporating full-time,
           THAT YOU’RE GOING TO GET
                                                                    part-time workers and remote or virtual talent with
           SOMEBODY TO REALLY LEARN
                                                                    in-demand skills, will maintain a serious advantage
           MORE WHEN THEY’RE THE                                    in the Human Age. A varied structure of
           ONES WHO ARE PULLING IT                                  permanent, contract and virtual employees helps
           VERSUS WHEN IT’S TILTED                                  control costs and tap a greater range of skills.
           TOWARD THE OLD MODEL OF


                                               ”
                                                                       •	   Adopt a more “glocal” perspective.
           PUSH FOR MANAGEMENT.                                             Companies will have to be more locally
           RICH FLOERSCH, EXECUTIVE VICE                                    conscious even as they ensure widely
           PRESIDENT AND CHIEF HUMAN                                        dispersed offices are adhering to the same
           RESOURCES OFFICER, MCDONALD’S
                                                                            overriding philosophy, processes and
                                                                            standards. This paper has already touched on
     In the Human Age, innovations in products,
                                                                            the importance of adapting management
     services and processes will provide companies
                                                                            practices to address cultural differences.
     with a competitive plus.
                                                                            One country’s rules and norms may
     The Human Age Leader will be sensitive to the                          contradict those of regional neighbors.
     importance of corporate social responsibility issues                   The differences – even in simple
     and eager to embrace partnerships with other                           communications—when not accounted
     organizations – public and private – that have an                      for—can lead to misunderstandings that
     interest in worker quality. He or she will understand                  hamper productivity.
     the value of using human resources organizations,
                                                                       •	   Collaborate with governments to build out
     such as ManpowerGroup, that can serve as
                                                                            training programs. The national governments
     trusted advisors and provide unique services.                          of India and Vietnam are examples of proactive
     ManpowerGroup provides workforce                                       governments seeking to diversify the skills of
                                                                            their workforces by launching new nationwide
     management suggestions for organizations to
                                                                            training programs. These initiatives are often
     thrive in the Human Age. This year’s
                                                                            the result of partnerships with non-
     recommendations account for the past year’s
                                                                            governmental agencies, non-profits, educators
     changes and anticipate some of the events
                                                                            and businesses.
     alluded to in the previous pages. The list is longer
     and more finely tuned – a result of the vastly                    •	   Employ swarm and virtual work
     different ecosystem that has emerged since                             structures more freely. Swarm work refers
     identified last January. The stakes are higher.                        to groups of a few individuals to thousands
     Competition for talent and resources is fierce as                      executing small tasks as part of one project.
     firms seek firmer footholds in a turbulent world.                      The project director frequently may not know
who is involved. Some contributors may                                     Collaborative models are unique to every
     even be volunteers who are part of research                                corporation, even within the same industry.
     networks that have been established to                                     Senior executive teams must define the
     advance the flow of ideas. These people                                    type of model that will inspire the
     become involved because they feel                                          collaboration they need – and the pace at
     passionate about a topic or organization.                                  which they need results.  Within some
     Swarm work may be better equipped to                                       companies, collaborative models follow a
     spur innovation because it allows firms to                                 competitive structure in which product
     incorporate talent that they would formally                                teams brainstorm in the context of a game. 
     not have entered their radars. Swarm work                                  Knowledge management sharing is a key
     has become more possible because of                                        platform for generating and refining best
     increased virtual participation, which has                                 practices, while social networks both
     allowed individuals to contribute more                                     broaden collaborative efforts and speed
     frequently on their own terms. Virtual work is                             them into real time. This leads to cost
     a building block of the Human Age.
                                                                                savings as managers no longer have to recruit
•	   Structure horizontal work models. These                                    individuals on a contract or full-time basis
     arrangements allow companies to draw on                                    from outside the organization. Horizontal
     current employees who in vertical-only,                                    constructs have secondary benefits, nurturing
     management systems would have worked                                       closer relationships across locations and
     only within their divisions. Horizontal                                    divisions and enhancing an innovative spirit.
     frameworks erase the barriers between                                      One example is hyper-specialization, the
     functional and geographic silos. Managers                                  breaking up of a project or job across talent,
     can share talent freely across functions and                               even in remote destinations, to secure the
     divisions raising bar on collaboration.                                    best talent per project or job part.
                                                                                                                 16

           A NEW!"#$%"&'(!#)*!+)&#",-./01"2.-34.05,6"7,0,897905"
                 ORGANIZATION AROUND
             !"#$%"&'(!#)*!+)&#",-./
           HORIZONTAL MANAGEMENT
                                     Silos                                             Silos
                          ! Silos are needed for
                           Silos are needed for
               !"#$%"&'(!#)*!+)&#",-./
                          process performance
                            process performance


                                                                                       Silos
               !"#$%"&'(!#)*!+)&#",-./
                               Talent Marketplace
                                  !"#$%&'(")*$&+#",$'                      !"#$%&'(")*$&+#",$
                                                     Silos
                                                       3 market places
                           Knowledge Marketplace !"#$%&'(")*$&+#",$
                              -%./#$01$'(")*$&+#",$'               and
                                                  -%./#$01$'(")*$&+#"
                                                          3 boundaries

                            Networks Marketplace !"#$%&'(")*$&+#",$
                               2$&/.)*3'(")*$&+#",$' 2$&/.)*3'(")*$&+#"
                                                   -%./#$01$'(")*$&+#"



                                                               2$&/.)*3'(")*$&+#"
                                                              -%./#$01$'(")*$&+#"
                                     ! Transversality for innovation and flexibility
                                     Transversality for innovation and flexibility!  ransversality for inn
                                                                                   T


                                                                  2$&/.)*3'(")*$&+#"
                                                                      Source: ManpowerGroup
                                                                                        T
                                                                                       !  ransversality
                                                                                                                                 for   inn


                                         HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                         Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results
                                                                           !  T  ransversality                                   11
                                                                                                                                 for   inn
12   HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
     Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results




                                     !"##$%"&$'()*+",)#-*
                  COLLABORATIVE APPROACHES

                     0&"+*1!!*$2**            3"*4&5672)528&79:*26)*;828&)*$2**



                      3"*5"<5&)$'9:*799"($'"9*$2**                     3"*)9:$:79:*=)"=#)*$2**




                       3"*&)5"++)9,79:*5"99)5'"9-*$2**
                                                                           3"*>?*$2**



                        "&*$2**                           3"*"()&5"+79:*5&7-7-*$2**


                                                                                             Source: ManpowerGroup
                                                                                                                ./*



                                                                                                                       
       •	   Use gaming techniques. Gaming permits                                 understand that finding and keeping talent
            organizations to pinpoint information about                           will be essential to their success. Workforce
            candidates and employees through detailed                             strategies will skillfully combine technology
            questions. Does an individual prefer                                  and a personal touch to recruiting, training
            working one or two days at home? Would                                and development. Strategies will wisely
            the worker consider moving for a position?                            balance permanent and temporary staff.
            Is this person comfortable managing other                             They will make use of social media and
            employees? Such questions help foster                                 other online resources to find candidates
            discussion between employer and                                       worldwide, to communicate regularly with
            employee that leads to better policies.                               them and learn what they are seeking in a
            Gaming, as a training and development                                 work environment. They will pay close
            purpose, also offers huge benefits, as                                attention to issues that influence opinion,
            training concepts can be relayed through a                            including social responsibility initiatives and
            more entertaining medium to inspire                                   the treatment of workers. They will include
            creativity and innovation. Companies also                             informal development activities, including
            use it to enhance recruitment practices,                              mentoring, and more structured
            Game-like evaluations are also used in                                programming. Workforce management in
            online talent sourcing forums to rate work                            the Human Age will require a multifaceted,
            being submitted as a contract bid.                                    forward-thinking approach. Anything less
                                                                                  risks allowing an organization to fall behind.
     PEOPLE PRACTICES
                                                                                  Human Age companies are proactive. They
     Contemporary people practices and philosophies for                           don’t fall behind. They take the lead.
     the 21st century must be refined in terms of how
                                                                          •	      Leverage a workforce solutions
     companies hire, reward, engage and develop talent.
                                                                                  company to differentiate your company
       •	   Craft more comprehensive workforce                                    in the face of talent shortage. One-size-
            management strategies. Companies                                      fits-one customized solutions are key. There
is a frequent misconception that holds staffing                    sometimes in collaboration with HR. But
     companies responsible for job losses.                              development programs must now stem
     Instead, these organizations have a positive                       from ongoing dialogues between workers
     effect on economies by increasing labor                            and companies. ManpowerGroup spoke
     market flexibility helping companies address                       regularly last year about the importance of
     their needs quickly while providing jobs for the                   one-size-fits-one approaches to employee
     unemployed. There are added benefits for                           development. This becomes simpler with
     companies that groom contract workers for                          easier access to online programs targeting
     full-time roles and to workers who gain                            a variety of skills, and the greater direct
     valuable experience and learn new skills.                          involvement of senior leaders. The number
                                                                        of mentoring programs and informal
•	   Assess skills more precisely and                                   development initiatives often highlighted by
     comprehensively. Assessments should                                frequent, direct contact with executives has
     cover communication and other softer                               blossomed. These programs must continue
     skills, along with specific expertise.                             expanding for companies to cultivate their
     Companies that pinpoint weaknesses faster                          people’s potential the fullest.
     than their competitors can take measures
     more quickly to fix these shortcomings.                       •	   Cultivate Human Age leadership skills.
                                                                        This paper has already identified key
•	   Balance push-pull methods of                                       Human Age Leadership issues. Clearly,
     management and development. In the                                 leadership is now more complex and
     past, companies relied on development by                           difficult than prior to its dawn. This is not
     command. Employees participated in                                 simply due to the speed of change, but the
     training as directed by their managers,                            sheer number of variables that executives



           PUSH AND PULL APPROACHES IN TRAINING

                  Training                                                                Training
               demanded by                                                             expectations
                individuals                                                            by companies




                    Training that is                                              Training that
                     employability                 Training that                 is corporate-
                          and                      serves both                      specific
                     development                  the company                    requirement-
                        related                      and the                         related
                                                    individual

                                                                                   Source: ManpowerGroup




                                         HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                         Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results    13
14   HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
     Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results



            face. Moreover, Human Age leaders have                          companies need, they can learn quickly. By
            less time than previous generations to make                     taking a more active role in schools and
            important decisions and more information                        vocational training programs, and creating
            to weigh. Indeed, they must manage their                        their own development initiatives,
            time and stress exceptionally. They must be                     organizations can make better use of this
            able to handle large amounts of data and                        age group. Germany, whose economy has
            ensure their organizations are providing the                    outpaced those of many other traditional,
            resources to make optimum use of                                industrialized nations, has already made
            BigData. The ability to organize data will                      inroads in this direction through a well-
            aid a company’s planning and daily                              established internship system. Growing
            operations. Leaders need to be able to                          older populations will also offer
            curate information overload and efficiently                     opportunities for companies to enhance
            and effectively distribute what’s relevant to                   their workforces. In the past, many
            their people to drive performance and                           companies considered these workers too
            results. It bears repeating that Human Age                      old, set in their ways, or not worth the
            leaders must ensure that their companies                        investment because they were unlikely to
            are being socially and environmentally                          work for many years. But in recent years,
            responsible, encouraging collaboration and                      companies have discovered that such
            innovative work arrangements, and                               groups are easily re-trainable. A German
            becoming more personally involved in                            initiative has focused to great success on
            workforce planning through mentoring and                        connecting companies with retirees still vital
            participation in development activities.                        enough to handle a full-time job. Older
            Organizations reflect the temperament and                       workers have a sound understanding of
            style of their leaders. Leaders in the Human                    appropriate workplace behavior, and with
            Age must take care to ensure they employ                        advances in healthcare, may have the
            a Human style to leadership.                                    energy to work comfortably into their late
                                                                            60s and 70s. The potential return on
     TA L E N T S O U R C E S
                                                                            investment for companies is huge.
     Employers can improve their workforce pipeline                         ManpowerGroup’s Teachable Fit model
     by looking at different sources of talent and                          illustrates how employers, lacking access to
     reskilling talent within their reach.                                  talent with the skills they need, can identify
                                                                            existing employees and accessible
       •	   Tap overlooked and underused talent
                                                                            candidates with a mindset for learning and
            pools. The recent spikes in unemployment
                                                                            develop them with the right skills.
            have particularly afflicted younger age
            groups. A Guardian newspaper article in                    •	   Strategically migrate in-demand talent
            April 2011 reported that 40 percent of the                      within and across countries. Talent
            unemployed in the UK are between the                            mobility has grown worldwide.
            ages of 16 and 24. Such numbers have                            ManpowerGroup’s 2011 Borderless
            spurred serious, social problems. In one                        Workforce Survey of more than 25,000
            2011 survey, unemployment was the most                          employers from 39 countries and territories
            cited reason for youths joining gangs or                        has found that about one quarter of
            rebel causes. Yet, while young people often                     responding employers have been seeking
            do not possess the experience or skills that                    foreign talent to solve their skills shortages.
Companies in the U.S. were the most likely                        criticism and praise. A few such social
     to seek foreign talent. China was among                           media specialists target influencers, key
     the countries in which employers were least                       individuals who via their writings and
     likely to look externally. Importing talent is                    expertise can sway opinion about
     made possible through ManpowerGroup                               organizations. Followers of companies,
     Solutions’ Borderless Talent Offering.                            including job candidates, increasingly rely
                                                                       on social media to learn about salary,
•	   Reevaluate how to assess, recruit,
                                                                       benefits and how particular managers treat
     develop and compensate talent in
                                                                       their employees. But companies can also
     certain markets. This will be necessary in
                                                                       use social media to find out more about job
     a more “glocalized” world where people’s
                                                                       candidates faster. These potential
     perspectives vary widely. Given increased
     public access to information, companies                           employees reveal much about their careers
     will be under more pressure to make fair                          through their postings and interactions on
     decisions everywhere. Techniques used in                          social media sites. Some companies are
     managing these fundamental HR functions                           also using outside consultancies effectively
     will vary among locations.                                        in their HR-related, social media activities.

•	   Collaborate with educational institutions
     and government. For decades, schools and
     universities set curriculum with nary a glance
                                                                “	     I’VE SEEN A NUMBER OF CASES
                                                                       WHERE A CEO ADOPTS
                                                                       SOMETHING LIKE TWITTER FOR
     at business needs. This has created the
                                                                       USE IN-HOUSE AND
     present skills gap and a general lack of
     understanding of proper workforce
                                                                       JUST STARTS PUTTING SOME
     comportment. Improved collaboration will                          MESSAGES OUT. ALL OF A
     produce better trained workplace candidates.                      SUDDEN, MOST OF THE
                                                                       ORGANIZATION WANTS TO BE IN
•	   Harness BigData effectively. This will
     require investment in technology – home-                          THAT NETWORK BECAUSE THEY
     grown or otherwise – for analyzing the flood                      WANT TO HEAR THINGS FROM THE
     of information about potential and current                        HORSE’S MOUTH. WHEN
     employees. In the Human Age, a company                            THAT HAPPENS YOU SPEED UP
     that makes effective use of BigData will be
                                                                       THE CYCLE TIME OF THE
     able to spot skills shortages and survey huge
     fields of candidates who can fill the gap, or                     ORGANIZATION BECAUSE PEOPLE
     assemble tools for retraining staff.                              HEAR THINGS DIRECTLY, RATHER
                                                                       THAN THROUGH MEMOS AND


                                                                                                    ”
•	   Develop a broad understanding of
                                                                       REINTERPRETATIONS.
     social media functions. Many companies
     have improved their use of social media to                        JAY CROSS, CEO AND CHIEF
                                                                       UNLEARNING OFFICER, INTERNET
     enhance their employer brands, which
                                                                       TIME ALLIANCE
     attracts qualified candidates. Some have
     assigned individuals not only to file items                The companies that find the best talent, and
     that are informative and reflect well on the               implement the right work models and people
     company but to monitor commentary—                         practices will win in the Human Age.


                                            HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                            Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results   15
16   HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
     Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results



     This paper describes how the world has entered                       have the right talent in the right place at the right
     an era of profound and perpetual change. The                         time to win.
     only certainty in the chaotic and complex Human
                                                                          The recent economic challenges have created
     Age is the fact that talent is now the key to
     competitive advantage and business success. At                       renewed uncertainty. Demand will be the key driver of
     a time when talent is increasingly scarce, and                       hiring going forward and companies are looking for a
     organizations increasingly lean, employers must                      faster time-to-value to capitalize on new opportunities.



                  HOW WILL YOUR COMPANY’S WORKFORCE
                  CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 5 YEARS?
                  % OF RESPONDENTS (N = 2,000)
                  More part-time, temporary,                                                                       57.8%
                  or contract workers
                  More telecommuting                                                                               25.5%

                  More offshore or
                  outsourced workers                                                                               21.5%

                  More older workers
                                                                                                                   19.9%
                  (aded 55+)
                  Don’t know                                                                                       16.8%

                  Other Types of changes to
                  the nature of work                                                                                 2.9%

                                                     0%          20%         40%         60%         80%         100%

                               Source: McKinsey Global Institute US Jobs Survey, 2011; McKinsey Global Institute Analaysis.




                   MANPOWERGROUP’S GLOBAL NETWORK




                                                                                                 Source: ManpowerGroup
This is causing CEOs to have a “hyperactive index                   For nearly a decade, ManpowerGroup has
finger.” They can hit play, slow motion, pause or fast              monitored global talent shortage trends via its
forward instantaneously when it comes to the hiring                 Annual Talent Shortage Survey. Despite rising
activity in their workforce, depending on the economic              unemployment during the global recession,
climate and their increased sophistication in their                 employers have continued to indicate that they
ability to predict fluctuating demand. Human Age                    are struggling to find the talent they need
organizations are turning to “just in time” hiring,                 throughout that time: in 2011, over one third (34
adjusting talent as they would any other resource in                percent) of employers surveyed. And the problem
response to unpredictable demand. As a result,                      is growing more acute. In 2010, 14 percent of
employers are focused on incorporating flexibility,                 employers surveyed in the US said they were
agility, specificity and speed into their talent sourcing           having trouble finding the talent they need,
strategy. According to a recent McKinsey study,
                                                                    jumping to 52 percent in 2011, yet unemployment
nearly 60 percent of companies surveyed see
                                                                    in the country remains relatively high.
temporary/contract workers as the largest growing
                                                                    ManpowerGroup was the first to identify that this
percentage of their workforce.
                                                                    talent shortage goes well beyond executive level,
In the past, companies prioritized preserving                       in fact the top five jobs in demand globally in 2011
business structure. Now and in the future,                          were technicians, sales representatives, skilled
organizations must ensure they have the most agile                  trades workers, engineers and laborers, and this
business structure and understand which work                        list does not tend to deviate dramatically year-on-
models they need—when they need them—to                             year. There is a war for talent on every front. This
generate the productivity and innovation necessary                  conundrum of high unemployment and talent
to navigate uncertainty and anticipate trends.                      shortage is hampering economic growth,



               MANPOWERGROUP’S GLOBAL NETWORK
                 MOST                                                                                 LEAST
                80%
                  67%
                                                57%

                                               54%
                                               54%

                                              53%
                                              52%
                                             51%
                                            48%
                                           46%
                                          44%
                                          44%
                                         42%
                                         42%
                                         42%
                                         41%
                                        40%
                                      36%
                                      36%
                                     34%
                                    30%
                                   29%
                                   29%
                                   29%
                                  27%
                                  27%
                                 25%
                                24%
                               23%
                              22%
                             20%

                            17%
                            17%

                           15%
                          14%
                         11%
                        10%
                       9%
                      5%
                      4%
                     Romania
                            U.S.
                    Argentina
                        Turkey
                  Switzerland
                 New Zealand
                    Singapore




                   Costa Rica
                      Canada
                            Italy
                      Slovenia
                       Austria
                   Guatemala
                    Colombia
                          China
                      Hungary
               Czech Republic




                          Spain
                           Peru
                       Norway
                        Ireland
                       Poland
                         Japan
                           India
                          Brazil
                     Australia
                       Taiwan




                      Bulgaria
                   Hong Kong
                       Mexico
                       Greece
                     Germany
                      Belgium
                      Panama
               Global Average




                       France
                  Netherlands
                      Sweden
                              UK
                  South Africa




                                                            Source: ManpowerGroup, Talent Shortage Survey, 2011




                                             HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                             Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results   17
18   HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
     Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results




                   JOBS MOST IN DEMAND
                   2011                                           2010
                   Technicians                                    Skilled Trades
                   Sales Representatives                          Sales Representatives
                   Skilled Trades Workers                         Technicians
                   Engineers                                      Engineers
                   Laborers                                       Accounting & Finance Staff
                   Management/Executives                          Production Operators
                   Accounting & Finance Staff                     Administrative Assistants/PAs
                   IT Staff                                       Management/Executives
                   Production Operators                           Drivers

                   Secretaries, PAs, Administrative               Laborers
                   Assistants & Office Support Staff

                                                     Source: 2011 ManpowerGroup Annual Survey on Talent Shortage



     challenging employers’ agility and ability to                    and services shift. Manpower has built a deeper
     respond quickly to demand.                                       talent pool providing better time-to-value. This
                                                                      means Manpower helps organizations quickly tap
     Consider this: for example, a medium-sized
                                                                      into existing, underutilized or overlooked talent
     manufacturing organization receives an order far
                                                                      pools to leverage the skills they need, when they
     larger than their usual work. The order has great
                                                                      need them.
     margins, however, it requires an incredibly fast
     turnaround beyond their day-to-day abilities.                    However, efficiently finding the right talent in the right
     There is no way they can either deliver it with their            place can be very challenging. With tight margins
     current workforce or source the talent they need                 and a lean organization, employers in the Human
     to deliver in the short timeframe. Leveraging its                Age are used to doing more with less, and are
     expertise and in-depth knowledge of local labor                  increasingly demanding a greaterspecificity of skills
     markets, Manpower provides access to the right                   to meet their needs. Converging macro-economic
     talent, with the right skills – faster – enabling the            forces and demographic shifts are making skilled
     manufacturing company to deliver on this order,                  individuals in short supply, meanwhile under-qualified
     and the next, and the next after that, flexing their             workers remain abundant.
     workforce requirements up and down as required.
                                                                      Manpower monitors the changing requirements of
     With a network of branches in over 80 countries                  the labor market, constantly assessing and
     worldwide, Manpower combines global reach with                   developing skills to meet business demand.
     an in-depth understanding of the local business                  Through a one-size-fits-one approach to
     environment and talent needs. Manpower                           assessment, Manpower gains a deep
     specialists find, assess and match the right talent              understanding of the potential of each candidate.
     accurately and rapidly, moving people in and out                 Manpower works with individuals to identify gaps
     of a business as the demand for their products                   in their skillset and provide training and
AGENCY WORK PROVIDES NEEDED OPPORTUNITY
             FOR YOUNG PEOPLE
                  % of young workers (<25 years) in 2009
             60        TAW       Employed population

                      47 %

                                40 %
            40                                37 %
                                                          33 %
                                                                      29 %
                                                                                  26 %          25 %        24 %
             20
                         16 %
                                       13 %
                                                                                         10 %                      11 %
                                                                             9%                        9%
                                                     7%
                                                                 6%
            0
                  Netherlands Switzerland Belgium           Itally     France      Sweden        Poland     Germany

                                                                                Source: Ciett national reports, Euromonitor



development opportunities for them to up-skill                         staffing sector and the only company in the
and improve their employability, providing better                      staffing industry to be named to Ethisphere
skills and ultimately a better match and better                        Institute’s 2011 World’s Most Ethical Companies
results for both employers and candidates. This                        list), candidates can feel good about working with
can be particularly useful for young people, who                       ManpowerGroup, while companies can feel
can gather valuable experience of the workplace,                       secure in the knowledge that the people making
develop and demonstrate transferable skills and                        up their agile and flexible workforce are properly
even benefit from training programs through                            supported and treated well.
flexible work.
                                                                       Ultimately, in a shifting, complex, chaotic and
In the Human Age, rapidly evolving technology                          increasingly bifurcated global environment,
has unleashed a tidal wave of information into the                     organizations need to be able to focus on
public domain. Individuals are demanding                               achieving business strategy, swiftly taking
transparency and an ethical approach from every                        advantage of each new opportunity and having
organization they interact with, particularly those                    the required agility and flexibility within their
they work for. Working with the world’s most                           workforce to allow them to do so. Manpower
trusted brand in contingent and permanent                              partners with companies and candidates to
innovative workforce solutions (the company was                        provide the right match, with the right skills, in the
awarded Fortune’s 2011 “Most Admired” in the                           right timeframe for better results.




                                               HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE:
                                               Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results      19
ManpowerGroup
100 Manpower Place
Milwaukee, WI 53212
USA
www.manpowergroup.com


© 2012 ManpowerGroup. All rights reserved.

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Navigate the Human Age: Better Skills Assessment and Matching

  • 1. HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 1
  • 2. 2 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results ManpowerGroup’s role as a navigator and innovative For the first time in its history, ManpowerGroup is workforce solutions provider in the fast-changing now publishing its most recent analysis of the Future world of work was affirmed in 2011 at the World Forces evolving the Human Age – and aligning these Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, forces with the right people strategies. Switzerland when ManpowerGroup CEO Jeff Joerres identified that the world had entered the Human Age. The Human Age evolved quickly on the heels of What enabled ManpowerGroup to thoroughly historic technological, demographic and document indicators of the Human Age? Years geopolitical shifts, rivaling the impact of other spent tracking macro-economic forces, which transformational eras such as the Bronze, Iron, culminated in ManpowerGroup’s identification of Space and Information ages – as it’s marked by critical and current world of work trends: rapid the rise of talentism. The new capitalism, talentism, technological development; shifting demographics puts unprecedented value on talent as the driver that have accelerated a talent mismatch; and rises in customer sophistication and individual choice. of business success. FUTURE FORCES Bifurcated World: the reversal growth model Human The Human Adjusting to a Dynamics: the Age: Transforming New Ecosystem: scarcity and abundance the ecosystem The Human Age inversion Riding the Wave: the continuous technology evolution Source: ManpowerGroup
  • 3. In the Human Age, companies will have to navigate THEY’RE NOT DECISIONS. KNOW continued growth of emerging markets, globalization, WHAT THE IMPORTANT AND competition for employees – who will be pickier about RELEVANT FACTS ARE THAT YOU ” potential employers – and the usage of increasingly NEED TO LOOK AT. sophisticated technologies. Firms will face shortages of crucial skills, called a mismatch, because of the KEVIN WHEELER, FOUNDER AND CHAIRMAN, FUTURE OF large number of people unable to find work. Higher TALENT INSTITUTE unemployment rates than in previous eras are likely to be a fixture of the Human Age. ManpowerGroup has framed the impact of continually shifting economic and geopolitical In addition, these organizations need to address tectonic plates. But extensive change that heightened access to information and rising transformed the world in 2011 is triggering expectations for companies to be more socially additional profound change in 2012. Banking responsible. Combined, these factors necessitate missteps and a debt crisis in Europe upended proactive, innovative and flexible workforce long-standing leadership coalitions in Greece and management strategies. Italy, and threatened the future of the Euro as a shared currency. The Arab Spring, spurred and In a series of research papers, based partly on nourished by the rising influence of social media, interviews with leading human resources experts, toppled Libya’s dictator of more than three ManpowerGroup prescribes a one-size-fits-one decades and placed other regimes, most notably model to employee recruitment and development. Syria, in the headlines. Unrest even extended into Companies need to listen more carefully to Russia where December saw massive crowds workers in fashioning terms of employment – stage government protests. At the root of these including not only where and when someone movements was dissatisfaction over the economy, works but how they might advance their careers particularly among younger generations troubled through development programs, “stretch” by uncertain job prospects. They represent a huge assignments and promotions. ManpowerGroup piece of today’s unemployed. And despite surging also recommends heightening collaboration unemployment figures, the world’s talent shortage between companies, companies and government persists, as employers refine and upscale skills and educational institutions, and between requirements to ensure that they create a companies and individuals to solve complex talent workplace that inspires constant innovation shortages and mismatches. against demands for productivity. ManpowerGroup suggests freer sharing of The last quarter of 2011 saw hopeful signs in the information and striking the right balance in U.S. economy, most notably an improved job permanent to contract workers. The right temporary outlook and increases in housing starts and to permanent mix allows organizations to inject consumer confidence. In December, a poll of needed skills in a faster, less costly manner. Such three dozen leading economists by the speed enables companies to anticipate the more Associated Press projected faster U.S. economic rapidly changing conditions of the Human Age. growth in 2012 – provided Europe’s problems “ don’t escalate into a global crisis. Yet the 8.5 IT’S REALLY IMPORTANT TO percent U.S. unemployment rate, nearly double UNDERSTAND THAT FACTS AND the figure from the millennium, overshadowed DATA ARE JUST FACTS AND DATA. these small gains and created a nagging HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 3
  • 4. 4 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: 1 2 Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results HAPTER CHAPTER uncertainty. Many Americans no longer felt as “The number of disrupting and transformational secure in their careers or the ability of the country COUNTRY AND REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES shaking the world seems toto political events to guarantee their way of life. Joblessness, debt ranging from natural catastrophes be growing, and the prospects for a stronger recovery beyond upheaval, from social unrest to economic and the sluggish 1-2 percent GDP of the first three financial uncertainties,” Joerres says. “These new quarters of 2011 will assume center stage in what challenges and risks are connected, if not in their is expected to be a hotly contested U.S. cause, than certainly in their effect.” presidential election later now two years into its recovery. From The global economy is this year. regions where credit is reaccelerating and signs of the outset, it was expected to be a multispeed recovery—the overheating are emerging. Meanwhile, the economies The world is a much different place than it was In the Asia-Pacific region, China’s economic that the April 2009 World Economic Outlook projected at the center of the recent crisis, the United States engine rumbled along, albeit withthe fastest bymicro- economies that would be growing the first 2011 were and Europe, haveago, as extensive change ese one year substantial excess capacity. Th unfolded quickly those that had avoided large precrisis imbalances, had seen divergences have important implications for This more fact- at the dawn of the Human Age. the 1 2 signs of trouble. The whopping 10.4 percent the smallest output collapses during the crisis, and had the outlook, risks, connected universe each region.events in dense, and policy priorities in has sent growth in 2010 dropped a percentage point Two years Therefore, this chapter highlights the extent to which CHAPTER most room for policy maneuvering after the crisis. motion that previously would have taken years to through September 2011. Moreover, withthe contours later, that picture is broadly unchanged, but its aging regions differ in their cyclical positions. population, the country faces a looming skillsCOUNTRY ANDare large disparities in some Similarly, there REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES of the recovery are clearer (Figure 2.1). Some advanced unfold. Themes that evolved most clearly in 2011 will gap. economies have significant output gaps and elevated Who will replace these workers over the next two economies’ external positions. Past workforce management in have a major impact on issues of the World unemployment rates; many low-income countries are grow- Economic Outlook have stressed beyond.for exter- to months ahead – and the need Read on decades? Japan but sustainable rates; and there are signs of wrestled with the aftermath of ing at rapid nal rebalancing in some regions—most notably the its catastrophic tsunami, which disrupted economies. understand how to address challenges stemming overheating in a number of emerging market The global economy is now emerging Asia—to reduce global United States and two years into its recovery. From regions where credit is manufacturing and supply chains and left the outset, it wasfrom these latest multispeed recovery—the that the vulnerabilities. Thto chapter revisits this topicEmployers overheating are emergi expected is be a developments. to April 2009 World Economic Outlook projected that the at the center of the rec country re-thinking its atomic energy future.economies that would be growing the extent toby 2011 will ensureand Europe, have subs Plus, highlight, where relevant, successfully respondfastest which regions the to these tests were their The uneven nature of this recovery can be seen that had avoided large precrisis imbalances, had seen those in diverge in their external (current account balance) its population is aging quickly. future and competitive advantage. divergences have impo the output gaps across regions (Figure 2.2).the smallest positions.collapses during the crisis, and had the Emerging output outlook, risks, and pol most room for policy maneuvering after the crisis. Two years Therefore, this chapter Asia and much of Latin America are now operating The chapter begins by assessing the outlook and key later, that picture is broadly unchanged, but the contours regions differ in their c close to potential, and there are economies of theserecovery are clearer (Figure 2.1). Some advanced in the policy challenges in the regions where large output Similarly, there are l economies have significant output gaps and elevated economies’ external po unemployment rates; many low-income countries are grow- Economic Outlook have GLOBAL AVERAGE Figure 2.1. Global Average Projected GDP GROWTH ing at rapid but sustainable rates; and there are signs of Real GDP Growth during 2011–12 emerging market economies. overheating in a number of nal rebalancing in som United States and eme (Percent) vulnerabilities. This ch PROJECTED 2011-2012 % highlight, where releva The uneven nature of this recovery can be seen in diverge in their externa the output gaps across regions (Figure 2.2). Emerging positions. Asia and much of Latin America are now operating The chapter begins b close to potential, and there are economies in these policy challenges in the Figure 2.1. Global Average Projected Real GDP Growth during 2011–12 (Percent) Below 0 Between 0 and 2 Between 2 and 4 Below 0 Above 4 Between 0 and 2 Insufficient data Between 2 and 4 Above 4 Insufficient data Source: IMF staff estimates. Note: Projections are not provided for Libya due to the uncertain politicalIMF staff estimates. Source: situation. Source: IMF staff estimates Note: Projections are not provided for Libya due to the uncertain political situation. International Monetary Fund | April 2011 59
  • 5. A B I F U R C AT E D W O R L D practices they say give emerging markets an unfair competitive advantage. Their governments With a few fits and starts, emerging markets must answer increasingly to popular resentment continued their strong performances, while more over the waves of jobs that have moved overseas established economies declined in market share or have been filled by better trained immigrants. and influence. In 2011, India’s GDP rose more than 7 percent and Brazil’s above 6 percent. U.S., A result of this growing tension is a rising sense of UK and Japan GDP growth rates floundered at protectionism over skilled talent. Identifying, about 2 percent or less. Separately, a study by the managing and re-strategizing roles for in-demand research groups Moody’s Analytics and McKinsey talent is now a top priority among CEOs. Yet Global Institute found that U.S. companies would companies need to collaborate with governments have to create 21 million jobs over the next eight to fulfill this goal. In a recent PwC study, a majority years to return the country’s unemployment rate of CEO respondents determined that creating and to 5 percent. Many of these jobs will require fostering a skilled workforce is a commitment to preparation that current educational and be shared with governments, in order to achieve vocational systems are not equipped to provide. public outcomes. China’s $2.85 trillion in reserves are nearly double At the same time, the accumulation of wealth has the total reserves of Spain, Portugal, Italy and Ireland fostered deep divides within populations both in combined. The Economist predicts that the emerging and established markets. The rich can country’s purchasing power parity by the end of afford not only a more comfortable lifestyle, but 2012 will equal the U.S.’s. According to the the education to maintain their status. This International Monetary Fund, the country accounts frustrates the poor who, with rare exceptions, lack for 40 percent of the world’s use of base metals, resources needed to improve their lot. These testimony to the power of its manufacturing sector. self-perpetuating cycles kindled Middle East angst and unsettled population groups throughout A study by the bank HSBC predicts that by the Europe, the U.S., the Far East and Latin America. end of this decade emerging markets’ contributions to world economic growth will The educational divide itself has also intensified almost double those from established markets. the skills mismatch. In ManpowerGroup’s 2011 (Four decades ago, established markets’ Talent Shortage Survey, one-third of more than contributions approximately tripled those of 36,000 companies worldwide said they were emerging markets.) The markets’ contributions struggling to fill positions. The mismatches have are roughly even now. Moreover, the younger hit countries with a double-whammy, hamstringing populations of many emerging markets – among businesses while exacerbating tensions between them India, Brazil and Vietnam – are an advantage the employed and unemployable. over more established economies. These countries have also developed faster-growing THE SCARCITY AND domestic markets fueled largely by increases in ABUNDANCE discretionary income. INVERSION The shifting balance in world economic power has In the Human Age, resources that were once sparked tensions between and within countries plentiful are now limited, while others that were and organizations. Fading powers now look limited are no longer so. Such reversals stem enviously at foreign upstarts and question labor partly from the Great Recession of 2008 and a HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 5
  • 6. 6 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results GLOBAL SCENARIOS 2010-2020, A BUMPY RIDE IN A MULTI-SPEED WORLD? Developed World Economically Strong (US, Eurozone, UK, Japan) Series of significant global financial crisis centers in Global economic rebalancing continues on track but emerging markets without major financial crisis Social and political tensions increase and boil over in World GDP resumes growth track of 1990's through several emerging market nations creating instability 2007 with rapid growth in absolute levels of GDP and and movement away from market economy and per capita GDP growth througout most of the world democracy Developed world deleverages and addresses fiscal Commodoties demand/supply in rough balance imbalances through growth and sound economic policies Global economic rebalancing largely stalls out Competition for commodities intensifies (oil, water, Developed world, and particularly US, continue to be food issues at center of cross national conflicts) most important economic player Developed world savings and foreign direct investment sufficient to rebalance trade and capital flows with emerging markets Emeriging market consumption and investment become engine of world economic growth Big Emerging Big Emerging Markets Very Markets Strong Strong (China, to Moderate India Brazil) Series of significant global financial crises take place Series of significant global financial crises centered in developed economies Developed world remains overindebted and emerging markets lack sufficient domestic investment and Global rebalancing accelerates with India and China consumption to sustain economic growth combined economies passing size of US economy by 2020 at current exchange rates World economy stagnates with per capita income in developed world declining and flattening out in Commodity demand/supply in rough balance emerging world Developed world forced by market pressure to Social and political tensions increase and boil over in reduce fiscal deficits, to deleverage and to reduce several nations creating instabilities. Movement away trade imbalances from market economy and democracy Social and political tensions increase and boil over in Prospects for Europe and Japan dismal in 2020's several developed world nations creating instability due to aging of population and inability to liberalize and movement away from market economy and immigration and domestic labor market democracy Commodity glut Increase in emerging market military power and reduction in relative power of developed world nations Prospects for US merely poor in 2020's since its (particularly US) creates conditions for major military population is about 10 years younger miscalculations and misadventures Declining developed world military power creates conditions for military miscalculations and misadventures by emerging market nations Developed World Economically Weak Source: McKinsey and ManpowerGroup analysis fundamentally changed financial world. Chastened have spurred government to cut spending on by declining revenues, companies have had to social services. This dynamic has simultaneously adjust their philosophies about the use of created a scarcity and abundance inversion: fewer resources – natural, financial and human. They’ve benefits have led to increased stress among switched to smaller staffs and have been people who no longer felt protected by exceedingly cautious about adding employees at longstanding social safety nets. This comes as greater expense, or without proof that additional many populations are aging, increasing the need talent would add benefits. Cost considerations for these nets.
  • 7. The number of workers with adequate skills has per year, according to some reports. Sales of decreased. Among the top 10 jobs most in censors that collect data in mobile phones rose demand in 2011 were engineers, technicians, dramatically last year. sales representatives, production operators, and In late 2011, Apple introduced its latest version of accounting and finance staff. The same types of its celebrated iPhone, complete with artificial professionals were similarly among the 10 most intelligence that allows users to send emails needed in 2010 and in previous years. Across without typing. The company’s iPad sales have these professions and others exists a lack of general business skills, including communication, soared every quarter since the product’s launch in management and collaborative skills. The gaps January 2010–with more than 160 percent for the are particularly acute in certain emerging countries last half of 2011. Search engines and analytical – Vietnam, among others – where education and software have grown steadily more powerful and training systems have not kept pace with growth accurate. It’s now common to receive multiple and the sort of business environment that breeds answers to search inquiries instead of one or two. experience is less evolved. Among the major workforce implications for companies: They can now track employees, find Nearly three in 10 employers in a ManpowerGroup talented job candidates and spread their employer survey said that lack of experience is a key barrier brand more easily. Of course, these advances to filling vacancies. This is partially due to have made organizations more open for advances in technology that have made some inspection. The flow of increased information is a roles obsolete while creating new, more technical two-way street. tasks everywhere from corporate offices to plant floors. Natural resources, even food and water, The number of older people has increased and are scarcer. This has placed new burdens not will continue to grow in key economies for only on populations and governments, but decades. By 2050 in Europe, there will be twice businesses to keep costs down and operate with as many people older than 65 as people younger greater efficiency. than 15. China’s over-65 population will soon be But information once coveted and protected like a larger than the number of U.S. citizens. The fine wine is now copious, easily accessible via number of employees eligible for retirement in the improved gadgetry and online services that are U.S. now outnumber teens. A Pew Research themselves more abundant – mobile devices, Center study predicts that over the next two tablets, search engines, social media and blogs. decades, 10,000 baby boomers will turn 65 every According to a 2010 report by the day. Populations are aging in countries as telecommunications firm Ericsson, there were disparate as Germany and Japan. They are more approximately 5 billion mobile phone subscribers youthful in India, Vietnam and Brazil, an edge for worldwide from a world population of just under 7 those rising economic stars going forward. billion, with companies adding another 2 million subscribers per day. A separate report found that In the past, these older groups were considered a visits to social networking sites rose 24 percent in burden but because of progress in healthcare, 2010. More recently, YouTube said that its users people are living longer healthier lives. As such, downloaded 24 hours of video per minute. The they will represent an opportunity for improving number of smart phones is increasing 20 percent workforce quality. HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 7
  • 8. 8 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results Workforce diversity is hitting new heights as well. world, or times when someone cannot reach us. Companies have learned that hiring people from In the Human Age, we have become all-day different ethnic groups and cultural and ethnic networks, able to act or respond immediately to backgrounds helps them understand consumers many different situations. A business deal that and generate business in new markets. A diverse begins in Tokyo on a Monday for a global workplace requires heightened sensitivities and corporation may continue uninterruptedly for days flexibility. Management techniques in Brazil may and involve employees and consultants from not resonate in Indonesia, although they may be multiple time zones. Ideas may come from just right in France, or the reverse. One major U.S. one-time economic outposts or collaborations financial services firm that has recently expanded between people who never meet but know each overseas hired consultants to help senior other virtually. An executive who used to wait days executives communicate better with foreign to make a decision can now collect data from a employees and sent managers to these countries cloud, crunch numbers on a smart phone, and to familiarize themselves with the cultures. A solicit the opinions of his most knowledgeable whole cottage industry of consultancies has experts via software applications that allow sprouted teaching global behaviors. organizations to survey organizations in hours. TECHNOLOGY Improved, more affordable and widely used, these EVOLUTION resources themselves are adding users by the thousands every minute, round-the-clock. This paper has already touched on the prolific growth of information, a result of technological Among technologies that bear highlighting because evolution that has made the collection, sharing and they are likely to play a significant role in workforce analysis of information faster and more efficient. management and other business issues are: Devices are smaller but more powerful and multi- • eReading tablets that provide access faceted. Indeed, people use mobile phones more for to information that leads to a more data storage and exchange than telephoning. informed workforce. Previously inaccessible information is now public • So-called Near Field Communication domain, but an overwhelming availability of devices that automate major parts of the qualitative information is upping the need to curate transactional experience. This technology or categorize and optimize data more strategically. creates greater efficiency but at the loss of As a result, skills in curating and analyzing data now trump the need for search experts. jobs. Companies may help employees who Furthermore, excessive information exists on how worked in this area to develop other skills. organizations operate and their existing and • Teleconferencing and related products will potential workers – blurring the lines between allow companies to employ larger numbers personal and public space. Employers will have to of talented, virtual workers who formerly delicately balance utilizing personal data to identify would not have been attainable. The talent and unlock the potential of individuals, number of virtual workers has been rising without violating their privacy. steadily because these arrangements lead Networks that allow individuals to link together are to cost savings in travel and office space, tighter knit. There are increasingly fewer places not to mention more satisfied, productive from which we cannot connect to the rest of the employees. A 2010 report predicted that
  • 9. more than 1 billion people would soon be workplace-related questions. These tools working virtually—more than 30 percent of help companies match positions to people the global workforce. and tailor training and career planning that leads to higher worker satisfaction with its • Mobile personal platforms and applications myriad benefits. that facilitate access to information and communication will enhance recruiting, R E C O M M E N D AT I O N S employee engagement, collaboration and FOR A CHANGED productivity. Individuals can use these ECOSYSTEM global systems 24 hours. New eras require new ways of doing • BigData products and services enable business; which means strategies, processes individuals to effectively use unprecedented and leadership. quantities of information that previous systems could not process. BigData can Central to Human Age leadership is an help companies develop better understanding that companies will only fare as management strategies, particularly at well as their employees. The quality of these companies with tens of thousands of workers will depend on the execution of a strong employees and locations worldwide, and workforce management strategy – crafted and improve understanding of markets. BigData championed by senior executives. may also help companies fine-tune recruiting by enabling them to identify talent Indeed, management will set the tone for their gaps quickly and pinpoint candidates organization’s embrace of fresh thinking on globally who can fill these openings. recruiting, skills and career development, work BigData has already had tangible benefits at environment and the balance of full-, part-time consumer electronics retailer Best Buy. The employees, and outside contributors connected Minnesota US-based company created an through virtual networks. Human Age leaders must online platform for its more than 100,000 embrace conceptualizing and strategizing the employees at 1,500 locations in the U.S., practical use of data to reap maximum benefits. Canada, Mexico and China to share They will understand a business’s obligation to customer feedback and offer suggestions nurture workers, leading more on the pull side of to senior managers. The company has push-pull management, asking more questions to used this input to make decisions related to understand what their people need, instead of national marketing and in-store advertising, ruling by decree. This requires organizations to among other issues. engage people more personally to understand their needs. The Human Age leader will be able to adapt • Social Networking allows companies to to fast-changing conditions and be open to new promote their employer brand, stay in touch workforce management technologies and with potential job candidates and engage methods. The Human Age leader will be people within and outside the company to comfortable working with different cultures, even as solve specific problems. he or she ensures that the organization is operating • Gamification processes, deployed with according to a common philosophy and standards. Funware, are being used to record job The Human Age leader will promote collaboration seeker and employee reaction to a range of and appreciate the value of creativity, HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 9
  • 10. 10 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results “ WHAT WE COMMUNICATE TO OUR EMPLOYEES IS THAT YOU HAVE TO ManpowerGroup holds that major HR initiatives should drive more flexible workplace modeling, source better talent and evolve people practices OWN YOUR DEVELOPMENT. relevant in real time, which in turn solve issues YOU’VE GOT TO BE THE ONE TO brought about by the Human Age. DO MOST OF THE PULLING IN NEW WORK MODELS TERMS OF TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT. OUR BELIEF IS Employers which are able to leverage a range of flexible work models incorporating full-time, THAT YOU’RE GOING TO GET part-time workers and remote or virtual talent with SOMEBODY TO REALLY LEARN in-demand skills, will maintain a serious advantage MORE WHEN THEY’RE THE in the Human Age. A varied structure of ONES WHO ARE PULLING IT permanent, contract and virtual employees helps VERSUS WHEN IT’S TILTED control costs and tap a greater range of skills. TOWARD THE OLD MODEL OF ” • Adopt a more “glocal” perspective. PUSH FOR MANAGEMENT. Companies will have to be more locally RICH FLOERSCH, EXECUTIVE VICE conscious even as they ensure widely PRESIDENT AND CHIEF HUMAN dispersed offices are adhering to the same RESOURCES OFFICER, MCDONALD’S overriding philosophy, processes and standards. This paper has already touched on In the Human Age, innovations in products, the importance of adapting management services and processes will provide companies practices to address cultural differences. with a competitive plus. One country’s rules and norms may The Human Age Leader will be sensitive to the contradict those of regional neighbors. importance of corporate social responsibility issues The differences – even in simple and eager to embrace partnerships with other communications—when not accounted organizations – public and private – that have an for—can lead to misunderstandings that interest in worker quality. He or she will understand hamper productivity. the value of using human resources organizations, • Collaborate with governments to build out such as ManpowerGroup, that can serve as training programs. The national governments trusted advisors and provide unique services. of India and Vietnam are examples of proactive ManpowerGroup provides workforce governments seeking to diversify the skills of their workforces by launching new nationwide management suggestions for organizations to training programs. These initiatives are often thrive in the Human Age. This year’s the result of partnerships with non- recommendations account for the past year’s governmental agencies, non-profits, educators changes and anticipate some of the events and businesses. alluded to in the previous pages. The list is longer and more finely tuned – a result of the vastly • Employ swarm and virtual work different ecosystem that has emerged since structures more freely. Swarm work refers identified last January. The stakes are higher. to groups of a few individuals to thousands Competition for talent and resources is fierce as executing small tasks as part of one project. firms seek firmer footholds in a turbulent world. The project director frequently may not know
  • 11. who is involved. Some contributors may Collaborative models are unique to every even be volunteers who are part of research corporation, even within the same industry. networks that have been established to Senior executive teams must define the advance the flow of ideas. These people type of model that will inspire the become involved because they feel collaboration they need – and the pace at passionate about a topic or organization. which they need results.  Within some Swarm work may be better equipped to companies, collaborative models follow a spur innovation because it allows firms to competitive structure in which product incorporate talent that they would formally teams brainstorm in the context of a game.  not have entered their radars. Swarm work Knowledge management sharing is a key has become more possible because of platform for generating and refining best increased virtual participation, which has practices, while social networks both allowed individuals to contribute more broaden collaborative efforts and speed frequently on their own terms. Virtual work is them into real time. This leads to cost a building block of the Human Age. savings as managers no longer have to recruit • Structure horizontal work models. These individuals on a contract or full-time basis arrangements allow companies to draw on from outside the organization. Horizontal current employees who in vertical-only, constructs have secondary benefits, nurturing management systems would have worked closer relationships across locations and only within their divisions. Horizontal divisions and enhancing an innovative spirit. frameworks erase the barriers between One example is hyper-specialization, the functional and geographic silos. Managers breaking up of a project or job across talent, can share talent freely across functions and even in remote destinations, to secure the divisions raising bar on collaboration. best talent per project or job part. 16 A NEW!"#$%"&'(!#)*!+)&#",-./01"2.-34.05,6"7,0,897905" ORGANIZATION AROUND !"#$%"&'(!#)*!+)&#",-./ HORIZONTAL MANAGEMENT Silos Silos ! Silos are needed for Silos are needed for !"#$%"&'(!#)*!+)&#",-./ process performance process performance Silos !"#$%"&'(!#)*!+)&#",-./ Talent Marketplace !"#$%&'(")*$&+#",$' !"#$%&'(")*$&+#",$ Silos 3 market places Knowledge Marketplace !"#$%&'(")*$&+#",$ -%./#$01$'(")*$&+#",$' and -%./#$01$'(")*$&+#" 3 boundaries Networks Marketplace !"#$%&'(")*$&+#",$ 2$&/.)*3'(")*$&+#",$' 2$&/.)*3'(")*$&+#" -%./#$01$'(")*$&+#" 2$&/.)*3'(")*$&+#" -%./#$01$'(")*$&+#" ! Transversality for innovation and flexibility Transversality for innovation and flexibility!  ransversality for inn T 2$&/.)*3'(")*$&+#" Source: ManpowerGroup T !  ransversality   for inn HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results !  T ransversality 11 for inn
  • 12. 12 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results !"##$%"&$'()*+",)#-* COLLABORATIVE APPROACHES 0&"+*1!!*$2** 3"*4&5672)528&79:*26)*;828&)*$2** 3"*5"<5&)$'9:*799"($'"9*$2** 3"*)9:$:79:*=)"=#)*$2** 3"*&)5"++)9,79:*5"99)5'"9-*$2** 3"*>?*$2** "&*$2** 3"*"()&5"+79:*5&7-7-*$2** Source: ManpowerGroup ./*   • Use gaming techniques. Gaming permits understand that finding and keeping talent organizations to pinpoint information about will be essential to their success. Workforce candidates and employees through detailed strategies will skillfully combine technology questions. Does an individual prefer and a personal touch to recruiting, training working one or two days at home? Would and development. Strategies will wisely the worker consider moving for a position? balance permanent and temporary staff. Is this person comfortable managing other They will make use of social media and employees? Such questions help foster other online resources to find candidates discussion between employer and worldwide, to communicate regularly with employee that leads to better policies. them and learn what they are seeking in a Gaming, as a training and development work environment. They will pay close purpose, also offers huge benefits, as attention to issues that influence opinion, training concepts can be relayed through a including social responsibility initiatives and more entertaining medium to inspire the treatment of workers. They will include creativity and innovation. Companies also informal development activities, including use it to enhance recruitment practices, mentoring, and more structured Game-like evaluations are also used in programming. Workforce management in online talent sourcing forums to rate work the Human Age will require a multifaceted, being submitted as a contract bid. forward-thinking approach. Anything less risks allowing an organization to fall behind. PEOPLE PRACTICES Human Age companies are proactive. They Contemporary people practices and philosophies for don’t fall behind. They take the lead. the 21st century must be refined in terms of how • Leverage a workforce solutions companies hire, reward, engage and develop talent. company to differentiate your company • Craft more comprehensive workforce in the face of talent shortage. One-size- management strategies. Companies fits-one customized solutions are key. There
  • 13. is a frequent misconception that holds staffing sometimes in collaboration with HR. But companies responsible for job losses. development programs must now stem Instead, these organizations have a positive from ongoing dialogues between workers effect on economies by increasing labor and companies. ManpowerGroup spoke market flexibility helping companies address regularly last year about the importance of their needs quickly while providing jobs for the one-size-fits-one approaches to employee unemployed. There are added benefits for development. This becomes simpler with companies that groom contract workers for easier access to online programs targeting full-time roles and to workers who gain a variety of skills, and the greater direct valuable experience and learn new skills. involvement of senior leaders. The number of mentoring programs and informal • Assess skills more precisely and development initiatives often highlighted by comprehensively. Assessments should frequent, direct contact with executives has cover communication and other softer blossomed. These programs must continue skills, along with specific expertise. expanding for companies to cultivate their Companies that pinpoint weaknesses faster people’s potential the fullest. than their competitors can take measures more quickly to fix these shortcomings. • Cultivate Human Age leadership skills. This paper has already identified key • Balance push-pull methods of Human Age Leadership issues. Clearly, management and development. In the leadership is now more complex and past, companies relied on development by difficult than prior to its dawn. This is not command. Employees participated in simply due to the speed of change, but the training as directed by their managers, sheer number of variables that executives PUSH AND PULL APPROACHES IN TRAINING Training Training demanded by expectations individuals by companies Training that is Training that employability Training that is corporate- and serves both specific development the company requirement- related and the related individual Source: ManpowerGroup HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 13
  • 14. 14 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results face. Moreover, Human Age leaders have companies need, they can learn quickly. By less time than previous generations to make taking a more active role in schools and important decisions and more information vocational training programs, and creating to weigh. Indeed, they must manage their their own development initiatives, time and stress exceptionally. They must be organizations can make better use of this able to handle large amounts of data and age group. Germany, whose economy has ensure their organizations are providing the outpaced those of many other traditional, resources to make optimum use of industrialized nations, has already made BigData. The ability to organize data will inroads in this direction through a well- aid a company’s planning and daily established internship system. Growing operations. Leaders need to be able to older populations will also offer curate information overload and efficiently opportunities for companies to enhance and effectively distribute what’s relevant to their workforces. In the past, many their people to drive performance and companies considered these workers too results. It bears repeating that Human Age old, set in their ways, or not worth the leaders must ensure that their companies investment because they were unlikely to are being socially and environmentally work for many years. But in recent years, responsible, encouraging collaboration and companies have discovered that such innovative work arrangements, and groups are easily re-trainable. A German becoming more personally involved in initiative has focused to great success on workforce planning through mentoring and connecting companies with retirees still vital participation in development activities. enough to handle a full-time job. Older Organizations reflect the temperament and workers have a sound understanding of style of their leaders. Leaders in the Human appropriate workplace behavior, and with Age must take care to ensure they employ advances in healthcare, may have the a Human style to leadership. energy to work comfortably into their late 60s and 70s. The potential return on TA L E N T S O U R C E S investment for companies is huge. Employers can improve their workforce pipeline ManpowerGroup’s Teachable Fit model by looking at different sources of talent and illustrates how employers, lacking access to reskilling talent within their reach. talent with the skills they need, can identify existing employees and accessible • Tap overlooked and underused talent candidates with a mindset for learning and pools. The recent spikes in unemployment develop them with the right skills. have particularly afflicted younger age groups. A Guardian newspaper article in • Strategically migrate in-demand talent April 2011 reported that 40 percent of the within and across countries. Talent unemployed in the UK are between the mobility has grown worldwide. ages of 16 and 24. Such numbers have ManpowerGroup’s 2011 Borderless spurred serious, social problems. In one Workforce Survey of more than 25,000 2011 survey, unemployment was the most employers from 39 countries and territories cited reason for youths joining gangs or has found that about one quarter of rebel causes. Yet, while young people often responding employers have been seeking do not possess the experience or skills that foreign talent to solve their skills shortages.
  • 15. Companies in the U.S. were the most likely criticism and praise. A few such social to seek foreign talent. China was among media specialists target influencers, key the countries in which employers were least individuals who via their writings and likely to look externally. Importing talent is expertise can sway opinion about made possible through ManpowerGroup organizations. Followers of companies, Solutions’ Borderless Talent Offering. including job candidates, increasingly rely on social media to learn about salary, • Reevaluate how to assess, recruit, benefits and how particular managers treat develop and compensate talent in their employees. But companies can also certain markets. This will be necessary in use social media to find out more about job a more “glocalized” world where people’s candidates faster. These potential perspectives vary widely. Given increased public access to information, companies employees reveal much about their careers will be under more pressure to make fair through their postings and interactions on decisions everywhere. Techniques used in social media sites. Some companies are managing these fundamental HR functions also using outside consultancies effectively will vary among locations. in their HR-related, social media activities. • Collaborate with educational institutions and government. For decades, schools and universities set curriculum with nary a glance “ I’VE SEEN A NUMBER OF CASES WHERE A CEO ADOPTS SOMETHING LIKE TWITTER FOR at business needs. This has created the USE IN-HOUSE AND present skills gap and a general lack of understanding of proper workforce JUST STARTS PUTTING SOME comportment. Improved collaboration will MESSAGES OUT. ALL OF A produce better trained workplace candidates. SUDDEN, MOST OF THE ORGANIZATION WANTS TO BE IN • Harness BigData effectively. This will require investment in technology – home- THAT NETWORK BECAUSE THEY grown or otherwise – for analyzing the flood WANT TO HEAR THINGS FROM THE of information about potential and current HORSE’S MOUTH. WHEN employees. In the Human Age, a company THAT HAPPENS YOU SPEED UP that makes effective use of BigData will be THE CYCLE TIME OF THE able to spot skills shortages and survey huge fields of candidates who can fill the gap, or ORGANIZATION BECAUSE PEOPLE assemble tools for retraining staff. HEAR THINGS DIRECTLY, RATHER THAN THROUGH MEMOS AND ” • Develop a broad understanding of REINTERPRETATIONS. social media functions. Many companies have improved their use of social media to JAY CROSS, CEO AND CHIEF UNLEARNING OFFICER, INTERNET enhance their employer brands, which TIME ALLIANCE attracts qualified candidates. Some have assigned individuals not only to file items The companies that find the best talent, and that are informative and reflect well on the implement the right work models and people company but to monitor commentary— practices will win in the Human Age. HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 15
  • 16. 16 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results This paper describes how the world has entered have the right talent in the right place at the right an era of profound and perpetual change. The time to win. only certainty in the chaotic and complex Human The recent economic challenges have created Age is the fact that talent is now the key to competitive advantage and business success. At renewed uncertainty. Demand will be the key driver of a time when talent is increasingly scarce, and hiring going forward and companies are looking for a organizations increasingly lean, employers must faster time-to-value to capitalize on new opportunities. HOW WILL YOUR COMPANY’S WORKFORCE CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 5 YEARS? % OF RESPONDENTS (N = 2,000) More part-time, temporary, 57.8% or contract workers More telecommuting 25.5% More offshore or outsourced workers 21.5% More older workers 19.9% (aded 55+) Don’t know 16.8% Other Types of changes to the nature of work 2.9% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: McKinsey Global Institute US Jobs Survey, 2011; McKinsey Global Institute Analaysis. MANPOWERGROUP’S GLOBAL NETWORK Source: ManpowerGroup
  • 17. This is causing CEOs to have a “hyperactive index For nearly a decade, ManpowerGroup has finger.” They can hit play, slow motion, pause or fast monitored global talent shortage trends via its forward instantaneously when it comes to the hiring Annual Talent Shortage Survey. Despite rising activity in their workforce, depending on the economic unemployment during the global recession, climate and their increased sophistication in their employers have continued to indicate that they ability to predict fluctuating demand. Human Age are struggling to find the talent they need organizations are turning to “just in time” hiring, throughout that time: in 2011, over one third (34 adjusting talent as they would any other resource in percent) of employers surveyed. And the problem response to unpredictable demand. As a result, is growing more acute. In 2010, 14 percent of employers are focused on incorporating flexibility, employers surveyed in the US said they were agility, specificity and speed into their talent sourcing having trouble finding the talent they need, strategy. According to a recent McKinsey study, jumping to 52 percent in 2011, yet unemployment nearly 60 percent of companies surveyed see in the country remains relatively high. temporary/contract workers as the largest growing ManpowerGroup was the first to identify that this percentage of their workforce. talent shortage goes well beyond executive level, In the past, companies prioritized preserving in fact the top five jobs in demand globally in 2011 business structure. Now and in the future, were technicians, sales representatives, skilled organizations must ensure they have the most agile trades workers, engineers and laborers, and this business structure and understand which work list does not tend to deviate dramatically year-on- models they need—when they need them—to year. There is a war for talent on every front. This generate the productivity and innovation necessary conundrum of high unemployment and talent to navigate uncertainty and anticipate trends. shortage is hampering economic growth, MANPOWERGROUP’S GLOBAL NETWORK MOST LEAST 80% 67% 57% 54% 54% 53% 52% 51% 48% 46% 44% 44% 42% 42% 42% 41% 40% 36% 36% 34% 30% 29% 29% 29% 27% 27% 25% 24% 23% 22% 20% 17% 17% 15% 14% 11% 10% 9% 5% 4% Romania U.S. Argentina Turkey Switzerland New Zealand Singapore Costa Rica Canada Italy Slovenia Austria Guatemala Colombia China Hungary Czech Republic Spain Peru Norway Ireland Poland Japan India Brazil Australia Taiwan Bulgaria Hong Kong Mexico Greece Germany Belgium Panama Global Average France Netherlands Sweden UK South Africa Source: ManpowerGroup, Talent Shortage Survey, 2011 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 17
  • 18. 18 HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results JOBS MOST IN DEMAND 2011 2010 Technicians Skilled Trades Sales Representatives Sales Representatives Skilled Trades Workers Technicians Engineers Engineers Laborers Accounting & Finance Staff Management/Executives Production Operators Accounting & Finance Staff Administrative Assistants/PAs IT Staff Management/Executives Production Operators Drivers Secretaries, PAs, Administrative Laborers Assistants & Office Support Staff Source: 2011 ManpowerGroup Annual Survey on Talent Shortage challenging employers’ agility and ability to and services shift. Manpower has built a deeper respond quickly to demand. talent pool providing better time-to-value. This means Manpower helps organizations quickly tap Consider this: for example, a medium-sized into existing, underutilized or overlooked talent manufacturing organization receives an order far pools to leverage the skills they need, when they larger than their usual work. The order has great need them. margins, however, it requires an incredibly fast turnaround beyond their day-to-day abilities. However, efficiently finding the right talent in the right There is no way they can either deliver it with their place can be very challenging. With tight margins current workforce or source the talent they need and a lean organization, employers in the Human to deliver in the short timeframe. Leveraging its Age are used to doing more with less, and are expertise and in-depth knowledge of local labor increasingly demanding a greaterspecificity of skills markets, Manpower provides access to the right to meet their needs. Converging macro-economic talent, with the right skills – faster – enabling the forces and demographic shifts are making skilled manufacturing company to deliver on this order, individuals in short supply, meanwhile under-qualified and the next, and the next after that, flexing their workers remain abundant. workforce requirements up and down as required. Manpower monitors the changing requirements of With a network of branches in over 80 countries the labor market, constantly assessing and worldwide, Manpower combines global reach with developing skills to meet business demand. an in-depth understanding of the local business Through a one-size-fits-one approach to environment and talent needs. Manpower assessment, Manpower gains a deep specialists find, assess and match the right talent understanding of the potential of each candidate. accurately and rapidly, moving people in and out Manpower works with individuals to identify gaps of a business as the demand for their products in their skillset and provide training and
  • 19. AGENCY WORK PROVIDES NEEDED OPPORTUNITY FOR YOUNG PEOPLE % of young workers (<25 years) in 2009 60 TAW Employed population 47 % 40 % 40 37 % 33 % 29 % 26 % 25 % 24 % 20 16 % 13 % 10 % 11 % 9% 9% 7% 6% 0 Netherlands Switzerland Belgium Itally France Sweden Poland Germany Source: Ciett national reports, Euromonitor development opportunities for them to up-skill staffing sector and the only company in the and improve their employability, providing better staffing industry to be named to Ethisphere skills and ultimately a better match and better Institute’s 2011 World’s Most Ethical Companies results for both employers and candidates. This list), candidates can feel good about working with can be particularly useful for young people, who ManpowerGroup, while companies can feel can gather valuable experience of the workplace, secure in the knowledge that the people making develop and demonstrate transferable skills and up their agile and flexible workforce are properly even benefit from training programs through supported and treated well. flexible work. Ultimately, in a shifting, complex, chaotic and In the Human Age, rapidly evolving technology increasingly bifurcated global environment, has unleashed a tidal wave of information into the organizations need to be able to focus on public domain. Individuals are demanding achieving business strategy, swiftly taking transparency and an ethical approach from every advantage of each new opportunity and having organization they interact with, particularly those the required agility and flexibility within their they work for. Working with the world’s most workforce to allow them to do so. Manpower trusted brand in contingent and permanent partners with companies and candidates to innovative workforce solutions (the company was provide the right match, with the right skills, in the awarded Fortune’s 2011 “Most Admired” in the right timeframe for better results. HOW TO NAVIGATE THE HUMAN AGE: Increasing Demand for Better Skills Assessment and Match for Better Results 19
  • 20. ManpowerGroup 100 Manpower Place Milwaukee, WI 53212 USA www.manpowergroup.com © 2012 ManpowerGroup. All rights reserved.