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China’s Economy Rises
Introduction to China’s Economy
HISTORY
 A succession of dynasties ruled China from the second millennium BC to the early
1900s. Chinese history changed course, however, as Europeans expanded into Asia.
 China suffered through clashes with European powers in the 1800s. Then, in 1911,
Chinese revolutionaries overthrew the last dynasty. The country suffered internal
strife for nearly four decades due to warlords, civil war and Japanese invasion. In
1949, the Chinese Communist party won the civil war and established China's current
government.
 The Communists implemented many social and political changes, starting in the
1950s with the transition to a planned economy. Leader Mao Zedong launched a
"Cultural Revolution," in which young loyalists attacked intellectuals and party
leaders.
 In the late 1970s, the Chinese government introduced economic reforms,
introducing elements of a free-market economy. The government also encouraged
foreign investment. That laid the groundwork for the modern China we see today.
China’s Economic Rise
GDP – real growth rate:   
9.8% (2008) country comparison to the world:
13% (2007)
11.6% (2006)
GDP-Per capita (PPP-Purchasing power parity):    
$6,000 (2008)country comparison to the world:
$5,500 (2007)
$4,900 (2006)
note: data are in 2008 US dollars
GDP – composition by sector:
agriculture: 10.6%
industry: 49.2%
services: 40.2% (2008)
China – Economic Fact SheetChina – Economic Fact Sheet
International Comparison: Real GDP Growth
China’s Economic Rise
DEVELOPMENT IN AGRIGULTURE
Agriculture is vital industry employing over 300 
million farmers.
China ranks first worldwide in farm outputs 
primarily producing-
 Rice
 Wheat 
 Potatoes
 Sorghum
 Peanuts 
 Tea
 Millet
 Barley Cotton 
 Oilseed
 Pork 
 Fish 
DEVELOPMENT IN AGRICULTURE
 Leading producer of cotton.
 China accounts for about one-third of the total fish 
production of the world. 
  China is both the world's largest producer and 
consumer of agricultural products 
 Yields are high because of intensive cultivation,
 China is the world's leading producer of pigs, 
chickens, and eggs, and it also has sizable herds of 
sheep and cattle.
  China has a long tradition of ocean and freshwater 
fishing and of aquaculture
 . Pond raising has always been important and has 
been increasingly emphasized to supplement coastal 
and inland fisheries threatened by overfishing and to 
provide such valuable export commodities as 
prawns.
Production of wheat from 1961 to 2004
SERVICE SECTOR
 In 2010 the services sector produced 43% of
China's annual GDP .
 The official non manufacturing index, based
on a survey of about 1,200 companies in 27
industries including telecommunications,
transportation, and construction, slipped to
55.6 from 56.7 in July
 Tourism industry contributes more than 70%
of total tourism revenue
MAJOR INDUSTRIES OF CHINA
 Electronic information
 Biotechnology
 Automobile
 Modern medicine
 New materials
 Environmental energy
 Marketing
 Steel industry
 Fertilizers and Cement
EXTERNAL TRADE
CHINA’S INVESTMENT
ENVIRONMENT
 Foreign Economic policies
 Attracting Foreign Investment
 Financial Institutions
 Foreign Exchange Control
 Security Markets
 Insurance Market
TECHNOLOGY
 China’s technology and IT sector expanded
in first 8 months
 But companies faced higher costs and slower
income
 Output of manufacturers in the sector rose
to15.5% and sales value increased 22.3%
 In july the sectors revenue grew 18.3%
Does China Follow the East Asian Model?
Of course, there is nothing surprising about China’s economic
model: We have seen it before in Japan, South Korea, and
Taiwan
Yet, while the other East Asian economies
have been gradually dismantling their
developmental state apparatuses, China
seems to be in the process of solidifying
the elements of its developmental state
Enter the Dragon?
China’s Economic Rise
Does China Follow the East Asian Model?
Of course, there is nothing surprising about China’s economic
model: We have seen it before in Japan, South Korea, and
Taiwan
Yet, while the other East Asian economies
have been gradually dismantling their
developmental state apparatuses, China
seems to be in the process of solidifying
the elements of its developmental state
Enter the Dragon?
China’s Economic Rise
Elements of the East Asian Model in China
The Chinese state has purposefully created a dual economic
structure: one part is based on an ever-expanding private sector, while
the other part is based on still prominent state-owned enterprises, or
SOEs
The private sector is relatively free of state control, but still depends on
state policies
The state sector, while declining in overall influence, still plays “a major
part in heavy industry and makes up a high percentage of gross
domestic fixed capital formation, gross output value and the number of
employees”
Enter the Dragon?
China’s Economic Rise
Elements of the East Asian Model in China
Conclusion
China is clearly not following the Anglo-Saxon “model” of full
economic liberalization; indeed, the evidence strongly indicates that
China is another developmental state
The timing of China’s capitalist development, however, is very
different from that of the other East Asian “miracles”: This very likely
means that China’s developmental trajectory will differ, perhaps in
dramatic ways
Enter the Dragon?
China’s Economic Rise
Comparing India and China’s Growth StoriesComparing India and China’s Growth Stories
Indicators India China
Political System Multi-party Democracy One-party authoritarian
rule
Speed of Growth Economic reforms
started in 1991. Average
6% growth rate in past
two decades.
Economic reforms
started in 1978. Average
9.5% growth rate in past
two decades.
Areas of Specialization Rising power in software,
design, services, and
precision industry.
Dominant in mass
manufacturing,
electronics and heavy
industrial plants
Comparing India and China’s Growth StoriesComparing India and China’s Growth Stories
Indicators India China
Gini index (standard
measure of inequality) 36.8
47.0 (up 10 points from
15 yrs ago)
Foreign Direct
Investment
6.8% (up from 0.3% in
2004)
17.8%
Future Areas of
growth
R&D, bio-technology,
high-value IT enabled
services (legal, medical,
engineering architecture),
manufacturing, agro-
based industry
IT business, services and
continued manufacturing
“GDP Growth 2000 to 2050”“GDP Growth 2000 to 2050”
Source: Goldmann Sachs: The Path to 2050
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
[2003 bn US Dollars]
Germany
Brazil
Japan
Russia
-8-
CHINA’S FUTURE
CHINA V/S US
TOPICS INCLUDED
 GDP
 TECHNOLOGY
 EXPORTS
 POPULATION
 TRADE DEFECIT
 ATOMIC AND NUCLEAR ENERGY
China's  economy rises
China's  economy rises

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China's economy rises

  • 3. HISTORY  A succession of dynasties ruled China from the second millennium BC to the early 1900s. Chinese history changed course, however, as Europeans expanded into Asia.  China suffered through clashes with European powers in the 1800s. Then, in 1911, Chinese revolutionaries overthrew the last dynasty. The country suffered internal strife for nearly four decades due to warlords, civil war and Japanese invasion. In 1949, the Chinese Communist party won the civil war and established China's current government.  The Communists implemented many social and political changes, starting in the 1950s with the transition to a planned economy. Leader Mao Zedong launched a "Cultural Revolution," in which young loyalists attacked intellectuals and party leaders.  In the late 1970s, the Chinese government introduced economic reforms, introducing elements of a free-market economy. The government also encouraged foreign investment. That laid the groundwork for the modern China we see today.
  • 5. GDP – real growth rate:    9.8% (2008) country comparison to the world: 13% (2007) 11.6% (2006) GDP-Per capita (PPP-Purchasing power parity):     $6,000 (2008)country comparison to the world: $5,500 (2007) $4,900 (2006) note: data are in 2008 US dollars GDP – composition by sector: agriculture: 10.6% industry: 49.2% services: 40.2% (2008) China – Economic Fact SheetChina – Economic Fact Sheet
  • 6. International Comparison: Real GDP Growth China’s Economic Rise
  • 8. DEVELOPMENT IN AGRICULTURE  Leading producer of cotton.  China accounts for about one-third of the total fish  production of the world.    China is both the world's largest producer and  consumer of agricultural products   Yields are high because of intensive cultivation,  China is the world's leading producer of pigs,  chickens, and eggs, and it also has sizable herds of  sheep and cattle.   China has a long tradition of ocean and freshwater  fishing and of aquaculture  . Pond raising has always been important and has  been increasingly emphasized to supplement coastal  and inland fisheries threatened by overfishing and to  provide such valuable export commodities as  prawns.
  • 9. Production of wheat from 1961 to 2004
  • 10. SERVICE SECTOR  In 2010 the services sector produced 43% of China's annual GDP .  The official non manufacturing index, based on a survey of about 1,200 companies in 27 industries including telecommunications, transportation, and construction, slipped to 55.6 from 56.7 in July  Tourism industry contributes more than 70% of total tourism revenue
  • 11.
  • 12. MAJOR INDUSTRIES OF CHINA  Electronic information  Biotechnology  Automobile  Modern medicine  New materials  Environmental energy  Marketing  Steel industry  Fertilizers and Cement
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. CHINA’S INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT  Foreign Economic policies  Attracting Foreign Investment  Financial Institutions  Foreign Exchange Control  Security Markets  Insurance Market
  • 17.
  • 18. TECHNOLOGY  China’s technology and IT sector expanded in first 8 months  But companies faced higher costs and slower income  Output of manufacturers in the sector rose to15.5% and sales value increased 22.3%  In july the sectors revenue grew 18.3%
  • 19. Does China Follow the East Asian Model? Of course, there is nothing surprising about China’s economic model: We have seen it before in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan Yet, while the other East Asian economies have been gradually dismantling their developmental state apparatuses, China seems to be in the process of solidifying the elements of its developmental state Enter the Dragon? China’s Economic Rise
  • 20. Does China Follow the East Asian Model? Of course, there is nothing surprising about China’s economic model: We have seen it before in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan Yet, while the other East Asian economies have been gradually dismantling their developmental state apparatuses, China seems to be in the process of solidifying the elements of its developmental state Enter the Dragon? China’s Economic Rise
  • 21. Elements of the East Asian Model in China The Chinese state has purposefully created a dual economic structure: one part is based on an ever-expanding private sector, while the other part is based on still prominent state-owned enterprises, or SOEs The private sector is relatively free of state control, but still depends on state policies The state sector, while declining in overall influence, still plays “a major part in heavy industry and makes up a high percentage of gross domestic fixed capital formation, gross output value and the number of employees” Enter the Dragon? China’s Economic Rise
  • 22. Elements of the East Asian Model in China Conclusion China is clearly not following the Anglo-Saxon “model” of full economic liberalization; indeed, the evidence strongly indicates that China is another developmental state The timing of China’s capitalist development, however, is very different from that of the other East Asian “miracles”: This very likely means that China’s developmental trajectory will differ, perhaps in dramatic ways Enter the Dragon? China’s Economic Rise
  • 23. Comparing India and China’s Growth StoriesComparing India and China’s Growth Stories Indicators India China Political System Multi-party Democracy One-party authoritarian rule Speed of Growth Economic reforms started in 1991. Average 6% growth rate in past two decades. Economic reforms started in 1978. Average 9.5% growth rate in past two decades. Areas of Specialization Rising power in software, design, services, and precision industry. Dominant in mass manufacturing, electronics and heavy industrial plants
  • 24. Comparing India and China’s Growth StoriesComparing India and China’s Growth Stories Indicators India China Gini index (standard measure of inequality) 36.8 47.0 (up 10 points from 15 yrs ago) Foreign Direct Investment 6.8% (up from 0.3% in 2004) 17.8% Future Areas of growth R&D, bio-technology, high-value IT enabled services (legal, medical, engineering architecture), manufacturing, agro- based industry IT business, services and continued manufacturing
  • 25. “GDP Growth 2000 to 2050”“GDP Growth 2000 to 2050” Source: Goldmann Sachs: The Path to 2050 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 [2003 bn US Dollars] Germany Brazil Japan Russia -8-
  • 28. TOPICS INCLUDED  GDP  TECHNOLOGY  EXPORTS  POPULATION  TRADE DEFECIT  ATOMIC AND NUCLEAR ENERGY