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Third Quarter 2009
Forward Looking Statements
           This presentation contains statements that we believe are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of words
such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “guidance”, or words of similar
meaning. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Factors that could cause such a variance include the following:
significant volatility in raw material prices; competitive pressures on the company’s businesses; inability to implement pricing
actions; negative impact of future pension contributions on the company’s cash flow; instability in the company’s electric motor
and water products markets; further weakening in housing construction; further weakening in commercial construction; timing
of any recoveries in housing or commercial construction; a slowdown in the Chinese economy; expected restructuring savings
realized; further adverse changes in customer liquidity and general economic and capital market conditions; the impact of
acquisition accounting or non-GAAP financial measures on the company’s financial statements or difficulties in closing on and
integrating the proposed China acquisition, and realizing future growth and profit expectations.
          Forward-looking statements included in this press release are made only as of the date of this presentation, and the
company is under no obligation to update these statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. All subsequent
written and oral forward-looking statements attributed to the company, or persons acting on its behalf, are qualified entirely by
these cautionary statements.
          This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures as that term is defined by the SEC. Non-GAAP
financial measures are generally identified by “Adjusted” (Adj.), “Non-GAAP” or “Before Restructuring”.




                                                                   2
Highlights
• Earnings increase over 60%, setting record
   – Aggressive cost control and lower raw
     material costs in both businesses
• Thirty-five percent growth in China water
  heaters
• Strong cash flow from operations
   – Significant inventory improvement
   – Paid down over $100 million in debt
• Annual guidance increased

                      3
2009 EPS Forecast
$3.25                   $2.95 - $3.10
$3.00   $2.85              $.15 Range
                $2.70                   $2.60 - $2.75
$2.75                                      $.15 Range

$2.50
$2.25
$2.00
$1.75
$1.50
$1.25
$1.00
        2007    2008      2009             2009
                          GAAP             Non-
                         Forecast         GAAP
                   4                     forecast
Third Quarter Results

                     2009                  2008           change     % chg.

Sales               $ 501.5             $ 602.7       $    (101.2)    -17%
Net Earnings           34.6                21.4              13.2      62%
EPS                 $ 1.14              $ 0.70        $      0.44      63%


 2008 is non-GAAP




                    (in millions, except per share)



                                   5
Third Quarter Sales


                       2009                   2008   change      % chg.

Water Products        $ 336.7            $ 372.1     $ (35.4)      -10%
Electrical Products     165.9              231.9        (66.0)     -28%
Intersegment             (1.1)              (1.3)         0.2
Total Sales           $ 501.5            $ 602.7     $ (101.2)     -17%




                              (in millions)




                                   6
Third Quarter Operating Profit
                               2009                  2008        change      % chg.
Water Products           $        38.7           $       32.8    $    5.9      18%
Electrical Products               22.8                   10.6        12.2     115%
Corporate                        (13.0)                 (10.2)       (2.8)     27%
Total Operating Profit   $        48.5           $       33.2    $   15.3      46%
Margin
Water Products                  11.5%                    8.8%
Electrical Products             13.7%                    4.6%

2008 is non-GAAP


                             (in millions, except margins)


                                          7
Nine Month Cash Flow from Operations
                                  197. 8
                  200
                                               • Operating cash flow of
                  180
                  160
                                                 $198 million
($ in millions)




                  140                          • Expect operating cash
                  120                            flow of approximately
                  100                            $190 to $200 million in
                   80    75.0
                                                 2009
                   60
                   40                          • Balance Sheet remains
                   20                            strong
                    0                          • Debt to Capital ratio of
                        9/30/08   9/30/09        24%

                                           8
Water Purification Backdrop in China
• Economic Growth
  – GDP growth of 8-10%
  – Reverse Osmosis and Point of Use sales
    forecasted at +30%
• Declining Water Quality
  – 70% of source water unsafe to drink
• Improvement of Living Standards
  – “Feature rich” apartment options
  – Growing awareness of water health and quality
  – In home product – 10% market penetration


                         9
Tianlong Acquisition
• Acquire leading product in China water
  purification market
• Leverage A. O. Smith brand and water heater
  presence in appliance stores and building
  centers
• Other benefits:
  – Provide parallel channels and brands for distribution
    sales in China
  – Leverage current sales resources, after sales support
    and consumer marketing data base
  – Provide quality manufacturing base for export sales
                           10
Tianlong Profile
• Leading supplier of RO systems to the China market
   – Leading domestic market share
   – Exports to 30 countries
• Market channels
   – Thousands of franchise shops
     and mom and pop stores
• Product Types
   – Residential RO machines, RO
     membranes, filters, water softeners,
     Commercial/Industrial equipment,
     Components of residential RO
     machines
• Profitability
   – Accretive day 1
   – ROIC greater than cost of capital in
     first full year under AOS ownership
                                  11
Outlook
• Residential markets stabilize - commercial
  markets decline
  –   Decline in new home construction leveling off
  –   Commercial construction continues to decline
  –   Seasonally low HVAC demand in Q4
  –   Well positioned to leverage future incremental
      demand increases
• China water heater sales continue to grow
  – Expecting growth similar to China GDP
• Raw material costs are increasing
  – steel index increases of 30-40%
• Continue to focus on cash conservation
                         12
2009 EPS Forecast
$3.25                   $2.95 -$3.10
$3.00   $2.85             $.15 Range
                                       $2.60 - $2.75
                $2.70
$2.75                                      $.15 Range

$2.50
$2.25
$2.00
$1.75
$1.50
$1.25
$1.00
        2007    2008      2009             2009
                          GAAP             Non-
                         Forecast         GAAP
                   13
                                         forecast
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Q3 2009 Earning Report of A. O. Smith Corp.

  • 2. Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains statements that we believe are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “guidance”, or words of similar meaning. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Factors that could cause such a variance include the following: significant volatility in raw material prices; competitive pressures on the company’s businesses; inability to implement pricing actions; negative impact of future pension contributions on the company’s cash flow; instability in the company’s electric motor and water products markets; further weakening in housing construction; further weakening in commercial construction; timing of any recoveries in housing or commercial construction; a slowdown in the Chinese economy; expected restructuring savings realized; further adverse changes in customer liquidity and general economic and capital market conditions; the impact of acquisition accounting or non-GAAP financial measures on the company’s financial statements or difficulties in closing on and integrating the proposed China acquisition, and realizing future growth and profit expectations. Forward-looking statements included in this press release are made only as of the date of this presentation, and the company is under no obligation to update these statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributed to the company, or persons acting on its behalf, are qualified entirely by these cautionary statements. This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures as that term is defined by the SEC. Non-GAAP financial measures are generally identified by “Adjusted” (Adj.), “Non-GAAP” or “Before Restructuring”. 2
  • 3. Highlights • Earnings increase over 60%, setting record – Aggressive cost control and lower raw material costs in both businesses • Thirty-five percent growth in China water heaters • Strong cash flow from operations – Significant inventory improvement – Paid down over $100 million in debt • Annual guidance increased 3
  • 4. 2009 EPS Forecast $3.25 $2.95 - $3.10 $3.00 $2.85 $.15 Range $2.70 $2.60 - $2.75 $2.75 $.15 Range $2.50 $2.25 $2.00 $1.75 $1.50 $1.25 $1.00 2007 2008 2009 2009 GAAP Non- Forecast GAAP 4 forecast
  • 5. Third Quarter Results 2009 2008 change % chg. Sales $ 501.5 $ 602.7 $ (101.2) -17% Net Earnings 34.6 21.4 13.2 62% EPS $ 1.14 $ 0.70 $ 0.44 63% 2008 is non-GAAP (in millions, except per share) 5
  • 6. Third Quarter Sales 2009 2008 change % chg. Water Products $ 336.7 $ 372.1 $ (35.4) -10% Electrical Products 165.9 231.9 (66.0) -28% Intersegment (1.1) (1.3) 0.2 Total Sales $ 501.5 $ 602.7 $ (101.2) -17% (in millions) 6
  • 7. Third Quarter Operating Profit 2009 2008 change % chg. Water Products $ 38.7 $ 32.8 $ 5.9 18% Electrical Products 22.8 10.6 12.2 115% Corporate (13.0) (10.2) (2.8) 27% Total Operating Profit $ 48.5 $ 33.2 $ 15.3 46% Margin Water Products 11.5% 8.8% Electrical Products 13.7% 4.6% 2008 is non-GAAP (in millions, except margins) 7
  • 8. Nine Month Cash Flow from Operations 197. 8 200 • Operating cash flow of 180 160 $198 million ($ in millions) 140 • Expect operating cash 120 flow of approximately 100 $190 to $200 million in 80 75.0 2009 60 40 • Balance Sheet remains 20 strong 0 • Debt to Capital ratio of 9/30/08 9/30/09 24% 8
  • 9. Water Purification Backdrop in China • Economic Growth – GDP growth of 8-10% – Reverse Osmosis and Point of Use sales forecasted at +30% • Declining Water Quality – 70% of source water unsafe to drink • Improvement of Living Standards – “Feature rich” apartment options – Growing awareness of water health and quality – In home product – 10% market penetration 9
  • 10. Tianlong Acquisition • Acquire leading product in China water purification market • Leverage A. O. Smith brand and water heater presence in appliance stores and building centers • Other benefits: – Provide parallel channels and brands for distribution sales in China – Leverage current sales resources, after sales support and consumer marketing data base – Provide quality manufacturing base for export sales 10
  • 11. Tianlong Profile • Leading supplier of RO systems to the China market – Leading domestic market share – Exports to 30 countries • Market channels – Thousands of franchise shops and mom and pop stores • Product Types – Residential RO machines, RO membranes, filters, water softeners, Commercial/Industrial equipment, Components of residential RO machines • Profitability – Accretive day 1 – ROIC greater than cost of capital in first full year under AOS ownership 11
  • 12. Outlook • Residential markets stabilize - commercial markets decline – Decline in new home construction leveling off – Commercial construction continues to decline – Seasonally low HVAC demand in Q4 – Well positioned to leverage future incremental demand increases • China water heater sales continue to grow – Expecting growth similar to China GDP • Raw material costs are increasing – steel index increases of 30-40% • Continue to focus on cash conservation 12
  • 13. 2009 EPS Forecast $3.25 $2.95 -$3.10 $3.00 $2.85 $.15 Range $2.60 - $2.75 $2.70 $2.75 $.15 Range $2.50 $2.25 $2.00 $1.75 $1.50 $1.25 $1.00 2007 2008 2009 2009 GAAP Non- Forecast GAAP 13 forecast
  • 14. Answers to your Questions