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1
Motivating
and
Evaluating
Performance
2
I sure hope she knows how to use that thing!
3
Questions about Paying for Performance
Why tie pay to
performance?
What are the unintended
consequences of tying pay
to performance?
How can (and do)
accountants help?
What if people are Homo
Sapiens, not Homo
Economicus?
4
Free pdf: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2427106
If you have objectives you wan to
accomplish, this book is for you!
• Are we achieving your
objectives?
• Is our strategy working for
achieving our objectives
working? If not, what should we
do differently? Are we executing
our strategy poorly, or is the
strategy flawed?
• How can we encourage others
to pursue our objectives, rather
than their own?
• How should we reward people
for their contributions?
5
Why Pay for Performance?
Motivation
Communication
Risk-Sharing
Screening
6
Motivation
7
The Piece Rate System
8
Communication
9
Risk Sharing
10
Why Share Risk?
11
Screening
12
Principal-Agent Theory
13
Choose Your Poison
Low Motivation
High Pay
Costly Reporting
Systems
14
No System is Perfect
15
The Participation Constraint
16
• I returned, and saw under the sun, that the
race is not [always] to the swift, nor the
battle to the strong, neither yet bread to
the wise, nor yet riches to men of
understanding, nor yet favour to men of
skill; but time and chance happeneth to
them all.
• Ecclesiastes 9:11
17
Incentive Intensity, Motivation & Risk
18
The Compensating Differential
You need to pay extra to get people to
take risky jobs—even if the risk is “only”
unpredictable pay
19
Incentive-Compatibility Constraint
20
The Law of Measure Management
Measure
Management
Distorting
operations or
reporting to manage
the measure of
performance, rather
than the underlying
performance the
measure is intended
to capture
Measure
management arises
when measures
capture performance
constructs with
error, the people
being evaluated are
aware of this
fact, and people have
discretion to distort
either operations or
reporting.
21
Constructs & Proxies
22
23
The Allegory of the Cave
24
The Modern-Day Cave
25
Skepticism
A belief that
shadows are
unreliable
representations
of underlying
reality (forms).
26
Cynicism
A belief that people
act in their own
self-interest, and
intentionally
creating shadows
that are unreliable
representations of
underlying reality
(forms).
27
Imperfect Measures Cause Moral Hazard
• Being insulated
from the full
consequences of
your actions
• Arises when the
principal cannot
distinguish luck
from other factors
that determine
performance
Moral Hazard
28
Outputs vs. Outcomes (GASB)
• Measures that quantify the amount of a service
provided. For example, the lane-miles of road
repaired, school graduation rates, number of patients
treated in the emergency room, tons of garbage
collected, or number of fires extinguished.
Outputs
• Measures that gauge the accomplishment or results
that occur at least partially because of the services
provided. They provide a basis for assessing how well a
service's goals and objectives are accomplished.
Outcome measures indicate the quality or effectiveness of
a service.
Outcomes
29
Why Governments Care
“Bragging about how
many new schools
you‟ve built counts for
little until children start
graduating with
economically useful skill
sets.
(Link)
30
Outcome-Based Contracting
• Charge for
outcome
(reliable
operating time)
not output
(hours of repair)
„Power by
the Hour®‟,
31
Is Our Causal Model Correct & Complete?
32
Three Problems To Watch For
• Omitted underlying constructs
• Mistaken links between underlying constructs
Flawed Theory
• Poor representations of the constructs
• Omitted variables
Flawed Proxies
• Unintended consequences
Flawed Application
33
Implementation Problem # 2
Incentive
Intensity
Slope of Pay-
Performance
Line
Quality of
Performance
Measurement
System
Noise in Proxy
Measures for
Effort
Compensating
Differential
Level of Pay Given
Expected Output
Higher incentive intensity
increases motivation, but imposes
risk on the agent—risk averse
agents will demand higher pay (a
compensating differential)
A better performance
measurement system reduces this
cost of incentive intensity
34
In a Nutshell:
• If you have good measures of how hard or smart people are
working, you can base pay on them with high incentive intensity
• The noisier your measures, the lower incentive intensity must be
Output measures
• If you can‟t easily measure how hard or smart people are working, you
must base pay on outcome measures
• Omitted variables make outcome measures uncontrollable, so incentive
intensity can‟t be too high
Outcome measures
• The better your performance reporting system, the more cheaply you
can motivate workers and screen for ability or work ethic
• The worse your system, the more you will have to pay in compensating
differentials and the more you will screen for risk seekers
Performance Reporting Systems
35
LIMITATIONS OF THE MODEL
36
Effort and Pay are Not Enough
• The head of a Federal
agency might not
agree with the
President‟s goals
• Requires a
“disagreement-based”
model
Agents might care
about the outcome
37
Paying for Creative Advertising
• Effort doesn‟t improve
creativity
• Effort can even harm
creativity
Effort might not
improve
performance
38
The Crowding-Out Effect
Extrinsic
incentives can
dampen intrinsic
motivation.
Don‟t turn play
into work!
“Fat Kids Who Hate To Read”
39
Gamification
Dollars are not
as motivating as
you might think
“Winning” is
motivating, even
if there is no
prize
40
Free pdf: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2427106

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Webinar: Motivating and Evaluating Performance

  • 2. 2 I sure hope she knows how to use that thing!
  • 3. 3 Questions about Paying for Performance Why tie pay to performance? What are the unintended consequences of tying pay to performance? How can (and do) accountants help? What if people are Homo Sapiens, not Homo Economicus?
  • 4. 4 Free pdf: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2427106 If you have objectives you wan to accomplish, this book is for you! • Are we achieving your objectives? • Is our strategy working for achieving our objectives working? If not, what should we do differently? Are we executing our strategy poorly, or is the strategy flawed? • How can we encourage others to pursue our objectives, rather than their own? • How should we reward people for their contributions?
  • 5. 5 Why Pay for Performance? Motivation Communication Risk-Sharing Screening
  • 13. 13 Choose Your Poison Low Motivation High Pay Costly Reporting Systems
  • 14. 14 No System is Perfect
  • 16. 16 • I returned, and saw under the sun, that the race is not [always] to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of understanding, nor yet favour to men of skill; but time and chance happeneth to them all. • Ecclesiastes 9:11
  • 18. 18 The Compensating Differential You need to pay extra to get people to take risky jobs—even if the risk is “only” unpredictable pay
  • 20. 20 The Law of Measure Management Measure Management Distorting operations or reporting to manage the measure of performance, rather than the underlying performance the measure is intended to capture Measure management arises when measures capture performance constructs with error, the people being evaluated are aware of this fact, and people have discretion to distort either operations or reporting.
  • 22. 22
  • 23. 23 The Allegory of the Cave
  • 25. 25 Skepticism A belief that shadows are unreliable representations of underlying reality (forms).
  • 26. 26 Cynicism A belief that people act in their own self-interest, and intentionally creating shadows that are unreliable representations of underlying reality (forms).
  • 27. 27 Imperfect Measures Cause Moral Hazard • Being insulated from the full consequences of your actions • Arises when the principal cannot distinguish luck from other factors that determine performance Moral Hazard
  • 28. 28 Outputs vs. Outcomes (GASB) • Measures that quantify the amount of a service provided. For example, the lane-miles of road repaired, school graduation rates, number of patients treated in the emergency room, tons of garbage collected, or number of fires extinguished. Outputs • Measures that gauge the accomplishment or results that occur at least partially because of the services provided. They provide a basis for assessing how well a service's goals and objectives are accomplished. Outcome measures indicate the quality or effectiveness of a service. Outcomes
  • 29. 29 Why Governments Care “Bragging about how many new schools you‟ve built counts for little until children start graduating with economically useful skill sets. (Link)
  • 30. 30 Outcome-Based Contracting • Charge for outcome (reliable operating time) not output (hours of repair) „Power by the Hour®‟,
  • 31. 31 Is Our Causal Model Correct & Complete?
  • 32. 32 Three Problems To Watch For • Omitted underlying constructs • Mistaken links between underlying constructs Flawed Theory • Poor representations of the constructs • Omitted variables Flawed Proxies • Unintended consequences Flawed Application
  • 33. 33 Implementation Problem # 2 Incentive Intensity Slope of Pay- Performance Line Quality of Performance Measurement System Noise in Proxy Measures for Effort Compensating Differential Level of Pay Given Expected Output Higher incentive intensity increases motivation, but imposes risk on the agent—risk averse agents will demand higher pay (a compensating differential) A better performance measurement system reduces this cost of incentive intensity
  • 34. 34 In a Nutshell: • If you have good measures of how hard or smart people are working, you can base pay on them with high incentive intensity • The noisier your measures, the lower incentive intensity must be Output measures • If you can‟t easily measure how hard or smart people are working, you must base pay on outcome measures • Omitted variables make outcome measures uncontrollable, so incentive intensity can‟t be too high Outcome measures • The better your performance reporting system, the more cheaply you can motivate workers and screen for ability or work ethic • The worse your system, the more you will have to pay in compensating differentials and the more you will screen for risk seekers Performance Reporting Systems
  • 36. 36 Effort and Pay are Not Enough • The head of a Federal agency might not agree with the President‟s goals • Requires a “disagreement-based” model Agents might care about the outcome
  • 37. 37 Paying for Creative Advertising • Effort doesn‟t improve creativity • Effort can even harm creativity Effort might not improve performance
  • 38. 38 The Crowding-Out Effect Extrinsic incentives can dampen intrinsic motivation. Don‟t turn play into work! “Fat Kids Who Hate To Read”
  • 39. 39 Gamification Dollars are not as motivating as you might think “Winning” is motivating, even if there is no prize

Editor's Notes

  1. Both outputs and outcomes are important, but we need to use them differently.
  2. It might be easy or hard to hit an output target, but at least you know what you need to do: apply effort, skill, time and money in some combination. But you might not have the ability to hit an output target, because others must do their part, and you can’t control them.
  3. One of the most famous examples of outcomes used in private-sector contracts.
  4. Words we get to later:NoiseBiasSignal-to-Noise ratioPrecision (inverse of variance)Prior BeliefPosterior Belief(Bayesian) Updating