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Infrastructure Landscape
Richard Hoskins
October 2011


               Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 1
Topics for discussion

Section 1       Drivers of investment opportunities         3
  Section 2       Private sector investment consideration   11
    Section 3        Expected returns                       20

      Section 4        Conclusion                           23

        Section 5         About Hastings                    25




                                                            Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 2
Section 1
Drivers of investment opportunities




                             Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 3
Australia‟s economy has performed well, supported
                                                 by strong demand from China


                   Australia has enjoyed strong                            Buoyed by the evolution of the
                    relative economic growth                                global economic landscape




Source: Westpac Market Outlook, September 2011                                       Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 4
Resource demand has driven investment growth,
                                            but constraints are growing


              The private infrastructure                         But investment constraints are
            pipeline has grown massively                       emerging which may limit this growth




Source: Westpac Economic Outlook, September 2011                                   Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 5
Our cities are growing and the population is also aging



    Our major cities have experienced                                                                        Total population by age: 1978-2038
     significant population growth...

                                                                                                       Population (#)
Population ('000)
                                                                                                        30,000,000
5,000      +10%
                                                                          1996
                              +14%                                        2001
4,000                                                                     2006                                                                                     65+ years
                                                                          20211
                                                                                                        20,000,000
3,000
                                                                                                                                                                   45-64 years
                                                +21%
                                                                   +17%
2,000

                                                                                                        10,000,000                                                 25-44 years

1,000

                                                                                                                                                                   <25 years
    0
            Sydney          Melbourne           Brisbane             Perth                                          0
                                                                                                                    1978       2008                          2038

Source: Australia 2020 Summit, “Population, Sustainability, Climate Change, Water and the Future of our Cities”, April 2008   Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 6
These factors are driving the need for material
                                                  future infrastructure investment..... in transport

            The costs of road                                                                                                                                                      Interstate freight haulage
       congestion are forecast to rise                                                                                                                                              is growing dramatically




                                                                                                                Interstate freight task by mode (billion tonne kilometres)
        Forecast costs of congestion 1                                                                                                                                       250
        in capital cities: 1995-2015 (A$b)
                                                                                                                                                                                                          11.9
         10

                                                                                                                                                                             200
          8                                                                                                                                                                                               57.4

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Coastal
                                                           1995                                                                                                              150                                               Shipping
          6                                                2015
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Rail
                                                                                                                                                                                     7.1
          4                                                                                                                                                                  100
                                                                                                                                                                                     27.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Road
                                                                                                                                                                                                          159.1

          2
                                                                                                                                                                             50
                                                                                                                                                                                     70.4

          0
                Syd        Mel      Bris      Adel       Per      Can                                                                                                         0
                                                                                                                                                                                     2008                2030

Source: Australia 2020 Summit, “Future Directions for the Australian Economy”, April 2008; BITRE estimates [report 120]                                                                     Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 7
...and to cater for increased energy demand


                    New electricity generation                                                               And climate change policies will drive
                      capacity is required                                                                   investment in cleaner energy sources
             Projected future energy demand:
             2004/05-2029/30 (TWh)
             500                                                                                 60
                                                                                                        54.9

                                                                                                 50
             400
                                                                                                 40                                     37
                                                                                                               33
             300
                                                                                                 30
                                                                                                                      21.8
                                                                                                 20
             200                                                                                                                   15
                                                                                                                                                                                12
                                                                                                                             10
                                                                                                 10
                                                                                                                                                                4.7                           4
                                                                                                                                                                      3   1.5
             100                                                                                                                                1         1                             1.2
                                                                                                   0
                                                                                                        Black Coal    Brown Coal    Gas             Oil          Hydro      Wind          Other
                                                                                                                                                                                       renewables
                                                                                                                                   2008-2009                  2029-2030
                0
                     2004-05 2010-11 2019-20 2029-30



Source: ABARE, Energy in Australia 2008; ABARE, Australian Energy, national and state projections to 2029-30 (2006)                          Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 8
Australia‟s infrastructure scorecard

Current infrastructure is                  •     Infrastructure networks are barely adequate for current needs
       barely adequate                     •     Beginning to impose significant long term costs on the economy




    Leading to declining                   •     Productivity has declined and represents a key challenge for
            productivity                         Australia‟s future
                                           •     Inadequate infrastructure is a material contributor




Source: Infrastructure Australia, “Communicating the Imperative for Action”, June 2011; ABS, “Measures of Australia‟s   Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 9
Progress”, 2010; Hastings data
Public sector investment has declined

           Fiscal constraints                 •     Governments have adopted greater fiscal disciplines due to concerns
                                                    about public debt and the sustainability of budget deficits
                                              •     GFC has negatively impacted the fiscal condition of Governments
                                                    requiring greater austerity across developed nations


     We are falling behind                    •     Historic underinvestment in maintenance and replacement of existing
                                                    assets
                                              •     Public investment by Australian Governments in infrastructure as a
                                                    proportion of GDP is less than other countries


Funding shortfall requires                    •     Growing gap between community expectations about the quality of our
                 solutions                          infrastructure and the financial capacity of Government to fund
                                              •     Investment shortfall is estimated at $70 billion a year over the next 10
                                                    years
                                              •     $83 billion of national infrastructure projects delayed due to lack of Federal
                                                    Government funding
                                              •     Demand management and pricing reforms (including user pays) are part
                                                    of the solution

  Source: Infrastructure Australia, “Communicating the Imperative for Action”, June 2011; ABS, “Measures of Australia‟s   Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 10
  Progress”, 2010; Hastings data
Section 2
Private sector investment
considerations




                            Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 11
Why invest in unlisted infrastructure equity?



            Positives                         Considerations                      Role of Manager
•   Diversification benefits          •   Low liquidity of investments    •   Expertise and resources
     -    Low correlation to          •   Sovereign and regulatory risk   •   Scale
          traditional markets         •   High relative leverage          •   Greater and more efficient
     -    Lower volatility than       •   Access to expertise and             access to opportunities
          equities                        resources necessary to invest   •   Ability to add value through
•   Long term investment profile          and manage                          opportunity selection,
    with stable return                •   Cost of access                      acquisition pricing and ongoing
•   Predictable revenue stream        •   Reliance on appraisal based         management and exit
•   Help match long dated                 valuations
    liabilities that are subject to   •   Governance
    inflation risk
•   Valuations reflect
    fundamentals not sentiment




                                                                                   Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 12
GFC has impacted investor attitudes


                                             Investor concerns
Exposed by GFC                               • Sovereign risk
                                             • Regulatory risk
                                             • Excessive leverage
• Lack of price discipline                   • Veracity of valuations
                                             • Lack of liquidity of investments
• Extent of market beta                      • Fee leakage
                                             • Demand risk on greenfield investing
• Inappropriate financial engineering

• Alignment and agency issues                Investor response
                                             •   Return to “core” infrastructure focus
• Liquidity and marketability                •   Increased importance of yield
                                             •   Reduced leverage
• Ability to influence outcomes
                                             •   Greater valuation rigour
• Lack of resources to manage risk           •   More cautious about identity of co-investors
                                             •   Less willingness to pay alpha for beta
                                             •   Focus on fees and direct investing

                                                                          Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 13
Fundraising environment


Pre-GFC    •   Excess investor demand for too few infrastructure assets created a supply /
               demand imbalance which drove prices above long term value
                  - GFC ended the sustained growth in fundraising for unlisted infrastructure
           •   Listed infrastructure companies were prepared to transact at prices reflecting a
               margin above their cost of debt or use their share price as currency

Post-GFC   •   Constrained market for the supply of capital
           •   Unlisted market experienced a significant fundraising recovery in 2010, but
               much of this was committed before the GFC
                  - Latest market data suggests fundraising continues to recover and
                     investors are more willing to deploy capital to the sector
           •   Listed infrastructure companies raised significant amounts of capital to reduce
               debt
                  - But many continue to trade at a significant discount to NTA making them
                     uncompetitive for new transactions
                  - Price / value disconnect appears largely market or sentiment driven
           •   Listed toll road experience has tainted the Australian market

           •   Port of Brisbane privatisation shows capital is available for the right projects

                                                                       Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 14
Bank market volumes have improved


                              Australian Historic Bank Loan Market Volumes




Source: Thomson Reuters LPC
                                                                             Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 15
So has bank loan pricing


                  All in rates for BBB corporates (indicative)




Source: Westpac                                                  Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 16
What issues are constraining investment?


           Issue                     Potential Impacts                   Potential Mitigants
Investor scale               •   Internal investment capacity   •   Industry consolidation
                             •   Portfolio diversification      •   Pooled vehicles
                             •   Investment influence           •   Collective investment approach
Complexity                   •   Cost of access                 •   Skills, expertise and resources
                             •   Mispriced risk                 •   Efficient investment process
                             •   Information asymmetry
Limited opportunity          •   Mobilisation costs             •   Transaction standardization
pipeline                     •   Bid costs                      •   Diversity of access points
                             •   Agency issues
At risk acquisition costs    •   Cost of access                 •   Proprietary deal flow
                             •   Alignment                      •   Government contributions
Alignment of interests       •   Management of sponsor and      •   Build relationships across
                                 peer relationships                 manager, management teams and
                                                                    equity holders



                                                                            Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 17
What are the key investor concerns?

            Concerns                                               Dimensions
Liquidity                      •   Ability to exit an investment quickly at value
                               •   Determining current market value
                               •   Allocating value between continuing and departing fund members
                               •   Impact of undrawn commitments on portfolio balance in periods of volatility
Method of access               •   Debt or equity; direct or indirect
                               •   Cost of access – transaction costs and management fees
                               •   Choice of manager and ability to change manager
Market Risk                    •   Lack of operating history for demand forecasts on greenfield projects
                               •   Agency issues
Regulatory / sovereign risk    •   Predictability, transparency and reliability
                               •   Event risk, particularly around regulatory decisions
                               •   Degree of independence from political influences
                               •   Policy or regulatory uncertainty
                               •   Discriminatory or retrospective law changes
Capital Structure and          •   Maturity profiles, liquidity risk, diversification of credit markets
Leverage                       •   Banking and lending relationships
                                                                                        Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 18
The Government‟s role

                 Policy settings               •     Provide transparent, reliable and predictable regulatory environment
                                                         -     Price regulation can deter or encourage investment depending on
                                                               the adequacy of the return allowed
                                                         -     Complexity of access regimes can lead to inefficient outcomes
                                               •     Policy and regulatory uncertainty remains a major impediment to investing


         Integrated planning                   •     Co-ordinated and integrated approach to planning
                                               •     Support infrastructure projects whether in public or private ownership

Disciplined investment and                     •     Can community welfare be improved by the Government allocating
          funding decisions                          resources to create, expand or augment infrastructure?
                                               •     Should user charges or taxes over time pay for the ongoing infrastructure
                                                     costs?

         Financing solutions                   •     Solution should align responsibility for managing project risks with
                                                     incentives to do so
                                               •     Central question is which financing method best manages project risk


   Source: Infrastructure Australia, “Communicating the Imperative for Action”, June 2011; ABS, “Measures of Australia‟s   Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 19
   Progress”, 2010; Hastings data
Section 3
Expected returns




                   Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 20
Indicative relative returns of financing options

                                      20




                                      15
           Rate of return (percent)




                                      10




                                       5




                                       0
                                            Tax-exempt     GO bond   Revenue bond           Bank loan          Project bond   PPP           Private-sector
                                           revenue bond                                                                                         equity




Source: Productivity Commission, “Public Infrastructure Financing: An international perspective”, March 2009                   Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 21
Uncertainty drives private sector return expectations



                   Partially
                   regulated
                   revenues
 of revenues
 Uncertainty

     (Risk)




                   Regulated
                   revenues



                   Contracted
                   revenues


                                8%   9%   10%   11%   12%   13%   14%     15%     16%      17%       18%        19%       20%
                                                       Nominal rate of return (% p.a.)

                                      Mature assets                             Growth and development assets


Source: Hastings                                                                 Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 22
Section 4
Conclusion




             Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 23
Conclusion

Macro environment      •   Existing infrastructure is barely adequate for current needs
                       •   Public sector investment in infrastructure has declined despite historic
                           underinvestment
                       •   Economic conditions, technology, population and demographic changes
                           continue to drive demand for infrastructure
                       •   Climate change policies and responses will drive demand further

 Funding challenge     •   Fiscal constraints of Governments necessitate private sector solutions to help
                           bridge funding gap
                       •   Investor demand recovering, but capital raising environment remains
                           challenging
                       •   Loan volumes and pricing improving, but recent European uncertainties are
                           impacting

Investor perspective   •   Pricing and opportunity pipeline are favourable
                       •   Investors remain concerned about
                             - Liquidity
                             - Policy and regulatory uncertainty
                             - Demand risk
                             - Leverage
                       •   Concerns remain about accessing infrastructure opportunities
                                                                                Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 24
Section 5
About Hastings




                 Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 25
About Hastings Funds Management


                 Value proposition
    Specialist   • Hastings Funds Management (Hastings) is a specialist infrastructure fund
infrastructure     manager dedicated to delivering reliable, consistent and repeatable investment
     manager       returns to a wide range of institutional and retail investors


                 How we compete
 Experience      • 17 year track record of successful investing in infrastructure equity and debt

      Access     • Strong market presence and strategic and operating relationships
   Discipline    • Stringent approach to investment focused on providing long-term value for
                   investors
                 • Measured approach to gearing
   Reliability   • Active management to achieve long term value
  Innovation     • New insight driven ideas and solutions




                                                                          Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 26
Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by Hastings Funds Management Limited (ABN 27 058 693 388) („Hastings‟), holder of Australian Financial Services Licence number
238309. Hastings is a subsidiary of Westpac Banking Corporation (‟Westpac‟).
The information contained in this presentation is highly confidential and is the property of Hastings and its affiliates. This presentation is intended solely for the use of the
persons to whom it has been delivered and is not to be reproduced, disclosed or distributed to any other persons.
The information contained in this presentation is being made available to a limited number of sophisticated/institutional investors for informational purposes only and neither
Hastings, nor any of its employees or related bodies corporate accepts any responsibility for or makes any representation or warranty as to the truth, accuracy or
completeness of the information contained in it. This presentation does not constitute an offer from Hastings or its related bodies corporate to issue or arrange to issue,
financial products and should not be relied on as financial product or investment advice.
This presentation has been prepared without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person or entity. Before
making an investment decision, you should consider, with or without the assistance of a financial adviser, whether any investments are appropriate in light of your particular
investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances.
Statements contained in this presentation may be forward looking statements. Such statements are inherently speculative and always involve some risk and uncertainty as
they relate to events and depend on circumstances in the future, many of which are outside the control of Hastings. Any forward looking statements contained in this
presentation are based on a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect, and accordingly, actual results or outcomes may vary. Past performance is no
guarantee of future performance.
Certain information contained herein has been obtained from published sources and/or prepared by third parties and in certain cases has not been updated through to the
date hereof. While such sources are believed to be reliable, neither Hastings nor any of its affiliates assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such
information.
None of Hastings, nor any of its related bodies corporate nor any of their respective officers, employees or advisers accepts any responsibility to inform you of any matter
arising or coming to Hastings‟ notice which may affect or qualify any of the information or assumptions contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by
law, Hastings, its related bodies corporate and their respective officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaim all or any liability which may arise out of the provision to,
or use by, any person of the information contained in this presentation.
This presentation is not intended as, and does not constitute, a product disclosure statement, prospectus, short form prospectus or profile statement (as those terms are
defined in the Corporations Act) or other offering document for any Hastings fund nor an offer for the issue, sale or purchase of any securities, or any recommendation for
investment in any Hastings fund.
The distribution of this presentation outside Australia may be restricted by law. Persons who come into possession of this presentation who are not in Australia should seek
advice on and observe any such restrictions.
Neither Hastings, Westpac or any other members of the Westpac Group gives any guarantee or assurance as to the performance or the repayment of capital. Investments
are not investments, deposits or other liabilities of Hastings, Westpac or other members of the Westpac Group.




                                                                                                                                         Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 27

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The investment landcape richard hoskins

  • 1. Infrastructure Landscape Richard Hoskins October 2011 Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 1
  • 2. Topics for discussion Section 1 Drivers of investment opportunities 3 Section 2 Private sector investment consideration 11 Section 3 Expected returns 20 Section 4 Conclusion 23 Section 5 About Hastings 25 Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 2
  • 3. Section 1 Drivers of investment opportunities Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 3
  • 4. Australia‟s economy has performed well, supported by strong demand from China Australia has enjoyed strong Buoyed by the evolution of the relative economic growth global economic landscape Source: Westpac Market Outlook, September 2011 Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 4
  • 5. Resource demand has driven investment growth, but constraints are growing The private infrastructure But investment constraints are pipeline has grown massively emerging which may limit this growth Source: Westpac Economic Outlook, September 2011 Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 5
  • 6. Our cities are growing and the population is also aging Our major cities have experienced Total population by age: 1978-2038 significant population growth... Population (#) Population ('000) 30,000,000 5,000 +10% 1996 +14% 2001 4,000 2006 65+ years 20211 20,000,000 3,000 45-64 years +21% +17% 2,000 10,000,000 25-44 years 1,000 <25 years 0 Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Perth 0 1978 2008 2038 Source: Australia 2020 Summit, “Population, Sustainability, Climate Change, Water and the Future of our Cities”, April 2008 Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 6
  • 7. These factors are driving the need for material future infrastructure investment..... in transport The costs of road Interstate freight haulage congestion are forecast to rise is growing dramatically Interstate freight task by mode (billion tonne kilometres) Forecast costs of congestion 1 250 in capital cities: 1995-2015 (A$b) 11.9 10 200 8 57.4 Coastal 1995 150 Shipping 6 2015 Rail 7.1 4 100 27.1 Road 159.1 2 50 70.4 0 Syd Mel Bris Adel Per Can 0 2008 2030 Source: Australia 2020 Summit, “Future Directions for the Australian Economy”, April 2008; BITRE estimates [report 120] Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 7
  • 8. ...and to cater for increased energy demand New electricity generation And climate change policies will drive capacity is required investment in cleaner energy sources Projected future energy demand: 2004/05-2029/30 (TWh) 500 60 54.9 50 400 40 37 33 300 30 21.8 20 200 15 12 10 10 4.7 4 3 1.5 100 1 1 1.2 0 Black Coal Brown Coal Gas Oil Hydro Wind Other renewables 2008-2009 2029-2030 0 2004-05 2010-11 2019-20 2029-30 Source: ABARE, Energy in Australia 2008; ABARE, Australian Energy, national and state projections to 2029-30 (2006) Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 8
  • 9. Australia‟s infrastructure scorecard Current infrastructure is • Infrastructure networks are barely adequate for current needs barely adequate • Beginning to impose significant long term costs on the economy Leading to declining • Productivity has declined and represents a key challenge for productivity Australia‟s future • Inadequate infrastructure is a material contributor Source: Infrastructure Australia, “Communicating the Imperative for Action”, June 2011; ABS, “Measures of Australia‟s Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 9 Progress”, 2010; Hastings data
  • 10. Public sector investment has declined Fiscal constraints • Governments have adopted greater fiscal disciplines due to concerns about public debt and the sustainability of budget deficits • GFC has negatively impacted the fiscal condition of Governments requiring greater austerity across developed nations We are falling behind • Historic underinvestment in maintenance and replacement of existing assets • Public investment by Australian Governments in infrastructure as a proportion of GDP is less than other countries Funding shortfall requires • Growing gap between community expectations about the quality of our solutions infrastructure and the financial capacity of Government to fund • Investment shortfall is estimated at $70 billion a year over the next 10 years • $83 billion of national infrastructure projects delayed due to lack of Federal Government funding • Demand management and pricing reforms (including user pays) are part of the solution Source: Infrastructure Australia, “Communicating the Imperative for Action”, June 2011; ABS, “Measures of Australia‟s Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 10 Progress”, 2010; Hastings data
  • 11. Section 2 Private sector investment considerations Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 11
  • 12. Why invest in unlisted infrastructure equity? Positives Considerations Role of Manager • Diversification benefits • Low liquidity of investments • Expertise and resources - Low correlation to • Sovereign and regulatory risk • Scale traditional markets • High relative leverage • Greater and more efficient - Lower volatility than • Access to expertise and access to opportunities equities resources necessary to invest • Ability to add value through • Long term investment profile and manage opportunity selection, with stable return • Cost of access acquisition pricing and ongoing • Predictable revenue stream • Reliance on appraisal based management and exit • Help match long dated valuations liabilities that are subject to • Governance inflation risk • Valuations reflect fundamentals not sentiment Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 12
  • 13. GFC has impacted investor attitudes Investor concerns Exposed by GFC • Sovereign risk • Regulatory risk • Excessive leverage • Lack of price discipline • Veracity of valuations • Lack of liquidity of investments • Extent of market beta • Fee leakage • Demand risk on greenfield investing • Inappropriate financial engineering • Alignment and agency issues Investor response • Return to “core” infrastructure focus • Liquidity and marketability • Increased importance of yield • Reduced leverage • Ability to influence outcomes • Greater valuation rigour • Lack of resources to manage risk • More cautious about identity of co-investors • Less willingness to pay alpha for beta • Focus on fees and direct investing Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 13
  • 14. Fundraising environment Pre-GFC • Excess investor demand for too few infrastructure assets created a supply / demand imbalance which drove prices above long term value - GFC ended the sustained growth in fundraising for unlisted infrastructure • Listed infrastructure companies were prepared to transact at prices reflecting a margin above their cost of debt or use their share price as currency Post-GFC • Constrained market for the supply of capital • Unlisted market experienced a significant fundraising recovery in 2010, but much of this was committed before the GFC - Latest market data suggests fundraising continues to recover and investors are more willing to deploy capital to the sector • Listed infrastructure companies raised significant amounts of capital to reduce debt - But many continue to trade at a significant discount to NTA making them uncompetitive for new transactions - Price / value disconnect appears largely market or sentiment driven • Listed toll road experience has tainted the Australian market • Port of Brisbane privatisation shows capital is available for the right projects Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 14
  • 15. Bank market volumes have improved Australian Historic Bank Loan Market Volumes Source: Thomson Reuters LPC Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 15
  • 16. So has bank loan pricing All in rates for BBB corporates (indicative) Source: Westpac Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 16
  • 17. What issues are constraining investment? Issue Potential Impacts Potential Mitigants Investor scale • Internal investment capacity • Industry consolidation • Portfolio diversification • Pooled vehicles • Investment influence • Collective investment approach Complexity • Cost of access • Skills, expertise and resources • Mispriced risk • Efficient investment process • Information asymmetry Limited opportunity • Mobilisation costs • Transaction standardization pipeline • Bid costs • Diversity of access points • Agency issues At risk acquisition costs • Cost of access • Proprietary deal flow • Alignment • Government contributions Alignment of interests • Management of sponsor and • Build relationships across peer relationships manager, management teams and equity holders Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 17
  • 18. What are the key investor concerns? Concerns Dimensions Liquidity • Ability to exit an investment quickly at value • Determining current market value • Allocating value between continuing and departing fund members • Impact of undrawn commitments on portfolio balance in periods of volatility Method of access • Debt or equity; direct or indirect • Cost of access – transaction costs and management fees • Choice of manager and ability to change manager Market Risk • Lack of operating history for demand forecasts on greenfield projects • Agency issues Regulatory / sovereign risk • Predictability, transparency and reliability • Event risk, particularly around regulatory decisions • Degree of independence from political influences • Policy or regulatory uncertainty • Discriminatory or retrospective law changes Capital Structure and • Maturity profiles, liquidity risk, diversification of credit markets Leverage • Banking and lending relationships Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 18
  • 19. The Government‟s role Policy settings • Provide transparent, reliable and predictable regulatory environment - Price regulation can deter or encourage investment depending on the adequacy of the return allowed - Complexity of access regimes can lead to inefficient outcomes • Policy and regulatory uncertainty remains a major impediment to investing Integrated planning • Co-ordinated and integrated approach to planning • Support infrastructure projects whether in public or private ownership Disciplined investment and • Can community welfare be improved by the Government allocating funding decisions resources to create, expand or augment infrastructure? • Should user charges or taxes over time pay for the ongoing infrastructure costs? Financing solutions • Solution should align responsibility for managing project risks with incentives to do so • Central question is which financing method best manages project risk Source: Infrastructure Australia, “Communicating the Imperative for Action”, June 2011; ABS, “Measures of Australia‟s Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 19 Progress”, 2010; Hastings data
  • 20. Section 3 Expected returns Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 20
  • 21. Indicative relative returns of financing options 20 15 Rate of return (percent) 10 5 0 Tax-exempt GO bond Revenue bond Bank loan Project bond PPP Private-sector revenue bond equity Source: Productivity Commission, “Public Infrastructure Financing: An international perspective”, March 2009 Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 21
  • 22. Uncertainty drives private sector return expectations Partially regulated revenues of revenues Uncertainty (Risk) Regulated revenues Contracted revenues 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% Nominal rate of return (% p.a.) Mature assets Growth and development assets Source: Hastings Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 22
  • 23. Section 4 Conclusion Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 23
  • 24. Conclusion Macro environment • Existing infrastructure is barely adequate for current needs • Public sector investment in infrastructure has declined despite historic underinvestment • Economic conditions, technology, population and demographic changes continue to drive demand for infrastructure • Climate change policies and responses will drive demand further Funding challenge • Fiscal constraints of Governments necessitate private sector solutions to help bridge funding gap • Investor demand recovering, but capital raising environment remains challenging • Loan volumes and pricing improving, but recent European uncertainties are impacting Investor perspective • Pricing and opportunity pipeline are favourable • Investors remain concerned about - Liquidity - Policy and regulatory uncertainty - Demand risk - Leverage • Concerns remain about accessing infrastructure opportunities Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 24
  • 25. Section 5 About Hastings Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 25
  • 26. About Hastings Funds Management Value proposition Specialist • Hastings Funds Management (Hastings) is a specialist infrastructure fund infrastructure manager dedicated to delivering reliable, consistent and repeatable investment manager returns to a wide range of institutional and retail investors How we compete Experience • 17 year track record of successful investing in infrastructure equity and debt Access • Strong market presence and strategic and operating relationships Discipline • Stringent approach to investment focused on providing long-term value for investors • Measured approach to gearing Reliability • Active management to achieve long term value Innovation • New insight driven ideas and solutions Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 26
  • 27. Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Hastings Funds Management Limited (ABN 27 058 693 388) („Hastings‟), holder of Australian Financial Services Licence number 238309. Hastings is a subsidiary of Westpac Banking Corporation (‟Westpac‟). The information contained in this presentation is highly confidential and is the property of Hastings and its affiliates. This presentation is intended solely for the use of the persons to whom it has been delivered and is not to be reproduced, disclosed or distributed to any other persons. The information contained in this presentation is being made available to a limited number of sophisticated/institutional investors for informational purposes only and neither Hastings, nor any of its employees or related bodies corporate accepts any responsibility for or makes any representation or warranty as to the truth, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in it. This presentation does not constitute an offer from Hastings or its related bodies corporate to issue or arrange to issue, financial products and should not be relied on as financial product or investment advice. This presentation has been prepared without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person or entity. Before making an investment decision, you should consider, with or without the assistance of a financial adviser, whether any investments are appropriate in light of your particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances. Statements contained in this presentation may be forward looking statements. Such statements are inherently speculative and always involve some risk and uncertainty as they relate to events and depend on circumstances in the future, many of which are outside the control of Hastings. Any forward looking statements contained in this presentation are based on a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect, and accordingly, actual results or outcomes may vary. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Certain information contained herein has been obtained from published sources and/or prepared by third parties and in certain cases has not been updated through to the date hereof. While such sources are believed to be reliable, neither Hastings nor any of its affiliates assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. None of Hastings, nor any of its related bodies corporate nor any of their respective officers, employees or advisers accepts any responsibility to inform you of any matter arising or coming to Hastings‟ notice which may affect or qualify any of the information or assumptions contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Hastings, its related bodies corporate and their respective officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaim all or any liability which may arise out of the provision to, or use by, any person of the information contained in this presentation. This presentation is not intended as, and does not constitute, a product disclosure statement, prospectus, short form prospectus or profile statement (as those terms are defined in the Corporations Act) or other offering document for any Hastings fund nor an offer for the issue, sale or purchase of any securities, or any recommendation for investment in any Hastings fund. The distribution of this presentation outside Australia may be restricted by law. Persons who come into possession of this presentation who are not in Australia should seek advice on and observe any such restrictions. Neither Hastings, Westpac or any other members of the Westpac Group gives any guarantee or assurance as to the performance or the repayment of capital. Investments are not investments, deposits or other liabilities of Hastings, Westpac or other members of the Westpac Group. Infrastructure: Investment & Regulation Conference | 27