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AUTOMOTIVE




The NPD Group’s Aftermarket Consumer Outlook Study
A Look into 2012

                      Use the eye dropper to capture type set
What can the aftermarket expect from consumers in 2012? The NPD Group’s 2012               Among consumers planning on
                                                                                             buying a new or used car
                     Use the eye dropper to capture type set
Aftermarket Consumer Outlook Study provides a first glimpse into consumer
                       Use the eye dropper to capture type set                                   Will Purchase a More Fuel Efficient
attitudes and anticipates behaviorsFont for legend
                                      for aftermarket spending in the coming                         Vehicle in the Coming36%
                                                                                                                           Year
                                                                                                           26%
year. Here are a few highlights about what we expect to see in 2012 based on
                                    Font for legend                                                                                                    36%
                                     Font for legend
                                Font for chart values                                                                                                  36%
the study results.                                                                                       26%
                                                                                                         26%
                                Font for chart values
                                 Font for chart values
                                Font for x-axis of chart                                                    2010                                           2011
New Vehicle Purchase
New car purchase intentions Font for x-axis of chart year’s. Consumers remain
                                are similar to chart last
                                 Font for x-axis title
                                                                                                          2010                                          2011
                                    Font for of                                                           2010                                          2011
primarily focused on maintaining and repairing their existing vehicles. This trend
                             Font Fontpost-recession era, and it will continue
                                    Fontfor title
                                                                                                          Source: The NPD Group/
has benefited the aftermarket in for title —title
                                    the for subhead                                                    Consumer Outlook Survey 2012
to do so. Among those whoFontfor title — or used cars this year, 36 percent
                               will buy new subhead
                            Font for title —subhead
say they will be more fuel-efficient than their current vehicles. This is up 10       20% Planning to Spend More
percentage points versus last year, thanks to higher fuel prices.                     20%
                                                                                      20%
                                                                                             10%9%
Driving Patterns                                                                                  7%
                                                                                           10%9%     6%
Through July 2011, the Department of Transportation shows miles driven                     10%9%        4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
                                                                                                 7%
                                                                                                 7% 6%
declined 1.2 percent for the year. The two main factors influencing this trend,                     6% 4%
                                                                                                       4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
                                                                                                          3% 3% 3% 3% 3%



                                                                                            Gasoline
                                                                                      MotorOil Oil
                                                                                          Tires Tires
                                                                                                                     Repairs
                                                                                                                  Parts Parts
                                                                                                                                             Additives
                                                                                                                                           Wash/Wax
                                                                                                                                                                Accessories
                                                                                                                                                                 Antifreeze
                                                                                                                                                                    Wheels
                                                                                                                                                                                          Air Fresheners
high gasoline prices and high unemployment, likely will continue to suppress



                                                                                      MotorMotor
                                                                                       Gasoline
                                                                                             Oil
                                                                                           Tires
                                                                                                                 Repairs
                                                                                                                   Parts
                                                                                                                                        Additives
                                                                                                                                      Wash/Wax
                                                                                                                                                           Accessories
                                                                                                                                                            Antifreeze
                                                                                                                                                               Wheels
                                                                                                                                                                                    Air Fresheners
miles driven. In the Consumer Outlook Survey, 39 percent said they are driving
                                                                                      Gasoline



                                                                                                                Repairs


                                                                                                                                       Additives
                                                                                                                                      Wash/Wax
                                                                                                                                                          Accessories
                                                                                                                                                           Antifreeze
                                                                                                                                                              Wheels
                                                                                                                                                                                    Air Fresheners
less than they were a year ago. This is a significant increase from 2011, but it is
not yet back to 2008 levels. It is important to note that miles driven never fully
recovered from those 2008 declines.
                                                                                                          Source: The NPD Group/
                                                                                                       Consumer Outlook Survey 2012
Repair Spending Expectations
After deferring spending in 2008 and early 2009, consumers have spent heavily          I Purchase the the product that has
on repairing aging vehicles over the past two years. This year, the survey shows      the highest quality and lasts longest,
                                                                                           even if it costs a little more
a significant increase in the percentage who do not plan to spend on repairs in
the coming year (58 percent). While still below the 2008 level of 60 percent, this      40%
                                                                                                           31%
number raises the possibility that consumers may slip back into a deferral mindset.    40%
                                                                                       40%                                      23% 19%                              18%
                                                                                                         31%
                                                                                                                             23% 19%
DIFM Channel Shift                                                                                                                                                   18%

Consumers who anticipate making repairs in the coming year are likely to
                                                                                         Parts Parts

                                                                                                             Maintenance
                                                                                                                 Products
                                                                                                                                    Appearance
                                                                                                                                 and Accessories

                                                                                                                                                        Additives

                                                                                                                                                                         Gasoline




present a growth opportunity for independent repair shops and tire stores.
                                                                                                         Maintenance


                                                                                                                            and Accessories
                                                                                                            Products
                                                                                                                               Appearance


                                                                                                                                                   Additives

                                                                                                                                                                     Gasoline




These outlet types have seen increases in the percentage of consumers who
say they will rely on them for vehicle service, while car dealers have seen
percentages drop.                                                                                         Source: The NPD Group/
                                                                                                       Consumer Outlook Survey 2012




 npd.com
AUTOMOTIVE
                                                                                                                      OFFICE SUPPLIES




Oil Change Interval Continues to Lengthen                                               About The NPD Group, Inc.

Consumers are tracking their mileage or months between oil changes by window            The NPD Group is the leading provider of
stickers (57 percent), car service vehicle indicator lights (10 percent), or on their   reliable and comprehensive consumer
own (31 percent). Regardless of method, the average interval between oil                and retail information for a wide range
changes keeps increasing gradually. In the Consumer Outlook Survey, consumers           of industries. Today, more than 1,800
reported changing their oil on average every 4,058 miles or 5.1 months.                 manufacturers, retailers, and service

                                                                                        companies rely on NPD to help them
Spending Intentions for Key Categories
Consumers today are more certain about spending for 2012, whether                       drive critical business decisions at the

indicating they would spend more or less next year than they did this year.             global, national, and local market levels.

This decisiveness stems from greater awareness of spending more on needed               NPD helps our clients to identify new

parts, maintenance, and repair and greater determination to spend less on               business opportunities and guide product
discretionary items.                                                                    development, marketing, sales, merchan-

                                                                                        dising, and other functions. Information
Attribute Importance
                                                                                        is available for the following industry
Today’s consumer is looking for value in a difficult economy, but value is not
                                                                                        sectors: automotive, beauty, entertain-
being determined solely by low price. Quality was the only attribute measured in
                                                                                        ment, fashion, food, home and office,
the survey that saw an increase in importance. Forty-five percent of consumers
said a product “made with quality materials” was very important — a four                sports, technology, wireless,

percent increase since 2009. It is not surprising then that more consumers              toys, and video games. For more

indicated that in many key categories, they’d be willing to pay more for a              information, visit npd.com.
quality product that lasts longer.

Industry Expertise
The NPD Group is the premium provider of consumer and retail information
for the North American automotive aftermarket, petroleum marketing, and
convenience retailing industries. NPD expertise and data provide industry leaders
with essential market information to assist in making more effective business
decisions. NPD is uniquely qualified to help marketers apply information to
address key marketplace issues from multiple perspectives, based on more than
20 years of experience in these industries.

NPD’s diverse portfolio of services includes consumer panel tracking and
national and Store Level retail point-of-sale (POS) tracking. Specifically, NPD
information supports benchmarking, competitive analysis, assortment and
product planning, and identification of new channel opportunities.

Learn more.
For more information about The NPD Group’s products and services for the automotive
aftermarket industry, please contact your NPD account representative, call
Charles Camaroto at 866-444-1411, or email contactnpd@npd.com.

1011




 npd.com

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NPD - AAPEX 2012 Outlook Survey Highlights

  • 1. AUTOMOTIVE The NPD Group’s Aftermarket Consumer Outlook Study A Look into 2012 Use the eye dropper to capture type set What can the aftermarket expect from consumers in 2012? The NPD Group’s 2012 Among consumers planning on buying a new or used car Use the eye dropper to capture type set Aftermarket Consumer Outlook Study provides a first glimpse into consumer Use the eye dropper to capture type set Will Purchase a More Fuel Efficient attitudes and anticipates behaviorsFont for legend for aftermarket spending in the coming Vehicle in the Coming36% Year 26% year. Here are a few highlights about what we expect to see in 2012 based on Font for legend 36% Font for legend Font for chart values 36% the study results. 26% 26% Font for chart values Font for chart values Font for x-axis of chart 2010 2011 New Vehicle Purchase New car purchase intentions Font for x-axis of chart year’s. Consumers remain are similar to chart last Font for x-axis title 2010 2011 Font for of 2010 2011 primarily focused on maintaining and repairing their existing vehicles. This trend Font Fontpost-recession era, and it will continue Fontfor title Source: The NPD Group/ has benefited the aftermarket in for title —title the for subhead Consumer Outlook Survey 2012 to do so. Among those whoFontfor title — or used cars this year, 36 percent will buy new subhead Font for title —subhead say they will be more fuel-efficient than their current vehicles. This is up 10 20% Planning to Spend More percentage points versus last year, thanks to higher fuel prices. 20% 20% 10%9% Driving Patterns 7% 10%9% 6% Through July 2011, the Department of Transportation shows miles driven 10%9% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 7% 7% 6% declined 1.2 percent for the year. The two main factors influencing this trend, 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Gasoline MotorOil Oil Tires Tires Repairs Parts Parts Additives Wash/Wax Accessories Antifreeze Wheels Air Fresheners high gasoline prices and high unemployment, likely will continue to suppress MotorMotor Gasoline Oil Tires Repairs Parts Additives Wash/Wax Accessories Antifreeze Wheels Air Fresheners miles driven. In the Consumer Outlook Survey, 39 percent said they are driving Gasoline Repairs Additives Wash/Wax Accessories Antifreeze Wheels Air Fresheners less than they were a year ago. This is a significant increase from 2011, but it is not yet back to 2008 levels. It is important to note that miles driven never fully recovered from those 2008 declines. Source: The NPD Group/ Consumer Outlook Survey 2012 Repair Spending Expectations After deferring spending in 2008 and early 2009, consumers have spent heavily I Purchase the the product that has on repairing aging vehicles over the past two years. This year, the survey shows the highest quality and lasts longest, even if it costs a little more a significant increase in the percentage who do not plan to spend on repairs in the coming year (58 percent). While still below the 2008 level of 60 percent, this 40% 31% number raises the possibility that consumers may slip back into a deferral mindset. 40% 40% 23% 19% 18% 31% 23% 19% DIFM Channel Shift 18% Consumers who anticipate making repairs in the coming year are likely to Parts Parts Maintenance Products Appearance and Accessories Additives Gasoline present a growth opportunity for independent repair shops and tire stores. Maintenance and Accessories Products Appearance Additives Gasoline These outlet types have seen increases in the percentage of consumers who say they will rely on them for vehicle service, while car dealers have seen percentages drop. Source: The NPD Group/ Consumer Outlook Survey 2012 npd.com
  • 2. AUTOMOTIVE OFFICE SUPPLIES Oil Change Interval Continues to Lengthen About The NPD Group, Inc. Consumers are tracking their mileage or months between oil changes by window The NPD Group is the leading provider of stickers (57 percent), car service vehicle indicator lights (10 percent), or on their reliable and comprehensive consumer own (31 percent). Regardless of method, the average interval between oil and retail information for a wide range changes keeps increasing gradually. In the Consumer Outlook Survey, consumers of industries. Today, more than 1,800 reported changing their oil on average every 4,058 miles or 5.1 months. manufacturers, retailers, and service companies rely on NPD to help them Spending Intentions for Key Categories Consumers today are more certain about spending for 2012, whether drive critical business decisions at the indicating they would spend more or less next year than they did this year. global, national, and local market levels. This decisiveness stems from greater awareness of spending more on needed NPD helps our clients to identify new parts, maintenance, and repair and greater determination to spend less on business opportunities and guide product discretionary items. development, marketing, sales, merchan- dising, and other functions. Information Attribute Importance is available for the following industry Today’s consumer is looking for value in a difficult economy, but value is not sectors: automotive, beauty, entertain- being determined solely by low price. Quality was the only attribute measured in ment, fashion, food, home and office, the survey that saw an increase in importance. Forty-five percent of consumers said a product “made with quality materials” was very important — a four sports, technology, wireless, percent increase since 2009. It is not surprising then that more consumers toys, and video games. For more indicated that in many key categories, they’d be willing to pay more for a information, visit npd.com. quality product that lasts longer. Industry Expertise The NPD Group is the premium provider of consumer and retail information for the North American automotive aftermarket, petroleum marketing, and convenience retailing industries. NPD expertise and data provide industry leaders with essential market information to assist in making more effective business decisions. NPD is uniquely qualified to help marketers apply information to address key marketplace issues from multiple perspectives, based on more than 20 years of experience in these industries. NPD’s diverse portfolio of services includes consumer panel tracking and national and Store Level retail point-of-sale (POS) tracking. Specifically, NPD information supports benchmarking, competitive analysis, assortment and product planning, and identification of new channel opportunities. Learn more. For more information about The NPD Group’s products and services for the automotive aftermarket industry, please contact your NPD account representative, call Charles Camaroto at 866-444-1411, or email contactnpd@npd.com. 1011 npd.com