SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 39
State of the City: 2010 Challenges for the local economy 22.06.10
I agree with Dave... for the moment!
UK Government debt £1.4 trillion £bn Year
Popularity and sex! Population Manchester, Leeds, Bristol +3,600 253,800 2,600 +3,300 2007/08 source ONS
The Workforce 142,800 economically active people
Local economy About a fifth About a third 1,600 About a third About a tenth
Hospitality [hotels, restaurants, retail] 30,000
Tourism could prosper in 2010 £/Euro minus 27% 100,000 Foreign students
Retail Casualties
Retail sales - %age change on previous year
Average earnings – slowing down % change Year
Housing recovery – how long? Year – blue line Price at recession start = 100 Year – red line
VAT 20%from Jan 2011
Public Sector 41,000 25% cut over 4 years
Council finances £45m cut over 3 years  £8m   2011/12; savings gap £5m   2012/13; savings gap
Business & financial services 42,000
Creative Industries 15,000
Gaming is big business 4.7m copies £186m “Brighton has the potential to compete on a global scale with the world’s key gaming centres like Tokyo and Montreal” Editor. Develop Magazine $55bn by 2012
The next, next big thing?
E learning
Barrier to growth - dated office stock International House. Conway Street. Hove
Shelved, delayed or stalled ? Ice Arena. Black Rock  Inner Harbour. Marina Brighton Eye 360. West Pier Outer Harbour. Marina
Refurbishment New England House. New England St  Queensbury House. Queens Rd
American Express 335,000 sq feet / 31,000 sq metres
Land... they’re not making it any more Top 10 sites = 150 hectares Olympic site - 200 hectares
Earnings/worker [£/week : median] SE SE UK
Productivity/head £
Current unemployment B&H 3.9% UK 3.9% 6,800 27,910  SE 2.8% ES 3.4% WS 2.7% Source NOMIS: May 2010
To put that into perspective
More jobs needed 8,000 16,000
Good news....... private sector jobs 20,100 between 1998 and 2008 Source: Centre for Cities
Housing costs Q1. 2010 £182,700 in 2007 £168,000  £38,776 salary £53,400  in 2007 £42,000
Degree level Workforce Skills 21% UK 29% SE 31% 35% 34% 36% 28% 41%
Transport
and the Future . . . . .  The 4 elements of GDP Consumer spending Government Spending Investment Net exports
The End .......but I hope not literally!
Site complications
NVQ 2+ UK 64.5% SE 68% 75% 76% 73% 65% 73% 45%
Office space 468,000 m2 149 Preston Rd Anston House Telecom House Montefiore Hse 153 Preston Rd International Hse

More Related Content

What's hot

anthology_targets_updated_ Copy
anthology_targets_updated_ Copyanthology_targets_updated_ Copy
anthology_targets_updated_ Copy
Olivia Payne
 

What's hot (6)

anthology_targets_updated_ Copy
anthology_targets_updated_ Copyanthology_targets_updated_ Copy
anthology_targets_updated_ Copy
 
Open Data in Yorkshire and beyond, by Thomas Forth of ODILeeds at Wuthering B...
Open Data in Yorkshire and beyond, by Thomas Forth of ODILeeds at Wuthering B...Open Data in Yorkshire and beyond, by Thomas Forth of ODILeeds at Wuthering B...
Open Data in Yorkshire and beyond, by Thomas Forth of ODILeeds at Wuthering B...
 
Whole system electricity and the end-user
Whole system electricity and the end-userWhole system electricity and the end-user
Whole system electricity and the end-user
 
Deutsche EuroShop - Conference Call - FY 2009
Deutsche EuroShop - Conference Call - FY 2009Deutsche EuroShop - Conference Call - FY 2009
Deutsche EuroShop - Conference Call - FY 2009
 
Scottish Infrastructure Investment
Scottish Infrastructure InvestmentScottish Infrastructure Investment
Scottish Infrastructure Investment
 
Scaling solar at otovo
Scaling solar at otovoScaling solar at otovo
Scaling solar at otovo
 

Similar to Challenges For The Local Economy

Beyond_the_City_-_Britain's_economic_hotspots_original
Beyond_the_City_-_Britain's_economic_hotspots_originalBeyond_the_City_-_Britain's_economic_hotspots_original
Beyond_the_City_-_Britain's_economic_hotspots_original
Sean Liddell
 
Salary Survey 2012 Artis Hr Human Resources
Salary Survey 2012   Artis Hr   Human ResourcesSalary Survey 2012   Artis Hr   Human Resources
Salary Survey 2012 Artis Hr Human Resources
Huw Jenkins
 
L3 how do we manage tourism in the uk
L3 how do we manage tourism in the ukL3 how do we manage tourism in the uk
L3 how do we manage tourism in the uk
tudorgeog
 

Similar to Challenges For The Local Economy (20)

Derby City Council Employee Briefings 2011
Derby City Council Employee Briefings 2011Derby City Council Employee Briefings 2011
Derby City Council Employee Briefings 2011
 
City Limits: The Urbanisation Challenge
City Limits: The Urbanisation ChallengeCity Limits: The Urbanisation Challenge
City Limits: The Urbanisation Challenge
 
Derby City Embassy - MIPIM 2011
Derby City Embassy - MIPIM 2011Derby City Embassy - MIPIM 2011
Derby City Embassy - MIPIM 2011
 
Edinburgh Economic Forum, 17 June 2019
Edinburgh Economic Forum, 17 June 2019Edinburgh Economic Forum, 17 June 2019
Edinburgh Economic Forum, 17 June 2019
 
National income
National incomeNational income
National income
 
HCA Presentation to stakeholders - Ian Knight, Cranbrook, 19 Nov 2014
HCA Presentation to stakeholders - Ian Knight, Cranbrook, 19 Nov 2014HCA Presentation to stakeholders - Ian Knight, Cranbrook, 19 Nov 2014
HCA Presentation to stakeholders - Ian Knight, Cranbrook, 19 Nov 2014
 
Shout NFA Build To Save Report Launch 17 June 2015
Shout NFA Build To Save Report Launch 17 June 2015Shout NFA Build To Save Report Launch 17 June 2015
Shout NFA Build To Save Report Launch 17 June 2015
 
Construction Insights Update | NBS BIM for Manufacturers (April 2017)
Construction Insights Update | NBS BIM for Manufacturers (April 2017)Construction Insights Update | NBS BIM for Manufacturers (April 2017)
Construction Insights Update | NBS BIM for Manufacturers (April 2017)
 
Tom forth odi leeds open day october 2015
Tom forth   odi leeds open day october 2015Tom forth   odi leeds open day october 2015
Tom forth odi leeds open day october 2015
 
Beyond_the_City_-_Britain's_economic_hotspots_original
Beyond_the_City_-_Britain's_economic_hotspots_originalBeyond_the_City_-_Britain's_economic_hotspots_original
Beyond_the_City_-_Britain's_economic_hotspots_original
 
Place AGM 2014: Michael Dall
Place AGM 2014: Michael DallPlace AGM 2014: Michael Dall
Place AGM 2014: Michael Dall
 
State of the UK voluntary sector, early May 2017
State of the UK voluntary sector, early May 2017State of the UK voluntary sector, early May 2017
State of the UK voluntary sector, early May 2017
 
Southampton and the future development seminar
Southampton and the future development seminarSouthampton and the future development seminar
Southampton and the future development seminar
 
Lisa Durkin, Future of Town Centres
Lisa Durkin, Future of Town CentresLisa Durkin, Future of Town Centres
Lisa Durkin, Future of Town Centres
 
JLL London Office Market Seminar
JLL London Office Market SeminarJLL London Office Market Seminar
JLL London Office Market Seminar
 
Salary Survey 2012 Artis Hr Human Resources
Salary Survey 2012   Artis Hr   Human ResourcesSalary Survey 2012   Artis Hr   Human Resources
Salary Survey 2012 Artis Hr Human Resources
 
Salary Survey 2012 Artis Hr Human Resources
Salary Survey 2012   Artis Hr   Human ResourcesSalary Survey 2012   Artis Hr   Human Resources
Salary Survey 2012 Artis Hr Human Resources
 
L3 how do we manage tourism in the uk
L3 how do we manage tourism in the ukL3 how do we manage tourism in the uk
L3 how do we manage tourism in the uk
 
Invest in Greater Manchester
Invest in Greater Manchester Invest in Greater Manchester
Invest in Greater Manchester
 
Invest in Greater Manchester
Invest in Greater ManchesterInvest in Greater Manchester
Invest in Greater Manchester
 

Recently uploaded

Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in PakistanChallenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
vineshkumarsajnani12
 
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan CytotecJual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
ZurliaSoop
 
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
daisycvs
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
 
Organizational Transformation Lead with Culture
Organizational Transformation Lead with CultureOrganizational Transformation Lead with Culture
Organizational Transformation Lead with Culture
 
New 2024 Cannabis Edibles Investor Pitch Deck Template
New 2024 Cannabis Edibles Investor Pitch Deck TemplateNew 2024 Cannabis Edibles Investor Pitch Deck Template
New 2024 Cannabis Edibles Investor Pitch Deck Template
 
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentation
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration PresentationUneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentation
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentation
 
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
 
Pre Engineered Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
Pre Engineered  Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptxPre Engineered  Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
Pre Engineered Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
 
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
 
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAIGetting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
 
PHX May 2024 Corporate Presentation Final
PHX May 2024 Corporate Presentation FinalPHX May 2024 Corporate Presentation Final
PHX May 2024 Corporate Presentation Final
 
PARK STREET 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
PARK STREET 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book nowPARK STREET 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book now
PARK STREET 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
 
How to Get Started in Social Media for Art League City
How to Get Started in Social Media for Art League CityHow to Get Started in Social Media for Art League City
How to Get Started in Social Media for Art League City
 
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in PakistanChallenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
 
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptx
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptxQSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptx
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptx
 
WheelTug Short Pitch Deck 2024 | Byond Insights
WheelTug Short Pitch Deck 2024 | Byond InsightsWheelTug Short Pitch Deck 2024 | Byond Insights
WheelTug Short Pitch Deck 2024 | Byond Insights
 
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan CytotecJual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
 
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...
 
Kalyan Call Girl 98350*37198 Call Girls in Escort service book now
Kalyan Call Girl 98350*37198 Call Girls in Escort service book nowKalyan Call Girl 98350*37198 Call Girls in Escort service book now
Kalyan Call Girl 98350*37198 Call Girls in Escort service book now
 
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
 
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
 
Lucknow Housewife Escorts by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
Lucknow Housewife Escorts  by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165Lucknow Housewife Escorts  by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
Lucknow Housewife Escorts by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
 

Challenges For The Local Economy

Editor's Notes

  1. 2009 was a good year for foreign visitors. Anecdotal evidence suggests that June to August were particularly good.The pound has lost 20% of its value over the past 14 months which should make us an attractive proposition. Hotels, restaurants and retail should be able to capitalise on this and this might compensate to a certain extent for the loss of domestic customers for retailers.Language schools should also do well.
  2. There have already been some big casualties and we are unlikely to see any more big high street names go under in Brighton [to an extend this is because we have fewer high street names than other comparable towns]. Also, to an extent, those that survived picked up trade from those that died.
  3. ..... average earnings growth has been slowing for the last four years. Low interest rates [and consequently mortgage rates] have offset this to an extent but household indebtedness in the UK is now the highest in the world and we should prepare for a contraction in UK consumer spending as people try to pay down debt. This will impact on retail sales. The independent sector has actually performed very well throughout 2009 but it is vulnerable to declining consumption.
  4. About 41,000 people work in this sector and, although no one yet knows exactly how much public spending will be cut the Institute for Fiscal Studies has forecast that all departments will have to cut expenditure by 11% to address UK debt.If education and health are to be protected this might increase to 15%
  5. Government grant to B&H Council will be cut by £45m and, although savings have already been identified there is a further £13m to be identified over the next three years.
  6. About 42,000 people work in this sector.But it is not the high-flying city-dealer type of business. It is more likely to be a call centre. It is a bit of a mixed picture with Lloyds TSB announcing about 500 job losses [although the final figure may be less] but Domestic & General recruiting an additional 250.We should anticipate more job losses and take advantage of SEEDA/Job Centre Plus rapid reaction programme to help people seek alternative employment
  7. About 15,000 employees so quite small and they seem to have weathered the recession well. Some sectors e.g. E-learning have thrived as companies reduce their training budgets by cutting face-to-face training and replacing it with online learning which is cheaper. Largely due to the cycle of new hardware development (i.e the recession arrived in the middle of the four year cycle of new consoles development), the gaming industry has also held up well.