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The Supreme Court’s Decision on
the Affordable Care Act: What Next
     for Health Care Reform?
         Ann Marie Marciarille
                 UMKC
              July 2, 2012
         marciarille@gmail.com


                                     1
How Wrong Was I?
• Very wrong
• What’s good about that?
  – It depends on whether you embrace the the
    optimistic or pessimistic model of wrongness.
  – Does insight spring from error or is error the death of
    insight?
  – This decision given many of us a chance “to linger for
    a while inside the normally elusive and ephemeral
    experience of being wrong.”
     • K. Shulz, Being Wrong: Adventures on the Margin of Error

                                                                  2
Today’s Remarks
• My most interesting error: not anticipating
  limits on Medicaid expansion.
  – What does this mean for the ACA?
  – What does this mean for CA?


• What happens next?



                                                3
Flexing Medicaid Under the ACA
• What’s a Medicaid Opt-In?
• How is that different from Medicaid
  expansion?
• Will it feel any different to new Medicaid
  enrollees?
• Will it feel any different to the states trying to
  decide whether to accept the Medicaid Opt-
  In?

                                                       4
Time to Choose Your Flavor of
          Exchange




                                5
Another View of Exchange Choice




                                  6
Exchange Development




                       7
What Does It Mean to Leave
Medicaid’s Parameters to Each State?
• Medicaid is already left, to a considerable
  degree, to each state’s design.
  – core benefits
  – optional services
  – state determined eligibility standards




                                                8
What’s Next on ACA Implementation:
         State Exchanges
• Three flavors:
  – vanilla, chocolate, chocolate swirl
  – state, federal, or hybrid.




                                          9
Let a Thousand Flowers Bloom




                               10

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20120702 ann marie marciarille ac aat sct

  • 1. The Supreme Court’s Decision on the Affordable Care Act: What Next for Health Care Reform? Ann Marie Marciarille UMKC July 2, 2012 marciarille@gmail.com 1
  • 2. How Wrong Was I? • Very wrong • What’s good about that? – It depends on whether you embrace the the optimistic or pessimistic model of wrongness. – Does insight spring from error or is error the death of insight? – This decision given many of us a chance “to linger for a while inside the normally elusive and ephemeral experience of being wrong.” • K. Shulz, Being Wrong: Adventures on the Margin of Error 2
  • 3. Today’s Remarks • My most interesting error: not anticipating limits on Medicaid expansion. – What does this mean for the ACA? – What does this mean for CA? • What happens next? 3
  • 4. Flexing Medicaid Under the ACA • What’s a Medicaid Opt-In? • How is that different from Medicaid expansion? • Will it feel any different to new Medicaid enrollees? • Will it feel any different to the states trying to decide whether to accept the Medicaid Opt- In? 4
  • 5. Time to Choose Your Flavor of Exchange 5
  • 6. Another View of Exchange Choice 6
  • 8. What Does It Mean to Leave Medicaid’s Parameters to Each State? • Medicaid is already left, to a considerable degree, to each state’s design. – core benefits – optional services – state determined eligibility standards 8
  • 9. What’s Next on ACA Implementation: State Exchanges • Three flavors: – vanilla, chocolate, chocolate swirl – state, federal, or hybrid. 9
  • 10. Let a Thousand Flowers Bloom 10