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Mats Feskens
Ricardo Sieben
Lars van Beek
Bob van Hees
Annemarie van der Lugt
 Paper
 Innovator
 Innovation
2
Watts & Porter (1997)
 Why forecasting?
 Method: bibliometrics
4
• Technology lifecycle
• Innovation context reciptivity
• Product value chain and market prospects
5
6
7
8
 Counts do not distinguish quality
 Much technological development work is not
reflected in publications or patents
 Information should be combined with other
measures and expert opinion to develop a
balanced assesment
9
Developing the first practical fixed-wing aircraft.
Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers
https://www.patriotspoint.org/images/planes/wright_brothers_flyer.png
 Youtube movie:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5o-
fhBKf8Y
11
12Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers
• Printing shop
• Wright Cycle company
13Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers
• Gliders
• x/y-controls
• Kitty Hawk
14Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers
15
• Powered
• Propellers
• x/y-controls
Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers
16Source :http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c4/Wright_Brothers_Wind_Tunnel_Replica.jpg
17
Source :http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c4/Wright_Brothers_Wind_Tunnel_Replica.jpg
 Using knowledge to innovate
◦ Wing performance measurements
 Disruptive innovation
◦ Start of a new era in flight
18
 Perseverance in pursuing their dream
◦ Many trial and error attempts
19
 Thank you for the introduction.
 To recap:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Um63OQz3b
jo
21
 ‘Bitcoin: A peer-to-peer electronic cash
system’ -Satoshi Nakamoto (2008)
 Pro’s:
◦ Transactions are fast and there is only a minor fee.
◦ The bigger the network the better.
◦ Fixed total market cap (21 million).
 Cons:
◦ Often linked to illegal activities.
◦ High volatility of the price.
22
23
24
25
 24-2-2014: 2nd largest exchange shutdown after
a hack
 Loss of 744,000 BTC or ±$460,000,000
 July 2011: $8.75 million lost
 Company was known for being a mess:
◦ Bad management
◦ Inexperience
 21-3-2014: 200,000 BTC retrieved
 Positive:
◦ Will lead to further improvements/regulations.
26
27
 Coinbase: 26,000 merchants
 Bitpay: 20,000 merchants
A few big companies:
Online Offline
Wordpress Virgin Galactic
Overstock Tesla
Porn.com Menufy (400 restaurants)
Zynga
TigerDirect
28
 Speculation
 PayPal & eBay likely to accept Bitcoin.
 Venture capital is getting more involved.
 More publicity:
◦ Bitcoin ATMs
◦ More noteworthy Bitcoin conferences
(10 planned for 2014 compared to 5 in 2013)
29
 The cryptocurrency is a new way of thinking
 Has lead to other innovations
◦ Other cryptocurrencies / incremental innovation
◦ (2 way) Bitcoin ATMs
◦ More efficient & effective mining hardware
◦ Et cetera
30
Are there any questions?
31

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Presentatie 25 3 definitief