SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 7
Download to read offline
Joseph Pantginis, Ph.D., (646) 358-1907
                                                                                                                                                                                         jpantginis@roth.com
                                                                                                                                                                      Raluca Pancratov, Ph.D., (646) 358-1914
                                                                                                                                                                                        rpancratov@roth.com
                                                                                                                                                                 Sales (800) 933-6830, Trading (800) 933-6820




                                                                                                                                COMPANY NOTE | EQUITY RESEARCH | May 22, 2012


Healthcare: Biotechnology

Neptune Technologies & Bioressources                                                                                                                                  | NEPT - $2.91 - NASDAQ
| Buy
Company Update

Stock Data                                                                                                                          NEPT: Further Steps to Strengthen IP and
52-Week Low - High                                                            $2.02 - $4.66                                         Commercial Profile for NKO
Shares Out. (mil)                                                             49.69
Mkt. Cap.(mil)                                                                $144.6                                                Neptune filed for Reexamination of an Australian patent granted to its
3-Mo. Avg. Vol.                                                               108,092                                               competitor Aker. Neptune believes that the claims of Aker's patent are
12-Mo.Price Target                                                            $9.00                                                 obvious, given previous opinions of the U.S. and European Patent Offices,
Cash (mil)                                                                    $17.7                                                 and its activities do not infringe Aker's IP Separately, Neptune obtained the
                                                                                                                                                                                 .
Tot. Debt (mil)                                                               $0.0                                                  sustainability certification "Friend of the Sea" that can be extended to its krill
 EPS $                                                                                                                              oil distributors.

 Yr Feb                      —2011—                              —2012E—                                      —2013E—               Event
                                                                   Curr                                         Curr                Neptune requested re-examination of the AU2008231570 Australian patent
   1Q                         0.01A                               (0.03)A                                      (0.02)E              granted to competitor Aker Biomarine, as it believes the claims of this patent
   2Q                         0.01A                               (0.04)A                                      (0.02)E
                                                                                                                                    are obvious given prior publications and patents. According to Neptune, its
   3Q                         0.04A                               (0.01)A                                      (0.01)E
                                                                                                                                    activities do not infringe its competitor's patents, but the company believes that
   4Q                        (0.04)A                              (0.01)E                                       0.02E
  YEAR                        0.01A                               (0.09)E                                      (0.03)E
                                                                                                                                    Aker's claims are invalid, based on previously issued European and U.S. patent
   P/E                         NM                                   NM                                           NM                 office opinions. Separately, Neptune obtained a sustainability certification from
                                                                                                                                    the international organization "Friends of the Sea", which will enable the
 Revenue ($ millions)                                                                                                               company and the distributors of NKO to label products as "eco-friendly".
 Yr Feb                      —2011—                              —2012E—                                      —2013E—               Impact
                                                                   Curr                                         Curr
                                                                                                                                    We view as positive Neptune's proactive efforts to maintain its strong IP
   1Q                          4.2A                                4.3A                                         5.2E
                                                                                                                                    position in Australia. We also believe Neptune benefits from key patents
   2Q                          4.1A                                4.4A                                         5.3E
   3Q                          4.3A                                5.1A                                         6.6E
                                                                                                                                    issued in the U.S. covering krill-derived omega-3 phospholipids, active and
   4Q                          4.1A                                5.2E                                         9.5E                enforceable even while undergoing re-examination by the USPTO at Aker's
  YEAR                        16.7A                               18.9E                                        26.5E                request. With the sustainability certification and eco-friendly label, NKO may
                                                                                                                                    see an expansion of its commercial profile, in our belief. Neptune's efforts in
             NEPT One-Year Price and Volume History                                                                                 this direction are further underscored by an active marketing and branding
     1.2                                                                                                                5.50        strategy in North America with additions of key distributors and of a celebrity
     1.0                                                                                                                5.00
                                                                                                                        4.50
                                                                                                                                    spokesperson. The stock is poised for significant growth this year, in our
     0.8                                                                                                                4.00        view, with key top line results from two ongoing Phase II CaPre clinical
     0.6                                                                                                                3.50        studies conducted by Acasti in Canada. Data from an open label study in
     0.4                                                                                                                3.00
                                                                                                                        2.50        hypertriglyceridemia are anticipated mid-year, and data from a randomized,
     0.2                                                                                                                2.00        double blind Phase II study are expected by the end of 2012. These results, in
     0.0                                                                                                                1.50
                                                                                                                                    addition to clinical PK/PD data garnered to date by Acasti, will likely support
                             Aug-11

                                      Sep-11



                                                        Nov-11
                                                                 Dec-11




                                                                                                               May-12
           Jun-11




                                                                                   Feb-12
                                                                                            Mar-12
                                               Oct-11




                                                                          Jan-12




                                                                                                     Apr-12
                    Jul-11




 Vol (m)                                                                                                                Price       the commencement of a potential pivotal trial in the U.S. by the end of 2012.
                                                                                                                                    Action
                                                                                                                                    We reiterate our Buy rating and $9 target. Based on the revenue growth
                                                                                                                                    potential for the multiple krill oil initiatives, we believe Neptune warrants
                                                                                                                                    a higher valuation. We believe that the Neptune/Acasti story has been
                                                                                                                                    significantly de-risked based on the success of the overall omega-3 market,
                                                                                                                                    with both Lovaza and AMR101 as well as multiple published studies setting
                                                                                                                                    the stage for Neptune’s anticipated commercialization success.
                                                                                                                                    Intraday price: $2.97, 9:52am ET, 5/22/12

                                        Important Disclosures & Regulation AC Certification(s) are located on page 6 to 7 of this report.
                                               Roth Capital Partners, LLC | 888 San Clemente Drive | Newport Beach CA 92660 | 949 720 5700 | Member FINRA/SIPC
NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES                                                            Company Note - May 22, 2012




                    VALUATION
                   We reiterate our Buy rating and $9.00 price target. Our valuation of Neptune is based on a sum of the parts
                   analysis:
                   s Probability weighted clinical net present value (NPV) model of the pharmaceutical, CaPre, initial cardiovascular

                     opportunity with Neptune’s Acasti subsidiary.
                   s A discounted earnings valuation on Neptune’s core revenue and earnings on the sale of bulk krill oil (primarily

                     NKO currently).
                   Factors that could impede shares of Neptune from reaching our price target include negative data readouts
                   from ongoing clinical studies, any perceived delays in the CaPre regulatory path as well as Neptune's ability to
                   continue to fund its operations and monetize its expansion plans for NKO manufacturing.



                    RISKS
                   s   Capacity expansion. Neptune is currently at or near full capacity in the manufacturing of NKO. The company
                       is now in the expansion phase for its Sherbrooke Canada facility with the goal of taking the current capacity of
                       130,000 kg per year to >400,000 kg per year in 2014 and approximately doubled over the next year. In line with
                       this capacity expansion is the expectation for increased revenue growth. Any potential delays in the timelines
                       in building out the expansion could have a deleterious effect on the company’s business model.
                   s   Time behind the competition. The medical benefits of omega-3’s, specifically pharmaceutical grade
                       formulations (Lovaza, AMR101, CaPre) have been shown in multiple clinical trials. Drugs such as Lovaza
                       have laid important groundwork as the market prepares for additional and differentiated products. To this end,
                       AMR101 has the potential to significantly impact Lovaza’s market share, in our belief. Neptune/Acasti’s CaPre
                       is entering a large Phase II study in high triglyceride patients. Therefore the product is several years behind
                       AMR101 for potential commercialization.
                   s   Market perception and education for differentiated profile of krill oil (NKO/CaPre). While potential CaPre
                       pharmaceutical sales should be driven by physician prescribing habits for patients with high triglycerides, we
                       believe patients still need to be educated about the differentiation of krill oil compared to the multitude of
                       omega-3 products available both off the shelf and through Lovaza and potentially AMR101 prescriptions. While
                       we do not believe this is a large risk for the company, Neptune/Acasti will need to be cognizant of addressing
                       the market properly.
                   s   Financing and clinical trial risks. As with all drug development companies the need to continually fund drug
                       development exists. Should Neptune not be able to secure sufficient funding to grow its underlying business, it
                       could significantly impact the valuation of the shares. The company does have the potential to offset this risk by
                       having a revenue stream which is expected to grow from the sale of bulk krill oil to distributors and subsidiaries.
                       Additionally the pharmaceutical development pathway being pursued by Acasti and NeuroBioPharm are critical
                       to Neptune's success. Any failed or inconclusive clinical trials could significantly impact Neptune's shares.




                    COMPANY DESCRIPTION
                   Neptune Technologies & Bioressources Inc. researches, develops and commercializes proprietary bioactive
                   ingredients and products with the goal of superior added-value and clinically proven health benefits. The
                   Company extracts a range of bioactive ingredients such as novel proprietary omega-3 phospholipids from
                   abundant yet underexploited marine biomass including Krill, a cold deep water zooplankton. Neptune’s
                   first commercially available product is Neptune Krill Oil (NKO®), which represents marine based omega-3
                   phospholipids with potential in cardiovascular, cognitive and anti-inflammatory disorders. Neptune is pursuing
                   market opportunities in the nutraceutical market including dietary supplements and functional foods. The
                   Company is also pursuing opportunities in the pharmaceutical market through its pharmaceutical subsidiaries,
                   Acasti and NeuroBioPharm (including medical food, over-the-counter and prescription drug applications).




                                                                                                             Page 2 of 7
NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES   Company Note - May 22, 2012




                                               Page 3 of 7
NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES                                                                                                          Company Note - May 22, 2012




     (Cdn$ in millions except per share data) - February fiscal year
     Profit & Loss                                              2010A        2011A    2012E    2013E    2014E   2015E   2016E


     License and milestone                                             0.0     0.0      0.0      1.0      1.8     4.5     8.2
     Contract manufacturing                                            0.0     0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0     0.0     0.0
     Product and royalty                                           12.7       16.7     18.9     25.5     34.6    37.3    42.7
     Other revenues                                                    0.0     0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0     0.0     0.0
     Revenues                                                      12.7       16.7     18.9     26.5     36.4    41.8    50.9


     CoGS                                                          11.2       13.9      9.1     12.8     17.3    18.7    21.4
     Gross Profit                                                      1.5     2.8      9.8     13.8     19.1    23.2    29.6
     Gross margin                                                 12%         17%      52%      52%      52%     55%     58%


     G&A                                                               0.0     0.0     10.8     11.1     11.2    11.3    11.6
     R&D                                                               2.7     2.5      5.3      5.5      5.6     5.7     5.7
     Other op ex                                                       1.9     2.1     (0.0)     0.0      0.0     0.0     0.0


     EBIT                                                          (3.1)      (1.8)    (6.2)    (2.9)     2.3     6.2    12.3
     EBIT margin                                                       nm      nm       nm       nm       6%     15%     24%


     Depreciation                                                      0.0     0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0     0.0     0.0
     Amortisation Intangibles                                          0.0     0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0     0.0     0.0
     EBITDA                                                        (3.1)      (1.8)    (6.2)    (2.9)     2.3     6.2    12.3
     EBITDA margin                                                     nm      nm       nm       nm       6%     15%     24%


     Non operating expenses                                            0.0     0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0     0.0     0.0
     Net Interest Income/Other                                         2.3     2.8      2.4      2.0      0.4     0.6     1.1
     Interest expense                                                  0.7     0.4      0.4      0.4      0.2     0.2     0.2
     EBT                                                           (1.5)       0.5     (4.3)    (1.3)     2.5     6.5    13.2
     EBT margin                                                        nm      3%       nm       nm       7%     16%     26%


     Provision for taxes                                               0.0     0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0     0.0     0.7
     Net Income                                                    (1.5)       0.5     (4.3)    (1.3)     2.5     6.5    12.5
     Participation of preffered stock                              (0.0)      (0.0)     0.0      0.0      0.0     0.0     0.0


     Net Income to common                                          (1.5)       0.5     (4.3)    (1.3)     2.5     6.5    12.5
     net margin                                                        nm      3%       nm       nm       7%     16%     25%


     NoSH -basic                                                   37.9       40.5     49.6     50.0     50.5    55.0    55.5
     NoSH-diluted                                                  37.9       41.1     49.6     52.0     53.5    59.0    60.0
     EPS - basic                                                 (0.04)       0.01    (0.09)   (0.03)    0.05    0.12    0.23
     EPS - diluted                                               (0.04)       0.01    (0.09)   (0.02)    0.05    0.11    0.21
     Source: Company documents and ROTH Capital Partners estimates




                                                                                                                                Page 4 of 7
NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES                                                                                                                           Company Note - May 22, 2012


     Quarterly P&L                              May         Aug                   Nov                 Feb                May        Aug                 Nov                 Feb
     February fiscal year (Cdn$)             Q1'12A     Q2'12A       H1'12A    Q3'12A    9M'12A    Q4'12E    FY'12E    Q1'13E    Q2'13E    H1'13E    Q3'13E    9M'13E    Q4'13E   FY'13E
     License and milestone                     0.00       0.00         0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00        0.0     0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      1.00       1.0
     Contract manufacturing                     0.00       0.00        0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00       0.0      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.0
     Product and royalty                        4.28       4.35        8.64      5.12     13.76      5.16      18.9      5.20      5.25     10.45      6.55     17.00      8.54     25.5
     Other revenues                             0.00       0.00        0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00       0.0      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.0
     Revenues                                  4.28        4.35        8.64      5.12     13.76      5.16      18.9      5.20      5.25     10.45      6.55     17.00      9.54     26.5


     CoGS                                       2.06       2.13        4.19      2.39      6.58      2.52       9.1      2.55      2.56      5.11      3.20      8.31      4.46     12.8
     Gross Profit                              2.22        2.22        4.45      2.73      7.17      2.65       9.8      2.65      2.69      5.34      3.35      8.69      5.08     13.8
     Gross margin                              52%         51%         51%       53%       52%       51%       52%       51%       51%       51%       51%       51%       53%      52%


     G&A                                        2.46       2.75        5.21      2.88      8.09      2.69      10.8      2.70      2.75      5.45      2.77      8.22      2.89     11.1
     R&D                                        0.74       1.50        2.23      1.71      3.94      1.33       5.3      1.35      1.37      2.72      1.40      4.12      1.42      5.5
     Other op ex                               -0.01       0.00       -0.01      0.00      -0.01     0.00      (0.0)     0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.0


     EBITDA                                    (1.0)       (2.0)       (3.0)     (1.9)     (4.8)     (1.4)     (6.2)     (1.4)     (1.4)     (2.8)     (0.8)     (3.6)      0.8     (2.9)
     EBITDA margin                                                                                              nm                                                                   nm


     Non operating expenses                     0.00       0.00        0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00       0.0      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.0
     Net Interest Income/Other                  0.14       0.25        0.40      1.36      1.75      0.65       2.4      0.50      0.50      1.00      0.50      1.50      0.50      2.0
     Interest expense                           0.44       0.00        0.44      0.00      0.44      0.00       0.4      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.40      0.4
     EBT                                       (1.3)       (1.8)       (3.0)     (0.5)     (3.5)     (0.7)     (4.3)     (0.9)     (0.9)     (1.8)     (0.3)     (2.1)      0.9     (1.3)
     EBT margin                                                                                                 nm                                                                   nm


     Provision for taxes                        0.00       0.00        0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00       0.0      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.0
     Participation of preferred stock
     Net Income to common                      (1.3)       (1.8)       (3.0)     (0.5)     (3.5)     (0.7)     (4.3)     (0.9)     (0.9)     (1.8)     (0.3)     (2.1)      0.9     (1.3)
     net margin                                                                                                 nm                                                                   nm


     NoSH-basic                                 48.3       49.0       48.69     49.58     48.99     49.10    49.60       50.0      50.0     50.00     50.00     50.00     50.00   50.00
     NoSH-diluted                               48.3       49.0       48.69     49.58     48.99     50.00    49.60       50.0      50.0     50.00     50.00     50.00     52.00   52.00
     EPS - basic                              (0.03)     (0.04)      (0.06)    (0.01)     (0.07)   (0.01)    (0.09)    (0.02)    (0.02)    (0.04)    (0.01)     (0.04)     0.02   (0.03)
     EPS - diluted                            (0.03)     (0.04)      (0.06)    (0.01)     (0.07)   (0.01)    (0.09)    (0.02)    (0.02)    (0.04)    (0.01)     (0.04)     0.02   (0.02)
     Source: Company documents and ROTH Capital Partners estimates




                                                                                                                            Page 5 of 7
NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES                                                                     Company Note - May 22, 2012

                   Regulation Analyst Certification ("Reg AC"): The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this report certifies
                   the following under Reg AC: I hereby certify that all views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about
                   the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be,
                   directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

                    Disclosures:
                   ROTH makes a market in shares of Neptune Technologies & Bioressources and as such, buys and sells from customers on
                   a principal basis.
                   On September 28, 2010, ROTH changed its rating system in order to replace the Hold rating with Neutral.
                   On May 26, 2011, ROTH changed its rating system in order to incorporate coverage that is Under Review.




                   Each box on the Rating and Price Target History chart above represents a date on which an analyst made a change to a
                   rating or price target, except for the first box, which may only represent the first note written during the past three years.
                   Distribution Ratings/IB Services shows the number of companies in each rating category from which Roth or an affiliate
                   received compensation for investment banking services in the past 12 month.

                   Distribution of IB Services Firmwide
                                                                                               IB Serv./Past 12 Mos.
                                                                                                   as of 05/22/12
                   Rating                                         Count          Percent            Count         Percent
                   Buy [B]                                          185            70.34                59          31.89
                   Neutral [N]                                       61            23.19                 6           9.84
                   Sell [S]                                           1             0.38                 0              0
                   Under Review [UR]                                 16             6.08                 8          50.00

                   Our rating system attempts to incorporate industry, company and/or overall market risk and volatility. Consequently, at any
                   given point in time, our investment rating on a stock and its implied price movement may not correspond to the stated 12-
                   month price target.
                   Ratings System Definitions - ROTH employs a rating system based on the following:
                   Buy: A rating, which at the time it is instituted and or reiterated, that indicates an expectation of a total return of at least
                   10% over the next 12 months.
                   Neutral: A rating, which at the time it is instituted and or reiterated, that indicates an expectation of a total return between
                   negative 10% and 10% over the next 12 months.
                   Sell: A rating, which at the time it is instituted and or reiterated, that indicates an expectation that the price will depreciate by
                   more than 10% over the next 12 months.
                   Under Review [UR]: A rating, which at the time it is instituted and or reiterated, indicates the temporary removal of the prior
                   rating, price target and estimates for the security. Prior rating, price target and estimates should no longer be relied upon for
                   UR-rated securities.
                   Not Covered [NC]: ROTH does not publish research or have an opinion about this security.




                                                                                                                        Page 6 of 7
NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES                                                                    Company Note - May 22, 2012

                   ROTH Capital Partners, LLC expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking or other business
                   relationships with the covered companies mentioned in this report in the next three months. The material, information and facts
                   discussed in this report other than the information regarding ROTH Capital Partners, LLC and its affiliates, are from sources
                   believed to be reliable, but are in no way guaranteed to be complete or accurate. This report should not be used as a complete
                   analysis of the company, industry or security discussed in the report. Additional information is available upon request. This is
                   not, however, an offer or solicitation of the securities discussed. Any opinions or estimates in this report are subject to change
                   without notice. An investment in the stock may involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially
                   from the forward-looking statements. Additionally, an investment in the stock may involve a high degree of risk and may not
                   be suitable for all investors. No part of this report may be reproduced in any form without the express written permission of
                   ROTH. Copyright 2012. Member: FINRA/SIPC.




                                                                                                                      Page 7 of 7

More Related Content

What's hot (7)

Unmet Needs Ports
Unmet Needs PortsUnmet Needs Ports
Unmet Needs Ports
 
LEDs Basics: LED Fundamentals
LEDs Basics: LED FundamentalsLEDs Basics: LED Fundamentals
LEDs Basics: LED Fundamentals
 
Red Crescent Resources Limited
Red Crescent Resources LimitedRed Crescent Resources Limited
Red Crescent Resources Limited
 
Exile Resources
Exile ResourcesExile Resources
Exile Resources
 
Towards robust categorical colour perception
Towards robust categorical colour perceptionTowards robust categorical colour perception
Towards robust categorical colour perception
 
Cr2 presentation deutsche bank - 01-jun-11
Cr2 presentation   deutsche bank - 01-jun-11Cr2 presentation   deutsche bank - 01-jun-11
Cr2 presentation deutsche bank - 01-jun-11
 
X26 quick guide
X26 quick guideX26 quick guide
X26 quick guide
 

Viewers also liked (6)

Redactor publicitario, ¿Quien es y que hace?
Redactor publicitario, ¿Quien es y que hace?Redactor publicitario, ¿Quien es y que hace?
Redactor publicitario, ¿Quien es y que hace?
 
NEPT Roth Target Increase
NEPT Roth Target IncreaseNEPT Roth Target Increase
NEPT Roth Target Increase
 
NEPT Catalyst Research | June 18, 2012
NEPT Catalyst Research | June 18, 2012NEPT Catalyst Research | June 18, 2012
NEPT Catalyst Research | June 18, 2012
 
Whole text questions: WJEC Lit exam
Whole text questions: WJEC Lit examWhole text questions: WJEC Lit exam
Whole text questions: WJEC Lit exam
 
CAMP HYGIENE AND SANITATION-Maj Dr ID Khan
CAMP HYGIENE AND SANITATION-Maj Dr ID KhanCAMP HYGIENE AND SANITATION-Maj Dr ID Khan
CAMP HYGIENE AND SANITATION-Maj Dr ID Khan
 
ACCLIMATISATION, HA DISEASES, COLD INJURIES-Maj Dr ID Khan
ACCLIMATISATION, HA DISEASES, COLD INJURIES-Maj Dr ID KhanACCLIMATISATION, HA DISEASES, COLD INJURIES-Maj Dr ID Khan
ACCLIMATISATION, HA DISEASES, COLD INJURIES-Maj Dr ID Khan
 

Recently uploaded

abortion pills in Riyadh Saudi Arabia (+919707899604)cytotec pills in dammam
abortion pills in Riyadh Saudi Arabia (+919707899604)cytotec pills in dammamabortion pills in Riyadh Saudi Arabia (+919707899604)cytotec pills in dammam
abortion pills in Riyadh Saudi Arabia (+919707899604)cytotec pills in dammam
samsungultra782445
 
MASTERING FOREX: STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS.pdf
MASTERING FOREX: STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS.pdfMASTERING FOREX: STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS.pdf
MASTERING FOREX: STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS.pdf
Cocity Enterprises
 
Law of Demand.pptxnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
Law of Demand.pptxnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnLaw of Demand.pptxnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
Law of Demand.pptxnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
TintoTom3
 
FOREX FUNDAMENTALS: A BEGINNER'S GUIDE.pdf
FOREX FUNDAMENTALS: A BEGINNER'S GUIDE.pdfFOREX FUNDAMENTALS: A BEGINNER'S GUIDE.pdf
FOREX FUNDAMENTALS: A BEGINNER'S GUIDE.pdf
Cocity Enterprises
 
+971565801893>>SAFE ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI,RAK CITY,ABUDHA...
+971565801893>>SAFE ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI,RAK CITY,ABUDHA...+971565801893>>SAFE ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI,RAK CITY,ABUDHA...
+971565801893>>SAFE ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI,RAK CITY,ABUDHA...
Health
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...
Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes  ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes  ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...
Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...
 
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdfPension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
 
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...
 
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunities
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunitiesfalcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunities
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunities
 
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdf
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdfSeeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdf
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdf
 
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
 
Mahendragarh Escorts 🥰 8617370543 Call Girls Offer VIP Hot Girls
Mahendragarh Escorts 🥰 8617370543 Call Girls Offer VIP Hot GirlsMahendragarh Escorts 🥰 8617370543 Call Girls Offer VIP Hot Girls
Mahendragarh Escorts 🥰 8617370543 Call Girls Offer VIP Hot Girls
 
Responsible Finance Principles and Implication
Responsible Finance Principles and ImplicationResponsible Finance Principles and Implication
Responsible Finance Principles and Implication
 
Female Escorts Service in Hyderabad Starting with 5000/- for Savita Escorts S...
Female Escorts Service in Hyderabad Starting with 5000/- for Savita Escorts S...Female Escorts Service in Hyderabad Starting with 5000/- for Savita Escorts S...
Female Escorts Service in Hyderabad Starting with 5000/- for Savita Escorts S...
 
Stock Market Brief Deck (Under Pressure).pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck (Under Pressure).pdfStock Market Brief Deck (Under Pressure).pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck (Under Pressure).pdf
 
NO1 Verified Online Love Vashikaran Specialist Kala Jadu Expert Specialist In...
NO1 Verified Online Love Vashikaran Specialist Kala Jadu Expert Specialist In...NO1 Verified Online Love Vashikaran Specialist Kala Jadu Expert Specialist In...
NO1 Verified Online Love Vashikaran Specialist Kala Jadu Expert Specialist In...
 
abortion pills in Riyadh Saudi Arabia (+919707899604)cytotec pills in dammam
abortion pills in Riyadh Saudi Arabia (+919707899604)cytotec pills in dammamabortion pills in Riyadh Saudi Arabia (+919707899604)cytotec pills in dammam
abortion pills in Riyadh Saudi Arabia (+919707899604)cytotec pills in dammam
 
MASTERING FOREX: STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS.pdf
MASTERING FOREX: STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS.pdfMASTERING FOREX: STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS.pdf
MASTERING FOREX: STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS.pdf
 
Law of Demand.pptxnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
Law of Demand.pptxnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnLaw of Demand.pptxnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
Law of Demand.pptxnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
 
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech BelgiumWebinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
 
FOREX FUNDAMENTALS: A BEGINNER'S GUIDE.pdf
FOREX FUNDAMENTALS: A BEGINNER'S GUIDE.pdfFOREX FUNDAMENTALS: A BEGINNER'S GUIDE.pdf
FOREX FUNDAMENTALS: A BEGINNER'S GUIDE.pdf
 
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & RequirementsExplore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
 
uk-no 1 kala ilam expert specialist in uk and qatar kala ilam expert speciali...
uk-no 1 kala ilam expert specialist in uk and qatar kala ilam expert speciali...uk-no 1 kala ilam expert specialist in uk and qatar kala ilam expert speciali...
uk-no 1 kala ilam expert specialist in uk and qatar kala ilam expert speciali...
 
Dubai Call Girls Deira O525547819 Dubai Call Girls Bur Dubai Multiple
Dubai Call Girls Deira O525547819 Dubai Call Girls Bur Dubai MultipleDubai Call Girls Deira O525547819 Dubai Call Girls Bur Dubai Multiple
Dubai Call Girls Deira O525547819 Dubai Call Girls Bur Dubai Multiple
 
+971565801893>>SAFE ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI,RAK CITY,ABUDHA...
+971565801893>>SAFE ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI,RAK CITY,ABUDHA...+971565801893>>SAFE ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI,RAK CITY,ABUDHA...
+971565801893>>SAFE ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI,RAK CITY,ABUDHA...
 

NEPT Catalyst Research | June 18, 2012

  • 1. Joseph Pantginis, Ph.D., (646) 358-1907 jpantginis@roth.com Raluca Pancratov, Ph.D., (646) 358-1914 rpancratov@roth.com Sales (800) 933-6830, Trading (800) 933-6820 COMPANY NOTE | EQUITY RESEARCH | May 22, 2012 Healthcare: Biotechnology Neptune Technologies & Bioressources | NEPT - $2.91 - NASDAQ | Buy Company Update Stock Data NEPT: Further Steps to Strengthen IP and 52-Week Low - High $2.02 - $4.66 Commercial Profile for NKO Shares Out. (mil) 49.69 Mkt. Cap.(mil) $144.6 Neptune filed for Reexamination of an Australian patent granted to its 3-Mo. Avg. Vol. 108,092 competitor Aker. Neptune believes that the claims of Aker's patent are 12-Mo.Price Target $9.00 obvious, given previous opinions of the U.S. and European Patent Offices, Cash (mil) $17.7 and its activities do not infringe Aker's IP Separately, Neptune obtained the . Tot. Debt (mil) $0.0 sustainability certification "Friend of the Sea" that can be extended to its krill EPS $ oil distributors. Yr Feb —2011— —2012E— —2013E— Event Curr Curr Neptune requested re-examination of the AU2008231570 Australian patent 1Q 0.01A (0.03)A (0.02)E granted to competitor Aker Biomarine, as it believes the claims of this patent 2Q 0.01A (0.04)A (0.02)E are obvious given prior publications and patents. According to Neptune, its 3Q 0.04A (0.01)A (0.01)E activities do not infringe its competitor's patents, but the company believes that 4Q (0.04)A (0.01)E 0.02E YEAR 0.01A (0.09)E (0.03)E Aker's claims are invalid, based on previously issued European and U.S. patent P/E NM NM NM office opinions. Separately, Neptune obtained a sustainability certification from the international organization "Friends of the Sea", which will enable the Revenue ($ millions) company and the distributors of NKO to label products as "eco-friendly". Yr Feb —2011— —2012E— —2013E— Impact Curr Curr We view as positive Neptune's proactive efforts to maintain its strong IP 1Q 4.2A 4.3A 5.2E position in Australia. We also believe Neptune benefits from key patents 2Q 4.1A 4.4A 5.3E 3Q 4.3A 5.1A 6.6E issued in the U.S. covering krill-derived omega-3 phospholipids, active and 4Q 4.1A 5.2E 9.5E enforceable even while undergoing re-examination by the USPTO at Aker's YEAR 16.7A 18.9E 26.5E request. With the sustainability certification and eco-friendly label, NKO may see an expansion of its commercial profile, in our belief. Neptune's efforts in NEPT One-Year Price and Volume History this direction are further underscored by an active marketing and branding 1.2 5.50 strategy in North America with additions of key distributors and of a celebrity 1.0 5.00 4.50 spokesperson. The stock is poised for significant growth this year, in our 0.8 4.00 view, with key top line results from two ongoing Phase II CaPre clinical 0.6 3.50 studies conducted by Acasti in Canada. Data from an open label study in 0.4 3.00 2.50 hypertriglyceridemia are anticipated mid-year, and data from a randomized, 0.2 2.00 double blind Phase II study are expected by the end of 2012. These results, in 0.0 1.50 addition to clinical PK/PD data garnered to date by Acasti, will likely support Aug-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 May-12 Jun-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-11 Vol (m) Price the commencement of a potential pivotal trial in the U.S. by the end of 2012. Action We reiterate our Buy rating and $9 target. Based on the revenue growth potential for the multiple krill oil initiatives, we believe Neptune warrants a higher valuation. We believe that the Neptune/Acasti story has been significantly de-risked based on the success of the overall omega-3 market, with both Lovaza and AMR101 as well as multiple published studies setting the stage for Neptune’s anticipated commercialization success. Intraday price: $2.97, 9:52am ET, 5/22/12 Important Disclosures & Regulation AC Certification(s) are located on page 6 to 7 of this report. Roth Capital Partners, LLC | 888 San Clemente Drive | Newport Beach CA 92660 | 949 720 5700 | Member FINRA/SIPC
  • 2. NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES Company Note - May 22, 2012 VALUATION We reiterate our Buy rating and $9.00 price target. Our valuation of Neptune is based on a sum of the parts analysis: s Probability weighted clinical net present value (NPV) model of the pharmaceutical, CaPre, initial cardiovascular opportunity with Neptune’s Acasti subsidiary. s A discounted earnings valuation on Neptune’s core revenue and earnings on the sale of bulk krill oil (primarily NKO currently). Factors that could impede shares of Neptune from reaching our price target include negative data readouts from ongoing clinical studies, any perceived delays in the CaPre regulatory path as well as Neptune's ability to continue to fund its operations and monetize its expansion plans for NKO manufacturing. RISKS s Capacity expansion. Neptune is currently at or near full capacity in the manufacturing of NKO. The company is now in the expansion phase for its Sherbrooke Canada facility with the goal of taking the current capacity of 130,000 kg per year to >400,000 kg per year in 2014 and approximately doubled over the next year. In line with this capacity expansion is the expectation for increased revenue growth. Any potential delays in the timelines in building out the expansion could have a deleterious effect on the company’s business model. s Time behind the competition. The medical benefits of omega-3’s, specifically pharmaceutical grade formulations (Lovaza, AMR101, CaPre) have been shown in multiple clinical trials. Drugs such as Lovaza have laid important groundwork as the market prepares for additional and differentiated products. To this end, AMR101 has the potential to significantly impact Lovaza’s market share, in our belief. Neptune/Acasti’s CaPre is entering a large Phase II study in high triglyceride patients. Therefore the product is several years behind AMR101 for potential commercialization. s Market perception and education for differentiated profile of krill oil (NKO/CaPre). While potential CaPre pharmaceutical sales should be driven by physician prescribing habits for patients with high triglycerides, we believe patients still need to be educated about the differentiation of krill oil compared to the multitude of omega-3 products available both off the shelf and through Lovaza and potentially AMR101 prescriptions. While we do not believe this is a large risk for the company, Neptune/Acasti will need to be cognizant of addressing the market properly. s Financing and clinical trial risks. As with all drug development companies the need to continually fund drug development exists. Should Neptune not be able to secure sufficient funding to grow its underlying business, it could significantly impact the valuation of the shares. The company does have the potential to offset this risk by having a revenue stream which is expected to grow from the sale of bulk krill oil to distributors and subsidiaries. Additionally the pharmaceutical development pathway being pursued by Acasti and NeuroBioPharm are critical to Neptune's success. Any failed or inconclusive clinical trials could significantly impact Neptune's shares. COMPANY DESCRIPTION Neptune Technologies & Bioressources Inc. researches, develops and commercializes proprietary bioactive ingredients and products with the goal of superior added-value and clinically proven health benefits. The Company extracts a range of bioactive ingredients such as novel proprietary omega-3 phospholipids from abundant yet underexploited marine biomass including Krill, a cold deep water zooplankton. Neptune’s first commercially available product is Neptune Krill Oil (NKO®), which represents marine based omega-3 phospholipids with potential in cardiovascular, cognitive and anti-inflammatory disorders. Neptune is pursuing market opportunities in the nutraceutical market including dietary supplements and functional foods. The Company is also pursuing opportunities in the pharmaceutical market through its pharmaceutical subsidiaries, Acasti and NeuroBioPharm (including medical food, over-the-counter and prescription drug applications). Page 2 of 7
  • 3. NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES Company Note - May 22, 2012 Page 3 of 7
  • 4. NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES Company Note - May 22, 2012 (Cdn$ in millions except per share data) - February fiscal year Profit & Loss 2010A 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E License and milestone 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.8 4.5 8.2 Contract manufacturing 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Product and royalty 12.7 16.7 18.9 25.5 34.6 37.3 42.7 Other revenues 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Revenues 12.7 16.7 18.9 26.5 36.4 41.8 50.9 CoGS 11.2 13.9 9.1 12.8 17.3 18.7 21.4 Gross Profit 1.5 2.8 9.8 13.8 19.1 23.2 29.6 Gross margin 12% 17% 52% 52% 52% 55% 58% G&A 0.0 0.0 10.8 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.6 R&D 2.7 2.5 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.7 Other op ex 1.9 2.1 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 EBIT (3.1) (1.8) (6.2) (2.9) 2.3 6.2 12.3 EBIT margin nm nm nm nm 6% 15% 24% Depreciation 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Amortisation Intangibles 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 EBITDA (3.1) (1.8) (6.2) (2.9) 2.3 6.2 12.3 EBITDA margin nm nm nm nm 6% 15% 24% Non operating expenses 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net Interest Income/Other 2.3 2.8 2.4 2.0 0.4 0.6 1.1 Interest expense 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 EBT (1.5) 0.5 (4.3) (1.3) 2.5 6.5 13.2 EBT margin nm 3% nm nm 7% 16% 26% Provision for taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 Net Income (1.5) 0.5 (4.3) (1.3) 2.5 6.5 12.5 Participation of preffered stock (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net Income to common (1.5) 0.5 (4.3) (1.3) 2.5 6.5 12.5 net margin nm 3% nm nm 7% 16% 25% NoSH -basic 37.9 40.5 49.6 50.0 50.5 55.0 55.5 NoSH-diluted 37.9 41.1 49.6 52.0 53.5 59.0 60.0 EPS - basic (0.04) 0.01 (0.09) (0.03) 0.05 0.12 0.23 EPS - diluted (0.04) 0.01 (0.09) (0.02) 0.05 0.11 0.21 Source: Company documents and ROTH Capital Partners estimates Page 4 of 7
  • 5. NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES Company Note - May 22, 2012 Quarterly P&L May Aug Nov Feb May Aug Nov Feb February fiscal year (Cdn$) Q1'12A Q2'12A H1'12A Q3'12A 9M'12A Q4'12E FY'12E Q1'13E Q2'13E H1'13E Q3'13E 9M'13E Q4'13E FY'13E License and milestone 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.0 Contract manufacturing 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Product and royalty 4.28 4.35 8.64 5.12 13.76 5.16 18.9 5.20 5.25 10.45 6.55 17.00 8.54 25.5 Other revenues 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Revenues 4.28 4.35 8.64 5.12 13.76 5.16 18.9 5.20 5.25 10.45 6.55 17.00 9.54 26.5 CoGS 2.06 2.13 4.19 2.39 6.58 2.52 9.1 2.55 2.56 5.11 3.20 8.31 4.46 12.8 Gross Profit 2.22 2.22 4.45 2.73 7.17 2.65 9.8 2.65 2.69 5.34 3.35 8.69 5.08 13.8 Gross margin 52% 51% 51% 53% 52% 51% 52% 51% 51% 51% 51% 51% 53% 52% G&A 2.46 2.75 5.21 2.88 8.09 2.69 10.8 2.70 2.75 5.45 2.77 8.22 2.89 11.1 R&D 0.74 1.50 2.23 1.71 3.94 1.33 5.3 1.35 1.37 2.72 1.40 4.12 1.42 5.5 Other op ex -0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.00 (0.0) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 EBITDA (1.0) (2.0) (3.0) (1.9) (4.8) (1.4) (6.2) (1.4) (1.4) (2.8) (0.8) (3.6) 0.8 (2.9) EBITDA margin nm nm Non operating expenses 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Net Interest Income/Other 0.14 0.25 0.40 1.36 1.75 0.65 2.4 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.50 0.50 2.0 Interest expense 0.44 0.00 0.44 0.00 0.44 0.00 0.4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.4 EBT (1.3) (1.8) (3.0) (0.5) (3.5) (0.7) (4.3) (0.9) (0.9) (1.8) (0.3) (2.1) 0.9 (1.3) EBT margin nm nm Provision for taxes 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Participation of preferred stock Net Income to common (1.3) (1.8) (3.0) (0.5) (3.5) (0.7) (4.3) (0.9) (0.9) (1.8) (0.3) (2.1) 0.9 (1.3) net margin nm nm NoSH-basic 48.3 49.0 48.69 49.58 48.99 49.10 49.60 50.0 50.0 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 NoSH-diluted 48.3 49.0 48.69 49.58 48.99 50.00 49.60 50.0 50.0 50.00 50.00 50.00 52.00 52.00 EPS - basic (0.03) (0.04) (0.06) (0.01) (0.07) (0.01) (0.09) (0.02) (0.02) (0.04) (0.01) (0.04) 0.02 (0.03) EPS - diluted (0.03) (0.04) (0.06) (0.01) (0.07) (0.01) (0.09) (0.02) (0.02) (0.04) (0.01) (0.04) 0.02 (0.02) Source: Company documents and ROTH Capital Partners estimates Page 5 of 7
  • 6. NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES Company Note - May 22, 2012 Regulation Analyst Certification ("Reg AC"): The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this report certifies the following under Reg AC: I hereby certify that all views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Disclosures: ROTH makes a market in shares of Neptune Technologies & Bioressources and as such, buys and sells from customers on a principal basis. On September 28, 2010, ROTH changed its rating system in order to replace the Hold rating with Neutral. On May 26, 2011, ROTH changed its rating system in order to incorporate coverage that is Under Review. Each box on the Rating and Price Target History chart above represents a date on which an analyst made a change to a rating or price target, except for the first box, which may only represent the first note written during the past three years. Distribution Ratings/IB Services shows the number of companies in each rating category from which Roth or an affiliate received compensation for investment banking services in the past 12 month. Distribution of IB Services Firmwide IB Serv./Past 12 Mos. as of 05/22/12 Rating Count Percent Count Percent Buy [B] 185 70.34 59 31.89 Neutral [N] 61 23.19 6 9.84 Sell [S] 1 0.38 0 0 Under Review [UR] 16 6.08 8 50.00 Our rating system attempts to incorporate industry, company and/or overall market risk and volatility. Consequently, at any given point in time, our investment rating on a stock and its implied price movement may not correspond to the stated 12- month price target. Ratings System Definitions - ROTH employs a rating system based on the following: Buy: A rating, which at the time it is instituted and or reiterated, that indicates an expectation of a total return of at least 10% over the next 12 months. Neutral: A rating, which at the time it is instituted and or reiterated, that indicates an expectation of a total return between negative 10% and 10% over the next 12 months. Sell: A rating, which at the time it is instituted and or reiterated, that indicates an expectation that the price will depreciate by more than 10% over the next 12 months. Under Review [UR]: A rating, which at the time it is instituted and or reiterated, indicates the temporary removal of the prior rating, price target and estimates for the security. Prior rating, price target and estimates should no longer be relied upon for UR-rated securities. Not Covered [NC]: ROTH does not publish research or have an opinion about this security. Page 6 of 7
  • 7. NEPTUNE TECHNOLOGIES & BIORESSOURCES Company Note - May 22, 2012 ROTH Capital Partners, LLC expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking or other business relationships with the covered companies mentioned in this report in the next three months. The material, information and facts discussed in this report other than the information regarding ROTH Capital Partners, LLC and its affiliates, are from sources believed to be reliable, but are in no way guaranteed to be complete or accurate. This report should not be used as a complete analysis of the company, industry or security discussed in the report. Additional information is available upon request. This is not, however, an offer or solicitation of the securities discussed. Any opinions or estimates in this report are subject to change without notice. An investment in the stock may involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. Additionally, an investment in the stock may involve a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. No part of this report may be reproduced in any form without the express written permission of ROTH. Copyright 2012. Member: FINRA/SIPC. Page 7 of 7