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modeFinance rating: the right tool to 
comprehend the financial strengths of 
      New Europe companies. 




               For more information visit: 
               www.modefinance.com or send an 
               e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
Today…


                                         Lehman Brothers crack
                                         Alitalia
                                         Parmalat
                                         Cirio
                                         …



                             BUT…
Tue Sep 9, 2008 2:42pm EDT   S&P said it cannot rule out cutting Lehman's ratings 
                             by more than one notch. A two‐notch downgrade 
   NEW YORK (Reuters)        would cut Lehman's current quot;Aquot; rating, the sixth‐
                             highest investment grade, to the quot;triple‐Bquot; range.
                              For more information visit: 
                              www.modefinance.com or send an 
                              e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com        Trieste, 26/09/2008
… so we need…


New,  clear  and  transparent methods  to  evaluate  the 
financial risk of companies.

New methods for RATING assessment with new visions:

1.Clear source of information;
2.Direct  and  strong  relation  between  financial  figures 
and final rating;
3.Completeness and comparability of data;
4.Innovative methodologies .

                        For more information visit: 
                        www.modefinance.com or send an 
                        e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
Our solution: MORE
             Multi Objective Rating Evaluation

Our  innovation:  observe,  study  and  evaluate  a 
company as an engineering system, without “a priori”
assumptions.

This innovation permits a transparent evaluation of the 
financial and economical quality of every companies in 
Europe.

MORE: Multi Objective Rating Evaluation, based on the 
more  recent  technologies  in  engineering  design 
(Decision Theories, Fuzzy Logic, Game Theories).
                        For more information visit: 
                        www.modefinance.com or send an 
                        e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
The MORE result

MORE Rating Class   Rating Macro class        Assessment
                                              The company's capacity to meet its financial commitments is extremely 
AAA                                           strong. The company shows an excellent economic and financial flow 
                                              and fund equilibrium.
                                              The company has very strong creditworthiness. It also has a good
AA                                            capital structure and economic and financial equilibrium. Difference 
                                              from 'AAA' is slight.

                    Investment Grade          The company has a high solvency, The company is however more 
A                                             susceptible to the adverse effects of changes in circumstances and 
                                              economic conditions than companies in higher rated categories.

                                              Capital structure and economic equilibrium are considered adequate. 
BBB                                           The company's capacity to meet its financial commitments could be 
                                              affected by serious unfavourable events.

                                              A company rated 'BB' is more vulnerable than companies rated 'BBB'. 
BB                                            The company faces major ongoing uncertainties or exposure to adverse 
                                              business, financial, or economic conditions.

                                              The company presents vulnerable financial signals. Adverse business, 
                    Non ‐ Investment 
B                                             financial or economic conditions will be likely to impair the company's 
                    Grade                     capacity to meet its financial commitments.

                                              A company rated 'CCC' has a dangerous disequilibrium in its capital 
                                              structure and financial fundamentals. Adverse market events or 
CCC                                           inadequate management are highly likely to affect the company's 
                                              solvency.
                                              The company shows signals of high vulnerability. In the event of
CC                                            adverse market and economic conditions, the company's strong 
                                              disequilibrium could increase.

C                   Distressed                The company shows considerable danger signs. The company's capacity 
                                              to meet its financial commitments is very low.
                                              The company no longer has the capacity to meet its financial 
D                                             commitments.


                                   For more information visit: 
                                   www.modefinance.com or send an 
                                   e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com                                           Trieste, 26/09/2008
modeFinance & Bureau Van Dijk

Rating  for  more  than  11  millions  of  companies  in  41  European 
countries: from Portugal to Ukraine.
                                                                                                           # 
                                 ID                     #                        ID                                  # ratings 
                                                                  # ratings                Country     companies 
                               Countr    Country    companies                  Country                               assigned
                                                                  assigned                             evaluated
                                  y                 evaluated

                                                                               ……        ……            ……           ……
                               1        AUSTRIA
                                                    165.311      475.589 

                                                                               ……        ……            ……           ……
                               2        BELARUS
                                                    5.091        10.875 
                                                                                         RUSSIAN 
                               3        BELGIUM                                33        FEDERATION    814.840      2.876.654 
                                                    359.827      2.589.439 
                                        BOSNIA 
                                        AND                                    34        SERBIA
                                                                                                       21.498       231.488 
                               4        HERZEGOVI   7.085        35.536 
                                        NA
                                                                               35        SLOVAKIA
                                                                                                       10.460       33.734 
                               5        BULGARIA
                                                    200.519      965.670 
                                                                               36        SLOVENIA
                                                                                                       32.638       68.678 
                               6        CROATIA
                                                    21.146       164.268 
                                                                               37        SPAIN
                                                                                                       971.489      4.793.305 
                               7        CYPRUS
                                                    387          1.338 

                                        CZECH                                  38        SWEDEN
                                                                                                       262.847      2.062.756 
                               8        REPUBLIC    93.869       301.349 

                               9        DENMARK
                                                                               39        SWITZERLAND
                                                                                                       33.912       155.843 
                                                    175.064      716.376 

                               10       ESTONIA                                40        UKRAINE
                                                                                                       309.125      1.831.926 
                                                    70.630       339.593 

                                                                                         UNITED 
                               11       FINLAND
                                                    82.589       538.909 
                                                                               41        KINGDOM       2.354.818    10.845.504 
                           For more information visit: 
                           www.modefinance.com or send an 
                           e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com                                        Trieste, 26/09/2008
modeFinance Credit Report

For every European company we produce 
a  credit  report  to  evaluate  the  financial 
risk: rating and probability of default.




                               For more information visit: 
                               www.modefinance.com or send an 
                               e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
modeFinance advantages


Thanks  to  its  innovative  model,  modeFinance  evaluates  every 
company  in  Europe:  MORE  methodology  doesn’t  need  the 
knowledge  of  bankrupted  companies  for  the  rating  and  the 
probability of default attribution.
The modeFinance rating is particularly useful for all the countries 
where financial information are missing (East Europe).




                           For more information visit: 
                           www.modefinance.com or send an 
                           e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
Euroregione


In order to explain how rating could be useful for 
public  and  private  institutions  we  present  a 
study that compares three regions:
•Slovenia
•Croatia
•Triveneto
We  segregate  the  companies  also  according  to 
their turnover.

                    For more information visit: 
                    www.modefinance.com or send an 
                    e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
The companies according to turnovers




                  For more information visit: 
                  www.modefinance.com or send an 
                  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
The Distribution of the companies’ ratings




                     For more information visit: 
                     www.modefinance.com or send an 
                     e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
Why the differences in rating?




         For more information visit: 
         www.modefinance.com or send an 
         e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com   Trieste, 26/09/2008
modeFinance Exclusivity

                        The others...                       …but we provide more!


                     Lack of knowledge                         Clear source of 
 Objectivity             of the used                         information: only 
                        information                           AMADEUS data

                                                             Direct and strong 
                          No clear 
                                                             relation between 
Transparency         explanation of the 
                                                              financial figures 
                     rating assessment
                                                              and final rating


                     Rated only “big”                           11 million of 
Completeness
                       companies                                 companies

                          For more information visit: 
                          www.modefinance.com or send an 
                          e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com              Trieste, 26/09/2008
modeFinance


                    • Professor at Mechanical Engineering, University of Trieste, Italy
                    • Professor at Mechanical Engineering, University of Trieste, Italy
                   • PhD in Numerical Methods.
                   • PhD in Numerical Methods.
Valentino Pediroda • modeFinance co‐founder
                   • modeFinance co‐founder
                   Tel: +39 334 6717480
                   Tel: +39 334 6717480
                   email: valentino.pediroda@modefinance.com
                   email: valentino.pediroda@modefinance.com


                    • Advisor for Italian rating agencies
                    • Advisor for Italian rating agencies
                    • PhD in Corporate Finance
                    • PhD in Corporate Finance
Mattia Ciprian      • modeFinance co‐founder
                    • modeFinance co‐founder
                    Tel: +39 340 2948054
                    Tel: +39 340 2948054
                    email: mattia.ciprian@modefinance.com
                    email: mattia.ciprian@modefinance.com

                    •MBA in Corporate Finance
                    •MBA in Corporate Finance
                    • modeFinance Financial Analyst
                    • modeFinance Financial Analyst
Pinar Dilek
                    email: pinar.dilek@modefinance.com
                    email: pinar.dilek@modefinance.com


                                    For more information visit: 
                                    www.modefinance.com or send an 
                                    e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com             Trieste, 26/09/2008
Where we are

          Trieste, Italy: AREA Science and Technology Park
                                          • The leading Science and Technology Park in Italy
                                          • Established in 1978
                                          • Key point: only companies with high innovative 
                                            technologies.




modeFinance Headquarter
building R3, 2nd floor c/o Innovation 
Factory
 AREA Science Park, Padriciano 99 
34012 Trieste 
ITALY 
Phone1: +39 334 6717480
Phone2: +39 340 2948054
Fax: +39 040 3755176
e‐mail: info@modefinance.com
Web: www.modefinance.com
                                          For more information visit: 
                                          www.modefinance.com or send an 
                                          e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com         Trieste, 26/09/2008

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modeFinance (Innovation Factory, AREA Science Park)

  • 1. modeFinance rating: the right tool to  comprehend the financial strengths of  New Europe companies.  For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 2. Today… Lehman Brothers crack Alitalia Parmalat Cirio … BUT… Tue Sep 9, 2008 2:42pm EDT S&P said it cannot rule out cutting Lehman's ratings  by more than one notch. A two‐notch downgrade  NEW YORK (Reuters) would cut Lehman's current quot;Aquot; rating, the sixth‐ highest investment grade, to the quot;triple‐Bquot; range. For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 3. … so we need… New,  clear  and  transparent methods  to  evaluate  the  financial risk of companies. New methods for RATING assessment with new visions: 1.Clear source of information; 2.Direct  and  strong  relation  between  financial  figures  and final rating; 3.Completeness and comparability of data; 4.Innovative methodologies . For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 4. Our solution: MORE Multi Objective Rating Evaluation Our  innovation:  observe,  study  and  evaluate  a  company as an engineering system, without “a priori” assumptions. This innovation permits a transparent evaluation of the  financial and economical quality of every companies in  Europe. MORE: Multi Objective Rating Evaluation, based on the  more  recent  technologies  in  engineering  design  (Decision Theories, Fuzzy Logic, Game Theories). For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 5. The MORE result MORE Rating Class Rating Macro class Assessment The company's capacity to meet its financial commitments is extremely  AAA strong. The company shows an excellent economic and financial flow  and fund equilibrium. The company has very strong creditworthiness. It also has a good AA capital structure and economic and financial equilibrium. Difference  from 'AAA' is slight. Investment Grade The company has a high solvency, The company is however more  A susceptible to the adverse effects of changes in circumstances and  economic conditions than companies in higher rated categories. Capital structure and economic equilibrium are considered adequate.  BBB The company's capacity to meet its financial commitments could be  affected by serious unfavourable events. A company rated 'BB' is more vulnerable than companies rated 'BBB'.  BB The company faces major ongoing uncertainties or exposure to adverse  business, financial, or economic conditions. The company presents vulnerable financial signals. Adverse business,  Non ‐ Investment  B financial or economic conditions will be likely to impair the company's  Grade capacity to meet its financial commitments. A company rated 'CCC' has a dangerous disequilibrium in its capital  structure and financial fundamentals. Adverse market events or  CCC inadequate management are highly likely to affect the company's  solvency. The company shows signals of high vulnerability. In the event of CC adverse market and economic conditions, the company's strong  disequilibrium could increase. C Distressed The company shows considerable danger signs. The company's capacity  to meet its financial commitments is very low. The company no longer has the capacity to meet its financial  D commitments. For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 6. modeFinance & Bureau Van Dijk Rating  for  more  than  11  millions  of  companies  in  41  European  countries: from Portugal to Ukraine. #  ID #  ID # ratings  # ratings  Country companies  Countr Country companies  Country assigned assigned evaluated y evaluated …… …… …… …… 1 AUSTRIA 165.311  475.589  …… …… …… …… 2 BELARUS 5.091  10.875  RUSSIAN  3 BELGIUM 33 FEDERATION 814.840  2.876.654  359.827  2.589.439  BOSNIA  AND  34 SERBIA 21.498  231.488  4 HERZEGOVI 7.085  35.536  NA 35 SLOVAKIA 10.460  33.734  5 BULGARIA 200.519  965.670  36 SLOVENIA 32.638  68.678  6 CROATIA 21.146  164.268  37 SPAIN 971.489  4.793.305  7 CYPRUS 387  1.338  CZECH  38 SWEDEN 262.847  2.062.756  8 REPUBLIC 93.869  301.349  9 DENMARK 39 SWITZERLAND 33.912  155.843  175.064  716.376  10 ESTONIA 40 UKRAINE 309.125  1.831.926  70.630  339.593  UNITED  11 FINLAND 82.589  538.909  41 KINGDOM 2.354.818  10.845.504  For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 7. modeFinance Credit Report For every European company we produce  a  credit  report  to  evaluate  the  financial  risk: rating and probability of default. For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 8. modeFinance advantages Thanks  to  its  innovative  model,  modeFinance  evaluates  every  company  in  Europe:  MORE  methodology  doesn’t  need  the  knowledge  of  bankrupted  companies  for  the  rating  and  the  probability of default attribution. The modeFinance rating is particularly useful for all the countries  where financial information are missing (East Europe). For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 9. Euroregione In order to explain how rating could be useful for  public  and  private  institutions  we  present  a  study that compares three regions: •Slovenia •Croatia •Triveneto We  segregate  the  companies  also  according  to  their turnover. For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 10. The companies according to turnovers For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 11. The Distribution of the companies’ ratings For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 12. Why the differences in rating? For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 13. modeFinance Exclusivity The others... …but we provide more! Lack of knowledge  Clear source of  Objectivity of the used  information: only  information AMADEUS data Direct and strong  No clear  relation between  Transparency explanation of the  financial figures  rating assessment and final rating Rated only “big” 11 million of  Completeness companies companies For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 14. modeFinance • Professor at Mechanical Engineering, University of Trieste, Italy • Professor at Mechanical Engineering, University of Trieste, Italy • PhD in Numerical Methods. • PhD in Numerical Methods. Valentino Pediroda • modeFinance co‐founder • modeFinance co‐founder Tel: +39 334 6717480 Tel: +39 334 6717480 email: valentino.pediroda@modefinance.com email: valentino.pediroda@modefinance.com • Advisor for Italian rating agencies • Advisor for Italian rating agencies • PhD in Corporate Finance • PhD in Corporate Finance Mattia Ciprian • modeFinance co‐founder • modeFinance co‐founder Tel: +39 340 2948054 Tel: +39 340 2948054 email: mattia.ciprian@modefinance.com email: mattia.ciprian@modefinance.com •MBA in Corporate Finance •MBA in Corporate Finance • modeFinance Financial Analyst • modeFinance Financial Analyst Pinar Dilek email: pinar.dilek@modefinance.com email: pinar.dilek@modefinance.com For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008
  • 15. Where we are Trieste, Italy: AREA Science and Technology Park • The leading Science and Technology Park in Italy • Established in 1978 • Key point: only companies with high innovative  technologies. modeFinance Headquarter building R3, 2nd floor c/o Innovation  Factory AREA Science Park, Padriciano 99  34012 Trieste  ITALY  Phone1: +39 334 6717480 Phone2: +39 340 2948054 Fax: +39 040 3755176 e‐mail: info@modefinance.com Web: www.modefinance.com For more information visit:  www.modefinance.com or send an  e‐mail to: info@modefinance.com Trieste, 26/09/2008