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Global Mobile Broadband Market
2013-2018: Driving Super-fast
Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era
www.visiongain.com
Contents
1.1 Growing Popularity of Mobile Broadband
1.2 Mobile Broadband is Entering into Rapid Growth Stage
1.3 Business Case for Mobile Broadband Points to Positive NPV
1.4 Benefits to Enterprise and Mass Market Customers with Increasing Mobile Broadband Penetration
1.5 Emerging Markets Set to Benefit from Mobile Broadband
1.6 Aim of the Report
1.7 Market Definition
1.8 Report Structure
1.9 Report Scope
1.10 Target Audience
1.11 Methodology
2.1 What is Mobile Broadband?
2.2 History and Development of Mobile Broadband
2.3 Why is Mobile Broadband Appealing?
2.4 Increasing Growth of Global Mobile Broadband Market
2.4.1 Technologies Accounting for Growth in Developed and Emerging Markets
2.5 3G Mobile Broadband Lifecycle Stage
2.5.1 Narrowband Dialup
2.5.2 Narrowband ISDN
2.5.3 Broadband DSL
2.5.4 Broadband Cable
2.5.5 Broadband Wireless
2.5.6 Broadband Satellite
2.6 Business Case for Mobile Broadband
2.7 Growth Drivers for Mobile Broadband
2.7.1 Mobility: A Key Growth Driver
2.7.2 Increasing Smartphone Penetration
2.7.3 Growing Data Usage
2.7.4 The Increasing Importance of Social Media
2.7.5 Flat Rate Pricing Driving Mobile Broadband
2.8 Mobile Broadband in the Future
2. Introduction to Mobile Broadband
1. Executive Summary
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Contents
2.8.1 Replacing Lost Revenue in Voice and Messaging
2.8.2 Effects of an Expanding Applications Ecosystem
2.8.3 Interplay between Mobile Broadband and On-the-go Business Culture
2.9 Importance of Mobile Broadband
2.10 Mobile Broadband Moving Towards LTE Technology
2.11 Mobile Broadband Overview
3.1 Overview
3.2 Global Mobile Broadband Connections
3.2.1 OECD vs Rest of the World in Mobile Broadband Connections
3.2.2 Global LTE Subscriptions
3.2.3 Mobile Broadband Subscriptions in OECD Countries
3.3 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
3.3.1 Global Mobile Broadband Revenue 2013-2018
4.1 Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecasts 2013-2018
4.1.1 Regional Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018
4.1.2 Regional Mobile Broadband Subscriptions Forecast 2013-2018
4.2 The North American Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
4.2.1 North American Mobile Broadband Revenue: What Will be the Impact of Early Saturation?
4.2.2 North American Mobile Broadband Subscriptions
4.3 The Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
4.3.1 Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Revenue: Steady Growth from the World’s Largest User Base
4.3.2 Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Subscriptions
4.4 The European Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
4.4.1 European Mobile Broadband Revenue: Will High Competition Translate to Diminishing Returns?
4.4.2 European Mobile Broadband Subscriptions: Growth from Eastern Europe
4.5 The Latin American Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
4.5.1 Latin American Mobile Broadband Revenue: Will Latin America’s Growth be in Keeping with Other
Developing Markets?
4. Regional and National Mobile Broadband Market Forecasts 2013-
2018
3. Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
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Contents
4.5.2 Latin American Mobile Broadband Subscriptions
4.6 The MEA Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
4.6.1 MEA Mobile Broadband Revenue
4.6.2 MEA Mobile Broadband Subscriptions
4.7 Leading Mobile Broadband National Markets
4.7.1 Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Forecast 2013-2018
4.7.1.1 Blooming of the BRIC National Markets
4.7.2 Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018
4.7.2.1 Subscription Gains in the BRIC Markets
5.1 Location Based Services
5.2 IPv6 and Mobile Cloud Computing
5.3 Future of VoIP
5.4 VoLTE
5.5 Mobile Broadband Data Usage Trends
5.6 Mobile Broadband for Business Use
5.7 Energy
5.8 Mobile Health (mHealth)
5.9 Transportation
5.9.1 Clearflow
5.10 Low Cost and Increased Access
5.11 E-Commerce and Mobile Banking
5.12 Near Field Communications
5.13 Apps and Services That Will Benefit from Mobile Broadband
5.14 Conclusion
6.1 Vendor Overview
6.2 Alcatel-Lucent
6.2.1 Products, Services, and Strategy
6.2.1.1 Base Station Design
6.2.1.1 Alcatel-Lucent 9926 Distributed Base Station
6.2.1.2 Alcatel-Lucent 9412 eNodeB Compact
6. Leading Mobile Broadband Companies
5. Mobile Broadband: Utilities and Opportunities for Improvement
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Contents
6.3 Cisco Systems
6.3.1 Cisco’s Product and Service Offerings – An Integrated Platform
6.4 Ericsson
6.4.1 Ericsson’s RBS 6000 Series eNodeB
6.5 Fujitsu
6.6 Hitachi
6.7 HTC
6.8 Huawei
6.9 LG Electronics
6.10 Motorola
6.11 NEC
6.12 Nokia Siemens Networks
6.13 Option N.V.
6.14 Qualcomm
6.15 Samsung
6.16 ZTE
7.1 Erasmo Rojas, Director of Latin America, 4G Americas
7.1.1 Industry Developments: Last Year and the Year Ahead
7.1.2 LTE in Latin America: Will it Surpass 3G Technology?
7.1.3 Brazil’s International Events and the Resulting Impact on the Mobile Ecosystem
7.1.4 The Role and Implications of Spectrum Allocation
7.1.5 Data vs. Traditional Services in Latin America’s Next Generation Networks
7.1.6 Integrating a Prepaid Customer Base in a Data-Rich Future
7.1.7 Factors Contributing to Smartphone Proliferation in Latin America
7.1.8 The Importance and Role of Voice Service and Revenues in LTE
7.1.9 Overcoming the Digital Divide: Meeting Age-Old Problems with Modern Solutions
7.1.10 Important Technologies in Latin America’s LTE Future
7.1.11 Consumer Devices and Their Impact on Early Network Planning
7.2 Peter Carson, Senior Director of Marketing, Qualcomm
7.2.1 The Applications of Qualcomm’s RF360 Front End Solution in a Fragmented Ecosystem
7.2.2 Adapting to a Variety of New Form Factors: Next-Generation Challenges and Solutions
7.2.3 Bandwidth Re-Farming: the Relative Importance of UHF, 2G/3G Bands, and the Higher Frequencies
7.2.4 The Demands of Smart Devices and the Push for Carrier Aggregation
7. Expert Opinion
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Contents
7.2.5 Important Technologies in the Global Mobile Broadband Ecosystem
9.1 The Global Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018
9.1.1 Global Mobile Broadband Revenue 2013-2018
9.1.1.1 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018: National Markets of North America
9.1.1.2 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Asia-Pacific
9.1.1.3 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Europe
9.1.1.4 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Latin America
9.1.2 Global Mobile Broadband Subscriptions 2013-2018
9.1.2.1 Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of North America
9.1.2.2 Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Asia-Pacific
9.1.2.3 Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Europe
9.1.2.4 Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Latin America
9.2 Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets 2013-2018
9.2.1 Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Revenue 2013-2018
9.2.2 Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Subscriptions 2013-2018
9.3 The Next Generation for Mobile Broadband
Glossary
9. Conclusions
8. SWOT Analysis of the Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
www.visiongain.com
Contents
Chart 2.1: Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment Forecasts 2013-2018 (billion units, %)
Chart 2.2: Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment AGR Forecasts 2013-2018 (%)
Chart 2.3: Global Data Traffic Forecast, 2013-2018 (Exabytes/month)
Chart 2.4: Global Mobile Social Networking User Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 3.1: Global Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (billions)
Chart 3.2: Global Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast, OECD Countries vs RoW 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 3.3: OECD and RoW Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%)
Chart 3.4: Global LTE Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 3.5: Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscriptions (OECD) 2013 (millions)
Chart 3.6: Leading National Mobile Broadband Penetration (OECD) 2013 (%)
Chart 3.7: Global Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion)
Chart 4.1: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion)
Chart 4.2: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Chart 4.3: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2015 (%)
Chart 4.4: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2018 (%)
Chart 4.5: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 4.6: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Chart 4.7: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2015 (%)
Chart 4.8: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2018 (%)
Chart 4.9: North American Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %)
Chart 4.10: North American Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 4.11: Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn)
Chart 4.12: Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 4.13: European Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn)
Chart 4.14: European Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 4.15: Latin American Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn)
Chart 4.16: Latin American Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 4.17: MEA Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn)
Chart 4.18: MEA Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 4.19: Top 13 National Mobile Broadband Markets Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Chart 4.20: Top 13 National Mobile Broadband Markets Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Chart 4.21: Top 13 National Mobile Broadband Markets Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Chart 4.22: BRIC Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn)
Chart 4.23: BRIC Mobile Broadband Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, and 2018 (% share)
List of Charts in this Report
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Contents
Chart 4.24: Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Chart 4.25: Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2015 (%)
Chart 4.26 Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Chart 4.27: BRIC Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 4.28: BRIC Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, and 2018 (% share)
Chart 5.1: Global Location Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2017 ($ billions)
Chart 5.2: Global Mobile Cloud Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions)
Chart 5.3: Global VoIP Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (billions)
Chart 5.4: Global VoIP Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions)
Chart 5.5: Global IPTV Subscribers Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Chart 5.6: Global mHealth Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions)
Chart 5.7: Global Connected Vehicle Connectivity Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions)
Figure 2.1: Mobile Broadband Lifecycle – 3G Family of Technologies (2001-2021)
Figure 6.1: Global Map of Ericsson’s LTE Contracts
Table 2.1: Devices Used to Access Mobile Broadband
Table 2.2: Standards and Technologies Used to Provide Mobile Broadband
Table 2.3: Mobile Broadband Theoretical Speeds across Various Technologies (Mbps)
Table 2.4: Global Data Traffic Forecast 2013-2018 (EB/month, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 3.1: Global Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (subscriptions, AGR %, CAGR %,
Cumulative)
Table 3.2: OECD and RoW Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (subscriptions, AGR %, CAGR %,
Cumulative)
Table 3.3: Global LTE Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 3.4: Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscriptions (OECD) 4Q12 (millions)
Table 3.5: Global Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.1: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($bn,% Share, AGR%)
Table 4.2: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%)
Table 4.3: North American Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.4: North American Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %,
Cumulative)
List of Tables in this Report
List of Figures in this Report
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Contents
Table 4.5: Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.6: Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.7: European Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.8: European Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.9: Latin American Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.10: Latin American Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %,
Cumulative)
Table 4.11: MEA Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.12: MEA Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.13: National Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn,% Share, AGR%)
Table 4.14: BRIC Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 4.15: National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%)
Table 4.16: BRIC Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 6.1: Suppliers Providing 4G LTE Infrastructure and Solutions
Table 6.2 Primary Players in the 4G LTE Value Chain (Device, Infrastructure & Chipset)
Table 6.3: Ericsson’s LTE Contracts by Region
Table 8.1: SWOT Analysis of the Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
Table 9.1: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($bn, AGR%)
Table 9.2: Leading North American National Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR%)
Table 9.3: Leading Asia-Pacific National Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR%)
Table 9.4: Leading European National Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR%)
Table 9.5: National Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR%)
Table 9.6: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Table 9.7: National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%)
Table 9.8: Leading APAC National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Table 9.9: Leading European National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Table 9.10: Leading Latin American National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%)
Table 9.11: Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, % share, AGR%)
Table 9.12: Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, % share,
AGR%)
www.visiongain.com
Contents
4M Wireless
A1 Austria
Agilent
Airspan
Alcatel-Lucent
Altair Semiconductor
Alvarion
America Movil
Anritsu
Apple
Aricent
Ascom
AT&T
AT&T Puerto Rico
Aviat
AVM
Bebo
Bell Labs
Bharti Airtel
BitWave Semiconductor
Blackberry
Bouygues Telecom
Bridgewater Systems
Broadcom
Cavium Networks
Cellcom Israel
China Mobile
Cisco Systems
Claro
Claro Brazil
CMHK
CN Tetragen
Companies Mentioned in this Report
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Contents
Commnet Wireless
Continuous Computing - Trillium
CSL
DNA Finland
eAccess
Energy Australia
Ericsson
Etisalat
Facebook
Franklin Wireless
Fujitsu
GCT Semiconductor
Google
H3G
Hi3G
Hitachi
HTC
Huawei
Icera (NVIDIA)
Infineon (Intel)
Infinet
IPWireless
Juniper Networks
Kineto Wireless
LG Electronics
LGU+
MediaTek
MetroPCS
Microsoft
MindTree Wireless
Motorola
Motorola Mobility
M-Tel
MTS
Myspace
NBN Co
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Contents
NEC
NetAmerica Alliance
NetHawk
Nokia
Nokia-Siemens Networks
Nomor Research
Nortel
NSN-Motorola
NTT DoCoMo
NTUA
Oi Brazil
Omantel
Open Mobile
Option N.V.
Panasonic
Panorama Antennas
Pantech
picoChip
Polkomtel
Qasara
Qualcomm
RadiSys
Renesas Electronics
RFMD
RIM
Rogers Wireless
Samsung Electronics
Sequans Communications
Siemens
SingTel
SK Telecom
Softbank
Sony
Sprint
Starent Networks
STC - Saudi Arabia
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Contents
ST-Ericsson
Swisscom
TDC Denmark
Tekelec
Tektronix
Telecom Italia (TIM)
Telefonica
Telenor
TeliaSonera
Telstra
Telstra Group
T-Mobile USA
Traffix Systems
Tropper Technologies
Une
UPC
US Cellular
Verizon Wireless
Viber
Vipnet
Visa
VIVO
VIVO Brazil
Vodafone Germany
Wikipedia
Wintegra
YouTube
ZTE Corporation
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Contents
OECD
APT
3GPP
ETSI
MWC
4G Americas
Distrital University
University of Colorado
Southern Methodist University
Organisations Mentioned in this Report
Page 68www.visiongain.com
Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018:
Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era
Chart 4.18: MEA Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions)
Source: visiongain, 2013
Table 4.12: MEA Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR
%, CAGR %, Cumulative)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013-2018
Subscribers (million) 357.2 695.2 945.3 1,088.4 1,194.3 1,410.2 1,053
AGR (%) - 94.6 36.0 15.1 9.7 18.1
CAGR (%) 2013-15 62.7 2015-18 14.3
CAGR (%) 2013-18 31.6
Source: visiongain, 2013
4.7 Leading Mobile Broadband National Markets
Visiongain has identified thirteen leading national markets, representing great size, significance
within their respective regional markets, considerable growth over the forecast period, or a
combination of these factors.
357.2
695.2
945.3
1,088.4
1,194.3
1,410.2
94.6%
36.0%
15.1%
9.7%
18.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
AGR%
Subscriptions(millions)
Mobile broadband subscriptions AGR %
Page 84www.visiongain.com
Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018:
Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era
Chart 5.4 shows the revenue potential for VoIP applications.
Chart 5.4: Global VoIP Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions)
Source: visiongain, 2013
There are a few limitations to VoIP at the current point in time, these are connectivity and pricing.
VoIP is considered to be a threat for MNO’s worldwide, as more people switch to VoIP to make
calls their revenues are being adversely affected. Therefore in a bid to decrease VoIP calling,
MNO’s are trying to offer limited data usage based mobile broadband packages to its customers.
This would result in excessive data use, which will turn out quite costly for the customers. In
addition VoIP faces the problem of connectivity limitations as with the small proximity of Wi-Fi
networks and the unavailability of mobile broadband in certain areas and buildings.
However the increased use of IP based calling services such as Skype or Viber will hinder the
revenues of the MNO’s as the usage of voice calls over the network is decreasing as VoIP
software’s take over as means of IP to IP voice and video calls. 4G LTE technologies would give a
rise to this trend by providing higher speeds and increased mobility. This will cause many end-
users to downgrade traditional voice plans in favour of using a third-party VoIP application on their
24.4 25.2
27.9
32.2
40.7
47.6
3.3%
10.7%
15.4%
26.4%
17.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
AGR%
Revenue($billions)
VOIP application revenue AGR %
Page 94www.visiongain.com
Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018:
Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era
6.2 Alcatel-Lucent
Paris-based Alcatel Lucent (ALU) is engaged in mobile, wireline, IP and optics technologies,
applications and services. Alcatel-Lucent lies amongst the leading 4G LTE infrastructure providers.
It is expecting to land further LTE infrastructure contracts in Latin America. The majority of ALU’s
revenue growth in this region will come from Brazil and Mexico, where the company has secured
contracts for LTE deployment.
Alcatel-Lucent partners with service providers, enterprises, industries and governments worldwide
in more than 130 countries. Alcatel-Lucent operates a New Jersey-based subsidiary named Bell
Labs, which generates communications technology and operates in three business segments:
networks, applications, and services.
6.2.1 Products, Services, and Strategy
Alcatel-Lucent offers operators an all IP LTE with an end-to-end solution. Their pre-integrated
network leverages wireless technologies such as OFDM, Software-Defined Radio technologies,
and IP service routing. Alcatel-Lucent designs and tests the end-to-end LTE/ SAE-compliant
network solution, and provides migration and operational processes in GSM, WCDMA, CDMA and
TD-SCDMA environments.
The end-to-end LTE network integrates LTE-enabled radio access (eNodeB), an EPC, an all-IP
mobile transport, and an open Service Delivery Environment (SDE) based on IMS. The solution
interworks with third-party LTE devices and industry applications. It implements the 3GPP-
standardised SAE optimised for all-IP triple-play service delivery, and can function on existing
wireless and wireline infrastructures.
Recently Alcatel-Lucent has struck a deal with Etisalat, which is the leading mobile
telecommunications operator in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The deal encompasses to jointly
develop the most efficient and sustainable mobile broadband service to its customers, based on
the cutting edge Alcatel-Lucent technology lightRadio. The company’s LTE product portfolio
includes:
• Ultimate Wireless Packet Core (UWPC);
• LTE Radio Access;
• Mobile Backhaul;
• Converged Backbone Transformation Solution;
Page 111www.visiongain.com
Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018:
Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era
7. Expert Opinion
7.1 Erasmo Rojas, Director of Latin America, 4G Americas
4G Americas is a wireless sector association that promotes, facilitates, and advocates for the
deployment of the 3GPP family of mobile broadband technologies throughout the ecosystem –
including networks, services, applications and wirelessly connected devices – in the Americas.
Erasmo Rojas is the Director of Latin America and the Caribbean for 4G Americas and is
responsible for providing information to mobile operators, vendors, regulators, telecommunications
organizations and the media and analysts regarding the 3GPP family of technologies in Latin
America and the Caribbean and its evolution to 3G and 4G including LTE. He informs these key
audiences on the wireless industry’s latest developments to facilitate the successful development
of the 3GPP family of technologies and next-generation advanced mobile services throughout the
region.
He holds a BSEE in Electronics Engineering from the Distrital University in Bogotá, Colombia, a
Master of Science in Telecommunications from the University of Colorado in Boulder and an MBA
in International Management and Marketing from the Southern Methodist University in Dallas,
Texas.
7.1.1 Industry Developments: Last Year and the Year Ahead
Visiongain: Visiongain wrote a report on mobile broadband in April of last year, a time since which
there have been major changes for the ecosystem. Take me through some of those developments,
how they have impacted operations, and the kind of responses you have seen from operators and
infrastructure manufacturers.
Erasmo Rojas: When we look at 1Q12 to 1Q13, we are looking at two complementary
technologies: 3G and 4G. In the case of 3G – including HSPA and HSPA+ – by the end of 1Q12
there were about 90 million subscriptions in Latin America. A year later, in March 2013, this figure
has increased to 134 million subscriptions. So we’ve seen an increase of almost 50%. That gives
us an idea of how much end-users in the region want to use data services.
When it comes to 4G or LTE, the first networks in Latin America were launched at the end of 2011,
so if I make the same comparison – March 2012 to March 2013 – there are now 20 commercial
LTE networks in the region but adoption has not grown as much. I think that operators are still in

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Global mobile broadband market 2013 2018

  • 1. ©notice This material is copyright by visiongain. It is against the law to reproduce any of this material without the prior written agreement of vision- gain. You cannot photocopy, fax, download to database or duplicate in any other way any of the material contained in this report. Each pur- chase and single copy is for personal use only. Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018: Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era
  • 2. www.visiongain.com Contents 1.1 Growing Popularity of Mobile Broadband 1.2 Mobile Broadband is Entering into Rapid Growth Stage 1.3 Business Case for Mobile Broadband Points to Positive NPV 1.4 Benefits to Enterprise and Mass Market Customers with Increasing Mobile Broadband Penetration 1.5 Emerging Markets Set to Benefit from Mobile Broadband 1.6 Aim of the Report 1.7 Market Definition 1.8 Report Structure 1.9 Report Scope 1.10 Target Audience 1.11 Methodology 2.1 What is Mobile Broadband? 2.2 History and Development of Mobile Broadband 2.3 Why is Mobile Broadband Appealing? 2.4 Increasing Growth of Global Mobile Broadband Market 2.4.1 Technologies Accounting for Growth in Developed and Emerging Markets 2.5 3G Mobile Broadband Lifecycle Stage 2.5.1 Narrowband Dialup 2.5.2 Narrowband ISDN 2.5.3 Broadband DSL 2.5.4 Broadband Cable 2.5.5 Broadband Wireless 2.5.6 Broadband Satellite 2.6 Business Case for Mobile Broadband 2.7 Growth Drivers for Mobile Broadband 2.7.1 Mobility: A Key Growth Driver 2.7.2 Increasing Smartphone Penetration 2.7.3 Growing Data Usage 2.7.4 The Increasing Importance of Social Media 2.7.5 Flat Rate Pricing Driving Mobile Broadband 2.8 Mobile Broadband in the Future 2. Introduction to Mobile Broadband 1. Executive Summary
  • 3. www.visiongain.com Contents 2.8.1 Replacing Lost Revenue in Voice and Messaging 2.8.2 Effects of an Expanding Applications Ecosystem 2.8.3 Interplay between Mobile Broadband and On-the-go Business Culture 2.9 Importance of Mobile Broadband 2.10 Mobile Broadband Moving Towards LTE Technology 2.11 Mobile Broadband Overview 3.1 Overview 3.2 Global Mobile Broadband Connections 3.2.1 OECD vs Rest of the World in Mobile Broadband Connections 3.2.2 Global LTE Subscriptions 3.2.3 Mobile Broadband Subscriptions in OECD Countries 3.3 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 3.3.1 Global Mobile Broadband Revenue 2013-2018 4.1 Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecasts 2013-2018 4.1.1 Regional Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 4.1.2 Regional Mobile Broadband Subscriptions Forecast 2013-2018 4.2 The North American Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018 4.2.1 North American Mobile Broadband Revenue: What Will be the Impact of Early Saturation? 4.2.2 North American Mobile Broadband Subscriptions 4.3 The Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018 4.3.1 Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Revenue: Steady Growth from the World’s Largest User Base 4.3.2 Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Subscriptions 4.4 The European Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018 4.4.1 European Mobile Broadband Revenue: Will High Competition Translate to Diminishing Returns? 4.4.2 European Mobile Broadband Subscriptions: Growth from Eastern Europe 4.5 The Latin American Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018 4.5.1 Latin American Mobile Broadband Revenue: Will Latin America’s Growth be in Keeping with Other Developing Markets? 4. Regional and National Mobile Broadband Market Forecasts 2013- 2018 3. Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
  • 4. www.visiongain.com Contents 4.5.2 Latin American Mobile Broadband Subscriptions 4.6 The MEA Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018 4.6.1 MEA Mobile Broadband Revenue 4.6.2 MEA Mobile Broadband Subscriptions 4.7 Leading Mobile Broadband National Markets 4.7.1 Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Forecast 2013-2018 4.7.1.1 Blooming of the BRIC National Markets 4.7.2 Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 4.7.2.1 Subscription Gains in the BRIC Markets 5.1 Location Based Services 5.2 IPv6 and Mobile Cloud Computing 5.3 Future of VoIP 5.4 VoLTE 5.5 Mobile Broadband Data Usage Trends 5.6 Mobile Broadband for Business Use 5.7 Energy 5.8 Mobile Health (mHealth) 5.9 Transportation 5.9.1 Clearflow 5.10 Low Cost and Increased Access 5.11 E-Commerce and Mobile Banking 5.12 Near Field Communications 5.13 Apps and Services That Will Benefit from Mobile Broadband 5.14 Conclusion 6.1 Vendor Overview 6.2 Alcatel-Lucent 6.2.1 Products, Services, and Strategy 6.2.1.1 Base Station Design 6.2.1.1 Alcatel-Lucent 9926 Distributed Base Station 6.2.1.2 Alcatel-Lucent 9412 eNodeB Compact 6. Leading Mobile Broadband Companies 5. Mobile Broadband: Utilities and Opportunities for Improvement
  • 5. www.visiongain.com Contents 6.3 Cisco Systems 6.3.1 Cisco’s Product and Service Offerings – An Integrated Platform 6.4 Ericsson 6.4.1 Ericsson’s RBS 6000 Series eNodeB 6.5 Fujitsu 6.6 Hitachi 6.7 HTC 6.8 Huawei 6.9 LG Electronics 6.10 Motorola 6.11 NEC 6.12 Nokia Siemens Networks 6.13 Option N.V. 6.14 Qualcomm 6.15 Samsung 6.16 ZTE 7.1 Erasmo Rojas, Director of Latin America, 4G Americas 7.1.1 Industry Developments: Last Year and the Year Ahead 7.1.2 LTE in Latin America: Will it Surpass 3G Technology? 7.1.3 Brazil’s International Events and the Resulting Impact on the Mobile Ecosystem 7.1.4 The Role and Implications of Spectrum Allocation 7.1.5 Data vs. Traditional Services in Latin America’s Next Generation Networks 7.1.6 Integrating a Prepaid Customer Base in a Data-Rich Future 7.1.7 Factors Contributing to Smartphone Proliferation in Latin America 7.1.8 The Importance and Role of Voice Service and Revenues in LTE 7.1.9 Overcoming the Digital Divide: Meeting Age-Old Problems with Modern Solutions 7.1.10 Important Technologies in Latin America’s LTE Future 7.1.11 Consumer Devices and Their Impact on Early Network Planning 7.2 Peter Carson, Senior Director of Marketing, Qualcomm 7.2.1 The Applications of Qualcomm’s RF360 Front End Solution in a Fragmented Ecosystem 7.2.2 Adapting to a Variety of New Form Factors: Next-Generation Challenges and Solutions 7.2.3 Bandwidth Re-Farming: the Relative Importance of UHF, 2G/3G Bands, and the Higher Frequencies 7.2.4 The Demands of Smart Devices and the Push for Carrier Aggregation 7. Expert Opinion
  • 6. www.visiongain.com Contents 7.2.5 Important Technologies in the Global Mobile Broadband Ecosystem 9.1 The Global Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 9.1.1 Global Mobile Broadband Revenue 2013-2018 9.1.1.1 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018: National Markets of North America 9.1.1.2 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Asia-Pacific 9.1.1.3 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Europe 9.1.1.4 Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Latin America 9.1.2 Global Mobile Broadband Subscriptions 2013-2018 9.1.2.1 Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of North America 9.1.2.2 Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Asia-Pacific 9.1.2.3 Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Europe 9.1.2.4 Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018: Leading National Markets of Latin America 9.2 Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets 2013-2018 9.2.1 Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Revenue 2013-2018 9.2.2 Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Subscriptions 2013-2018 9.3 The Next Generation for Mobile Broadband Glossary 9. Conclusions 8. SWOT Analysis of the Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018
  • 7. www.visiongain.com Contents Chart 2.1: Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment Forecasts 2013-2018 (billion units, %) Chart 2.2: Feature Phone and Smartphone Shipment AGR Forecasts 2013-2018 (%) Chart 2.3: Global Data Traffic Forecast, 2013-2018 (Exabytes/month) Chart 2.4: Global Mobile Social Networking User Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 3.1: Global Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (billions) Chart 3.2: Global Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast, OECD Countries vs RoW 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 3.3: OECD and RoW Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, 2018 (%) Chart 3.4: Global LTE Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 3.5: Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscriptions (OECD) 2013 (millions) Chart 3.6: Leading National Mobile Broadband Penetration (OECD) 2013 (%) Chart 3.7: Global Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion) Chart 4.1: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billion) Chart 4.2: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Share Forecast 2013 (%) Chart 4.3: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2015 (%) Chart 4.4: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2018 (%) Chart 4.5: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 4.6: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2013 (%) Chart 4.7: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2015 (%) Chart 4.8: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2018 (%) Chart 4.9: North American Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %) Chart 4.10: North American Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 4.11: Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn) Chart 4.12: Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 4.13: European Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn) Chart 4.14: European Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 4.15: Latin American Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn) Chart 4.16: Latin American Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 4.17: MEA Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn) Chart 4.18: MEA Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 4.19: Top 13 National Mobile Broadband Markets Share Forecast 2013 (%) Chart 4.20: Top 13 National Mobile Broadband Markets Share Forecast 2015 (%) Chart 4.21: Top 13 National Mobile Broadband Markets Share Forecast 2018 (%) Chart 4.22: BRIC Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn) Chart 4.23: BRIC Mobile Broadband Market Share Forecast 2013, 2015, and 2018 (% share) List of Charts in this Report
  • 8. www.visiongain.com Contents Chart 4.24: Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2013 (%) Chart 4.25: Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2015 (%) Chart 4.26 Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2018 (%) Chart 4.27: BRIC Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 4.28: BRIC Mobile Broadband Subscription Share Forecast 2013, 2015, and 2018 (% share) Chart 5.1: Global Location Based Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2017 ($ billions) Chart 5.2: Global Mobile Cloud Services Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions) Chart 5.3: Global VoIP Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (billions) Chart 5.4: Global VoIP Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions) Chart 5.5: Global IPTV Subscribers Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Chart 5.6: Global mHealth Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions) Chart 5.7: Global Connected Vehicle Connectivity Submarket Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions) Figure 2.1: Mobile Broadband Lifecycle – 3G Family of Technologies (2001-2021) Figure 6.1: Global Map of Ericsson’s LTE Contracts Table 2.1: Devices Used to Access Mobile Broadband Table 2.2: Standards and Technologies Used to Provide Mobile Broadband Table 2.3: Mobile Broadband Theoretical Speeds across Various Technologies (Mbps) Table 2.4: Global Data Traffic Forecast 2013-2018 (EB/month, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 3.1: Global Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (subscriptions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 3.2: OECD and RoW Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (subscriptions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 3.3: Global LTE Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 3.4: Leading National Mobile Broadband Subscriptions (OECD) 4Q12 (millions) Table 3.5: Global Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.1: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($bn,% Share, AGR%) Table 4.2: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%) Table 4.3: North American Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.4: North American Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) List of Tables in this Report List of Figures in this Report
  • 9. www.visiongain.com Contents Table 4.5: Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.6: Asia-Pacific Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.7: European Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.8: European Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.9: Latin American Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.10: Latin American Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.11: MEA Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.12: MEA Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.13: National Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn,% Share, AGR%) Table 4.14: BRIC Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 4.15: National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%) Table 4.16: BRIC Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) Table 6.1: Suppliers Providing 4G LTE Infrastructure and Solutions Table 6.2 Primary Players in the 4G LTE Value Chain (Device, Infrastructure & Chipset) Table 6.3: Ericsson’s LTE Contracts by Region Table 8.1: SWOT Analysis of the Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018 Table 9.1: Regional Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($bn, AGR%) Table 9.2: Leading North American National Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR%) Table 9.3: Leading Asia-Pacific National Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR%) Table 9.4: Leading European National Mobile Broadband Market Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR%) Table 9.5: National Mobile Broadband Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, AGR%) Table 9.6: Regional Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Table 9.7: National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions,% Share, AGR%) Table 9.8: Leading APAC National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Table 9.9: Leading European National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Table 9.10: Leading Latin American National Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR%) Table 9.11: Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ bn, % share, AGR%) Table 9.12: Leading National Mobile Broadband Markets Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, % share, AGR%)
  • 10. www.visiongain.com Contents 4M Wireless A1 Austria Agilent Airspan Alcatel-Lucent Altair Semiconductor Alvarion America Movil Anritsu Apple Aricent Ascom AT&T AT&T Puerto Rico Aviat AVM Bebo Bell Labs Bharti Airtel BitWave Semiconductor Blackberry Bouygues Telecom Bridgewater Systems Broadcom Cavium Networks Cellcom Israel China Mobile Cisco Systems Claro Claro Brazil CMHK CN Tetragen Companies Mentioned in this Report
  • 11. www.visiongain.com Contents Commnet Wireless Continuous Computing - Trillium CSL DNA Finland eAccess Energy Australia Ericsson Etisalat Facebook Franklin Wireless Fujitsu GCT Semiconductor Google H3G Hi3G Hitachi HTC Huawei Icera (NVIDIA) Infineon (Intel) Infinet IPWireless Juniper Networks Kineto Wireless LG Electronics LGU+ MediaTek MetroPCS Microsoft MindTree Wireless Motorola Motorola Mobility M-Tel MTS Myspace NBN Co
  • 12. www.visiongain.com Contents NEC NetAmerica Alliance NetHawk Nokia Nokia-Siemens Networks Nomor Research Nortel NSN-Motorola NTT DoCoMo NTUA Oi Brazil Omantel Open Mobile Option N.V. Panasonic Panorama Antennas Pantech picoChip Polkomtel Qasara Qualcomm RadiSys Renesas Electronics RFMD RIM Rogers Wireless Samsung Electronics Sequans Communications Siemens SingTel SK Telecom Softbank Sony Sprint Starent Networks STC - Saudi Arabia
  • 13. www.visiongain.com Contents ST-Ericsson Swisscom TDC Denmark Tekelec Tektronix Telecom Italia (TIM) Telefonica Telenor TeliaSonera Telstra Telstra Group T-Mobile USA Traffix Systems Tropper Technologies Une UPC US Cellular Verizon Wireless Viber Vipnet Visa VIVO VIVO Brazil Vodafone Germany Wikipedia Wintegra YouTube ZTE Corporation
  • 14. www.visiongain.com Contents OECD APT 3GPP ETSI MWC 4G Americas Distrital University University of Colorado Southern Methodist University Organisations Mentioned in this Report
  • 15. Page 68www.visiongain.com Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018: Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era Chart 4.18: MEA Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions) Source: visiongain, 2013 Table 4.12: MEA Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast 2013-2018 (millions, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013-2018 Subscribers (million) 357.2 695.2 945.3 1,088.4 1,194.3 1,410.2 1,053 AGR (%) - 94.6 36.0 15.1 9.7 18.1 CAGR (%) 2013-15 62.7 2015-18 14.3 CAGR (%) 2013-18 31.6 Source: visiongain, 2013 4.7 Leading Mobile Broadband National Markets Visiongain has identified thirteen leading national markets, representing great size, significance within their respective regional markets, considerable growth over the forecast period, or a combination of these factors. 357.2 695.2 945.3 1,088.4 1,194.3 1,410.2 94.6% 36.0% 15.1% 9.7% 18.1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 AGR% Subscriptions(millions) Mobile broadband subscriptions AGR %
  • 16. Page 84www.visiongain.com Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018: Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era Chart 5.4 shows the revenue potential for VoIP applications. Chart 5.4: Global VoIP Revenue Forecast 2013-2018 ($ billions) Source: visiongain, 2013 There are a few limitations to VoIP at the current point in time, these are connectivity and pricing. VoIP is considered to be a threat for MNO’s worldwide, as more people switch to VoIP to make calls their revenues are being adversely affected. Therefore in a bid to decrease VoIP calling, MNO’s are trying to offer limited data usage based mobile broadband packages to its customers. This would result in excessive data use, which will turn out quite costly for the customers. In addition VoIP faces the problem of connectivity limitations as with the small proximity of Wi-Fi networks and the unavailability of mobile broadband in certain areas and buildings. However the increased use of IP based calling services such as Skype or Viber will hinder the revenues of the MNO’s as the usage of voice calls over the network is decreasing as VoIP software’s take over as means of IP to IP voice and video calls. 4G LTE technologies would give a rise to this trend by providing higher speeds and increased mobility. This will cause many end- users to downgrade traditional voice plans in favour of using a third-party VoIP application on their 24.4 25.2 27.9 32.2 40.7 47.6 3.3% 10.7% 15.4% 26.4% 17.0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 AGR% Revenue($billions) VOIP application revenue AGR %
  • 17. Page 94www.visiongain.com Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018: Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era 6.2 Alcatel-Lucent Paris-based Alcatel Lucent (ALU) is engaged in mobile, wireline, IP and optics technologies, applications and services. Alcatel-Lucent lies amongst the leading 4G LTE infrastructure providers. It is expecting to land further LTE infrastructure contracts in Latin America. The majority of ALU’s revenue growth in this region will come from Brazil and Mexico, where the company has secured contracts for LTE deployment. Alcatel-Lucent partners with service providers, enterprises, industries and governments worldwide in more than 130 countries. Alcatel-Lucent operates a New Jersey-based subsidiary named Bell Labs, which generates communications technology and operates in three business segments: networks, applications, and services. 6.2.1 Products, Services, and Strategy Alcatel-Lucent offers operators an all IP LTE with an end-to-end solution. Their pre-integrated network leverages wireless technologies such as OFDM, Software-Defined Radio technologies, and IP service routing. Alcatel-Lucent designs and tests the end-to-end LTE/ SAE-compliant network solution, and provides migration and operational processes in GSM, WCDMA, CDMA and TD-SCDMA environments. The end-to-end LTE network integrates LTE-enabled radio access (eNodeB), an EPC, an all-IP mobile transport, and an open Service Delivery Environment (SDE) based on IMS. The solution interworks with third-party LTE devices and industry applications. It implements the 3GPP- standardised SAE optimised for all-IP triple-play service delivery, and can function on existing wireless and wireline infrastructures. Recently Alcatel-Lucent has struck a deal with Etisalat, which is the leading mobile telecommunications operator in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The deal encompasses to jointly develop the most efficient and sustainable mobile broadband service to its customers, based on the cutting edge Alcatel-Lucent technology lightRadio. The company’s LTE product portfolio includes: • Ultimate Wireless Packet Core (UWPC); • LTE Radio Access; • Mobile Backhaul; • Converged Backbone Transformation Solution;
  • 18. Page 111www.visiongain.com Global Mobile Broadband Market 2013-2018: Driving Super-fast Connectivity in the 4G/LTE Era 7. Expert Opinion 7.1 Erasmo Rojas, Director of Latin America, 4G Americas 4G Americas is a wireless sector association that promotes, facilitates, and advocates for the deployment of the 3GPP family of mobile broadband technologies throughout the ecosystem – including networks, services, applications and wirelessly connected devices – in the Americas. Erasmo Rojas is the Director of Latin America and the Caribbean for 4G Americas and is responsible for providing information to mobile operators, vendors, regulators, telecommunications organizations and the media and analysts regarding the 3GPP family of technologies in Latin America and the Caribbean and its evolution to 3G and 4G including LTE. He informs these key audiences on the wireless industry’s latest developments to facilitate the successful development of the 3GPP family of technologies and next-generation advanced mobile services throughout the region. He holds a BSEE in Electronics Engineering from the Distrital University in Bogotá, Colombia, a Master of Science in Telecommunications from the University of Colorado in Boulder and an MBA in International Management and Marketing from the Southern Methodist University in Dallas, Texas. 7.1.1 Industry Developments: Last Year and the Year Ahead Visiongain: Visiongain wrote a report on mobile broadband in April of last year, a time since which there have been major changes for the ecosystem. Take me through some of those developments, how they have impacted operations, and the kind of responses you have seen from operators and infrastructure manufacturers. Erasmo Rojas: When we look at 1Q12 to 1Q13, we are looking at two complementary technologies: 3G and 4G. In the case of 3G – including HSPA and HSPA+ – by the end of 1Q12 there were about 90 million subscriptions in Latin America. A year later, in March 2013, this figure has increased to 134 million subscriptions. So we’ve seen an increase of almost 50%. That gives us an idea of how much end-users in the region want to use data services. When it comes to 4G or LTE, the first networks in Latin America were launched at the end of 2011, so if I make the same comparison – March 2012 to March 2013 – there are now 20 commercial LTE networks in the region but adoption has not grown as much. I think that operators are still in