According to “India LNG Market Forecast and Opportunities, 2025”, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is playing an instrumental role in filling the gap between demand and supply of natural gas in India. @ http://www.techsciresearch.com/

1. M a r k e t I n t e l l i g e n c e . C o n s u l t i n g
India LNG Market Forecast and
Opportunities, 2025

2. I n d u s t r y B r i e f
2
Demand for LNG in India to Grow at around 17% until 2025
Widening demand-supply gap for natural gas is boosting demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in India
According to a recently published TechSci Research report “India LNG Market Forecast and Opportunities,
2025”, India’s LNG demand is anticipated to increase from 64 mmscmd in 2015 to 306.54 mmscmd by
2025, registering a CAGR of 16.89% during 2015 - 2025. As of 2025, India’s natural gas pipeline
infrastructure stood at 15,808 km and an additional 11,397 km of pipelines are expected to be added over
the next few years. Government Gas Allocation Policy have been implemented to address demand for
natural gas across various end user industries, classified on the basis of needs as City Gas Distribution for
households, transport, fertilizers sector (urea plant), power plants and industrial sectors.
Power sector is the leading end user of natural gas in India and consumes nearly one-third of the total
natural gas produced in the country. Moreover, government is increasing its focus on gas based power
projects due to their high efficiency, low gestation period, environmental factors, and requirement of less
water and land compared to other fuel based power plants. Various other policies such as recent updates
in “Gas Allocation Policy” have also been implemented to encourage use of gas in different end-user
segments. Other policies that are expected to have a positive impact on the country’s LNG market include
E-bid RLNG for smoothening the supply of imported spot RLNG to power plants and fertilizer industries.
“Increasing focus on expansion of gas pipeline infrastructure in the country, rising demand for natural gas
from power and industrial sectors and favorable government policies makes LNG a commercially viable and
suitable fuel for various end user in India. As a result, LNG demand is forecast to witness robust growth
over the next 5-10 years.” said Mr. Karan Chechi, Research Director with TechSci Research, a research based
global management consulting firm.

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S. No. Contents
1. Research Methodology
2. Analyst View
3. India Natural Gas Consumption Overview
4. India Natural Gas Demand & Supply Analysis
4.1. Power Sector Natural Gas Demand & Supply Analysis
4.2. Fertilizer Sector Natural Gas Demand & Supply Analysis
4.3. City Gas Distribution Sector Natural Gas Demand & Supply Analysis
4.4. Industrial Sector Natural Gas Demand & Supply Analysis
5. India LNG Demand Outlook
6. Existing LNG Terminal Overview in India
6.1. Dahej LNG Terminal
6.1.1. Dahej Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
6.1.2. Dahej Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
6.1.3. Dahej Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
6.1.4. Terminal Overview
6.1.5. Expansion Plans
6.1.6. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
6.1.7. Pipeline network Overview
6.2. Hazira LNG Terminal

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6.2.1. Hazira Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
6.2.2. Hazira Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
6.2.3. Hazira Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
6.2.4. Terminal Overview
6.2.5. Expansion Plans
6.2.6. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
6.2.7. Pipeline network Overview
6.3. Kochi LNG Terminal
6.3.1. Kochi Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
6.3.2. Kochi Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
6.3.3. Kochi Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
6.3.4. Terminal Overview
6.3.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
6.3.6. Pipeline network Overview
6.4. Dabhol LNG Terminal
6.4.1. Dabhol Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
6.4.2. Dabhol Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
6.4.3. Dabhol Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
6.4.4. Terminal Overview
6.4.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure

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6.4.6. Pipeline Network Overview
7. Under-Construction LNG Terminal Overview in India
7.1. Kakinada LNG Terminal
7.1.1. Kakinada Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
7.1.2. Kakinada Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
7.1.3. Kakinada Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
7.1.4. Terminal Overview
7.1.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
7.1.6. Pipeline network Overview
7.2. Mangalore LNG Terminal
7.2.1. Mangalore Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
7.2.2. Mangalore Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
7.2.3. Mangalore Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
7.2.4. Terminal Overview
7.3. Gangavaram LNG Terminal
7.3.1. Gangavaram Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
7.3.2. Gangavaram Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
7.3.3. Gangavaram Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
7.3.4. Terminal Overview

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7.3.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
7.3.6. Pipeline network Overview
7.4. Ennore LNG Terminal
7.4.1. Ennore Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
7.4.2. Ennore Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
7.4.3. Ennore Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
7.4.4. Terminal Overview
7.4.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
7.4.6. Pipeline network Overview
7.5. Jaigarh LNG Terminal
7.5.1. Jaigarh Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
7.5.2. Jaigarh Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
7.5.3. Jaigarh Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
7.5.4. Terminal Overview
7.5.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
8. Proposed LNG Terminal Overview in India
8.1. Chhara LNG Terminal
8.1.1. Chhara Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.1.2. Chhara Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.1.3. Chhara Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)

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8.1.4. Terminal Overview
8.1.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
8.2. Jafarabad LNG Terminal
8.2.1. Jafarabad Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.2.2. Jafarabad Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.2.3. Jafarabad Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.2.4. Terminal Overview
8.3. Haldia LNG Terminal
8.3.1. Haldia Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.3.2. Haldia Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.3.3. Haldia Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.3.4. Terminal Overview
8.3.5. Pipeline Network Overview
8.4. Mundra LNG Terminal
8.4.1. Mundra Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.4.2. Mundra Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.4.3. Mundra Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.4.4. Terminal Overview
8.5. Dhamara LNG Terminal
8.5.1. Dhamara Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.5.2. Dhamara Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)

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8.5.3. Dhamara Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.5.4. Terminal Overview
8.5.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
8.6. Pipavav LNG Terminal
8.6.1. Pipavav Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.6.2. Pipavav Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.6.3. Pipavav Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.6.4. Terminal Overview
8.6.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
8.7. Jamnagar LNG Terminal
8.7.1. Jamnagar Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.7.2. Jamnagar Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.7.3. Jamnagar Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.7.4. Terminal Overview
8.8. Dighi LNG Terminal
8.8.1. Dighi Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.8.2. Dighi Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.8.3. Dighi Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.8.4. Terminal Overview
8.8.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure

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8.9. Mangalore (Refinery) LNG Terminal
8.9.1. Mangalore (Refinery) Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.9.2. Mangalore (Refinery) Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.9.3. Mangalore (Refinery) Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.9.4. Terminal Overview
8.10. Haldia (Spice) LNG Terminal
8.10.1. Haldia (Spice) Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.10.2. Haldia (Spice) Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.10.3. Haldia (Spice) Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.10.4. Terminal Overview
8.10.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
8.11. Kakinada (Reliance) LNG Terminal
8.11.1. Kakinada (Reliance) Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.11.2. Kakinada (Reliance) Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)
8.11.3. Kakinada (Reliance) Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.11.4. Terminal Overview
8.11.5. Terminal Downstream Infrastructure
8.12. Nana Layja LNG Terminal
8.12.1. Nana Layja Terminal LNG Demand Analysis (By End User)
8.12.2. Nana Layja Terminal LNG Supply Analysis (By End User)

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8.12.3. Nana Lajya Terminal LNG Demand Supply Gap Analysis (By End User)
8.12.4. Terminal Overview
9. Policy & Regulatory Landscape
9.1. Energy Sector Policy & Regulatory Landscape
9.2. End User Policy & Regulatory Landscape
10. Pricing Analysis
10.1. Current Energy Pricing
10.2. Pricing Forecast
11. Alternative Products Overview
12. Pipeline Infrastructure Development in India
13. Strategic Recommendations
14. Annexure
15. About Us & Disclaimer

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© TechSci Research
OBJECTIVE: The primary objective of the study was to understand the demand supply pattern and forecast for
the existing, under construction and proposed LNG terminals in India.
APPROACH & SOURCES:
In order to extract, analyze and project a reliable market demand and supply scenario of LNG in India a
combination of Top Down and Bottom Up approach has been used.
Multiple employees from the following companies have been interviewed through telephonic and face to face
meetings in order to extract and verify the information being collected at the source.
Companies Interviewed
GAIL India Ltd Torrent Power
Indraprastha Gas Ltd Ratnagiri Gas & Power Pvt Ltd
Petronet LNG Ltd National Thermal Power Corp. Ltd.
Shell India Andhra Pradesh Gas Distribution Corporation
Reliance Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd Mitsui
IFFCO H-Energy Gateway Pvt. Ltd
Adani Enterprises Ltd Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation
Spice Energy Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd
Swan Energy Ltd

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TechSci Research has scrutinized various published documents from following key sources in order to fill the data
gaps and verify information being collected through primary research surveys.
Secondary Sources
Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas International Energy Agency
Bharat Petroleum Indian Oil Corporation Ltd
Reliance Ministry of Power
Petroleum & Natural Gas Regulatory Board Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Ministry of Chemicals & Fertilizers
Annual Reports of various companies involved in LNG
business
Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation
International Gas Union British Petroleum Statistics
Petroleum Planning & Analysis Cell International Monetary Fund
Phase I: During this phase brief profiles of existing, under construction and proposed LNG terminals were created
which included information such as Location, Ownership, Operator, Capacity and Down Stream Infrastructure
followed by the current status such as expected year of operation launch, expansion plans, issues in the project, etc.
The study has been carried out under 3 Phases:
Phase II: During this phase a detailed and in-depth scrutiny was done to understand each and every policy or
external or internal factor that could increase or decrease LNG demand and supply in India. For this phase various
Energy Policy Documents were studied including sector and end user specific policies followed by assessment of
alternative fuels and their impact on LNG business in India.

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© TechSci Research
India imports X MMTPA of short and long term contracts at Dahej, Hazira and Dabhol LNG terminals. However,
demand for LNG is price sensitive, especially in the power and fertilizer sectors. Therefore, TechSci has estimated
demand for LNG from end-user perspective. Demand for LNG is based on demand in end-users segments, which
include:
1. Power
2. Fertilizer
3. City Gas Distribution
4. Industry (Steel, Cement, etc.)
Phase III: During this phase, sector specific demand and supply scenario has been identified for existing terminals
and forecast for under construction or proposed terminals. In view of lack of domestic supply options to mitigate
the growing demand, LNG is the only option left for end-users in India.
Lastly, as LNG demand and supply is completely dependent on prices, a detailed analysis was carried to understand
international prices of crude oil, LNG, Long term and short term contracts and domestic LNG prices.
To extract the end user demand and supply pattern primary research surveys were conducted with key end users
industries and terminal operators in order to present the past trend. However, for forecasting demand and supply
for the existing LNG terminals and estimates for the under construction and proposed LNG terminals following
assumptions were made -
1. Demand for natural gas in the CGD sector will be majorly addressed by domestic supply of natural gas.

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4. Naphtha based power plants will gradually shift its consumption towards natural gas.
5. Gas based power plants which have stopped power generation due to XXX of gas will start production and XXXX
demand for natural gas.
6. In any year, demand and supply of LNG from end users will be evenly distributed across terminals in the ratio of
capacity of LNG terminals.
7. LNG terminals will start imports from dates mentioned by the companies in press releases, government
documents with assumptions that there will not be any delay in construction of LNG terminals.
2. RLNG import terminal wise study has been considered by taking into account capacity utilization, which is X% as
per mentioned by PNGRB.
3. Capacity utilization of Kochi Terminal will XXXXXX from present X%, due to long term contract for the import of
RLNG, scheduled to start from January 2016.
Considering the assumptions, our dedicated team of industry experts has comprehensively monitored and analysed
various aspects of India Natural Gas market. The team has analysed various industry segments and speculated a
positive future for LNG in India. Taking into consideration developments, capital investments, government support,
policies and regulations, etc., our team of analysts has provided a prudent analysis of the industry’s performance in
the future. We have analysed supply and demand scenario of each terminal based on different end users segments,
prices and availability of different energies and also analysed the switching scenario based on the same.

15. S a m p l e D a t a - S n a p s h o t
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© TechSci Research
India Domestic Natural Gas Consumption, By Industry, 2006-14 (BCM)
2005-
06
2006-
07
2007-
08
2008-
09
2009-
10
2010-
11
2011-
12
2012-
13
2013-
14(p)
Power Generation
(BCM)
10 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.8
Fertilizer Industry
(BCM)
7 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.8
CGD (BCM) 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1
All Industries 9 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10 10.2 10.4 10.6
Grand Total (BCM) 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
India Natural Gas Demand Estimates &
Forecasts, By Sector, FY13-FY25 (MMSCMD)
86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98
50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 6214 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 2679 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91
220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
OTHER (Ind.+Petro+etc) SECTOR CGD
Fertilizer Sector Power Sector
Total
India Average Long Term LNG Contract Price,
2010-2025F ($/mmbtu)
1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0
India Demand and Supply of Natural Gas in Power
Sector, 2013-2025 (MMSCMD)
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
RLNG Supply (MMSCMD) Domestic Gas Supply (MMSCMD)
Total Power Demand (MMSCMD)
100
200
2015 2025
India Natural Gas Demand from Power Sector, 2015 &
2025F (mmscmd)
180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192
150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162
50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Total demand
Supply (Domestic + Pipeline imp)
Opportunity for RLNG(@70%)
India Natural Gas Demand (Domestic & RLNG) and Supply
(Domestic & Pipeline) & RLNG(@ 70% PLF), 2013-25 (MMSCMD)

16. R e p o r t O r d e r i n g
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Report Name: India LNG Market Forecast and
Opportunities, 2025
License Type Price
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17. A b o u t U s & D i s c l a i m e r
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it is timely, accurate or complete. TechSci Research has taken due care and caution in compilation of data as this has been obtained from various sources
including which it considers reliable and first hand. However, TechSci Research does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any
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