1. The Sustainable Revolution Threats and Opportunities Peter McManners www.petermcmanners.com 18 th November 2009
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3. ... government and business who are currently unable to see beyond the current political term/share prices will oppose this book, but in twenty years they will be quoting it as the ‘Essential guide for Survival’ Etelä-Suomen Sanomat, Finland’. ISBN: 9780955736902
5. ’ This book should be compulsory reading for all people with influence over the future direction of society, from world leaders and policy makers to teachers and voters. The time has come to support real change.’ Sir David King ISBN: 9780955736919
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8. Climate Resilience Consequences Sectors Adaptation Water Ecosystems Food Coasts Health Infrastructure Transport Energy Short-term Medium-Term Long-term Climate Resilient Cities, The World Bank 2009 Sea Level Temperature Rainfall Extreme Events
Published 18 months ago Year 2000 – hard to get an audience in the Business School, 18 months ago still too green Year 2004 – Green Economics Conference, too much use of business as the primary agent for change Fin quote P.172 The book is now liked by my business colleagues, but is still way greener than most will accept Green economists have come around to my hard-edged view – Green Outcomes in a real World He book came about from 2004-2008 Finland Top and Top CSR too limited: Not core and strategic Too much spin (green wash) Society is changing: A revolution Huge disruption Huge opportunities
1 st degree engineering – solar water project MSc GIS Defence mapping expert Went into Defence Int and satellites and databases Dissertation RGS – understand climate change As a geographer and map maker I see the pressing need to change the way we treat the planet As an engineer I see many technical solutions In teaching strategy to MBA students I se the power of business to take action Disconnected – bring them together
Too much talk, not enough action; need to make people sit up. Easy to say what’s wrong I like to talk about how to make it better. One Third disaster, two thirds how to avoid it. Just released few copes for sale, I can sign
Are there any climate change deniers? Lost written in the press, few brief comments Polar bears swim north looking for ice Polar bears cannot survive in the wild We will keep the gene line alive in zoos These grand predators are solitary creature used to the big outdoors – They go mad in captivity Gene survives but the animal is dead in any real sense The arctic ocean will be ice-free each summer in the next decade Oil and gas opportunities Power to effect public opinion? Polar bear will be extinct in the wild
Timescale:20 years Oil last Climate change not too bad Timescale:30 years to make the infrastructure change for a low-carbon future 50 years – eternal optimist (or deluded fool) V of S Need to take action and need resilience to live in an altered climate
Recent World Bank Report Focused on poorer countries Some severe problems Bangladesh Hurricanes Droughts Finland perspective (+) UK perspective better wine, drier hotter summers Go through some of the issues that arise from a UK perspective FM and energy Expo London Sustainability workshop (not much real sustainability but it is now the buzz word to use) Question of contracts abroad – Answer if client does not ask we don’t bother I would like to see UK companies offering sustainable solutions (based on strong home base)
Greenland Vicky Pope story Tipping point 7m 200 years Massive implications for the world and for London
Closer to Oxford More extreme weather events – not hurricanes (we hope) but floods Building on flood plains Our house ‘Victorian’ and above high mark
What does this show We know this but we like our cars LSE story
BedZed ecological footprint much less than UK average – UK could support a population of 30 million if we all lived like this What features? Use of light Natural ventilation Sogum roof High density What features not shown? PV Solar Water Wind
Location? CAT 1972 Hippy, self build Uncompromising commitment to sustainable building
Our Finnish house 1980 Triple glazed Area heating Good insulation; good resilience Not sustainable materials WISE CAT – experimental bit hippyish Auditorium lights Earth walls John Prescott question Adaptation labatory concept
Self sufficient is resilient Flip the energy market Sweden Hydro story Thames Hydro Solar water and PV now do it.
Hot dry summers High water bills (metered) Harvest rainwater will be a good idea and a sound business case – in the South East
Finland example: Think long-term Make the investment
Climate refugees, resources squeeze, could be unrest. Mad Max V of S Resilient means secure - Dense communities are low carbon and secure No more sprawling suburbs with low efficiency big houses and space to park 2 (3) cars
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