2. Why did non-violent action succeed in British India
(1930) but fail in British South Africa (1960)?
1930, India 1960, South Africa
Salt Satyagraha Pass Law Protest
Government non- Police kill 69 people
interference
1935, ANC commences
Government of terrorism, 1961
India Act
3. Gandhi is Man of the Year (1930) South Africans Are Massacred (1960)
4. Why did mass organized disobedience to an
unjust law (or laws) fulfill political objectives
in India (1930) but not fulfill similar objectives
in South Africa (1960)?
5. Non-violent action: Organized events of civil
disobedience, strikes, and boycotts
undertaken to compel government policy
change
6. Success:
Degree of socio-economic disruption:
▪ GDP
▪ Participation
▪ Number of Arrests
Stated goals are achieved:
▪ Polity IV Democracy Trends (Post-1946)
▪ Policy Changes and Legislative Victories
Sustainment of non-violent action toward bigger
goals:
▪ Future non-violent action
▪ Violent actions (Global Terror Database—START, post-1960)
7. Gene Sharp, Gandhi as a Political Strategist
Classic work that posits Gandhi’s strategic
genius was of greater relevance than his
moral and philosophical beliefs
Peter Ackerman and Chris Kreugler,
Strategic Non-Violent Conflict
Rates various non-violent movements on their
fulfillment of 12 principles of success
8. Steven Zunes, “The Role of Non-Violent
Action in the Downfall of Apartheid”
Non-violent success in 1980s
Revolutionary and Dissident Movements of
the World
Background
Long Walk to Freedom, Nelson Mandela
The Story of My Experiments With Truth,
Mohandas Gandhi
9. If a civil disobedience campaign lacks
precisely articulated methods and
organizational discipline (“coherent strategic
vision”), then it will fail.
10. Setting Functional Objectives
Non-Violent Discipline
Number and size of riots
Protesters:
Total Members of Organizing Organizations
▪ % of national population participating
Total Number of Chapters
Economic or Racial Barriers to Entry
11. Racist Ideology/Authoritarianism of Regime
South African Republic Referendum (1960)
British Colony vs. British Commonwealth
Legal status
ANC/PAC were banned in SA, 1960
Singular, charismatic leadership
Ideology of pacifism (present/not present)
Non-Violent Tradition (Number of Past Protests)
International Opinion
Soviet Influence in ANC
British dragging their feet on international sanctions
13. Specific literature of non-violent protest as a
strategy
Specified rubrics for analyzing the strength
and quality of a non-violent campaign
Analysis of effects. Need more analysis of
conditions leading to start of non-violent
events.
14. Testing Hypothesis—Could be wrong?
Lessons of 1960 Failure Explain Success of
“Ungovernability” in the 1980s?
Implications for success of Arab Spring
movements and for 21st century revolutions