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Richard J Jackson MD, MPH, FAAP
HonASLA, HonAIA
dickjackson@ucla.edu
Oklahoma Must Walk to Health
April 3,2013
University of Oklahoma
http://designinghealthycommunities.org/oram/
USA Today 10/20/2011
Commuting by driving is not good for your
physical, mental, and social health.
Traffic along LA freeways and Wilshire Blvd.
We Pediatricians Fear This Most In
Our Own Children…
For every age group
from 3 through 34—car
crashes were the No. 1
cause of death
In 2009 in the US
2,953,501million vehicle miles traveled
33,808 people died
in motor vehicle traffic crashes.
One in a million chance of death per
every 87 miles driven
• http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2009/vm1.cfm
• http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811363.PDF
Automobile fatality rates by city, 1998
(excluding pedestrian fatalities; deaths/100,000/year)
9.80
10.52
11.33 13.12
Source: NHTSA
2.51
New York
3.76
San Francisco
6.55
Portland
9.80
Houston
10.52
Phoenix
11.33
Dallas
13.12
Atlanta
5.36
Philadelphia
Number of Lives Saved per year
if National Car Fatality Rate same as:
• New York City 24,000
• Portland 15,000
• Atlanta None– 15,000 additional
Average pedestrian fatality rates by city, 1996-2004
(deaths/100,000/year)
Source: FARS Analysis Reporting System, NHTSA
2.29
New York
3.43
San Francisco
2.42
Portland
2.63
Houston
4.06
Phoenix
3.39
Dallas
4.91
Atlanta
2.36
Philadelphia
Source: Calculated from annual summary of traffic fatalities published by the National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration in Traffic Safety Facts.
Pedestrian Danger Index, 2002-2003
Source: Mean Streets 2004
33.4
New York
49.4
San Francisco
43.0
Portland
121.9
Houston
117.2
Phoenix
103.7
Dallas
144.4
Atlanta
48.3
Philadelphia
Source: Ernst, M. Mean Streets 2004: How far have we come? Surface Transportation Policy
Project, November 2004. Accessed online at http://www.transact.org/report.asp?id=235 on Oct 4,
2006.
Pedestrian Fatality Rates for
Collisions at Different Speeds
Zegeer et al 2002
The Most Prevalent Chronic
Disease of Childhood Is…
Asthma Study in 12 Southern
California High Schools
• 3535 children with no history of asthma in 6
high and 6 low air pollution high schools
• 5 years later: 265 children developed asthma.
– High ozone high schools:
• asthma rate was 3.3x higher in children playing
three or more sports.
– Low ozone high schools:
• sports had no effect on asthma rates
30% reduction in Driving
30 % Improvement in Air
Quality
Results: Acute Care Visits for Asthma
1-16 year old residents of Atlanta
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Medicaid Claims* Kaiser HMO Pediatric ER's Hospital Admissions
Baseline Period Olympic Period†
MeanDailyNumberofEvents
•p = 0.01
† July 19 –August 4, 1996
Source: Friedman, et al, JAMA, 2001
Did you Hear about Carmageddon?
When the 405 Freeway in LA Was
Closed for a Weekend in 2011?
Air Quality Change During Carmageddon
Close to the Highway Improved 83%
In West Los Angeles and Santa Monica Improved 75%
For the Region Improved 25%
2 day closure
of 10 miles of
Highway 405
in July 2011
“I like to play indoors
better ’cause that’s
where all the electrical
outlets are,”
-fourth grader.
New York Times
March 31, 2013
CDC Data
20% of Teen Age
boys taking
Diagnosed with
Hyperactivity
• The Built
Environment:
Designing
Communities to
Promote Physical
Activity in
Children
• Policy Statement
American
Academy of
Pediatrics
• June 2009
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1991(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1997(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% ≥20%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2009(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2010
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%
NHANES -- Measured
NHANES – In person interview-- self-reported
BRFSS – Telephone Interview
Body Mass Index US Females 1988-1994
• …by 2030
obesity rates will
rise to 42%
• The US will need
to care for …
32 million more
obese people
than in 2010.
Forecast:
by 2030 the prevalence of the US
population with a BMI over 40 (~100 pounds
overweight) will be 11%
0
25
50
75
100
Relationship Between BMI and Risk
of Type 2 Diabetes
Chan J et al. Diabetes Care 1994;17:961.
Colditz G et al. Ann Intern Med 1995;122:481.
Age-AdjustedRelativeRisk
Body Mass index (kg/m2
)
WomenWomen
MenMen
<22 <23 23
-
23.9
24
-
24.9
25
-
26.9
27
-
28.9
29
-
30.9
31
-
32.9
33
-
34.9
35+
1.0
2.9
1.0
4.3
1.0
5.0
1.5
8.1
2.2
15.8
4.4
27.6
40.3
54.0
93.2
6.7
11.6
21.3
42.1
Percentage of US Adults with Diagnosed
Diabetes - 1994
Percentage of US Adults with Diagnosed
Diabetes - 2007
U.S. “Health” Care
Expenditures as Percent of
GDP
Keehan et al: Health Affairs
March/April 2008 27: 145-155
Male Life Expectancy
US Life Expectancy is #49 Worldwide – CIA Chartbook
“The Status of
Baby Boomers’
Health in the
United States:
The Healthiest
Generation?”
JAMA Internal
Medicine
February 4, 2013
Overall Health Status US
Persons Aged 46-64
NHANES 1988-1994 NHANES 2007-2010
Report “excellent” health
32% 13%
“Functional Limitation”
9% 14%
Using Walking Assist (wheelchair, cane, etc)
3% 7%
“Lifestyle Factors” US
Persons Aged 46-64 (NHANES)
1988-1994 2007-2010
Smoking
28% 21%
Obesity
29% 39%
“Lifestyle Factors” US
Persons Aged 46-64 (NHANES)
1988-1994 2007-2010
Smoking
28% 21%
Obesity
29% 39%
No Regular Physical Activity
17% 52%
1
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
Lean Obese
Risk of Death
Active
Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703.
Nurse Study 1976-2000
1
1.9
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
Lean Obese
Risk of Death
Active
Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703.
Nurse Study 1976-2000
1
1.6
1.9
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
Lean Obese
Risk of Death
Active
Inactive
Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703.
Nurse Study 1976-2000
1
1.6
1.9
2.4
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Lean Obese
Risk of Death
Active
Inactive
Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703.
Nurse Study 1976-2000
Gain in Longevity for a 45-Year Old Male
5.8 years
8.7 years
0
2
4
6
8
10
Low vs Moderate Low vs High
Years of added life
Additional years of Life:
Moving from Low to Moderate Fitness -- 5.8 years
From Low to High –- 8.7 years.
Credit: Hummel Architects, Boise, ID
“Old”
Schools
Credit: Manitovic Public School District
Schools
• Since World War II
–Average School Size
• grew fivefold, from 127 to 653 students
• Number of Schools declined 70%
Credit: Constance E. Beaumant, NTHP
• Percent of
children who
walk or bike to
school:
• 1974  66%
• 2000  13%
(CDC, 2000)
We have changed
how much we
walk or bike
Fitness of California Children
Annual Fitnessgram Results
Conducted in Grades 5, 7, and 9
Measures 6 major fitness areas
(e.g. aerobic capacity, body composition, flexibility)
2011 Results: Who passed all standards?
Grade 5: 25%
Grade 7: 32%
Grade 9: 37%
http://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr11/yr11rel95.asp#tab1
Institute of Medicine
Report
Accelerating Progress
in Obesity Prevention
May 8, 2012
Complete Streets Bring Equity to
Community and Transportation
• Complete Streets
– social equity, aesthetics, walking, improved
local sales, community building
• Sonoma county:
General Plan
--Policies that
Address Public
Health Threats
APHA National Meeting 2002-2003
Abstracts with “land use” - 0
2002 2003
A Big Shift in Public Health’s Awareness of Built
Environment as a Core Determinant of Health
2011 APHAAnnual Meeting
“land use” 102 matches
“built environment”
182 matches
Bicycle Rental Area Outside Union Station Washington, DC
Two Police “vehicle” parked durng lunch
ic
• Average ~200 kcal/hr
• Cost of Police Mountain Bike
– $700-1000
• Average ~ 650/kcal/hr
• Segway Personal Transporter
• $5000 and up
Charlotte, NC, Light Rail Opened
November, 2007
Interviewed
People at 839
Locations
years before
and after
Charlotte
Light Rail
Service Began
• Significant increase in meeting the
weekly Recommended Physical
Activity
• … through walking
• …and through vigorous exercise
• The use of Light Rail Transit to commute to
work was associated with an average
reduction of 1.18 BMI points (p<0.05) and
81% reduced odds of becoming obese over
time.
• For a person who is 5’5” --equivalent
to a relative weight loss of 6.45 lbs.
The Need for Health Impact
Assessment (HIA)
• Big decisions are made without examining
potential health impacts (both positive and
negative) over the life cycle.
Cooper River Bridge
Charleston SC
• If you build a walkway on a major bridge, how
many pedestrians and bicyclists will use it?
Walkway on Cooper River Bridge,
Charleston SC
• The Chenoggye freeway ran through the
center of Seoul ~1970-2005
• Cheonggyecheon -- 8.4 km long downtown Seoul, South Korea.
• The $900 million project initially attracted much public criticism.
http://www.grist.org/article/2010-08-26-when-streets-tell-the-truth-about-people-riding-in-cars-bikes/
Richard J Jackson MD MPH
dickjackson@ph.ucla.edu
We Are What We Eat, and…
We Are What We Build!

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Placemaking Conference: Healthy Communities

  • 1. Richard J Jackson MD, MPH, FAAP HonASLA, HonAIA dickjackson@ucla.edu Oklahoma Must Walk to Health April 3,2013 University of Oklahoma
  • 3.
  • 5. Commuting by driving is not good for your physical, mental, and social health. Traffic along LA freeways and Wilshire Blvd.
  • 6. We Pediatricians Fear This Most In Our Own Children…
  • 7. For every age group from 3 through 34—car crashes were the No. 1 cause of death
  • 8. In 2009 in the US 2,953,501million vehicle miles traveled 33,808 people died in motor vehicle traffic crashes. One in a million chance of death per every 87 miles driven • http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2009/vm1.cfm • http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811363.PDF
  • 9. Automobile fatality rates by city, 1998 (excluding pedestrian fatalities; deaths/100,000/year) 9.80 10.52 11.33 13.12 Source: NHTSA 2.51 New York 3.76 San Francisco 6.55 Portland 9.80 Houston 10.52 Phoenix 11.33 Dallas 13.12 Atlanta 5.36 Philadelphia
  • 10. Number of Lives Saved per year if National Car Fatality Rate same as: • New York City 24,000 • Portland 15,000 • Atlanta None– 15,000 additional
  • 11. Average pedestrian fatality rates by city, 1996-2004 (deaths/100,000/year) Source: FARS Analysis Reporting System, NHTSA 2.29 New York 3.43 San Francisco 2.42 Portland 2.63 Houston 4.06 Phoenix 3.39 Dallas 4.91 Atlanta 2.36 Philadelphia Source: Calculated from annual summary of traffic fatalities published by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration in Traffic Safety Facts.
  • 12. Pedestrian Danger Index, 2002-2003 Source: Mean Streets 2004 33.4 New York 49.4 San Francisco 43.0 Portland 121.9 Houston 117.2 Phoenix 103.7 Dallas 144.4 Atlanta 48.3 Philadelphia Source: Ernst, M. Mean Streets 2004: How far have we come? Surface Transportation Policy Project, November 2004. Accessed online at http://www.transact.org/report.asp?id=235 on Oct 4, 2006.
  • 13. Pedestrian Fatality Rates for Collisions at Different Speeds Zegeer et al 2002
  • 14. The Most Prevalent Chronic Disease of Childhood Is…
  • 15. Asthma Study in 12 Southern California High Schools • 3535 children with no history of asthma in 6 high and 6 low air pollution high schools • 5 years later: 265 children developed asthma. – High ozone high schools: • asthma rate was 3.3x higher in children playing three or more sports. – Low ozone high schools: • sports had no effect on asthma rates
  • 16. 30% reduction in Driving 30 % Improvement in Air Quality
  • 17. Results: Acute Care Visits for Asthma 1-16 year old residents of Atlanta 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Medicaid Claims* Kaiser HMO Pediatric ER's Hospital Admissions Baseline Period Olympic Period† MeanDailyNumberofEvents •p = 0.01 † July 19 –August 4, 1996 Source: Friedman, et al, JAMA, 2001
  • 18. Did you Hear about Carmageddon? When the 405 Freeway in LA Was Closed for a Weekend in 2011?
  • 19. Air Quality Change During Carmageddon Close to the Highway Improved 83% In West Los Angeles and Santa Monica Improved 75% For the Region Improved 25% 2 day closure of 10 miles of Highway 405 in July 2011
  • 20. “I like to play indoors better ’cause that’s where all the electrical outlets are,” -fourth grader.
  • 21. New York Times March 31, 2013 CDC Data 20% of Teen Age boys taking Diagnosed with Hyperactivity
  • 22.
  • 23. • The Built Environment: Designing Communities to Promote Physical Activity in Children • Policy Statement American Academy of Pediatrics • June 2009
  • 24.
  • 25. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1991(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19%
  • 26. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1997(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% ≥20%
  • 27. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2009(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%
  • 28. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2010 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%
  • 29. NHANES -- Measured NHANES – In person interview-- self-reported BRFSS – Telephone Interview Body Mass Index US Females 1988-1994
  • 30. • …by 2030 obesity rates will rise to 42% • The US will need to care for … 32 million more obese people than in 2010. Forecast: by 2030 the prevalence of the US population with a BMI over 40 (~100 pounds overweight) will be 11%
  • 31. 0 25 50 75 100 Relationship Between BMI and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Chan J et al. Diabetes Care 1994;17:961. Colditz G et al. Ann Intern Med 1995;122:481. Age-AdjustedRelativeRisk Body Mass index (kg/m2 ) WomenWomen MenMen <22 <23 23 - 23.9 24 - 24.9 25 - 26.9 27 - 28.9 29 - 30.9 31 - 32.9 33 - 34.9 35+ 1.0 2.9 1.0 4.3 1.0 5.0 1.5 8.1 2.2 15.8 4.4 27.6 40.3 54.0 93.2 6.7 11.6 21.3 42.1
  • 32. Percentage of US Adults with Diagnosed Diabetes - 1994
  • 33. Percentage of US Adults with Diagnosed Diabetes - 2007
  • 34. U.S. “Health” Care Expenditures as Percent of GDP Keehan et al: Health Affairs March/April 2008 27: 145-155
  • 35. Male Life Expectancy US Life Expectancy is #49 Worldwide – CIA Chartbook
  • 36. “The Status of Baby Boomers’ Health in the United States: The Healthiest Generation?” JAMA Internal Medicine February 4, 2013
  • 37. Overall Health Status US Persons Aged 46-64 NHANES 1988-1994 NHANES 2007-2010 Report “excellent” health 32% 13% “Functional Limitation” 9% 14% Using Walking Assist (wheelchair, cane, etc) 3% 7%
  • 38. “Lifestyle Factors” US Persons Aged 46-64 (NHANES) 1988-1994 2007-2010 Smoking 28% 21% Obesity 29% 39%
  • 39. “Lifestyle Factors” US Persons Aged 46-64 (NHANES) 1988-1994 2007-2010 Smoking 28% 21% Obesity 29% 39% No Regular Physical Activity 17% 52%
  • 40. 1 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Lean Obese Risk of Death Active Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703. Nurse Study 1976-2000
  • 41. 1 1.9 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Lean Obese Risk of Death Active Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703. Nurse Study 1976-2000
  • 42. 1 1.6 1.9 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Lean Obese Risk of Death Active Inactive Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703. Nurse Study 1976-2000
  • 43. 1 1.6 1.9 2.4 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Lean Obese Risk of Death Active Inactive Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703. Nurse Study 1976-2000
  • 44. Gain in Longevity for a 45-Year Old Male 5.8 years 8.7 years 0 2 4 6 8 10 Low vs Moderate Low vs High Years of added life Additional years of Life: Moving from Low to Moderate Fitness -- 5.8 years From Low to High –- 8.7 years.
  • 45. Credit: Hummel Architects, Boise, ID “Old” Schools Credit: Manitovic Public School District
  • 46. Schools • Since World War II –Average School Size • grew fivefold, from 127 to 653 students • Number of Schools declined 70% Credit: Constance E. Beaumant, NTHP
  • 47. • Percent of children who walk or bike to school: • 1974  66% • 2000  13% (CDC, 2000) We have changed how much we walk or bike
  • 48. Fitness of California Children Annual Fitnessgram Results Conducted in Grades 5, 7, and 9 Measures 6 major fitness areas (e.g. aerobic capacity, body composition, flexibility) 2011 Results: Who passed all standards? Grade 5: 25% Grade 7: 32% Grade 9: 37% http://www.cde.ca.gov/nr/ne/yr11/yr11rel95.asp#tab1
  • 49. Institute of Medicine Report Accelerating Progress in Obesity Prevention May 8, 2012
  • 50.
  • 51. Complete Streets Bring Equity to Community and Transportation • Complete Streets – social equity, aesthetics, walking, improved local sales, community building
  • 52. • Sonoma county: General Plan --Policies that Address Public Health Threats
  • 53. APHA National Meeting 2002-2003 Abstracts with “land use” - 0 2002 2003 A Big Shift in Public Health’s Awareness of Built Environment as a Core Determinant of Health
  • 54. 2011 APHAAnnual Meeting “land use” 102 matches “built environment” 182 matches
  • 55. Bicycle Rental Area Outside Union Station Washington, DC
  • 56. Two Police “vehicle” parked durng lunch
  • 57. ic • Average ~200 kcal/hr • Cost of Police Mountain Bike – $700-1000 • Average ~ 650/kcal/hr • Segway Personal Transporter • $5000 and up
  • 58. Charlotte, NC, Light Rail Opened November, 2007
  • 59. Interviewed People at 839 Locations years before and after Charlotte Light Rail Service Began
  • 60.
  • 61. • Significant increase in meeting the weekly Recommended Physical Activity • … through walking • …and through vigorous exercise
  • 62. • The use of Light Rail Transit to commute to work was associated with an average reduction of 1.18 BMI points (p<0.05) and 81% reduced odds of becoming obese over time. • For a person who is 5’5” --equivalent to a relative weight loss of 6.45 lbs.
  • 63. The Need for Health Impact Assessment (HIA) • Big decisions are made without examining potential health impacts (both positive and negative) over the life cycle.
  • 64. Cooper River Bridge Charleston SC • If you build a walkway on a major bridge, how many pedestrians and bicyclists will use it?
  • 65. Walkway on Cooper River Bridge, Charleston SC
  • 66. • The Chenoggye freeway ran through the center of Seoul ~1970-2005
  • 67. • Cheonggyecheon -- 8.4 km long downtown Seoul, South Korea. • The $900 million project initially attracted much public criticism.
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 71. Richard J Jackson MD MPH dickjackson@ph.ucla.edu We Are What We Eat, and… We Are What We Build!

Editor's Notes

  1. http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/09/westside-subway-wont-relieve-much-traffic-according-to-draft-environmental-impact-report.html http://www.usatoday.com/travel/destinations/2006-02-08-la-subway_x.htm http://zev.lacounty.gov/news/transportation/westside-story-always-a-traffic-drama
  2. Comparison fatality rates NYC Portland Atlanta if city rates were applied to the nation.
  3. Methodology: Data on pedestrian fatalities and population for each city taken from annual summaries compiled in Traffic Safety Facts and available online at http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/departments/nrd-30/ncsa/AvailInf.html. Rates per 100,000 were compiled for each data year and an average was taken. (Note: 2001 data was not available; 1997 rate uses 1996 population data.) Since this is not a measure of pedestrian exposure, it is not as accurate a predictor of pedestrian danger as the Pedestrian Danger Index.
  4. Note: The Pedestrian Danger Index (PDI) takes the rate of pedestrian deaths per 100,000 population and weights this by the amount pedestrians walk. It is useful for comparing cities to one another and for comparing chance in pedestrian risk over time.
  5. Carmaheaven
  6. Tv/video games/media serve as “babysitter”; parents fear of letting their kids go outside; free-play/loitering considered “crime”/overstimulated kids with overbooked schedules leave no time for free, leisure play
  7. Brain fatigue
  8. Oklahoma ranked sixth worst for obesity rates
  9. Relationship between BMI and risk of type 2 diabetes– corrected The risk of diabetes increases with increasing BMI values in men and women [1,2]. Moreover, the age-adjusted relative risk for diabetes begins to increase at BMI values that are considered normal for men (24 kg/m 2 ) and women (22 kg/m 2 ) based on mortality risk. The marked increase in the prevalence of obesity is an important contributor to the 25% increase in the prevalence of diabetes in the United States over the last 20 years [3]. Increases in abdominal fat mass, weight gain since young adulthood, and a sedentary lifestyle are additional obesity-related risk factors for diabetes [1,4,5]. Colditz GA, Willett WC, Rotnitzky A, Manson JE. Weight gain as a risk factor for clinical diabetes mellitus in women. Ann Intern Med 1995;122:481-486. Chan JM, Rimm EB, Colditz GA, et al. Obesity, fat distribution, and weight gain as risk factors for clinical diabetes in men. Diabetes Care 1994;17:961-969. Harris MI, Flegal KM, Cowie CC, et al. Prevalence of diabetes, impaired fasting glucose, and impaired glucose tolerance in U.S. adults. The Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-1994. Diabetes Care 1998;21:518-524. Ohlson LO, Larsson B, Svardsudd K, et al. The influence of body fat distribution on the incidence of diabetes mellitus. Diabetes 1985;34:1055-1058. Helmrich SP, Ragland DR, Leung RW, Paffenbarger Jr RS. Physical activity and reduced occurrence of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. N Engl J Med 1991;325:147-152.
  10. Light Rail Transit BMI PA Charlotte NC September 2010 AJPM