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INTRODUCTION
This paper will provide an overview of
how the issue of environmental
degradation and the depleting of natural
resources and how oil palm can
contribute in managing the solution. It will
also look at how development over the
years has evolved especially in the oils
and fats sector. Developed by
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
(MIT) researchers using data from 1900
to 1970, this model shows the limits of
growth model with insights into the
management of these issues. In a
nutshell, the limit of growth model
professes that to maximize global output,
the world needs to be efficient in using
natural resources and minimise
environment destruction in the production
process.
The Global Growth model
A computer generated model was
developed by researchers at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
(MIT) forty years ago to predict how
global production of food and non-food
products, resource usage, waste
production and population growth
changes as the world progresses from
1900 to 2100. (Refer to Chart 1). The
results obtained are consistent with the
views of many economists which state
that volume of goods and services which
the world can produce is limited due to
scarcity of resources, technological
constraints and the extent which the
earth biosphere can provide a clean
environment to support life.
The model has been proven to be
accurate over the years of global
progress. The earth environment has
degraded and resources are depleting.
Statistics from the Planetforlife and
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) of the United
States shows that global oils and gas
production will reach its peak in 2020 and
the CO² concentration per part per million
has risen from 384 to 392 from 2008 to
2013. (Refer to Chart 2 and 3). The green
house effect of rising CO² concentration
led global temperature to increase by
0.13 ˚F during the period.
The rehabilitative efforts of continuously
cleaning the environment and conserving
natural resources falls on government
and private initiatives through legislations
and monetary incentives. While private
entities are obligated to obey established
legislation, it is expensive for them to
address the environment issues
individually. Among the monetary
incentives currently available include the:
a) UN-REDD Programme – A program
with a collaborative initiative by the
United Nations (UN) on Reducing
Emissions from Deforestation and forest
Degradation in developing countries,
which was launched in 2008 and built on
the convening role of FAO and UNEP
(UN-REDD, 2009).
MPOC FORTUNE
MALAYSIAN PALM OIL COUNCIL KKDN PP 14669/05/2013 (032704) VOL: 4 2014
®
DIRECTOR
Faudzy Asrafudeen Sayed Mohamed
faudzy@mpoc.org.my
MANAGERS
Muhammad Kharibi Zainal Ariffin
kharibi@mpoc.org.my
Mohd Izham Hassan
izham@mpoc.org.my
MARKET ANALYSTS
Asia Pacific Lim Teck Chaii
(China) lim@mpoc.org.my
Asia Pacific Mohd Hafezh Bin Abdul Rahman
(Excl. China) mhafezh@mpoc.org.my
South Asia Fatimah Zaharah Md Nan
fatimah@mpoc.org.my
Middle-East Mohamad Suhaili Hambali
msuhaili@mpoc.org.my
Africa Nor Iskahar Nordin
iskahar@mpoc.org.my
Europe Azriyah Azian
azriyah@mpoc.org.my
Americas Mohd Izham Hassan
izham@mpoc.org.my
MARKETING & MARKET
DEVELOPMENT DIVISION
For more information, please contact
Tel : 603 - 7806 4097 Fax: 603 - 7806 2272
Continued on page 6
Global Food Security - Leveraging on Palm Oil
for Higher Limit of Oils & Fats Output
Chart 1: The Limits of Growth Model
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
Pollution Ind. Output Population Food Resources
Source : Meadows D. H. et. al. (1974)
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Chart 2: Oil & Gas Production Profiles
Gboe
Regular
Oil
Heavy
etc
Deepwater Polar NGL Gas Non-Con
Gas
Source: Planetforlife
MPOC FORTUNE •  3
MARKETInsightsIns g
About Us
1. Changzhou City
Located in the center of Yangtze River
Delta, the most prosperous and dynamic
region in China, Changzhou is a
fast-growing industrial city, situated in the
middle between Shanghai and Nanjing.
As one of the central cities in Grand
Shanghai Economic Circle, Changzhou
is an important base of manufacturing
and logistics.
- An ancient city with a history of more
than 3,200 years
- 4,385 km² with 4.69 million registered
population
- Top 4 of Livable Cities in China in 2013
- Gold Award of International Garden City
in 2012
- No.9 of the Best Commercial Cities in
China by Forbes
2. CZBJ Profile
Jiangsu Changzhou Binjiang Economic
Development Zone (CZBJ), formerly
called Jiangsu Xinbei Industrial Park, was
established in April 2006 with the
approval of Jiangsu Provincial
Government and verification of National
Development and Reform Commission.
Covering an industrial area of 34.5 km²,
CZBJ achieved great economic
performance in 2013:
CZBJ has long become a hotspot for
investors from both home and abroad. In
recent years, many World Fortune 500
and leading industrial enterprises have
been set up in our development zone, i.e.
Ashland, Novelis, Micarta from the USA;
Lanxess, Linde, Wurth from Germany;
AkzoNobel from Netherlands; DIC from
Japan; Saint-Gobain from France and
etc. Both central state-owned enterprises
and producer services develop fast, i.e.
China Resources, State Grid, Dongfeng
Continued on page 8
Changzhou
Binjiang
Economic
Development
Zone (CZBJ) –
Gateway to
Palm Bioenergy
Investment
in China
North Port, Port Klang
- Fima Bulking Services Berhad
- Fimachem Sdn Bhd
- Fima Liquid Bulking Sdn Bhd
- Fima Freight Forwarders Sdn Bhd
Butterworth
- Fima Palmbulk Services Sdn Bhd
Jalan Parang, 2nd Extension, North Port, 42000 Port Klang, Selangor, MALAYSIA
Tel: +603 - 3176 7211 Fax: +603 - 3176 5641 Email: enquiry@fimabulking.com
http://www.fimabulking.com
Located in a free commercial
zone offer excellent
opportunities for
• Import and export
• Transhipment
• MDEX tender (approved
delivery point)
• Regional collection /
distribution hub
Facilities available :
• Carbonsteel
• Coated & stainless tanks come
with heating facilities &
nitrogen blanketing.
Malaysia’s Largest Independent
Common-user Multi-purpose Liquid
Bulk Terminal Operator
MPOC FORTUNE •  5
Continued on page 7
Much has been said and written about
India’s continuing reliance on imported
vegetable oils to meet the increasing
demand for edible consumption.
Domestic production continues to
stagnate and demand continues to rise
on the back of the multiplier effect of
rising population and economic wellbeing
of the population. Not much thought has
been given to the potential for increased
imports emanating from industrial growth,
particularly in the oleo chemicals industry.
Increasing demand for biodegradable
and sustainable products, coupled with
recent changes in regulations, are
increasing the importance of
oleochemicals in various segments of the
chemicals industry, like lubricants and
biosurfactants for eg., all of this offer
significant opportunities for companies in
the long run. Companies that explore
organic and/or inorganic growth options
in this market space could be poised for
major growth.
Traditionally, oleochemicals have been
used for applications in surfactants,
personal care, soaps, detergents and
food additives. However, various new
applications are emerging where they
can replace petroleum-based products,
creating exciting growth opportunities.
Oleo-chemicals is a fast growing sector
in India, with major demand for oleo
products coming from the below
segments.
SOAPS
Personal Care products are likely to
experience a great thrust in
consumption, where Indian consumption
lags far behind world standards. In so far
as soaps are concerned, they have a
99% market penetration but the per
capita consumption is significantly lower
than the global average. Compared to a
per capita consumption of 6500 gms per
annum in USA and 4000 gms in China,
Indian soap consumption lags way
behind at only about 730 gms per capita
per annum. This, by itself, points to the
possibility of a much larger palm oil
requirement from the soap segment
alone. Although bar soaps are the largest
component, there is tremendous
potential for growth in the hand wash
segment as well.
Soap consumption has experienced a
CAGR of about 4% in 2008-13. It is likely
to grow at a CAGR of 3% to 5% between
2013 to 2020. The main thrust of the
FMCG sector is to target rural areas
which seem to show the greatest
potential as more than 50% of the
population lives in rural areas.
The greatest potential is for liquid soaps
where consumption levels are extremely
low. This segment is expected to achieve
a CAGR rate of 16% in the 2013-20
period.
Personal care – Bar Soaps
Bar Soaps are the largest FMCG product
segment and is expected to see a growth
of 6% in volume over FY13-20
DETERGENTS
Laundry detergents are the biggest
segment accounting for about 90% of the
total detergent market. These detergents
are available as bars, powders and
liquids. Powders comprise majority of the
laundry market in India while liquid
detergents are still in a nascent stage of
market development.
Dishwashing detergents are available as
bars, powders and liquids; bars and
powders account for about 85% of the
total market by value but this is expected
to decrease to 75% by 2020. Overall
dishwashing detergent penetration in
India is expected to grow from about 30%
of households to about 40% by 2020.
Liquid detergents constitute about 5% of
the volume and 15% of the value in
dishwashing detergents and are
expected to increase to 11% in volume
and 30% value by 2020. The first liquid
laundry detergent product was launched
in India by Hindustan Lever in May 2013.
Liquid laundry detergents are expected
to grow to about 5% of the volume by
2020.
Consumers from rural areas and smaller
towns are increasingly shifting towards
use of detergent cleaning products owing
to growing concerns for hygiene.
Extensive marketing by FMCG
companies in these newer markets has
provided impetus to growth in per capita
consumption
Premium detergent products such as
machine wash and post-wash softeners
still have low penetration in India even in
urban areas but are expected to ramp up
over the next few years. Another
emerging trend in the detergents industry
is the focus on using less water in low
temperature washes and producing
lower waste during production and
usage.
MARKETInsightsIns g
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY20
688 717 764 816 855 900
1,241CAGR 5%
CAGR 6%
Country Grams Per Year (FY13)
India ~730
China 4,000
USA 6,500
Per capita consumption – Bar Soaps
Source: Indiastat, KPMG Analysis
India's per capita consumptionis
projected to increase to ~920
gramsby FY20
Bar Soap Volume
Good Potential for
Palm Oleo Chemicals in India
Source: Euromonitor, analyst reports,
KPMG analysis
b) Clean Development Mechanism
(CDM) – A mechanism developed as
defined in Article 12 of the Protocol, which
allows countries with emission-reduction
commitment to implement emission-
reduction projects in developing countries
to earn saleable certified emission
reduction (CER) credits to meet the Kyoto
targets (UNFCC, 2014).
c) EU’s Renewable Energy Directive
(RED) – A directive which requires that
20% of the energy consumed within the
European Union is from renewable
sources by 2020 with specified targets for
use of renewable fuels and reduction of
greenhouse gas (GHG) emission across
all energy sector (Glass, 2013).
d) USA Renewable Fuel Standard
(RFS) – A standard established under the
Energy Policy Act (EPAct, 2005) to
develop and implement regulations to
ensure transportation fuel in United
States (US) contains a minimum volume
of renewable fuel, which will increase
each year, escalating to 36 billion by year
2022 (EPA, 2013).
In the oils and fats trade, consumers
especially those in developed countries
are demanding for sustainably produced
and environmental friendly products. This
new purchasing behaviour is created by
NGOs who often create issues to further
their cause and make their claim without
the backing of justifiable facts and figures
(Yusof, 2013). These NGO’s are blaming
the palm oil industry for environmental
destruction and they blow issues out of
proportion just to entice financial support.
As a result, the consumers are now
demanding and governments especially
in Europe has developed stringent
production guidelines which is applied to
producers through certification schemes.
The certification schemes ensure products
comply with the requirement imposed in
various concerns such as environment,
social and legislation to satisfy consumer
needs. Certification ensures products are
produced in compliance with the
consumer requirement including
Sustainability, which has become a major
concern. Amongst the notable
sustainability certification schemes are the
Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil
(RSPO) Certification Scheme, Indonesia
Standard for Sustainable Palm Oil (ISPO)
and EU’s International Sustainability &
Carbon Certification (ISCC). As for
Malaysia, there are plans to introduce the
Malaysian Standard for Sustainable Palm
Oil (MSPO) certification in the near future.
Financial institutions are also taking a cue
from this development amidst the new
consumer demands to strengthen their
brand value. For example, HSBC has
recently announced that they will not
finance oil palm companies whose
business activities result in environmental
destruction. (HSBC, March 2014)
Although the limits of growth model
together with some economist predict that
global output volume will, upon reaching
its peak will start to decline, it is yet to be
proven in the global food production.
Based on FAO statistical trend of food
production, it shows that yearly growth of
food production is 3.4% which exceeds
population growth of 1.6%. A similar trend
was observed for global oils and fats
production trend. (Refer to table 1 and 2).
One possible reason is that the
production level has not hit the maximum
limit.
However, there is still a risk of reduction in
global food production as arable land per
capita has declined from 1961 to 2012.
(Refer to table 3). Based on the limits of
growth model, environmental degradation
and global depletion of natural resources
are other factors which could contribute to
6 •  MPOC FORTUNE
394
392
390
388
386
384
382
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Chart 3: Recent Global Monthly Mean CO²
PartsPerMillion
Source: NOAA, 2014
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Table 2: Population Vis-a-vis Oils & Fats Production growth
Average population growth: 1.6%
Mn MT Billion
Average O&F production growth: 2.4%
’MnMT
Billionpeople
Source: Oil World Annual, Jan - Mar 2014
Continued from page 1
MARKETInsightsIns g
Global Food Security
- Leveraging on Palm
Oil for Higher Limit of
Oils & Fats Output
Continued on page 9
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009
Table 1: Population Vis-a-vis Global Food Production
Average population growth: 1.6%
Population (Billion) Food Production (Billion MT)
Average food production growth: 2.4% Source: FAO
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
Table 3: Global arable land per capita
Hectares per capita
Source: FAO
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.00
Hectarespercapita
MPOC FORTUNE •  7
4,000
5,000
4,500
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,000
500
1,500
0
Detergents Volume
Country Kg Per Year (FY10)
India 2.5
China 4
USA 10
Per capita consumption – Laundry detergents
Laundry Dishwashing
Source: Analyst reports,
KPMG analysis
India’s per capita consumption
is projected to increase to 3.4kg
per annum by FY20
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY20
CAGR 7%
CAGR 9%
2,103
228
2,215
251
2,409
274
2,640
294
2,790
318
3,006
345
4,651
545
250
200
150
100
50
0
36 44 48 55
66
79
222
CAGR 16%
CAGR 17%
Skin care volume
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY20
Source: Feedback Industry Report Skin
Care 2013; Indiastat, KPMG analysis
Country USD Per Year Country USD Per Year
India 0.6
China 6.6
USA 32
Germany 55.4
Per capita consumption – Skin care
Source: Unilever Investor Seminar 2010; Note: India (2012), Others (2010)
Per capita consumption of laundry
detergents in India is estimated at 2.5 kg
per annum in 2013 and is projected to
increase to 3.4 kg per annum in 2020
Detergents - Laundry and dishwashing
Detergents are likely to have a modest
growth in volume with laundry detergents
continuing to remain the largest category
SKIN CARE
Key products in the Indian skin care
market include fairness creams (45%)
and moisturisers (22%). The remaining
33% include specialized products such
as toners and astringents, antiseptic
creams, premium skin care creams,
etc…
India’s per capita spend on skin care is
estimated to be only 1/10th of China’s.
This indicates a large potential for future
growth. Per capita consumption of skin
care products in India is expected to
increase from about 64 gms in 2013 to
approx. 164 gms by 2020.
Personal Care – Skin Care &
cosmetics
Volume growth in the skin care segment
is expected to be driven by premium &
men’s grooming products
COSMETICS
The industry consists of lip paint, nail
paint, eye makeup and facial make up.
Lip and nail make-up are estimated to
account for about 80% of the market.
Cosmetics industry in India has grown at
about 25% per annum over 2008-13 and
is expected to continue to sustain the
growth momentum going forward,
growing at about 22% over 2013-20.
Per capita spending on cosmetics in
India remains significantly lower than
other developed countries and indicates
significant growth potential. Higher
discretionary spending, strong media
exposure leading to increased fashion
consciousness, entry of several
international cosmetic manufacturers,
demand from men’s grooming segment
are key drivers leading industry growth.
Personal care – Skin Care &
Cosmetics
Cosmetics is still under-penetrated in
India but is expected to continue its high
growth momentum
OTHER SECTORS
Other major sectors of oleo chemicals
users include pharmaceuticals, tobacco
processing, rubber processing, paints,
plastics, etc. Palm based products
account for a significant portion of the
feedstock for the oleo chemicals industry,
with soaps accounting for the major
chunk.
Continued from page 5
MARKETInsightsIns g
Good Potential for Palm Oleo Chemicals in India
Continued on page 11
Motor, China National Salt Corporation,
Guodian Power (Changzhou),
Longcheng Steel Market, Turbo-logistics,
ABLE logistics and etc.
At present, three pillar industrial sectors
have been formed:
Advantages for Biofuel/ Biomass
Industry
With the only professional chemical park
in Changzhou, CZBJ focuses on
developing new materials and new
energy. In 2013, gross industrial output
realized by new materials and new
energy enterprises reached 60.5 billion
CNY, accounting for about 65% of that of
large-scale enterprises in CZBJ.
To promote biomass and biofuel industry,
CZBJ demonstrates advantages in four
aspects:
1. Sufficient Land Capacity
CZBJ has reserved a land of about 790
hectares with port and logistic resources
for quality projects. Moreover, the land
has been approved by provincial and
municipal government to develop
chemical, chemical new material and
new energy (biomass energy) industry.
2. Convenient Traffic Network
Possessing the entire Yangtze River
waterfront resources in Changzhou,
CZBJ enjoys “4D” transportation network:
Changzhou port is a first class ocean
going port approved by the State Council
and one of the 63 ports directly
connected to Taiwan. Changzhou Port is
planned to build 15 berths of 100,000
DWT and 52 berths of 1000DWT. By
2015, the handling capacity will be 6MT,
and reach 100 MT in 2020. Customs
supervision station and bonded
warehouses are available in the park,
providing 24-hour onsite service for
enterprises.
Changzhou Airport is a 4E level airport,
providing 20 domestic airlines to major
cities in China. Flights to some Asian
cities including HK will be open within
2014.
Continued on page 10
Changzhou Binjiang Economic
Development Zone (CZBJ) – Gateway to
Palm Bioenergy Investment in China
Continued from page 3
MARKETInsightsIns g
8 •  MPOC FORTUNE
Table 6: Major emitters of GHG of palm biodiesel
Emission sources Amount (kg CO²/
tonnes biodiesel)
Production of fertilizers used 185 (11.5%)
Nitrous oxide emitted 130 (8.1%)
Use of pesticides 34 (2.1%)
Transportation & machinery use 89 (5.6%)
Milling & refining of palm oil 19 (1.2%)
EFB 87 (5.4%)
Effluent ponds 824 (51.5%)
Transportation to mills, refineries 36 (2.3%)
Biodiesel refining 197 (12.3%)
Total 1,601 (100%)
Production & use of fossil fuel 4,228
Palm biodiesel savings 2,627
GHG emission saving relative to fossil diesel 65%
Source: van Zutphen ( 2007)
MPOC FORTUNE •  9
the risk of down trend in global food
production.
How palm oil fits into the model
With the inclusion of oil palm into the
equation it is quite definite that the
maximum global output limit will be higher
than the figure predicted by the
researchers from the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology (MIT). The model
did not factor in the contribution of the oil
palm sector as their model was built for
the period from 1900 to 1970 before the
global palm oil industry was developed by
Malaysia and Indonesia in the 1970s.
(Yusof, 2007)
As a crop, oil palm has helped to save the
amount of land utilised to produce edible
oils to feed the world. Oil palm is a high
yielding crop producing 11 times more oil
compared to soybean, 10 times more
compare sunflower oil and 7 times more
than rapeseed (Khosla & Sundram, 2010).
In 2013, global palm oil production was at
56.2 million MT and accounted for almost
30% of global oils and fats production of
190 million MT (Oil World, 2014).
Oil palm crop also has a high carbon
sequestration. In Malaysia’s case, oil
palm could cover the carbon emission of
land use change by the rice sector and
emission from other minor system of the
economy (Ministry of Natural Resources
& Environment Malaysia, 2011). It is quite
close to the CO² removal of forest. In
2007, the amount of CO² removed by the
oil palm sector is high at 68% of the
amount removed by the forest. Life Cycle
analysis done by van Zutphen shows that
CO² emission from the production of 1
MT of palm bio-diesel is lower than
soyabean and canola based biodiesel.
The emission is also lower than the
production of 1 MT of diesel. (Refer to
table 4 & 5 for the detail).
Unfair trade practices on palm
In spite of the superior qualities and the
versatility of palm oil in safeguarding the
world’s food security and environment, it
is not included in the EU-RED and
USA-RFS programmes. Such decisions
might have been made due to specific
countries interest to protect local
agricultural industry and policy by
deliberately ignoring palm oil’s superior
contribution. The testing method use to
establish the GHG savings emission in
EU and USA may not be inclusive or
representative of palm oil’s GHG savings.
Based on Van Zutphen (2008) study, the
oil palm industry Green House Gas
saving relative to fossil diesel is 65%.
This savings exceeds the threshold value
of EU-RED of 35%.
The USA-RFS differs from EU-RED in its
computation of GHG emission as it
include emission from palm kernel
processing but does not include emission
from land use change resulting in a
threshold value of 20%. As for life cycle
analysis on palm based biodiesel
production conducted by MPOC, it shows
a 101% savings over fossil fuels.
Therefore, the two studies conducted by
van Zutphen and MPOC show that palm
oil biodiesel feedstock should qualify for
the benefits of US-RFS and EU-RED
programme.
Conclusion
Oil palm is a perennial crop which
supports the basis for the development of
the limits of growth model. The model
promotes efficient use of resource while
minimizing environmental destruction
during production. In line with the basis of
the model, oil palm cultivation enables
efficient land usage with high productivity
of agricultural crop on limited land while
promoting greener environment. Every
Continued from page 6
MARKETInsightsIns g
Global Food Security
- Leveraging on Palm
Oil for Higher Limit of
Oils & Fats Output
Continued on page 12
20072000
167
Forest
82
Palm
147
40.5
35.6
147*
Forest
100*
Palm
Plantation
217
49
26.9
Total CO²
Emission 223.1
Total CO²
removal by
LULUCF 249.8
Total CO²
removal by
LULUCF 247
Total CO²
Emission 292.9
Emissions by others
LULUCF
+
Rice Sector
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Source: Ministry of Natural Resources & Environment Malaysia
Table 4 : Malaysian Greenhouse Gas Emission and Removal (MT)
Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF)
is made of Forestry and (Oil Palm) Plantation sector
Table 5 : Palm oil biofuel is superior to
other biofuels to arrest climate change
Source: van Zutphen ( 2008)
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
kgCO²/tonne
Palm Oil Soya Canola Diesel
byns
10 •  MPOC FORTUNE
Continued from page 8
MARKETInsightsIns g
3. Broad Market Prospect
Usually palm oil is used to produce
biofuel, food and daily chemical products.
Due to the superior location, Changzhou
is surrounded by many enterprises of
these three kinds.
4. Sound Public Facilities
Power Supply
Two 220kV and two 110kV power
substations, with a total capacitance of
540,000KVA. Dual-circuit input line of 10kV,
20kV, 35kV and 110kVcan be provided.
Water Supply
Yangtze River provides abundant water
resource.
One tap water plant: 1,000,000t/d, and
one industrial water plant: 80,000t/d.
The demineralized water can be
supplied.
Steam Supply
Three thermal power plants with a
capacity of 1200t/h. High pressure:
4.5MPa, low pressure 0.4~1.0Mpa.
Natural Gas
The “West-East” and “Sichuan-East”
National Gas Transmission Projects have
distribution stations in the zone. The
pipelines have been laid along the main
roads to ensure civil and industrial
utilization.
Sewage Treatment
Two sewage treatment plants with a
capacity of 330,000t/d, (another
100,000t/d-plant is under construction),
including 30,000 t/d chemical wastewater
treatment capacity.
Residue Treatment
There are professional residue treatment
plants with an incineration capacity of
9,900t/a, another 30,000t/a incineration
unit is under planning, collection capacity
of 1,000t/a, and comprehensive
utilization capacity of 28,000 t/a.
Industrial Gases
Linde, a professional gases supplier from
Germany, offers gas service such as
nitrogen, oxygen, hydrogen and argon.
Pipe Rack
Raw materials, products, steam and
industrial gases can be delivered through
the public pipe rack, which is about 10
km.
Fire Fighting
CZBJ has been equipped with an
advanced firefighting station.
Tank Storage
The current capacity is 520,000 m3, of
which 149, 000 m3 are bonded. (Besides,
another 370,000 m3 tank farm is under
construction.) There are around
100,000m3 exclusive solid warehouses
(including 20,000 m3 for hazardous
chemicals).
Land-Level
Land will be leveled to the natural height
before delivered to investors, with
supporting infrastructures connected to
the boundary of the land. Desmond Ng,
MPOC Shanghai
(1) Biomass Industry:
(2) Daily Chemical Industry:
(3) Food Industry:
Changzhou Binjiang Economic
Development Zone (CZBJ) – Gateway
to Palm Bioenergy Investment in China
T
MPOC FORTUNE •  11
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
900
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
CAGR 4%
598 627
655
682 708 732 755 776
Source: KPMG analysis
Palm - based feedstock demand for soap production
CAGR 9%
Palm - based feedstock demand from oleochemicals
for different end-user segments (Non-soap)
64
38
30
33
9
14
15
71
44
33
34
10
14
16
79
50
36
36
12
15
17
87
57
40
37
14
15
18
96
64
45
38
16
15
19
106
71
50
39
18
15
20
115
79
55
40
20
16
21
126
87
62
40
23
16
22350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
400
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Personal care
Detergents
Plastics
Rubber
Pharma
Processed food
Tobacco
Paint
’000MT
Continued from page 9
Good Potential
for Palm Oleo
Chemicals in India
MARKETInsightsIns g
The below chart shows the potential
CAGR of 4% from 2013-2020 from the
soap segment:
Palm – based feedstock demand from
oleochemicals
Demand of palm-based feedstocks for
oleochemical applications expected to
increase at a CAGR of 5% over FY 13-20
Palm-based feedstock demand from
oleochemicals for different end-user
segments (Non-soap)
Similarly, the below chart shows the
potential for a CAGR of 9% from the
non-soap segments over the same
period:
Based on what was presented, we can
conclude that there is immense potential
for increased usage of palm based
products in the manufacture of oleo
chemicals especially in the non food
sector. Although there are several oleo
manufacturers in India, this sector is one
of the growth sectors and it definitely
offers opportunities for further
investments, including joint ventures.
The newly elected Indian government
promises to be more business friendly
and this bodes well for the development
of Malaysia – India joint business ties
and a new avenue for palm based
products to be marketed in India.
Bhavna, MPOC India.
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY20
Country USD Per Year (FY13)
India 0.4
China 1
Per capita consumption – Cosmetic
Source: Analyst reports,
KPMG analysisUSA 37
Cosmetics volume
2 1 1
3
1 1
3 2 1
4
2 1
5
2 1
6
3
1
24
15
6
CAGR 22%
CAGR 25%
Lip paint Face make-up Nail paint
Source: Euromonitor, Analyst Reports,
news articles, KPMG analysis
MPOC
Offices
Worldwide
Malaysian Palm Oil Council (MPOC)
2nd Floor Wisma Sawit
Lot 6, SS 6, Jalan Perbandaran
47301 Kelana Jaya, Selangor
Tel: 603-7806 4097
Fax: 603-7806 2272
www.mpoc.org.my
American Palm Oil Council
1010 Wisconsin Av, Suite 307
Washington DC 20007
Tel: +1 (202) 333 0661
Fax: +1 (202) 333 0331
www.americanpalmoil.com
E-mail: kassim@americanpalmoil.com
Contact: Mohd Salleh Kassim
MPOC Africa Regional Office
5 Nollsworth Crescent, Nollsworth Park
La Lucia Ridge Office Estate,
La Lucia 4051, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Tel: +27 (31) 5666 171
Fax: +27 (31) 5666 170
E-mail: kazmi@mpoc.org.za
Postal Address:
P.O.Box 1591
M.E.C.C. 4301, South Africa
Contact: Kamal Azmi
MPOC Bangladesh
62-63 Motijheel Commercial Area,
7th Floor, Amin Court Building,
Dhaka, Bangladesh
Tel: +88 (02) 9571 216
Fax: +88 (02) 9551 836
E-mail: fakhrul@mpoc.org.bd
Contact: Fakhrul Alam
MPOC Shanghai
Shanghai Westgate Mall Co. Ltd.
Room 1610B, 1038 Nanjing Rd. (w)
Shanghai 200041, P. R. China
Tel: +86 (21) 6218 2085 / 6218 2513
Fax: +86 (21) 6218 1125
E-mail: teah@mpoc.org.cn
Contact: Teah Yau Kun
MPOC Pakistan
11 – 3rd Floor, Leeds Centre
Main Boulevard Gulberg, 111 Lahore, Pakistan
Tel: +92 (42) 3571 6600 / 3571 6601
Fax: +92 (42) 3571 6602
E-mail: faisal@mpoc.org.pk
Contact: Faisal Iqbal
MPOC India
S-4, New Mahavir Building, Cumballa Hill Road
Kemps Corner, Mumbai 400 036
Tel: +91 (22) 6655 0755 / 6655 0756
Fax: +91 (22) 6655 0757
E-mail: bhavna@mpoc.org.in
Contact: Bhavna Shah
MPOC Europe Regional Office
31 Avenue Emile Vendervelde
1200 Brussels Belgium
Tel: +32 (2) 7748 860
Fax: +32 (2) 7794 371
E-mail: kumar@mpoc.eu
Contact: Uthaya Kumar
MPOC Moscow
Moscow, 4th Dobrininskiy side-street,
8 BC 'Dobrinya', 1st floor, Office R00-126
Tel : +790 963 520 40
Email: udovenko@mpoc.org.my
Contact: Aleksey Udovenko
MPOC Cairo
3 Gamal E1-Din Afify Street, Nasir City
Zone No.6, 11371 Cairo, Egypt
Tel: +20 (2) 2273 8108
Fax +20 (2) 2273 8106
E-mail: zainuddin@mpocegypt.com
Contact: Zainuddin Hassan
MPOC Istanbul
Guzel Konutlar Sitesi
Dilek Apartment Daire 3
Balmumcu, Besiktas - Istanbul, Turkey
Tel: +90 (212) 2668234
Fax +90 (212) 2668236
E-mail: haznita@mpoc.org.my
Contact: Norhaznita HusinPublisher: Malaysian Palm Oil Council (MPOC)
2nd Floor Wisma Sawit, Lot 6, SS 6,
Jalan Perbandaran, 47301 Kelana Jaya, Selangor
Printed by: Aktiara Corporation Sdn Bhd
1 & 3, Jalan TPP 1/3, Taman Industri Puchong
Batu 12, 47160 Puchong, Selangor
characteristic and property of oil palm makes
it superior compared to other oil crops. On the
field, the Malaysian palm oil industry has
developed good agricultural practices which
include zero burning, zero waste and
integrated pest management which minimise
chemical controls. Oil palm plantations act as
effective carbon sequesters with cumulative
benefits of cultivation to rural population and
the economy. In Malaysia, the oil palm sector
provides employment to approximately
800,000 people while palm oil sector export
revenue registered RM61.36 billion in 2013.
Anthony K. Veerayan & Lim Teck Chaii, MPOC HQ
References
1. Food and Agricultural Organisation of the United
Nations, (FAO) http://faostat3.fao.org/faostat-
gateway/go/to/download/R/RL/E
2. Malaysian Palm Oil Council’s comments on
EPA’s NODA concerning renewable fuels
produced from palm oil under the RFS Scheme
(EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0542)
3. Meadows Donella H., Meadows Dennis L.
Meadows, Randers Jorgen, Behrens III William
W, ( 1974), The limits to growth, Pan Books Ltd.
U.K.
4. Ministry of Natural Resources & Environment
Malaysia ( 2011). Malaysia Second National
National Communication to the UNFCCC, p.
1115
5. Oil World Annual (Jan – March 2014) ‘Statistics
for 17 Oils and Fats & Biodiesel.
6. Pramod Khosla and Kalyana Sundram, (2010) ‘A
Supplement on Palm Oil – Why? The Journal of
the American College of Nutrition, Vol.29, No.
3(S) pp.237s-239s.
7. van Zutphen, H (2007) The CO² and Energy
Balance of Malaysian Palm Oil, Zwolle,
Netherlands
8. van Zutphen H ( 2008) ‘Comparative LCA
analysis of different edible oils and fats’
International Palm Oil Sustainable Conf., Kota
Kinabalu, Sabah, p. 18
Websites.
1. Clean Development Mechanism - CDM (2014)
https://unfcc.int/kyoto_protocol/ mechanisms/
clean_development_mechanisms/items/2718.p
hp, Accessed on 1 may 2014
2. Glass D. (2013) ‘European Union Renewable
Energy Directive-Advanced Biotechnology for
Biofuels http://dglassassociates.wordpress.
com/2013/01/22/european-union0renewable-en
ergy-directive/, Accessed on 27 may 2014.
3. HSBC Statement on Forestry and Palm Oil
(March 2014) http://www.hsbc.com/~/media/
HSBC-com/citizenship/sustainability/pdf/hsbc-st
atement-on-forest, Accessed on 28 may 2014
4. Renewable Fuel Standards (RFS) – Fuel and
Fuel Additives (2013) http://www.epa.gov/
OTAQ/fuels/renewablefuels, Accessed on 1 may
2014
5. The Hubbert Curve for the whole world,
http://planetforlife.com/oilcrisis/oilpeak.html
Accessed in 28 may 2014
6. The United nations Collaborative Programme on
Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and
Forest degradation in Developing Countries
(2009) http://www.un-redd.org/ AboutUN-REDD
Programme/tabid/102613/Default.aspx,
Accessed on 1 may 2014.
7. Trends in Atmospheric carbon Dioxide (2014)
US Department of Commerce, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration http://www.esrl.
noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/ Accessed on 28
may 2014.
8. Yusof Basiron, Unjustified & Illogical campaigns
against palm oil (2013) http://www.ceopalmoil.
com/2013/02/unjustified-illogical-campaigns-ag
ainst-palm-oil/, Accessed on 28 may 2014
C
O
M
PLETED
C
O
M
PLETED
Global Food Security
- Leveraging on Palm
Oil for Higher Limit of
Oils & Fats Output
MARKETInsightsIns g
Continued from page 9

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Malaysian Palm Oil FORTUNE 2014 Volume 4

  • 1. INTRODUCTION This paper will provide an overview of how the issue of environmental degradation and the depleting of natural resources and how oil palm can contribute in managing the solution. It will also look at how development over the years has evolved especially in the oils and fats sector. Developed by Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) researchers using data from 1900 to 1970, this model shows the limits of growth model with insights into the management of these issues. In a nutshell, the limit of growth model professes that to maximize global output, the world needs to be efficient in using natural resources and minimise environment destruction in the production process. The Global Growth model A computer generated model was developed by researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) forty years ago to predict how global production of food and non-food products, resource usage, waste production and population growth changes as the world progresses from 1900 to 2100. (Refer to Chart 1). The results obtained are consistent with the views of many economists which state that volume of goods and services which the world can produce is limited due to scarcity of resources, technological constraints and the extent which the earth biosphere can provide a clean environment to support life. The model has been proven to be accurate over the years of global progress. The earth environment has degraded and resources are depleting. Statistics from the Planetforlife and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States shows that global oils and gas production will reach its peak in 2020 and the CO² concentration per part per million has risen from 384 to 392 from 2008 to 2013. (Refer to Chart 2 and 3). The green house effect of rising CO² concentration led global temperature to increase by 0.13 ˚F during the period. The rehabilitative efforts of continuously cleaning the environment and conserving natural resources falls on government and private initiatives through legislations and monetary incentives. While private entities are obligated to obey established legislation, it is expensive for them to address the environment issues individually. Among the monetary incentives currently available include the: a) UN-REDD Programme – A program with a collaborative initiative by the United Nations (UN) on Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation in developing countries, which was launched in 2008 and built on the convening role of FAO and UNEP (UN-REDD, 2009). MPOC FORTUNE MALAYSIAN PALM OIL COUNCIL KKDN PP 14669/05/2013 (032704) VOL: 4 2014 ® DIRECTOR Faudzy Asrafudeen Sayed Mohamed faudzy@mpoc.org.my MANAGERS Muhammad Kharibi Zainal Ariffin kharibi@mpoc.org.my Mohd Izham Hassan izham@mpoc.org.my MARKET ANALYSTS Asia Pacific Lim Teck Chaii (China) lim@mpoc.org.my Asia Pacific Mohd Hafezh Bin Abdul Rahman (Excl. China) mhafezh@mpoc.org.my South Asia Fatimah Zaharah Md Nan fatimah@mpoc.org.my Middle-East Mohamad Suhaili Hambali msuhaili@mpoc.org.my Africa Nor Iskahar Nordin iskahar@mpoc.org.my Europe Azriyah Azian azriyah@mpoc.org.my Americas Mohd Izham Hassan izham@mpoc.org.my MARKETING & MARKET DEVELOPMENT DIVISION For more information, please contact Tel : 603 - 7806 4097 Fax: 603 - 7806 2272 Continued on page 6 Global Food Security - Leveraging on Palm Oil for Higher Limit of Oils & Fats Output Chart 1: The Limits of Growth Model 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 Pollution Ind. Output Population Food Resources Source : Meadows D. H. et. al. (1974) 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Chart 2: Oil & Gas Production Profiles Gboe Regular Oil Heavy etc Deepwater Polar NGL Gas Non-Con Gas Source: Planetforlife
  • 2.
  • 3. MPOC FORTUNE •  3 MARKETInsightsIns g About Us 1. Changzhou City Located in the center of Yangtze River Delta, the most prosperous and dynamic region in China, Changzhou is a fast-growing industrial city, situated in the middle between Shanghai and Nanjing. As one of the central cities in Grand Shanghai Economic Circle, Changzhou is an important base of manufacturing and logistics. - An ancient city with a history of more than 3,200 years - 4,385 km² with 4.69 million registered population - Top 4 of Livable Cities in China in 2013 - Gold Award of International Garden City in 2012 - No.9 of the Best Commercial Cities in China by Forbes 2. CZBJ Profile Jiangsu Changzhou Binjiang Economic Development Zone (CZBJ), formerly called Jiangsu Xinbei Industrial Park, was established in April 2006 with the approval of Jiangsu Provincial Government and verification of National Development and Reform Commission. Covering an industrial area of 34.5 km², CZBJ achieved great economic performance in 2013: CZBJ has long become a hotspot for investors from both home and abroad. In recent years, many World Fortune 500 and leading industrial enterprises have been set up in our development zone, i.e. Ashland, Novelis, Micarta from the USA; Lanxess, Linde, Wurth from Germany; AkzoNobel from Netherlands; DIC from Japan; Saint-Gobain from France and etc. Both central state-owned enterprises and producer services develop fast, i.e. China Resources, State Grid, Dongfeng Continued on page 8 Changzhou Binjiang Economic Development Zone (CZBJ) – Gateway to Palm Bioenergy Investment in China
  • 4. North Port, Port Klang - Fima Bulking Services Berhad - Fimachem Sdn Bhd - Fima Liquid Bulking Sdn Bhd - Fima Freight Forwarders Sdn Bhd Butterworth - Fima Palmbulk Services Sdn Bhd Jalan Parang, 2nd Extension, North Port, 42000 Port Klang, Selangor, MALAYSIA Tel: +603 - 3176 7211 Fax: +603 - 3176 5641 Email: enquiry@fimabulking.com http://www.fimabulking.com Located in a free commercial zone offer excellent opportunities for • Import and export • Transhipment • MDEX tender (approved delivery point) • Regional collection / distribution hub Facilities available : • Carbonsteel • Coated & stainless tanks come with heating facilities & nitrogen blanketing. Malaysia’s Largest Independent Common-user Multi-purpose Liquid Bulk Terminal Operator
  • 5. MPOC FORTUNE •  5 Continued on page 7 Much has been said and written about India’s continuing reliance on imported vegetable oils to meet the increasing demand for edible consumption. Domestic production continues to stagnate and demand continues to rise on the back of the multiplier effect of rising population and economic wellbeing of the population. Not much thought has been given to the potential for increased imports emanating from industrial growth, particularly in the oleo chemicals industry. Increasing demand for biodegradable and sustainable products, coupled with recent changes in regulations, are increasing the importance of oleochemicals in various segments of the chemicals industry, like lubricants and biosurfactants for eg., all of this offer significant opportunities for companies in the long run. Companies that explore organic and/or inorganic growth options in this market space could be poised for major growth. Traditionally, oleochemicals have been used for applications in surfactants, personal care, soaps, detergents and food additives. However, various new applications are emerging where they can replace petroleum-based products, creating exciting growth opportunities. Oleo-chemicals is a fast growing sector in India, with major demand for oleo products coming from the below segments. SOAPS Personal Care products are likely to experience a great thrust in consumption, where Indian consumption lags far behind world standards. In so far as soaps are concerned, they have a 99% market penetration but the per capita consumption is significantly lower than the global average. Compared to a per capita consumption of 6500 gms per annum in USA and 4000 gms in China, Indian soap consumption lags way behind at only about 730 gms per capita per annum. This, by itself, points to the possibility of a much larger palm oil requirement from the soap segment alone. Although bar soaps are the largest component, there is tremendous potential for growth in the hand wash segment as well. Soap consumption has experienced a CAGR of about 4% in 2008-13. It is likely to grow at a CAGR of 3% to 5% between 2013 to 2020. The main thrust of the FMCG sector is to target rural areas which seem to show the greatest potential as more than 50% of the population lives in rural areas. The greatest potential is for liquid soaps where consumption levels are extremely low. This segment is expected to achieve a CAGR rate of 16% in the 2013-20 period. Personal care – Bar Soaps Bar Soaps are the largest FMCG product segment and is expected to see a growth of 6% in volume over FY13-20 DETERGENTS Laundry detergents are the biggest segment accounting for about 90% of the total detergent market. These detergents are available as bars, powders and liquids. Powders comprise majority of the laundry market in India while liquid detergents are still in a nascent stage of market development. Dishwashing detergents are available as bars, powders and liquids; bars and powders account for about 85% of the total market by value but this is expected to decrease to 75% by 2020. Overall dishwashing detergent penetration in India is expected to grow from about 30% of households to about 40% by 2020. Liquid detergents constitute about 5% of the volume and 15% of the value in dishwashing detergents and are expected to increase to 11% in volume and 30% value by 2020. The first liquid laundry detergent product was launched in India by Hindustan Lever in May 2013. Liquid laundry detergents are expected to grow to about 5% of the volume by 2020. Consumers from rural areas and smaller towns are increasingly shifting towards use of detergent cleaning products owing to growing concerns for hygiene. Extensive marketing by FMCG companies in these newer markets has provided impetus to growth in per capita consumption Premium detergent products such as machine wash and post-wash softeners still have low penetration in India even in urban areas but are expected to ramp up over the next few years. Another emerging trend in the detergents industry is the focus on using less water in low temperature washes and producing lower waste during production and usage. MARKETInsightsIns g 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY20 688 717 764 816 855 900 1,241CAGR 5% CAGR 6% Country Grams Per Year (FY13) India ~730 China 4,000 USA 6,500 Per capita consumption – Bar Soaps Source: Indiastat, KPMG Analysis India's per capita consumptionis projected to increase to ~920 gramsby FY20 Bar Soap Volume Good Potential for Palm Oleo Chemicals in India Source: Euromonitor, analyst reports, KPMG analysis
  • 6. b) Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) – A mechanism developed as defined in Article 12 of the Protocol, which allows countries with emission-reduction commitment to implement emission- reduction projects in developing countries to earn saleable certified emission reduction (CER) credits to meet the Kyoto targets (UNFCC, 2014). c) EU’s Renewable Energy Directive (RED) – A directive which requires that 20% of the energy consumed within the European Union is from renewable sources by 2020 with specified targets for use of renewable fuels and reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission across all energy sector (Glass, 2013). d) USA Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) – A standard established under the Energy Policy Act (EPAct, 2005) to develop and implement regulations to ensure transportation fuel in United States (US) contains a minimum volume of renewable fuel, which will increase each year, escalating to 36 billion by year 2022 (EPA, 2013). In the oils and fats trade, consumers especially those in developed countries are demanding for sustainably produced and environmental friendly products. This new purchasing behaviour is created by NGOs who often create issues to further their cause and make their claim without the backing of justifiable facts and figures (Yusof, 2013). These NGO’s are blaming the palm oil industry for environmental destruction and they blow issues out of proportion just to entice financial support. As a result, the consumers are now demanding and governments especially in Europe has developed stringent production guidelines which is applied to producers through certification schemes. The certification schemes ensure products comply with the requirement imposed in various concerns such as environment, social and legislation to satisfy consumer needs. Certification ensures products are produced in compliance with the consumer requirement including Sustainability, which has become a major concern. Amongst the notable sustainability certification schemes are the Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) Certification Scheme, Indonesia Standard for Sustainable Palm Oil (ISPO) and EU’s International Sustainability & Carbon Certification (ISCC). As for Malaysia, there are plans to introduce the Malaysian Standard for Sustainable Palm Oil (MSPO) certification in the near future. Financial institutions are also taking a cue from this development amidst the new consumer demands to strengthen their brand value. For example, HSBC has recently announced that they will not finance oil palm companies whose business activities result in environmental destruction. (HSBC, March 2014) Although the limits of growth model together with some economist predict that global output volume will, upon reaching its peak will start to decline, it is yet to be proven in the global food production. Based on FAO statistical trend of food production, it shows that yearly growth of food production is 3.4% which exceeds population growth of 1.6%. A similar trend was observed for global oils and fats production trend. (Refer to table 1 and 2). One possible reason is that the production level has not hit the maximum limit. However, there is still a risk of reduction in global food production as arable land per capita has declined from 1961 to 2012. (Refer to table 3). Based on the limits of growth model, environmental degradation and global depletion of natural resources are other factors which could contribute to 6 •  MPOC FORTUNE 394 392 390 388 386 384 382 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Chart 3: Recent Global Monthly Mean CO² PartsPerMillion Source: NOAA, 2014 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Table 2: Population Vis-a-vis Oils & Fats Production growth Average population growth: 1.6% Mn MT Billion Average O&F production growth: 2.4% ’MnMT Billionpeople Source: Oil World Annual, Jan - Mar 2014 Continued from page 1 MARKETInsightsIns g Global Food Security - Leveraging on Palm Oil for Higher Limit of Oils & Fats Output Continued on page 9 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 Table 1: Population Vis-a-vis Global Food Production Average population growth: 1.6% Population (Billion) Food Production (Billion MT) Average food production growth: 2.4% Source: FAO 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Table 3: Global arable land per capita Hectares per capita Source: FAO 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 Hectarespercapita
  • 7. MPOC FORTUNE •  7 4,000 5,000 4,500 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,000 500 1,500 0 Detergents Volume Country Kg Per Year (FY10) India 2.5 China 4 USA 10 Per capita consumption – Laundry detergents Laundry Dishwashing Source: Analyst reports, KPMG analysis India’s per capita consumption is projected to increase to 3.4kg per annum by FY20 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY20 CAGR 7% CAGR 9% 2,103 228 2,215 251 2,409 274 2,640 294 2,790 318 3,006 345 4,651 545 250 200 150 100 50 0 36 44 48 55 66 79 222 CAGR 16% CAGR 17% Skin care volume FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY20 Source: Feedback Industry Report Skin Care 2013; Indiastat, KPMG analysis Country USD Per Year Country USD Per Year India 0.6 China 6.6 USA 32 Germany 55.4 Per capita consumption – Skin care Source: Unilever Investor Seminar 2010; Note: India (2012), Others (2010) Per capita consumption of laundry detergents in India is estimated at 2.5 kg per annum in 2013 and is projected to increase to 3.4 kg per annum in 2020 Detergents - Laundry and dishwashing Detergents are likely to have a modest growth in volume with laundry detergents continuing to remain the largest category SKIN CARE Key products in the Indian skin care market include fairness creams (45%) and moisturisers (22%). The remaining 33% include specialized products such as toners and astringents, antiseptic creams, premium skin care creams, etc… India’s per capita spend on skin care is estimated to be only 1/10th of China’s. This indicates a large potential for future growth. Per capita consumption of skin care products in India is expected to increase from about 64 gms in 2013 to approx. 164 gms by 2020. Personal Care – Skin Care & cosmetics Volume growth in the skin care segment is expected to be driven by premium & men’s grooming products COSMETICS The industry consists of lip paint, nail paint, eye makeup and facial make up. Lip and nail make-up are estimated to account for about 80% of the market. Cosmetics industry in India has grown at about 25% per annum over 2008-13 and is expected to continue to sustain the growth momentum going forward, growing at about 22% over 2013-20. Per capita spending on cosmetics in India remains significantly lower than other developed countries and indicates significant growth potential. Higher discretionary spending, strong media exposure leading to increased fashion consciousness, entry of several international cosmetic manufacturers, demand from men’s grooming segment are key drivers leading industry growth. Personal care – Skin Care & Cosmetics Cosmetics is still under-penetrated in India but is expected to continue its high growth momentum OTHER SECTORS Other major sectors of oleo chemicals users include pharmaceuticals, tobacco processing, rubber processing, paints, plastics, etc. Palm based products account for a significant portion of the feedstock for the oleo chemicals industry, with soaps accounting for the major chunk. Continued from page 5 MARKETInsightsIns g Good Potential for Palm Oleo Chemicals in India Continued on page 11
  • 8. Motor, China National Salt Corporation, Guodian Power (Changzhou), Longcheng Steel Market, Turbo-logistics, ABLE logistics and etc. At present, three pillar industrial sectors have been formed: Advantages for Biofuel/ Biomass Industry With the only professional chemical park in Changzhou, CZBJ focuses on developing new materials and new energy. In 2013, gross industrial output realized by new materials and new energy enterprises reached 60.5 billion CNY, accounting for about 65% of that of large-scale enterprises in CZBJ. To promote biomass and biofuel industry, CZBJ demonstrates advantages in four aspects: 1. Sufficient Land Capacity CZBJ has reserved a land of about 790 hectares with port and logistic resources for quality projects. Moreover, the land has been approved by provincial and municipal government to develop chemical, chemical new material and new energy (biomass energy) industry. 2. Convenient Traffic Network Possessing the entire Yangtze River waterfront resources in Changzhou, CZBJ enjoys “4D” transportation network: Changzhou port is a first class ocean going port approved by the State Council and one of the 63 ports directly connected to Taiwan. Changzhou Port is planned to build 15 berths of 100,000 DWT and 52 berths of 1000DWT. By 2015, the handling capacity will be 6MT, and reach 100 MT in 2020. Customs supervision station and bonded warehouses are available in the park, providing 24-hour onsite service for enterprises. Changzhou Airport is a 4E level airport, providing 20 domestic airlines to major cities in China. Flights to some Asian cities including HK will be open within 2014. Continued on page 10 Changzhou Binjiang Economic Development Zone (CZBJ) – Gateway to Palm Bioenergy Investment in China Continued from page 3 MARKETInsightsIns g 8 •  MPOC FORTUNE
  • 9. Table 6: Major emitters of GHG of palm biodiesel Emission sources Amount (kg CO²/ tonnes biodiesel) Production of fertilizers used 185 (11.5%) Nitrous oxide emitted 130 (8.1%) Use of pesticides 34 (2.1%) Transportation & machinery use 89 (5.6%) Milling & refining of palm oil 19 (1.2%) EFB 87 (5.4%) Effluent ponds 824 (51.5%) Transportation to mills, refineries 36 (2.3%) Biodiesel refining 197 (12.3%) Total 1,601 (100%) Production & use of fossil fuel 4,228 Palm biodiesel savings 2,627 GHG emission saving relative to fossil diesel 65% Source: van Zutphen ( 2007) MPOC FORTUNE •  9 the risk of down trend in global food production. How palm oil fits into the model With the inclusion of oil palm into the equation it is quite definite that the maximum global output limit will be higher than the figure predicted by the researchers from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). The model did not factor in the contribution of the oil palm sector as their model was built for the period from 1900 to 1970 before the global palm oil industry was developed by Malaysia and Indonesia in the 1970s. (Yusof, 2007) As a crop, oil palm has helped to save the amount of land utilised to produce edible oils to feed the world. Oil palm is a high yielding crop producing 11 times more oil compared to soybean, 10 times more compare sunflower oil and 7 times more than rapeseed (Khosla & Sundram, 2010). In 2013, global palm oil production was at 56.2 million MT and accounted for almost 30% of global oils and fats production of 190 million MT (Oil World, 2014). Oil palm crop also has a high carbon sequestration. In Malaysia’s case, oil palm could cover the carbon emission of land use change by the rice sector and emission from other minor system of the economy (Ministry of Natural Resources & Environment Malaysia, 2011). It is quite close to the CO² removal of forest. In 2007, the amount of CO² removed by the oil palm sector is high at 68% of the amount removed by the forest. Life Cycle analysis done by van Zutphen shows that CO² emission from the production of 1 MT of palm bio-diesel is lower than soyabean and canola based biodiesel. The emission is also lower than the production of 1 MT of diesel. (Refer to table 4 & 5 for the detail). Unfair trade practices on palm In spite of the superior qualities and the versatility of palm oil in safeguarding the world’s food security and environment, it is not included in the EU-RED and USA-RFS programmes. Such decisions might have been made due to specific countries interest to protect local agricultural industry and policy by deliberately ignoring palm oil’s superior contribution. The testing method use to establish the GHG savings emission in EU and USA may not be inclusive or representative of palm oil’s GHG savings. Based on Van Zutphen (2008) study, the oil palm industry Green House Gas saving relative to fossil diesel is 65%. This savings exceeds the threshold value of EU-RED of 35%. The USA-RFS differs from EU-RED in its computation of GHG emission as it include emission from palm kernel processing but does not include emission from land use change resulting in a threshold value of 20%. As for life cycle analysis on palm based biodiesel production conducted by MPOC, it shows a 101% savings over fossil fuels. Therefore, the two studies conducted by van Zutphen and MPOC show that palm oil biodiesel feedstock should qualify for the benefits of US-RFS and EU-RED programme. Conclusion Oil palm is a perennial crop which supports the basis for the development of the limits of growth model. The model promotes efficient use of resource while minimizing environmental destruction during production. In line with the basis of the model, oil palm cultivation enables efficient land usage with high productivity of agricultural crop on limited land while promoting greener environment. Every Continued from page 6 MARKETInsightsIns g Global Food Security - Leveraging on Palm Oil for Higher Limit of Oils & Fats Output Continued on page 12 20072000 167 Forest 82 Palm 147 40.5 35.6 147* Forest 100* Palm Plantation 217 49 26.9 Total CO² Emission 223.1 Total CO² removal by LULUCF 249.8 Total CO² removal by LULUCF 247 Total CO² Emission 292.9 Emissions by others LULUCF + Rice Sector 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Source: Ministry of Natural Resources & Environment Malaysia Table 4 : Malaysian Greenhouse Gas Emission and Removal (MT) Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) is made of Forestry and (Oil Palm) Plantation sector Table 5 : Palm oil biofuel is superior to other biofuels to arrest climate change Source: van Zutphen ( 2008) 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 kgCO²/tonne Palm Oil Soya Canola Diesel byns
  • 10. 10 •  MPOC FORTUNE Continued from page 8 MARKETInsightsIns g 3. Broad Market Prospect Usually palm oil is used to produce biofuel, food and daily chemical products. Due to the superior location, Changzhou is surrounded by many enterprises of these three kinds. 4. Sound Public Facilities Power Supply Two 220kV and two 110kV power substations, with a total capacitance of 540,000KVA. Dual-circuit input line of 10kV, 20kV, 35kV and 110kVcan be provided. Water Supply Yangtze River provides abundant water resource. One tap water plant: 1,000,000t/d, and one industrial water plant: 80,000t/d. The demineralized water can be supplied. Steam Supply Three thermal power plants with a capacity of 1200t/h. High pressure: 4.5MPa, low pressure 0.4~1.0Mpa. Natural Gas The “West-East” and “Sichuan-East” National Gas Transmission Projects have distribution stations in the zone. The pipelines have been laid along the main roads to ensure civil and industrial utilization. Sewage Treatment Two sewage treatment plants with a capacity of 330,000t/d, (another 100,000t/d-plant is under construction), including 30,000 t/d chemical wastewater treatment capacity. Residue Treatment There are professional residue treatment plants with an incineration capacity of 9,900t/a, another 30,000t/a incineration unit is under planning, collection capacity of 1,000t/a, and comprehensive utilization capacity of 28,000 t/a. Industrial Gases Linde, a professional gases supplier from Germany, offers gas service such as nitrogen, oxygen, hydrogen and argon. Pipe Rack Raw materials, products, steam and industrial gases can be delivered through the public pipe rack, which is about 10 km. Fire Fighting CZBJ has been equipped with an advanced firefighting station. Tank Storage The current capacity is 520,000 m3, of which 149, 000 m3 are bonded. (Besides, another 370,000 m3 tank farm is under construction.) There are around 100,000m3 exclusive solid warehouses (including 20,000 m3 for hazardous chemicals). Land-Level Land will be leveled to the natural height before delivered to investors, with supporting infrastructures connected to the boundary of the land. Desmond Ng, MPOC Shanghai (1) Biomass Industry: (2) Daily Chemical Industry: (3) Food Industry: Changzhou Binjiang Economic Development Zone (CZBJ) – Gateway to Palm Bioenergy Investment in China T
  • 11. MPOC FORTUNE •  11 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 900 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 CAGR 4% 598 627 655 682 708 732 755 776 Source: KPMG analysis Palm - based feedstock demand for soap production CAGR 9% Palm - based feedstock demand from oleochemicals for different end-user segments (Non-soap) 64 38 30 33 9 14 15 71 44 33 34 10 14 16 79 50 36 36 12 15 17 87 57 40 37 14 15 18 96 64 45 38 16 15 19 106 71 50 39 18 15 20 115 79 55 40 20 16 21 126 87 62 40 23 16 22350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 400 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 Personal care Detergents Plastics Rubber Pharma Processed food Tobacco Paint ’000MT Continued from page 9 Good Potential for Palm Oleo Chemicals in India MARKETInsightsIns g The below chart shows the potential CAGR of 4% from 2013-2020 from the soap segment: Palm – based feedstock demand from oleochemicals Demand of palm-based feedstocks for oleochemical applications expected to increase at a CAGR of 5% over FY 13-20 Palm-based feedstock demand from oleochemicals for different end-user segments (Non-soap) Similarly, the below chart shows the potential for a CAGR of 9% from the non-soap segments over the same period: Based on what was presented, we can conclude that there is immense potential for increased usage of palm based products in the manufacture of oleo chemicals especially in the non food sector. Although there are several oleo manufacturers in India, this sector is one of the growth sectors and it definitely offers opportunities for further investments, including joint ventures. The newly elected Indian government promises to be more business friendly and this bodes well for the development of Malaysia – India joint business ties and a new avenue for palm based products to be marketed in India. Bhavna, MPOC India. 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY20 Country USD Per Year (FY13) India 0.4 China 1 Per capita consumption – Cosmetic Source: Analyst reports, KPMG analysisUSA 37 Cosmetics volume 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 2 1 4 2 1 5 2 1 6 3 1 24 15 6 CAGR 22% CAGR 25% Lip paint Face make-up Nail paint Source: Euromonitor, Analyst Reports, news articles, KPMG analysis
  • 12. MPOC Offices Worldwide Malaysian Palm Oil Council (MPOC) 2nd Floor Wisma Sawit Lot 6, SS 6, Jalan Perbandaran 47301 Kelana Jaya, Selangor Tel: 603-7806 4097 Fax: 603-7806 2272 www.mpoc.org.my American Palm Oil Council 1010 Wisconsin Av, Suite 307 Washington DC 20007 Tel: +1 (202) 333 0661 Fax: +1 (202) 333 0331 www.americanpalmoil.com E-mail: kassim@americanpalmoil.com Contact: Mohd Salleh Kassim MPOC Africa Regional Office 5 Nollsworth Crescent, Nollsworth Park La Lucia Ridge Office Estate, La Lucia 4051, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa Tel: +27 (31) 5666 171 Fax: +27 (31) 5666 170 E-mail: kazmi@mpoc.org.za Postal Address: P.O.Box 1591 M.E.C.C. 4301, South Africa Contact: Kamal Azmi MPOC Bangladesh 62-63 Motijheel Commercial Area, 7th Floor, Amin Court Building, Dhaka, Bangladesh Tel: +88 (02) 9571 216 Fax: +88 (02) 9551 836 E-mail: fakhrul@mpoc.org.bd Contact: Fakhrul Alam MPOC Shanghai Shanghai Westgate Mall Co. Ltd. Room 1610B, 1038 Nanjing Rd. (w) Shanghai 200041, P. R. China Tel: +86 (21) 6218 2085 / 6218 2513 Fax: +86 (21) 6218 1125 E-mail: teah@mpoc.org.cn Contact: Teah Yau Kun MPOC Pakistan 11 – 3rd Floor, Leeds Centre Main Boulevard Gulberg, 111 Lahore, Pakistan Tel: +92 (42) 3571 6600 / 3571 6601 Fax: +92 (42) 3571 6602 E-mail: faisal@mpoc.org.pk Contact: Faisal Iqbal MPOC India S-4, New Mahavir Building, Cumballa Hill Road Kemps Corner, Mumbai 400 036 Tel: +91 (22) 6655 0755 / 6655 0756 Fax: +91 (22) 6655 0757 E-mail: bhavna@mpoc.org.in Contact: Bhavna Shah MPOC Europe Regional Office 31 Avenue Emile Vendervelde 1200 Brussels Belgium Tel: +32 (2) 7748 860 Fax: +32 (2) 7794 371 E-mail: kumar@mpoc.eu Contact: Uthaya Kumar MPOC Moscow Moscow, 4th Dobrininskiy side-street, 8 BC 'Dobrinya', 1st floor, Office R00-126 Tel : +790 963 520 40 Email: udovenko@mpoc.org.my Contact: Aleksey Udovenko MPOC Cairo 3 Gamal E1-Din Afify Street, Nasir City Zone No.6, 11371 Cairo, Egypt Tel: +20 (2) 2273 8108 Fax +20 (2) 2273 8106 E-mail: zainuddin@mpocegypt.com Contact: Zainuddin Hassan MPOC Istanbul Guzel Konutlar Sitesi Dilek Apartment Daire 3 Balmumcu, Besiktas - Istanbul, Turkey Tel: +90 (212) 2668234 Fax +90 (212) 2668236 E-mail: haznita@mpoc.org.my Contact: Norhaznita HusinPublisher: Malaysian Palm Oil Council (MPOC) 2nd Floor Wisma Sawit, Lot 6, SS 6, Jalan Perbandaran, 47301 Kelana Jaya, Selangor Printed by: Aktiara Corporation Sdn Bhd 1 & 3, Jalan TPP 1/3, Taman Industri Puchong Batu 12, 47160 Puchong, Selangor characteristic and property of oil palm makes it superior compared to other oil crops. On the field, the Malaysian palm oil industry has developed good agricultural practices which include zero burning, zero waste and integrated pest management which minimise chemical controls. Oil palm plantations act as effective carbon sequesters with cumulative benefits of cultivation to rural population and the economy. In Malaysia, the oil palm sector provides employment to approximately 800,000 people while palm oil sector export revenue registered RM61.36 billion in 2013. Anthony K. Veerayan & Lim Teck Chaii, MPOC HQ References 1. Food and Agricultural Organisation of the United Nations, (FAO) http://faostat3.fao.org/faostat- gateway/go/to/download/R/RL/E 2. Malaysian Palm Oil Council’s comments on EPA’s NODA concerning renewable fuels produced from palm oil under the RFS Scheme (EPA-HQ-OAR-2011-0542) 3. Meadows Donella H., Meadows Dennis L. Meadows, Randers Jorgen, Behrens III William W, ( 1974), The limits to growth, Pan Books Ltd. U.K. 4. Ministry of Natural Resources & Environment Malaysia ( 2011). Malaysia Second National National Communication to the UNFCCC, p. 1115 5. Oil World Annual (Jan – March 2014) ‘Statistics for 17 Oils and Fats & Biodiesel. 6. Pramod Khosla and Kalyana Sundram, (2010) ‘A Supplement on Palm Oil – Why? The Journal of the American College of Nutrition, Vol.29, No. 3(S) pp.237s-239s. 7. van Zutphen, H (2007) The CO² and Energy Balance of Malaysian Palm Oil, Zwolle, Netherlands 8. van Zutphen H ( 2008) ‘Comparative LCA analysis of different edible oils and fats’ International Palm Oil Sustainable Conf., Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, p. 18 Websites. 1. Clean Development Mechanism - CDM (2014) https://unfcc.int/kyoto_protocol/ mechanisms/ clean_development_mechanisms/items/2718.p hp, Accessed on 1 may 2014 2. Glass D. (2013) ‘European Union Renewable Energy Directive-Advanced Biotechnology for Biofuels http://dglassassociates.wordpress. com/2013/01/22/european-union0renewable-en ergy-directive/, Accessed on 27 may 2014. 3. HSBC Statement on Forestry and Palm Oil (March 2014) http://www.hsbc.com/~/media/ HSBC-com/citizenship/sustainability/pdf/hsbc-st atement-on-forest, Accessed on 28 may 2014 4. Renewable Fuel Standards (RFS) – Fuel and Fuel Additives (2013) http://www.epa.gov/ OTAQ/fuels/renewablefuels, Accessed on 1 may 2014 5. The Hubbert Curve for the whole world, http://planetforlife.com/oilcrisis/oilpeak.html Accessed in 28 may 2014 6. The United nations Collaborative Programme on Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest degradation in Developing Countries (2009) http://www.un-redd.org/ AboutUN-REDD Programme/tabid/102613/Default.aspx, Accessed on 1 may 2014. 7. Trends in Atmospheric carbon Dioxide (2014) US Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration http://www.esrl. noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/ Accessed on 28 may 2014. 8. Yusof Basiron, Unjustified & Illogical campaigns against palm oil (2013) http://www.ceopalmoil. com/2013/02/unjustified-illogical-campaigns-ag ainst-palm-oil/, Accessed on 28 may 2014 C O M PLETED C O M PLETED Global Food Security - Leveraging on Palm Oil for Higher Limit of Oils & Fats Output MARKETInsightsIns g Continued from page 9