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Trends and the future outlook for the US
tradeshow industry
Sector report
2©2015 AMR
Contents
1. Tradeshow fundamentals
2. Market opportunity
3. Organizer opportunities and challenges
4. AMR’s sector experience
3©2015 AMR
Economic recovery and continued demand for face to face will drive
tradeshow growth
US tradeshow industry size and growth 2009-2018(f)
Source: AMR Globex report 2014
14.414.013.412.812.311.811.310.910.611.0
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
12
16
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2009 2010 2017f2013 2014e 2018f2016f
4.0%
CAGR
2011 2012 2015f
Marketsize($bn)
Change%
US real GDP % change
Market size ($bn)
Market % change
4©2015 AMR
Tradeshows achieve high gross margins and exhibit healthy cash flow
Tradeshow profitability
Source: ITE Group
0-20,000
20,000 – 75,000
75,000 +
15%
45%
60%+
Tradeshow size (sqf) Typical gross margin
Tradeshow cash flow
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
-12 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0-11
Deposits
2nd
deposit Pay
vendors
Final
balance
Stand
construction
Months to opening
Cumulativecashflow$’000s
5©2015 AMR
Contents
1. Tradeshow fundamentals
2. Market opportunity
3. Organizer opportunities and challenges
4. AMR’s sector experience
6©2015 AMR
Major tradeshow acquisitions timeline and multiples
2005 2011 2013
Ebitda/transactionvaluemultiple
Size of
transaction
$ m: <50
50-
500
>501
Corporate buyers have stepped up to the plate with 10-12x EBITDA
deals. This used to be the terrain of private equity
Source: Company accounts, AMR research and analysis
2009
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2007
Inter-
CHARM
Alcantara
Machado
JV
Asian
Gaming
Expo SinoPharm
JV
VNU NV
Advanstar
Emap
B2B
Clarion
Hanley
Wood
MC Communications
Abu Dhabi
portfolio
Adipec
Ad:Tech
Evanta
Aircraft
Interiors
SST
Canon Comm.
Ecobuild
GLM
BTS
CloserStill
MMPI
Evanta
Nielsen
2015
Hanley Wood
Advanstar
Reed ExhibitionsDMGPrivate equity UBM Informa Emerald Euromoney i2i
GLM
Mining Indaba
Money 2020
Clarion
Quantum Bus Media
Ithaca
Vision
ITE
BreakBulk
Comexposium
7©2015 AMR
Top 5
organizer
Number of
exhibitions1
Turnover2
($m)
Net space
sold (sqft m)
Net space
sold (sqm m)
Sector focus
Emerald 30 184 4 0.4
Media, retail, sports,
merchandise, real estate,
jewellery
GLM
(acquired by
Emerald)
11 77 3 0.3
Gift, toys, other consumer,
sports and leisure, textiles and
fashion
Reed
Exhibitions
81 219 4 0.4
Home, lifestyle, security,
healthcare
Advanstar
(acquired by
UBM)
33 211 5 0.4
Fashion & licensing, power
sports, life sciences
Hanley
Wood
(acquired by
Informa)
12 38 2 0.2
Building products, home repair
and construction
The market remains highly fragmented despite recent M&A activity. The top
five organizers account for only c.6% and span a range of served markets
Top five US tradeshow organizers 2013
Note: 1Domestic; 2Domestic exhibition organising turnover
Source: AMR analysis
6%
Rest
Total US
market 2013
Top 5
94%
The high market fragmentation is driven by the unique structure of the US market – c.80% of shows are
association-run. However, there are a number of tier two for-profit organizers that may be attractive
acquisition targets
8©2015 AMR
Contents
1. Tradeshow fundamentals
2. Market opportunity
3. Organizer opportunities and challenges
4. AMR’s sector experience
9©2015 AMR
Continued M&A and better analytics are the key growth opportunities.
Managing competition and staying close to served markets remain critical
Opportunities and threats
 Pursue scale with acquisitions and launches,
particularly in emerging markets
 Diversify business models via addition of non-stand
revenue streams such as online communities and
data products
 Use analytics and segmentation to align price to
value on an exhibitor by exhibitor basis (limited
opportunity for wholesale price rises)
 Build analytics capacity in order to convert data into
business insight e.g. attendee intelligence for better
marketing
OPPORTUNITIES THREATS
 Most common management pitfalls are (i) losing
touch with market needs (ii) driving square footage
at expense of show focus
 The threat from other marketing channels is
mitigated by the surviving value of face to face
interaction, but to compete organizers must get
better at proving ROI
 Competitive threat, both from pre-existing shows
and spin-offs, requires continual management –
emphasis on facilitating valuable interactions (right
attendees + right environment) is critical for
prolonged competitive strength
Source: AMR analysis
10©2015 AMR
Tradeshows are becoming data-driven organizations
Data analytics use by organizers
Source: Use of analytics today by B2B exhibition organizers, CEIR 2015; AMR analysis
13.0%
Active 55.0%
Soon to be active
Inactive
32.0%
Analytics is fast becoming a critical driver of organizer success
Advanced organizers use analytics to deliver against key business
objectives:
Attendee marketing
Registration data segmentation
Social media analysis to identify social “influencers”
Heat maps to identify attendee interests
Pricing and ROI demonstration
Leads data to demonstrate exhibitor ROI
Leads data to identify highest value stand positons
Floor planning and operations
Heat map analysis for crowd control and to maximize stand
traffic
Use of analytics by B2B exhibitor
organizers, CEIR research (n=307)
11©2015 AMR
Contents
1. Tradeshow fundamentals
2. Market opportunity
3. Organizer opportunities and challenges
4. AMR’s sector experience
12©2015 AMR
AMR have advised corporates and private equity in most of the
major events deals
Select US deals AMR has supported 2012-2014
Business to retail
trade shows Registration data service
One-to-one events in
consumer/retail
Registration data service Fashion trade shows E-commerce tradeshow Consumer related trade
shows and conferences
Fashion tradeshows
Geo-adapting events Online information group
International packing
exhibition
Mexican
tradeshow platform
13©2015 AMR
AMR advises 15 of the top 20 global organizers on key business
questions
What is the future
outlook for my
shows and what
paths can I take to
gain growth?
What acquisition
options do I have to
expand my events
through vertical
channels?
Who are my
competitors, how
do my events
compare to them,
and what can I do
to gain advantage?
How can I optimize
my pricing models
for my major
events to increase
the number of
visitors?
What should my
strategy be for
convention and
exhibition
facilities?
How can I leverage
data for show
success?
I want to launch a
show in a highly
fragmented events
sector, how do I
ensure success?
What do I need to
change in my
business model so
that I can expand
internationally?
14©2015 AMR
AMR publishes the exhibitions industries annual assessment and forecast
AMR’s Globex report
Globex report
Now in its 6th edition
http://www.amrinternational.com/globex-report
 AMR’s authoritative Globex market report is a definitive dataset and
forecast for the exhibitions industry released annually since 2009
 The 450-page report tracks the developments and future growth
prospects of the world’s largest and most promising exhibitions
markets, and analyses growth options and challenges in each
of them
 It also provides an overview of the performance and strategies
of the world’s leading global exhibition groups providing outlook on
pricing models, venue development and visitor/exhibitor dynamics.
“Everyone in the industry needs a copy of this report. It brings
everything together with clear analysis - it’s worth it for the
forecasts alone.” Reed Exhibitions
London■ New York■ Paris■
AMR International Consulting Inc.
655 Third Avenue
Suite 2500-05
New York NY 10017
United States of America
Tel: +1 (646) 465 5970
www.amrinternational.com
newyork@amrinternational.com
Email: gil.ozir@amrinternational.com
Tel: +1 (646) 465 5972
Gil Ozir
Director
For more information about AMR’s expertise please contact:

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Market trends in us tradeshow industry 2015

  • 1. Trends and the future outlook for the US tradeshow industry Sector report
  • 2. 2©2015 AMR Contents 1. Tradeshow fundamentals 2. Market opportunity 3. Organizer opportunities and challenges 4. AMR’s sector experience
  • 3. 3©2015 AMR Economic recovery and continued demand for face to face will drive tradeshow growth US tradeshow industry size and growth 2009-2018(f) Source: AMR Globex report 2014 14.414.013.412.812.311.811.310.910.611.0 -12 -8 -4 0 4 8 12 16 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 2009 2010 2017f2013 2014e 2018f2016f 4.0% CAGR 2011 2012 2015f Marketsize($bn) Change% US real GDP % change Market size ($bn) Market % change
  • 4. 4©2015 AMR Tradeshows achieve high gross margins and exhibit healthy cash flow Tradeshow profitability Source: ITE Group 0-20,000 20,000 – 75,000 75,000 + 15% 45% 60%+ Tradeshow size (sqf) Typical gross margin Tradeshow cash flow 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 -12 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0-11 Deposits 2nd deposit Pay vendors Final balance Stand construction Months to opening Cumulativecashflow$’000s
  • 5. 5©2015 AMR Contents 1. Tradeshow fundamentals 2. Market opportunity 3. Organizer opportunities and challenges 4. AMR’s sector experience
  • 6. 6©2015 AMR Major tradeshow acquisitions timeline and multiples 2005 2011 2013 Ebitda/transactionvaluemultiple Size of transaction $ m: <50 50- 500 >501 Corporate buyers have stepped up to the plate with 10-12x EBITDA deals. This used to be the terrain of private equity Source: Company accounts, AMR research and analysis 2009 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2007 Inter- CHARM Alcantara Machado JV Asian Gaming Expo SinoPharm JV VNU NV Advanstar Emap B2B Clarion Hanley Wood MC Communications Abu Dhabi portfolio Adipec Ad:Tech Evanta Aircraft Interiors SST Canon Comm. Ecobuild GLM BTS CloserStill MMPI Evanta Nielsen 2015 Hanley Wood Advanstar Reed ExhibitionsDMGPrivate equity UBM Informa Emerald Euromoney i2i GLM Mining Indaba Money 2020 Clarion Quantum Bus Media Ithaca Vision ITE BreakBulk Comexposium
  • 7. 7©2015 AMR Top 5 organizer Number of exhibitions1 Turnover2 ($m) Net space sold (sqft m) Net space sold (sqm m) Sector focus Emerald 30 184 4 0.4 Media, retail, sports, merchandise, real estate, jewellery GLM (acquired by Emerald) 11 77 3 0.3 Gift, toys, other consumer, sports and leisure, textiles and fashion Reed Exhibitions 81 219 4 0.4 Home, lifestyle, security, healthcare Advanstar (acquired by UBM) 33 211 5 0.4 Fashion & licensing, power sports, life sciences Hanley Wood (acquired by Informa) 12 38 2 0.2 Building products, home repair and construction The market remains highly fragmented despite recent M&A activity. The top five organizers account for only c.6% and span a range of served markets Top five US tradeshow organizers 2013 Note: 1Domestic; 2Domestic exhibition organising turnover Source: AMR analysis 6% Rest Total US market 2013 Top 5 94% The high market fragmentation is driven by the unique structure of the US market – c.80% of shows are association-run. However, there are a number of tier two for-profit organizers that may be attractive acquisition targets
  • 8. 8©2015 AMR Contents 1. Tradeshow fundamentals 2. Market opportunity 3. Organizer opportunities and challenges 4. AMR’s sector experience
  • 9. 9©2015 AMR Continued M&A and better analytics are the key growth opportunities. Managing competition and staying close to served markets remain critical Opportunities and threats  Pursue scale with acquisitions and launches, particularly in emerging markets  Diversify business models via addition of non-stand revenue streams such as online communities and data products  Use analytics and segmentation to align price to value on an exhibitor by exhibitor basis (limited opportunity for wholesale price rises)  Build analytics capacity in order to convert data into business insight e.g. attendee intelligence for better marketing OPPORTUNITIES THREATS  Most common management pitfalls are (i) losing touch with market needs (ii) driving square footage at expense of show focus  The threat from other marketing channels is mitigated by the surviving value of face to face interaction, but to compete organizers must get better at proving ROI  Competitive threat, both from pre-existing shows and spin-offs, requires continual management – emphasis on facilitating valuable interactions (right attendees + right environment) is critical for prolonged competitive strength Source: AMR analysis
  • 10. 10©2015 AMR Tradeshows are becoming data-driven organizations Data analytics use by organizers Source: Use of analytics today by B2B exhibition organizers, CEIR 2015; AMR analysis 13.0% Active 55.0% Soon to be active Inactive 32.0% Analytics is fast becoming a critical driver of organizer success Advanced organizers use analytics to deliver against key business objectives: Attendee marketing Registration data segmentation Social media analysis to identify social “influencers” Heat maps to identify attendee interests Pricing and ROI demonstration Leads data to demonstrate exhibitor ROI Leads data to identify highest value stand positons Floor planning and operations Heat map analysis for crowd control and to maximize stand traffic Use of analytics by B2B exhibitor organizers, CEIR research (n=307)
  • 11. 11©2015 AMR Contents 1. Tradeshow fundamentals 2. Market opportunity 3. Organizer opportunities and challenges 4. AMR’s sector experience
  • 12. 12©2015 AMR AMR have advised corporates and private equity in most of the major events deals Select US deals AMR has supported 2012-2014 Business to retail trade shows Registration data service One-to-one events in consumer/retail Registration data service Fashion trade shows E-commerce tradeshow Consumer related trade shows and conferences Fashion tradeshows Geo-adapting events Online information group International packing exhibition Mexican tradeshow platform
  • 13. 13©2015 AMR AMR advises 15 of the top 20 global organizers on key business questions What is the future outlook for my shows and what paths can I take to gain growth? What acquisition options do I have to expand my events through vertical channels? Who are my competitors, how do my events compare to them, and what can I do to gain advantage? How can I optimize my pricing models for my major events to increase the number of visitors? What should my strategy be for convention and exhibition facilities? How can I leverage data for show success? I want to launch a show in a highly fragmented events sector, how do I ensure success? What do I need to change in my business model so that I can expand internationally?
  • 14. 14©2015 AMR AMR publishes the exhibitions industries annual assessment and forecast AMR’s Globex report Globex report Now in its 6th edition http://www.amrinternational.com/globex-report  AMR’s authoritative Globex market report is a definitive dataset and forecast for the exhibitions industry released annually since 2009  The 450-page report tracks the developments and future growth prospects of the world’s largest and most promising exhibitions markets, and analyses growth options and challenges in each of them  It also provides an overview of the performance and strategies of the world’s leading global exhibition groups providing outlook on pricing models, venue development and visitor/exhibitor dynamics. “Everyone in the industry needs a copy of this report. It brings everything together with clear analysis - it’s worth it for the forecasts alone.” Reed Exhibitions
  • 15. London■ New York■ Paris■ AMR International Consulting Inc. 655 Third Avenue Suite 2500-05 New York NY 10017 United States of America Tel: +1 (646) 465 5970 www.amrinternational.com newyork@amrinternational.com Email: gil.ozir@amrinternational.com Tel: +1 (646) 465 5972 Gil Ozir Director For more information about AMR’s expertise please contact: