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Page 1 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Our BookBuilderTM
portfolios aim at building the children's education fund so they do not leave
school burdened like a borax mule with vitality sapping debt. Build your own deal book. Run your
online trading income account with our “likeables” because you need "to save your own bacon."
Several quarters in a row now, the ‘professional’ portfolio managers
have shown they are confused, do not know. It is proverbial to learn
and gain wisdom, Proverbs 8:5 in fact, but provably the portfolio
management class have no wisdom, only their confusion1
. The real
story is brute methods of pension, insurance, ETFs and mutual funds,
blinked and lost $trillions of your money they control in pension
funds, insurance and banking. Your money, they put up for grabs in
their zero-sum bubble2
. Their confusion and indiscretion costs us all.
All our charity portfolios need to reload and rebuild. Fight the foolishness, buy back at less than the
stoploss and greater than SF. Hold’em is the best strategy when market movers play, ‘Ain’t Mis-
behavin’ Wink’n, Blink’n and Naughty. Their reaction to externalities is the wild gossip they ply on
each other. Business balance sheet fundamentals make ‘likeable’ firms slowly change. We suffered
the Great Rotation bubble of Quantitative Eating created by the ‘market makers’ confusion. China
only slipped to 6% growth. India’s median income is now 20% higher than Russians. There are a lot
more joining the muddle class. We discourage the quick fix of fossil fuelling developing economies.
Look to new economies without fossil fuel. The world cannot afford more ‘externality’ that is
pollution at others expense as China used to grow its Yuan, or others want for their GDP.
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours. Keeping it yours is your intention when you
save. We enable you to build value. Build your own deal book in your online trading account to
keep your capital safe and growing in value. Keep your money and obtain a hopeful return, yours.
The financial products industry covets spending your savings for themselves. They do
not see your pocket as their restraint, rather their opportunity. These Artful Dodgers
are just skilled pick-pockets, in suits they bought with your cash. Avoid these ‘Goats’
that come to just eat your grass, graze your wallet, and leave. Do not loan them your
pocket-book on empty promises they have never delivered. Avoid these traps laid by
financial products conspiring to artfully exploit the small investor of hard-won
savings. Don’t give them your wallet. “Save your own bacon."
"for the value of money is also perishable." Jean-Baptiste Say , 1803
What investors expect of financial products is a way to secure their hard earned savings while
growing their wealth. The circularity of ‘investment talk’ is what Alice gets at the Tea Party.
“Take some more tea,” the March Hare said to Alice very earnestly.
“I’ve had nothing yet,” Alice replied in an offended tone: “so I ca’n’t take more.”
“You mean you ca’n’t take less,” said the Hatter: “it’s very easy to take more than nothing.”
Pretty much, they have taken it all before you arrived. “Alice, meet Dr. Artful Dodger.”
“
Page 2 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Holding on to the value of what you have created is fundamental. Ancient wisdom is the feast we
enjoy today will not be on our table tomorrow. You work earn save and build for a hope filled
future when you can do what is in your heart and skills to take-on doing for yourself. Cash only has
a temporary value that time erodes. Cash is powerful only when it is engaged in business processes
creating more wealth, adding value. Cash must be invested to hold and grow, adding value, earning
an income. Invest with ‘likeables’ for your income and build your wealth for your future
Wall Street pillages your wallet. They say that is their job, making markets and venture capital
loans by running your money. You want to keep what you have, but earn income on it. You want
your capital safe earning income hopefully above inflation. Wall Street disclaims talk about or do
anything about income. They are selling risk, to you, and they’re good at selling risk3
for their fees.
But, what can the small investor do with $5,000? With our ‘likeables’ we show, because, we can.
The Risk Price is our benchmark measure against the share price. It is our fundamental arbiter in
segregating the B-class of firms4
worthy of investment. The $toploss settings we publish for these
public portfolios should do the job of saving equity from serious harm due to market gossip induced
volatility. We shun the likely rude wealth takers, the N-class, that are not ‘likeables.’ We very
reasonably analyse balance sheets to identify and shun those doppelgängers of corporate fiction.
You want to keep your money, hopefully, gain an income, above the corrosive rate of inflation. Our
‘likeables’ stocks portfolios do this while being risk averse. The full history of trades made in these
charity portfolios in real time is shown. Our charity portfolios are proof of long term gain!
BookBuilder™ portfolios are of just our lowest cost ‘likeables’ our methods identify. Because we
can, our proprietary information is given freely in charity to enable small investors to keep their
savings growing into their wealth. Our method is proven in long term portfolios earnings
consistently exceeding inflation. Grow your earned savings for children’s tuition, nest building or
retirement income. Because you need to “save your own bacon" run your online trading account.
Our calculated Risk Price (SF) is provably the least stock price at which the company is “likeable”
so we can use “risk aversion”. Equities trading above our SF benchmark Risk Price are those
investors tend to like. Two of three continue to rise due investors’ behaviour. These are ‘likeables’
revealed by their Risk Price. This is based on new theory we prove works in the real world.
By using the mean 52 week price range to set the $topLoss on each, usually, the ‘laggards’ will be
cut before they damage capital safety. With gossip driven burst of market bubbles we needed to
narrow that ratio to avoid the damage from downside volatility fund managers make because they
do not know value, or which way to turn. Now we decide it is time to return to larger gap. By
knowing the Risk Price as a bottom reference we can also exit and buy-back at a lower price to
recover. Then continue making substantial gains as markets rebound. This is what we do when
using the more active “collaring options5
” to profitably buy lower or exit. By reinvesting cash to
capital your portfolio grows wealth through the long term while remaining "as good as cash” liquid
whenever time comes you need some cash from dividends earned in your income portfolio.
“
Page 3 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Throughout the immediate past year and half confused portfolio managers moved the massive
holdings6
they claim in your name on news and gossip churn they and their confrere’s make-up.
They are like the Mock Turtle “only took the regular courses” but have no proof. Volatility they and
their confreres make “surprising news” because they never know where they are. Convictions they
have, and plenty more7
are now finally indicted, but no reasons can they offer. No help for you
comes from them, just their litigation bill, you pay costs of their business. Those Artful Dodgers’
baseless gambling with your money always pays them first, for their ‘reasons’ that do not help you.
Their rumours ping-pong nervous and unsure. They did not read or connect dots even when told,
Taper-talk fear was hot-air volatility8
tales, ‘fat-tails’ wagging dogs gossip. The ‘dollar per word’
market mavens floated on Quantitative Eating. Yeah, the Fed said rates will rise when they see
‘full’ employment. One critic said, “no crisis, no trades, no money made.”
The “Brexit’ crisis was about politicians in search of their income. Then they left the woes behind,
as, Boris blinked and Nigel nodded out without a programme to ‘fix-it’ as Jocks, Jordies and Taffs
consider taking a walk and deconstruct the rest. The `Brexit` panic of fund managers was unusual
causing their “I don`t know nothin’ ‘bout birth and babies” reaction triggering stoploss markers.
The ‘Grexit’ crisis extended back to British, Dutch, French and German banks pursuing high profits
in derivative backed loans to Greek firms, in 2007. In 2010 IMF and ECB took over those loans to
save those banks €214 Bn loses on their risky business. By law, the public is liable for PLC
defaults, as greatest of unsecured creditors. Which public, whose pockets pay for bank folly, is the
question. FSB is sending bankers back to the Medieval Diet of 50 years ago, high reserves and
bland fees9
as then bank managers made four times a day labourer wage, not 300 times.
Austerity hangs everyone out to dry. Even before Keynes, US President Herbert Hoover in 1931
proposed international financial debt moratorium to fight the Great Depression. It was bank
management failure of due diligence in creating unwarranted credit bubble margin lending leading
to crash the liquidity needed for sound businesses of society that made ‘Hoovervilles’. Mellon
partisan politicking saved bankers their balance sheets at greater public expense for PLC defaults.
Demand grows economies. The business process creates ‘new money’ among its trading
connections by adding value covering debt carried. Business School courses miss that.
Cash must be engaged in effective business processes to gain from value added by valiant business
ideas and enterprises. Cash on balance sheets should be allocated to serve creating new demand and
innovation creating jobs in the real economy as consumers spend and demand. Managers using QE
cashroll for buying-in shares is an austerity measure that just helps them to their share-package and
cash bonuses, not help to shareholders10
, or growing business with trading connections creating
worth. Despite long evident small but strong real growth, capitalization in jobs by innovation has
lagged, along with political leadership overwrought on fugitive tales from their dog-walkers.
All 4 of StockTakers NYSE charity portfolios had doubled in less than 3 years, then suffered the
downturn of maven confusion11
. Like surfers we rise up from the trough. As our public charity
“
Page 4 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
portfolios show our reasoned balance sheet analysis of firms managing their business debt structure
is proven method. Rooted in oil and minerals glut the TSX struggles to lesser gain, but can grin too.
We call that proof, evidence our method tends to 26% IRR gains. Those were outlier results in
mixed markets confused by conventions, newspeak, jargon and aphorisms of the confused that do
not know, and will not bother to learn. This past year the froth blow off shows the real economy
steady and slow, but still far ahead of population growth in three-fold GDP growth ratio.
We show our risk averse, capital safe, liquid investing method based on Risk Price works, very
likably. All the gossip and volatility the ‘dollar-per-word’ market mavens have mumbled is their
business model ‘news’ for your trading. Those mavens whacked markets setback the August 2014
portfolios, just as in Q1-2013, trimming our outlier results. ‘Be Calm and Carry-on’ $toploss resets
ride out market waves mavens make. Our simple risk averse $toploss does well for the long term.
Cash is powerful only when invested as capital to hold and grow value, adding to your wealth. Let
others chase the gamblers’ risk/reward model that does not work. So called “financial advisors” at
financial institutions are risk sellers, Capital Appreciation Robbers, CAR sellers of ‘funky chicken’
products for fee-taking leaving none for you. Do not give those Artful Dodgers your wallet
Less risk for more reward sounds unusual but our ‘likeables’ prove risk aversion is rewarded. Our
proprietary information given in charity empowers small investors to “save your own bacon.” But
you can be charitable. Consider paying-forward our charity by donating our usual 2&20 fee to
social charity. Good social and corporate works deserve12
your help building society’s wealth.
We seek accredited investors to advance what we have proven. Meanwhile enjoy our charity
providing TaxCharityTM and BookBuilderTM
portfolios as public service, because we can. Use our
proprietary ‘likeables’ information for the small investor to save your own bacon. Set the
$topLosses indicated and get on with earning income from your business you know best. Expand
your portfolio. You are ready for riding through more waves from comic behaviours in politics
infused market gossip. Grow your wallet, ride those waves. You know how to work and save, so
“save your own bacon” with our ‘likeables.’ Accredited investors should use our 12% bond13
.
BookBuilderTM
Portfolios Update List – 31 July 2016
NYSE BookBuilderTM
‘likeables’ Firms
(30 November 2012)
Market
Price
Symbol SF
(Risk Price)
Stop/Loss
(See prior posts for early trading history)
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($8.2 stopLoss 24jun16) ACHN 2 7.1
First Horizon National Corp. ($13.6 stopLoss 14jun16) FHN:US 10 13.5
Gannett Company Inc. ($14.2 stopLoss 24jun16) GCI:US 12 11.5
Himax Technologies Inc. ($10.0 stopLoss 20apr16) HIMX:US 7 7.6
Logitech International S.A. ($14.5 stopLoss 19may16) LOGI 8 18.8
Annaly Capital Management Incorporated 10.98 NLY 10 10.3
“
Page 5 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Wendys International Inc. ($9.6 stopLoss 16jun16) WEN:US 9 9.0
Buy-ins 31mar16 *100 shares each
Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.8 stopLoss 07apr16) SIRI 4 4.2
Buy-ins 30apr16 *100 shares each
Cosan Limited 6.68 CZZ 2 4.5
MBIA Inc. ($6.8 stopLoss 16may16) MBI 6 7.4
Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each
KCG Holdings Inc. ($13.1 stopLoss 29jun16) KCG 11 14.0
MFA Financial Incorporated 7.52 MFA 7 7.0
Buy-ins 30jun16 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Incorporated 8.28 ACHN 2 7.1
Gannett Company Inc 12.76 GCI:US 12 11.5
Himax Technologies Incorporated 8.95 HIMX 7 7.6
International Game Technology 20.90 IGT 15 19.0
Two Harbors Investment Corporation 8.75 TWO 8 8.0
Windstream Corp 9.31 WIN 6 8.1
NYSE BookBuilderTM 2012 Portfolio *100
Shares (incl. Dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 30 November 2012
10116.30 /5460.00 Gain 44.0
months
85.28%
IRR pa 18.32%
Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 30apr16) 104.00
Net Cash * 100 (after stoploss sales) 0.00
Net Current Cash Forward * 100 104.00
Buy-ins 31jul16 *100 shares each SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
n/a
Net Cash Forward * 100 (after no buy-ins 31oct15) 104.00
Cash Dividends earned 522.70
Total Cash Available 626.70
NYSE BookBuilderTM 2012 Portfolio *100
Shares (incl. Dividendsª) 30 June 2016 / 30 November 2012
10125.70 /5460.00 Gain 42.0
months
85.45%
IRR pa 18.81%
Stop-loss settings intend to defend your capital from unusual negative market volatility in case of
such irrational market mavens’ pressures of Q3-2014 through Q1-2016. Irrationally volatile
swings occurred without regard for any reason, as stock prices sharply rebounded. Your capital
was defended by stoploss settings as intended but you must rebuild your portfolio with successive
replacement buy-ins as shown. Staying in the market is the way to gain for the long term.
“
Page 6 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
We had progressively tightened our stoploss settings to less than a standard deviation on a 52 week
rolling range14
of a stock’s price. That does incur an added ‘churn’ cost of buying after selling at
the triggered stoploss setting. That is a consequence of exercising capital safety. There are benefits
to doing that. Our ‘collaring options’ is preferred but takes our constant vigilance.
New NYSE 2013 Portfolio Buyins *100 shares
(31 August 2013 )
4397.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 31sep15 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($9.3 stopLoss 07jan16) ACHN 2 7.1
Carrefour SA ADR ($6.3 stopLoss 13nov15) CRRFY:US 5 4.4
Monster Worldwide Inc. ($5.9 stopLoss 10dec15) MWW 6 1.3
Office Depot Inc. ($6.8 stopLoss 19nov15) ODP 4 2.3
Rite Aid Corp. ($96.7stopLoss 12jul16) 6.70 RAD:US 6 6.2
ShoreTel Inc. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) SHOR 6 6.3
Buy-ins 30nov15 *100 shares each
Mitsubishi UFJ Fin’l Inc. ADS ($6.2 stopLoss 11dec15) MTU:US 6 3.7
Office Depot Inc. ($6.1 stopLoss 07dec15) ODP 4 2.3
Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each
ChemoCentryx Inc. ($7.4 stopLoss 04jan16) CCXI 6 2.9
Callaway Golf Co. ($9.0 stopLoss 11jan16) ELY 7 10.0
Monster Worldwide Inc. ( $5.9 stopLoss 10dec15) MWW 6 1.3
Office Depot Inc. ($5.2 stopLoss 12jan16) ODP 4 2.3
ShoreTel Inco. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) SHOR 6 6.3
Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) ACHN 2 7.1
Callaway Golf Co. ($8.4 stopLoss 03feb16) ELY 7 10.0
JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd ADS ($8.3 stopLoss 08feb16) JASO: 8 6.1
Office Depot Inc. ($5.0 stopLoss 11may16) ODP 4 2.3
SLM Corporation ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) SLM 6 6.2
ShoreTel Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 03feb16) SHOR 6 6.3
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each 0.0
BAE Systems PLC ORD ($6.7 stopLoss 15jun16) BAESF:US 6 6.6
Frontier Comm. Corp. ($4.7 stopLoss 24jun16) FTR:US 5 4.7
Opko Health Incorporated 9.95 OPK 8 7.7
Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.8 stopLoss 07apr16) SIRI:NASDAQ 4 4.2
ShoreTel Inc. ($6.6 stopLoss 29apr16) SHOR 6 6.3
ZTE Corporation ADR (H Shares) ($2.8 stopLoss 05may16) ZTCOY:US 3 2.7
Buy-ins 30apr16 *100 shares each
ARC Group Worldwide Incorporated 2.44 ARCW 2 1.7
“
Page 7 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Glencore Xstrata PLC ORD 2.46 GLCNF 2 1.9
ShoreTel Incorporated 7.34 SHOR 6 6.3
Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 6.86 AMD 4 5.7
SeaDrill Limited 2.97 SDRL 2 1.2
Buy-ins 30jun16 *100 shares each
Sprint Nextel 6.14 S 3 5.2
Viavi Solutions Incorporated 7.13 VIAV 6 6.5
BookBuildersTM
2013 NYSE Current Portfolio
(including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2013
5408.50 /4397.00 Gain 35.0
months
123.00%
IRR pa 7.36%
This result is far less than our expected long term tendency. However, it is cause for celebratory
hats and horns, gaining 9.68% this month, a ’likeables’ tendency. This portfolio has gone through
18 months of volatile and negative market behaviour, more than half of its interval. This portfolio
has demonstrated resilience even using the less effective stoploss regime. We know our pursuit of
using options to collar exit or holds guided by the Risk Price is more lucrative.
Over these thirty plus months this portfolio confounds the performance of the hedge funds. This
portfolio has proven stunningly better result for the small investor, is vastly better than any fund,
bond or mortgage product the financial industry offers and always is liquid for the small
investor needing access to use their own wealth to help themselves or dear ones when need arises.
Net Cash Forward * 100 shares 31jan16 Buy-ins 38.00
Net Cash * 100 (after $toploss) 670.00
Net Current Cash * 708.00
Buy-ins 30jun16 *100 shares each
SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
SeaDrill Limited SDRL 2 1.2
VimpelCom Limited ADR VIP 4 3.3
Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 30pra2016) 3.00
Cash Dividends earned 152.20
Total Cash Available 155.20
BookBuildersTM
2013 NYSE Current Portfolio
(including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2013
5408.50 /4397.00 Gain 35.0
months
123.00%
IRR pa 7.36%
(Pending Need for Change or investing new Savings)
Peoples United Financial Incorporated 15.16 PBCT:US 14 14.5
“
Page 8 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation 29.45 SWHC:US 20 25.7
Western Union Company 20.00 WU:US 16 18.9
BookBuildersTM
New NYSE 2014 Portfolio
Set 31 August 2014
4925.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each
BAE Systems PLC ORD ($7.1 stopLoss 19jan16) BAESF:US 6 6.6
NEC Corporation ($3.0 stopLoss 15mar16) NIPNF 3 2.0
Carrefour SA ADR ($7.1 stopLoss 06jan16) CRRFY:US 5 4.4
Rite Aid Corp. ($96.7stopLoss 12jul16) 6.70 RAD:US 6 6.2
SLM Corporation ($6.0 stopLoss 07jan16) SLM 6 6.2
Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) ACHN 2 7.1
MFA Financial Inc. (N* drop $6.85 stoploss 31mar16) MFA 7 7.0
NEC Corporation ($3.0 stopLoss 15mar16) NIPNF 3 2.0
Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.6 stopLoss 08feb16) SIRI 4 4.2
ZTE Corporation ADR (H Shares) ($2.8 stopLoss 05may16) ZTCOY:US 3 2.5
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
Frontier Comm. Corp. ($4.7 stopLoss 24jun16) FTR:US 5 4.7
Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.8 stopLoss 07apr16) SIRI 4 4.2
Buy-ins 31mar16 *100 shares each
Astrotech Corp. ($1.6 stopLoss 09may16) ASTC 2 1.3
Carrefour SA ADR ($5.2 stopLoss 19may16) CRRFY:US 5 4.4
VimpelCom Limited ADR ($3.8 N*stopLoss 31may16) VIP 4 3.3
VimpelCom Limited ADR ($3.8 N*stopLoss 31may16) VIP 4 3.3
Buy-ins 30apr16 *100 shares each
Sprint Nextel 6.14 S 3 5.2
Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each
Astrotech Corporation 1.78 ASTC 2 1.3
Glencore Xstrata PLC ORD 2.46 GLCNF 2 1.9
Groupon Inc. 4.82 GRPN:US 3 3.9
Groupon Inc. 4.82 GRPN:US 3 3.9
Sprint Nextel 6.14 S 3 5.2
SeaDrill Limited 2.97 SDRL 2 1.2
Buy-ins 31jun16 *100 shares each
Vale SA 5.75 VALE 3 4.8
BookBuildersTM
New NYSE 2014 Portfolio
(including dividends*) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2014
4257.00 /4925.00 Gain 23.0
months
86.44%
“
Page 9 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Net Cash Forward * 100 shares 31jan16 Buy-ins 9.00
Net Cash * 100 (after $toploss sales) 670.00
Net Current Cash 679.00
Buy-ins 31jul16 *100 shares each SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Ballard Power Systems Incorporated 1.93 BLDP 1 1.7
Banco Santander SA ADS 4.24 SAN 4 3.4
Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 31jan16) 9.00
Cash Dividends earned 90.00
Total Cash Available 99.00
BookBuildersTM
New NYSE 2014 Portfolio
(including dividends*) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2014
4257.00 /4925.00 Gain 23.0
months
86.44%
Fund managers were sitting on your money to fumble and lose it in their ‘Great Rotation’ into
bonds, a churn which did freeze into ill-liquid lower interest, less than inflation now, to be
discounted more later, like now, when sold to regain liquidity. For this they claim fees. They win
twice, so you lose twice, in their zero-sum game of ”no crisis, no trades, no fees.” The pool of low
price point range of ‘likeables’ had been much reduced, and now is slowly increasing in number.
This portfolio started August 2014 seems an unwelcome outlier, dogged by its group of low price
‘likeables’ in a highly negative volatility range. We stay in the market, to resist loss and wait for
the rebound, always liquid. This portfolio has a long hill to climb back up but only staying in the
market can make that climb.
The biggest miscall of the market gossips ‘sky fall’ volatility drive back to zero is that world gross
production still exceeds world population growth by a factor of 3. The world economy is
growing15
. Consumers of high value added production remain consuming near 13 times more than
population growth in the Euro-American nations. That should be aligned if the world economies
were near stagnant. Gossip of weak consumer spending seem odd as mid-market store sales
revived. World GDP grew 0.7% first quarter, confirming outlook of 2.8% this year, NYSE is out
of touch with reality. “Price is not value,” confuses them16
. ‘Likeables’ are about value.
High value added production of Chinese (Indian Bengal Bay peninsula and Indonesian archipelago
and others are not far behind) workshops to the world still exceeds the population growth of high
income nations buying high value consumer goods by a factor of 13. The rising aspirations of a
middle class consuming high value goods is being felt worldwide not just in the G8 economies.
Chinese domestic consumption from its household formations is its own internal problem, while
households’ formation buying durable goods in the rest of the developing world is still rising.
“
Page 10 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
These factors are driven by patents technology and money rents paid to leading Euro-American
corporations. The Euro-American consumers’ appetites expressed as their GDPs are still rising at
more than quintuple their rate of population growth though a seventh of the world. Durable goods
needed to supply new households forming in Europe for war refugees rebuilding lives and
opportunities will stimulate welcoming economies. Employment is rising there as lately reported.
The five thousand year rivalry of tribal fiefs in their plundering for Middle East booty regardless of
religious spurs will spoil over oil decline as fuel is overtaken by innovating entrepreneurship. The
finest individuals of those fractious intrigues have escaped servility to seek their individual agency
among the developed economies giving refuge for their energy and range. Those that do not return
will spur innovation and growth in the receiving nations. The Middle East will be permanently
denied the human resource agency ‘Arab Spring’ was about. The amiable educated and more able
with finer dispositions will stay in refuge nation’s safety. The belligerents with short views return.
The greatest export of the occident to the world is the inspiration of individual agency that lies at
the core of capitalism. We trade our time and treasure to build value with our trading connections.
The creature of democracy inverted elite’s social role. Elites have instituted corporatism as their
avatar where outright plunder cannot.
We embrace the innovative when acting to our better angels, because that which can be made to
work will enhance us all, and opportunity for the few ‘conniving cousins’ to skim. We grant our
finances and licence to the architects of future business in their promise and our expectation they
will enhance our expectations. That is what lies at the core of capitalism.
The flow of ‘credit float’ we express to build those dreams ‘raises all our boats’ and why we
created the fictitious person, the corporation, as a society bears as public liability the costs of its
failure as we enjoy its success and promise. We invest in the hopeful return of a future income
coming from that inspired act of highest charity, investment, just as Maimonides encouraged, that
we might gain strength to earn our own way through that endeavour. His truth is inspired in the
conflation of cultures cooperative co-existence in medieval times.
These fundamentals driving international trade and macroeconomics the gossips are blinded from
seeing by their conventions. However as one pundit said, politics is all local, so is conventional
vision of economics, plagued by not seeing the larger view. Volatility will settle as these notions
make their corrective impact until market gossips find some other sky falling. As another pundit
reminded, Stay Calm and Carry On. Stick to our knitting and climb back. By our community of
effort dark times always diminish.
Engage “Likeables” and save your own bacon.
“
Page 11 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Equities that tend to hold their value and gain are better than cash. We like risk aversion, Capital
Safety and Liquidity because we have proven that works, for low risk and high AlphaSmartTM
gains.
For small savings it is needful but arbitrary you stock your portfolio from the low price-point end of
"likeables" found in the market. These “likeables” are used in the BookBuildersTM
fitting criteria
for small investor portfolio needs. What is essential in your portfolios is that you buy a full
complement of at least eight or preferably more equities at any time. (We prefer equal blocks of
100 shares. That allows us 'collaring options' an aggressive exit strategy to maximize gains (instead
of passive stop-loss) as many “likeables” rebound so ‘collaring’ lets us hold through volatility and
earn more gains17
).
Do not expect perfect of Risk Price. Tendency for gain is not the same as pin-the-point on the mule
as most claim, encourage or seek. Let others chase the gamblers’ risk/reward model. Risk Price is
what investors need to know. Risk aversion comes of a diverse range of our “likeables” in your
portfolio. Our proprietary “likeables” information allows small investors to save your own bacon.
TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM
“Likeables”
Portfolio (set 30 November 2012)
Market
Price
Symbol SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
(See prior posts for early trading history)
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. 12.21 AQN 9 11.3
Choice Properties REIT 14.40 CHP.UN 10 13.5
Celestica Inc. ($13.0 stopLoss 06may16) CLS 10 10.6
Chartwell Snrs Hsg REIT 15.86 CSH.UN 10 14.7
Guyana Goldfields Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 25jul16) 7.70 GUY 3 6.5
Just Energy Group Inc. 8.11 JE 6 7.3
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. 11.15 KGI 6 9.3
NovaGold Resources Inc. 9.08 NG 4 7.7
Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each
Atlantic Power Corporation 3.27 ATP 3 3.0
Eldorado Gold Corporation 5.35 ELD.TO 4 4.5
NuVista Energy Ltd. 6.33 NVA 4 5.4
.
TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM
Portfolio Value
(including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 30 November 2012
9927.30 /6391.00 Gain 44.0
months
55.33%
IRR pa 12.76%
Net Current Cash after 31jan16 Buy-ins *100 shares 2.00
Net Cash * 100 (stoploss sales) 770.00
Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 772.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 31jul16 *100 shares each
“
Page 12 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Lundin Mining Corporation 5.46 LUN
Western Forest Products Incorporated 2.14 WEF
Net Current Cash after 31jul16 Buy-ins *100 shares 12.00
Cash Dividends earned 396.24
Total Cash Available 408.24
TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM
Portfolio Value
(including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 30 November 2012
9927.30 /6391.00 Gain 44.0
months
55.33%
IRR pa 12.76%
Removal of ‘Quantitative Eating’ combined with oil and gas bloat made unusual down-side
volatility in all markets these past 22 months. To fuel that, older Greece and newer China issues
and then ‘Brexit’ added spooky gossip, a ‘sea-change’ of stoplosses were triggered. Commodities
went underground for no reason as the real economy just shrugged and carried on. The stock
market is driven by ‘expectancy’behaviours, too great and too little, swings and roundabouts.
Balance sheets did not flip-flop. Portfolio managers did. Their expectations are unrelated to
‘fundamentals’ of value investing18
. Our tighter $toploss values reduced risk of loss. All of the
stocks in our public portfolios19
just rebounded. Most, still trading well above Risk Price can be
bought back for less. Take the ‘short-sell’ bonus and buy those back. We heard the ‘mooing’ as
higher employment spread through Europe due stagnant oil price; amid, Russian and Chinese
theatres of proxy conflict. Less gossip, more go-sip a tea on your break, gets things done, for you.
Collaring options we prefer using giving more gains but requires a lot more attention. Stoploss is
a simpler approach. Again we must rebuild for gain hopeful calmer markets will soon return.
Price has no mass - gravity like gossip fluctuates, apparently both being ‘dark energy’ forces.
Political shift to fuller renewal of infrastructure is now at forefront with income equality. All the
‘canards’ and other ‘Daffy’ ‘Donalds’ walk the political stage of this season while the real
economy slowly inches recovery forward, absorbing those persons’ abuse of ‘credit float’ in the
sea of moral hazard they had created. Manager avatars like ‘Donald’ have much to account for, in
court. Is Boris the vanguard for 46% rise in London child homelessness20
and the ‘Brexit’ policy?
Well, Boris blinked and went without a programme to ‘fix-it’ as Jocks, Jordies and Taffs walk.
The reality that ‘treacle-down’ never worked is roosting, as much as, austerity is impoverishing
in hard times when innovation and investment are needed to ‘credit float’ warranted investment
in valiant business processes and enterprises in the real economy. Austerity drains ‘credit float’
from worthy enterprises as otherwise add worth and wealth in their business process, making
‘money’ to put in our pockets and allocate as we wish or save in ‘likeable’ equities hopeful of
gain. Cash is better ‘cached’ into capital-creating ‘likeables’ equities, adding worth for you.
“
Page 13 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
New TSX 2013 Portfolio Buyins *100 shares
Set 31 August 2013
6282.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 31jan16*100 shares each
ATS Automtn Tool Systems Inc. ($9.8 stopLoss 03feb16) ATA 11 8.1
Choice Properties REIT ($11.7 stopLoss 08feb16) CHP.UN 10 13.5
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) CHR.B 5 0.0
Intertape Polymer Grp Inc. 21.07 ITP 15 19.2
Just Energy Group Inc. ($8.8 stopLoss 10feb16) JE 6 7.3
NovaGold Resources Inc. 9.08 NG 4 7.7
Buy-ins 29feb16*100 shares each
Extendicare Incorporated ($8.8 stopLoss 16may16) EXE 7 7.6
Guyana Goldfields Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 25jul16) 7.70 GUY 2 6.5
Just Energy Group Inc. 8.11 JE 6 7.3
Northland Power Inc. 24.53 NPI 15 22.1
OceanaGold Corporation 4.72 OGC 2 3.8
Premier Gold Mines Limited 4.96 PG 1 4.2
Buy-ins 31may16*100 shares each
Dundee Precious Metals Inc. 3.93 DPM.TO 1 3.2
Extendicare Incorporated ($8.0 stopLoss 06jun16) EXE 7 7.6
Buy-ins 30jun16*100 shares each
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. 8.26 AAV 5 7.6
Golden Star Resources Ltd. 1.03 GSC.TO 1 0.8
New TSX 2013 BookBuilderTM
Portfolio
(including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2013
969400 /6282.00 Gain 35.0
months
54.31%
IRR pa 16.04%
Net Current Cash after 30jun16 Buy-ins *100 shares 31.00
Net Cash * 100 (stoploss sakes) 800.00
Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 836.00
(See prior posts for early trading history)
SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 30jun16*100 shares each
B2Gold Corporation 4.09 BTO.TO 1 3.3
Silvercorp Metals Inc. 3.87 SVM.TO 1 3.0
Net Current Cash after 30apr16 *100 share Buy-ins 5.00
Cash Dividends earned 324.00
“
Page 14 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Total Cash Available 326.00
New TSX 2013 BookBuilderTM
Portfolio
(including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2013
969400 /6282.00 Gain 35.0
months
54.31%
IRR pa 16.04%
(Pending Need for Change or investing new Savings)
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. 8.26 AAV 5 7.6
Choice Properties REIT 14.40 CHP.UN 10 13.5
Great Canadian Gaming Corp 18.62 GC 14 16.8
BookBuilderTM
New TSX 2014 “Likeables”
$5,000 Portfolio (31 August 2014 *100 share Buy-ins)
4871.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 30nov2015 *100 shares each
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.4 stopLoss 11jan16) CHR.B 5 0.0
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. 11.15 KGI 5 9.3
OceanaGold Corp. ($2.4 stopLoss 07dec15) OGC 2 3.8
Premier Gold Mines Ltd. ($2.5 stopLoss 18jan16) PG 1 4.2
Buy-ins 31dec2015 *100 shares each
Alacer Gold Corp. ($2.5 stopLoss 20jul15) ASR 2 3.0
Guyana Goldfields Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 25jul16). 7.70 GUY 2 6.5
Lake Shore Gold Corp. (01apr16 TSR takesover LSG) LSG 1 1.7
NovaGold Resources Inc. ($5.5 stopLoss 12jan16) NG 4 7.7
Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each
Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) CHR.B 5 0.0
BlackBerry Limited ($9.3 stopLoss 09feb16) BB 8 8.6
Premier Gold Mines Limited 4.96 PG 1 4.2
Western Forest Products Inc. ($1.9 stopLoss 03feb16) WEF 1 1.9
Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. ($7.1 stopLoss 16jun16) AAV 5 7.6
Extendicare Incorporated ($8.8 stopLoss 16may16) EXE 7 7.6
Just Energy Group Inc. 8.11 JE 6 7.3
Nevsun Resources Ltd. ($3.9 stopLoss 23jun16) NSU 3 3.9
Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each
Extendicare Incorporated ($8.0 stopLoss 06jun16) EXE 7 7.6
Golden Star Resources Ltd. 1.03 GSC.TO 1 0.8
Torex Gold Resources Inc. (1:10 split 05jul16) 2.70 TXG.TO 1 23.1
Buy-ins 30jun16 *100 shares each
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. 11.38 FVI.TO 4 9.1
Nevsun Resources Ltd. 4.32 NSU 3 3.9
NuVista Energy Ltd. 6.33 NVA 4 5.4
“
Page 15 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
BookBuilderTM
New TSX 2014 “Likeables”
(including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2014
5911.70 /4871.00 Gain 23.0
months
21.37%
IRR pa 7.07%
Net Current Cash (after 29feb16 *100 share Buy-ins) 39.00
Net Cash * 100 (on stoploss sales) 770.00
Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 809.00
(See prior posts for early trading history) SF
(Risk Price)
Stoploss
Buy-ins 31jul16 *100 shares each
Eldorado Gold Corporation 5.35 ELD.TO 4 4.5
Wi-LAN Inc. 2.38 WIN 2 2.0
Net Current Cash after 31jul16 Buy-ins *100 shares 36.00
Cash Dividends earned 92.40
Total Cash Available 128.40
BookBuilderTM
New TSX 2014 “Likeables”
(including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2014
5911.70 /4871.00 Gain 23.0
months
21.37%
IRR pa 7.07%
This result is far less than our expected long term tendency. However, it is catching-up, having
made 8.02% gain this month. That is cause for celebratory hats and horns. It is heading toward
double digit gain. This portfolio has gone through 23 months of volatile and negative market
behaviour, its entire interval. The TSX is still down at -6.68% over the interval. This month this
portfolio is 28.05% higher than the TSX, demonstrating resilience from our robust Risk Price
driven methods even when using the less effective stoploss regime. The modest ’short sell’ of not
buying back at higher price than stoploss has limited capital erosion during these negative times,
while showing the long term tendency for gain by staying in the market as it gyrates on gossip
dis-information and ‘news’.
Our options trading based on Risk Price indications testing the market is aggressive strategic
investing which needs prompt diligence filtering put/call offers in the options market, that takes
effort and time the small investor cannot or should not take from what they do best to earn their
incomes and save. Invest your savings with our Risk Price driven ‘likeables’ to earn income and
build your own wealth from our charity in sharing enough of our proprietary data for serving the
small investor building his own wealth. Accredited investors should buy StockTakers 12% Bond,
and, we will do the work, because we can.
Risk Price is about knowing more than the rest, more than conventional fundamentals offer to the
“
Page 16 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
investor at any scale of portfolio. We know the pursuit of framing options to collar exit or holds
guided by the Risk Price is more lucrative. That takes too much attention for the small investor
who just wants to save and build wealth hopeful of gains better than inflation in the long term
and be liquid all the while, ready for difficult times when they need some ready cash, drawing on
their own wealth, for helping themselves or their dear ones. Stoploss does that passively, for you.
Engage “likeables” and save your own bacon.
The conventional investment industry cannot prove any of their assumptions underlying their
methods, whose results are 1.03:1, like21
a coin toss. Avoid those Artful Dodgers playing dice with
your wallet. Investors need a real compass22
. Risk Price shows their way. Our TaxCharityTM
gives
proof. In the spirit and tradition of real science of Bacon and Newton we feign nothing; our
demonstrations are in real time with real consequences obtaining real benefit to investors’ wallets,
because we can.
In our Modal Geometry theory of the firm we make only two assumptions, clearly as follows:
1. there is a balance sheet of the firm (that the rule of law governs its information is possibly
weak assumption but at an accuracy to at least the modest degree accountants are prepared
to be responsible for); and,
2. the firm will vigorously negotiate, “what it owns” (in order to stay in business “what is
owed to it” with “what it owes” and vice versa, to make the best of what it has, that is in its
trading connections).
The Modal Geometry theory of the firm has unfolded more by rigourous observation in the real
world of corporate ledgers relation to balance sheets. That is aided with logic, epistemology, and
some powerful mathematics, real science, not conventional assumptions with little relevance but
gossip.
Our reasons for having any equity in our portfolios are clear, concise and consistent. “likeables” are
equities shown valued by investors, tending to continuing gain, which investors have demonstrated
a determination to buy and hold at stock prices above the Risk Price. “AlphaSmartTM
gains, Capital
Safety and Liquidity” are consequences we obtain through risk aversion that our Risk Price
enables. That is proven.
Proof is positive, in our TaxCharityTM
and BookBuilderTM
portfolios, extending our proprietary
information to small investors. The BST-Solo50KTM
and ABC-ZsTM
suit larger wallets. Because
we can, while the entire financial industry is so busy blowing bubbles23
with cash from your wallet.
Know What You Have. Have What You Know.
“
Page 17 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
Our risk averse view works. The proof of our method is clear and forthrightly shown. Of course we
require 2&20 fees for doing that, or utilize our StockTakers 12% Bond. Mail us for your wealthy
helping of what we can do for you. Because we can. You have proof.
It is the price of risk24
because that’s the price at which we can reasonably expect to get our money
back with a possible and hopeful return that exceeds the rate of inflation. That proof is here in your
hands, as we continue to show as above, because, we can.
Know What You Have, and only, Have What You Know.
Our view is risk averse. Of course we require 2&20 fees for doing that. Mail us for our help.
Hans Goetze,
Architypes Inc. architypes@gmail.com and StockTakers Limited
Head Office
76 351 Chemin Boulanger
Sutton, PQ
J0E 2K0
450 538-1270
647-608-2176
1
http://riskwerk.com/2012/06/05/economics-is-confusing/
2
http://riskwerk.com/2015/08/27/pi-extreme-economics-the-worlds-bubble-wrap/
3
‘Father’ of Modern Portfolio Theory, Peter L. Bernstein, became disaffected realizing it was exposing investors to risk
while productive way for making the professionals a living http://www.e-m-h.org/Bernstein1999.pdf
4
E. Goetze,“The Modal Geometry of the Firm and the Balance Sheet Worth of the Trading Connections”, 2006
5
http://riskwerk.com/2012/09/22/popovicius-volatility/
6
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21676767-entrepreneurs-are-redesigning-basic-building-block-
capitalism-reinventing-company?cid1=cust/ednew/n/n/n/20151022n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email
7
banks have paid nearly $230 billion in litigation costs since 2009 http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/13/us-
banking-litigation-research-idUSKBN0KM10G20150113
8
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/only-a-black-swan-will-bring-back-stock-volatility-2014-05-18 These Goldilocks
and the Black Swans are confused by the tales even the VIXens siren to investors.
9
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/medieval-diet
10
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21676767-entrepreneurs-are-redesigning-basic-building-block-capitalism-
reinventing-company?cid1=cust/ednew/n/n/n/20151022n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email
11
https://riskwerk.com/2016/06/16/bn-the-w-syndrome/
12
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/the-corporate-social-on-our-best
13
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/stocktakers-12-bond
14
http://riskwerk.com/2012/09/22/popovicius-volatility/
15
http://www.economist.com/news/china/21701505-chinas-foreign-policy-could-reshape-good-part-world-economy-our-
bulldozers-our-rules?cid1=cust/ednew/t/bl/n/20160630n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/n
16
https://riskwerk.com/2013/08/07/the-god-stock-econo-speak/
17
http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/03/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market/ ; http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/21/the-sp-tsx-
hangdog-market-2/ ; http://riskwerk.com/2013/08/10/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market-3/
“
Page 18 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Defending Your Capital
BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours
31 July 2016 Update
18
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Intelligent_Investor
19
http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/18/the-real-intelligent-investor/
20
http://www.homeless.org.uk/connect/news/2015/dec/17/latest-homelessness-numbers-underline-desperate-need-to-tackle-
housing
21
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/the-grail-and-the-goat-portfolios on North American markets the combined
average result of ‘managers’ investment models is 1.03:1, statistically no better than monkeys tossing coins or dice as compared to
Risk Price driven ‘likeables’ portfolio showing 2.28:1 of the equities gain for long periods, the rest is ‘gardening’
22
http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/orienteering-among-magpies
23
http://riskwerk.com/2013/10/14/asset-bubbles-day-october-14-2013/
24
http://riskwerk.com/2012/08/26/the-price-of-risk/

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BookBuilderTM 31jul16

  • 1. “ Page 1 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Our BookBuilderTM portfolios aim at building the children's education fund so they do not leave school burdened like a borax mule with vitality sapping debt. Build your own deal book. Run your online trading income account with our “likeables” because you need "to save your own bacon." Several quarters in a row now, the ‘professional’ portfolio managers have shown they are confused, do not know. It is proverbial to learn and gain wisdom, Proverbs 8:5 in fact, but provably the portfolio management class have no wisdom, only their confusion1 . The real story is brute methods of pension, insurance, ETFs and mutual funds, blinked and lost $trillions of your money they control in pension funds, insurance and banking. Your money, they put up for grabs in their zero-sum bubble2 . Their confusion and indiscretion costs us all. All our charity portfolios need to reload and rebuild. Fight the foolishness, buy back at less than the stoploss and greater than SF. Hold’em is the best strategy when market movers play, ‘Ain’t Mis- behavin’ Wink’n, Blink’n and Naughty. Their reaction to externalities is the wild gossip they ply on each other. Business balance sheet fundamentals make ‘likeable’ firms slowly change. We suffered the Great Rotation bubble of Quantitative Eating created by the ‘market makers’ confusion. China only slipped to 6% growth. India’s median income is now 20% higher than Russians. There are a lot more joining the muddle class. We discourage the quick fix of fossil fuelling developing economies. Look to new economies without fossil fuel. The world cannot afford more ‘externality’ that is pollution at others expense as China used to grow its Yuan, or others want for their GDP. BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours. Keeping it yours is your intention when you save. We enable you to build value. Build your own deal book in your online trading account to keep your capital safe and growing in value. Keep your money and obtain a hopeful return, yours. The financial products industry covets spending your savings for themselves. They do not see your pocket as their restraint, rather their opportunity. These Artful Dodgers are just skilled pick-pockets, in suits they bought with your cash. Avoid these ‘Goats’ that come to just eat your grass, graze your wallet, and leave. Do not loan them your pocket-book on empty promises they have never delivered. Avoid these traps laid by financial products conspiring to artfully exploit the small investor of hard-won savings. Don’t give them your wallet. “Save your own bacon." "for the value of money is also perishable." Jean-Baptiste Say , 1803 What investors expect of financial products is a way to secure their hard earned savings while growing their wealth. The circularity of ‘investment talk’ is what Alice gets at the Tea Party. “Take some more tea,” the March Hare said to Alice very earnestly. “I’ve had nothing yet,” Alice replied in an offended tone: “so I ca’n’t take more.” “You mean you ca’n’t take less,” said the Hatter: “it’s very easy to take more than nothing.” Pretty much, they have taken it all before you arrived. “Alice, meet Dr. Artful Dodger.”
  • 2. “ Page 2 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Holding on to the value of what you have created is fundamental. Ancient wisdom is the feast we enjoy today will not be on our table tomorrow. You work earn save and build for a hope filled future when you can do what is in your heart and skills to take-on doing for yourself. Cash only has a temporary value that time erodes. Cash is powerful only when it is engaged in business processes creating more wealth, adding value. Cash must be invested to hold and grow, adding value, earning an income. Invest with ‘likeables’ for your income and build your wealth for your future Wall Street pillages your wallet. They say that is their job, making markets and venture capital loans by running your money. You want to keep what you have, but earn income on it. You want your capital safe earning income hopefully above inflation. Wall Street disclaims talk about or do anything about income. They are selling risk, to you, and they’re good at selling risk3 for their fees. But, what can the small investor do with $5,000? With our ‘likeables’ we show, because, we can. The Risk Price is our benchmark measure against the share price. It is our fundamental arbiter in segregating the B-class of firms4 worthy of investment. The $toploss settings we publish for these public portfolios should do the job of saving equity from serious harm due to market gossip induced volatility. We shun the likely rude wealth takers, the N-class, that are not ‘likeables.’ We very reasonably analyse balance sheets to identify and shun those doppelgängers of corporate fiction. You want to keep your money, hopefully, gain an income, above the corrosive rate of inflation. Our ‘likeables’ stocks portfolios do this while being risk averse. The full history of trades made in these charity portfolios in real time is shown. Our charity portfolios are proof of long term gain! BookBuilder™ portfolios are of just our lowest cost ‘likeables’ our methods identify. Because we can, our proprietary information is given freely in charity to enable small investors to keep their savings growing into their wealth. Our method is proven in long term portfolios earnings consistently exceeding inflation. Grow your earned savings for children’s tuition, nest building or retirement income. Because you need to “save your own bacon" run your online trading account. Our calculated Risk Price (SF) is provably the least stock price at which the company is “likeable” so we can use “risk aversion”. Equities trading above our SF benchmark Risk Price are those investors tend to like. Two of three continue to rise due investors’ behaviour. These are ‘likeables’ revealed by their Risk Price. This is based on new theory we prove works in the real world. By using the mean 52 week price range to set the $topLoss on each, usually, the ‘laggards’ will be cut before they damage capital safety. With gossip driven burst of market bubbles we needed to narrow that ratio to avoid the damage from downside volatility fund managers make because they do not know value, or which way to turn. Now we decide it is time to return to larger gap. By knowing the Risk Price as a bottom reference we can also exit and buy-back at a lower price to recover. Then continue making substantial gains as markets rebound. This is what we do when using the more active “collaring options5 ” to profitably buy lower or exit. By reinvesting cash to capital your portfolio grows wealth through the long term while remaining "as good as cash” liquid whenever time comes you need some cash from dividends earned in your income portfolio.
  • 3. “ Page 3 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Throughout the immediate past year and half confused portfolio managers moved the massive holdings6 they claim in your name on news and gossip churn they and their confrere’s make-up. They are like the Mock Turtle “only took the regular courses” but have no proof. Volatility they and their confreres make “surprising news” because they never know where they are. Convictions they have, and plenty more7 are now finally indicted, but no reasons can they offer. No help for you comes from them, just their litigation bill, you pay costs of their business. Those Artful Dodgers’ baseless gambling with your money always pays them first, for their ‘reasons’ that do not help you. Their rumours ping-pong nervous and unsure. They did not read or connect dots even when told, Taper-talk fear was hot-air volatility8 tales, ‘fat-tails’ wagging dogs gossip. The ‘dollar per word’ market mavens floated on Quantitative Eating. Yeah, the Fed said rates will rise when they see ‘full’ employment. One critic said, “no crisis, no trades, no money made.” The “Brexit’ crisis was about politicians in search of their income. Then they left the woes behind, as, Boris blinked and Nigel nodded out without a programme to ‘fix-it’ as Jocks, Jordies and Taffs consider taking a walk and deconstruct the rest. The `Brexit` panic of fund managers was unusual causing their “I don`t know nothin’ ‘bout birth and babies” reaction triggering stoploss markers. The ‘Grexit’ crisis extended back to British, Dutch, French and German banks pursuing high profits in derivative backed loans to Greek firms, in 2007. In 2010 IMF and ECB took over those loans to save those banks €214 Bn loses on their risky business. By law, the public is liable for PLC defaults, as greatest of unsecured creditors. Which public, whose pockets pay for bank folly, is the question. FSB is sending bankers back to the Medieval Diet of 50 years ago, high reserves and bland fees9 as then bank managers made four times a day labourer wage, not 300 times. Austerity hangs everyone out to dry. Even before Keynes, US President Herbert Hoover in 1931 proposed international financial debt moratorium to fight the Great Depression. It was bank management failure of due diligence in creating unwarranted credit bubble margin lending leading to crash the liquidity needed for sound businesses of society that made ‘Hoovervilles’. Mellon partisan politicking saved bankers their balance sheets at greater public expense for PLC defaults. Demand grows economies. The business process creates ‘new money’ among its trading connections by adding value covering debt carried. Business School courses miss that. Cash must be engaged in effective business processes to gain from value added by valiant business ideas and enterprises. Cash on balance sheets should be allocated to serve creating new demand and innovation creating jobs in the real economy as consumers spend and demand. Managers using QE cashroll for buying-in shares is an austerity measure that just helps them to their share-package and cash bonuses, not help to shareholders10 , or growing business with trading connections creating worth. Despite long evident small but strong real growth, capitalization in jobs by innovation has lagged, along with political leadership overwrought on fugitive tales from their dog-walkers. All 4 of StockTakers NYSE charity portfolios had doubled in less than 3 years, then suffered the downturn of maven confusion11 . Like surfers we rise up from the trough. As our public charity
  • 4. “ Page 4 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update portfolios show our reasoned balance sheet analysis of firms managing their business debt structure is proven method. Rooted in oil and minerals glut the TSX struggles to lesser gain, but can grin too. We call that proof, evidence our method tends to 26% IRR gains. Those were outlier results in mixed markets confused by conventions, newspeak, jargon and aphorisms of the confused that do not know, and will not bother to learn. This past year the froth blow off shows the real economy steady and slow, but still far ahead of population growth in three-fold GDP growth ratio. We show our risk averse, capital safe, liquid investing method based on Risk Price works, very likably. All the gossip and volatility the ‘dollar-per-word’ market mavens have mumbled is their business model ‘news’ for your trading. Those mavens whacked markets setback the August 2014 portfolios, just as in Q1-2013, trimming our outlier results. ‘Be Calm and Carry-on’ $toploss resets ride out market waves mavens make. Our simple risk averse $toploss does well for the long term. Cash is powerful only when invested as capital to hold and grow value, adding to your wealth. Let others chase the gamblers’ risk/reward model that does not work. So called “financial advisors” at financial institutions are risk sellers, Capital Appreciation Robbers, CAR sellers of ‘funky chicken’ products for fee-taking leaving none for you. Do not give those Artful Dodgers your wallet Less risk for more reward sounds unusual but our ‘likeables’ prove risk aversion is rewarded. Our proprietary information given in charity empowers small investors to “save your own bacon.” But you can be charitable. Consider paying-forward our charity by donating our usual 2&20 fee to social charity. Good social and corporate works deserve12 your help building society’s wealth. We seek accredited investors to advance what we have proven. Meanwhile enjoy our charity providing TaxCharityTM and BookBuilderTM portfolios as public service, because we can. Use our proprietary ‘likeables’ information for the small investor to save your own bacon. Set the $topLosses indicated and get on with earning income from your business you know best. Expand your portfolio. You are ready for riding through more waves from comic behaviours in politics infused market gossip. Grow your wallet, ride those waves. You know how to work and save, so “save your own bacon” with our ‘likeables.’ Accredited investors should use our 12% bond13 . BookBuilderTM Portfolios Update List – 31 July 2016 NYSE BookBuilderTM ‘likeables’ Firms (30 November 2012) Market Price Symbol SF (Risk Price) Stop/Loss (See prior posts for early trading history) Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($8.2 stopLoss 24jun16) ACHN 2 7.1 First Horizon National Corp. ($13.6 stopLoss 14jun16) FHN:US 10 13.5 Gannett Company Inc. ($14.2 stopLoss 24jun16) GCI:US 12 11.5 Himax Technologies Inc. ($10.0 stopLoss 20apr16) HIMX:US 7 7.6 Logitech International S.A. ($14.5 stopLoss 19may16) LOGI 8 18.8 Annaly Capital Management Incorporated 10.98 NLY 10 10.3
  • 5. “ Page 5 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Wendys International Inc. ($9.6 stopLoss 16jun16) WEN:US 9 9.0 Buy-ins 31mar16 *100 shares each Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.8 stopLoss 07apr16) SIRI 4 4.2 Buy-ins 30apr16 *100 shares each Cosan Limited 6.68 CZZ 2 4.5 MBIA Inc. ($6.8 stopLoss 16may16) MBI 6 7.4 Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each KCG Holdings Inc. ($13.1 stopLoss 29jun16) KCG 11 14.0 MFA Financial Incorporated 7.52 MFA 7 7.0 Buy-ins 30jun16 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Incorporated 8.28 ACHN 2 7.1 Gannett Company Inc 12.76 GCI:US 12 11.5 Himax Technologies Incorporated 8.95 HIMX 7 7.6 International Game Technology 20.90 IGT 15 19.0 Two Harbors Investment Corporation 8.75 TWO 8 8.0 Windstream Corp 9.31 WIN 6 8.1 NYSE BookBuilderTM 2012 Portfolio *100 Shares (incl. Dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 30 November 2012 10116.30 /5460.00 Gain 44.0 months 85.28% IRR pa 18.32% Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 30apr16) 104.00 Net Cash * 100 (after stoploss sales) 0.00 Net Current Cash Forward * 100 104.00 Buy-ins 31jul16 *100 shares each SF (Risk Price) Stoploss n/a Net Cash Forward * 100 (after no buy-ins 31oct15) 104.00 Cash Dividends earned 522.70 Total Cash Available 626.70 NYSE BookBuilderTM 2012 Portfolio *100 Shares (incl. Dividendsª) 30 June 2016 / 30 November 2012 10125.70 /5460.00 Gain 42.0 months 85.45% IRR pa 18.81% Stop-loss settings intend to defend your capital from unusual negative market volatility in case of such irrational market mavens’ pressures of Q3-2014 through Q1-2016. Irrationally volatile swings occurred without regard for any reason, as stock prices sharply rebounded. Your capital was defended by stoploss settings as intended but you must rebuild your portfolio with successive replacement buy-ins as shown. Staying in the market is the way to gain for the long term.
  • 6. “ Page 6 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update We had progressively tightened our stoploss settings to less than a standard deviation on a 52 week rolling range14 of a stock’s price. That does incur an added ‘churn’ cost of buying after selling at the triggered stoploss setting. That is a consequence of exercising capital safety. There are benefits to doing that. Our ‘collaring options’ is preferred but takes our constant vigilance. New NYSE 2013 Portfolio Buyins *100 shares (31 August 2013 ) 4397.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 31sep15 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($9.3 stopLoss 07jan16) ACHN 2 7.1 Carrefour SA ADR ($6.3 stopLoss 13nov15) CRRFY:US 5 4.4 Monster Worldwide Inc. ($5.9 stopLoss 10dec15) MWW 6 1.3 Office Depot Inc. ($6.8 stopLoss 19nov15) ODP 4 2.3 Rite Aid Corp. ($96.7stopLoss 12jul16) 6.70 RAD:US 6 6.2 ShoreTel Inc. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) SHOR 6 6.3 Buy-ins 30nov15 *100 shares each Mitsubishi UFJ Fin’l Inc. ADS ($6.2 stopLoss 11dec15) MTU:US 6 3.7 Office Depot Inc. ($6.1 stopLoss 07dec15) ODP 4 2.3 Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each ChemoCentryx Inc. ($7.4 stopLoss 04jan16) CCXI 6 2.9 Callaway Golf Co. ($9.0 stopLoss 11jan16) ELY 7 10.0 Monster Worldwide Inc. ( $5.9 stopLoss 10dec15) MWW 6 1.3 Office Depot Inc. ($5.2 stopLoss 12jan16) ODP 4 2.3 ShoreTel Inco. ($8.5 stopLoss 05jan16) SHOR 6 6.3 Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) ACHN 2 7.1 Callaway Golf Co. ($8.4 stopLoss 03feb16) ELY 7 10.0 JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd ADS ($8.3 stopLoss 08feb16) JASO: 8 6.1 Office Depot Inc. ($5.0 stopLoss 11may16) ODP 4 2.3 SLM Corporation ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) SLM 6 6.2 ShoreTel Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 03feb16) SHOR 6 6.3 Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each 0.0 BAE Systems PLC ORD ($6.7 stopLoss 15jun16) BAESF:US 6 6.6 Frontier Comm. Corp. ($4.7 stopLoss 24jun16) FTR:US 5 4.7 Opko Health Incorporated 9.95 OPK 8 7.7 Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.8 stopLoss 07apr16) SIRI:NASDAQ 4 4.2 ShoreTel Inc. ($6.6 stopLoss 29apr16) SHOR 6 6.3 ZTE Corporation ADR (H Shares) ($2.8 stopLoss 05may16) ZTCOY:US 3 2.7 Buy-ins 30apr16 *100 shares each ARC Group Worldwide Incorporated 2.44 ARCW 2 1.7
  • 7. “ Page 7 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Glencore Xstrata PLC ORD 2.46 GLCNF 2 1.9 ShoreTel Incorporated 7.34 SHOR 6 6.3 Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 6.86 AMD 4 5.7 SeaDrill Limited 2.97 SDRL 2 1.2 Buy-ins 30jun16 *100 shares each Sprint Nextel 6.14 S 3 5.2 Viavi Solutions Incorporated 7.13 VIAV 6 6.5 BookBuildersTM 2013 NYSE Current Portfolio (including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2013 5408.50 /4397.00 Gain 35.0 months 123.00% IRR pa 7.36% This result is far less than our expected long term tendency. However, it is cause for celebratory hats and horns, gaining 9.68% this month, a ’likeables’ tendency. This portfolio has gone through 18 months of volatile and negative market behaviour, more than half of its interval. This portfolio has demonstrated resilience even using the less effective stoploss regime. We know our pursuit of using options to collar exit or holds guided by the Risk Price is more lucrative. Over these thirty plus months this portfolio confounds the performance of the hedge funds. This portfolio has proven stunningly better result for the small investor, is vastly better than any fund, bond or mortgage product the financial industry offers and always is liquid for the small investor needing access to use their own wealth to help themselves or dear ones when need arises. Net Cash Forward * 100 shares 31jan16 Buy-ins 38.00 Net Cash * 100 (after $toploss) 670.00 Net Current Cash * 708.00 Buy-ins 30jun16 *100 shares each SF (Risk Price) Stoploss SeaDrill Limited SDRL 2 1.2 VimpelCom Limited ADR VIP 4 3.3 Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 30pra2016) 3.00 Cash Dividends earned 152.20 Total Cash Available 155.20 BookBuildersTM 2013 NYSE Current Portfolio (including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2013 5408.50 /4397.00 Gain 35.0 months 123.00% IRR pa 7.36% (Pending Need for Change or investing new Savings) Peoples United Financial Incorporated 15.16 PBCT:US 14 14.5
  • 8. “ Page 8 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation 29.45 SWHC:US 20 25.7 Western Union Company 20.00 WU:US 16 18.9 BookBuildersTM New NYSE 2014 Portfolio Set 31 August 2014 4925.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 31dec15 *100 shares each BAE Systems PLC ORD ($7.1 stopLoss 19jan16) BAESF:US 6 6.6 NEC Corporation ($3.0 stopLoss 15mar16) NIPNF 3 2.0 Carrefour SA ADR ($7.1 stopLoss 06jan16) CRRFY:US 5 4.4 Rite Aid Corp. ($96.7stopLoss 12jul16) 6.70 RAD:US 6 6.2 SLM Corporation ($6.0 stopLoss 07jan16) SLM 6 6.2 Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. ($5.7 stopLoss 08feb16) ACHN 2 7.1 MFA Financial Inc. (N* drop $6.85 stoploss 31mar16) MFA 7 7.0 NEC Corporation ($3.0 stopLoss 15mar16) NIPNF 3 2.0 Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.6 stopLoss 08feb16) SIRI 4 4.2 ZTE Corporation ADR (H Shares) ($2.8 stopLoss 05may16) ZTCOY:US 3 2.5 Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each Frontier Comm. Corp. ($4.7 stopLoss 24jun16) FTR:US 5 4.7 Sirius XM Radio Inc. ($3.8 stopLoss 07apr16) SIRI 4 4.2 Buy-ins 31mar16 *100 shares each Astrotech Corp. ($1.6 stopLoss 09may16) ASTC 2 1.3 Carrefour SA ADR ($5.2 stopLoss 19may16) CRRFY:US 5 4.4 VimpelCom Limited ADR ($3.8 N*stopLoss 31may16) VIP 4 3.3 VimpelCom Limited ADR ($3.8 N*stopLoss 31may16) VIP 4 3.3 Buy-ins 30apr16 *100 shares each Sprint Nextel 6.14 S 3 5.2 Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each Astrotech Corporation 1.78 ASTC 2 1.3 Glencore Xstrata PLC ORD 2.46 GLCNF 2 1.9 Groupon Inc. 4.82 GRPN:US 3 3.9 Groupon Inc. 4.82 GRPN:US 3 3.9 Sprint Nextel 6.14 S 3 5.2 SeaDrill Limited 2.97 SDRL 2 1.2 Buy-ins 31jun16 *100 shares each Vale SA 5.75 VALE 3 4.8 BookBuildersTM New NYSE 2014 Portfolio (including dividends*) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2014 4257.00 /4925.00 Gain 23.0 months 86.44%
  • 9. “ Page 9 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Net Cash Forward * 100 shares 31jan16 Buy-ins 9.00 Net Cash * 100 (after $toploss sales) 670.00 Net Current Cash 679.00 Buy-ins 31jul16 *100 shares each SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Ballard Power Systems Incorporated 1.93 BLDP 1 1.7 Banco Santander SA ADS 4.24 SAN 4 3.4 Net Cash Forward * 100 (after buy-ins 31jan16) 9.00 Cash Dividends earned 90.00 Total Cash Available 99.00 BookBuildersTM New NYSE 2014 Portfolio (including dividends*) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2014 4257.00 /4925.00 Gain 23.0 months 86.44% Fund managers were sitting on your money to fumble and lose it in their ‘Great Rotation’ into bonds, a churn which did freeze into ill-liquid lower interest, less than inflation now, to be discounted more later, like now, when sold to regain liquidity. For this they claim fees. They win twice, so you lose twice, in their zero-sum game of ”no crisis, no trades, no fees.” The pool of low price point range of ‘likeables’ had been much reduced, and now is slowly increasing in number. This portfolio started August 2014 seems an unwelcome outlier, dogged by its group of low price ‘likeables’ in a highly negative volatility range. We stay in the market, to resist loss and wait for the rebound, always liquid. This portfolio has a long hill to climb back up but only staying in the market can make that climb. The biggest miscall of the market gossips ‘sky fall’ volatility drive back to zero is that world gross production still exceeds world population growth by a factor of 3. The world economy is growing15 . Consumers of high value added production remain consuming near 13 times more than population growth in the Euro-American nations. That should be aligned if the world economies were near stagnant. Gossip of weak consumer spending seem odd as mid-market store sales revived. World GDP grew 0.7% first quarter, confirming outlook of 2.8% this year, NYSE is out of touch with reality. “Price is not value,” confuses them16 . ‘Likeables’ are about value. High value added production of Chinese (Indian Bengal Bay peninsula and Indonesian archipelago and others are not far behind) workshops to the world still exceeds the population growth of high income nations buying high value consumer goods by a factor of 13. The rising aspirations of a middle class consuming high value goods is being felt worldwide not just in the G8 economies. Chinese domestic consumption from its household formations is its own internal problem, while households’ formation buying durable goods in the rest of the developing world is still rising.
  • 10. “ Page 10 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update These factors are driven by patents technology and money rents paid to leading Euro-American corporations. The Euro-American consumers’ appetites expressed as their GDPs are still rising at more than quintuple their rate of population growth though a seventh of the world. Durable goods needed to supply new households forming in Europe for war refugees rebuilding lives and opportunities will stimulate welcoming economies. Employment is rising there as lately reported. The five thousand year rivalry of tribal fiefs in their plundering for Middle East booty regardless of religious spurs will spoil over oil decline as fuel is overtaken by innovating entrepreneurship. The finest individuals of those fractious intrigues have escaped servility to seek their individual agency among the developed economies giving refuge for their energy and range. Those that do not return will spur innovation and growth in the receiving nations. The Middle East will be permanently denied the human resource agency ‘Arab Spring’ was about. The amiable educated and more able with finer dispositions will stay in refuge nation’s safety. The belligerents with short views return. The greatest export of the occident to the world is the inspiration of individual agency that lies at the core of capitalism. We trade our time and treasure to build value with our trading connections. The creature of democracy inverted elite’s social role. Elites have instituted corporatism as their avatar where outright plunder cannot. We embrace the innovative when acting to our better angels, because that which can be made to work will enhance us all, and opportunity for the few ‘conniving cousins’ to skim. We grant our finances and licence to the architects of future business in their promise and our expectation they will enhance our expectations. That is what lies at the core of capitalism. The flow of ‘credit float’ we express to build those dreams ‘raises all our boats’ and why we created the fictitious person, the corporation, as a society bears as public liability the costs of its failure as we enjoy its success and promise. We invest in the hopeful return of a future income coming from that inspired act of highest charity, investment, just as Maimonides encouraged, that we might gain strength to earn our own way through that endeavour. His truth is inspired in the conflation of cultures cooperative co-existence in medieval times. These fundamentals driving international trade and macroeconomics the gossips are blinded from seeing by their conventions. However as one pundit said, politics is all local, so is conventional vision of economics, plagued by not seeing the larger view. Volatility will settle as these notions make their corrective impact until market gossips find some other sky falling. As another pundit reminded, Stay Calm and Carry On. Stick to our knitting and climb back. By our community of effort dark times always diminish. Engage “Likeables” and save your own bacon.
  • 11. “ Page 11 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Equities that tend to hold their value and gain are better than cash. We like risk aversion, Capital Safety and Liquidity because we have proven that works, for low risk and high AlphaSmartTM gains. For small savings it is needful but arbitrary you stock your portfolio from the low price-point end of "likeables" found in the market. These “likeables” are used in the BookBuildersTM fitting criteria for small investor portfolio needs. What is essential in your portfolios is that you buy a full complement of at least eight or preferably more equities at any time. (We prefer equal blocks of 100 shares. That allows us 'collaring options' an aggressive exit strategy to maximize gains (instead of passive stop-loss) as many “likeables” rebound so ‘collaring’ lets us hold through volatility and earn more gains17 ). Do not expect perfect of Risk Price. Tendency for gain is not the same as pin-the-point on the mule as most claim, encourage or seek. Let others chase the gamblers’ risk/reward model. Risk Price is what investors need to know. Risk aversion comes of a diverse range of our “likeables” in your portfolio. Our proprietary “likeables” information allows small investors to save your own bacon. TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM “Likeables” Portfolio (set 30 November 2012) Market Price Symbol SF (Risk Price) Stoploss (See prior posts for early trading history) Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. 12.21 AQN 9 11.3 Choice Properties REIT 14.40 CHP.UN 10 13.5 Celestica Inc. ($13.0 stopLoss 06may16) CLS 10 10.6 Chartwell Snrs Hsg REIT 15.86 CSH.UN 10 14.7 Guyana Goldfields Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 25jul16) 7.70 GUY 3 6.5 Just Energy Group Inc. 8.11 JE 6 7.3 Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. 11.15 KGI 6 9.3 NovaGold Resources Inc. 9.08 NG 4 7.7 Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each Atlantic Power Corporation 3.27 ATP 3 3.0 Eldorado Gold Corporation 5.35 ELD.TO 4 4.5 NuVista Energy Ltd. 6.33 NVA 4 5.4 . TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM Portfolio Value (including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 30 November 2012 9927.30 /6391.00 Gain 44.0 months 55.33% IRR pa 12.76% Net Current Cash after 31jan16 Buy-ins *100 shares 2.00 Net Cash * 100 (stoploss sales) 770.00 Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 772.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 31jul16 *100 shares each
  • 12. “ Page 12 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Lundin Mining Corporation 5.46 LUN Western Forest Products Incorporated 2.14 WEF Net Current Cash after 31jul16 Buy-ins *100 shares 12.00 Cash Dividends earned 396.24 Total Cash Available 408.24 TSX 2012 BookBuilderTM Portfolio Value (including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 30 November 2012 9927.30 /6391.00 Gain 44.0 months 55.33% IRR pa 12.76% Removal of ‘Quantitative Eating’ combined with oil and gas bloat made unusual down-side volatility in all markets these past 22 months. To fuel that, older Greece and newer China issues and then ‘Brexit’ added spooky gossip, a ‘sea-change’ of stoplosses were triggered. Commodities went underground for no reason as the real economy just shrugged and carried on. The stock market is driven by ‘expectancy’behaviours, too great and too little, swings and roundabouts. Balance sheets did not flip-flop. Portfolio managers did. Their expectations are unrelated to ‘fundamentals’ of value investing18 . Our tighter $toploss values reduced risk of loss. All of the stocks in our public portfolios19 just rebounded. Most, still trading well above Risk Price can be bought back for less. Take the ‘short-sell’ bonus and buy those back. We heard the ‘mooing’ as higher employment spread through Europe due stagnant oil price; amid, Russian and Chinese theatres of proxy conflict. Less gossip, more go-sip a tea on your break, gets things done, for you. Collaring options we prefer using giving more gains but requires a lot more attention. Stoploss is a simpler approach. Again we must rebuild for gain hopeful calmer markets will soon return. Price has no mass - gravity like gossip fluctuates, apparently both being ‘dark energy’ forces. Political shift to fuller renewal of infrastructure is now at forefront with income equality. All the ‘canards’ and other ‘Daffy’ ‘Donalds’ walk the political stage of this season while the real economy slowly inches recovery forward, absorbing those persons’ abuse of ‘credit float’ in the sea of moral hazard they had created. Manager avatars like ‘Donald’ have much to account for, in court. Is Boris the vanguard for 46% rise in London child homelessness20 and the ‘Brexit’ policy? Well, Boris blinked and went without a programme to ‘fix-it’ as Jocks, Jordies and Taffs walk. The reality that ‘treacle-down’ never worked is roosting, as much as, austerity is impoverishing in hard times when innovation and investment are needed to ‘credit float’ warranted investment in valiant business processes and enterprises in the real economy. Austerity drains ‘credit float’ from worthy enterprises as otherwise add worth and wealth in their business process, making ‘money’ to put in our pockets and allocate as we wish or save in ‘likeable’ equities hopeful of gain. Cash is better ‘cached’ into capital-creating ‘likeables’ equities, adding worth for you.
  • 13. “ Page 13 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update New TSX 2013 Portfolio Buyins *100 shares Set 31 August 2013 6282.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 31jan16*100 shares each ATS Automtn Tool Systems Inc. ($9.8 stopLoss 03feb16) ATA 11 8.1 Choice Properties REIT ($11.7 stopLoss 08feb16) CHP.UN 10 13.5 Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) CHR.B 5 0.0 Intertape Polymer Grp Inc. 21.07 ITP 15 19.2 Just Energy Group Inc. ($8.8 stopLoss 10feb16) JE 6 7.3 NovaGold Resources Inc. 9.08 NG 4 7.7 Buy-ins 29feb16*100 shares each Extendicare Incorporated ($8.8 stopLoss 16may16) EXE 7 7.6 Guyana Goldfields Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 25jul16) 7.70 GUY 2 6.5 Just Energy Group Inc. 8.11 JE 6 7.3 Northland Power Inc. 24.53 NPI 15 22.1 OceanaGold Corporation 4.72 OGC 2 3.8 Premier Gold Mines Limited 4.96 PG 1 4.2 Buy-ins 31may16*100 shares each Dundee Precious Metals Inc. 3.93 DPM.TO 1 3.2 Extendicare Incorporated ($8.0 stopLoss 06jun16) EXE 7 7.6 Buy-ins 30jun16*100 shares each Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. 8.26 AAV 5 7.6 Golden Star Resources Ltd. 1.03 GSC.TO 1 0.8 New TSX 2013 BookBuilderTM Portfolio (including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2013 969400 /6282.00 Gain 35.0 months 54.31% IRR pa 16.04% Net Current Cash after 30jun16 Buy-ins *100 shares 31.00 Net Cash * 100 (stoploss sakes) 800.00 Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 836.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 30jun16*100 shares each B2Gold Corporation 4.09 BTO.TO 1 3.3 Silvercorp Metals Inc. 3.87 SVM.TO 1 3.0 Net Current Cash after 30apr16 *100 share Buy-ins 5.00 Cash Dividends earned 324.00
  • 14. “ Page 14 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Total Cash Available 326.00 New TSX 2013 BookBuilderTM Portfolio (including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2013 969400 /6282.00 Gain 35.0 months 54.31% IRR pa 16.04% (Pending Need for Change or investing new Savings) Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. 8.26 AAV 5 7.6 Choice Properties REIT 14.40 CHP.UN 10 13.5 Great Canadian Gaming Corp 18.62 GC 14 16.8 BookBuilderTM New TSX 2014 “Likeables” $5,000 Portfolio (31 August 2014 *100 share Buy-ins) 4871.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 30nov2015 *100 shares each Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.4 stopLoss 11jan16) CHR.B 5 0.0 Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. 11.15 KGI 5 9.3 OceanaGold Corp. ($2.4 stopLoss 07dec15) OGC 2 3.8 Premier Gold Mines Ltd. ($2.5 stopLoss 18jan16) PG 1 4.2 Buy-ins 31dec2015 *100 shares each Alacer Gold Corp. ($2.5 stopLoss 20jul15) ASR 2 3.0 Guyana Goldfields Inc. ($7.7 stopLoss 25jul16). 7.70 GUY 2 6.5 Lake Shore Gold Corp. (01apr16 TSR takesover LSG) LSG 1 1.7 NovaGold Resources Inc. ($5.5 stopLoss 12jan16) NG 4 7.7 Buy-ins 31jan16 *100 shares each Chorus Aviation Inc. ($5.1 stopLoss 10feb16) CHR.B 5 0.0 BlackBerry Limited ($9.3 stopLoss 09feb16) BB 8 8.6 Premier Gold Mines Limited 4.96 PG 1 4.2 Western Forest Products Inc. ($1.9 stopLoss 03feb16) WEF 1 1.9 Buy-ins 29feb16 *100 shares each Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. ($7.1 stopLoss 16jun16) AAV 5 7.6 Extendicare Incorporated ($8.8 stopLoss 16may16) EXE 7 7.6 Just Energy Group Inc. 8.11 JE 6 7.3 Nevsun Resources Ltd. ($3.9 stopLoss 23jun16) NSU 3 3.9 Buy-ins 31may16 *100 shares each Extendicare Incorporated ($8.0 stopLoss 06jun16) EXE 7 7.6 Golden Star Resources Ltd. 1.03 GSC.TO 1 0.8 Torex Gold Resources Inc. (1:10 split 05jul16) 2.70 TXG.TO 1 23.1 Buy-ins 30jun16 *100 shares each Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. 11.38 FVI.TO 4 9.1 Nevsun Resources Ltd. 4.32 NSU 3 3.9 NuVista Energy Ltd. 6.33 NVA 4 5.4
  • 15. “ Page 15 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update BookBuilderTM New TSX 2014 “Likeables” (including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2014 5911.70 /4871.00 Gain 23.0 months 21.37% IRR pa 7.07% Net Current Cash (after 29feb16 *100 share Buy-ins) 39.00 Net Cash * 100 (on stoploss sales) 770.00 Net Cash for Buy-ins *100 shares 809.00 (See prior posts for early trading history) SF (Risk Price) Stoploss Buy-ins 31jul16 *100 shares each Eldorado Gold Corporation 5.35 ELD.TO 4 4.5 Wi-LAN Inc. 2.38 WIN 2 2.0 Net Current Cash after 31jul16 Buy-ins *100 shares 36.00 Cash Dividends earned 92.40 Total Cash Available 128.40 BookBuilderTM New TSX 2014 “Likeables” (including dividendsª) 31 July 2016 / 31 August 2014 5911.70 /4871.00 Gain 23.0 months 21.37% IRR pa 7.07% This result is far less than our expected long term tendency. However, it is catching-up, having made 8.02% gain this month. That is cause for celebratory hats and horns. It is heading toward double digit gain. This portfolio has gone through 23 months of volatile and negative market behaviour, its entire interval. The TSX is still down at -6.68% over the interval. This month this portfolio is 28.05% higher than the TSX, demonstrating resilience from our robust Risk Price driven methods even when using the less effective stoploss regime. The modest ’short sell’ of not buying back at higher price than stoploss has limited capital erosion during these negative times, while showing the long term tendency for gain by staying in the market as it gyrates on gossip dis-information and ‘news’. Our options trading based on Risk Price indications testing the market is aggressive strategic investing which needs prompt diligence filtering put/call offers in the options market, that takes effort and time the small investor cannot or should not take from what they do best to earn their incomes and save. Invest your savings with our Risk Price driven ‘likeables’ to earn income and build your own wealth from our charity in sharing enough of our proprietary data for serving the small investor building his own wealth. Accredited investors should buy StockTakers 12% Bond, and, we will do the work, because we can. Risk Price is about knowing more than the rest, more than conventional fundamentals offer to the
  • 16. “ Page 16 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update investor at any scale of portfolio. We know the pursuit of framing options to collar exit or holds guided by the Risk Price is more lucrative. That takes too much attention for the small investor who just wants to save and build wealth hopeful of gains better than inflation in the long term and be liquid all the while, ready for difficult times when they need some ready cash, drawing on their own wealth, for helping themselves or their dear ones. Stoploss does that passively, for you. Engage “likeables” and save your own bacon. The conventional investment industry cannot prove any of their assumptions underlying their methods, whose results are 1.03:1, like21 a coin toss. Avoid those Artful Dodgers playing dice with your wallet. Investors need a real compass22 . Risk Price shows their way. Our TaxCharityTM gives proof. In the spirit and tradition of real science of Bacon and Newton we feign nothing; our demonstrations are in real time with real consequences obtaining real benefit to investors’ wallets, because we can. In our Modal Geometry theory of the firm we make only two assumptions, clearly as follows: 1. there is a balance sheet of the firm (that the rule of law governs its information is possibly weak assumption but at an accuracy to at least the modest degree accountants are prepared to be responsible for); and, 2. the firm will vigorously negotiate, “what it owns” (in order to stay in business “what is owed to it” with “what it owes” and vice versa, to make the best of what it has, that is in its trading connections). The Modal Geometry theory of the firm has unfolded more by rigourous observation in the real world of corporate ledgers relation to balance sheets. That is aided with logic, epistemology, and some powerful mathematics, real science, not conventional assumptions with little relevance but gossip. Our reasons for having any equity in our portfolios are clear, concise and consistent. “likeables” are equities shown valued by investors, tending to continuing gain, which investors have demonstrated a determination to buy and hold at stock prices above the Risk Price. “AlphaSmartTM gains, Capital Safety and Liquidity” are consequences we obtain through risk aversion that our Risk Price enables. That is proven. Proof is positive, in our TaxCharityTM and BookBuilderTM portfolios, extending our proprietary information to small investors. The BST-Solo50KTM and ABC-ZsTM suit larger wallets. Because we can, while the entire financial industry is so busy blowing bubbles23 with cash from your wallet. Know What You Have. Have What You Know.
  • 17. “ Page 17 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update Our risk averse view works. The proof of our method is clear and forthrightly shown. Of course we require 2&20 fees for doing that, or utilize our StockTakers 12% Bond. Mail us for your wealthy helping of what we can do for you. Because we can. You have proof. It is the price of risk24 because that’s the price at which we can reasonably expect to get our money back with a possible and hopeful return that exceeds the rate of inflation. That proof is here in your hands, as we continue to show as above, because, we can. Know What You Have, and only, Have What You Know. Our view is risk averse. Of course we require 2&20 fees for doing that. Mail us for our help. Hans Goetze, Architypes Inc. architypes@gmail.com and StockTakers Limited Head Office 76 351 Chemin Boulanger Sutton, PQ J0E 2K0 450 538-1270 647-608-2176 1 http://riskwerk.com/2012/06/05/economics-is-confusing/ 2 http://riskwerk.com/2015/08/27/pi-extreme-economics-the-worlds-bubble-wrap/ 3 ‘Father’ of Modern Portfolio Theory, Peter L. Bernstein, became disaffected realizing it was exposing investors to risk while productive way for making the professionals a living http://www.e-m-h.org/Bernstein1999.pdf 4 E. Goetze,“The Modal Geometry of the Firm and the Balance Sheet Worth of the Trading Connections”, 2006 5 http://riskwerk.com/2012/09/22/popovicius-volatility/ 6 http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21676767-entrepreneurs-are-redesigning-basic-building-block- capitalism-reinventing-company?cid1=cust/ednew/n/n/n/20151022n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email 7 banks have paid nearly $230 billion in litigation costs since 2009 http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/13/us- banking-litigation-research-idUSKBN0KM10G20150113 8 http://www.marketwatch.com/story/only-a-black-swan-will-bring-back-stock-volatility-2014-05-18 These Goldilocks and the Black Swans are confused by the tales even the VIXens siren to investors. 9 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/medieval-diet 10 http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21676767-entrepreneurs-are-redesigning-basic-building-block-capitalism- reinventing-company?cid1=cust/ednew/n/n/n/20151022n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email 11 https://riskwerk.com/2016/06/16/bn-the-w-syndrome/ 12 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/the-corporate-social-on-our-best 13 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/stocktakers-12-bond 14 http://riskwerk.com/2012/09/22/popovicius-volatility/ 15 http://www.economist.com/news/china/21701505-chinas-foreign-policy-could-reshape-good-part-world-economy-our- bulldozers-our-rules?cid1=cust/ednew/t/bl/n/20160630n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/n 16 https://riskwerk.com/2013/08/07/the-god-stock-econo-speak/ 17 http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/03/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market/ ; http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/21/the-sp-tsx- hangdog-market-2/ ; http://riskwerk.com/2013/08/10/the-sp-tsx-hangdog-market-3/
  • 18. “ Page 18 of 18 July 2016 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Defending Your Capital BookBuilder™ is about Simply Keeping It, Yours 31 July 2016 Update 18 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Intelligent_Investor 19 http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/18/the-real-intelligent-investor/ 20 http://www.homeless.org.uk/connect/news/2015/dec/17/latest-homelessness-numbers-underline-desperate-need-to-tackle- housing 21 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/the-grail-and-the-goat-portfolios on North American markets the combined average result of ‘managers’ investment models is 1.03:1, statistically no better than monkeys tossing coins or dice as compared to Risk Price driven ‘likeables’ portfolio showing 2.28:1 of the equities gain for long periods, the rest is ‘gardening’ 22 http://www.slideshare.net/HansGoetze/orienteering-among-magpies 23 http://riskwerk.com/2013/10/14/asset-bubbles-day-october-14-2013/ 24 http://riskwerk.com/2012/08/26/the-price-of-risk/