A road map for safer cars by 2020, presentation by David Ward, secretary general, Global NCAP at the 2014 Global NCAP Annual Meeting. CATARC, Tianjin, China. 30 October 2014

1. A Road Map for Safer Cars by
2020
Presentation by
David Ward
Secretary General
Global New Car Assessment Programme
2014 Global NCAP Annual Meeting & Roundtable
CATARC, Tianjin, China, 30 October 2014

2. Auto Safety’s Winning Formula:
Regulatory Push & Demand Pull
After a forty year effort motor
vehicles in the major industrialised
countries are safer than ever before.
This is the result of “regulatory
push” and “demand pull”. The
combination of national and UN
safety standards and consumer
information promoted by NCAPs
have created a market for safer
vehicles.
The challenge now is to extend
this progress to the rapidly
motorising regions of Asia, Africa
and Latin America.

3. Changing Geography of the Global Car Market
Top 10 Car Producing
Countries/regions 2013

4. UN Decade of Action 2011-2020
The Decade’s goal is to ‘stabilize and then
reduce the level of road fatalities’. This would
bring a 50% reduction in the forecast level of
fatalities by 2020 and avoid five million deaths,
50 million injuries and $3 trillion in social costs.
The Decade is supported by a Global Plan for
the Decade with five pillars:
1. Building Management Capacity
2. Encouraging Safer User Behaviour
3. Building Safer Vehicles
4. Building Safer Roads
5. Improving Post Crash Care
The Decade Plan includes seven recommended
activities in ‘pillar three’ to promote vehicle safety

5. Decade Plan for Safer Vehicles – Activity 1
Encourage Member States to apply and promulgate motor vehicle
safety standards as developed by the UN’s World Forum for the
Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations (WP 29).

6. Decade Plan for Safer Vehicles – Activity 2
Encourage implementation of New Car Assessment Programmes
in all world regions to increase the availability of consumer
information about the safety performance of motor vehicles.

7. Decade Plan for Safer Vehicles – Activity 3
Encourage agreement to ensure that all new motor vehicles are equipped with
seat belts and anchorages that meet regulatory requirements and pass
applicable crash test standards (as minimum safety features).

8. Decade Plan for Safer Vehicles – Activity 4
Encourage global deployment of crash avoidance technologies with proven
effectiveness such as Electronic Stability Control and Anti Lock Braking
Systems (ABS) in motorcycles.
ESC is mandatory in all new cars in Australia,
Europe, Japan and the USA (since 2012). In 2008
a UN global technical regulation for ESC was
adopted.
For motorcycles equipped with optional ABS The
rate of fatal crashes is 37 per cent lower than
for those same models without ABS (IIHS 2011).
In the EU from 2016 ABS will be mandatory for
new models above 125 cc, and from 2017
for all motorcycles in production.

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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
North America
Europe
Japan
Australia
Korea
World
Russland
China
India
Brasilien
ESC Global Installation Rates to 2021
Passenger cars & LCV <6

10. Decade Plan for Safer Vehicles – Activity 5
Encourage use of fiscal and other incentives for motor vehicles
that provide high levels of road user protection and discourage
export of new and used cars that have reduced safety standards.
Demand for safer vehicles can grow quickly
if encouraged by incentives.
Incentives can include reduced sales tax or
registration charges for cars that meet
chosen technology requirements or standards.
The insurance industry can also take a lead in
offering premium reductions for safer vehicles.

11. Decade Plan for Safer Vehicles – Activity 6
Sustain investment in research and development of safety
technologies that will improve vehicle safety and reduce risks to
vulnerable road users.
Real world claims data suggest that Autonomous
Emergency Braking Systems (AEB) can reduce
rear-end crashes by one quarter or more and
will lead to a significant reduction of injuries.
Priority area for action are new technologies to
mitigate pedestrian injury. Effectiveness of
pedestrian detection systems are promising. The
combination effect of improved pedestrian
crashworthiness (softer and ‘forgiving’ car fronts)
and crash avoidance (lowering collision speed) will
bring important gains in safety for pedestrians.

12. Decade Plan for Safer Vehicles – Activity 7
Encourage managers of governments and private sector fleets to
purchase and maintain vehicles that offer advanced safety
technologies and high levels of occupant protection.
Public and private fleets dominate new car sales.
Fleet managers choices will raise demand for safer
motor vehicles.
For example the mining company BHP Billiton and
the governments of Australian and Sweden now only
buy Five Star NCAP rated vehicles.
The new ISO 39001 standard for Road Traffic Safety
Management Systems and Global NCAPs new Fleet
Safety Guide will also encourage improved fleet safety.

13. Global NCAP’s 2015 Road Map Regulatory Recommendations
In advance of the 2015 Ministerial Conference in Brazil Global NCAP will publish a Road
Map for Safer Vehicles encouraging all UN Member States to adopt a phased mandatory
application of the most important UN Regulations , Global Technical Regulations, or
equivalent national standards where applicable (e.g. FVMSSs etc.).
Road Map for Safer Cars
2020
All New Car Models All Cars Produced
Stage 1 - UN Regulations*
for:
Frontal Impact (No.94)
Side Impact (No.95)
Seat Belts Anchorages and
Seat Belts (Nos.14 & 16)
31 December 2015 31 December 2018
Stage 2 - UN Regulations*
for:
ESC (No. 13H or GTR No.8)
Pedestrian Protection (No.127
or GTR No.9)
31 December 2018 31 December 2020

14. Thank You!